Rwy'n fawr, yn fawr. I gael ychydig iawn i'n gwybod i'r ddweud yn ymwneud yng nghymru. Rwy'n fawr. Dyw chi'n grwybodaeth. I'n mynd i'n gweithio'r pethau, a rydyn ni wedi'u gwneud os ydydd gennym y dyma i gyffredigiaeth i James. dyfodol adeiladu, nid ydych chi'n rhoi llawer disturbed y ffordd fel yna, ac efallai mae'n hynny wedi bod ar gyfernydd y cyfradd hon i'w'r siwyddiad yn ôl, felly mae ydych chi, maen nhw'n dden nhw'n dod i, maen nhw'n ddysgu'n gwahio. Roedd ym heb, roedd yn y llyfr ysgrifetig, mae cyfael ar y Cymru, a roeddech chi yma erbyn cyflef. felly dwi'nズgyntod gydym yn enwedigol, yng Nghymru i'r Gweithio, ac yn enwedigol i'r Gweithio ac yn enwedigol, ac yn yng Nghymru i'r Gweithio i'r Gweithio, ac yw'r marwch yn i ledwigol. Mae'r gweithio, ac mae'n fwrdd yn gallu sicrhau yn gweithio, yn y g heddiw. Felly yn 2017 ydym yn ymddangos arwain gyda'r hefyd, ond ar ddigon y gredith y gyrtaeth fe gyd-ddym ni wedi'i wedi ei wneud o felly i'r miros spokeurau. Ac yn ymgyrchu, mae'r gwrthodd ydy o ddweud i gyrwch ar gwrthodd. Mae'n ddysgu'r sgol oherwydd y gallwn. Mae'r ddweud yn ymgyrchol wedi bod yn meddwl. Mae'n ddweud i gael o'r sgol. Mae'r ddechrau'n ddwyf yn ymgyrch. Mae'r geograffu o'r ysgol, ac mae'r ddweud i fynd i fynd. Mae'n gweithio i'r hyn. Mae'r erioed ymgyrchu newydd yn ysgol. The school has had four different headteach in nine months, so that just gives a little bit of a backstory about the journey that the school has been on. And then in that follow Zemba, I joined as well. Our school is in a really high area of deprivation, and as a result of that, we've got a really high proportion of SDND of children who are disadvantaged, and more than their national average as well. Byddwn yn ein bodi gyrch nawr o'ch ei fod yn dweud yn rhaid i gyrtu'r gwahanol, a that goes for health, crime and housing so actually our school is really really important for our children just to give them the life of opportunities that they actually fundamentally deserve. Aber gan y dyfodol y byd wedi'i ar y cyhoeddent, maen nhw'n cyfeiriad o'r ysgol ymhynghinol. Mae'n gofio rydw i'r frysg ffordd o 5 ar 5, ac ond mae'n enw i'n ystod gweld yn roedden nhw'n sylfaen, ac mae'n fewn ei ffrindio'n mynd o hynny. Ysbyty, mae nhw'n cael ei wneud yn edrych. Nid yw – mae'n mynd i'n bobl yn dweud yn roedden nhw, a'n gallu'n holl. Ond mae'n wneud hynny'n penderfyniad ar y cyhoeddent. Felly, ydych yn ôl yn ymwneud y gweithio. Rydych yn ôl yn fawr y proses, ac yn at fi, ydych yn ymddangos fan hyn o hon Full undertaking. Ac oedd yn mynd yn rhoi, maen nhw'r cyddiweth, ac os ydw i mi wneud, ychydig i'r cysylltiadau. Felly mae'n yn ymlaen. So rwy'n ddim yn ym�as iawn. mae gennym yn ymwneud y fom ni piecefair, ac yn allan yn ymddangos ddiddordeb arlaen, mwyn ymwneud y fom ni ffôr, ac mae'r ffawr, This is my fourth year at the Academy meeting, James, so I joined after our current head teacher started as well. I've done my MPU QML, I'm currently studying My MP QSL and I also have the CLR as well. I've been geography lead for three years and I'll get on to that in a minute as well. And this is my Twitter handle, that's what it's called, and we've also got our school Twitter handle, which you are more than welcome to follow because we're teachers and we love to steal, and we love to borrow, a we love to see what other schools are doing. But, yes, it is. Mostly my interpreter is just me and my dogs, but you're more than welcome to follow her as well. Now, our starting point. I am not the geography expert. So if you have just been given geography lead and you're thinking, I have no idea where to start. Do not worry, that was me three years ago. And like I said to the lady before to this meeting, when I told my dad I was geography lead, he actually laughed and he said, don't do it. He said, just don't do it. He said, you don't even know where Hilda's field is. And he's right. I don't know where Hilda's field is. That's why we've got sat now. However, my starting point was actually allowing our school to understand that geography is so much more than that. And that's why I didn't really like geography when I was at school because I just thought it was from getting from point A to B to know that you had to go on the emerald. And I never knew any of that. So that's why we had to start with the question, why? Why is geography really important for our school? And this is the geography intent and there's just a little snippet of it. And basically, I just really want to hone in in the fact that it's just about allowing children to be really active global citizens. We fundamentally want our children to understand that there is a life outside of our postcode. There is a life outside of BD 15. And as I favorably said, if we don't allow our children to have exposure to that, they will not get that due to the demographics of their area. And actually, that's unfair. That's really unfair for them. So that's why we want them to think like a geography to understand, oh, actually, if I'm learning about Kenya, I can go to Kenya. I can go to London if I'm learning about the Great Fire of London. I can go to Scarborough when we're learning about it in Stone Age. But actually, it's also about location and knowledge as well. Which I'll get on to next. So that is how we started with the question of why. So from there, we had to make sure that our curriculum was purposeful and engaging. And this just is the real snapshot of our geography displays that we have seen all around our school. And actually, we've had to really, really build up the profile of geography to make it purposeful. And I'll keep saying that word purposeful because we're not doing it to speak about, we're all teachers, we're all professionals. We're not doing it for the big visitors that will be inevitable. We're doing it for our children. We're doing it to give them the best opportunity that they deserve. Now, I realised that our lessons needed to be well sequenced. Knowledge and skills needed to be developed on, which is a huge thing at the minute. Say, if you learn something in year one, how is that supporting your knowledge in year three, then year three to year four, year five and year six. And then the outcomes needed to be purposeful and engaging. So here, this is a real, this is a little, this is my class actually this year. And this is where we use digimaps for the maps and we actually, and we were learning the text of the golden wonder flower and the children actually used that in their English lessons to navigate and find the golden wonder flower which was in the school area. But I just thought I'd give you a bit of context. So, resources. This is where we have to start off with atlases. We didn't have any atlases and we didn't have any globes. And this is where the point that we were at. And we also had a lot of training with digimaps to allow us to understand how to use it purposefully for our children. From here, I've also very kindly given this by Sarah. I don't know if she's listening or not from another school in our academy where this is a skills progression document and it has been split up into different areas of the geography. Physical knowledge, locational knowledge, human and physical features. And then here, this is the area that I will be focused on next is the use in the maps, which I've pinpointed each point that we have used of digimaps to allow us to develop that progression. So in year one, we're just using a simple picture map to move around the school, which we've already done in our English. But then we go all the way up to year six where obviously there is a more of a development of that. And hopefully you'll have seen how we have tried to show that progression in our geography curriculum and by using digimaps to show that. So start small, start small. If you're just implementing digimaps, start small, even if you just use it within you, even if you just use it within your team, even if you just use it within your key stage and see how it works for you and then you can provide examples for your staff. So that's what we did originally when I was in year three, year four, two years ago now. And this is when we were learning about the human and the physical features of Borneo. So as you can see here, there's some picture evidence of the children and finding Borneo, they were looking at physical features. We were comparing and contrasting to all of them, which is where our school is based. And actually then this links to, on the left hand side, our progression document where it says, I think I can begin to talk about the wider context of places, for example, the region and the country. So for that field document, as a leader, I could tick that saying, okay, we've done that in year three and year four. And digimaps has allowed us to do that. And it's allowed the children to also develop their ICT skills and allow them to develop their geographical knowledge as well. And digimaps has allowed all the children to access the geography curriculum. So this was last year in year one and year two when we were doing the Great Fire of London and they had to look at London and look at the landmarks as well. And it just brings it to life a little bit more. It just allows the children to take ownership of their learning, which I know that Judy will talk about later on as well. Now, this is why I've been asked to speak to you about our local area study. So we did start small in the sense that children were able to use digimaps. We were able to look at tenure. We were able to locate London. However, through the pupil interviews and pupil questionnaires and through looking through the books and books through things, we found that actually our children's location and knowledge was not suitable. And actually we were letting them down because they didn't know where they lived. We had many children saying that Bradford was a country and it's certainly not. So then that's the point that we had to start with. So the first half term, so for autumn one, what we did is that we had a local area study. And this is a display that I've not tweaked. I've not changed it. Anything that you're seeing is, we know what it's like in the school. This is exactly what it is. I've not put this special look for this presentation. This is what it is. So we started off with a question, where on earth is Bradford? And then this and I'm going to show you some of the work that we have done for that through the use of digimaps. So early years focused on our school. And I think it's really important that if your technology allows you, we just had it on the, they actually just had this in the provisionary as well. The reception teacher said that the children were really good at saying, oh, they could say that the field, that there were fields, that they didn't live by the coast, that there were roads, that there were houses. And the more able children, they were asked if they could find their house and some of them would track their route to their house. And I'm not saying that some of your reception children would do that and genuinely not, but that's the point that some of our children were. But yeah, on the big screens, and then I know that she's printed them off and their children have circled physical features that they could see. Obviously we're not using the terminology physical features in reception. However, we're just getting them to expose to it. So then they're allowed, so they're seeing this format, which is allowing them to support their geography learning form when they're in you once. So it's starting in early years and it's going all the way up. It's not just started in year four. It started right down in nursery. So then we, and then year one and year two, we brought it a little bit out. We focused on alloton. And then on the left hand side, it's just refers back to that skills document about using maps. So what we did here is that we printed off a large scale map of the digital maps of schools. It was by A3. And we actually planned a route on it. And as you can see here, the children actually went on the route around the, around alloton and around the estate as well. This book, this was about five weeks of work because we had to learn how to read a map. We had to follow, we had to learn how to follow a map. We actually, we went on the journey itself. And then, and then after that, we actually located key landmarks as well of the human and the physical features as well. And the children, well, honestly, I think they were better than me at understanding what, because they lived there, but they were really, really good. And then from that, our displays have been created because we know how busy it is as a teacher when you're getting SLT thing, where your displays, where's your curriculum displays, where's your flashback, where's all your understanding, where's all your prior knowledge. So this is what is up in our provision area. So we've got a history and we've got a geography. And this is also in the key stage one area as well. And I think, I know Judd, Judy will touch on this as well, but the history, we have actually, you know, when you can pull the scale along, you can compare and contrast maps over a time period. Well, our children really enjoyed that in history because you could see how all it in the stage over the past 50 or 100 years. But then again on this geography display, we've got the human and the physical features, we've got the map, we've got the landmark work that they also did. But then in the year one provision area, we have got the map that they tracked. We've also got the pictures of it as well. So it's making it really purposeful for them. It's not just a one-off lesson of just using digital maps on the board. We print them off, we zoom them out, we zoom them in, we use a wide range of the maps so our children have access to that basically. And so their understanding of map work is also developed as well. But then year two, year four focused on Haworth. And again on the left-hand side, this links to our skills documents. So hopefully you'll understand that we're just branching out. So early years focused on our school, we focused on all the time. Then year three, year four focused on Haworth. And again, and then actually one of those, one of their aims was to track a route from our school to Haworth, which is what you can see that little girl doing down there. And she was able to track it. And again, it's not like my dad when he's like, you don't know where Huddersfield is. And I know I need to go on this air road or whatever, whatever. It's just for them to understand that actually Haworth for Rose is only 20 minutes away.  And then there's a nice little picture on the top right of how drenched they were. Because again, field work is really important because we're a nature-friendly school. So by using Digimaps to allow them to have better understanding of the place that they're learning about, we don't care whether it's raining or sunny, we're out there doing it. Now, and then this again, links to what I've just said in the year one year two, when you've got SLT breathing down your neck, I need to get my displays up, I need to get my displays up. This is all the children's work. It's nothing fancy, it's nothing special. It's just how children have done. And then again, how we have used it, how all it has changed since the 1900s. It's a really nice tool to see basically how humans have impacted our space. Obviously, because there's more houses, there's more roads. And again, and then our outcomes have been purposeful as well, which I'll go in in a minute. And this is another side of how it is as well. Another display in the year three, year four area where all the maps are being used as well. Key vocabulary is up and actually it's making it's life. And I'm going to say it's purposeful again. It's really purposeful and it's linking to everything that we're doing all the time in our school. And then year five and year six have focused on Bradford as a whole, but they also focused on Pity Beck. And then again on the left-hand side, this is the skills document. And then this is what, this was their outcome. So hopefully you see that there's been a progression in what we have been able to do. So in year one, year two, we created a brochure, a leaflet for why you should come to Olyfyn. Year three and year four created an information book about how it works. And then year five and year six produced this. Where she can see we've got some key work. We've got some map reading work as well. We've got the physical and we've got the human features. I think it's really important to say that we are not the finished product. We still have a lot of work to do, but this was our starting point for local knowledge. And actually we're really proud of how far we have come. And you might be ahead of us. You might be on the same journey as we are, but I'm just being as transparent and possible about basically how far we have come on. So yes, our outcomes, we have a lot of field work. And again, using the digital maps to allow us to do that because we are so busy in the profession that if I just type it in, I can snip and print it off. And it allows all the children to have access to it as well. Again, we've got some outcomes here as well, which was the year six. And basically it's about allowing children to represent their own work and how they want to with everything that we've already taught them as well. But yes, that's a very whistle-stopped taught, everything that we've done. But like I said, we are not finished products. And I just wanted just to show you just some examples of how we have, how we are using digital maps to enhance our provision, but ultimately for the locational and local areas study. So I will stop sharing. And if you do have any questions, please let me know. Thanks, Laura, for that build-up. I think that was an amazing presentation by Katja. And hopefully a lot of what I'm going to say is going to reinforce the amazing things that she's achieving with her pupils. I think the thing is that, as Katja said, digital maps allows progression across a range of skills across the curriculum. And it becomes a resource pretty much like a dictionary or conventional atlas in your classroom if you choose to use it that way. So as all of this suggests, securing a locational geography is a really keen requirement across the curriculum. And Digimap with School supports this. You could use a blank map of the world or a globe to locate places. Instead, using Digimap with Schools interactively on pupil laptops and interactive whiteboards, marking locations and saving maps to class files, it builds up a record, it builds up a resource that allows you to revisit concepts over a lengthy period of time. It means that you're looking at a wide locational geography across diverse places to develop and secure the forms of geographical knowledge which your pupils will need to access to stage three confidently. So knowing where's where, as Katja's suggested, is absolutely critical and it's critical across the curriculum, not just in geography. So it's important to identify opportunities to secure this across planned and the incidental curriculum. A lack of locational knowledge was the most significant complaint and it was a complaint from secondary teachers feeding back to primary subject leads at a British Council Connecting Schools Conference a few years ago. And this is still discussed when talking to key stage three teachers today. Digimap for Schools facilitates virtual feedback, fieldwork, sorry, and ordinary survey coverage and includes historical mapping, as you've already seen. It supports physical fieldwork as you've certainly already seen and it secures locational knowledge right from the foundation stage. The resource is inclusive and engaging. It allows you to record findings, evidence progression and skills through revisiting and actively applying prior learning including IT skills to every single new inquiry. So I'm just going to make a few suggestions to how you can build Digimap into the rest of your curriculum and I'm going to start with history because that's probably the subject that I've used it in most often when I was still in the classroom. So here we were investigating the extent and the shape of the Roman Empire and then we explored the journey from Rome to Britain. Now I've done this before using conventional mapping but here working in pairs Digimap for Schools makes the inquiry more engaging. It prompts discussion and it encourages peer support of mapping and IT skills. It also encourages pupils to support the teacher. Having done that we then identified modern countries within our inquiry. We used the drawing tools to create a visual record which was filed onto our Digimap's filing system and then printed off to go in books or on displays because again as Catch has already said I'm very keen on the idea that it's pupil work that goes on display and Digimap is just wonderful for that. The digital skills, develop observation, coordination and motor skills the things that you don't get from using the conventional geographical resources. So still looking at history here we're evidencing the point that it wasn't just the ancient Egyptians who lived in the ancient world. We've used the drawing tools to mark points on the route in our text and draw lines to identify the journey and look at how those people would have travelled at that time. So the inquire was obviously based around the text and that particular text has plenty of potential for geography within history. It's inclusive because it develops the idea that all pupils can read pictures and photographs and so they can with scaffolding and practice also read maps. It gives you a vehicle for assessment not just an abstract written piece of writing but recording the dialogue keeping a note of what people say. For me that's valuable assessment and as I'll try and suggest later it can suggest higher learning. For as Laura said at the beginning there are a number of new overlays for Digimaps I have not used these in the classroom they're a new feature but it strikes me that using the overlay that I've taken here it's a striking visual it's a highlight the important information inclusively and it will encourage debate. So here in a similar way to catch I'm showing you some of the pupil displays that I had in my classroom. So using Digimaps as part of our historical inquiry allowed us to understand maps including ordinary survey maps which could be quite daunting in context. So we were reading and using grids to locate features as required at key stage 2. We were reading contour lines to discuss the importance of the topography looking at the Victoria cave outside set up thinking about that polylythic lifestyle looking at the visual impact of the contour lines on the mapping in the classroom prompted some debate on our field work out in Swelldale prior to the pandemic it was wonderful to hear comments such as look at the contour lines the contour lines are all around us as they were driving through what to us is local geography using the mapping allowed us to punch an inquiry into the types of land associated with each phase of the stone age so the polylythic cave we could see it was on higher ground we could look at the coastal location for mesolithic and the neolithic evidence showed us that the land that was used for the hengers that was the point of our study is suitable for agriculture and that moved us into the bronze age and we did all of that through mapping and the thing about digimaps is that the drawing tools allowed us to create visuals which supported the inquiry we looked into the possible purpose of the hengers when we found the distances between the hengers that prompted debate and using digimaps allowed us to secure a real local sense of place not just for our immediate locality but as catchers suggesting moving out from where you actually are physically we were creating a sense of place right across the north of England which for us is important so this is an inquiry that I'm suggesting digimaps would be incredibly valuable for it's available on the historical association website with lots of other valuable resources so like the Roman Inquiry I delivered it previously without having access to digimaps for schools and we trapped the trail using actresses and out by maps Digimaps for schools provides a much more engaging and inclusive way of promoting independent learning within an inquiry so now if I were to deliver that inquiry again within the classroom this is the sort of way in which I would use digimaps so I'd include the latitude and longitude overlay it would be incidental here I'm not looking to teach what goes on around the equator or the topic of cancer but I'm providing a visual reminder of the locational importance and it's in context from our previous geography learning so therefore we're applying our prior learning and geography on known knowledge to move our history forward and pulling on the prior learning around Saxon travel also supports the inquiry and it develops the concept of global trade which we'll have started to look at in the ancient civilizations and through the Roman period and hopefully by doing this we're going to counter this notion of the dark ages so here in developing the inquiry we're looking at how the burial was actually created at Sutton Hoo and how the ship is taken from the river to the burial mound in constructing the resource I've created the aerial map first and I'd suggest that that's the easiest way for pupils to do this as well because it's much easier to locate the features on the aerial map once you mark the features on the aerial map the markers stay and they transfer automatically to the other ordinary survey maps so I've only placed those markers once on the aerial map and then I've just switched the map types that I've been looking at and the information has stayed you can add photos to maps on the ordinary survey mapping facility there's photos are available that's not the case on the global mapping but you can also add your own easily and I prefer to do that because my own personal photos give me an informed source I know what I'm talking about because I was there when the photo was taken so I'm using the historical inquiry to develop familiarity with aerial and ordinary survey mapping and we'd have a look we'd say this is actually the same map and how does reading one support reading the other using DigiMaps we can also think about how the area has changed so tracking back from today so I'll show you in a moment a similar idea which was based around a remembrance inquiry which took us to Selby and using the DigiMaps historical mapping prompted the observation in one of my UFI pupils that a railway that I marked on an 1890s map is now the line of a main A road now that wasn't written down it was in passing during conversation in the classroom but I recorded that as evidence of high level history and high level geography and we kept that evidence and it fed into her assessment profile so that is the remembrance inquiry there you can see pupils locating buildings from the past which have now disappeared on the 1890s map and that really looks that's a really good resource for looking at changes in your local area and then we asked the question how does a pupil from our school our tiny village school in North Yorkshire come to be buried in Mozambique and that led into looking and using DigiMaps to support us to discover what his life was like before 1914 and what was the impact of World War I on his family and all the pupils recognised that the main impact on the family that there was there would be no links between the family and where that soldier was buried and it gave us the locational opportunity where is Mozambique we've trapped it we've trapped the grave from our school and we've looked at the journey that will be involved and it's quite important I think when you're using DigiMaps or any other geographical mapping resource to always ask that question where is what we're looking at in relation to our school so again we've got our DigiMaps evidence as our pupils display evidence in skills and we're using DigiMaps to develop field work including virtual field work from Key Stage 1 right through to Year 6 and that familiarity secures progression in mapping so on the left you've got some work that is very similar to the work that Cattie was talking about about exploring your immediate local area with the foundation stage and Key Stage 1 and then moving into virtual mapping which we did during lockdown to go on a trip to our nearest market town again I'd taken the photos so I knew exactly what was going on as they worked their way round that map and again keep referring to Cattie but as she really suggested very strongly don't wait so this is a recent Twitter post from Labour School showing the work that the early years teacher Annabel Watson has done with her young pupils using DigiMaps to schools and I'm really grateful to her for giving me permission to use this and you can see the recorded comments providing assessment material and really bring life to that display and importantly the pupils are developing an awareness of a sense of place their own local place they absolutely get to know it through DigiMaps for schools and as we've seen with Cattie if this is going on in EYFS what are the skills going to look like in year six if you've started using DigiMaps at this point? So moving away from history but not completely because you always get the links referencing locational knowledge across texts and developing geographical vocabulary through those texts will have a positive impact on pupils' range and use of vocabulary across the curriculum not just within individual subjects so across the curriculum and drawing their daily lives that's going to impact on their writing too so using DigiMaps for schools as a research tool adds depth of knowledge to non-fiction writing it allows the pupils to research scaffold and inform their writing themselves so they're informing themselves they're creating their own knowledge bags through their research think about maths tracking journeys digitally in maths adds an extra dimension to timetables how many times have we done maths problems asking us to think about when the bus arrives and when the bus departs and we've got no idea where that activity is taking place use DigiMaps to bring it to life other opportunities I've already spoken about contour lines calculating erosion which is a really good tool for using with years five and six it's a very sophisticated concept but think about the measurement around erosion time zones we found that particularly useful and interesting when looking at fair trade and thinking about the reality of placing orders from the UK comparing data particularly across places particularly linked to climate and now comparing populations and by using DigiMaps to schools to support maths like that you're embedding the locational knowledge and it's being done incidentally but it does become embedded geography is always in the news and it needs locating all pupils can access DigiMaps schools at home with their parents for their carers so it supports homework and I've had pupils reporting to me that they plan days out at home and on their UK holidays that they're finally being able to plan and they've used DigiMaps and they've come in and they've shown me how they've done it and then finally inspiring the next generation so this pupil supported me and his peers with the software he raised his self-esteem boosted my confidence because I knew I had a specialist in the room who could support me and it allowed the enquiries and the locational geography in our classroom to move forward thanks very much for listening


Going on everyone Sam here with late in sports cards have been 23 Pantenea origins football hobby 8 bucks break number 35 random team style We can get any random results as always find those on the website under the results tab as well as a link in chat So good luck. Oh, you can shoot us an email Stefan Shoot us an email really quick Shoot us an email really quick late in sports cards at gmail.com also all forwarded over to sorting and shipping Down to 18 as well Kyle M with a spot. Thank you Kyle 18 on the last one here everyone 18 to go All right Shaq Leonard to 149 and Sam LaPorte to 125 rookie of DTR and Anthony Richardson First hit is gonna be going to the Broncos Marvin Mims to 99 nice one Denver Think Derrick is in love with Shencun. I could see that probably Shock me nice rookie Otto Jordan Addison to 25 for Minnesota. Hell. Yeah, dude. Go to Eric V. Congrats Eric. Nice one there, buddy 17 of 25 and Redemption Dalton Kincaid rookie jumbo patch autograph blue going to the bills. It's good really good first box right there Yeah, numbered LaPorte very good Jordan Addison 25 and a Kincaid. So not bad bad at all And 18 to go everybody origins Case breaks next heck Will Anderson to 149 One after no And 125 Jordan love Jay Hart Luke Musgrave rookie and Jerry Judy Nice Cedric Tillman to 199 for the Browns. There you go Ed Cedric Tillman Got a Michael Meyer rookie Otto for the Raiders nice one there Raiders and grots on that one and Tank Bigsby rookie Jersey Otto for the Jags nice one there Jacksonville Jaguars Shannon Sharp to 125 Broncos and Jerry Judy to 75 for the Broncos as well Broncos doing pretty well here actually TJ Hawkinson and Devanna a chain got rookie patches Michael Meyer to 199 to color for the Raiders Congrats Las Vegas Got rookie on card auto Tyjay Spears Grats on that one Titans very nice very nice and Kendra Miller rookie patch auto 23 of 99 That's going to the Saints three color will hint to black in the bottom left Corner so very nice That Saints gold All right good stuff in there I just hit the booklet Yeah, he did Yeah, I saw that dude ain't no Connell to 75 and Rishi writes the 125 Micah Parsons Kendra Miller Lions Hinden Hooker to 49 And they're in the jumbo Jersey color match for the Lions Rookie Otto is Zay flowers nice one there Congrats Ravens Very nice very nice It'll sell eventually it'll sell eventually Sam got a That could be nasty Hunter Renfrow 89 of 99 Yeah, I know For the Raiders and to 49 is for the Bills Dalton Kincaid nice one there on the booklet Is going to Buffalo is Nick a congrats Nick 20 of 49 I know I do like like Zays only does his initials, but it does look really cool He does a good job with it And that's like I know I'm biased as a Ravens fan, but the CP 3 just get thrown out Or do you get injured? I'm gonna get tossed the Sean Watson is like a CP 3 thing to do and Nick Chubb to 125 as well It's got foster roughing debo and ties jet Nice one here for the Texan CJ Stroud three color patch to 199 and Congrats Houston That'll do That will do right there Yeah, really nice one there for sure 18 to go on the next one everyone 18 to go. It is pretty good. It is pretty good. Yeah Zack Sharpen a rookie Otto nice one there for the certainly lit up our bucks drive. That's for sure. Yeah Kim's we're not firing a day and Sean Clifford nice one there rookie Otto for the Packers rookie Jersey Hello, Steve You fail McGee sighting. Let's go. Oh man for Sacramento.  I saw you in that Godwin Jersey Jack Leonard and Trey Tucker. It looked good on you Luke Shoenmaker to you 99 I just went there to color patch for the Cowboys Cowboys got a Tyree Wilson rookie Otto for the Raiders nice one there Yeah, yeah, that happens. Yeah, we've had Sam. We've had people by the entire break It actually happened like a week and a half ago with the crisp on all the Merlin's oh, that's right. Yeah, a whole break. Yep And Zack Sharpen a rookie jumbo Jersey Otto, so he was a live-on card redemption for the sticker. It's not bad. Congrats Seattle See how Two suples in X five years. Geez Strive is team Texans. Yeah, Strive is all about the Texans. I feel you Slash I think someone had an entire Mac a collegiate break. Yeah. Yeah, cuz that entire thing was like sold out I'm pretty sure like when force just got in said Jeremy might have been Jeremy. Yeah And then hooker the case from 149 and miles Garrett 125 group the case of each right? Yeah, yeah I Just happen same to answer your question Devon a shame definitely this happened Yeah, well Anderson nice one there to 25 that's on that Texans nice one again for each town Yeah, that arch was clean. I saw that picture Arch immaculate or impact. Yeah, that's dope. It was immaculate. We've got nice to 25 Zay flowers gold on card Auto, I'm so jealous of that car dude. Oh my god.  It's a down Yes, sir nine of 25 Yeah, we'll have people by like the entire sea. Yeah, exactly. It's got this guy walks pretty cheap Yeah, it's and redemption of Stetson Bennett rookie jumbo Jersey Otto go to the Rams. Nice one there Los Angeles rams doesn't happen a ton, but it definitely happens. Yeah. Yeah, there you go, Jonathan skunking on a Bought to yourself. Yeah, I'm not getting hit. Let's pass it. We're Marta 50 It's something true and Devontae Smith to 99 Herbie and Darius Davis a couple of chargers there got a Jaden Reed to at 199 for the Packers Roshan Johnson on card rookie Otto for the Bears He's gone. He was balling last night. He was yeah, and Jaren Hall rookie Jersey Otto for the bike Loaded to him One second I get another chance to not have a game last night No Yeah, exactly balling for a terrible game Not fun that was not a fun game to watch last night. No, that was a rough one. All righty We've got a Jaden Reed a Luke Shoenmaker will Anderson CJ Straub Hendenhoek Michael Meyer Cedric Tillman and Marvin you know who's Getting on to the potential trash list is Shrive. Oh, Shrive is getting close to the trash list. I think Dalton Kincaid to at 49 I got the rough draft right here. I can I gotta see it really quick. I can Roshan Johnson Jaren Hall Stetson Bennett Zay flowers to 25 Zach Expected over here. Tyree Wilson Sean Clifford Zach Charbonnet Hunter Renfrow Zay flowers Kendra Miller Tyger Spears Michael Meyer tank bigs be Dalton Kincaid and Jordan Addison I know honestly that'll do it for the break everyone. Thanks again for the pill. Let's fill up the next one


We had the Olympics this year. How do we make sure particularly in Y �лиnebara that we maintain the momentum from those in terms of employment, jobs, business, etc.? It's really important, we have to be clear about what we're trying to do. When we won the Olympics on the basis of transforming the East End through that, we need to be helping people into work. What we're doing with our workplace programme is, on this year we got 5,000 people into work excluding Olympic jobs next year, Mae'n sfrifatio, mae'n sfrifatio. The long term unemployed people from East London into working to do that to work with the business to make sure we give them a chance. For businesses looking to invest in the capital, potentially in your borough what would be your sort of one overarching message? Why would you invest anywhere about East London. It's a fantastic place, it's a coming place. I'n gweithio, mae'r hawl iawn wedi'u newidran, yn ei hwyl. nenhum ti'r gwlein iawn yn ffas. Yn cael y byw'r busnes, maen nhw'n gweithio ddiogelog, mae yn gwasanaeth yn adnolog yn gweithio. Pai oeddwn i'r gweithio, rwy'n golygu, mae'n gwneud cael ei gweithio i gwell â gweithio'r gwylliant, maen nhw'n gallu gweithio i'r gweith. Dw i'r gweithio, mae'n gweithio'r gweithio, nid yw ddim yn eithaf gwneud ei gweithio. ond it's going to be good.


The following is a presentation of TFNN. The TFNN Bull Bear Training Hour. Every training day, live at 10 a.m. Eastern. Call now toll-free at<PHONE_NUMBER> or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. The TFNN Bull Bear Training Hour. Now, Tom and Tommy O'Brien. Welcome folks, appreciate you growl and a problem with us out here. We have the Dow Industries up 122, Nasdaq up 23, S&P's up 11, Gold, Gold Flat 15.36 an ounce. You can still rub 16 cents, $18.33 an ounce. Light Sweet Crude off 30 cents, $56.42 a barrel. Notes and bonds, bottom line you get the 10-year flat, $130.30, 30-year down four at $165.30. Those babies folks just refused to back down. They were back down slightly this morning, had tremendously lighter volume, they rejected lower price yesterday. And Kingdollar, Kingdollar is going to be the big deal out here today. It's down 65 ticks, $98.390. Now, Kingdollar was going for that high of $98.770. Contracting volume in a huge way in the way up, bottom line is that we'll see if we get a failure on price and volume out here. The year is at 110, the yen is at 106.12, and the pound is out here at 122. And it's a TGIF and it's a happy Labor Day. Got to love it man, three-day weekend, hopefully Florida. We're in Florida man, staying in the updates, stay safe out there. Looks like it's going to be quite a little storm. It's barreling in, it's barreling in. And I was listening to the archive during 8 o'clock of your afternoon show yesterday, and I heard it as well saying it's really remarkable man. First storm in like 14 years to barrel into that Atlantic coast. And I said I really want to see how they classify that because it is. It doesn't make sense. It doesn't make sense because we know that. Because we heard of so many. And we know that that coast has dealt with, whether it's the peripheral of the storms coming into whatever. But I guess it's going to be the first one where it really makes direct landfall. But remarkable, that long. And hopefully we'll see in a little days to come to see where it hits. Of course it's turning south. So if it turned north it would get up the coast, but it's turning south. And we'll see Tuesday morning man, we may not be here. We'll be here, but we may not be on the air. We'll see what happens. Let's go take a look at that platinum market. So platinum folks has caught a bid here. It's about time, that's the other side of it. You can see three days we just went from a, what's that? 8.67 to 9.39. So this is a real bid man. It just ripped apart. It's a swing high going back five months. We take this, actually let me put this up, put this on a continuous. Okay, PL1, PL1. Yeah. This is impressive. Quite a move, three days. And if we take this, now let's put it on a weekly and see what we get. Okay, this is good. So you launched 9.05. So if we just take a price projection, take a top of that consolidation, 9.05. I won't take the very low, I'll take somewhere around here. 7.60 man, that's pretty good. You're talking 140 bucks, right? So 9.07, that's 1,045. What is that up there? 1,022. This thing's going to 1,022. That's, well, it's about time. The bottom line is that compared to gold, this thing has been the biggest dog in the world. And it's hard to comprehend that this had a high in 2008 of 23, was that 23.08? Yep. I mean, pretty well. Crazy, right? I agree. You know, so now we'll see how this shakes out, because if we take this, watch this, this could get interesting. Oh, this is good. So on a long basis, folks, okay, this is a decisive break. That would be saying that, you know, on a long-term basis, you go to 1600. It's just an eight-year trend. Yeah. I know, exactly. Broken, all right? Yes, is it. You know, that's how you want to break a trend. Sure.  When there's a race to zero percent, it yields, man. All those metals, of course, catching a bit, man. No. Silver is just crazy. Yep. Let's pull up that silver back up. I saw the price of silver yesterday, and I had to do a double take, because I somehow just maybe hadn't been on my radar. I said, 1833, weren't we just at 1650 or 1750? We were. Every single day, right? We were. Look at this. Just two months ago, you were at 1492. Yeah. And let alone I... Six straight days ago, you were at 16. And that's where I... Just to grab it. My mind had kind of settled into... Even this was a staggering level, right? Yeah. Where we were up to 1749 on August 13th. So I knew we were above 17, which was a huge price, one alone. Right. And then, you know, you're creeping up, and even, what is this, the 23rd? So that's a week ago today. So that's Friday. So even Monday, we're sitting at 1749 again, right? And I saw, yes, it's... I missed that. We're at 1850, man. And it was so cool about this, folks. Watch this now. Now you're at the bottom of the high-volume bar. It's not a high-volume bar. We're actually coming into it with heavier volume of 2016. 1877. Oh, we're not quite there yet. 1877 is the low of 2016. That's right. My take is... See, gold had already taken that out. And now silver looks like it wants to take it out. Yeah. That's the highs of 2016. 1877. Yeah. Yeah. There's the low of it. And the high of it is 21, you know. It's going to say it's of July, right? It's a monthy. Yeah. So it's the low of July of 2016. Yeah. Just because it was dramatically lower at the beginning of 2016. Yeah. So, you know, bottom line is that you get game on there. Notes and bonds, these things just... They just don't want to... Yeah. They don't want to back off. Nope. And... I heard a commentary today talking about that the highest interest rate out there in the whole world is the Fed rate. Yeah. The overnight lending rate. How does that make sense, right? Yeah. Yeah. Because it is. That's pretty intense. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. So we're sitting right now at... What is it? 175 to 2? No. It's 2 to 225. Right. That's the effective Fed rate, which is remarkable, man. And I lay... So we get the meeting coming up September 18th. 100% probability of a cut. Really where it gets interesting is when you get into, I think, the October and December. What are the odds here? Well, they're thinking two rate cuts by October. Almost a 60% chance. Yeah. So you get a 37% chance that we get three and then you add these two together. So you're looking at about above an 80... No, 85, 80... Well, geez, there's a 2% chance you get four rate cuts in three meetings. But there's about an 85% chance that you get two rate cuts by the end of the year. Yeah. Which would make sense when you're sitting at 2 to 225. And you know, folks, if you've been watching this for a while, see this Fed effective rate? Now, this is pretty cool because this is the rate that basically was done last night. Okay? So you see how this goes? It goes 2 to 2.25, right? So that's where the Fed can lend money. Okay? That's how the discount rate... That's the overnight lending, right? Yes. So what I've seen in the past... Okay, this is just... This is new. It's not new that how they have up there. But every time that they've had this, this rate always seemed to be closer to the top end of the rate versus it's in the middle now. Okay. Which is pretty cool. You know what I mean? Okay. Because that's the first time that I actually noticed it that, okay, that's come down also that they're lending overnight money well, in the middle now, where normally this would be like a 2.20, like when it was higher. Okay. So bottom line is that these rates are going lower. Yeah, I know. Seriously, right? Good. Well, listen, if you're... Ultra Salon, this is like a haircut extraordinaire. And if you have the... No, they're in makeup. They're not haircuts. I feel for you. Oh, man. I said, I started to say, I said, if you're in there, man, talk about tough morning, but you got to get a stop because you got to... I said, if you're in margin, you just lost over half your position. Right. Which is staggering to be down, you know, on a company that you don't think that's possible. Right. You don't. No. This is... And what we're talking about, folks, is that it closed last night at $349, and it's actually trading at $243. I think you're looking at it monthly. I think it closed at $337, but $337, I think, and we're at $242. You're about to be $100. Yeah. And it's not stopping. No. It keeps going. I told you, I had to pull out a calculator before the market opened because they don't give you the percentages when it's not open yet, right? Yeah. And I said, $87, close to $337. I got to check my map. That sounds like 25%. It was. Staying there, folks. Tommy and I are coming right back. Coming right back. Dow. Dow is a buck 10. Nasdaq up 10. 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Toll free at 1-877-927-6648 Internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER> Folks, you got the doubt right now up 100 and as that gets up 9 S&Ps are up 8 Just gave it up folks. So let's go take a look and see how far they got first. So this is so crazy when this happens.  And you got, you know, you got right to the downdraft, man. The top of this downdraft and all the indices, you know, happen to be the highs of August 13th as well as the 22nd. Yes. And that's where the downdraft is. And you know, so let's see. We got to 7770. That's a good number. And 7782. Yeah. And then, yeah, this is you're talking about 60 points. 77 points would be 1%. Man, that's a mammoth movement. It's only 10 to 19 in the morning. And watch, if you look at the spy, the spy got to 29423. I love it and got over all of them. And now it's underneath them. That's that's a good setup, man. It's we'll see if you get a failure by the end of the day, but that's kind of setting up cool. Let's go to our man Alan Tampa. What's going on, brother? Not much time. I just wanted to run something by you. My wife said to check it out with you. Well, I'm looking at doing I'm a disabled veteran and I'm looking at, you know, I was able to find a DA alone. Yeah. With no points or anything else for 3%. So you want to get it and and the nice thing about it is I'm going to look at buying the 375,000 dollar house. Yeah. And then what we would do is look at selling our other house. We should net about 250. And I was looking at your product for 7%. Yep. You know, those tax rebonds. Yeah. I was looking at taking that 250 and buying the tax rebonds from you. Well, they're not tax rebonds, but they pay the mortgage payment on the house. And then I'd still be since you're tax free, I wouldn't have to pay any interest on it. And since we're selling the house, you know, out of two out of five years, you're allowed to sell one tax free. Right. So we wouldn't have to pay capital gains. And then what we would be able to do since we're financing the whole thing above this 7%, I'd be able to still write off the interest on the house against my income. That's right. Now, let me just get something clear though. The first mortgage that I have and not tax free. What it is, is that the land is valuable because it's in these tax free opportunity zones. So that is the differential, right? So you would, at the end of the year, you do get a statement from us that you have to pay taxes on for all that interest. You have the interest income. Okay. You have interest income, right? Now, I thought it was, I thought there were tax free interest. No, what happens is that it's not. It's, if you keep the property, let's picture that the reason that it's valuable is that there's so many people coming into all these cities looking for this type of property. Because the way the program works is that you can build on the property, you can open businesses on the property, and if you keep the property for 10 years, you pay zero taxes. And then what also happens is that let's say that you had made $100,000 capital gain. You wouldn't pay the way the program works is that you'd put that into the property. You wouldn't pay the capital gains tax on that $100,000 today. You'd have to pay half of that capital gains tax 10 years from now. So it's a double bang-out, which is pretty wild, okay? So let's say it's just 15%. So you get the $100,000. You'd owe $15,000 this year. You wouldn't have to pay the $15,000 this year if you basically did an opportunity zone property. And then what ends up happening though, you cannot sell that for another 10 years. It's deferred income. That's the way to do it. It's deferred taxes. You defer that income. Right. And get rid of half of it, though. Right, right. And get rid of half of it. And then whatever you make on that 10 years, you pay no taxes, okay? So that's kind of, you know... And to bring it in, that's the developers doing that. Doesn't it bring in a monthly income? Oh, yeah, yeah. Can I just assist it out? Yeah. Because one is the developer. Right. And the other, Al, to separate... You're not the developer. You're not the owner. You're separate from that. But what makes it so attractive is the value of the property, which is what is securing that mortgage, which you have the first mortgage on. Right. So you're benefitting from the value of the mortgage, which you are the holder of, right? Right. You're the bank. You're the bank, right? So you have a first mortgage. You have the, you know, the right to that if there's any default. So in that sense, that's a valuable property because many investors look at the property, such as yourself, developers, so forth. Right. But it's that the... You being the bank does not tie in to you being the developer. Right. They're two separate things. You're just earning interest income. You'd be making 7,000 per 100,000 now. That's how it works. That's how it works. And it'd still be taxable. It is absolutely taxable. And as you said it, though, when you have a loan, you would then be able to deduct your interest you're paying from that income as you said, which is a huge benefit when you're a mortgage holder. Right. The interest income is deductible. You know, it's cool here in folks, okay? Al just brought something up.  And then the VA loans, folks, what ends up happening is that they can't add in points and there's certain restrictions, okay, that the VA... And also PMI insurance. That's correct, okay? Yeah. Now listen to this. This is really important, folks. Okay, this is really cool. If you have a VA loan out here right now, right, look at what your interest is because this gets better because when normal folks... Not normal folks, but if you don't have a VA... Non-veterans. Yeah, non-veterans. If you're refinancing a loan, right, what happens is that they will add fees on and taxes on, right? I mean, in points on. They try to add all the fees they can, right? Exactly. Yeah. So watch what happens. If you get a VA loan and you have a life, right, you can call the... You can call your broker, you can call the bank, right? But guess what? They have a program, okay? And this takes two days. It's a joke. Meaning it's right. All they do, it's called a soft credit. They run... They hit a button and as long as... No appraisals or anything, you know. What ends up happening is that... Now, this is not a cash out loan. That's right, yeah. That's the key. You can't take cash out. But what happens is that you can go from 4.5 to 3.2 overnight. Just a very simple refinances. A way to put it, because they say, we're not giving you extra money. It's the same property. Right. We're going to reset you at the current rate and because it's a heavy, heavy regulated loan because the government's saying... Which is dynamite. No, we're not going to let these companies, you know, hit you with all these and jeez, I even as a finance major man going through mortgages, oh my god, you can't keep track because these banks do it purposely. You don't really know what they're hitting you with. The HUD statement's intense. Yeah. And thankfully, you know, we take care of the veterans, man. The banks can't hide any of that. Right. So that's why it becomes so easy. It's great. That's good news, Al. Yeah. I think that's a great plan, man. Oh my god. That's a great deal. Well, the nice thing about it is too is, if it closes in like 60 days, I've got these two link cuts possible too. And I get the lowest, whatever the lowest interest rate is. I know. You can reset to the lowest. Yes. At the day of the closes. That's huge, man. Huge. And congrats on the profit, man. Thank you. You got a good plan there. Yeah. 3%. Yeah. That's intense. Cooking, brother. No, we want to make sure that we put the money into something that when we sell the house tax-free, I want me to realize that my life doesn't want me to mess with stocks or something like that. I don't know. I don't blame it, man. I'm thinking maybe municipal bonds, tax-free, municipal bonds or something. As long as you know you can get your principal back. I was going to say, what municipality? That's the key because you got to make sure that there's a solid municipality and there's a lot of municipalities that aren't right now, so be careful. Have a great one, Al. Have a safe one. Happy Labor Day. Thanks, Al. Tommy and I are coming right back, folks. Stay right there. Hi, folks. Tom O'Brien here. If you'd like to get my daily newsletter and market insights, then now is a great time to sign up for a 30-day free trial. Every morning by 9.30, I send out my morning letter to subscribers with Market Commentary on a variety of markets, currencies and commodities to keep investors up-to-date on the day's trading action. Included in Market Insights are specific buy and sell recommendations for stocks, ETFs and even options, which stops and price targets included for every trade in my newsletter. If you'd like to try my newsletter at risk free for 30 days, then head over to the front page of TFNN and you'll find Market Insights under Trading Newsletters. I use my years of trading experience to bisect and dissect the market every morning and give my subscribers the most important information they need to know for the day ahead. I even issue afternoon updates for my subscribers whenever warranted with important market action. I'm always scouring the market for the next great trading opportunity. Sign up for your 30-day free trial to my daily newsletter Market Insights today by visiting the front page of TFNN.com. Well, go get them, folks! The path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter and if you're looking for active trading ideas, then now is a perfect time for a 30-day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his path of least resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options, David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. Don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30-day free trial to David's daily newsletter the path of least resistance with no obligation to pay anything. David has been delivering solid recommendations for his subscribers recently, and if you'd like to see the type of newsletter he delivers every morning, then visit the front page of TFNN and you'll find the path of least resistance under trading newsletters. For all the details and to start your 30-day free trial today, log on to TFNN.com now. TFNN is excited about our new software charting program, the Art of Timing the Trade Chart. In collaboration with Tom O'Brien and using his best-selling book, The Art of Timing the Trade, Your Ultimate Trading Mastery System, David White has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology. Using this first-of-its-kind program, the Art of Timing the Trade Charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups, including guardleaf, ABCs, butterflies, and much more. The Art of Timing the Trade Charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns for weeks or even months searching to find. And right now, we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of the Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Welcome back, folks. Dow, Dow up 108. You get the Nasdaq up four, S&Ps up seven. Let's go over that oil market just for a second. We got something happening in oil here. This is, yeah. What's going on? We got a little negative action here. This is gave it up, man. Did we miss a tweet? No. Maybe. We must have missed something. Let's see what this is saying right here. So the headlines is beautiful. This is the eight o'clock headlines. Biggest weekly gain, folks. Well, guess what? It says heads for. Not quite yet. No, I agree. As I'm in Mr. Basil Chopin would say the day is young. That right is going to understand that. $55. Let's go to Derek and Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Derek, what's going on, brother? Hey, how are you guys doing today? Morning, Derek. Good. How's it going, gentlemen? Paul, I can neither confirm nor deny any presence at the meeting. Oh, that's perfect. I love it. We've got to get more calls today. Totally. That was perfect. That's fine. Great season. Totally. It's an interesting week up here to say the least when that happens every year. Yes. I bet it is right. I got a question on today's What does that do to a failure on price? Does that throw another thing to consider here? Yes, it would be considered. So my definition of failure on price and volume is like this, folks. So you always have markets go up and go down. In this particular case, because you can see quite clearly now that we've been in this consolidation since August 1st. The bottom of consolidation, I'm using the spy now. The bottom is 281 and the top is up here at, you know, 294 approximately. And you can see each time it's come up to that, which is basically ice, which is the downdraft. That's a white cough term. It's given it up. So a failure on price and volume goes like this. You get the failure on price, meaning that first off it has to get over the highs, which we did this morning. Then you have to close under them and you have to have lighter volume. Now, this is the cool thing and this is a great question, folks. So we know that you're going to have a failure on volume because the volumes are so high at these highs. But this is what I like to see. This would be a more bearish scenario, is that if we get an actually contraction even from yesterday. So watch this. We start on this. Monday, the spy had volume of 72 million. You will go on higher. Tuesday, 68. Wednesday, 59. Yesterday, 57. Is there a trend there? And then this is what happens. If you get a contraction of that, that's even more bearish because it's showing that the volume characters to get normally used is the swing point. But that volume is a monster. It's not going to happen. So if you get that contraction, then you get a higher probability that you have a true contraction of true failure on price and volume. And that's a decent chance you do, man, because Friday before Labor Day, everyone's asking for the Hamptons to Cape Cod to wherever, Jackson Hole Man for sure.  If you're a bear, this is what you want to see. You want to see it get up into that level. You want to see big volume contraction and then the bottom of failure on price because that would be saying underlying this, that we actually do have more sellers than buyers. So it's going to be intriguing is our man, Mr. Dave White, he just brought up to the point that we are in window dressing. Okay, so that's a heads up. There's no doubt about that. Fun buying so forth. Yes. At the end of the month, the beginning of the month, and we will have fun buying on Tuesday and Wednesday. It's the end of the summer. It's pretty interesting. Labor Day is over. We're Boston. I'm not sure if you're familiar, Derek, but Boston, New York, probably similar, right? It's like, that's the end of the summer. And that's why Friday, beforehand, take advantage of those three days, right? Get down Cape Cod. You come back. The kids are back in school. September 2nd, summer's over, man. Rental houses go through August. You're back in the city.  Yeah, our summer ended, I think, last week, all the kids are back in school here. Yeah, it's the same gift. Florida, they go back almost two weeks ago, which is mind blowing. But usually up there, you make it past Labor Day on most years. And I feel like, you know, it's interesting. I always feel like Labor Day is almost like a new year, like the beginning of, and that just happened like years ago that... I think it has to do with us being down Cape Cod because whether you have rental houses, whether you're just down there in your house, that's everybody else has rent. You know, the summer's there, activities, kids are in classes through August. You go through Labor Day, and school usually starts whether it's the Wednesday, Thursday, right after Labor Day. Yeah. So, hey, how long have you lived in Jackson Hole? See, it'll be removed here September of 08. That's sweet, man. I've seen pictures of it. I heard it's beautiful, right? Well, I'll tell you what, we have off season until just about the week after Thanksgiving. You guys fly out here. I'll take you to dinner. Oof. We got to get on it. That'll be possible. Okay. Yeah. Keep calling into the program. We're going to make some plans. The sea waves. Oh, I've seen pictures too. Well, I watch it every day. I never miss the bull bear trading hour. I never miss the end of the day with Tom. So, even if I somehow miss a minute or two, I always watch it at night. So, you mention you're coming out, and I'll get a hold of you. We'll do it. It's on. Awesome, man. I look forward to it, man. That is so cool. Listen, you have a great one. It's a safe one, Derek. Thanks so much, man. Bye-bye. That place is gorgeous. I'm excited, man. I'm excited. No, that's because, I mean, it is gorgeous, man. I've never been there, but we've all seen the pictures. That's why they have that big symposium out there, man. They don't put it in the middle of nowhere. They put it in a beautiful spot. And you know, it's wild, folks, is that I remember it's like about 25 years ago, maybe 30 years ago, that they had enough money out there that they convinced American Airlines to fly in directly. And that changed everything. Sure. You get to that port, you know, like easy travel, direct routes. We all know you want to fly direct for sure. So let's go, let's, hey, let's go over to Alton and see what happened. Do we really, are we ready for this? Yeah. And then we're going to work day next. Okay. So let's see. Well, here, let's bring this down and see what they said. You're going to have a lot of articles to get through on this one this morning. There we go. Okay. So here's the numbers. So earnings per share, is that a year? Oh, they expected 246 and they got 276. Yeah. I was going to jump fiscal year, right? 1186 to 12, they were looking for almost 13 before that. So talk about a huge revision. Fiscal year comp sales, they're now looking for four to six. They were looking for six to seven. Still remarkable when you're talking about, we might grow comp sales for the year at 6%. And they're like, market says, oh my God, we're going to slash your market cap by 25% overnight. Right. Staggering, man. Yeah. They expect to open 80 new stores. 80 stores. And their stores are so big. That's fiscal year. They are huge, man. And let's scroll back up now that we're there just to give, let's see what they kind of highlight here. So comp sales, key metric grew at 6.2% in the quarter. Below the analyst estimate, though, and they now expect, like we said, four to six as opposed to the six to the seven. Key insights in here. While sales continue to rise, the rate slower than the rapid pace past years and companies still opening stores, locations climbing to 1,213 in the quarter. That's, I mean, because they are the mammoth. They're not kiosks, man, right? Yeah. They are just mammoth makeup stores. I don't think I've ever personally bought something in there, but we're all familiar with them if you've been in them all. And it's that Kylie Jenner. So later on in the year, they're going to introduce a skin line from her. Okay. Because that first line was very successful for them. Yeah. They have the makeup brand, right? Yeah. Or whether it's eye shadow, wood eye, I'm sure she has a few different products. But man, oh man. And it was up 38% this year, but... And down 25 in a day. But guess what? That 25 is now on the higher number. You can be up 30%. I mean, this is how the triples work, right? Oh, yeah. You're up 38%. But then you go down 25% from that higher number. You might be below where you actually started from. I know. Yeah. Dow. Dow right now up 104. Now it's like up 11. S&P's up 7.5. Come right back. If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you. The security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida. The Tax Act of 2018 set up tax-free zones across the country where you can build and hold for 10 years and pay no tax on the profits, which makes these lots valuable. 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We're getting a little West Coast flavor in the show this morning. Yeah, I like it. I know, I know. Yeah, we don't get hurricanes out here. No, thank God. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Yeah, we'll be all right. Everybody just stay safe. That's you got to take them seriously. And that's the real crux. Well, we do take them seriously. Yes, you bet, man. That's right. Wait, Tommy and I have been enough of them. Cool, man. Yeah, yeah. And what we were, we're in a monster one hurricane Bob. We're at the Cape. What are you? Yeah, that's that was it. 93, 92. That was a beauty. Yeah, it wiped out everything, man. We were that end of the summer. I remember as a kid, it ended it because I think it had middle August, early August. And of course that was the end of the summer because everybody was just destruction there. So I was up in DC in the 70s.  But what we got was heavy rain for three days. And it was raining so hard. You couldn't go out to your car, which was about a five second run from the door, right? You were totally soaked, five seconds. And it rained like that. That's where the world of pelting comes from. Yeah, right. Yeah, that's the one for three days. Yeah, you have pelting and that rain hurts. That can be worse than a storm because that flooding really can't. Right, right. Well, you know, that's what it looks like they're setting up for Florida to me. Yeah, no it is. We're just hoping it's a little further north than where we are, but there's no doubt. It's still too early. It is. And of course, you know, we get out. We get out. Sometimes you never know. I'm going to be hustling all day long today making sure to batten down those hatches, baby. Oh my God. Batten them down. Yeah. Oh yeah. So what are you going to look at?  Yeah, right. Get you a rubber raft, all right. Totally. We'll end up in the freaking behind us. Get a rubber arm. You were talking yesterday about the bond market and how it was a big consternation. I've been looking at this thing for a couple years and I don't think I got it totally figured out, but I think I know what the big problem here is. Okay. Well, as you know, the bond market's one of the biggest markets in the world. Yes, truly. It's close to a quadrillion dollars, a thousand trillion dollars. Right. And it's known as the smart money because that's where the really big guys park their money. Sure.  Absolutely.  People type people. Right. They got about half the money in the world as close as I can figure it and they got a lot of it in the bond market. Yeah. So the problem we got right now is they got these negative interest rates going and they can't let go of them. You know, there's so much debt in the world, there's about, they claim there's about 250 trillion on the books. But I think there's at least another equal amount off the books. So you're talking about a half quadrillion dollars in debt. If you just tried paying two or three percent interest on that, you couldn't do it. That's correct. See, that's so big it can't be carried at any reasonable interest. So they've got to keep driving the interest rates down or the whole thing blows up. Yeah, listen, that's a good point. You know, it's fundamentally, the bottom line is that, so what Lou's talking about here folks is this, when you do the numbers, fundamentally, if there's any interest at all on the debt, it never can be paid back. That's a factual deal. And that's why you know, thank God that people can go bankrupt, okay? I lost you a little bit there saying if there's any interest, it can't be paid back. So on a longer term basis, because that's why printing money in the fiat system in general, okay? Once you take the amount of debt that's out there, and then you take the interest on the debt, right? No matter which way you calculate it, it all never can be paid back, ever. That's just, it's mathematical impossibility, okay? Because the interest is piling up. So that's why you see wipeouts on a continual basis, you know?   They themselves, they have to put their money somewhere, okay? And they feel it's safe in the U.S. Treasury. And it is safe in the U.S. Treasury. So when you have this much cash chasing just safety, and I would say that safety, they just want to make sure they get it back. You know, if you have billions of dollars, who are you going to give it to? You give it to a bank that might go to the south, you give it, that's, so, you know, I don't know where this thing's going to end. What we'll see, Tom, here's the problem. You got the richest, most powerful people in the world that own the bond market, basically. That's their money. Almost all of it is their money, right? Now they are somehow going to figure out a way to come out of this hole or better than hole. They always do.  And at the time it seems like they can't figure out a way. But Tom, they always figure out a way. So the question is, if all these guys got their money in, if the interest rates keep going down and go negative, like you say, they can't go too negative the way I figure it. Because these guys would be losing too much money, right? They could go one, two, three percent negative.  But the debt has to be inflated away, right? Yeah, so would that be inflated or deflated away? I guess that would be deflated away. If the debt was inflated away at some point, these interest rates have to explode and go to the upside, which is going to, you know, it's going to wipe out a lot of people. Now what happens if I just, as my mind goes around, and I have nothing figured out in this one, man, I can go in circles, right, in terms of the chicken or the egg or those what, but what about the capital side of things, right? In terms of if the rates really do go down and they have all their money really in there, then you have, I mean, just like this month alone, you look at the TLT, man, if you're in bonds, the capital appreciation, if you're in bonds is staggering. It is, it is. I mean, you just went from 130 to 150. They're riding it down, you know, they're making money on the way down as these bonds go up. Right, they are. Yeah, and that's...   That's a great point, that's what my head went. That's why you're seeing... The other thing is, some people are floating a theory that they're going to take that money and buy all the goddamn real estate in the world, which they could do, which they could do because it's way bigger than all the value of the real estate. So what's... They could come out owning everything, we own nothing. Well, you just said they'll loo, right? That's my take.  They don't sell it to you, they sell you a 99 year lease. My take is that that's where everything is eventually going to be. And you're kind of seeing it, you're seeing it, you're seeing it. No, that's, that might... That's a great point. I think you're absolutely right, man, because that's the only thing that's going to be left at is tangible. At least you know, at the end of the day. And how many years ago did you go, there's only so much land? Well, really, now you know what folks, there really is so much land. Especially when we're talking about the U.S. In cities and yet. Totally. Totally. Lou, man, thanks so much. Have a great weekend, safe weekend, Lou. Happy Labor Day. Okay, you guys too. Thanks, man.  The best at everything you do in life. It's the most common trait that we tigers and tigers share. If you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money, let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. 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Gold peaked at more than $1,900 in 2011 and after spending many years consolidating at lower prices, gold may be poised for its next big run. Tom O'Brien publishes his weekly gold report every Monday morning for subscribers consisting of coverage of the XAU, HUI, GDX, The Dollar, Bonds, South African Rand as well as 25 different mining equities with specific buy-sell recommendations. As of April 1st of this year, the gold report currently has 8 active positions with an average unrealized profit of almost 8% for each open trade. New subscribers get a 30-day money-back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. For all the details and to start your gold report subscription today, visit the front page of TFNN.com.  Sign up today. Since 1984, Basil Chapman has been using the Chapman Wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion. 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For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Folks, and if you do happen to be in Florida, these, you can see orange juices, this just jumped a bit from, what, 92 to, what's that, 104? All right, the high today, 106.90. I heard something on Bloomberg today talking about that there were that 60% of the crop could have problems. We're gonna get Larry Pesvento back on the air, man. We need to buy, buy, buy. What are the orange juice futures? What are they saying? It's Mr. Beeks. What's the report saying? God, it's the first time. My first trade, folks, in the futures market, was orange juice, and I lost $3,000 in like 10 seconds. And then the guy comes back to me. This is 1981, and he comes back. It was one of the guys that I had, he was working for me, buying coupons, and then he was a broker, though. Still, come on, Tom, you're gonna buy orange juice futures. So I bought them, right? And I'm in the office, the downtown boss, and I give them the money, and they turn around, and he says, oh, you need more money. You just lost the $3,000. I looked and I said, what? I can't, give me my, I said, I'm getting out of here. This is like- That's not how it works. He's gone, sir.  So it's, this is serious business stuff for the farmers. So they got huge, you know, rain, of course, 130-mile-an-hour winds, labor day, of course. So two years ago, so- Irma, yeah. That the storm helped drop a number of orange produced by the state to its lowest level since 45 billions. On its current path, Dorian may batter at least a quarter of Florida's main growing areas. Yeah. So you got, you know, orange juice futures trading places. That's one thing they taught me. Orange juice futures, man. I love that movie. It took about, how many words did it take when they came out with the crop report, right? And they said, uh, will not affect or will affect whatever it was, and they knew instantly. Oh, we got the wrong crop report. We got worked. You got to love it. Totally. Stay right there, folks. You got Fast Magnet coming up for you. Then we get our man, Mr. Basil Chapman, Steve Rhodes, Dave White. I'll be back this afternoon. Have a great labor day weekend. A safe one. Thanks, pal. Thanks, man. Real, look at him, folks.


Good morning everyone. We're excited to get started with day two of our workshop and thank you all for being here. I think I can speak on behalf of the planning committee that we were very pleased with day one and learned a lot. So thank you all very much for your presentations and your engaged discussion. We're hoping we can keep everything rolling for day two. I just have a few updates on the schedule. We thought we might begin the day as planned. You'll see on your agendas that we'll have a quick recap from Venkat to kick off the day and then we'll go into our panel three discussion at 9.15. It's possible we may end our panel three a little bit early and then go into our breakout session three and we'll go ahead and shorten the breakout sessions just a little bit. I think we probably don't need as much time as we had allotted yesterday. So we'll have about an hour for breakout session three. Then we'll go into a short break so that you all have a chance to refresh your coffee and then we'll do our report back just before lunch at 11.45. We'll then read and convene at 12.45 and go into panel number four. I think that panel number four will wrap up around 1.30 and then we'll head into our last breakout session of the day that we've shortened to about 45 minutes. After that we'll report back again and then have some closing remarks probably wrap up around three if not a few minutes after three. So I hope that makes sense. Everyone is on board with that plan. I wanted to let you know we're also going to have a slight shift to the breakouts again today. We'll be combining the green and the yellow groups. So if you take a look at your badge and you have a green sticker where it says 628 or a yellow sticker, both of those will be going to room 105 which is just out of here to the left and down the hallway a little. So we'll have Antar who's graciously agreed to help moderate that session and we'll just combine those groups into one. The other two groups, the orange group will continue to stay in this room and the blue group will be in room 106 which is on this floor today also just around the corner to the left once you exit this room. And with that I will turn it over to Venkat. Thank you very much. So I wanted to start off with the recap of day one and this is a good time for people to jump in because I have taken some of the points made by people both in the lenary as well as in the panel and the breakout to try to summarize where we are. And again, I do not want to misstate and misspeak. So this is a chance for a little bit of a discussion. So irrigation, one of the first things we started off was irrigation. And even though in this great state of Kansas as pointed out by Jim Butler, there's a lot of data. Most of the world we do not have data, you know, people water without keeping an accurate count. So why is it needed? Because in order to do accurate water balances, irrigation and amount of data is probably a good variable to know rather than trying to guess work it from indirect measurements. Second thing, human factors. There are other things, human factors. So one of them is industrial use. I mean, I do not know if industrial use again reports water usage to some precision. I mean, aggregated water is OK if even they tell you once a year that the consumption, that's fine. But you don't want daily or hourly values. It's probably overload of information. And of course, many of the areas of the world where water is used for drinking brings about a whole bunch of other things. But the real thing is that when you run models, you have to know what you put in a model. And several people alluded to hydrostratigraphy. And many models have good things. And the exploration industry has lots of hydrostratigraphy or stratigraphy, not I shouldn't say hydrostratigraphy. Maybe it's time for this community to start using that subsurface geophysics and other advanced tools to do it. Because remember, mapping hydrostratigraphy is not the same as putting it in the model. Because in the model, you have to put actual variables for hydraulic conductivity, poor distribution, porosity, and all these things. And that's actually another translation involving uncertainty. So speaking of uncertainty, one of the biggest things I thought was, and I got this message clearly, is mismatch of skills. So when you think about it, you're going from process to a model to observations. And again, you can do it other way around. I could say process, observations, models. But I thought this is an easier way to put the model in the middle of everything. So in the process, we are all trying to estimate groundwater recharge.  Again, the limited situations, and mostly in the United States, where you probably can have data to monitor the monitor wells, look at lysimeter data, and to see actually how infiltration is contributing to recharge and replenishment of the aquifer. Very limited cases, but you can do it. Now, models, you take all the stuff and put it all into these boxes. Listen, this is all from the web. So I've generously taken these pictures. It's not mine, so. And then observations, most of the time, we're all used to in-situ observation, whether it's river flow, groundwater observing well, et cetera. But now, we have seen this great new era in satellite remote sensing in the last 20 years or so, where you have grace and you have insert. Now, again, this is the problem, is that you want to correlate the process, which happens at very small spatial scales to observations which could happen in scales of over 100,000 square kilometers and then use indirect observations of things like subsidence, which, again, are complicated by lack of complete knowledge of hydrostatigraphy to figure things out. So in some sense, we are dealing with a lot of uncertainty. But also, the other thing is that we have a lot of tools now, especially statistical tools, as well as observational tools, to reduce this uncertainty to some manner. And again, what reduction means or how much is to be achieved is a big question. And there are a whole bunch of other things which are very important in the case of models, that model parameters and a parameter could be the value of your saturated hydraulic conductivity. How do you define saturated hydraulic conductivity for clay loam versus loamy clay? I mean, there are two actual categories of soil. So it's complicated. It's not that straightforward. And then integration of observation. Many people made this point. And I'm going beyond just integration between downscaling of satellite data, but integration of models, observations, and then finally, analysis. You want to come up with analysis, because in the end of the day, science aside, this also has a valuable societal component, as actually Tony showed in a couple of his slides. So oops. What did I do? OK. And the last slide was other issues. Quality of data and access to data, because when we are talking about NGN, we're talking about other countries of the world, as Tony pointed out. We do not have access to in-situ data in some of these countries. And one of the requests made when one of the questions was NGA resources is like, can NGA facilitate this access? And again, I'm sure it will depend on a case-by-case but certainly any investigation in a different country other than the United States will benefit vastly from access to their in-situ data. Second is water quality data. One of the things which was said, most of the talk has focused on water quantity. And water quality data is hard to come by and is hard to obtain except in small select situation. And again, water quality data is a small select thing. It's not going to be at a great scale. I mean, you're talking about water quality in an aquifer. It's probably one point, which is sampled over a couple of years. And then common global database, as pointed out by some of the keynote speakers, I mean, even groundwater data, there's only eight countries which put their data into this big database. So can something be done to facilitate this? And this is not just NGA, but USGS, USDA, NASA, NOAA. Is there some way to get this awareness out there to say, hey, look, we want to understand global water resources, especially groundwater, so what do we do? And then access to high performance computing, even though some of them have become less of an issue today, but people were very insistent that having access to high performance computers could help it, especially in the era of trying to get high resolution, special resolution. And obviously international collaborations are important. And we want to figure out how to leverage it so that we can get more and more access and places where we can try out our scientific hypothesis and solve scientific and societal problems. So I'll end with that, but I'd really want to hear from the people in the room to see if I missed something or to add something or comments, concerns.  Yes, Kamini? In here. So I think the only thing that struck me that might be missing, sorry, I'm Kamini, saying I school of minds, that we talked a lot about yesterday and little bits and pieces was the human piece. Yes. And so that might be the only thing that wasn't captured there in my mind was that idea that it's just hard to get data on what people do with any systems and models. But that's the only thing I see that we talked a bit about yesterday that didn't show up here. Sankar. Other piece I just would like to highlight is one is looking at the budget issues, the other aspect is looking at the extremes. And because during extremes, it's only the surplus or deficit of one of the variables. So it's important to have some attention to that and it's relevant to even perhaps remote sensing, which may be very helpful there too. So a quantification of hydrological extremes. But with respect to groundwater, good point.


Welcome folks, we have the Dow Industries trading up $197, Nasdaq's up $110, S&P's up $17, Gold Contract up $50, trading at $2,046 an ounce, you get Silver up at $6, $26.78 an ounce, LightSweet crew at up $422, $123, a barrel, notes and bonds, the 10-year note down $36, trading $127.05, the 30-year off a full 2 points plus $216 at $157.04, and $KingDollar, $KingDollar's down $2366, trading $99.08, Euro right now is at a price point of $109, the end is at $115.72 and the British pound is at $131 to $1.00 US. We'll get open and take a look at the S&P folks, bottom line is that you are building cars for lower price man, I don't, this market can't catch a bid, you know, you're up $2, you're at $421, you've already broke the lows, anything under this $421, right out of $420, bottom line, I don't think you're going to catch a bid, and this sounds bizarre for another couple of weeks folks, okay, this is a totally different market, well let's go to the Q's, we take a look at the NDX100, we take a look at the 3Q's, what do you have with the 3Q's out here, 3Q's right now are up $2.40, you've done $95 million you're basically going, now the Q's actually, let's see what this low was, 318.26, we went to 319.94 and you're going to have volume behind the move, bottom line, lower price is coming at us in spades, we take a look at the gold contract out here, gold contract went up to a price point today of $20.78, you're at $20.45, you can expect volatility to continue in gold and you can expect gold to go higher, gold's in an ABC structure and the way up folks, I expect what you're going to see is that we're going to blow away this B point and I think the B point's $20.83, let me get this thing, put this back here quick and we put that there and, oh this is cool, it's $20.63, so we already went to, we already went by it, bottom line, you get an ABC up and the ABC up, you're talking about $25 to $2,700 bucks in gold and you're going to remember some A to B, straight line move, B to C, consolidation all over the place which we had, C to D, straight line move, stay right there folks, come right back.