Hi everyone, Sean with jaspyscasebreaks.com here doing 2020-2021 upper deck SP game used hockey five box break three random teams with each spot number seven where all cards ship just released last week awesome looking stuff you can get like you can see all star game used or skills challenge used materials autos and all the rest so uh there is 10 spots where we get three random teams in NHL all card ship and the ducks and coyotes are combo so here is our list of customers from Steve Wright down to Gerald Hurtado with last spot mojo and the ducks and coyotes combo spot down to the wooden peg gents dice world randomized both lists and pair them up a six and a three nine times ninth and final time from Daniel Katz down to David Duffy we're still going to do nine times on the uh on the list but I have to triple it up my apologies since three teams for the list I have to copy the full list two so you'll see Gerald Hurtado with last spot mojo times one times two and times three uh and remember we're still doing it nine times so there you go ninth and final time on this Kenneth Lee down to David Duffy see nine times on the randomizer nine times of the dice now nine times on the combo teams uh we have a Facebook group Nick ninth and final time from the Canucks down to the Edmonton Oilers nine times on the randomizer nine times of the dice so Kenneth Lee with the Canucks Steve Wright with the ducks and coyotes combo Anthony Huyenga with the Knights Daniel Katz with the leaves David Duffy with the wings uh Gerald Hurtado with the Islanders and the Stars Anthony Huyenga with the Bruins Ryan Redmond with the flames Kenneth Lee with the Capitals Joseph falsetti with the Panthers Steve Wright with the Penguin Steve Birch with the Canadians Daniel Katz with the Lightning Steve Wright with the Predators Daniel Katz with the Kings John Huyenga with the Blues Kenneth Lee with the Wild Anthony Huyenga with the Senators Gerald Hurtado with the Devils Joseph falsetti with the Sharks Steve Birch with the Flyers Ryan Redmond with the Jets Joseph falsetti with with the Hurricanes, Ryan Redmond the Rangers, David Duffy with the Blue Jackets, Steve Virch with the Savers, and John Hanging with the Blackhawks Avalanche, and David Duffy with the Oilers. Trade window is open. So if you guys would like to trade at all, here is your chance. While you guys are doing that, let's turn on the camera real quick. We've got a fresh case here with two inner cases. And since this is a five box break, we need to figure out which five box inner we're gonna be doing. I will load the second half of this case in the store tonight. So we're gonna go one, two, three on the dice for the left side, four, five, six on the dice for the right side, and it's a six. So we're gonna go with case on the right. This one here will be for random team number eight. So it doesn't look like there's any talk to trades, so let's go ahead and print it. So here is our case. This does not look like it's, I believe it's P. Gavius. Give me one second. Let me pause this video. Okay, we're all good. So it's actually a five box, it's a half inner case. So we're gonna roll the dice again and figure out which five boxes from the inner case we're gonna do as well. I was confused by the 10 box inner cases. So random team number eight will actually be the other five boxes from this case that we don't use right now. So here we go. One, two, three on the left, four, five, six on the right. Six again, so right boxes. These will be for number eight. And there's our finalists. First up is 89 out of 99 Olaf Holzen for the Washington capitals. Piece of history, 40 win club. Kenneth Lee in the capitals. We've got Leon Drysidle. Mysterial material distinctions. 110 points in 1920 for the Oilers. David Duffy. We've got a veteran two time all star, Alex Petrangelo for the Blue, sorry, the St. Louis Blues. All star skills challenge materials. St. Louis Blues is John Hyanga. Brendan Gallagher to 265 for the Canadians. That is Steve Birch. And Josh Morrissey. Banner Year for the Jets. Nice two color patch from the Heritage Classic in 2019. Winnipeg Jets is Ryan Redmond. Tyler Seguin, three out of five. Nice auto there for the Dallas Stars. And Gerald Hurtado at last spot, Mojo. Three out of five. Nice low number hit there. Banner Year dual relic, Elias Pedersen for the Canucks. That is Kenneth Lee. All star game relics. Igor Korshkov for the Maple Leafs. Relic, Authentic Rookies. Maple Leafs is Daniel Katz. And Bill Ransford, Legends Relic for the Oilers. David Duffy. Authentic Rookie, Martine Cout to 199. For the Avalanche, John Hyanga. Victor Soddersstrom to 77 for the Coyotes. Part of the combo spot for Steve Wright. And Gage Quinney, Authentic Rookie Auto for the Knights and Anthony Hyanga. First up relic, Rookie Pius Souter for the Blackhawks and John Hyanga. We've got a dual relic of Mark Shifley and Connor Hellbook for the Jets. And Ryan Redmond from the Skills Challenge. Material Distinctions, Claude Giroux. 68 assists in 1718 for the Flyers and Steve Birch. Alex Lovetskin to 265 for the Capitals and Kenneth Lee. Carter Hart out of 79 for the Flyers and Steve Birch. And Martine Cout, Rookie Auto for the Avalanche. John Hyanga, got a numbered card of his earlier. And a nice patch here. Pierre Olivier Joseph, nine out of 65 for the Penguins. That is Steve Wright. Nice three color patch there for you. Felipe Milet for the Capitals. Kenneth Lee, Authentic Rookie Relics. Material Distinctions, Nikita Kuturov, 128 points in 1819. That's for the Tampa Bay Lightning and Daniel Katz. Pierre Luc Dubois to 265 for the Columbus Blue Jackets and David Duffy. And Gustav Lindstrom to 299 for the Detroit Red Wings and David Duffy. We've got a draft day in Mark's Tide the Laundryer. Three out of 35 for the Dallas Stars. Tyler Sagan first, now you get this Dallas Stars, Gerald Bertata. And fifth and final box. Looks like no auto in this box, as I can see. Jake Evans to 199 for the Canadians. Steve Birch. Igor Shisterkin to 165 for the Rangers. Ryan Redman. We've got a dual relic out of 25. Tyler Tifoli and Blake Lazat for the Kings, part of the Stadium Series. Air Force Academy Stadium Series in 2020. That is 25 out of 25. Nice patches there for the Kings. That's going to Daniel Katz. Another dual relic for the Bruins, David Pasternak. Bruins, Anthony Haenga. That is from the All-Star Game, St. Louis. Alexander Tru, rookie relic for the Sharks, Joseph Falsetti. First year All-Star Jacob Slavin. Jacob Slavin for the Hurricanes and Joseph Falsetti. Also from the St. Louis All-Star Game. And there you go guys. That was our five boxes. I will load the next five in the store. But very nice. 2020-2021 upper deck, SP game used hockey, five box break, random team edition, number seven from jaspyskatesbreaks.com. I'm Sean, jaspyskatesbreaks.com. Thanks for hanging out. We'll see you next time.


jarwf wedi bod y cychwyn gyda gwybodaeth. Efallai zOH? Wrthsen am ffordd i gdael diwrnod ru contextau ac ben naddestu hyn. Sy'r ffordd phoedd Cymru maen nhw'n ba i fynd i fod yn gallu llpekturau o'n perff проблема yn roi whiff fel nhw i'ch medg insurancei.' Mae'r iawn i'r gweithio ar y cwm yw'r ystod yn gwneud hynny. Mae oedden nhw'n rydyn ni, rydyn ni wedi'i gyd, a rydyn ni'n gweithio yn Llywodraeth, wedi gweithio ar Ystod yn Cysylltiadol, ac mae gennym ni'n gweithio'r cyfferdd. Mae'r cyffredin ni'n gweithio'r cyffredin ni, mae'r cyffredin ni'n gweithio'r cyffredin ni, mae'n gweithio'r cyffredin ni, mae'n eu gweld yn gwneud yr oedd, morning around 4-5 o'r uppodaeth, evening afternoon, and since then stocks have recovered. We broke up obviously above that trend channel you can see on Friday helped by, I guess, the goldilocks situation of non plan payrolls and pushed higher, and since then we've had a decent push on, and of course looking for targets now is going to be relatively difficult to be probably looking to get recent highs, and see if there's any trends gynnwys, o'r ffordd o'i gael eich cyfleol yn ymdweud, ond byddai gan gweithio ar y cyflwynt o'r Llywodraeth yn ymdweud, ac mae'n rhaid i'r fforddol i'r Llywodraeth, os ymdweud yma, ond byddai'n bach o'r ffordd o'r Llywodraeth i'r Llywodraeth. Felly, mae'r ffordd o'r cyflwynt, sy'n gynnydd cael eu cyflwynt, sy'n gwybod ar y cyflwynt i'r cyflwynt. Felly, mae'n gwybod yma yn y gweithio I'm going to bring that in to picture there. The S&P 500, obviously the big guys, they're having a positive day. We aren't just up for the day on the electronic market so far elsewhere. Let's have a quick look over what the £1 is doing. Coming in we can see it did push lower yesterday. It so did the Euro as well because they're both coming under a bit of pressure.  Byddwn i ni'r cwmifethaf iawn yn ei wneud i chi i'n cymdeithas o'i ddweud o'r certhio yma yma, yn ddechrau'r EOZ-Dola. Felly mae'r bwyf ar gweithio arlinegoedd yn ei wneud.  Roedd bwysig hairsi'r will o bwysig yn rhesweddol i fi wrth gwrs. Rydym ni wedi cael ei ddechrau sy'n gweithio'r gilydd o'r Soleddolol o bwysig, i fydd am yr hyn eich bodech nhw'n gweithio eich gydweithio'r beth sy'n cyd-10%. Ac yna yw'r rhesymau yn cael eu ddolygau'r holl o'r mynd i ddodolol ymlaen, wrth gwrs, oherwydd a'r coerlau'n arlaeddol o Australia a Chynynog. Felly, y Ddodol Llyfr o'r holl o'r holl yma wedi'i gweld ei pryd wedi'i ymweld ymlaen i nifer. Mae yna yna yw'r unrhyw o'r holl o'r holl o'r holl, rhai o'r holl o'r holl. Rwy'n cael ei rhaid i'r holl o'r holl yn cael ei rhaid i'r holl o'r holl o'r holl o'r holl. So, mae'r ysgrifennu gyda i'r ysgrifennu yn ychydig o'r ffordd o'r ddafysbeth, o'r ddau'r rai o'r ddau ychydig, nid i'r hynod o'r gweinig, i'r ddau'r ddau'r optimuson o'r ddau. Rwy'n gwein i'r ysgrifennu, yn golygu o'r guld. Erbyn yn cymdeithas hwnnw, sy'n gallu bod yn gyffredig o'r cymdeithas, i'r ddau'r cymdeithas o'r ddau'r cymdeithas, byddai'n cymdeithas, 5.0 a llythdoedd gyda'r punt yn y ddweud i'r gyfnodion, ac mae'r ddweud o'r ffrifei, a'r ddweud hynny, oherwydd, mae'r ddweud o'r 14.85 o'r llythdoedd gyda'r pwysig o'r 30 o'r gweithledig a'r ddweud o'r gweithledig. Yn ysgolwch ar Ysgolwch, mae'r ddweud o'r ddechrau, a'r busnes, mae'n gwybod, mae'n gwybod, the wait and see approach now, which seems to be the the main point across all central banks. Main headline that keep in stocks elevated overnight trade optimism continuing as the trump administration officials are debating whether to remove some tariffs on china. Chinese goods as a concession to seal the partial deal that will pause the trade war ond y dyma'n mynd. Felly byddwn ni wedi'u gwneud yn gwybod y 17 yma mhelydd, ac yn Chilly onion yn beth oeddiad y ffordd y cael ei gael. Oherwydd y bydd hynny, a rhaid i'r llwythog yn gweithio i ymddangos, ac i chi sefydig i ddiwedd i'u gwneud hynny, mae gennym yn dleidio eu paru'r cyfnod yr US yn ei fod y bod fe yna ein gw'i cyflwyntau am ein hynny. The White House is considering rolling back levies on 112 billion dollars of Chinese import, including clothing, appliances and flat screen monitors that were introduced at 15% back in the beginning of September 1. ac mae'r dewis byw i ni ddechrau o'r unadddio yma i Llafynau Lleiddoedd Cymru i gynhwys. The 키w o'r ymddangosu Lleiddoedd Cymru ei weld ym dwysgol a'r re allan sydd wedi'u cyd-dwyledigol. Mae'r cyfaint o'r cyd-dwyledigol maen nhw ar y cyd-dwyledigol pan iddo i dda. ac o wnaeth gynhyrch hwnnw'n ymlaen iawn a gwaith hynny o'r tynnu ni siw yna gyda'i y grannu ymaMUSIC sgwrdd. Mae gennym eu cyfaintidol y ffaith yn meddi. Ym bwysig o'r cyfrifiad ymwneud ymerwyr mewn cyfaint, cyfaintwyr optimistol, cyflyb fynd ymwneud yn ymryd i'r llunion. Felly mae'r unrhyw o'r ddechrau o'r oedd oes, 190 dolygu, on hold and the unwind of those dovish bets gold and tea notes just coming under pressure because of the safe haven flow and if we just bring the yen in as well you can see that confirmed here so very much a mourning for risk on in the market which continued from yesterday morning as well so how are we going to see an unwind of that well if these trade talks take a turn for the worse i'd still think perhaps if there is no meeting scheduled in soon that will start to be a worry but at the moment everything is is deemed all fine and dandy going forward having a look at the the calendar is there anything here that could potentially move the the equity is lower because of course we're in a bit of a Goldilocks scenario data that back in the last week not great and this is going to keep the Fed somewhat accommodative going forward so in the afternoon US wise we've got market services PMI and composite PMI but both final reading so not expecting too much in the way of movement there and that's 245 free o'clock this could have some movement the ISM non-manufacturing PMI from october so that will be the the possibility for a slight bit of movement free o'clock for the US stock markets and of course any of the final earnings which overall have been pretty good has to be said so what is going to stop stocks it seems for now and unless we were to have some really strong data or the trade talks to take a turn for the worse it seems like the only way for now is up just while we're on the the data calendar just realized didn't have it changed there so there's just the 245 and three o'clock just while we're on the the data calendar might as well have a quick run through you've got the the market services PMI and we know this is the the main one for for the UK to focus on that coming in expected at 49.3 just where would that put us pretty much unchanged from the last month and we haven't had a reading of our 50 since august so that would provide a bit of a relief for the UK if we were to get above there as has been the case with UK data even though this is one of the more important ones of course Brexit is going to be the main driver and at the moment the general election coming up will take more of a move on markets but certainly short-term volatility if we were to have a really strong number and here you're talking more towards 51.5 or a multi-year low number below 48 I wouldn't be expected to see too much overnight well from yesterday Johnson and Corbyn trade brexit barbs as UK election heats up not enough really to take from here to to provide a direction on the pound really it was just a case of the dollar was a bit stronger yesterday and the euro and pound and the Aussie and the annual came under a bit of pressure and now we're just seeing a bit of an unwind on on that so here this was more as you might have seen it in the on Twitter on the Twitter sphere yesterday Johnson writing an open letter to Corbyn demanding to to see what exactly is he doing for the general election what is his agenda going forward and then on the flipside Corbyn attacking Johnson saying how he is hijacking brexit to pursue an agenda of cutting workers rights and increasing the role of US companies in the NHS the build up obviously starting Wednesday for those five weeks I mean this is it's going to start I guess to to get more more ugly as we go forward to be expected it's UK politics in terms of movement on the market I would say that is likely to to happen as we go past Wednesday and then we start looking at polls and any real key changes is Farage going to stand or is he not of course he said he's not going to after failing to make a seat in I think it was seven attempts or whatever but they're going to run a candidate candidate in all constituencies there so well we'll see what brexit party can do to the value of the pound if they were to make steps forward and take some of the shine away from the conservative lead at the moment then of course the pound should well come down on the fears of a current conservative majority turning into the minority or even a flip round just more uncertainty there but for now I would say brexit you know let's wait and see what happens for tomorrow onwards general elections they break up and start really vamping up the the rhetoric trade talks all good going back to the calendar here the building up of the day and how I'd be you know looking at it is if I'm trading the pound really from from nine o'clock I'm the sort of unwinding any positions waiting for this this data to come out European numbers you've got out at 10 o'clock as well so similar sort of thing and just before that data release just waiting to see how these numbers come out the the european producer price both the month and month and year and year figures from september so limited reaction expected there there was limited reaction from christine lagarde yesterday pretty much a a non-event as well so really going into today it's pretty quiet a couple of data points of note to be aware of but not um not much has changed shall we say overnight having a look as well for the rest of the week if we go over to Wednesday I'll see the UK Parliament dissolving again there's not really much driver this week I wouldn't be looking to go chase markets really um in in terms of off single events uh Thursday brings in the the bank of England rate decision yesterday the quarterly inflation report will provide some opportunity perhaps but they're not going to do anything uh while brexit uncertainty and general election uncertainty are still still rife and of course carney is often the 31st of January as well as we may be with brexit friday you've got the rba monetary policy statement overnight Chinese data but it's relatively quiet data front week so this may help stocks to continue that gradual grind higher which we know they do love um when things are all fine and dandy and we're just getting those 0.5 percent moves each day it could be that we're in for for that unless trade talks turn worse or or we have some really strong u.s data but these points that we're looking from from here unless we're getting that from the ism non-manufacturing really um that's uh that's the only big opportunity to to perhaps change the the u.s dollar off a data release quick look over the charts as a whole from today opportunity wise levels to be aware of certainly just looking at the pound here we're testing the original low of yesterday afternoon before that breakthrough so you would expect some resistance around here double bottom from the low of the day keeping a watch on those previous lows from the last couple weeks if we were to have any negative headlines or a poor multi-year low then these could well come into play to the upside you can see it moved quite nicely yesterday when we have broken these support levels i mean look at that really lovely retest around midday and the s1 off a good opportunity a couple of times it as did the s2 on the classics there so some good opportunities yesterday and those will be levels today that i'll be focusing on in terms of looking to go short there uh if we were to push higher just be wary of of how we get there because of course we've just made now this trend um from the highly that we had in the afternoon of the first on friday uh then the morning of the fourth and literally to the tick just now uh so we're really key and well respected trend line so a break of that could be a change of the trend and actually these shorts now don't look as attractive while they were still would definitely be um profit targets looking over at the euro similar move i mean it looked pretty much the same uh market in terms of where we just found resistance now the original low from yesterday so we're keeping a watch on that just above where we're trading as well uh you've got the previous low obvious day morning that would be another point to have marked up really you could call this uh a free day triple top on the euro just starting to top out perhaps there it's been on a decent run for the whole month it has to be said of of october decent push um and just couldn't quite get above 112 uh on the futures confirming a break there but for now uh we are below um levels to be aware of to to the downside that triple bottom this is a very key range now it has to be said for the euro with those lows and those highs going back to a few weeks just drag that over no harm medium term anyway waiting for a bigger move to see what could happen having to look at the the s&p of course the all important trend channel is going to be uh your your guide here while things are probably expecting just to grind higher on this lower volume uh it's a trend just being aware if we do come down for whatever reason a key break which we've had above here is the all important line in the sand so below that then it can start to to push lower fine uh you can see that's the initial hold of that we broke lower it offered a great opportunity to to come in on the untested level of the 13th of september failure on both of those days to close below and and we had pushed higher since then i do actually believe if we on these days just circle this up close below that level i do believe now we we could be quite a lot lower just the way markets work and the psychology now being above that trend channel which came in around 30 50 you can see we got a nice 30 points higher above there so for me that's the the key line in the sand looking at a 60 minute be looking at any of these previous highs as well from the days this week to offer a level of support going forward we have perhaps just created a bit of a penant here just starting to get squeezed in but you know much than muchness at the moment relatively quite uh out there as well gold can see just before we put the pivots on here having a nice area of support be keeping a watch on that as well getting squeezed in from the the upside um on that dollar strength that we have from yesterday key level around 1505 that's where i'll be focusing on to the downside a close of the hour maybe below there could open up the door back towards 1500 handle s1 s2 sorry and the previous high from the 31st really key level just like the euro on on those three days to struggling to get back above 15 16 as well so a bit of a mini range to be aware of looking over at oil decent move yesterday and of course from friday as well we're now back above some of those levels or almost i should say we dig yes they get back above the high that we had from the the 27th however we have just closed below there and 57 dollar handle keeping in a watch here it's a bit of a messy level it has to be said that the previous high from from friday we broke through there yesterday support there last night had a little go yes a couple of times this morning but 56 38 is holding well so to the downside that would be my level to keep a watch on to the upside just below 57 at 56 92 as well any questions as usual please do let me know overall in a summary rba rates unchanged unwined with dovish bets are pushed higher with trade optimism boosting that stocks higher on that front the pound not really any new developments the speaker is confirmed but that's not really going to drive price right now with the parliament being dissolved wednesday that's when i would expect things to pick up just out the corner my eye i might as well bring in this chart to to wrap things up this is bitcoin um here which at seven o'clock was trading at 9382 and then a few minutes later was trading at 8357 so i've said this before and i'll say it again i'll take those 0.5% ranges uh in the s&p uh over a 10.8% that moved downside to then go 11% to the upside crazy any questions to uh let us know expecting a relatively quiet day but uh headline risk of course is there with trade and brexit hope you'll have a good trading date and i'll catch you all in the chat


Welcome back, in the previous segment we discussed numerical integration. In this segment we are going to discuss the bisection method for finding roots. So the root of a function f is a value x such that f of x equal to 0 or in other words it is the point where f of x, the graph of f of x crosses the x axis. Many problems can be expressed as finding roots. For example, if I want the square root of some number w then I claim that that is the same thing as the root of the function f of x equal to x squared minus w. Why is that? Well, if we do find the root that is if we find f of x such that, if we find x such that f of x equal to 0 then we know that x squared minus w equal to 0 or x must be square root of w. Now the bisection method has relatively few requirements as to when it can be applicable. So for example, we require the ability to evaluate f given an x. So we should be able to calculate f of x given an x. Then we want f to be continuous and then we must be given points x l and x r such that f of x l and f of x r are not both positive or not both negative. So these are three relatively simple requirements but once we have these then we can use the bisection method and the bisection method can be used for finding roots but as we just remarked finding roots is really itself useful for finding for calculating functions such as say the square root in this case. So again to reiterate we need to be evaluate f, f must be continuous and we must be given points x l and x r such that f of x l and f of x r are not both positive or both negative. Or in other words what must be the case? So if we plot the graph of x, a graph of f, so this is the x axis, this is the y axis and let us say this is the point, this is the point with x coordinate x l, this with x r. Then the points f of x, the value of f at x l say it is here then x r should be on the other side or it could be at 0 but both of them cannot be on the same side. So that is what the point is, that is what the requirement is. So I am going to describe the bisection method now but we will assume these three properties. So in other words we will assume that we are given x l and x r satisfying this property. So the basic iteration of the method is as follows. So we will start with the user given x l and x r and then we will bring them closer. As we bring them closer we will maintain the invariant then that x l and x r must have different signs or they are 0. If they are 0 it does not really matter. Now I want to observe that at the beginning this invariant is true that is because the user gave us two such numbers. Now before proceeding let me discuss the implication of this.  Now because this function is continuous what does it mean? The graph of this function must start somewhere over here maybe it will increase, maybe it will do whatever it needs to but it is continuous. So this graph, this line must be continuous and beam and while it is continuous it must still reach this point. So what does that mean? That means it must cross this x axis at some point otherwise it cannot go to the other side. But the point at which it crosses is exactly the root. So what we know is that the root must be contained in this interval. So effectively when we set to the user please give us x l and x r the user is effectively giving us an interval which contains the root. So invariant plus continuity implies that the root exists between x l and x r and the root might be exactly at x l or exactly at x r. So f of x l or f of x r are allowed to be 0. So we are going to execute this basic iteration until the distance between x r and x l becomes smaller than some error bound let us call it epsilon. If epsilon is really small then these two numbers are really close and the root is somewhere in between them which really means that we can declare one of those numbers say x l as the root. So we will have error in this but the error is at most epsilon. So that is the whole that is the whole that is the gist of the argument. So we are going to get we are going to get an approximate answer but you will see that the approximation can be as good as you want no matter what epsilon you give us we will be able to iterate until that point. So let me tell you now how this iteration is going to happen how are we going to shrink this interval. So first we calculate x m which is x l plus x r divided by 2. So what is that well that is the midpoint of this interval x l to x r. Next we check the signs of x m and x l. If these two signs are the same then we are going to set x l equal to x m. So again let us come back to this picture. So this is x l x r we find the midpoint which is over here then we look at f of x l. So the sign of f of x l and the sign of f of x m. So this is x m. So the sign of f of x m is positive and the sign of f of x l is also positive. So that means f of x l and f of x m have the same sign. So in which case we will execute x l equal to x m or in other words we will move this point over to this point. So I claim now that this is going to keep our invariant without violation. So why is that? Well x l and x m had the same signs. So the signs did not change as we moved x l over to x m. As we assign x l equal to x m the signs did not change. So that means the sign of x l continues to remain different from the sign of x r. So if it was different before then it will continue to remain different. But we are assuming that this invariant was true at the beginning of the iteration and therefore what we have proved that in this case the invariant will hold even after the iteration. Or in other words the root will now we contain in this smaller interval which is true in this case in our picture. If this condition is not holding that if x m and x l do not have the same sign then we are going to set x r equal to x m. So why is that? Well in that case x r must have the same sign as x m and so again we can conclude that the sign of x r has not changed. And so even in this case we can conclude that the invariant is going to hold. So basically what we have is a simple method by which we can shrink this interval. So let us now see the code for it. So we are going to write this code for the problem that we mentioned earlier which is finding the square root. And we will make the problem very concrete by saying that we want to find the square root of 2. So in that case as we discussed earlier we should be finding the root of f of x equal to x squared minus 2 because if x is the root of this then x squared minus 2 must be equal to 0 or x squared must be equal to 2 or x must be square root of 2. So the root of this equation will indeed give us the square root of 2. So first we need to supply x l and x r. So I claim that x l equal to 0 will work. So let us see what that means. So x l equal to 0 means f of x l equal to 0 minus 2. So f of x l is negative. So long as we can supply an x r such that f of x r is positive we will have satisfied our requirement. So we are going to set x r equal to 2. So f of x r is 2 squared or 4 minus 2 and therefore it is positive. So our x l and x r are really satisfying what we set out that the science of f of x l and of x r are indeed different. So then we need to have a variable to store this x m value and we need an epsilon as well and let us say just as an example that we pick epsilon to be 10 to the power minus 5, 10 to the power minus 4. I am sorry 10 to the power minus 5. Anyway it does not matter. Now we are going to just have to write our basic iteration and what is our basic iteration? Well we check whether the interval x r to x l or the length of this interval which is x r minus x l is bigger than epsilon. If it is bigger than epsilon then that means that our interval is still larger than what we want. So in that case we should execute our basic step. So what is our basic step? So we are going to find x m which is the midpoint of x l and x r and so it is x l plus x r by 2. Then we are going to check whether x m and x l have the same signs. So what is this checking?  So does x l have the positive sign and this checks whether f of x m also have the positive sign. So this is checking one side of the condition that we want that f of x l and f of x m both have positive signs. So if they both have positive signs or if they both have negative signs which is the second condition over here, then that means they have the same sign x l and f of x l and f of x m have the same sign in which case we are going to set x l equal to x m. Otherwise we are going to set x r equal to x m. This is exactly what we said on the previous slide. That is it. So we are going to repeat this. We are going to repeat while this condition holds. We are going to stop as soon as this condition stops holding or in other words when x r minus x l becomes smaller than epsilon or in other words our interval has become smaller than epsilon. So at that point we are going to print out x l as the root. So this is what we said on the last slide and this is what we have here. So this should work and we will, so before moving on I just want to ask you a simple question. So suppose instead of finding the square root of 2, square root of 2 I want the square root of some other number. So say square root of 3. How would you choose x l and x r? So we can follow, we can see what is happening over here and maybe we will try to do something that is over here. So here we had 2, so let us try if we put, what happens if we put 3 over here. So indeed you will see that it works because again this will be negative and this will be 9 minus 3, so this will be positive. So you can use the same idea to solve this for any number larger than 1, for any number, and we are, so let me leave it at that. So let us do a quick demo of this. So this is the program that we had on the slides. There is a slight difference, so we are printing our final answer that we calculated over here. But in addition in each iteration we are also printing out the current interval, so the current values of x l and x r and we are doing this at the end of the iteration. So at the end of the first iteration we will calculate what x l and x r are and so on for each iteration. So we are calculating the intervals, we are calculating the final answer and then we know that there already exists a library function sqrt which gives us the square root. So we will print that also, so that will tell us how good our answer is. So let me compile this. So let us see what it has printed. So at the end of the first iteration the value, the interval was 1 to 2. Does that make sense? Well we started off with 0 to 2, x l was 0 and x r was 2 but then we moved x l to the midpoint, so it was 1 to 2 and so the interval keeps on shrinking and eventually it has got down to this. So it did take some amount of work, number of iterations but it eventually did get to this and as you can see this is indeed identical to what the library function tells us. Of course there may be additional digits after this which are not being printed over here and maybe the final answer is different, so if you want to check that you can print the additional digits also. But anyway to 5 digits this is certainly the same. So let us get back to the slides. So a few remarks. So because we are picking the midpoint in each iteration this interval x l to x r is halving. So in each iteration the interval halves. So the uncertainty in our estimate goes down by a factor of 2 or in other words we get one more bit of our final answer. And the size of the interval gives the error in the root we said and so the error halves and so if you want the answer correct to k bits you should use k iterations. Now the code that I have given over here is doing a few additional calculations over and above what is strictly needed. So I do not want to get into that detail right now in this lecture but you can take a look at the book and see how some of the work that you are doing could be reduced. And let me leave you with an exercise. I would like you to modify the program so that it calculates the cube root of any number w. So the number w should be read in from the keyboard and your program should correctly initialize x l and x r now. So think about how you would have to do that and then it should print out the cube root this time not the square root. So what did we discuss? So we discussed the bisection method which is a very simple method for finding the roots of a function. So it requires that we should be able to evaluate f for any x and that f should be continuous. And we need to have x l and x r such that f of x l and f of x r do not have the same sign. So if these three requirements are met then we can use the bisection method. And I should point out that the method is simple but it is slow in the sense that there are faster methods available. And next we will see the Newton-Raphson method which is one such method. But before that we will take a break.


Good good. Well, good morning everybody Excited to have such a big group this year So we're excited to kick off our 2017 kidney cancer Association sponsored patient Survivor conference This is our third year for doing a conference and with a plan that this would be an annual signature event for our program and our campus And so look for this late June early July Next year as it comes along So let me start off Beggars myself. I'm Scott Ticody many of you I know but for folks that that don't know me that haven't seen me in clinic. I'm a medical oncologist here at the University of Washington campus specializing in kidney cancer In Melendoma care on our campus and I'm our site director for kidney cancer research And so to start off our program today I want to introduce Kerry Koneski. We're very excited to have Kerry here She's the CEO for the kidney cancer Association, which is a national advocacy advocacy group for kidney cancer So I'm going to bring Kerry up to kick off the morning. Hi. Good morning everyone It's been so nice to meet all of you as you came in today as dr. Ticody said I'm Kerry Konozki I am the CEO of the kidney cancer Association Before I get started just telling you a little bit more about what we do I wanted to thank dr. Ticody again for putting this meeting on for us for his team and especially Samantha for all your help with outreach I know there's a lot of new faces here this year, which is exciting to see So just a little bit about the Association for those of you that are not familiar with what we do The kidney cancer Association was established in 1990 by a kidney cancer patient Jean Schoenfeld In 1990 we did not have anything for kidney cancer patients. There was no meetings like this There really wasn't any kind of internet or technology. So when dr. Schoenfeld was diagnosed he felt very alone he was a Professor at the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern. So a very intelligent academic Gentlemen who thought well, there's gotta be something I can do about this So he got a message boards up on the internet before that was really a thing that people knew what to do with He worked with his doctor Dr. Nick Bogel saying who was in Chicago at the time and is now still treating patients out in Nevada And they sat around the kitchen table with a couple of their patients and thought what can we do? And so that was the start of the kidney cancer Association It was really about pushing to get some sort of treatment to get research to be done for kidney cancer advocating in DC You know trying to find a network of patients throughout throughout the US to see you know How many people were affected and what were the needs of patients? And so here we are 27 years later Which is hard to believe with so many therapies now for patients We've got a meeting with 90 people signed up for this meeting this year And it's only our third year here in Seattle and this is just one of about six meetings like this that we do throughout the US We work globally now. So instead of being just at a tiny kitchen table outside of Chicago We are now all over the world. I'm coming from Tampa We had been based in Chicago up until about four years ago when we realized we were growing really fast And globally and that being in one time zone in one office didn't really make a whole lot of sense anymore so we now have volunteers and Staff members and contractors that we work with all over the world with some of the top physicians Nurses and we have amazing board of directors who is very involved Many of them are patients and survivors or caregivers like yourself in addition to meetings like this We do smaller support group meetings In local communities art and Julie who some of you know may have spoken to already this morning They do a meeting about five times a year. Yes in the evenings where they will Vary the topics and they are fantastic about commuting cating So if you didn't sign up for their list out there, please do so now and we try to send out through our network as well When they're doing meetings if you're not local enough for that and are interested in doing something in your area You can contact me or go to the website and email the General office information and someone will get back to you to help you get something started We do medical symposia as well So we from the beginning with dr. Schoenfeld's model is it's always been extremely important to us to not only educate Patients and families about what's going on the disease but also to make sure that physicians Stay educated on what's going on in research So we do a meeting here in the u.s. Every fall and then we go to europe every spring For our global impact that meeting is for physicians only but we do put those videos online So you have access to the website and haven't been to our to the kidney cancer or website I would encourage you to do so and go to the video section and you can see More at a medical level, but it talks more about kind of what what's going on in research for for kidney cancer Right now. We also fund research Our projects are primarily young investigator awards. So knowing we've been around since 1990 We have been extremely fortunate that the doctors who were there from the beginning are still around and still working hard But they have realized that eventually they are not going to be be there and not be the ones sitting at the table And so they want to encourage the younger minds to keep focusing on this disease So that we don't lose all the amazing momentum that we have have had so we fund Two projects through larger institutions, and then we do two to three Grants directly through the kidney cancer association that are peer reviewed And then we help to advocate So if it's some you talking to us wanting to know you know information that you can pass along to insurance companies to help for Getting therapies approved. A lot of that is globally our advocacy work because A lot of other countries don't have to access the drugs that we do. So we spend a lot of time trying to work On that and our funding Comes a lot from the pharmaceutical industry So I do want to thank Pfizer for helping to support this meeting to make it possible for you I'll be here to put this meeting on video so that patients who are not able to be here with us today Are able to watch that and we rely on donations for patients and families So anytime if you want to give if you have friends and family that want to know how they can contribute You can always make a donation to our organization and let them know what we do that we provide education and we do research And then we also do we have a lot of people now who are interested in doing their own fundraiser So being a small disease it's sometimes hard to to do races and galas all over the world So we work with a lot of families who In their communities that want to start a race or want to join a run or Do an event in their town and if that's something you're interested in if you have family members Who again who want to do something to give back help raise awareness because you're the first person They've ever heard of that had kidney cancer. We can help you do that. Um, one thing I'm doing this year They'll be raising funds. I'm a runner and I'll be hitting my 12-year mark at the kca in august So my goal this year is to do a race every month 12 months for 12 years So, um, I'll be doing that and putting that out to to try to raise some funds this year and and see what We can do with that. So, um, I think that's my brief overview of the kca I will be here all day if you guys have any questions or want to talk a little bit more about some of the Specific work that we've been doing. There will be a lot of information coming at you today I'm sure so again, this will be videotaped and we will send an email out to let you know When that's online. So if you have questions So with that, I will turn it to dr. Tycote. Thank you all and enjoy the rest of your day Thank you. Carrie Okay, uh, so before I bring up the first speaker I just wanted to make a few comments to just kind of introduce an overview of today's program and some of the thoughts Going into the different talks That we have lined up for you So there is a printed program if you didn't pick one up right outside of the table you can grab the program So the morning session will have four speakers a short break There's restroom down the hallway when you go back towards the front door by the information desk Take a left and you'll find them And then we'll break for lunch before the lunch break. I would ask the morning speakers That are still able to stay if we can come up and just do a speaker panel and field questions And you know, we're here for you folks So as we go through the talks if you have questions, don't be bashful Each of the speakers is happy to take on a few questions after each talk But then we'll have a panel session as well And if you don't have questions, you're welcome to hit the lunch break a little bit early for that So just uh, you know an overview keeping cancers aware is it not rare What's the burden of disease in the u.s. I just like to look at American cancer society statistics About 64,000 new kidney cancer diagnosis annually in the u.s. 14,400 deaths And it's a male predominant disease about two to one male incidents versus females across ethnic groups So in men, it's the sixth most common cancer in the u.s. About five percent of new cancer diagnoses for women 3% so it's a top 10 cancer It's fairly prevalent, but you know doesn't rise to the level of breast or lung or colon And if you look at the stage distribution of kidney cancer, so this is a large group of patients I think gives you a good statistical feel for what's what the patients look like that get diagnosed with kidney cancer This is a large database that captures new cancer diagnoses from hospitals nationwide 1400 hospitals reporting cancer incidents 370,000 total cases and so You look at the breakdown the most common presentation of kidney cancer is a local tumor In a stage one tumor meaning less than seven centimeter in size. So smaller size Tumors in the kidney is the most common way that kidney cancer is going to present and be detected Stage two and stage three are still local tumors meaning it's a kidney mass. There's no evidence of cancer beyond the kidney But a larger tumor or tumor that's beginning to impinge on associated structures like blood vessels lymph nodes And then stage four patients that have clear cut metastatic disease at the time of diagnosis So only a minority of patients fall into that category when they're first detected with kidney cancer And the local tumor is by and large a disease that's going to be managed by by surgical therapy So the first talk by dr. Gore A urology surgeon here on campus associate professor at the university of washington Is entitled surveillance for localized kidney cancer. So speaking to the majority patients that are going to present with a local tumor And what's the current state of the art for managing those patients? And then i'll be speaking after dr. Gore and My topic my title new developments in adjuvant therapy for renal cell carcinoma So from the medical oncologist standpoint when I receive a patient from my urology colleagues, it's had an effect to me What do we bring to the table? Are there any therapies that are preventative that are prophylactic? Where do we stand? What's the new data that's emerging and then what's coming? What are we going to have as therapy options as investigational studies? coming down the road And then we'll have a short break and we'll come back and Dr. Frederick's We're presenting a talk on something called the microbiome. So What is the microbiome and why is that very? Timely and topical in the field We think of ourselves as as a single organism Single entity I'm sure we're all aware that we're made up of individual cells, but you probably don't really think about that on a daily basis But that's not all we are we are actually a community Of organisms all of us are colonized with with microbes that are part of our body part of our normal Flora, you can't get rid of them. They're always there And a couple little factoids here There are 10 to 100 trillion Individual microbes that are part of our body our skin surfaces our mouths upper air Airway tract But primarily the gut the gi tract and the lower bowel is of course not a sterile environment And has a tremendous content of of microbes as part of its normal biology There are 10 fold more individual microbes as part of us Then the cells that make up our body and so those numbers are fairly staggering There's about 10,000 different species of microbes on any of us as part of our normal flora And if you looked at the unique genes in those microbes, there's 100 fold more genes In the microbes that are part of us than the genes that make up our own body and so It's an intimate part of Of what we are and it's becoming increasingly clear That the microbial Flora that we have can influence health in a variety of ways And so this idea of what's the content of our Microbiological community that we live with and how is it affecting health is becoming An area of interest in a lot of different health arenas, but in cancer In the world now that we live in where immunotherapy drugs are becoming commonplace across cancers of all kinds Certainly in kidney cancer. How does this Part of our biology influence the success of those drugs?  What about intentionally manipulating the process? What about probiotic therapy? What if you get antibiotics? It's becoming a very Timely issue. It's talked about widely at cancer meetings And so Dave Fredericks is an expert in this area has been working on the microbiome for many years And we'll give us some insight into how this area is going to impact how we think about cancer delivery and cancer therapy So dr. Fredericks May get here at hopefully a break time And so we'll talk about cancer in the human microbiome and give you a lot more detail and insight into where this field is going But I think incredibly timely For the immuno oncology world that we live in in the last couple of years And then the next two topics I think link together In a conceptual way as we're applying immunotherapy treatments to patients We know the success is very heterogeneous for some patients. It works great for other patients Not so much and for some patients doesn't seem to do anything useful at all And the question is can you manipulate the system? How could you make therapies work better? And so on the left panel here is a patient that's receiving an immunotherapy compound and it's doing nothing And so the the unresponsive or so-called cold tumors in blue And the issue that overlaps with a variety of different possible maneuvers is can you provide some kind of intervention locally To only part of the total tumor in a patient that's going to change the immunological appearance of the tumor make it more immune reactive And you'll get secondary effects at lesions that you haven't manipulated you haven't treated that are immune mediated So the immune system gets activated you create some kind of of autologous vaccine effect by manipulation you apply And that gives you a therapeutic effect that crosses over and recognizes multiple tumor lesions That could be radiation based therapy There's a brand new therapeutic for melanoma. That's an injectable Virus it's a modified human herpes virus called t-vac So injecting a virus creating inflammation killing some of the tumor at the site of injection but getting secondary effects at other lesions You could destroy a lesion with heat or freezing. So ablation technologies Thermal ablation cryoablation any of those modalities overlaps with this broader idea that can you manipulate immune responses create An onboard vaccine effect by treating a single lesion When this happens in the setting of radiation this term an abscopal response is commonly applied And so if you're on the internet you're looking around you're seeing references to abscopal responses That's what they're talking about particularly for radiation therapy treat a single lesion get secondary effects at other parts of the body So dr. Zhang an assistant professor at department of radiology will be speaking about advances in radiation therapy for kidney cancer And then after dr. Zhang speaks I would ask the morning speakers if you're available to stay we'll have a little panel Feel any questions folks have before the lunch break and then we'll come back and dr. George shade That's an assistant professor in the department of urology. We'll be giving a talk Entitled histotrypsy a novel ultrasound based treatment for kidney cancer So talking about that modality as local therapy, but also possible systemic consequences And then the last item for the day Changes tracked and and takes on another topic As we talked about a moment ago many patients with kidney cancer have a local Tumor that's going to be treated surgically So a surgical therapy to take out part or all of the kidney So a lot of patients start with surgical therapy because they have a local tumor Even in the setting of metastatic disease, this is a figure from a research paper That makes the argument that what's called cytoreductive surgery Taking out the primary tumor in the context of metastatic disease Has a therapeutic benefit and so this is showing you the survival Over time of patients that had metastatic kidney cancer The patients in red started off their therapy within the surgery on the kidney and took out the primary tumor And then received medical therapy that are fairly contemporary treatments like Sunitinib which is Sutent Seraphinib which is Nexivar or Bevacizumab which is Avastin Or patients that didn't have surgery and simply move forward with the same therapies applied for their metastatic disease And so at time zero survival is a hundred percent everybody's living as you move to the right if patients Progress their disease and die of their cancer. They're no longer living So the fraction of living patients falls away from a hundred percent But you want this bar to be close to the top of the frame here So higher is better lower is bad. And so the good line is the red line the patients that get surgery had better survival The bad line is the black line patients that did not have that type of surgery had had worse cancer survival So we think there's a therapeutic role for this debulking surgery And so by and large almost all of our patients in the kidney cancer clinic have had a kidney surgery And they're living beyond that with very often a single kidney. And so it does raise the question What does that mean for my life? What should I be doing about my kidney? What should I know about having abnormal kidney function? So dr. Kim Musinski will be here after the lunch break She's an associate professor in the nephrology division. So a kidney Specialist and her talk is assessing kidney function. How much do you really need and how to preserve what you have And kim was a speaker we had last year and if the patients I saw in my clinic after our presentation Far and away kim's talk was the one people pointed out and we're very excited about and very interested to have learned about And so we were very happy to have kim come back and revisit this topic again because I think it was very well received Some very envious of her her star attraction from last year. So we have her back again To end our program for our faculty speakers We'll then turn the program over to to you all to the patients And led by julie and our schmura our local Coordinators for the seattle kca chapter To present some materials have some patients Speaks us about their experience some of the treatments they have had and how that's gone And then we'll wrap things up at the end of that session Okay So let me move forward and kick off with our first speaker for the morning So dr. John goer is going to start us off with his talk that is surveillance for localized kidney cancer


Johnny dollar dollar. This is Frank Francis at dry Western Lake in Los Angeles. Well, I am Also, do you think you can get on out here? Well, it's early evening here in the east sometime tomorrow morning be all right Well, I suppose noon your time. Yeah, that's easy. There's a jet flight out of New York around 8 a.m. Eastern time It'll give me to LA International around 11 your time What seems to be the trouble mr.. Francis will Bob Reddick in the exciting adventures of the man with the action-packed expense account America's fabulous freelance insurance investigator Yours truly Johnny dollar this account submitted by a special investigator Johnny dollar to the tri-western life insurance company, Los Angeles office Following is an account of expenses incurred during my investigation of the simple Simon matter Expense account item one early the next morning $180 and 40 cents plane fare The usual prevailing westerly wins didn't prevail So the flight was even faster than scheduled and the big jet sat down at the LA International Airport well before 11 a.m Pacific time that is True to his word Frank Francis was there and waiting for me right over here dollar mm-hmm. Oh, okay, Frank Excuse me, please Will you excuse me please if you have any heavy luggage waiting to be taken off the plane? I'm afraid we'd better pick it up later Everything I own is in this kind of glorified brief good good because we have to be sure that we're back in my office before noon Come on my car is out here at the curb. All right, but why is the time element so important because of a phone call? I'm expecting Were you? Get in Johnny phone call for me. Yeah Come on get in from whom I'll tell you all about it on the way in All right, whatever you say Present moment the death of Jerry Hilton Gerald Raymond Hilton to be more exact is on the books as accidental or Possible suicide and you wrote his insurance for some $16,000 straight life with double indemnity in case of accidental death the beneficiary is white Go on Frank Happened about a week ago on a side road or rather off a side road in the vicinity of Newhall Where is Newhall about 35 miles north of here to a 3,000 people some farmland bunch of oil wells go on Hilton was apparently driving around a bad curve on the side of a hill Marrow dusty little dirt road He apparently lost control and went over into a rather deep canyon full of big rocks Wasn't too much left of his car and apparently Hilton died immediately so it looked like an accident Apparently and that's the fourth time now.  They found that Hilton's car had stopped there on that curve or maybe been stopped is a better term Why do you say that? Because of a phone call I got yesterday the one we're expecting at noon a phone call. Yeah Frank that bush that you're beating around is getting kind of big. I know Okay, the tire track showed that Hilton's car had stopped and then not skidded But had been driven slowly over the edge Now I'm at that phone call a couple that with the fact that he was half crazy with financial troubles He'd already borrowed a couple of thousand on his insurance The fact that his wife and believe me he was devoted to her That his wife has been sick and yet still trying to work in some factory to keep them in food and clothing and Well, it pretty clearly indicated suicide made to look like an accident Do the police agree on that all the way? Hilton's been a complete failure. He had nothing except a shady reputation The only thing left to give to his wife to keep her alive was the insurance Needless to say with a three-year-old kid I forgot to mention him with the kid needing an operation for something or other immediately She's already put in a claim but it was suicide. She can't collect exact which I suppose is just what you'd like No Oh, no, Johnny I've known about Marjorie Hilton a long time ever since high school I think she really tried to make a goal that marriage to Jerry despite his failure to support her and his Well is rather questionable record. You mean he had a police record not actually But I'm sure he deserved one I see Now Frank tell me this on the phone last night. You said it could possibly even be murder because of the call I just received from whom somebody who wouldn't identify himself himself. Yes He was quite definite and he said just two things That because of what he knew We'd better get ready to pay off the insurance and second that he wouldn't give his information to anybody but you Now under why you wouldn't say He only said to get you out here right away that he'd call the day at noon and talk But only to you And let's get into your office and wait for that call Thank because according to my watch it's nearly 10 minutes after Number three you forgot to reset it on the way out here. Oh, yeah But you may be right at that Johnny. Maybe it was just some practical joker. Maybe some crank. You'd be surprised at the No You pick it up. I'll take it on this extension here, right? Hello Some call for mr. Johnny dollar. Yeah from where operator san diego. Well, I'm Johnny dollar. Thank you one moment, please That's right. Yeah, wasn't it?  Has cadero. Yeah, now listen. I'd like to hear a little is this a gag or some kind of a trick All is perfect with these united states But former president Eisenhower did not believe this He formed a non-partisan commission to look into our national ways and to set forth after thorough examination a list of national goals The kind of america we can be in the future the impression we make on the rest of the world Our national image depends on how fully the nation follows the recommendations of this non-partisan commission The complete report has been made up into a booklet, which is yours free if you want it CBS radio and its affiliated stations believe this to be an important national statement We hope you'll send for it Simply send your name at the dress on a postcard to goals box 1776 new york 17 new york And to keep this date with that that anonymous phone caller I wouldn't the police think hilton was a suicide. No, which would save your company a lot of money No, not a lot as life insurance policies go and I'd much prefer to see it paid out to his widow But of course if it was suicide, you know that voice on the phone There's nothing frank had a familiar sound sounded like some Thug to me johnny and if so but I can't place it Anyhow he said it was murder There's only one thing for me to do and let's keep that date with him johnny. Yeah johnny, don't you see You may be walking to some kind of a trap boy Who wants to trap me over what a man in a job like yours has enemies bound to have This could be very dangerous dangerous I mean like crossing a busy street in a section all now listen or driving around in some of today's traffic I don't care about this who's kidding if you go down there the night and out on that period of meeting Believe me, you'd better have some police protection and scare him away Now he said to meet him alone even so to get it forget it frank. I'll be okay I certainly hope so So do I expense account item two 50 bucks deposit on a rental car Before driving the 130 miles of freeway down to san diego though I got her address from frank and paid a visit to jerry hilton's widow marjorie As she was small thin about 23 or 24 pretty in her own way But with far too many lines of care in her face for one of her age The second floor apartment was tiny and badly furnished My little boy tommy lay on a small cot in the corner of the bedroom And he was a nighty sick-looking kid However, she told me her free clinic had agreed to do the rather serious intestinal operation that was needed I wondered why she hadn't thought of a clinic before And when I get the insurance money, I guess I better pay him for it hadn't I mr. Dollar Well, I hope you do get it mrs. Hilton Oh, no luck jerry wouldn't ever have committed suicide no matter how far down his luck was Not even in the hope that it wouldn't be found out You'd be able to collect the insurance money Or is there anything else that he could do to get you away from Having to live like this. Oh, listen. He tried mr. Dollar. He tried all the time You think it was his fault. He couldn't make a living Doing what I don't know. I don't know how jerry got that money that he had when him and me got married last year You don't know how your own husband Last year then little tommy isn't his child No, sir. Oh, but jerry treated him just like he was he'd do anything he could for him Just anything for the both of us. I'm sure I can see that What does that mean? Nothing Do you know of any enemies that jerry might have had? Oh, I don't even know who his friends were mr. Dollar There was just jerry and me and tommy. Oh, and he treated us good Well until he run out of money But he was sure something was going to turn up pretty soon and something legitimate You mean you think that jerry could ever do anything crooked Do you Then you don't seem to have known very much about him Well, all I know is he was good to me. He was good to the both of us He was a lot better than that punk I mean than tommy's real father was what was his name What if he did give me a lot of fancy clothes and jewels and things? Well, he wasn't the first one Now that jerry's gone. I can have those kind of things again. Who was he margin? His name was ali parson's when tommy was born. He walked out on me Alfred h parson's and the h stands for heroine You're talking about a man the narcotics squad has been after for the past five years Well, all I know he was always hiding away from somebody or something When he come around and tried to see me again a couple of weeks ago Well, jerry threw him out and came to see you and yeah All his soft talk about doing something for jerry and me and the kid What jerry didn't believe it Oh Ali was awful good at that soft talk and the promises Even even to getting me back with him time after time when I was married to him I'm wise to him now. I told jerry and he threw him out a couple of weeks ago Has Ali been back since jerry dined Why should he Would you look a little pale and worn and tired?   Thanks very much Now I've got to meet that man in san diego. Oh, um Here this is just in case tommy needs something extra while he's in the hospital Fifty dollars. I think the insurance company would okay this sort of in advance Well, I thought you were trying to tell me they wouldn't pay Well, maybe I've changed my mind, but there was something about marjorie That puzzled me In spite of the way she talked Or maybe because of it Somehow she made me think of the typical movie gun mile who'd play along with anybody she thought was on the way up I drove down to san diego And while it was still daylight, I got a line on the taskadero pier It was one of the older ones some distance below the main part of that busy port There were no ships tied up to it nothing but trash in the long warehouse built up on it All in all it was in pretty bad shape Probably in line for condemnation by the progressive city of san diego I hope there'd be plenty of light on it and it came time for my meeting out there on the end of it Speaking of time I killed a couple of hours in a movie and then had dinner in the grill room in the u.s. Grant Took in another movie and it all ends up to item three 12 dollars and a half By then it was nearly 11 p.m There was no moon Or if there was you couldn't see it because of the heavy fog that had settled down over the waterfront No, why kid about it I wondered if I wasn't being a little foolish and plotting the length of that abandoned pier in the darkness to keep a rendezvous with With what? Even if the pier had been well-mighted, I wouldn't have been able to see more than 20 30 feet ahead of me I found myself walking softly listening for Well, perhaps for the footsteps of somebody else But who? I didn't even know the name of the man I was supposed to meet out there Much less what he was really up to Sure, I had the old 38 handy But in that darkness In that fog Quietly yeah, I'm sure this big box where nobody could see us. Are you kidding in this piece super? Now listen, I've got a talk there. Simon. Yeah, yeah, Simon hacker a simple sign. That's right But not too simple to look out for myself So now let's you're the punk. I chased halfway across the state of kansas once and then had to let go because you didn't have what I was After only you didn't really have to let me go you could have nailed there's and you're the punk Who couldn't or wouldn't tell the cops where they could lay their hands on ali parson's all right So now I do know where he is. So could I go to the cops? Sure Why you think they'd believe me now?  Maybe Well, did he Simon lesson? I know that you'll protect me.  Maybe so listen Up at new hall.  Don't you see Ali wanted his girl back that margie that was married to jerry Can you prove that ali murdered him all the proof you'll need? Good good. Now here Simon knowing how you work Maybe 50 Maybe uh Maybe maybe a hundred Here Thanks, dala. You're okay. So listen while I tell you how I know he killed jerry hillson Simon His last three shots from somewhere in the foggy darkness of the pier that meant for me I dove in over the edge and then slowly quietly slamming among the pilings back to the shore Soaking red I piled into my car and drove to the headquarters of the harbor police They immediately sent out a couple of men to look for simon hacker Or what was left of him and gave the regular police an alert on ali parson's They also helped me dry out my clothes How I'd gave me time to think Marjorie hilton was my only real lead to jerry's killer now Obviously the same one who blasted away of simon and me there on the pier Obviously ali parson was all one of his mob And ali was again making a play for margie Maybe she had gone to high school, but she wasn't very bright And of what she told me was true about the clothes and the jewels he'd given her about always going back to him before jerry came along Well in spite of what she'd said about ali. She'd probably be a pushover for him again I thank the harbor police. I got into my car and I tore on back to la to her apartment It was nearly four a.m. But she had a light on Because of the sick youngster Maybe Mrs. Hilton It's johnny dollar Oh I saw the lighter. Well, what does all this mean?  All right margie. What goes I told Yeah, you told me you also told me a lot of things this afternoon. Maybe enough to make me suspicious I don't know what you're talking about. You were pretty emphatic about how good jerry had been to you So much so it began to sound like an act You didn't really expect me to believe that you had no idea where jerry's got his money Or ali parson's when you were married to him Well, how should I know what they did and I wouldn't be surprised that there were Three or four other husbands before them also in the racket.   Yeah Now what's that supposed to mean ali ali don't reach.     That's enough. Okay. Looks like the u.s. Marines lie tenants Well, dollar when they hold simple simon here out of the drink and he told the boys what was going on Wait a minute. Wait a minute How do you feel simon? That's so hot I I I I guess I kind of waited too long to go straight Easy simon easy, but I tried dollar I tried Yeah simon I'm afraid you did wait too long But you tried Want to take over the tenant I don't know I kind of felt sorry for the poor kids honey, but her I can't help wondering if she even deserves a break Expense account total including a trip back to harford. We'll call it $450 even Yours truly johnny dollar Now here is our star to tell you about next week's story for next week a most ingenious method of blackmail Join us, won't you yours truly johnny dollar First truly johnny dollar starring bob reddick is written by jack johnstone Produced and directed by brunosarato jr. Musical supervision by ethyl huber Here to now a cast where jackson beck is frank francis Elizabeth lorence is marjorie mason adams as simple simon Bernard grant his alley parson's and morris tarplin as the police lieutenant He should have joined us next week same time same station for another exciting story of yours truly johnny dollar This is art hannah speaking ellen jackson's informative feature information central weekdays on the cbs radio network


So people, I am back with another Cyberpunk 2077 video and today I bring you 10 Did You Know Facts? How's it going guys? My name's DPJ and if you enjoyed the video leaving a like really helps out and if you like what you see and want to see more be sure to subscribe. Also I am giving away copies of this game to be in the chance of winning one for yourself or a friend. Drop a like on this video and leave a comment down below. Winners will be announced a week before this game drops. Okay, so 10 facts about Cyberpunk 2077. Let's go and I hope there's at least one here that you do not know. Okay, so did you know? There are literally no loading times within this open world RPG. So once you start that game up, get to that main menu, get past that initial one time loading screen. Beyond that guys, there is no loading time you have to deal with. Now it's said that when you put V to sleep to waste time there is a slight pause but other than that even between fast travels we are good. Hard to believe yes but it's true. Great start to the video if you ask me people. Okay, so did you know? The player i.e. you are always in control of the camera even during dialogue screens. How cool is that? I mean being in control of the camera during open play makes sense and it's nothing but to be expected but even during dialogue screens because there is a ton of dialogue in this game it's cool we can play around with that camera. I love it. Talking of cameras, did you know Cyberpunk 2077 has a full tone mode? So you want to test those full type with your skills? You can. See a great shot? Snap it and save it for later to make it your PC wallpaper or share it with somebody else. I personally love the inclusion of a full tone mode. How about you? Okay, so did you know? You can complete the entire game without killing anyone. Yes, a game with tons of weapons, cyberware, upgrades which are purposely for killing. You can in fact complete the entire game without killing a single soul. I cannot wait to see the first playthrough where someone does this.  Now we mentioned sleeping earlier with V and while did you know this can be used to waste time or pass time for quests? Cool addition as I do believe some quests progress via different times of the day so it's good to know you can actually waste time. Also did you know one hour hour time which is real lifetime is eight hours in game time?  Did you know there are also animals in which you can pet but it is implied that they are all artificial? Pretty cool. Did you know there are three different life paths, no mad street, get and corporal. Each sees you starting the game within different locations.  And well lastly guys did you know once the all said life path tutorials end you begin the game at a time gap of six years later and it starts where the E3 2018 demo trailer began with the no future elevator and that is it guys a short but quick one and hopefully there was at least one fact there you didn't know and if you did enjoy the video leaving a like really helps out and stay tuned for the next one by subscribing but yeah guys showing your support really helps me out I hope you enjoyed your stay and hopefully I will see you on that next one


Welcome back to my channel guys. It's your girl Coco styles and on this channel. We talk about beauty fashion lifestyle and styling today I wanted to come to you with my I guess List of things that us tall girls should be shopping for for this fall now we know trends and stuff are like running rapid and 99% of the times we aren't able to get what everybody else is getting unless it's like Accessories and things like that. So I wanted to jump into some things that I think we should start looking for right now Before everything is sold out. So let's jump right into it the first thing I want to talk about is out of wear out of wear is like So hard for us, especially when it comes to getting something with like super long sleeves now we know Kate is a higher in brand and To be quite honest, they are so overpriced to me But the quality of their things are really really great. They have amazing trench coats So that's what I want to talk about is out of wear trench coats are some of the things that I know are Needed in our wardrobes regardless of your style. Honestly, I've seen girls wear them with sneakers boots chunky boots thigh high boots Everything so start looking for your trench coats and my favorite is The Renee, I think it's called the Renee or the Renee trench coat from Kate and They're about We say that one is like twenty two hundred dollars, which is kind of pricey for a trench coat. So You guys know my other favorite brand would be the Frankie shop. So as a tall girl We can't typically fit their medium large stuff depending on the item but when they have items that are One size for all It's for us So they have a ton of trench coats that I absolutely love my favorite is the Eugene trench coat I purchased it last year, but they have another one that I want And I definitely think trench coats should be on your list starting from now the other out of wear piece would be our Woolcoats for those of you girls who live in a hot climate area You don't need one. However, if you are a girl who travels to colder states, definitely get you a chic bomb Woolcoat, I would say go for something that has more of a hourglass shape The boxy shape is still cool because it's still on trend But if you want something a little bit more classic that you can wear next season as well Go for something a little bit more classic and style and if you don't want to get a classic color Go for a Statement color right a statement color that could actually go with everything in your wardrobe And I like to use that term a lot because I'm really big on course per wear guys And it is what it is right so a trench coat and a wool coat right so that's out of wear start looking for that stuff now because like I said The stuff is gonna go quickly Especially in our size if you can find something that's fitting your arms and the length that you want The other outer wear piece would be leather jackets. I'm gonna go back to the Frankie shop because Again, they have oversized pieces In their oversized jackets may not necessarily fit us oversized, but it'll still be a really nice fit. I have one Frankie shop moto jacket and another one that they both oversized the moto jacket fits me like a nice Size slightly oversized. The other trench coat is like a really oversized And that's the full other one So Frankie's the Frankie shop is a really good place for us to try and shop if you're into that style I always recommend mixing up your clothes. You don't have to always have a ton of Well, it depends if you like a full feminine wardrobe There are some days with those girls even like to mix it up as well So definitely get the wool coats the trench coats and the moto jackets guys Another thing I would say I'm into like ponchos and stuff So For me, I'm gonna be looking for ponchos. I'm gonna be looking for another trench coat And ponchos are something that I just absolutely love and my favorite poncho, which I don't even know why I don't have it yet It's almost like I waited for the price to go up, right? And I'm saying up the Fendi poncho poncho Did the iconic Fendi poncho poncho? I absolutely love it. That is something that's on my wish list Which I think I'm gonna do a wish list video for you guys and it's realistic for somebody who's tall and who cannot just go And buy everything that they see so that poncho is something else that I really love. There's another designer I'm not gonna mention them just yet because I'm trying to see if they come back in stock with them And then I'll definitely share it, but a poncho is another thing if that is your style So for like I said fall is coming if you are into like denim jackets and stuff You can definitely still get away with some nice denim coats Go for something that has a little bit more style to it. Maybe something that has like An hourglass shape, right? So there are brands that have them just Google guys Google is your best friend So that's my out of it. If you are into puffer jackets, definitely go for a puffer. I'm not really into puffers I guess I'm puffed out since I was living in New York like oh my goodness like Puffer jackets or you're some kind of that into those but if you are into those definitely get that and if you're not Go for a Sherlin guy. Sherlins are always in Sakai has really nice Sherlins And if you are a tall girl, they do from what I have seen Their jackets do come with really long sleeves now You have to be careful because sometimes they're like super cropped And if you don't balance that cropped jacket out on your body, it's gonna look a little awkward. So That's it for out of wear now. Let's get into shoes Now for shoes Footwear whatever you want to call it, right? We got boots Boots are just something that we need this fall. Okay from ankle boots to knee boots If you girls are still into thigh high boots, you can definitely do those chunky boots are still a go Now for the girls who have like wider feet I know everyone was buying those botega boots, but they do have a newer pair that has strings in it Now from what I'm looking at they look like men's boots But if you're into something chunky like that, you can definitely go for those Now I will say this botega look they run really narrow So if you have narrow feet, you're fine if you don't then don't do it Up for something else. I still think fry has really nice boots Great leather Don't sleep on the older brands because all these new brands came out. Definitely Do your research guys All right, so chunky boots. Let's get us a nice pair of sneakers too.  Okay, and also What's on my wish list are these loewe sneakers. They're so cute to me And the only reason why I'm on the fence is because I got the big ol l on it And I'm not really into that but I love the colors on them So I may still just go ahead and get them But get you a nice pair of sneakers if you're into like the jordan's and stuff You guys know I only got the one pair, but I really love the color And to be quite honest, I haven't even worn them a lot. I think I wore them like twice But I still do like that green color. So a pair of sneakers is something that you want to get if it's not A color sneaker for the fall Definitely just get like maybe a loafer or something. I'm not into loafers But I have seen really really cute ones And I'm just not into them because the way the pants fit with the loafers is just not my thing But definitely go for loafers and some sneakers Some ankle boots and some chunky boots and some knee boots and possibly thigh high if you are still into those, right? There's a ton of designers now. Here's where the struggle comes in for us tall ladies Most of us got some big old feet, right? So if you wear a size 11 and up the struggle may start to really Ah get real for you But I've this is what I have noticed and I noticed this when I was a very young girl That most designer brands go up to Larger sizes Okay, and I don't know if that was done on purpose But they definitely go up to at minimum of 43 So the problem is the girls who have the larger feet You got others wearing the shoes. They're going quick. So we have to stay on top of what we want Put it in a wish list use the karma app I told you guys about this before The karma app is just like the best if you put it in your karma app It tells you when it's on sale But if you really want it only put things in it that you really want and then just get it, right? All right, so that's it for shoes And bags did I say bags? No, that was shoes and outerwear and now let's get into Bags guys For bags. It's not that hard for us because We can get any bag with the exception of Super mini bags.  It's just very awkward for us We have to get something that's a little bit more chunky chunkier in the hands That way we're not swallowing the bag Also, when it comes to crossbody bags, I think I mentioned this the other day We don't want to get anything that's too short on us because it's going to look weird It's going to make it look like the item is not for us. You want to get something that has like An adjustable strap and if it doesn't that the chain or whatever or the strap is extremely long So let's get some of those bags before the fall like I said A lot of the girlies grab up all the stuff before we can get to them because most of us are not thinking about Getting stuff already for the fall But definitely start diving into your bags. If you do not want to spend a ton of money There's a brand called I think it's called poline pol e and e they have really nice leather bags Okay, so if you're not into logos and stuff go for something that is 100% leather nice nappa leather or even a Maybe like a grainier leather Something something that's nice that can last you throughout all of the season. So bags is another thing If you're into backpacks you forget those Or nice tote bags tote bags are always going to be in and I think in my opinion If you can get a tote where it has A strap where you can carry it the long way and something short that will be perfect Um, but you have to be okay with the the hooks and stuff if you're not into that then definitely just go for something that is Just one two shoulder straps for your shoulder So those are my bags guys And let's get into The clothes Here's the struggle for all this hair The fall colors and all that stuff is out like all this stuff is already here We as toll women cannot do what everybody else does It's just what it is and we have to be okay with that. This is why I always say for me and my body I always buy things that work well with me. I'm tall. I'm slim So I cannot do what anybody else has done If I would have think that I could I would be 100 frustrated. So when it comes to clothes, you want to get these essential pieces And I always talk about essential pieces because that's something that we just need But as tall women even buying those can be Very difficult, right? And it's just finding the size things that are long enough on the sleeves things that fit us on the shoulders Like things that are not too short So start looking at all of the brands. Like I said, do not sleep on the Frankie shop They have a lot of oversized things that you may like And other brands, okay People like to talk about asara Okay, I go to Zara as well But I know sometimes I just cannot get certain things from them So like for example blazers Zara is a hit or miss for me So I already know the brand that actually carries nice oversized Leather blazers and I'm always gonna get one I have three of them I think I have three and I'm gonna get more because they fit really really nice. I have a black A green and a brown Holy black green brown Yep, yeah, and I thought I was gonna get the tan one And that is Lamar their Felina blazer their Felina oversized blazer It's oversized not the large fits oversized, but the medium actually fits like really nice So for me I know where to shop to get the things that actually work well with my body as opposed to just trying to do what everybody else does Now what we can do To stay on trend I guess if you will Is get accessories hats jewelry um Belt things like that we can still be trendy Um and not necessarily have to buy all of the clothes like the girls are wearing because we just can't fit them It is what it is and then a lot of the tall girl brands. They're coming out more and more and more But they're just not giving what people really want and it's no shade to them But I get it it's expensive to have a brand and they have to do what works for the majority of the tall women So those are some things that I think you should start looking for now guys So when it comes to shoes and boots and stuff like that If you see your size, don't be like me Where I'll hold it in my bucket and then before you know it It's gone. All right. Don't do that if you see something. Um, if it's full price 99% of the times they're going to have your size when that price starts to drop You're likely to miss out on your size So sometimes you have to buy the bullet and pay the full price Just so you can get exactly what you want in your wardrobe. Otherwise, you'll be frustrated. I've done it a ton of times And then I never get to prop the item so those are some things that Wholeheartedly think that tall women should be looking for now for the fall So when it comes to the clothes, I was getting into clothes, right? I've been getting sidetracked y'all when it comes to the clothes. Like I said, we want to get our nice jeans Um, we want to get nice skirts. There's a ton of skirts if you're into pleated if you're into um, a line skirts if you're into maxi skirts pencil skirts leather skirts I'm a leather girl. So I'm always gonna have leather skirts in here and what I'm looking for right now is A nice red a-line skirt like It's on my list. I just don't know who sells it. So in my head I'm gonna find it. Okay red is one of my favorite colors Which is crazy because I do not have a ton of clothes in my closet That's red, but it's a color that I've always gravitated towards so Get your skirts get your turtlenecks guys Get your cardigans Okay, get your I don't want to say bodysuits, but bodysuits that have Arms if you're into bodysuits, I know a ton of girls still wear them. They will never let them go Um, just get you nice tops chunky knit sweaters Those are hard to come by but This I'll I'll say this Since I've never been the girl to really shop at tall girl brands I literally Will google something that I really want It'll pop up I'll look at the sizing Read the description and the details If the model is 510 and it looks like it fits her well Even though they put them in like a size too In my head if she's 510 and her arms are fitting and she has broom I'm gonna get that item So I've trained my mind to just like look for things like that As a tall girl because the worst thing you want to do is to be Frustrated and angry when you're shopping because they don't have something in your size. So Yes, so the accessories we talked about jewelry um belts Hats gloves Y'all know listen, let me show you all these gloves You guys seen these gloves before I don't even think I got to wear them Is it uh No, because by the time I got them, I think the weather Had shifted But you guys remember these gloves. Oh, let me tell you These are from cost and one thing about me. I'm gonna buy something That I absolutely love I don't care How much it is if I can fit it. They're so they're so they're so long Let me see if I can get I got these um These things on my hand this ring Hold on. Let's pull it up. Let me show you So remember these Get you some accessories that are different um unique that no one has and Start to create your own style and the goal is not for me to tell you what to do is to open your mind as a tall girl um To other things you can do right and like I said as a style coach, I can tell them what they should do But on this channel, I just want to have fun with you guys and just show you like we can actually still be stylish Like the other girlies. Okay Let's start our own thing. Okay Because to be quite honest, I don't even know how many tall influencers there are like Where are you guys?  Where are all the tall? Influencers or content creators. I'm gonna say come I guess I was saying right We're all the tall content creators influencers here in Atlanta New York City Let's do something ladies because it's a lot of us But I feel like they treat us like is if it's a small amount of us, but it's a lot of us so Those are some things you guys should be looking for this fall and again, they are more of essential pieces Because I'm telling you don't even those essentials are really really hard to find so That's just one way to get a head start before everything is gone. And then we're stuck in the fall. All right guys, so Those of you who are subscribed to the channel. Thank you. And those of you who are not make sure you are hitting that Subscribe button and notification. I post on Wednesdays and Sundays And follow me on instagram at Cocoa Styles NYC and Cocoa Styles NY And my personal style blog Cocoa Styles NYC and my style services CocoaStylesNY.com and I'm on tickety tickety tock Cocoa Styles NYC And I will catch you guys in the next one. Bye guys