So, welcome everyone. My name is Simon Hugged. I'm Deputy Director for Research and Collections at La Trobe University and welcome to our webinar about Promoting Orchid to Your Researchers. So I'd like to welcome you on behalf of CALL but this presentation is jointly sponsored by CALL and by ANZ and by the Australian Access Federation. We've all been working together to ensure that we have a number of activities going on that can help people implement orchid at their institutions. So the Australian Access Federation are leading the orchid consortium and they'll be presenting today and we've got a number of presenters also from different areas who will be presenting about promoting orchid to your researchers. And if you want to tweet today's presentation, that'd be great and use the hashtag hash orchid. That'd be really good. So in terms of our speakers today, we've got quite a lot to cover and this webinar will probably go the full length. We'll probably finish it about 20 past one and that's when we'll have some questions at that time so it may go on a bit longer depending on the number of questions. If we don't get to all of the questions at the end of the sessions, we'll cover those and we'll send them to the presenters and they can send some responses back to you answering your questions. So we're covering five different areas with five different speakers. So I'll be presenting just some basic ideas about orchid and what we're doing and how you can promote to your researchers some basic messages that you can use. Then Natasha Simons from ANZ will be presenting about an orchid record, what it looks like, how you can link that up to different external sources. And then we'll have Milroy Elmada from the Australian Access Federation who'll be talking through some technical things and what you can do to access support from the Australian Access Federation. Then after that we'll have Julia Hickey from the National Library of Australia who'll be talking about orchid and how orchid is integrated into trove and what that looks like. Then at the end the last session for the webinar will be Scott McWhorter from the University of Technology Sydney and he'll be talking about researcher engagement at UTS. So I'll go through I guess some things around orchid and some basic messages. So as I mentioned before I guess what we're doing is we, ANZ and the Australian Access Federation and COAL are really interested in providing resources that you can use to help you implement orchid at your institution. So this webinar is really one of, we're planning a series of these so we'll see how we go but we've had a lot of interest in these presentations and we'll be putting as much information as we can in a place where you can access that and if other people have I guess information that they're using to promote orchid to their own researchers we'd like you to share that with us as well and put it on a website where everyone can see that because that helps everyone be successful in their implementations. So our webinar today is all about sharing knowledge about orchid and demonstrating success stories and what you can do and giving a basic introduction as to how orchid can work. So as I said before the AEF, the lead agent and they're here to help with some of the technical aspects of that to get you going. So issues around authentication, integration with different systems at your institution, configuring the orchid side of things so that can work properly with your your own institution and there's you know quite a lot of options that can be done on the orchid side of things to integrate with your own system so they can help you with all of those sort of aspects. And why orchid? I guess let's step back a little bit and say well why are we all talking about orchid and why is what's the orchid consortium all about. So the orchid is a globally recognized group I guess and they really are the leading organization in terms of research or identity management and they're I guess they're becoming the sort of de facto standard I suppose for researchers to be able to identify themselves with an ID. So orchid have I guess are an independent organization, they're funded by us, they're funded by all of the institutions, all the different publishers and academic institutions and all other organizations who are working towards the same goal I guess. So we're all working together to make sure we can identify our research as properly and do it in a systematic way in a connected way. So orchid is really good in the sense that they're working towards the same goals and with our consortium and with others it means we can all work together towards those same goals. So orchid have been working with consortia around the world, they've been signing up consortia at different country levels and working with different research organizations to make sure that orchid is connected into all of those organizations. So that includes universities, it includes consortia like ours, it includes publishers, research databases, all sorts of different organizations that are dealing with research management. They've put in a really big effort I guess to ensure that there is proper system integration with all of those outside systems. So things like research management systems, publisher management systems, researcher databases, all those kind of things. And so with those deep connections and those really good connections with all of those different outside systems it means that it makes it a lot easier for us to be able to implement orchid ourselves across our different organizations. And I guess another sort of really important thing to think about is that they're really supporting our own institutional goals. So the issue of research integrity is a really important one for our institutions. The issue of asserting that an author is an author of a publication and that they belong to a particular institution and the institution can also verify that assertion and therefore there's good deep connections between what researchers are doing and their outputs and the actual provenance behind it, which is an important thing these days in terms of just being able to count and properly recognize people's research outputs, but also making sure that... So with data, for example, the data that underpins a research paper is actually... The integrity is there in that we can assert that these investigators in a particular project were actually the authors of that information and the data that underpins those papers is actually their data that they gather and it's their intellectual property. So that's a really important thing these days. But I guess another one is around recognition of research outputs to make sure that those authors, everything's properly accounted for. And then there's the issue of discovery and impact in that because orchid is a global organization, it's going to have a global reach and therefore that helps with discovery of people's research outputs and also the impact of the research that they're doing. So I guess that then leads into what are the key messages for researchers? Why should they be actually getting an orchid and why should they be listening to all of us about what we're trying to do? So orchid is all about having an identity that can easily identify who the author is and not asserts the issue of disambiguation. So you're the correct John Smith at your institution that authored this publication is a really important thing. And for researchers, it's important to let them know that orchid can stay with them throughout their academic life. So if we get them early when they're a high degree research student and they're writing their first paper, it can follow them no matter where they are. If they go to another institution, it can go with them. And the more effort that our own institution puts into that connectedness means that we can help with that assertion as to where they were when that paper or whatever it was was authored. And I guess it also helps with different formats and variants of different people's names if they've changed their name, if the way their name is saved on a paper. On one paper is different from another, it doesn't matter, they can still be identified properly. So therefore another important one is around time saving. So we know researchers are very busy being able to manage their orchid record with proper information in it. And having that connectedness to all of the other systems and identifiers enables them to be able to put that information in there once. And therefore, as they publish and as new information goes online, it's properly managed and connected and it helps them report that information once and it's all connected into all the different systems. And that's got to help them. So orchid connects with researcher IDs, with scopus IDs, with these knees, with cross-ray for all those different other systems are well connected into the orchid ecosystem. And so therefore, it's very easy for them to link up those identifiers and therefore always be up to date with their publications and other research outputs. And then I guess even funding bodies are part of that ecosystem. So the NHMRC want people to put orchids into their system when they're applying for a grant. And therefore, that's all connected up in terms of affiliation and attribution and connecting up and what they've published with their grants. And so that's important for the researcher themselves in terms of recognition and discovery of their research outputs. And so orchid is a very big system. There's already, I think over four million orchid IDs that have been assigned to researchers and it's a really big and important system for people to engage with and that global scale helps with discovery and impact. And then I guess the other things around key messages are affiliation and integrity. So again, it's asserting that affiliation is really important. And all of our institutions are wanting to make sure that we can count people's publications and research outputs easily. And that's one of the hardest things for us to do. So by having orchid IDs connected up properly, that makes our lives easier and it makes it much easier for researchers to be able to assert those that they're an author of a publication or a research output or some other work that they can link in. And it gives them recognition if they've had grants awarded to them. Other awards that are affiliated with their research output that can be put into their profiles and give them recognition. And I guess one thing is that orchid is not just another system. It's not a fad. It's not a social network. It's not something that's going to go away. It's fully supported by a global network of people who are supporting the work to identify researchers. And because it's part of our consort, you know, we're part of our consortium is part of orchid. And our institutions are paying money and we're making sure that all of our systems are connected up to it. It's a really strong and important message for people to engage with it because it'll help integrate with all the other systems that they're trying to work with. So it's not a research gate. It's not something out there that may disappear in the future. It's something that's well supported and undersorted across all of our institutions. And for the research themselves, it's quick and it's easy and it's free. And they can do a minimum amount, which is just get an orchid ID and make sure it's known and used and that they tell people about it. Or they can put in some extra work in order to make sure that all of their publications are in their orchid profile. And we, of course, are here to help with all of that. So that was all I was going to cover. So what I'd like to do now is hand over to Natasha Simons-Romance, who's going to go through what an orchid record looks like and how it's connected in with other systems.


Working on something that's not a CRT, hopefully people will forgive me for it. The main power supply. High voltage area. That's got to be capacitor failure. Just look at that. I can't wait to pull this out and see what it looks like. Hey everybody, welcome back today to Retro Tech. I hope you're having a wonderful new year. It's January and so that's a great time to start looking at some new projects and some new things and maybe even getting outside of our comfort zone and trying some different stuff we normally wouldn't look at. Over the holiday season I was able to get a 3D printer and this is my first experience with a 3D printer. I wound up getting the Ender 3V2 and that's right over here over my shoulder but I've been practicing just tuning it up, printing parts, printing random little test items like toys, figurines. There's nothing that impressive. I only bring this up because I have been trying to think of some ideas for things to print that are CRT related. For example, I've been working on this Sony emblem replacement which this is again just plastic and there are some issues with it. But this was one of the first prints I was able to get done successfully so I was kind of happy about it and it could technically be used if I wanted to use it but that was something that I'm kind of interested in if there's anything you'd like me to try out or if you have any files that you want to submit that you've already tried for a PVM or BVM or some other CRT problem. Send those to me or put them in the comments. I'll link to that and I'll check it out maybe for future reference and work. Now today's video is not about the 3D printer. I just was mentioning that but it is about something else new so my friend Bob over at RetroRGB as you know got the JVCD series 36 inch television which I had refurbished. It belongs to him now and what he did was he left me with some stuff. One of the things he left me with was this. A Sony PVM that is not a CRT. This one is an LCD screen. We're looking at the LMD 1420 model of 14 inch LCD screen.  I'm going to let you see a closer look at it here in a minute and the other issue is Bob told me that the thing doesn't work so I'm not sure if this is something he actually wants back or if he was just donating it to me for the case of science but either way we're going to tear into this thing after testing it out and we'll see if it's just a power issue. So we'll just start with some troubleshooting of this thing by seeing whether it powers on or not and then we'll take it apart and go from there but I'm kind of excited to look at this new thing completely new. It does have a plethora of inputs. Let's take a closer look now at it. Alright let's take a closer look at the Sony LMD 1420. First off you'll notice the screen does have a couple of scuffs and scratches in the surface and there's just really nothing we'll be able to do about that. I'll clean it the best I can and if there is a protective layer or something on the glass, well let's say glass but the display screen, then we'll get rid of that but I doubt there is on this. Notice right away we have a tiny mono audio speaker so they did keep the mono audio speaker on these and we've got our power button over here, volume, menu, enter, up and down, reset. Some of the same kind of inputs. You'll notice we have a line A, B, RGB slash component, sync, blue only, scan, aspect and SDI support. Other than that it's just a pretty standard LCD screen from the front of it. We've got the Sony logo and we've got a tally light at the top. One of the last things I'll mention it does have a true 14 inch screen and that's something that the Sony CRTs do not have. They're actually 13 inches. Let's flip this over. Take a quick look at the back. This LCD monitor does do 100 to 240 volts, 50 to 60 Hertz, 1.2 to 0.06 amps, manufactured in February of 2006. This would normally be where our mounting bracket would go for either a desktop style plate or you could use some kind of a screen mount to mount it to the wall or something else. We have our standard power input here on our power supply and then if we look over to our inputs, we've obviously got line A, which is S-video composite. Then we've got daisy chains out, audio in for mono audio. Line B appears to be only a composite input and output. Then we've got RGB slash component support over here with our sync that we can either leave in green or change over here to external sync, audio option in where you can add an option board and this one does use a serial style cable to add an option card for SDI. I do not have that card but that's okay. Then there's our audio input. Our AC power here is ready to go. I'm plugging it in and then I'm going to turn it around and we'll see if it powers on. First I'll make sure the power button is not turned on so it doesn't just do something. Let's keep that suspense for when we turn this around. It shouldn't be like a CRT where it needs a second to warm up but can you believe I'm even working on something that's not a CRT? Hopefully people will forgive me for it. Let's go for it. Powering on I guess. I do hear a little faint noise. It's kind of funny. It's almost like a CRT high pitch hum very light but as you can tell we're not getting any kind of power indicator here. I am getting just a little bit of feedback noise but no power at all. No response from any kind of switching. So we get to start by looking at our power supply and we'll have to take this apart to do that. There's little clips on the shell so you have to use a flat head screwdriver and then individually get them out of the way without trying to crack the plastic which I know is very difficult to do on even 15 year old plastic like this. There's a good chance some of it will crack. They crack sections on it so hopefully we can minimize that kind of damage and still get it out without busting anything. I'm just not sure. So again I've never opened one of these. There on that side. The last thing you're really going to do is be forceful with any of this. There we go. Should mostly have it together. Let's take a closer look up at these clips. They're on every single side. See those clips. And here we have a fresh look at our board. This is our power area. See how our AC comes in over here and then travels over into this board. So we've got a couple fuses we can test for continuity and if we're lucky maybe they'll be blown. Otherwise we may have something else in this such as a bad capacitor. There's quite a few of them in here or even one of these transistors down here could have gone bad and there are quite a few of those. So this is just again the main power supply. High voltage area and hopefully we'll get lucky and it'll just be a cap problem. Just disconnect our connection right here and probably probe these and see if we're getting any voltage too. That'll help us troubleshoot a little bit more. Let's start again by testing our fuses right here. I've got my multimeter and I'm using continuity and my meter will make a noise that you guys should hear when there is continuity make that beep. So the first thing we're going to do is just check some of these fuses out. This first one down here we should hear a beep. Fuse is good. Over here, same thing. That fuse is good. I also need to inspect and make sure that there's not any solid state fuses in here or soldered into place fuses. I didn't see any off the get go but let's just take a quick look and see. If I inspect closer I'm going to zoom in a little bit right over in this area. You'll notice this component and then these two components up here. These are fuses. They say F for fuse and then they have a 4 amp 125 volt rating. We should test all three of these just like we did the other fuses a second ago. Let's start with the bottom fuse. That one's good. Now the one above it. That one's good and then finally the top one. Okay. None of the fuses so far are blown. Let's continue on and see what else we can discover. I've been closely inspecting this power supply more and more and one of the first things I noticed upon further inspection is these capacitors right here. They're 16 volts, 680 microfarad. They're starting to swell up and get cones on the top of them. And worse than that it appears that some of them have even started leaking out onto our PCB and most definitely that's contributing to our failure. Let's take a look under this one right here specifically C704. Look at that. Do you see how there's this crust right under there? That's got to be capacitor failure. That's what's causing our breakdown issues and again all I did to start off with was look at the capacitors and I noticed these weren't as flat as the others or as they should have been. Now these are Rubicons so they are high quality but they failed here. So definitely at the least we need to replace these three capacitors right here and when we remove them we'll have to thoroughly clean this area and make sure that nothing's damaged. I don't see a lot of traces on the top of this board thankfully so that's hopefully a good sign that we haven't damaged too much on the board itself but just look at that. I can't wait to pull this out and see what it looks like. Here's just one closer look at this board and these awful capacitors definitely going to be causing an issue. So we may have more problems beyond this but at least these are most likely the power problems are coming from these capacitors. Before I removed these capacitors I did document them here on this list and I will have a full cap kit here and I'll put a link to that in the description but what I'm going to do now is I'm going to use my HACCO here and remove all these capacitors and then I'll show you what the board looks like and the capacitors after we get them out. Well, here is our circuit board. You will notice that I've left four capacitors in place those all appear to be good and honestly out of all the ones that I removed only three appear to be completely dead and I'll show you those closer here in a second just wanted to show you the view of this board from this side and then if we flip it over what it looks like there's a lot of cooked kind of residue on here and I'm imagining that's probably some of the splattered insides from those capacitors that blew up and left this crustacean here's a close close look at the pads on the component side for especially C705, 04 and 06 those all really got bad discharge and then have a thick nasty black residue on there so I need to clean that off and the other ones didn't look as bad look how clean they were underneath it and I haven't cleaned this board really at all I did clean out the solder from the holes outside of that I haven't cleaned anything yet we're going to clean the rest of this here's the other section up at this other heat sink for 703, 714 and 715 and again those don't appear to be burned out at all so these are the ones we're going to have to replace here's a closer look at our three capacitors just this disgusting mess it was coming out of there a lot of fish oil other mess that one might be the worst this one's pretty bad too though and these definitely are going to prevent us from getting power into our monitor so we're going to need to replace these now to make this kit I did go and physically read each value and then I also checked to make sure that the negative end matched the negative end on the board before I removed any of the capacitors and they all did so I made my kit based on that now if we wanted perfection in our kit we could use this tool right here so we can see what size our capacitors are just put this in here and it'll give you a size see we're right at about 8mm for the outside diameter on these and then if we wanted to we could even measure our top diameter which should be about 21mm but it's a little expanded it could be 20mm so if you want to mark down these measurements and then you can even it's better to use the holes on the board here since they're not bent but you can actually go through here and measure the distance between the holes on this pad and that will give you 3.3mm for example then we can go and try to get a capacitor that will accurately fit in there and this is just a I can't even think of these are called calipers so anyway this is a good little handy tool if you want to have the right measurement and size for your capacitor this can be gotten pretty cheap but that's how you're going to need to that's what I'm going to need to do today and I'm going to need to order these caps before we get into replacing any caps though we're going to need to clean this board and again we're just going to put it in this nice container here and the best thing to get started off to clean this will just be some isopropyl alcohol and that's really what I'm going to concentrate cleaning at least our one dirty spot right here and I'll use our ESD brushes to get a lot of that goo off hopefully or crust right yeah it's coming off thankfully it's not anything but just some fish juice you thankfully it doesn't smell that bad sometimes you get in here and this stuff will still be rather pungent and aroma is enough to make it nauseous so that's just what I'll continue to do is use this alcohol scrub this board take one last look at it before we start repairing it alright here's one last look at our circuit board down here after I've cleaned it and we're ready now to insert new capacitors I also checked continuity of all these pads especially this one right here you can see what it looks like originally I thought the pad had rotten off or came off with the capacitor or rotted away but I checked continuity and it's actually still good there just lost the shiny copper coating on the top only the bottom actually looks fine no problems down there and I'm not getting it completely cleaned because after we replace the capacitors we will have to clean it again that's just the nature of doing all this work and if you look at my viciously abused hands these capacitors did stick a bunch and caused me to slip with my hot lovely hacko desoldering tool and it hit my thumb right there and then a couple other spots on my fingers so kind of been a rough day on this thing the other big issue is these capacitors are completely different from what I normally use in CRT repair so I don't even have any of the values here available really in stock for replacement specifically the ones that we need to replace so I'm going to have to order my kit and I will publish a copy of this lovely kit here I'll put it down in the description below in case you have an issue and have the same problem with your power board or if you're just following along because you like electronics then that's even better so next time when we come back I'll get the capacitors in and I will replace them and then we will hook this back up and hopefully get power into our LCD PVM and maybe we can run some tests unless we run into more issues but that's going to do it because we've got a long video here today and probably a whole other lengthy video to come on this because I really want to explore the LCD PVMs more thanks for watching today everybody and I'll see you next time with some more retro content hey Brutus oh Brutus I sure hope everybody forgives us for working on an LCD screen what do you think don't much care hopefully we can get this bad boy working right what do you think of it yeah you disgusted by it great let's hope not everybody else is as picky as you are about your CRTs


Welcome to Access to Trader, the number one community for those who are committed to taking control of their trading in order to achieve success, profitability, and longevity. Thank you for joining us. Here's Dan Shapiro to help you find your edge, master your process, and own your future. Hey guys, good evening everybody. Welcome to another edition of TheActionToTrader.com, a nightly update show. Hope everybody is doing well. Hope everybody had a good day of trading. If you are brand new to the channel, guys, the only thing we ask for is your support. That's it. Like, click the like button, share, tell a friend, subscribe to the channel and we'll try to facilitate as much value as we possibly can on an unbiased basis on a daily view. So let's talk about the market, right? Today, the best way I can describe the action today was, let's put it this way, a nerdy version meets the first girl and he invites her to prom. He's never been with a girl, he's never held hands with a girl, he's never done anything. To his surprise, this girl is very, very interested and she lets him know so, hey, I'm very interested. So they go out, she invites him back to her place, her parents are home. This is getting weird. I'm not going to say anything, but anyway, make a long story short. The bulls, it's getting weird. The bulls, right? They were very excitable this morning and just like that, just like a virgin on prom night, it was over that quick. Last night, we talked about a potential, the bulls reclaiming back the five and 10 day moving average today and the problem was they gapped up. Everything looked good, everything looks strong and the next thing you know if you look at the 60 minute view of everything and it was over, right? This was literally the gap up in the morning. The video was up $7, $8. We'll get to that in a second. Everything was gapping up. Everything looked good and it was just all day fade. It was literally an all day fade. There was no juice in the market whatsoever and the worst part about it is they got rejected on the two levels that they really needed to clear, live in a bigger, wider space on the 1130 and the 1201 highs and they got rejected there on the third time around and the question is now what happens? Well, right now we're stuck in this channel here. We are. We're just kind of stuck in this channel here. This is day three. The S&P 500 is red. It's not that big of a deal yet where it becomes a big deal, especially in the S&P 500. It's kind of what we talked about on the weekend video. This channel right here becomes very, very important. Guys, right down this level, 453.30. 453.30 is the bottom of the range of the S&P 500 and we talked about this on the weekend video. This is kind of mirroring the setup that we were talking about on the NASDAQ 100 when it was sitting there and couldn't break out of that channel and finally lost that 388 level. Well, this is kind of playing out the same way. This bottom channel here is kind of important for the rest of the week and maybe potentially spilling over next week. So the bulls need to defend this 453.30 level. If you look at the cues, it's a little bit of a different story, right? The cues now, the fact that they couldn't rally and they couldn't reclaim back last week's fives, that's a problem area. You're going to see this on a lot of charts. They got rejected pretty much into supply making lower highs from last week's session. It's a big deal. The big number continues to be to the downside on the cues, which is 382.66. That will be the definitive line in the sand. That's the rising 20-day support and if that area gets violated, just the same way we talked about right here, that 388 level gets violated, we're going to have lower prices. And if you go through individual names, you're going to see price action that's being mirrored, right? Like really being mirrored on the NASDAQ 100 names. Again, there's 500 stocks in the S&P 500. It's a little bit of a different monster to kind of tame. But the NASDAQ 100, yeah, it's 100 stocks versus the 500 S&P. And if you look at the top 5, top 10 holdings, they're basically all the stocks that we trade. And instead of trading the cues, you can trade these individual names. And there's some pretty damn good setups coming into tomorrow's session to the downside. If we continue to slide and start testing back that 382.66 level.  And you notice they sold it, right? That's again, it's a big deal. It's a red flag and AMD now because of the kind of the sell on news selling the event. Well, you know, they had 1637, 1638 level keeps on holding over and over and over again. I'm so tired, I just give you guys the general level. But hey, that's what I do sometimes. I'll slip up, right? So now that I said the numbers, right, watch the 1637 level, right? So many times they held 1637. They held it once, they held it twice, they held it three times. So my slip up is your potential trade. So 1637 is held out three times. They couldn't get the stock up on the event. So now if the floodgates open and starts losing the 1637, there's a potential to wash out. The problem with this setup is not only that they get sold on the event, it's the news of the event.  You know, we'll buy it an alternative to the NVIDIA chips. And on that news, they couldn't get the stock going. So again, this line in the sand here for AMD is definitely on watch for tomorrow. And because Meta and Microsoft said, we're going to go with the AMD chips, well, guess what? NVIDIA sold off, right? Sold off. And look how close this is. Now, this one, I'm not going to share with the public, but this 50-day support is a massive, massive level, guys. The 50-day moving average, as you can see what happens every single time a stock loses the 50-day and regains the 50-day, right? So let's start with the losing part, right? You see here how NVIDIA lost the 50-day for the next week or so. The stock went from 455 all the way down to 409. You see it as 50 points in four days losing this T-line, right? This T-line here.  The stock went from 449 all the way to 476. Well, look what happened when it lost the 50-day moving average, right? It went from 449 all the way down to 392, right? Look what happens when they reclaim back the 50-day moving average, right? It went from 353 all the way up to 505. So here we are, right? Now that I demonstrated the importance of the 50-day moving average. Again, guys, you don't need a lot of setups for tomorrow. Keep an eye on NVIDIA, right? If NVIDIA starts losing the 50-day moving average, good things could happen if you're short. Not good things are going to happen if you're long. So if you are long and you're in it for a short-term trade, watch the lows of the 50-day because if the 50-day starts getting lost, you have room here to 439 and all the way down to 428. So again, you've seen the evidence of what happens when you reclaim the 50, when you lose the 50. And now NVIDIA is not that far away from the 50-day moving average. And if it does lose that, we can have a pretty good back test as well. So you've got AMD showing weakness on good event news. You have NVIDIA losing. It's starting to get weakness on AMD's rise in the eyes of Meta and Microsoft. So it's not good as well. So the key is, can the bulls defend last week's lows? If the answer is yes, then yes. We're back in the middle of the range. And we're probably having another dead cat bounce. But boy, oh, boy, guys, if we start losing yesterday's the bottom range of last week on the Q's and NVIDIA starts losing the 50-day moving average. Yeah, this could be the one, right? This could be definitely the one. I always say you only need one. YOLO, right? YOLO. You only need one, right? And this thing confirms, again, we don't know if it's going to confirm. But if the video confirms this thing could definitely, definitely be the one because the measured potential and the average to range on NVIDIA on NVIDIA is pretty damn aggressive. So again, going into tomorrow, guys, the two big levels you have to be aware of, 453, 34 on the spies, and QQQ's, QQQ's, 380 to 66, right? And obviously, it all depends on all the other names that you're watching on their specific levels to trade. But again, I trade the same names pretty much day in, day out. So let's talk, right? Let's talk about today's pivots, as you can imagine, with the market kind of fading right off the open. Not a lot, right? Not a lot. We generally traded in between ranges today. And that's the cool part of the PS16 theory. You don't need breakouts or breakdowns because we trade the most aggressive stocks in their channels. Their channels are wide. So we're trading from supply to supply to demand to demand. We bounced Tesla a few times today on NVIDIA. You know, not bad. Not bad at all. It all adds up at the end. But there was a couple of natural pivots today. And let's talk about them. Amazon never confirmed to the upside. Apple never confirmed to the upside. Meta stopped right at supply. NVIDIA. NVIDIA on a quick little pop at the open. 72.50s went to about 74 and then literally died the rest of the day. Roll blocks never confirmed. Arm never confirmed. This was a big number, right? 33.90.55 rejected twice. Needs to build. Guess what? It got rejected in the high 30s. Basically got rejected three times off that area. And here's where the last two pivots of the day that actually did confirm. UPST went absolutely out of its mind. When absolutely nuts UPST 3440 needs to build. Here was UPST and look at this candle here at the open. Right? This was an absolute monster candle here at the open. It took out the 3440 and stock traded all the way up to 3730s. Congratulations for you guys who caught that and Coinbase. See Coinbase is a little tricky sucker. So I usually don't trade Coinbase. Not really my thing. But I traded it today just because there wasn't a lot of, just because there wasn't a lot of opportunity for natural pivots. I was trading basically more bounces and stuff like that. But Coinbase today, it looks heavy. Had a big run on Bitcoin. 139 and 137.60 if it confirms, it could flush, right? It looks better on paper. I'm going to tell you that right now. It looks better on paper. Yeah, agree, call then. Yeah, not really. Not really. So I shorted it, it went down a less than a dollar. I covered some, this was in the morning, I covered some, the stock went back, you know, I pretty much covered the rest, pretty much break even the stock rally $2 and later in the day, later in the day, it took down that 3760s and traded all the way down to 134. So it looks better on paper than it is. Yeah, I did a little bit on it. I just basically took some cash flow, nothing crazy. But here's where it could get interesting, right? Here's where it definitely could be interesting, right? The five day, again, like we always talk about is the shortest term sentiment. Whatever controls the five day controls, well, the short term trend. As you can see here on the orange line, every single time it hit the five day, what happens? Bounce, bounce, bounce, bounce, bounce, bounce, bounce, bounce, bounce, bounce. Even here, it lost the five day reclaimed bounce. So we closed on the five day tonight on Coinbase. Guys, watch Coinbase. For all you guys who traded against, just a little too thin for me. I know my limitations. I don't like thin stocks that could jump around $2 every two seconds. This is one of those stocks. But for all you guys who do, again, to each his own, if this thing starts losing the five day moving average for tomorrow, then this thing has room to the 10 day, which is roughly 127. So there's definitely enough room there for a trade. So definitely keep an eye on that. A couple of names, smaller names that I do like to the upside. Look at CHGG. Keep an eye on this thing for a couple of days. You've got a nice little tight channel that's playing out here. Again, does it confirm? Does it not confirm? Again, we don't know, but the channel definitely looks pretty good and looks like it's ready to go. And Canada Goose, right? Canada Goose. Very expensive coats that are worth the money. Let me say that much. If you go into a Canada Goose, not every single Canada Goose has that. But they have one of these freezing chambers. And until you can test drive their coats, they put you in these freezing chambers. We have one in the Shortholes Mall in New Jersey. They crank it up to minus 10 degrees.  Check this out, guys. This is a nice looking chart. It's coming off the bottom here. All this thing needs to do is reclaim back the 50-day moving average in the next couple of days. And this thing can definitely wake up. So you have some things to the long side, but you definitely have some things to the short side. Again, top watch this tomorrow. You have AMD. Again, three times in a row. It held the bottom range here. And NVIDIA. NVIDIA for potential losing the 50-day moving average. So that's it. That's my spiel. And that's my story. And I'm sticking to it. Hope everybody is doing well. Tomorrow is Thursday. It's my normal Thursday evening. All for all you guys who are coming aboard tomorrow or thinking about pittance. Guys, come aboard. I mean, all you need to do is try these pittance 30 days. And you'll really start looking at the market in a completely different view. Guys, God bless. Have a great night. Have a good trading day tomorrow. And I will see you soon. Take care.


What is going on everybody? It's Stas here. Welcome back to another video. So in this video, we're going to be doing an overall market update as always, looking at the Dow Jones, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq. And we're also going to be talking about one trade that I made today, the 21st of December in 2018. But before we do get into the topics of today's video, for all you new viewers out there, my name is Stas and I make videos dealing with swing trading, day trading, long-term investing, and my personal philosophies and strategies when it comes down to investing and trading in the stock market. So for those of you guys that want to learn more about that, feel free to drop a like, leave a comment, subscribe, and follow me on Instagram as well as on Twitter, and join our Discord group chat as well as our Facebook group. All of those are linked down below in the description box. And let's get started with today's video. So yet again, guys, another red day today in the stock market. We see the Dow Jones closed today down 414 points, down 1.8%. The S&P 500 guys closed 2% on the red, down $50.84, and the NASDAQ composite guys down 4.2%, down $268 on the day. So what a bloody day, yet again, with the NASDAQ completely blowing through the floor of one of these supports that we were talking about in yesterday's video. And we'll get into that a little bit later when we do talk about the NASDAQ. But let's start today's video with the Dow Jones. And let's just take a basic look at what is going on on this chart. So judging off of this 184-hour chart here, we can clearly see that there's a ton of panic in the market. And what I mean by this guys is that these candlesticks are showing us rapid selling, rapid, rapid selling. We notice we don't even see a green candlestick pretty much in the past, I would say about seven, eight trading days, except for these two right here on the 184-hour chart, guys, when we have a ton of red candlesticks in a row, that's not showing pretty much, that's not really a good sign that's showing by these charts that we can see. And it's just showing us that there's aggressive, aggressive selling overall in the stock market. And it's not looking good whatsoever. So judging off this 184-hour chart here, guys, the Dow Jones is at a support level here from a couple of, I think it might have been like a year and a half ago, we'll get into the larger timeframe charts to see that. But we're clearly in a falling knife formation. And there's no support in sight on this 184-hour chart. And if we're just judging off this three-year, one-week chart, we clearly broke below this support level from this past February when we had another big sell-off in terms of the Dow Jones, right? We talked about this in a couple of videos ago. But this past February, March in 2018, we did peak at about 27,000 again. And we've reached that level this past October. And obviously, guys, we're down a good chunk from this peak at 27,000 this past October. We clearly blew through that support level with the next one being at around $22,200. And these are the support levels that we drew in yesterday's video. I told you guys to draw these on your Thinkorswim platforms or whatever other platforms you guys use because these are the, you know, these are the next support levels on these longer-term charts that we want to focus on in terms of the Dow Jones. So, you know, clearly we're at one here right now, guys. You know, we're about $100, $200 above it, but we're still right around that support area. And the next one down here, guys, is at about $21,500. And the way that the stock market has been acting recently, the panic selling, all of this uncertainty, you know, in the overall market itself, I don't think it's too far-fetched at this point that we do break below this support and test these highs that we saw, you know, about a year and a half, you know, in 2017 of August, right at around $21,500. So, we talked about how a bear market is when a stock and index and ETF gets to 20% or above in terms of the fall from the peak. So, the peak here is $27,000. And let's see how much we've fallen in terms of where we are right now.  And we can see we're down about 16.5% as of right now in terms of the Dow Jones. And if we break that support, guys, and get to about $21,600, that's going to put us right at the cusp right there. At a bear market, we're going to be, you know, peeking into a bear market at that point. And, you know, again, I don't think it's too impossible that we do get to those levels with all the rapid selling, with the panic selling that we've been seeing over these past couple of weeks in the stock market. So, the S&P 500, guys, again, this is one that we've talked about in every single video. And we do our analysis on this one in every single video. This one is down 2% $50. And I made a prediction a couple of days ago, in that video titled, the S&P going to $24.50, that the S&P was going to get to $24.50, which is pretty much this support level right here, around $24.30, $24.50. And that's where we are right now in terms of the S&P 500. So, guys, critical, critical technical level right now in the S&P 500, right on this $180, simple moving average, and at the support here at around $24.20. So, if we do break below these levels, guys, not a good technical sign whatsoever in the S&P. And we can see here a couple of years ago in 2016, you know, when the S&P bounced at about 18.10 on this three-year chart, you know, this 180SMA acted as a support level here. So, if we do break this, that is technically, you know, a break of pattern if we do look at this three-year chart in that sense. And if we take a look back at this 20-year chart, I know this is a little bit of a bigger time frame. But let me clear this drawing set very quickly. And we can see, you know, if we break those levels, guys, these levels at about $2,400, that is a critical break of a trend stemming back from, you know, the recession that we had in 2008. So, take a look at this. This trend line is a very strong support here, here, you know, here as well. So, this break would be a break of trend in the S&P 500. And we're going to be getting into a bear market if that does happen. And now the NASDAQ guys, this one is already in a bear market. If we're using that 20% rule, meaning that if it falls 20% from the peak, that is a bear market for any index, ETF or stock. And that's what we can see here in terms of the NASDAQ composite. So, it hit about $6,000 flat today, guys. And just to show you what I'm talking about, we can see from about $6,000, that drop from $7,700 is a 21.5% drop. So, as of today, guys, the 20th of December, 21st of December, the NASDAQ composite is in a bear, not the NASDAQ composite, the NASDAQ is in a bear market. So, keep an eye on that, guys.  But, you know, these stocks today, guys, they got absolutely slaughtered. Again, some of the ones in my portfolio got absolutely slaughtered. We can see Facebook here is down to $124 today, guys. Another 6% drop. You know, Apple down 3%, 4% nearly today, down another $6 in the $150s, guys. I wasn't even expecting Apple to get this low, because if we're judging on this one-year, one-day chart here, we can see roughly $160 was a solid technical support from about a couple of months back in the beginning of 2018. But the fact that we broke this support for Apple, guys, we have to look at this three-year chart now to get supports from back in 2017. So, we're even breaking below or right at the levels of 2017, you know, in September of 2017, when Apple was at about $150 per share. And literally after that, guys, you know, the next support is going to be at $140.  I'm going to wait and see what happens next week. But if Apple does get to these levels, guys, at about $140, I'm probably going to go in with a very, very heavy position. I'm even considering it this upcoming week to add at least like I'm talking about at least like 10 more shares, 10, 15 more shares to my position. I know a lot of people out there might not think that's a lot.  So, you know, I already picked up a couple of shares. I believe four or five shares at about $165. I have not bought in any more shares quite yet. And, you know, I'm just going to be waiting potentially to add about a $1,500 position, $2,000 extra into Apple this upcoming week. And if we get to the 140s, guys, I'm going to be adding, you know, another maybe $1,500 into Apple to get that position, you know, very strongly averaged in the 140, you know, high 140 range, maybe mid-150, low-150 range, you know, that's my goal. And right now, as of right now for my Apple position, and obviously, guys, if we get deeper and deeper into a bear market, we get into the 130s, you know, same rules apply, you know, I'm going to be adding even more shares to my Apple position, because the one thing that's guaranteed in the stock market, guys, is that eventually, this has proven historically that, you know, the stock market's going to go up in price.   I'm not really giving a price target out there because, you know, that's not what we're doing in this video.  And the whole entire idea is to beat out the indexes as an individual investor, right? Your goal is, when you're picking stocks, is to beat the indexes because, if you're not beating the indexes, you might as well just invest in the indexes, right? So, that's my little rant there on Apple. I'm just planning on adding a ton of more shares, now that we're getting to the 150s and potentially into the 140s next week, which, again, I think is very possible because I do think there's more sell-offs to come in the overall market. So, let's talk about what I traded today, guys, very quickly before I do end this video. I don't want it to be too long, but I'm sure you can guess, guys, today, I was able to catch TVIX, which is one of my favorite marketing TFs that I've been trading over the past couple of weeks with all this volatility occurring. So, this one obviously had a very good day because the S&P did very poorly. We popped up here, you know, that brought open, that opened up a dip buy for TVIX, you know, and once we started to sell off from 2500, guys, that gave me, you know, that opened up my radar, my eyes to TVIX, and I'll show you guys exactly where I ended up getting in. So, let me show you guys here. I do believe I got in at around $76.30. Let me check my phone very quickly for you, guys, so I can see exactly what time I did get in because as of right now, I'm going to be honest with you, I forget, but I ended up selling out at about $70.20, but I'm just logging in very quickly. Give me one second here, guys, and I'll tell you exactly where I ended up doing all this. So, drop a comment down below. Let me know what have you guys been trading today, what has been going on in your trading life this past week. So, here we say, I got in at about, okay, $66.57 was my first buy at about, what was that, about $10.30, right, right around here. Yeah, around $10.30, what was it, $66.57? Yeah, so right around here, I bought in at first, right, at about $66. What did I say, $57? We ended up pushing up here. I didn't take my profits. We pulled down here and I added more money at this point right here to build a stronger position because we were holding this 180 SMA very nicely. Strong support there, higher, low from the previous, all signs pointing to an uptrend right here. So, I ended up adding another position here and I sold off my shares actually at about 12.30, 12.30, 49 pm, to be exact with you guys. And that was on this run up here, right? Yeah, it was on this run up here. I missed this sell point here. I didn't sell up at the complete top, but we ended up pulling back here and I probably sold off literally right here at about $70.27. So, from $70.27, let's say my average cost was at about $66. Let's say it was at about $66.40, $0.50 roughly, right? Let's say $66.70, just to round up a little bit. $66.70 up to about $70.27. I made about 5% today on my position and that's a very solid day for me because my goals every day pretty much is to get 3% to 5%. Do I hit that every day? Sometimes I don't hit it. Sometimes I get 2%. Obviously, sometimes I take losses because trading, you do take losses. If someone tells you they don't take losses, they're lying to you and sometimes I get even more than that. And today, I got a 5% day, which is a very solid day for me trading in the stock market. But, guys, a lot of selling pressure continues, continues, and I do think this is going to continue to happen. And just let me know what you guys think, man. Drop a comment down below. Let me know what you think of the current state of the market. Do you think we're going to come back up and maybe end off 2018 strong? Do you think we're going to continue to sell off into 2019 and continue to sell off until the trade war is resolved? I personally think we're going to continue to sell off into 2019. At this point, guys, the stock market in 2019 ended off in the negative. Well, we haven't ended off yet, but we're currently in the negative. And I can show you that very quickly just basically on the S&P 500 before I do end off this video. But right now, we are at 24.08. And we started off the year at about, you can see it right here, we started off the year at about 26.80. So on the year, guys, right now, we're not doing too great. We're not doing too great at all. So from here up to where we started, guys, this year has been a 10% loss of a year in the S&P 500. I'm sure the Dow is very similar and the NASDAQ might even be more because this one has fallen the most out of every, actually, no, it might not be more. It's not more, actually. Don't quote me on that. Scratch that. But NASDAQ is down about 6% this year. And let's just see the Dow for the heck of it at this point. Why not, guys? So let's see the Dow. So from where we are right now, from the beginning of last year, beginning of this year, we've lost about 9%. So the Dow down 9%, S&P down 9%, and the NASDAQ down about 6%.  I mean, not very bloody, but sell off here and this could continue into 2019. But with all of this, guys, just remember, the stock market always goes up over time. This at the end of the day is just short-term news. A lot of people get caught up in this. They get scared. But at the end of the day, this is just short-term news dropping the price of a stock. Just think about it, guys. This whole Trump situation, all of these tariffs, all of these uncertainties in the market, this is all short-term thinking. We're thinking in a span of three months from now, right? But we have to see that vision of five, 10 years from now when hopefully this trade war stuff is behind us, where the markets are going to be. And in five, 10 years, I guarantee you, looking back at today, we're going to be like, dang it, I wish I loaded up on so and so stock. I wish I bought some shares in this company. I wish I bought this ETF because at that point in time, it could be, in my personal opinion, it will be way, way, way more than what it is right now in 2018. So drop a comment again down below. Let me know your thoughts on this. What are you guys trading? How was your week? I would love to love to know. And I'll interact with you guys as always. I always answer every single comment. And I hope you guys enjoyed this video. If you did, feel free to drop a like, leave a comment, subscribe. I'll catch you guys in the next one. Peace out.


January 15th meeting of the Rumble Recruiting Board of School Directors at six, three, three, six, 35, yeah. First order of business public comment. Third order of public comment. Consent agenda. Motion to approve the consent agenda. Somebody to approve the consent agenda. To approve the consent agenda. I'll second that. Oh, is it there? Hi. Any opposed? I have a quick question for you, Jim. At the outset, I wasn't certain where this should go. Jerry and I were talking at the beginning about the quantity of paper that we received this time, and both she and I rely on digital documents primarily, and I was just wondering, I understand some people probably prefer paper and some people don't, but for those who don't want this much paper, and I don't really need it, and it seemed like that was the case for Jerry, too, I thought maybe we could figure out how many of these need to go out versus how many don't. I just wanted to throw it out there so that we could use the quantity of paper and the time that Anna spends on this. I'll kind of defer to Anna. I mean, my initial thought is since the thick packages are relatively rare, that having the Q-Track of, we're probably not saving a ton of paper and having the Q-Track of who wants it and who doesn't might be more worth than just printing out nine copies, but if you feel differently, I'm happy to save paper. I appreciate that, but it will also not be hard for me to get all of your preferences and accommodate you. Yeah, so if you want to let Anna know that you don't want hard copies. Yeah, great. I'll connect with all of you then. Yeah, perfect. Thank you for bringing that up. Our students are not here today. Okay. And did we? We had a vote on this. All right, so we are fast-forwarding to your grandstallite, your budget. And the warning of the vote. We're skipping the busing. No, where was the busing? Underneath the students. We can be grand first. Okay, I just thought of where it was. No, let's talk about busing, sorry. Okay, so Andrew is not here. We had a little miscommunication, but I can talk about this as well. So as most of you know, when we were picking up students from Main Street Middle School in the afternoon, the 15-minute period of time there has caused some consternation in the community. And so we continue to, we're continuing to look at this. The plan that was suggested to us by, I believe the chief police, but in the meeting that I had with the chief police of fire, the idea was suggested, could we have the buses come through Peck Place, which is a little tiny street right behind Middle School, through the playground out the basketball courts and out, pick up the kids on the playground out Main Street. So I had Andrew, we had to hire an engineer anyway to look at the basketball court because that's part of the capital project is to get the drainage fixed and things on the basketball court. So an engineer was already coming out to look at that space. So I asked Andrew to add it to the engineer's docket and to look at the playground space in general and can it hold the weight of buses on that or would we have to do significant work to that area in order to hold the weight of buses. So Don McLean, he's a resident from Liberty Street, lives right near J. Nichols. Can't remember him. Okay, I'm on failure folks. The first name's Don. Don came out and looked at it a couple different times by himself. Gave us a very large number. Said, yeah, we can make this work. This is what is going to cost you in order to make it work. And then on Monday, Andrew, myself, Don, Zach from the Department of Public Works here in Montpelier and Glenn, the head custodian over at Main Street, were out there for about an hour and a half at 7.30 in the morning looking at just the area in general. And it was great to be out there then because there were snow banks and there was some logistics that we wouldn't have thought of had we not been out there in the middle of winter. So we were looking at, we had Stacey Emerson, too, coming from the bus garage but she unfortunately got sick so she couldn't make it. So we were looking at could the bus make that turn? What would we have to do to the property? And overwhelmingly the group decided we just couldn't make this happen. If it's like tomorrow where it's supposed to snow all day, we don't have the capacity to keep the snow away. We wouldn't have the capacity to be able to plow it out. We'd have very large snow banks throughout the winter in the middle of our playground and virtually make three quarters of that playground, which is very small in the first place, be not usable for kids because they would have to go through the basketball court and all that kind of stuff. And it just wouldn't work. I mean, thankfully we were there in the winter and it's just not going to work. And it was extraordinarily expensive to make that. And we could make the bus turn. We could get through Peck Place. We could do all of that. We could pick up all the kids there. That's not the issue. But when you look at the logistics of that operation and what we have the capacity for and what the Department of Public Works has the capacity for, the group just decided this was not a way that we could go forward. I'm happy to keep going with that investigation. However, I think there's a lot of things that we have to overcome in order to make that work. So we're back to having to figure out the best place to pick up kids, not directly on our school property. The building committee is asking that as a question. So I look at Tina and Andrew. The building committee has asked that, you know, that's a need that the school has. We're looking at needs and assets of the building right now. So that is part of the Main Street Middle School building committee work as like, this is a need. That's what listed on there. Place for safe drop pickup at the end of the day. We were talking about Franklin Street. The one right next to the middle school. Franklin Street has no parking on one side of it. And up to the first driveway, we were literally out there pacing out buses. We could fit three buses, we believe, there on Franklin Street without blocking one driveway at a three at a time. But then going to block the street. Yeah. The whole street of Franklin Street? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. For the 15 minutes of picking. Well, it would be longer. So that is the only other feasible option that we could come up with besides Cross Street is that if you park three buses there, we'd have to change our routine at the end of the day because you can't let walkers go then. You can't just let all the kids go because now you have buses that you have to compete with. So if we change the logistics at the end of the school day, which is a possible thing to do, we would have three buses at a time, the same three buses get there first, get to Union first, Drive Order Main Street, and three buses get to Union, Drive Order Main Street. It makes the bus pick up considerably longer. So Franklin Street would be blocked off for a longer period of time. And it would block the street because you have to have the red lights flashing. And then the third option is to continue with Cross Street the way it is. So as I said on Monday at the building committee, because we were talking about this, there is no good answer. There is no great spot or perfect solution to this. So it's really what's the best of the worst that influences the least amount of people. And I'm not sure between Cross Street or Franklin Street if there is a least amount of people. I think it's an equal, it's an equal challenge. I mean, I'm trying to picture this. Since I walked here all the time, but just what occurred to me is the fact that the three buses on Franklin Street wouldn't block a driveway, it doesn't seem particularly relevant since you wouldn't be able to use the street. You'd have to go up around. Well, you can't go the other way. Is it too dark? You can drive. You can go across to North Street. Oh, right. Okay, so you can go out that way. Which is how the buses would have to leave to get out of there. And why it is important is if you're one of the people that can't get out of your driveway because the bus is blocking your driveway on Cross Street, that would be important. Right, no. No, I was just trying to imagine the Franklin Street. If you could use the unblocked driveway anyway. There was one driveway that looks blocked, but exact because he was in his public works uniform. Actually went down the driveway and that driveway exits out Main Street. So the one driveway that appears to be blocked actually isn't because they can access Main Street through a different direction. So the other challenge though is that you have three buses there and the other three buses are either on their way or they are on blocking Liberty waiting for the three buses on Franklin to leave. So there is a challenge with timing. There's six buses? There's six buses.  Yes. So that's a... The police and fire have already told us that Liberty would double-sided parking and especially in the winter with a snow bank that that is a non-starter. Yeah, not do that. So there's no way to have them like swap like three at Union, three at Middle and then the three go to the other places so that they're essentially taking up the same amount of time. I think that that would cut. We would have probably about a half-hour dismissal schedule then it would take a pretty good chunk out of academic time. We can... I'm not saying it's not possible. You know, we could do that. However... Did they load on the street now? Yes. We load the middle schoolers on Cross Street. So the buses drive up on Cross Street. The kids are there. Get on the bus and they leave. It's about a 15-minute process. And once... How does it compare to the pickup at Union? Because I'm always... It is the exact same as the pickup at Union. In terms of the disturbance in the neighborhood? Oh, no. I think the disturbance at the Union is much more. Because at Union... The disturbance at Union is more? Yeah, at Union you're blocking out Park Street which isn't a huge challenge because there are not too many houses on Park Street but you're blocking out Park Street. I know you did. But at Union, the added challenge is that you have a considerable amount of parents as I know... I know you know because I've seen you in the line picking kids up from school streets. So at Union pickup, not only is Park Street blocked off, but pretty much all of School Street is blocked off because of parents not buses. And so there is more challenge at Union except it's been happening for... People are used to it. However it's long and people are used to it and it's just the way it is. So we're blocking... The district is blocking a considerable more amount of houses at Union than at Main Street. But it's important to know or to know rather that this has been going on for a long time at Union Elementary School and this change at Main Street Middle School, this is new. It's what I'm trying to figure out. I think we probably, as it's really probably city administration, probably the school board, everybody probably could have done a little bit better job of doing some outreach at the front of this with regard to those residents in that area. And so that's something that we discussed with those residents and we've been discussing with those residents quite a bit as part of the building committee, the Main Street Middle School building committee. They've really been the only members of the public who have been engaged and that's really... We're happy to have their engagement but that's really the only issue that they have articulated concern about. So we might consider, as we go forward, to have more of a discussion with all of the community members that surround that building because maybe they have an idea that we haven't thought of. I'm not trying to just miss any concern I'm trying to see if we've created a situation at Middle School that's comparatively different than what is different. It is less destructive at Main Street Middle School than it is for the neighborhood that surrounds you in elementary school. But it is a new challenge. But it is a new disruption for them. Yes, absolutely. So we're going to keep talking about this. I just wanted to... Andrew and I were talking and said we should probably prize the board about the fact that the Peck Place option is not an option. I just don't see it being feasible in the public works department to see it being feasible either in terms of keeping that clear for buses too bad because I was thinking that... That's exactly what we were talking about. It's just sad. Yeah. And the plowing that would eliminate basketball and things like that. So it's a conundrum and a challenge that we're going to still work on. Okay. Well, thanks for giving us a little bit. Any other questions or comments? So, Grant, something earlier than anticipated, but... I didn't bring any hard copies because there's only a handful of slides that changed. So we sent it out to you. Oh, the lights. Is there... Thanks, Dan. So, I'm going to just skip to the slides. This whole thing will be presented... will be posted on the website, but there's only a few slides I wanted to go over. So I'm going to start with changes. From the last meeting to now, the only thing that changed is equalized pupil count. And I wish I could say it changed because this is the final number, but it isn't. So we did get a count from the AOE. Our numbers are in, but the count came in at just under 1,240. And if you recall, I've been using 1,245, or at least that's what I used the last time. So it was lower than what we expected. And whenever I dug into it a little bit, I found that there's an ELL tab for English language learners. And on that tab, I looked up Montpelier and Roxbury, and there were no kids listed. Zero. We've got, like, 61, I think. So I thought, oh, great, this is still another problem unique to us. But then I started looking up and down, and it's not unique to us.  It's a big deal because there's a waiting factor for ELL. So one ELL student is actually weighted as 1,2 students. So those kids are in our data that got submitted, but they're just not designated as ELL. So we're only getting credit for one instead of 1,2 for each one of those kiddos. So we just got an email or I just got an email from the AOE today saying, no, you're not going to get a new equalized, frozen equalized pupil number today, nor tomorrow, nor this week. Maybe next week you will. Maybe not. Because they now are trying to figure out what all the districts need to do to submit their data in a way that the statewide longitudinal data system can pick it up and plug it in. So it will be a while, but we can kind of make our good estimate on this. If there's 61 kids times a waiting factor of 0.2, that's 12.2 kids that should be added, and we know the number was just under 1240. So you'll see on a slide later I've upped our equalized pupil count from 1245 to about 1251 or 1252. I'll forget, you'll see in a minute. I think that's a pretty stable number. I don't think it will adjust by much. The reason why I can't get it nailed down exactly is because the AOE will throw some equalizing ratio, some percentage against everybody's numbers, and I have no idea what that's going to be. It might drop down a little bit, which would make everybody's numbers come down a little bit, unless I'm not seeing something, I think the equalized pupil count that I've got on the slides that's factored into the warning should be very close. And in the warning itself, it says words like estimated, projected. So I'm not worried as long as we're close, and I think we are close. So the next slide I wanted to skip to is this at-a-glance slide. So you can see now, instead of 12.45, I'm using a number that's almost 12.52. And while that's still an estimate, it should be pretty darn close. So when you plug that number in, and this goes up by almost seven kids, then this number, of course, went down. I think it was 1,7060 last time, so the spending for pupil came down about $100. And now it's a 3.77 increase, instead of I think it was 3.... Well, I've got it written down here, but I can't see it because it's too dark in here. 4.34 is what it used to be. So that slide changed. And then I'm really going to skip way forward and go to the tax rate calculation, because none of these, obviously, have changed at all. I didn't change any expenses or revenues. Grant, you got an estimate from the state on the yield, and that happened before they discovered that they were missing a lot of bodies? No, the yield shouldn't really play into equalized pupil counts, because equalized pupil counts is really just shifting the counts around. So they know how many kids there are in Vermont. That's why there's this equalizing ratio, because everybody gets these factors weighed in. And so you may have 1,100 kids, but your equalized pupil count initially comes out at like 1,200. And then the AOE will multiply that by 0.93 to get you back down to 1,100 real kids. So the ED fund isn't just divided by the number of equalized pupils. It's actually to get yield. It's actually then neutralized effectively. The ED fund is going to be looking at the education spending number this 21,240. That's much more complex than I recall. And so now this residential tax rate, you've got the new equalized pupil count. I already told you about how that impacts this. The yield that Steve's talking about, this 11,000, the tax commissioner's recommendation was 10,883. Initially, I was thinking maybe I would drop this back down to 11,000 to the tax commissioner's recommendation because we're hearing a lot about the statewide health negotiations might cause some districts to see some increase in their expenses. Some significant, not so much us because of how we already had our health plan in place. But some districts weren't offering health plans to all employees or all health plans to all employees. So there may be some higher cost. So initially people were thinking, well, that might drive up the ED fund and that might cause this dollar yield to have to go down some. But internet sales tax revenue is up significantly, like $8 million. So the last time I had a conversation with a friend of mine at the AOE, he projected that the yield would go up from the tax commissioner's recommendation. So because of that, I left it at 11,000. As Steve and I were talking about before the meeting started, a lot of times we go with the recommendation, we go to town meeting, we show them what the tax rate calculation comes out at, and then through the legislative process, the dollar yield ends up getting set higher. Tax rates are even lower than what you told the public it was going to be. So I think 11,000 is really my best guess at what this would be. And I wanted to basically give what I think the best estimate of a tax rate would be. Can I just add one thing to that, just so everyone's aware, the sales and use tax now goes entirely to the ed fund. And that change occurred as the Supreme, around a similar time that the Supreme Court ruled that states could collect sales tax on remote sales into their state, which is how a lot of retail is occurring these days, via online sellers. And so that revenue that Graham was just talking about the online sales, that's a new thing the state's able to get. And also because that happened at the same time, the sales and use tax was shifted to the ed fund, that's helping to relax the pressure on property tax rates a little bit. So I think we've got about as good a guess as we can get on a lot of these. What did come in, I think we talked about the last time the CLA's came in, I was pretty close on Montpelier, I think it was maybe three percent off what the action number came in. We talked about it last time in Roxbury, I was taken off guard because the CLA actually went up by 0.5, which was shocking because it dropped almost six percent last year. So for it to turn around and go up. But there are not a lot of houses in Roxbury. So if there's a few sales that take place that could really swing things. So it works out great for the tax rate for Roxbury and I did want to give you some context this box at the bottom. What that's telling you is if the CLA was identical in FY 21 to what it was in 20. Meaning if in Montpelier it was still 89.67 percent the tax rate would be 5.4 cents lower than what it is. So the tax rate is going up 8.4 cents in Montpelier 5.4 of the 8.4 is because the CLA dropped from 89 to 87 or 89.7 to 86.9. But anyhow, this I think is as good as we can get right now and probably will be as good as it gets for quite a while because I don't think we're going to get an equalized pupil number until at the earliest maybe the end of next week and we do have to get our articles done and information submitted to the municipalities for the annual reports. I updated this. The Roxbury numbers didn't change at all. Montpelier changed a little bit. That was a $94 increase because it was 9.4 cents. Now it's 8.4. So the Montpelier impacts have changed a little bit. I did say that the numbers could change slightly based on a final equalized pupil count. It could also change based on a dollar yield getting set differently at the end of the legislative session. I think there was two or three more slides. I updated this tax rate history slide too just to put in the latest numbers. And once again this is just trying to call out that if you look at FY 18 compared to FY 21 without CLA being factored in Montpelier's tax rate is 2.6 cents lower in FY 21 projected to be 2.6 cents lower in FY 21 than it was in FY 18. If you look at Roxbury 26 cents lower without in the CLA as a factor. In Roxbury even when you factor in CLA it's still lower the 1.716 versus 1.0 so it's 10.6 cents lower in Roxbury the actual tax rate. While in Montpelier of course once you factor in the CLA which is dropping every year it's actually like a 10.6 cent increase and as Andrew pointed out at the last meeting you look at that 10.6 cents across three years that's 6.6% increase if you divide that by three years that's a 2.2% increase in actual tax rate per year 2.2 is well below inflation so I think we're doing pretty good as far as controlling the tax rate as much as we can. The budget summary slide is a little different now so I updated the numbers I think the ad spending number is still the same yeah it would be still 4.7 but the increase in per pupil spending now is 3.8 instead of 4. something because of the increase in equalized pupils and then just the tax rates is based on these things pupil counts statewide dollar yield CLA Montpelier right now has a 5.1% increase but the majority of it is really associated with CLA if we didn't have to factor in CLA it would be a 1.8% increase in the actual tax rate Roxbury of course is decreasing 5.5% it would decrease even more but while we're getting that 2 cent it's now what 6 cents that merger incentive that tax rate break while you're getting that tax rate break you can only decrease your tax rate by 5% your equalized tax rate by 5% per year and since the CLA went up we actually see that number grow a little bit so instead of 5% it's 5.5 and then this would be time for questions before I get there though I just wanted to point out we are getting down to it so the recommendation is for a motion to approve the total budget of <IP_ADDRESS> which includes the 270 capital plan you will see two different numbers in the warning you'll see the number without the capital and then a separate article that's the capital because you have to do it that way but it's voted on all at the same time it's not a separate vote it is a separate article so it's two separate votes you can vote yes on just the overall budget and no on the general fund or vice versa it's a little wonky if somebody approves the capital without approving the budget but it can happen but do you mind folks that the tax rate includes the 270,000 it does it's not extra right so if you're okay with it that would be the motion to approve that budget and then also a motion to authorize the Board Chair to sign the warning which we sent that out to you as well and I believe there's a hard copy for Jim to sign if you approve that but now after that we can go back and circle to any kind of questions that anybody has I mean I know we've gone through the numbers the expenses the revenues but we're really just down to now kind of tax rate type stuff so if there's any questions or concerns I can try to address them at this time thank you Graff questions concerns comments I don't have a question but my concern is over a 5% increase in the budget I think is too much I mean it's already taxed a lot I will say that I am sensitive to that sentiment and I was very anxious about this budget but I thought it was important to look at the numbers over time and we look at from FY 15 to FY 20 5 fiscal years our tax rates in Montpelier related to education rose 4.7% so that and in some of those years they actually decreased it's over a 5-year period 4.7% that reflects deferred maintenance and a lot of needs that weren't being met and when I look at inflation over the same period that we're looking at if we look at just FY 15 to FY 20 when we had that 4.7% increase inflation went up 8.66% during that period so that means that our tax rates and our per pupil spending was roughly in line with those tax rates too our per pupil spending and our tax rates were less than inflation by you know and almost half yeah, almost half of that and so yeah this is a big year 5.1% I'm super sensitive to tax payers and other burdens but when I look at FY 15 to FY 21 that's a cumulative 10.1% increase and when we look at actual inflation and projected inflation based on the state economist projections inflation is looking like 11.2% so we're still looking at our tax rates being behind inflation by 1.1% and our per pupil spending is even less than our tax rates we're looking at 9.55% increase in per pupil spending over a 6 year period which is so less than 10% over a 6 year period which when you put it in that context and when you look at some of the needs in our district we're doing well on many levels I think it is important to keep that context in mind from a financial standpoint this is a good argument if you're basically pacing inflation you're just keeping up and I think we've made a lot of great strides in the district in a budget context that I think a lot of people would say is just keeping pace with inflationary needs Michelle I think the 3.8% per pupil spending is great that's the bottom line of what we need to be looking at is the per pupil amount and a 3.8% increase I think is justified I mean I'm very comfortable justifying it and I think people will be comfortable supporting it I'm sensitive to the tax increases too but I think it's a very responsible budget I also feel that you know we had a few years where actually a year a couple years where at least one year two years where our tax rate actually decreases two years yeah so when you put it in an overall trajectory it's it's part of a responsible very responsible budget during the story I move to approve the budget of $25,324,090 including the $270,000 capital fund second all is in favor aye aye any opposed I'm opposed eyes have it I move that we authorize the board chair to sign the morning all is in favor second oh sorry all is in favor aye any opposed yeah passes as well congratulations don't say that yet yeah I'm sorry thank you thank you I know you thought it through and made some choices I don't know I think it's a good budget for the kids and well now it's our job to sell it to the community do we need support from Grant or Libby to reduce talking points or I think they certainly would be appreciated do we all feel confident in distilling it from presentations I think some talking points would be great if you want to vote for the community and I would like to do an update as well last year we in the annual reports I think it was last year that we started this we did kind of a budget overview a narrative of budget overview like a one page thing which I think last year was the first year we did that so I need to do that anyhow for the annual report so I'll give that to Libby and of course and you'll be doing the superintendent's report as well so we might start with those two documents to see if they come close to what we need and then if you need something beyond that that's more basic or bulleted then we can certainly work on that yeah that would be great if you can have something like that we could probably turn it into talking points because we can distribute it to community members so they understand the context and what's in the budget and it's always very helpful I appreciate as always your tenacity that so we are well ahead of schedule which is good so the next motion is for executive sessions or personnel so we don't need a special motion just a motion for executive sessions if you want to make it sure I move that we enter executive session for the purpose of conducting personnel evaluation second sounds like a motion all those in favor thank you


Iwakuni is part of the unit deployment program. We're completing our first West Pack since 2013, the last time the squadron mobilized to deploy out to Iwakuni. The goal of the training is to enhance our technical and tactical proficiency and work with the Japanese and our sister squadrons here in Iwakuni. Everything the Marines and reservists who come in and execute their drills on a monthly basis, AT, everything we've worked for over the last couple of years to get to this point, we're really coming into pro-shin out here.