Hey everyone, this is Dan with another episode of my market crash protection videos. I've been warning my subscribers about a potential market crash since January 30th. With what's been happening in the last few weeks, it looks like there's an increasing possibility of a market drop of 20% or more for the S&P 500 in the next few months. The drop for the Nasset 100 will be even more. I know you might not like to hear about this, but if your stock portfolio has been shrinking in the last few weeks, the situation won't get better if you just ignore it. You should really listen to what I have to say and start thinking about protecting your investments. Let's get into the details. First, let's look at how the broad market has been trending since the beginning of the year. On this chart, I plotted SPY, the ETF representing the movement of the S&P 500, and I also plotted QQQ, the ETF representing the movement of Nasset 100. The QQQ is a blue line, SPY is a candlestick chart. As you can see, SPY has been down 13.76% since the beginning of the year, and QQQ is doing even worse. It's been down 22% since the beginning of the year. Certainly, the market is looking pretty bearish at this point, and if you look at where SPY is now, it has gone below the historical support levels established at the end of February and in the middle of March, and also up until a few days ago. So that's a major breach of support as of last Friday, and today is Sunday. At the current level, it's approaching the intraday bottom that was reached at the end of February. This is definitely a very bearish picture for SPY. If you look at QQQ, it's actually worse than SPY because it has already gone below the historical support level established in the beginning of March, and then the same level was tested a few days ago, but then it went up a little bit, then it went straight down and penetrated that support level. Again, it's a very bearish picture. One of the major factors driving the bearishness in the market is the statement the Fed chairman Jerome Power made on April 22. He said that it was absolutely essential for the Fed to be taming inflation and thereby raising the interest rates by 50 basis point, which will happen in May, according to Jerome Power. In addition, he said that they need to raise rates expeditiously to bring down inflation, and that for May, of course, there will be a 50 basis point, and it's absolutely essential to restore price stability. Apparently, the Fed is really preoccupied with the high inflation rate, which is running at 8.5%. Let's talk about the different factors influencing the stock market. First, because of the high inflation rate, and I'll talk about what's causing the high inflation rate. Once we have high inflation rate, which causes the federal reserve banks to increase interest rate and reduce their assets, that's what Chairman Powell has already said. And with these Fed actions, it'll cause the treasury rates and other interest rates to go up. As the interest rates go up, it causes the stock market to go down. If you like what you've seen so far, I'd like to encourage you to click the like, subscribe, and notification button. That will enable you to receive notification when I post my next video. It'll also encourage me to make more videos like this in the future. Thank you very much. Let's continue. Now let's talk about the inflation rate. What is driving the inflation? First of all, it's because the economy has been booming generally for the last 10-12 years, wages have been up, and there's a supply chain issue. In addition, there's the Ukraine war that started in February, and because of the Ukraine war and because of the sanctions against Russia started by the U.S. and by the European nations, the oil and gas prices have been going up, and grain prices have been going up. And then there is a COVID lockdown in China impacting Shanghai and a few other major cities, which causes interruption of the industrial processes in China as well as a transportation processes in China, which will drive up the prices of industrial products. And as the prices related to these items start to go up, then we are back in this spiral of high inflation, driving the higher Fed funds rate, which drives up the interest rates, which drives down the stock market. This is not a pretty picture for stock investors. Let's look at how high will the interest rate go up, and from there we can possibly predict how much the stock market is going to drop because of all these factors playing the background. Also today, the CPI, reflecting the inflation rate is at 8.5%. Fed funds rate is at a low 0.33%, even after the last race hike, which was effective on March 17. And the 20-year threshold rate is at 3.1%. If you draw a line looking back in history, the last time we had inflation rate this high was between 1974 and 1982. And then if you look at what the Federal Reserve Bank did back then to control inflation, you can see that the CPI was pretty low back in the 1960s. Then when it started to go up, the Fed already started to raise rates even back in the late 60s and early 70s. And the rate did come down a little bit, and it picked up again. And by the time the CPI was at 8% around 1974, the Fed funds rate was already at 8%. The 20-year threshold rate back then was already at 7%. If you look at today, we're at 8% CPI and above, but the Fed funds rate is only at 0.33, and the 20-year threshold rate is 3.1%. And that's why a lot of people are saying that Fed has been too slow in reacting to the increasing inflation rate. Now the Fed is trying to pay catch up. And what happened back in the 1970s and 80s was that as the Fed continued to raise rate to control inflation because there was a lagging effect, CPI continued to go up and down, but generally trending up. And actually CPI went as high as 15%. And the Fed funds rate went as high as 22%. And the 20-year threshold rate went as high as 15.78% before the CPI, the inflation rate started to come down. For now, in 2022 and 2023, I hope the 20-year threshold rate doesn't go as high as 15%, 16%, and that the CPI won't go up to 15%. But it's entirely likely that the Fed funds rate can be going up as high as 6% to 8%. And likewise, the 20-year threshold rate can be as high as 6% to 8% before the inflation rate is brought under control. If you want to know more about it, please look up my video posted on April 18, 2022. I explain a lot more details about the movement of the different interest rates and this particular ETF called TMV, which tends to go up as the interest rate goes up. And I'll talk a little bit more about TMV in the next few minutes. Now, if you look at what happened to the stock market during that period between 1978 and 1984, when the Fed was fighting inflation, you can see that the stock market went down as much as 21%. And unfortunately, also the unemployment rate went from about 5% up to about 11%. Basically, we had a recession, which helped, of course, bring down the inflation rate. And hopefully, for this time around, we will not cause a major recession with high unemployment rate at 11%, although I would imagine that the Fed would not hesitate to bring down the stock market in order to cool down the economy to bring down the inflation rate. And therefore, I believe 15% to 20% market drop from the all-time high for S&P 500 is entirely likely. And we need to be prepared for that. If you want to know more about this analysis, you can refer back to the video that I posted on January 30th, 2022. So what are the likely scenarios by the end of 2023, within about a year and a half? First of all, I believe the Fed funds rate will be at 4% and above, actually more like 6% to 8% by the end of 2023. And definitely, it will be much higher than the current 0.33%. And because of the increase of Fed funds rate to control inflation, the S&P will drop at least 17% to 20% from its all-time high. Remember, currently we are at about 13% below all-time high. So we have yet another 4% to 7% to go yet as far as market drop. And of course, QQQ would drop even more. And a 20-year transfer rate will most likely get up to 6% and above. If you look at the historical lesson we learned back in the late 70s and early 1980s, as we mentioned a few minutes ago. But I don't believe there will be a deep market crash like in 2008 primarily because the banks are still healthy. The economy is not totally frozen. It's basically being controlled by the Fed. And as long as the Fed does not lose control of the economy and the major banks do not get into trouble, then we can have what they call a soft landing, which will cool down the stock market and it will slow down the economy somewhat without causing a major recession. And hopefully, then the CPI hopefully will get within about 3% to 4%. And then the Fed will declare victory and stop raising interest rates, which will then quickly restore the stock market. In the meanwhile, aside from the stock market going down as the Fed tries to cool down the economy, unemployment rate will also go up to 5% or so. And then hopefully the inflation rate will be brought within reasonable range. With all these possibilities, what do we do to survive and to even make profit? Let's look at a few ETFs that have been going up since the beginning of the year, in spite of the fact that the broad market has been going down. As we have shown earlier, SPY has been down more than 13% since the beginning of the year, as represented by the candlestick chart, and QQQ has been down more than 20%, as represented by this blue line. You look at all these lines up here, they are all above 0%. The most impressive performance was logged by this ETF, UCO, which went up 80.66% since the beginning of the year. UCO, you might know already, it's an ETF, that's the triple ETF actually, that's paid to the price of crude oil. And then next to that, SQQQ, which is the inverse ETF, the triple ETFs, paid to the price of NASDAQ 100, except it goes up and down three times faster, and it went up by more than 67% since the beginning of the year. And next to that, TMV, which is an ETF, I mentioned earlier, related to the movement of the 20-year Treasury yield, and that picked up an impressive 62%. And USO also is an oil-related ETF, except it's not as leveraged as UCO, but it went up, nevertheless, an impressive 40.73% already. SPXS is an inverse triple leverage ETF, paid to the movement of S&P 500, it went up about 40% also. XLE, that's an ETF holding the stocks of major oil companies and energy companies, that went up 31%. These are all interesting investment choices to counter the market downtrend, and actually have been holding and trading some of these. I'll talk more about that in the next few minutes. Now, I'm not just going to go in tomorrow and start buying these ETFs, because as you can see, these lines that have been going up and down, they are the right times and they are the wrong times to buy these ETFs, and that's why we need to look at the technical indicators. In the next few days, I will post a video about technical analyses for these ETFs. Then how might the market start to recover? First of all, if we have more positive Q1 earnings, which are being announced in the last couple of weeks and will continue to be announced in the next couple of weeks, and if the Q1 earnings are positive and the companies have bullish Q2 projections, then it will boost the market or at least stabilize the market somewhat. But as we learn already, the low earnings for example for Amazon for Q1 has been disappointing, and the earnings for Tesla for Q1, even though it's very good, but Tesla stock price hasn't gone up much, actually has gone down a little bit since the earnings announcement. So this first bullet point looks like so far has not been helping the stock market much. It's just because of bearish momentum in the market, it's just so strong. And then of course, the end of the Russia Ukraine war will help certainly reduce the energy cost and the grain cost, and that will help reduce the inflation and reduce the necessity for the Fed to continue to raise interest rate too much. And the end of COVID lockdown in China will also help lower the inflation rate, and if the inflation rate somehow can fall to 3-4% range, either by the end of the Ukraine war or the end of COVID lockdown in China, or maybe because the Fed has already raised interest rate so much in the next few months, that finally inflation rate falls to about 3-4% range. At that point, the Fed can then declare victory and stop raising rate, and then we will see hopefully the market rebounding quickly after that. And of course, at the end of Fed as a reduction will also help. If unfortunately, we see high unemployment rate at about 6% and above instead of the current 4% and below, then the Fed might ease the monetary policy by lowering the interest rate or maybe continue to do QE to boost the economy. And in that situation, the stock market will pick up. But that's a tragic way of bringing up the stock market. I hope we don't have high unemployment that we could possibly achieve low inflation with reasonable unemployment rate. And at that point, hopefully the market can rebound. What are my strategies in the next few months? What are my strategies? First of all, I've been selling shares of the stocks in my portfolio when the prices fell below critical support levels and I've been sharing some of my trades with my Twitter subscribers. By selling the stocks, I was able to free up assets to go into the ETFs that I've been talking about. For example, I've been buying stocks or ETFs that tend to go up with interest rates. For example, I've been holding TMV, the ETF, paid to the 20-year treasury rate. And I've been holding and trading stocks and ETFs that tend to go up with energy prices. And those include UCO, the ETF, UNG, that's GAS, ETF, UCOs, Oil-related ETF, XLE, that's a energy-related ETF, and COP, ConocoP Phillips. The energy prices certainly are related to the Ukraine war. If the Ukraine war ends in the next few weeks, then the energy prices will go down quickly. And that's why I've been tuning to the world event very diligently and I intend to unload my energy-related stocks and ETFs quickly if there's going to be peace in Ukraine. I've been keeping some shares of stocks with strong fundamentals such as applied materials, ASML, AMD, Berkshire Hathaway, B, shares, Google, O'Reilly, Qualcomm, and TSM. I've been swing trading recovery stocks or stocks with long-term potentials including LUV, the Southwest Airlines, RCL, Royal Caribbean, TSLA, Tesla. And I've been swing trading the very aggressive and very volatile three times inverse index ETF such as SQQQ. At this point, I'd like to suggest that you also subscribe to my Twitter account, which is DanMarketL. For example, on March 17th, I said I bought TMV shares and actually subsequently I bought two or three more batches of TMV shares. At this point, this first batch bought on March 17th. It's up 29% already and it's still in my portfolio. April 22nd, I said I sold shares of LUV Southwest Airlines. I bought on January 4th at a 6% gain and also I sold another batch of LUV shares bought on March 16th at 10% gain and that's a recovery play. And then on April 28th, on a dip, I bought LUV shares again. Then on April 29th, I sold SQQQ shares. I just bought it a day ago and realized 8.3% gain. Again, if you like what you've seen so far, I'd like to encourage you to click the like, subscribe, and notification button. As usual, I will welcome your comments, suggestions, and questions. I'd like to remind you that I'm not a financial advisor. I share my stop trading strategies and analyses for educational and entertainment purposes only. If you want to buy or sell stocks, you should make your own decisions and you should definitely consult with your financial advisors before you do so. Let's wrap up my video for now. I will chat with you again in the next few days. In the meanwhile, I'd like to wish you the very best of luck with your financial investments.


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op 28 months ago. We tried. We haven't been able to get it from the state. And so if you do the second and the motion, then I need you to be aware that then you will be cutting from other positions. And- Can I respond? Well, certainly we need to find the money. And if our board, and I hope my board wants to do that, and we will need to find the money, no question about that. And it's a perfect time to have this discussion in some ways, because we're going through the budget and we want to express that we want to invest in a major way in arts, in our district, that it's worth investing in. And I just think it's unfair to go with these reassignments and not rehire art teachers and really spread people thin to a way that we burn them out and it's just not going to be a level of quality that our kids students are getting now. So, but you make a fair point, Dr. Rodriguez, we got to find the money. I'm talking about rehiring the positions at Rio del Mar, Radcliffe, Landmark, and solo four teachers. I think I feel pretty confident we can do it. So I hope my board will support this. I trust you to serve, I think. I want to make comment, Dr. Rodriguez, did you want to speak before? So it would then mean that we would need to look at all the other elementary schools, such as McQuitty. So for example, McQuitty was going to get the 50-50, and when I was there, they were like, when are we going to get back our part, when are we going to get back an art teacher? And the answer was you were going to get the 0.5. So it isn't, it is a misnomer to say that we're talking about four positions. Four positions is half a million dollars, so I just wanted to note that. But it's not actually four positions. If you want to equitably provide services to students, it is not just four positions. You're talking more eight positions, which is close to a million dollars. And so if you would like to engage in the discussion, I think that my suggestion is that you wait until the 17th, because finding a million dollars is not as easy as you think. Just to clarify, I'm not moving for eight. I'm moving that we rehire Anseldo, Landmark, Rio, and Radcliffe. That's my motion. And maintain the assignments that we had at the beginning last year. Before I call for a second, I know there are some other comments wanting to come from the board. So let's, if we could hear those, I'm going to go with trustee D'Sirpa, and then I'll bring it back down to trustee Flores. Thank you. So I think, Adam, what you're proposing is a full-time art teacher at every single elementary school, correct? Because we don't have that now. That would be a long-term goal. My motion says let's maintain the same level of staffing that we had at the beginning of last year. OK, but it sounds to me like at MST and mentee, potentially, we're leaving two full-time art teachers in place. So what I have to say to that is that I have elementary schools that I represent. Where's my full-time art teacher? That's not fair. It's not equitable. I included Rio Del Mar in my motion, too. I don't think they've had a full-time art teacher, have they? They had one at the beginning of this year. Then they had a full-time sub, and then the person told them not to invent. What I'm saying is that you can't have three or four full-time art teachers at four schools and not the rest of the elementary schools across the district. It's not fair. Trustee D'Sirpa and Trustee Villano-Scow, I believe our assistant superintendent of HR is trying to interject here and provide some information on the topic. Sorry, I'll double-check. I got a look up in the state. But Landmark didn't have an art teacher this year. They just had music. So that would be an addition. I'll double-check. And then Marvis doesn't have an art teacher. So if you're talking about one in your area, they don't. Yeah, and Valencia does not have a full-time art teacher either. They have two positions that make up a 1.3. Two art teacher positions? They have a 1.3 worth of it. So they have two people that are 1.3 over. That makes sense. Right. But my point is that this is a huge expense. It's not just $1 million. If we literally had a full-time art teacher at every single elementary school, what would that cost? In general, we won't hold you to it. $4.4 million. OK, $4.4. So that's number one. Number two, what about the instructional minutes in the day, and where would those fit in? So if we're having, for example, Valencia, we have a science release teacher. We have art release in the morning. I mean, where do we put the extra instructional minutes in? And what about coding and science and PE and all the other things that are equally as important? You bring up a good point. Within the instructional minutes of the day to get in the amount of release time that we're providing if we go over, there isn't enough time to do that. So the people would be, even though we're paying for a 1.0, part of their day would not be serving students in the intention that they're there for. OK. And then around Prop 28, I am a little confused. I thought we were already getting some Prop 28 money. Is that not true? It hasn't started rolling yet. So Prop 28 was approved. It starts in 23-24. The problem we're having and that everyone in the state is having is CDE will not clarify for us what can we spend those dollars on in terms of what is supplanting and what is not. So when we review it, we look at it and say if we have, let's say a site needs one release. Currently, they have two release. So we're going to reduce one release to actually give them what they need. Can we use Prop 28 to bring back that other release? Or are they going to say no? Because in 22-23, you had two. So now you have to actually add a third, which we wouldn't be able to do because that would then mean we have to add a full one through General Fund, as well as a full one through Prop 28. Unfortunately, no site other than the high schools, none of our elementary schools are receiving enough Prop 28 funds to pay for an entire teacher, not one single one of our sites. They've received around $70,000, $80,000. A full-time teacher ranges anywhere from $125,000 to upwards of around $140,000. So none of the sites actually will receive enough Prop 28 to pay for an entire teacher for their site. So what we would like to do is look at it and say, are we able to use some of that money where, and what the state actually has recommended is have two sites share a teacher. That's our recommendation. They actually have an FAQ on their site about it. That's how we recommend you afford staff because we understand that you can't actually afford staff with the dollars of Prop 28. The biggest challenge we're having, and Colleen and I have been working with our auditors, is how do you determine that we're doing above and beyond what we did last year when, as I've shown, we're declining in enrollment, which means we need less release time. Therefore, anything to Allison's point that we give above and beyond release is not actually release time for students.  It may be time working on art projects for the school, but it won't necessarily be time saying, I'm taking a student out of a class and teaching them art because there's just not enough minutes in the day. So it's complicated. Very much so. The other thing is when I went to the Delegate Assembly recently, the governor's budget had, for example, I think the ramifications of the governor's revise was that we would potentially have to cut $23.5 million out of our budget, and that was like a maybe out of our general fund budget. Are you referring to arts dollars or overall? I think overall, as far as I remember. So for us, I don't know the exact number for us. Well, we are reducing in both learning loss and arts and music, the one-time dollars. But in terms of general fund, we'll be seeing the COLA. But the governor, again, from May revise, the big hits are really to arts and music and to. So that's the block grant. Those are the block grants, correct? Right. So we are losing in the block grant, the arts and music block grant. Yep. OK. Probably be prepared to speak about that on Saturday more, like what the actual dollar figures were estimating will be. Yeah, absolutely. It was in the May revise presentation, so I can pull that out and put it in again. That'd be great. Thank you. Trustee Flores? Well, I appreciate everything we've heard tonight. Dr. Rodriguez, Belana Scow, and Mr. Buoy, you all hit on points that I totally agree with. I have my kids are at WCSA. I have a musician. I have an artist. I might have a degree in architecture. Art is very important to us and our family, and I believe every child needs to have that exposure. At the same time, I see where Trustee Disciple is coming from, where if we're going to have a full-time visual arts teacher at one elementary, we should have that across. Now, I'm not saying you were saying we can't do that. Now you're saying just the four, but that is something our district should shoot for, just like we did with this music program. I think definitely we should make a goal, that that's something we should up our five-year plan, just like we had here. We should have a visual arts teacher in each of our elementary schools. Like we saw in our budget presentation, it's gonna come down to the funding, and I feel like maybe Saturday would be a better opportunity for us to dive deeper into this and find those dollars before we just say, like I'm concerned that by allocating it now, and then like what Dr. Rodriguez said, if it comes back that we can't, we're limited with those prop 20, sorry, we can't think of the number right now, to prop 28 funds, we're gonna find ourselves in a pickle. So those are my concerns right now. Anything else? Yeah, I'm in agreement with Trustee Flores. I mean, I've been here as a main supervisor and dealt with budgets, and I'm pretty, I mean, not completely familiar, but somewhat apprised of the process. And there's a lot of things that need to get done, but you have to take baby steps. And you don't wanna, like Dr. Rodriguez said, get stuck with something that we can't afford. I mean, it might be shiny and pretty upfront, but later on the payment's gonna be a little tough. So, I think we need to take baby steps, we need to set some goals and make a plan to try to implement other schools later on down the road. And it's true what Clint says is, government's gonna get tight, budgets are gonna get small. If you pay attention to what's going on in the world, you're gonna start seeing that we're gonna have some pretty hard discussions later on down the road. And we need to be cognizant of that. And so that's my true sense. Trustee Villaluzga. Well, I mean, there's a couple of things, I think it's fair to feel that we wanna look into it more in the budget on Saturday. Obviously our board requested that, I respect that. I do, it is important to me that we want to set a goal and obviously you wanna feel financially that we can do it. I'm not saying we're gonna do it overnight. I do feel it's unfair to a Mestee Elementary in Miss Lucia to reassign her because we're not gonna rehire other art teachers. And so that's why in my first motion I said, let's rehire those art teachers, we had the money for them last year and we're getting some music now. And we have great reserves and 28 is coming. If that motion feels too ambitious for tonight, then I'd be willing to amend my motion that we narrow it to ensure that the assignments are the same for the continuing art teachers going into next year as they were last year. If that feels more palatable. I think, I'm sorry, you need elaboration on that. So you're wanting to amend the motion that. That the art teacher, the assignments for our visual art teachers in the elementary schools, the assignments, the schools they teach at, for those continuing into next year are the same as they were the past year. Without the proposed change. Without the rehirings. Okay. And I do have questions and comments, by the way, but I just wanna make sure I'm respecting all my colleagues and everybody's getting in. Did you have another comment, I'm sorry, before I make my comments and questions? No, I was just listening to everybody speak and I also agree with what Trustee Floor is. I think this is probably better, something to be talked about on Saturday. And so, that's where I stand, thank you. Thank you. Trustee Acosta, it's me. I'm sorry, but just the piece about keeping assignments the same, it will cause us to not allow, some sites will then be under their FTE for release and therefore it would cause us to have to hire more because of that, so I just wanted to. That was gonna be one of my questions, so you answered it, so thank you. Okay, so Dr. Rodriguez, could you maybe elaborate about this talk conversation about continuing this conversation, maybe on Saturday or beyond Saturday. We have the June 17th, the special study session on the budget, where there could definitely be a deeper dive there, I guess, to look, where would we, and being very clear to what you said, that this would have to come from something else, right? It would have to come, we'd have to give something else for it. And then, but should there be a decision or some direction with that, that could be implemented in the decision in the June 28th board meeting, approving the agenda? Or would this have to come back as an action item on June 28th, or would it be part of the budget approval on June 28th? Yeah, so well, FTE is part of the budget, so I mean, it could be included within there. I know it is challenging to be patient, but I really feel if we can be patient in learning, knowing what we can use Prop 28 for, then we can actually have what people want. And do we know when we're gonna know the Prop 28? I cannot say. I'm assuming that it will be before school starts, I'm assuming, but we have been pushing pretty hard to get clarity. I mean, we put, somebody called me a fighter earlier today. I mean, so we've been, like, we haven't been resting on our laurels to try to find out the answer to this question. So a lot of what is being requested is probably possible if we can figure out how to use Prop 28. And then you won't have to make the difficult decision of trying to figure out where to get the money that you're stating. But I don't feel, I feel obligated to advocate for all school sites. And so if we're gonna do it, then we gotta do it, right? It can't just be the ones that are being vocal at the time because that's how we used to do things versus really providing a common experience for our students. And I believe that's important. Right. And that you answered, again, what was gonna be one of my questions was I wasn't gonna wanna put you on the spot with it, but when you thought we might know about Prop 28, so you've actually already answered that. So if, and I'm not sure how this would go at this point because there is a motion. It hasn't been seconded yet, but based on comments that I've heard from Trustee Flores and Trustee Soto and Trustee Dodge Jr., I'm really, and I think even Trustee D'Sirpa maybe said similarly, having a bigger conversation about this on Saturday and deciding what we could do going forward with the budget conversation then and into the June 28th where we have to actually approve a budget is important. I have always been believed in being fiscally sound as long as I have been on this board. So I can't sidestep that when I have to take based off of your advice of what you're giving as the expert of this that this is sort of just what it has to be now. And as much as many of us may not like it and it's difficult, we have a duty, right? And that's part of what I called for about the special study session on the budget and the transparency and to do that because how we've been called out of the board, the administration that we're not being diligent, we're not being transparent and to have that conversation and say here it is because we have that responsibility as stewards. We're the seven who sit here that are elected to be stewards of that, right? And the same as the administration has a responsibility of stewardship. So I'm going to have to support that this position that I've heard Trustee Flores has commented and Trustee Dodg Jr. and Sotho and I believe Trustee D'Surface and comments to that to just put it to then and see what we could do maybe by then by the June 28th and then if not, we'll have to work with our cabinet and whoever our interim superintendent will be, that's going to be another conversation later not jumping ahead to help us figure all that out for next school year. That's where I'm going to support but you're seeing it. Can I amend my motion given what I'm hearing? Can I amend and I just want to know I'm excited to hear about the millions we have the tens of millions we have in reserves. I know it's going to come out on Saturday as well. So I feel confident we can do this but I'm hearing my colleagues speak. I guess I'm the only one and I'm obviously fighting for my students and my parents and my constituency because I think that's my job as a board member and I want to say Minty was going to get treated this way but then they got told yesterday or two days ago that they weren't and I just feel that's unfair but I hear what you're saying. I'm going to amend my motion and ask that we continue this agenda item on June 28th with the understanding that we're going to get some more information on Saturday. That's my... Appropriate to what you think could be done. I'm going to love a second. And I think you said you wanted to... It sounds like conversation wants to be had on Saturday about this but that could be done. Okay. Did you... I'm sorry. Yes, let's not... Okay, so I have first now. Can I clarify what the first is? I'm sorry. To move the continue the agenda item to June 28th with the understanding we'll have more information about this topic on Saturday and have more time to deliberate. Okay. That seems okay, yeah. But is that going to hinder any hiring that we might need to do between now and then in terms of at least the halftime positions? No. Okay, great. I'll second that. And I'm sorry and I think Trustee Flores had a comment. Yeah, mostly just a comment. I was going to actually second. I was happy to hear that you say that hopefully we get some good news about the Proposition 28 and we can do exactly what Trustee Volano-Skala is asking for. Yeah. And I think that would be great. And I would totally support, you know, if we're going to have to start somewhere with every elementary school having a visual arts teacher, then I would support starting with Teacher Lucia. You know, because I get we needed an album but just like with Save the Music to get to and then it grew from there. So it's not overnight. We're not going to say every elementary school has one. But if we're going to start somewhere, we could start with a Bestie. And so if we have a plan and, you know, the funding and all that. So I would definitely support that. And so, yeah, Trustee Disciple already seconded. Okay, so I have a first and second. Trustee Disciple, did you have another comment? No, that was great. Okay, we have a first. And we'll now call for a vote. All those in favor? Aye. All those opposed? The vote carries 6-0-1. In fact, to bring out a point of order, it is coming up on 10-22 p.m. And we have to go back into closed session. And we are only on item 10.3. Out of the total of, we have 11. Plus consent. Plus we do need to return to closed session. I'll entertain a motion to extend the meeting. I will move to extend our meeting to midnight. Is that long enough? Okay, I'll second. Thank you very much. So I have a first and a second to extend the meeting until midnight. All those in favor? Aye. Okay, that vote carries 6-0-1. Thank you. And now we will be moving on to item 10.3. This item will be presented by our assistant superintendent of human resources, Ms. Allison Niezawa. And this is to prove the memorandum of understanding between PVSD and PVFT for release teachers for the Save the Music expansion. Thank you. Yes, thank you Vice President Acosta, Board of Trustees Dr. Rodriguez. spoke about earlier is to address the fact that if our art teachers or any of our release teachers need to be split between two sites for the next year that we're going to offer them some extra time in order to do so. We want to make sure that they're able to prepare and plan for their new site and location and have a work spacer and a classroom that's ready to receive our students. So similarly to what we did with Pajaro Middle needing to relocate to Lakeview, we increased the number of days. And then we also put in some clarifying language around grade spans as Dr. Rodriguez spoke to earlier with regards to our arts and our sciences. So I respectfully request that you please approve this MOU tonight. Do we have any public speakers to this item? We do not. Okay, in that case I will bring it back to the board. Do we have any questions, comments or discussion from the board? This is awesome, a dream come true. I'll move to approve. Perfect. I have a first. I have a second. All those in favor, please say aye. Aye. Motion carries 6-0-1. Moving on to item 10.4, this action item will be presented again by our assistant superintendent of HR, Salazar Niazawa to approve the memorandum of understanding between PVUSD and CSEA Chapter 132, the transportation stipend for the summer school 2022-2023. Yes, thank you again Vice President Acosta and Board of Trustees Dr. Rodriguez. We have an MOU for you tonight that we did in collaboration with CSEA. We were having a little bit of a challenge getting bus drivers to do our summer school routes. So this stipend was put in place to incentivize our drivers and our other transportation employees who also hold a driver's license to drive buses to take the routes. It definitely helped aid in that and staff our routes for summer school. So I respectfully request that you approve this MOU as well. Do we have any public speakers to this? We do not.  Any questions or comments from the board? Where do I sign up? HR, I'll take you over there right now. I'll make a motion to approve. Okay, I have a first. I do have a comment, but I'll call for a second unless anybody else has a comment. Oh, my comment was I just sorry, not a comment. It was more of a question. So these are because we have had the contracts with Michaels and such in the past but these are our employees. These are our employees so it was to incentivize them to sign up for summer school. So it's extra work for our employees only. So yeah, this is only for current bus drivers. Not for Michaels or any other subcarrier. No, PVUSC. Okay, I mean, I assumed by the title of it but I'm just making sure 100% for my clarification. So I would like to be the one to second this if I may. So we have a first, the second. All those in favor? Aye. And the vote, motion carries 601. Moving on to item 10.5 the word language instructional materials adoption for grades 6 through 12. This report will be presented by our executive director for teaching and learnings, Ms. Peggy Pugh. Hello. Good evening. Good evening. Thank you, Vice President Acosta, Board of Trustees and Dr. Rodriguez. I am here to present the work of our world language teachers who this year reviewed and then piloted world language curriculum in Spanish, Spanish for Spanish speakers and on from second. The timeline is follows. They reviewed materials. We talked about the plan. They reviewed the paper and digital screening for all of the three different curricula. They eventually selected the curricula to pilot and then they piloted in the second semester and then eventually got together and made their decision. We evaluated on just a paper screen of three different CDE approved curricula from Carnegie Learning, Vista Higher Learning and Clet World Languages. Teachers from Alianza, Aptos High, PV High, Watsonville High all participated in that process and reviewed the materials together. We used a variety of tools that we got from the CDE world language adoption toolkit. And the process they ended up choosing of those three they decided on two of those to actually pilot. So there's the process of reviewing first on paper and then they chose two. For Spanish there was an Aptos High teacher and a Watsonville High teacher who chose to pilot for Spanish for Spanish speakers. We had two teachers from Alianza and two teachers from PV High and then for French we had one teacher from Aptos High and one teacher from Watsonville High. Each of those two curricula went through the same multi-week process. There was training first with the publisher, time for planning with their colleagues, regular check-ins with me, and then virtual drop-in and email access to the publishers and the representatives from those publishers. And then eventually we landed at the final decision-making process after the evaluation periods for both of those curricula and we used again the toolkit provided by the California Department of Education and based on their analysis the group honestly chose to recommend Vista Higher Learning Curriculum for all three areas, Spanish for Spanish speakers and French. The strengths that our teachers noted were the celebration of the rich cultures of Spanish and French-speaking cultures throughout the world and they really valued that a lot. Support for differentiation in scaffolding and emphasis specifically on student engagement and a variety of tools for them to utilize to practice speaking and listening and then also just a really strong technology integration. So the teachers unanimously recommended as I mentioned that the PDUSD School Board approved Vista Higher Learning Curriculum for all three of those content areas to be our adoptive materials starting this August. Thank you. Do we have any public speakers to this item? We do not. Okay, seeing none I will bring it back to questions or comments from the Board. I got both ends. Trustee Dodge Jr. Thank you. So it says this program is going to cost $792,000 based on a lottery. Is that what it says? Budget source is a lottery. Oh, lottery funds. Is that something already budgeted or is that something we're applying to? So those are funds that we receive from the California Lottery and we use them for curriculum.  Yeah, so that is the money that we've received from the California State Lottery. A lottery when I go. Thank you. Can I just ask a point of clarification? That's restricted, correct? Does that go into restricted funds not the general fund? So there's a certain areas that we can support and curriculum is one of them. Right, right, but it is, those funds are restricted funds to what you get. Are they restricted? That's right. There is a space in there that works for school curriculum. That was just my elaborate question on that. Trustee D'Serpa. Oh, wonderful. Anyone else? Okay, motion to approve. Thank you for the motion. Can I have a second? I'll second. Thank you, Trustee Sotho. So I have a first. I have a second. All those in favor, please say aye. Aye. Aye. Motion carries 601. Thank you. Thank you. All right, moving on to item 10.6. Updating existing policy titles using the new gamut system. This report will be presented by our very own Dr. Michelle Rodriguez, Superintendent of Schools. Yeah, thank you so much. So we use the gamut system. So gamut is a system that's through CSBA in which they provide us updates to all of our board policies. So they have a new process. It's called gamut policy plus in order for us to have automatic upgrades to our board docs, meaning that they tell us when we are out of compliance, we have to have their exact titles. And so what you'll see is the policy number will not shift, but what we are going to have to do is change the naming. So let's go with the second one. Our current title is social media use. Instead of that title, so the policy number will stay the same, we are required to have a new title that is called district sponsored social media. So that when legislation makes changes, they will flag for us when a policy is out of compliance. If we don't change the titles, they won't be able to do that flagging for us. It's no cost for us over 600 districts use it because most school districts use CSBA as supports. And so you'll see what we're requesting. Again the content, there is no change at all to any of the content but you can see that there is slight changes just like another one. Ours is world for language instruction and it needs to be changed to world language instruction. And so in general there are small changes but we're requesting that the board allow us to make those changes to the title so we can effectively use gamut policy plus. Thank you. Do we have any public speakers to this item? We do not. Seeing none, I'll bring it back to the board. I do have a question. Does somebody else have a question first? So are these the only changes? Like about how many are there that say it is roughly? I haven't count. I can't count them. Oh, no, no. But yes, these are the only changes that we're requesting. They are all inclusive. It looks like about 30, 39. There you go. It probably was in my. Okay. And is this have to do with just, it was just a quick curiosity question. When I go in and log into the board, that's how it says about the update. Does this have to do with that update? They can't do those updates until we do this. Okay, gotcha. I was just wondering what you were talking about. Yeah, so it has caused us quite significant issues, which is why we're doing this cleanup. Okay. Thank you for the elaboration. If there's no other comments or questions I'll entertain a motion. Motion to approve. I have a first. I'll second. All those in favor? Aye. Aye. Motion carries a 6 0 1. Moving on to item 10.7. Delete obsolete policy titles using new gamut system and this will again be presented by Dr. Michelle Rodriguez. Yes, thank you so much. So equally, so we've been working, well, Eva has been working, so I won't I don't have a toe to my pocket. Eva's been working with gamut in order to be able to clean up. These are all ones which were deleted by CSBA. So these were removed and you can see and note the month and year in which they were deleted. So many of these have been deleted for several years. So, you know, December 14th, March 11th of, you know, March 2011. And so these are the ones that we are requesting that be deleted. So again, part of the cleanup. For example, there is no child left behind anymore. And so in on May 2016, it was officially deleted, but we have not deleted it. And so because of that, we're asking to assist with the cleanup and allow us to delete these obsolete policies. Perfect. Thank you, Dr. Rodriguez. Do we have any public speakers to this? We do not.  Any questions, comments, discussion from the board? Motion to approve. I have a motion. I have a second. Okay. All those in favor. Hi. Hi. Carry 601. Sorry. Yeah. Going faster than I can keep up. Okay. And we removed on the approval of the agenda item 10.8. So we will be moving forward to item 10.9. The to approve and this see if you could correct me, Dr. Rodriguez. Segumura. Vinny, architects agreement for the Baharam Middle School Flood Restoration Project number 2023062 and this report will be presented by our director of maintenance and operations and facilities for Lindo Fernandez. Welcome. Good evening, everybody. Good evening President, Vice President Acosta, Dr. Michelle Rodriguez, board members, cabinet. My name is Alindo Fernandez and I'm the director of maintenance and operations. And I'm here to ask for the approval of these to go into agreement with Segumura and the architects out of San Jose, California for the Baharam Middle School Flood Restoration Project. This project is estimated at $7 million for their compensation for the work. I'm asking for the approval of $840,000 to continue the project with Segumura architects out of San Jose so they could provide a full bid of all sets so we could go out to restore Bajar School. Do we have any public speakers to this action, Madam? We do not. Okay. Seeing none, I'll bring it back to the board. Any questions, comments, discussion? Trustee Soto? Question, comment. So just to initiate this project, this is $7 million for the architect alone. Or is this the scope? No. $840,000. But the project is $7 million? Estimated right now. Yeah. Based on our walk, this is going to get fun because they're going to start opening things up and finding things out. So the architectural fee is $840,000. $840,000. Correct. All right. We'll see how this turns out down the road. Good luck. Thank you. I have a great question. Does this include any improvements to the site? To help flood mitigation or just site improvements that will help it be a better school, cleaner school? Or is it just reconstruction? Reconstruction to what it was at this time. And that's why we have an architect on board. So if any DSA upgrades need to be happened, we're going to do it. Yeah, that's what I was worried about. Okay. So just to speak to that real quick, Trustee D'Serba, all of these dollars that we're spending on our home and all we will be applying for FEMA to reimburse us for all of these dollars, FEMA does allow a small amount to be used to improve over what we had, especially if it's coming up to code, things like that, those will be allowed, but they do have very strict guidelines on what we can do with the dollars that they'll reimburse. So we'll be working closely with the contractor to ensure that we're working with FEMA and not going above and beyond their scope because again, the $7 million we will be asking to be reimbursed by FEMA, which will most likely get about 90% reimbursed. That's great. I'll make a motion to approve. I have a motion. I think Trustee Flores, did you have a question or a comment? Oh, no, I was just going to, you know, you answered it pretty much, but I was going to see like why architect is necessary if they were just replacing like for like, but you answered that for me. I have a first. Can I have a second? I'll second. I have a first. I have a second. All those in favor, please say aye. Aye. The motion carries 601. Thank you. Thank you. Moving on to item 10 .10. This is to add a discussion item on the June 17th, 2023 special board study session regarding the interim superintendent and permanent superintendent selection process. This report will be presented once again by our very own Dr. Michelle Rodriguez, superintendent of schools. Thank you so much. So as we've been discussing earlier this evening, we do have our special board study session on Saturday. Originally it was slated just to be for budget and so just due to recent events, then we're asking to add an additional discussion item as the first item before the board study session so that some community can hear about the process and also board can engage in discussion and direction for staff. So request that we add this action item to our special board study session. Thank you, Dr. Rodriguez. Do we have any public speakers to this item? We do not. Okay. Seeing none, I will bring it back to the board for any discussion. Second. Can I ask a question? No. She extends the meeting to me, but she wants to get out of here. So my question was because that meeting I think when it was approved it was approved to be like 10 to 3 so is that, do you need any structure change in the time or is it 10 to 3 times? I think we'll be fine with the 10 to 3. I'm hope, I mean I guess the question is are we 5 hours of budget is pretty challenging so I think you'll be okay. Right. But if it did go over 3 is that allowed? You could extend. It could. Okay. Just wanted to clarify. Okay, so I have a first and I have a second. Oh, so sorry.  So just to let the people know what you in the location is it was selected at EA Hall. So it would be at the EA Hall cafeteria. 10 a.m. So see everybody there. Thank you. Thank you for the clarification on that. Okay. So did we vote? Okay. I have a first and a second. All those in favor? Aye. Aye. Sorry. Aye. That carries 601. And then item 10 point 11 schedule an additional regular board meeting for July 2020-23. This report will be presented by Dr. Michelle Rodriguez, superintendent of schools. Yeah, thank you very much. So part of the requirements when you are approving either an interim superintendent or a regular superintendent contract is you must do it at a regular regularly scheduled board meeting. It can't be a special board meeting. So customarily we only have one board meeting in July. And so this would be the official action and notice to the public that we are adding a regularly scheduled board meeting in July. My recommendation is that it is the second week in July, the second Wednesday in July as the first one would hit right at 4th of July. We do have staff that will be out of town and so that would need to just know that it would be a skeletal crew, but I'm sure staff would make sure that they got themselves there. And so we're asking for it if needed because everything can be completed by the June 28 board meeting, you can always cancel this board meeting. This just provides flexibility. Thank you, Dr. Rodriguez. Do we have any public comments on this item? We do not. And I'll bring it back to the board for any questions or comments. Yes. I was just going to say yes. I don't want to I don't want to, you know, do it so close to 4th of July, so I would suggest July 12. And I would make a motion to add that to We have a motion for it to be on Wednesday July 12 and I imagine we would do a regular 6 and 7 o'clock because we may have to have closed session to cover some closed session items with that and then the 7 o'clock start the regular. Perfect. But I think we are looking that it's just going to be on that topic. It doesn't mean we'll be adding other stuff per se. That's true, but we can't limit it at this point because it would technically be a regularly scheduled board meeting. Right. So agenda setting committee will make that determination. Okay. All right. So we have a first and a second. All in favor? Aye. Motion carries 6-0-1. Next we have the consent agenda. Can I have a these are just our routine items that come before the board. Do we have any public speakers sorry to consent agenda? We do not. See none. Are there any items that any of the board members wish to defer? If none, can I have a motion to approve the consent agenda? Yeah, the consent agenda. Okay. I have a motion. No second. Okay. All those in favor please say aye. Aye. Motion carries 6-0-1. There are no deferred consent, but we do need to reconvene to closed session and we will be back when we are done with that to report out of closed session. Okay. I'll call this meeting back to order. So we are returning from closed session. We are under action item 14.1 to report out of closed session. So on with regards to closed session item 2.1 the expulsion under the closed session agenda item the board voted in a motion to approve the recommendation of the district administration of a full expulsion for one calendar year for student number 22-23-013. For closed session item 2.4 I move to approve the certificate of personal report as presented by district administration on June 14, 2023 with 23 and 22 additional action items. I'll need a second. Okay. All those in favor, please say aye. Thank you. That motion carries 6-0-1. With regards to closed session item 2.5 I move to approve the classified personnel report as presented by district administration on June 14, 2023 with 21 and 6 additional action items. I'll need that second. Okay. All those in favor, please say aye. On closed session item 2.6 the board voted 6-0-1 to approve a resignation agreement for one certificated employee number 3357. For closed session item 2.8 the board voted 6-0-1 to approve a settlement agreement between PVUSD and classified employee number 7852. And we do have a few announcements. On behalf of our superintendent and district administration we are pleased to announce Mr. Carlos Olivares promotion to supervisor food and nutrition services operations. Mr. Olivares has 8 years of experience as a buyer in the district's food and nutrition services department. He managed the multitude of supply issues during the pandemic. He goes out of his way to help the community. Mr. Olivares is always looking to learn and understand more about school food and nutrition services. His hobbies include photography, camping, biking and exercising with his dog. He is a long time resident of Watsonville and graduate of Watsonville high school. He takes great pride in being from Watsonville, his job and his family. He looks forward to serving the district and continuing the good work he does. He is proud to welcome Mr. Olivares to his new role as supervisor food and nutrition services operations. That's always great when we're promoting from within, right? Yes. Pajaro Valley Unified School District is pleased to announce the selection of Elizabeth DeVargas Almeida to the position of coordinator of early literacy. Elizabeth comes to PBSD for a unified school district where she served as the academic coach for literacy. She has been heavily involved in all aspects of early literacy during her educational career serving as a teacher and reading TOSA and an early literacy intervention teacher. Elizabeth holds a bachelor's in psychology from Sonoma State as well as multiple subject credentials also from Sonoma State. She obtained a master's in applied school leadership with an administrative credential from National University and Santa Clara and will finalize her educational doctorate this spring. We are excited to welcome this highly accomplished educator to PBSD. Welcome Elizabeth. And our final and third announcement Pajaro Valley Unified School District is pleased to announce the selection of Maria Ferrera to the position of principal for Duncan Holbert. Maria is a highly experienced educator with a background in special education. She served as special education teacher at different grade levels and as new teacher project mentor. Most recently she was awarded teacher of the year in Santa Cruz County. Maria holds a bachelor's degree in liberal studies and an education specialist credential from Fresno State a level two education specialist credential from CSUMB and a master's in education and administrative credential from University of Massachusetts Global. She is excited to have Maria join our team. Go C stars. Welcome Maria. And the last thing is to announce our upcoming board meetings. Bless you as was mentioned earlier numerous times this evening. Our next board meeting is this Saturday June 17th at starting at 10 a.m. at EA Hall School in the cafeteria and then our next regular board meeting will be Wednesday June 28th and with that I will adjourn this meeting at 11 11. Hey, interesting time.


My name is Samantha Martinelli and I'm currently ranked number four in the country in junior tennis. My dad's name is Angelo Martinelli and he is a lieutenant in the Denver Police Department. I work in District One which is Northwest Denver. I've been playing tennis since I was three years old. I started tournaments around six and in that time I probably won over 50 titles. She picked up a racket that was about as big as she was and went to the backboard and started hitting into that. From the beginning I just really loved it. She started playing and immediately just took off to the top around the Denver area. This wasn't just something for fun like this could be something bigger. My parents kind of realized years ago that if I was going to reach a different level and get to the scholarships that I wanted to get in college or be able to play professionally I would have to get out of Colorado. I'm at the No Quit Tennis Academy in Las Vegas, Nevada and I've been there since I was 13. We had to sit down to make a decision to send her off to a family. We didn't know. It's a host family out there. It was horrible.  I missed a lot of Christmases, a lot of thanksgivings but it was all for the greater plan and in my opinion it was always in college. In fall 2017 I will be attending Yale. I just verbally committed like a couple weeks ago and I'm very very excited about it. I'm forever grateful for the sacrifices my mom and dad both made for me to be able to play tennis. I wouldn't call it a sacrifice. I think it's just something you do as a parent and it makes me feel proud to be able to do it for her. I don't, Sammy's the kind of person I'll never have to worry about. She's going to keep going and keep going up.