The following is a presentation of T-F-N-N. Trade what you see with Larry Pezzavento. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at<PHONE_NUMBER>. Now Larry Pezzavento. Okay, looking good. Billy Ray feeling good, Lewis. We're going to take a look at the German Dax as we usually do. We started out looking at the daily chart, and then we're going to follow it up right now by looking at it on the smaller 15 minute chart. You can see the patterns. They're very similar to what we see in our market. Sometimes they go the opposite direction, but that's neither here nor there. Now today at the break, at the half hour break, Dr. Steve Shapiro's going to join us to talk about old times. And one of the questions that someone posed to me today was what was some of the major turning points in my trading life? And I think one of them for sure was Dr. Ruth Miller back in 1986. But again, in 1988, I was speaking in Chicago at the money conference. And one of my students from Switzerland, Marcus Nix and his partner, Matt Helmlach or something like that, Matt with his first name, came running up to me and he says, you've got to go in and listen to this guy talk. He said he really uses Fibonacci numbers, really great. And so I went in, I walked into the back of the room. There were about 150 people there. And Bryce saw me. He evidently knew who I was from a picture or seen me in the hall or something. And he yelled at me and he said, hey, why don't you come down here and learn something? He said, Larry Pesavino's here and everybody started laughing. So I walked down and I sat down in the first row and he's a very charismatic person just like Crocodile Dundee. And so I started listening to him and about 10 minutes into it, my eyes were so wide I just couldn't believe it. He spoke for about two hours and he was showing his Wave Trader program that showed how these patterns fit together and how these things line up. And then he had them on a scale of one to 10. In other words, if the market hit a 10, that meant that all the cycles and all the patterns were lined up. And whenever a 10 came up, it was a high probability of the market turning over. So I listened to that for a while. When we finished, I walked out and I chatted with him a little bit and I said, what are your plans here? He said, well, I was going to do a little touring here in the United States. I thought I might go to California.  I said, I've got a trading house there in Pismo Beach. Jim 20man lives there, but Jim is not against having a guest. So we've got a really nice place. It sits over the Pacific Ocean. And you can visit us with us. And he said, well, I think I'll do that. And so he did. He came out. And what was really strange was he came out and I picked him up at the sand. I was picking him up at the LA airport because I had to go down there and see my daughter. And I said, I'll pick you up there. He said, no, no. He said, I've got to go buy a car. I said, what do you mean you got to go buy a car? He said, I'm going to the LA auto auction. I'm going to buy a car and I'm going to drive it around until I don't need it anymore. Then I'll sell it and make a profit and go home. I said, you really feel strong. He said, that's my business. He said, I know automobiles. He said, that's how I paid my bills for many years. He said, I would come to the United States and buy exotic cars like Mustangs and Cobra's and not Cobra's, but the old classic cars and stuff. And he said, I could sell them. And he said, I was very good at that. So I don't have to rent a car and I can make a profit on it. He certainly did that. He stayed with me from 88 through 94. He was there at least three to six months every year and had a great deal of fun with him. But he was really, really very eccentric. Some of the fun things that I, what he did and showed me was how the relationships. I understood easily the 618 and 786 and 382 and all of that. But what Bryce showed me was how 1.27 and 1.414 fit together to line up these patterns so that you get a lot of multiple numbers coming together. And when I saw that, I just literally, it just changed the way I looked at things. And in fact, I've always mentioned every time I've had Bryce in the office, I'd never had a losing day because we were running the things on the wave trader and I was able to see what was going on. Now, when Bob Miner would come up to visit us, he's another Robert Miner. He's an Elliott wave guy. Before he met Bryce, Bob Miner was again aficionado and very good at it. He did a great job. But after he met Bryce, he started to do his work with the thing that now has become the dynamic trader, which is a small offshoot of what the wave trader program was. But I haven't seen anything as good as the wave trader program. The problem is Bryce in poor health now and he doesn't really follow through from what I've heard some of those things. So we'll see what's going on. Some of my fun stories and what Steve are coming out today, I think he was in the room when it happened because Bryce lived with Steve and his mom, Mumsy, for a couple of weeks once when there was, we had a whole bunch of guests at the trading house and it was filled for a couple of weeks. And while he was here, he had come in early. And so he stayed with Steve and Mumsy for a couple of weeks. And so we were in there trading and he didn't have an account because he couldn't have a commodity account being from Australia. So I let him trade out of my account. And so he was in there trying to trade bonds and trying to trade bonds. Boy, that's the other statement of the year. And he said, let's sell some bonds here. He said, I put a stop at, I'm going to sell them at 10903 and I want to put a stop at 10904. And I said, that's ridiculous. I said, you can't put an order in like that. He said, put the order in. I said, okay, so how many do you want to do? He said, I want to do eight. I said, so I solely made these bonds 10103 and it took like an hour and a half for them to get filled. They would hit 0102, 102, 102, a pop at 103, but no trade. And then they went up to 103 and stuck there for about 10 minutes and we were finally filled in and backed off to 102, 101 somewhere around in there. And he was getting ready to go to play golf.  And as I recall, Steve was there with me and he said, look, he said, if those bonds hit 10904, I'm going to take all of my books and I'm going to go down to that pier right here by the house. I'm going to throw all those books into the Pacific Ocean and I'm going to drive down to LA and I'm going to buy a few cars and I'm going to go back to Australia, never to be seen again. And I said, you got to be kidding. I said, you really feel that strongly about that? And he said, yeah. So anyway, I put the thing on. He was getting in his car. Mr. Z was beyond my comprehension too. And I hope Dr. Steve remembers it. Because I'm going to ask him because I think he was in the room because as I recall, I don't remember exactly where we were. We were at the top of the hill or the bottom of the hill, I don't remember. But that's just the way he was. So I asked him, I said, tell me why he said it's beyond what you would be able to understand. And I said, come on. And he never did tell me. And I think I figured it out. It's related to 1.618. But I'm not sure. Well, anyway, the funny part of that story is he was getting ready to go play golf with a couple of my doctor friends. And he was in the driveway. And we were on the second floor. And he held up and he said, where are the bonds trading? And I said, hey, they've had a pretty good break here. I said, they're down about a half a point. And he said, let's book it. And I said, that's what you want to do. And he said, yeah, book it. So I booked his $2,000. And I'll tell you what happened when we get back from the break.<PHONE_NUMBER>. Headed by Steve Dahl, Taz understands that in today's technological world, the use of top flight software applications and technical analysis expertise is essential to successful trading in today's market. You also gain access to the webinar that Steve Dahl and Tom O'Brien just hosted, the best way to use the Taz profile scanner to profit. This webinar archive is available for all subscribers immediately upon signing up. All new subscriptions also come with a 30-day money back guarantee so you have nothing to risk. Start your subscription by visiting the front page of TFNN.com today and you'll find the Taz profile scanner under the Services tab. Sign up today. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa and Clearwater markets? 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The Tiger's Den is a lively community where professional traders and investors can meet, exchange ideas and information in a comfortable moderated atmosphere. Hear all of the TFNN shows, plus see all of the charts as they happen live and have access to archives of all of those charts. You can test drive the Tiger's Den absolutely free for 30 days and greatly enrich your knowledge of these markets and how to make your money work for you. Details on the Tiger's Den are on the front page of TFNN.com. Whether you're watching Tiger TV live in high definition or just accessing your newsletter subscriptions, we even have new pricing in six months and yearly options. Check out the new TFNN.com now and experience all the upgrades. TFNN.com educating investors. Hey folks, I'll finish up the story. Anyway, Bryce said cover the short bonds and I did and he booked $2,000. And as he was driving away, and as he was driving away about a quarter of a mile up the road was the stop sign that turned ahead to Pacific Coast Highway 101 to take him up to San Luis Obispo Country Club where he was playing golf. Bonds dropped another full point. We were down a point and a half in about, oh my God, and there was no report. They just dropped. And so that night, of course, I lived in San Luis Obispo. And so that night we all met at our usual haunt, which was Jaco's Steakhouse there in Napomo, California, the best steak place in the world. And there were about seven of us there and Bryce came in and he said, dinner's on me. He said, I had a great day in the bonds. And Steve was, I think I'm pretty sure Steve was sitting next to me and he just looked at me. And of course he picked up the check and everything. I never said a word because I was afraid that, you know, he would turn white. And anyway, the next morning he came in and now bonds were down three full points. They dropped to the first day and another point the next day. And that was it. Nothing more was ever said about it. But I'll tell just a few stories about him. He taught me so much just by looking at these markets. Boy, when he came up with an idea, boy, you better pay attention to it because he flat out knew what he was doing. But anyway, we were having a seminar in Los Angeles. And Rich Anderson was there. There were 16 people that had come in to trade with us for two days. They paid it quite a bit. I think it was $3,500. But it was guaranteed they had to make money on the two trade. We were trading live. It was on like a Thursday, Friday. And so I was there Wednesday all ready to go and everything. And I get a call about one o'clock in the morning from Bryce's friend, Gary, who is from the UK, from Australia, but lived in the Merinadel right there. And he said, hey, man, he said, the mate's dead. And I says, what do you mean? He says, Bryce, he says he wrapped his car around a telephone pole. He's deader than a door nail.  He said, nah, he said he's gone and he hangs up the phone. And it's like one o'clock in the morning. I said, oh, my God, I got to do this thing myself. I said, I'm worried about Bryce and how to tell his ex-wife and his kids. I called Rich, but I couldn't get through to him. And so the next morning I got down there real early. We were starting like at 6 o'clock. I was down there about 5.30. And we were getting everything. A few people came in and I was telling them. I said, we have a problem and I told them what had happened and everything. And so we would start to trading at 6 o'clock, about 5 to 6, in comes Bryce Gilmore. And everybody's, ooh, what's happened? And it's what's wrong? And I said, well, Gary called me at 1 o'clock in the morning and told me you'd wrapped your car around a telephone pole and it was dead. He says, ah, he said that guy hasn't told the truth since 1938 or something like that. I don't remember what the day was, but anyway, that was one of the things that I had to live through. Another one was in Chicago. We were doing a seminar with Mark Douglas. And we had about 20 people and a couple of the hockey players from 1980 team were there then. And we had a really great time with them. We'd been out. And it was, we went to a really famous place there in Chicago, Jean and George Eddies. And we bought, oh my gosh, I don't know how much money we spent. It was, I think the bill was over three grand. Yeah, way over three grand, as I recall. And one of the things that Bryce did is he had, yeah, he was a king of the practical jokers. That's for sure. He, they had these beautiful sterling silver knife sets. They were like 400 bucks a piece. And he bought a set for everybody at the seminar. I mean, I just, that's just how eccentric he was.  And one of them, he lost his eyesight, but he was still playing golf and relatively doing pretty good. And then a few years ago, he had a really bad experience with another auto accident that caused almost a loss of his other eyes. So he's pretty much, he can't drive anymore. And he, he's still living in Queensland. And he's had trouble with a couple of family things that didn't work out the way that he wanted them. But boy, the guy's really smart. He's, he really knows geometry and all that stuff. We were able to meet Clarice Garrett, the wife of William Garrett, who wrote torque analysis. But Bryce, that was one of the things that it was, I forget what it was, 90, 92. He woke me up at like 11 o'clock at night because I had sent him a copy of page 89 out of Garrett's book. And it was basically a Fibonacci spirals that expanded all the way out to pie. And he said, where'd you get this diagram? I said, well, out of Garrett's book. He said, I want to see the book. And I said, okay, I said, I'll send your copy. He said, no, I want to see it tomorrow. I said, well, the only way you're going to see it tomorrow is if I go over to the university and, you know, print out the copies.  And it was 287 pages. And he said, I want it today. So I went up to university, left about one o'clock in the morning, had it copied and faxed to him so that he could have the whole thing. Oh, it must have been eight, nine hours later. He calls me back and he said, I'm on my way to California. And I said, why? You weren't supposed to come for another month. He said, well, he said, I called Hawaii. He said, I found out that, you know, Clarice Garrett was still alive. I called her and she told me about her husband and what he had studied and stuff. And that his book collection was given to the University of Hawaii. And it was stolen within one week, every single book that was there. And he said, I wanted to know more about the man. And he said, I've invited her to come to California and visit her brother who lived in Fresno. So she's going to spend a day with us in Pismo Beach. And I said, well, it sounds good to me. And so we met Miss Garrett and she told us that her husband never traded. He worked for Walston and Company. He was a good friend of none other than Ross Perot. And he basically handled. He was from a family of Iowa farmers, third generation. And it certainly was a, you know, a real pleasure meeting here and everything. But he never really traded. All he did was clip, you know, bond coupons and stuff like that. But he really studied the market. That's all she ever did, much like what W.D. Gann did. Now, I don't study as much as I used to because, you know, first of all, some of these guys are so smart. It's really, I've never led a boring life. That's for sure, dude. I've been very fortunate over these years to meet so many people that have been so, so much fun. And you're going to meet one of them here in a little bit. Steve Shapiro is one of my really dear friends. He's always had my back as I have had his. And he's just a super guy. And I was very, very close to he and his mom very much. Okay. We got a call here from New Jersey. It's me there. Hey, don't be so modest. You're pretty smart guy yourself. No, no, no. We got to pay a few bills here.  Hey, Steve, do you remember, I don't know if you were in the room or not. You were there the day when Bryce sold those bonds at 103 and said they would never get to 103.1 or something like that. Do you remember that? Yeah, Bryce was amazing. He worked out was really terrific. Yeah. He said, if those bonds get to 103.1, he said, I'm going to take these books out and throw them in the Pacific Ocean. Yeah. Anyway, listen, what we're going to do is pay a few bills here. We're going to come back and then tell the folks, you know, how we met and all that stuff. So I can't even remember some of it. It's been 33 years ago. Can you believe that? No, no. Yeah, 34 years old. Yeah, you're only 49. You were 10 when I met you. We'll be right back with Dr. Steve, folks. Larry Pezzavento has just started his brand new service, Fibonacci 24-7, and he's already delivering content to his subscribers on a daily basis when the markets opened and even on weekends. Each Monday, you'll receive Larry's written report that provides detailed commentary and a summary on the charts and videos that Larry sends out. And throughout the week, when warranted, Larry will send out via charts or videos or both the key markets that he is watching during the day. This will be up to the date active trading information that will help you in your daily trading. In Larry's first week alone, he sent out 25 charts, 6 videos, and a full report to his subscribers in just one week. 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Doc, I'm going to put you on the spot here. Let's go back to Shell Beach in the apartment where we first met, I believe. You came up to start watching me trade. You want to tell the folks some of your memories that we had? And they will probably expand on Bryce and Mark Douglas and, you know, some, because you were involved with, and especially Dennis Regan, you know, with the Artificial Intelligence, because you're the dude that started the whole thing. Go ahead, Steve. Tell us what you remember. Well, I remember you would always say, take what the market gives, not what you're looking for. And that really was a big help to me to stay with me. And I remember one thing in particular. I made a trade, was trading crude oil. I wound up the trade in 26 seconds because I followed our patterns that we were looking at. And the market was moving. Something happened in the news made the market really take off. The market is, they trend as your friend. So I got into the market. And in about 10 seconds there was something like a $400 trade profit. So I decided that take what's there. I wanted to get out of the trade. And by the time I got my finger onto the button to get out of the trade, I had to drop down to $150 profit. Total elapsed time when I called, because I was sure it was 26 seconds. If I had waited 10 more seconds, it would have been negative. So that was the best evidence that I saw of taking what the market gives, not what you want. Take what's there. So that was fun sitting next to you and trading. And I remember in the beginning, I remember sitting next to you. And I think you were trading pork bellies. And you were looking at the charts. And you made 10 or 12 consecutive trades, trades that you would have made. And you just pointed out and I would ask you, I said, why did you do that? And your answer was, do you remember? It's the right thing to do. That was before I had really studied the patterns that you had shown me. And the Fibonacci patterns always seemed to work to a greater or lesser degree. Yeah, they certainly did. Nothing worked on the percent of the time, all the time. But I think it was fair to say that in 75% of the times I traded, there was some profit in the trade. It was just a matter of being smart enough to take it. You were with me when we were in that pork belly contest that I ended up winning at the Merc. They had a pork belly traded contest and we did some of that. Steve, one thing I do remember that we jatted about once in a while is the one trade I did after being on the phone with my ex, if you remember that. Oh, yeah. You want to tell the folks a little bit about my short girls? Yeah, you made a trade. You said it was a bad trade. I said, well, what are you going to do? You said I'm going to get rid of it. And the moral of that story is if you're not feeling well, don't trade. Yeah, that's right. It was a certainly effect to me. That's for sure. Part of the time, folks, when we had students come in, they would go down to Steve and his mom, a mom's title mom. And mom would always make breakfast for us. Do you remember the heart surgeon from New Orleans that came out to visit us all three or four times? Yeah, he said the dog was going to die. Yeah. What kind of dog was the Sultan? What was he? He was Chihuahua or something? He was a Pomeranian. Oh, Pomeranian. Anyway, the dog was about two, was he about two pounds? Yeah. About six pounds. Yeah, about six pounds. And I think it was Dr. Stone. Dr. Stone said that's the only dog you ever seen that could eat half his weight in bacon. And the little guy could really put it away. That's for sure.  I would think she lived to be 97, didn't she? She died 10 days before her 96th birthday. Wow. I remember on Friday, I used to do the newsletter. And every Friday I would take her down to Santa Maria where we had the fairgrounds. And they had off track betting there. So we would play the horses on Friday so I could write the Astro Cycles newsletter. And on one day, we always said at the same table at the back, I was up talking to someone and I came back and one of the old timbers came up and was trying to put some moves on your mom.  And the guy ran out of the place. She never did forget that. She lived on that forever. Well, he never liked that man to her. Yeah, that was really funny. She was really sweet. Steve, tell me how you met Dennis Regan because he's the one that started me and an artist official and tells us you would get faxes. You sent me up a fax.  And that was back in, forget the number. But how did you meet him? Actually, he made some mailings. He sent out the recommendations and said, try them and see if they work. And that was how I followed, I didn't make the trades, but I followed some of his recommendations and they seemed to work. That's how it all started. And seeing what he was doing. And I wrote to him and said, I'd like to know a little bit more about what you're doing. And that's how we got started on the artificial intelligence. You never went to Bakersfield with me to meet him, did you? I don't think you ever did. Dr. Jimmy went over a couple of times. Also, do you remember, Steve, when we first started working with Bryce in the Wave Trader? Oh my God. Tell the folks about that. That was really cool. Well, he developed a program that was able to chart the phases of the moon. And it really worked beautifully. And what I did, I used that chart. I checked all of the grains. And as a consequence of laying that chart over a weed chart, there seemed to be a reasonable correlation. So I did some back research, got data from Jim Toyman. And it seemed like there definitely was a correlation. So that's when I wrote the program. It wasn't really a program, it was just a technique for trading the moon. A trading wheat using phases of the moon. There were two trades a month on the new moon and the full moon. And I remember starting at the January 6th of that year and made 12 consecutive trades that were profitable. And the 13th trade, if I would have done what I should have done, it would have been profitable too. I think at that time the cost of trade wheat was about $600 per contract. I don't know what it is now, but I know it's a lot more. And I made $3,000 in one month out of those 12 trades. And I traded it and I left California to come back east to accept the teaching position that was still trading. And it still works today. It doesn't work during the summer months for some reason. But 10 months out of the 12 months of the year, it's very, very accurate. And I don't know why, it only works with wheat. And I thought this was really a great thing to do. And then I find out that people have been trading using phases of the moon for 100 years only wheat. Yeah, I know some people certainly do do that. Do you remember some of the great meals we had down at Jaco Steakhouse? Hey, James, could you stay with us for just a little bit longer, Steve? Sure, sure. We're gonna pay a few bills, we'll be right back with Steve Shapiro. If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you. The security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida. The Tax Act of 2018 set up tax-free zones across the country where you can build and hold for 10 years and pay no tax on the profits, which makes these lots valuable. The investment is anywhere from $30,000 to $75,000. The interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis. According to bankrate.com, the best rate for a four-year CD in the country as of February 20th is 3.1%. A $50,000 investment at a normal four-year CD rate of 3.1% would give you income of $1,550 per year or $6,200 over the four-year period. 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A fund's prospectus and summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the fund is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, four-side fund services, LLC. The Bull Bear Trading Hour with Tom and Tommy O'Brien. Next. Okay, we're back, folks. We're talking with my good friend Steve Shapiro. Steve, what was the name of the bar there that John Madden owned? You know, the football coach, San Luis Obispo. What was it? Do you remember it? The bottom of the hill? I can't either. It was where the bikers used to hang out. And you're asking about some of the funny things that happened. I remember sitting there. I got one for you. Do you remember Bruno? Oh, sure. Bruno. Yeah, Bruno Libertary, my god. Tell the story about it. Let me start. Bruno was one of my students. He would come in, and usually students stayed two days with me, and we would trade up at the trading house. We'd go down and have breakfast with Mumsy and Steve, and then we would trade. And he stayed with me the whole week. He was really having a hard time. He was a plumber from Connecticut.  I said, I'm just not getting through to you. So, you know, try it for a little bit.  And so I left, and Monday morning I came in, and about 8.30 Steve and Bruno came in. And I looked around. You took him to the airport, but you ended up going to your house, didn't you? And he stayed with you. Is that correct? Yeah.  You got it from there, Steve. What happened? Because it was a surprise. Because he wanted to trade the S&P, but he could not trade it well. He kept losing money. I said, why don't you try it our way? He said, I don't trade that way. I said, do you make money? He said, no. I said, why don't you try it our way? And he just couldn't get it. I said, Bruno, let's try it another way. Do you like girls? He said, oh yeah, I like girls. I said, imagine something. This will explain harmony of the markets to you. Imagine that every morning at 8 o'clock, a beautiful blonde in a flashy red convertible passes by your house as you're getting ready to go to work. If she did this 10 days in a row, you don't know where she's coming from. You don't know where she's going. Would you be willing to say there was a high probability that she might be willing to do it on the 11th day? You said, oh yeah. I said, that's all harmony of the markets is. It's percentages. Something that has gone before will happen again. Just like the beautiful blonde. Oh, is that all there is to it? That's how she learns to trade in some things. Yeah, and the sequel to that is about 15 years later, I'm sitting here in Tucson, and I hear this real expensive car pull up into my driveway. And I go out and look, and there's Bruno sitting in a beautiful yellow Porsche convertible on his way to California. He had his own little fund where he only traded corn. You remember Steve, that's all he ever traded was corn. Yeah, and he did really good. So I never heard from him after that, but it was certainly great. Hey Steve, I want to thank you for joining us today. We'll have you. And by the way, if the folks want to reach you to talk about that wheat, how would they reach you? Call you at your number or something, or what would be best? You can give my number. It's okay. I don't mind. If they want to talk to me, be happy to talk to anybody. Okay, I'll put the number in the room there if they want to take a look. His number is<PHONE_NUMBER>. 9346. 9346. That's what happens when you're dyslexic. It's 9346.<PHONE_NUMBER>. Steve, thanks for joining us, buddy. And I'll talk to you next week. We always do. You bet, brother. I love you. Take it easy, and I hope to see you when we're in Philadelphia. By the way, when are you coming to Philly? The way things are going, who knows? Probably maybe Christmas time, I'm hoping, but we'll have to wait and see. Okay, thanks for joining us, pal. You bet. Okay, folks, you bet. All right, let's move on to talk about the markets a little bit. Someone's asked me a question about this big pattern that I was seeing in the Dow Jones, and it just doesn't want to roll over. Well, that's not because I've done something wrong. My timing is not worked. It's not worked. I mean, it's just not, but the pattern is still there, folks. There's nothing different about that pattern. I'm going to give you my two cents worth, and then we will see what you think about it and that we'll not worry about it too much and get it up here. And we'll take a look at it. All I know is for sure, all righty. When this thing is over, you see where it's trading there at right around $27,800. $27,000, whatever it is. You see that low down there in December? December 26, we're going to take that low out, and we're going to do a 1.618 expansion of that low. That's going to take us down to about $17,000. We're going to drop that much. I don't know when it's going to happen, but when it starts, the market's going to tell you. It's going to ring the bell and say, uh-oh, there's just too much complacency out there. I don't know what's going to cause it. I believe it's going to be related to the bond market because this thing is all relying on credit. I don't know if it has anything to do with the terrorist activities that we're seeing in Chile and Spain and France and also in Hong Kong. I'll tell you one thing, if you see people starting to throw Molotov cocktails here in the United States, there won't be any prisoners taken. The policemen will shoot them. Someone carrying a Molotov cocktail is like someone carrying a machine gun, folks. Let's get off to the races and forget about that and move over to the bond market. I want to take a look at that one. Here is the bond market. We've been waiting for this rally. We've now rallied just about three handles. There was the ABCD pattern. I believe we've got above 58 today. So that tells us that we have at least completed that bottom. Any move below 155 now, folks, after a small rally is going to be extremely, extremely bearish. It really is. Now, let's just look at one other thing that Byron Tucker sent to us. This comes from Statistica out of the Federal Reserve. Let's take a quick look at this. This is the amount of credit that's in the system. We'll get up here and you'll see where we're looking at here. You're looking at $13.9 trillion. You can see the amount of credit card is really relatively small. Morgie's, of course, has to be huge. And the whole equity line of credit doesn't mean too much. Look at the student loan compared to the automobiles. My goodness, that's just amazing. It tells you that these kids have overpaid for their education. At least that's my natural gas. Natural gas is one of the ones we wanted to look at. And I did a chart. I think I did a chart. The question is, oh, I don't have the natural gas. All I know is a natural gas. Yesterday made that low. Today made a 61% retracement last night at 270. And now we're trading a little bit below that. But here's what I wanted to talk to you about because someone asked the question and I want to, uh-oh, I've got the natural gas here. Sure it is. Let's get it up here. Here we go. We'll get this up here and you'll be able to see it. Last night's high at 270 was an exact 382 retracement of that high we made. Now, if that's only a two-day rally and the market turned down from there, it's really going to be. Ruby, I don't have time for sugar to sweet. I just been swamped doing everything else so I have not been able to do that. Is it trading? Is it going up a little bit? It should be up around 1270, the March sugar. The last time I checked, it looked like it was heading towards that area. But you know what I'll do? We've got a break here. And when we get back, I'll get up sugar to sweet and I'll put it in there for you, Ruby, because you're always there. We're on the right track. So I'll update that chart. And when we get back from the break, I'll be able to be able to take a look at that for sure. Remember, folks, I'm not going to be here tomorrow. It's old pin cushion day to see the old get the old tests in order. But we will be back on Monday. We'll have some guests next week. I haven't lined them up yet, but we'll certainly try to get some of the usual people. And we will have David Paul and Tom Hougard on next week too. But they're in Frankfurt for a natural meeting. May God bless and we'll be right back, folks. I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life. It's the most common trait that we tigers and tigers share. If you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money, let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. I'm Steve Rhodes, author of Mastering Probability. And for the last 12 months, I've been making my newsletter signals, which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12, 6, and 3 months. Timer digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well. The fact is, markets can be timed. And I'll teach you the exact set of tools that I use that has transformed me into one of the best at what I do. Sign up for Mastering Probability today by clicking on the newsletter tab on the homepage of TFNN.com where I take you step by step how to use an extraordinary set of tools as well as provide great market calls to. Sign up today. If you haven't checked out the Newsletters page of TFNN.com, what are you waiting for? All of the TFNN Newsletters are informative, up-to-date, affordable, and must have for every trader looking to gain a competitive informational edge in today's markets. TFNN Newsletters cover every aspect of the markets to offer you the very latest in market news. Plus, new subscribers get to test-drive our Newsletters risk-free for 30 days. From all aspects of the markets, including stocks, bonds, metals, commodities, and tech, there's a newsletter to fit your needs exclusively from TFNN. Stay informed each day you trade and get the competitive edge that will help you stay ahead of the game. Visit our Newsletters page by going to TFNN.com and click the Newsletters button near the top of the page. TFNN.com Educating Investors Basil Chapman has just announced a live 90-minute webinar he'll be conducting for subscribers to his daily trading newsletter, The Opening Call, which will be taking place Tuesday, November 19th from 5-6.30pm Eastern Time, titled A Comprehensive Review of the Chapman Wave Techniques and Market Outlook Ahead for 2020. This is a great time to sign up for a 30-day free trial to the Opening Call while gaining access to Basil's live subscriber event taking place later this month. With some stock picks up 15-30% this year alone, Basil will review many of the Chapman Wave techniques that helped in their successful analysis, as well as providing the sectors and stocks that he thinks will be of importance heading into 2020. For all the details, check out the Opening Call on the front page of TFNN.com This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com Ok folks, we're going to take a look at Sugar for Ruby the Great. Ruby, this is working out really good for you here as you can see we had that three drive to a bottom pattern and you had a perfect symmetry you can see between the lows it's just absolutely as near perfect as it could get you had the expansion then you had the Gartley pullback and now you're on your way up I think we're looking at somewhere around 13-15 to 1400 in the Sugar and then you'll have another correction but this has a potential for a big move Ruby because of that triple bottom that three drive pattern that we had there so pay close attention to that and we know some of the markets are starting to hold now with this thing about China and all this other baloney that's going on the grains have held up relatively well keep an eye on the March soybeans folks remember we talked about that early in the week down around that 920 level excuse me around 910 in the March soybeans should be a very nice Gartley forming and do the work yourself as 21 says and then you'll be able to you know get it working so that's what we're watching so far I hope you enjoyed listening to Steve it's been a long time I don't get to see him very often but we chat a lot but I don't get to see him very often but he's certainly a super guy and really really nice guy he taught at Drexel University where he went to school he got a double PhD and he taught at Cal Poly San Luis Obispo for several years and that's how I met him he used to come into the office and trade with us and he knew everybody did everything so it's been around me been around a great time and I have a lot of fun times with him and stuff but if you need to reach him I posted that I'll put it in a room here because he's fun to talk to because he's pretty much retired now and he does have time to chat he won't chew your ear off for anything but he has some good ideas 702 it's 9643 and there we go so that's what we're looking at right now so that's what we're watching so live every day in an attitude of gratitude and may god bless


CHAPTER XIII The Brewster Mansion, in which is explained, at last, how and why Belle Charmiot was so ubiquitous, and the reason she offered a reward for a missing fiancée. They reached the house and rang the bell. Fenton, expecting a maid to answer, was composing his mind to wait in excited suspense the ten or fifteen minutes. That would probably elapse before Miss Charmiot should appear. Looked up suddenly to find her, the very girl of his dreams, at the open door. He turned white, Belle Charmiot blushed vividly. The two might have stood there staring at each other indefinitely, had not the reporter smiling at their embarrassment taken off his hat and introduced John Fenton. She looked at him, how she looked at him, as if he were a ghost. But recovering her equanimity before he did, she graciously invited the two men into the back parlor. You'll pardon my surprise, Mr. Fenton, she explained, but I hadn't expected to see you so soon. Indeed, I had sent my maid for you only just now. Richmond spoke before Fenton could answer. I'm sure you must want to see Mr. Fenton alone, he said. Suppose I wait in the dining-room. He gave a glance at Fenton, for the reporter had the bag of jewels ready under his overcoat. Oh, I have nothing I'm not willing for you to hear, Mr. Richmond, she said. Indeed, if I'm not mistaken, it may give you a good story. Mr. Richmond reluctantly sat down, and Fenton still beauty-struck and dumb, still feasting his eyes on Bel Charmian, followed his example. She turned to him gravely. Mr. Fenton, she said, you have no doubt wondered why, at such a time as this, with my half-brother lying dead, I should ask you, a perfect stranger, to come here to see me. Fenton tried to speak. The words, a perfect stranger, hurt him keenly, but she went on. The fact is that if what I suspect is true, finding you is almost as important to me as losing my half-brother. As to him, I need only say that there was never much love lost between us. I could never either like or respect him, but he is dead, I need not enlarge on my reasons. When my mother married Mr. Brewster, it was a great blow to me, and I have never reconciled myself to it. After she died a year ago, I knew that it would not be possible for me to keep even the semblance of a friendship with Gordon for long. As you may know, two months ago I left this house to live at the Plaza Hotel, and I have scarcely seen Gordon Brewster since. Miss Charmian, Fenton said, at last finding his tongue. Before you go on, I ought, I'm sure, explain why, the last time I saw you, I was pretending to be someone else. Only it was with the best intentions. She laughed. Oh, I rang up Marguerite Morgan and asked about you. She explained all that, and I understand. What I want more to understand is what you know about this little ornament. She handed him the golden heart-shaped locket set with the diamond star, which she had tried to get from the cab driver. When I met you at the Hotel Astor, she said, I was going to ask you then, but I feared I had made a mistake. You see, you were dressed in gray tweed, while only an hour before I had seen you in a brown coat and overalls. Her eyes twinkled. I would have asked you at the Morgans, in spite of your having been introduced to me as the Count Capricorni, but that telephone message left me no time. It was lucky that Mr. Richmond had given me your address earlier in the evening. Now that locket has a history. I scarcely dare ask you what you know of it, whether it is yours or not. But if it is, I have much to tell you. Miss Charmian, I believe that is my locket, said Fenton, examining it excitedly. At least I remember seeing it when I was about eight years old in the possession of a man named O'Shea, whom I have reason to believe, kidnapped me. And if that is true, my real name is Bruce Courtney. Miss Charmian gazed at him with heightened color. Her lips parted, her face strangely expressive. She had stretched out her hand to him, and was just about to speak when she was interrupted by a long ring at the front door-bell, and hurriedly excusing herself, saying that it must be her maid returning. She left and went into the hall. Now's my time, Fenton, cried Richmond, jumping up. I've located the dining-room. Back there. I'm going to have a look at that safe. He darted to the doorway, gave a look down the hall, and disappeared toward the rear of the house. Fenton, for a few minutes, paced up and down nervously. It was annoying to have the conversation interrupted just at the moment when, apparently, he was to find out whether his suspicions about his own identity were correct. When he was to find, too, what secret connected him with Bel Charmian. But if Richmond could succeed in replacing the jewels in the safe without her knowing it, the accident was well timed. Then as he listened for her return he heard a strangely familiar voice which rose steadily higher. He went to the door to hear more clearly. Do you mean to say that I have made an incipient octagon of myself running around this hologastric town for nothing? Fenton thundered, and Fenton was amazed to recognize it as Dr. Hop Bottom. I'm very sorry, said Miss Charmian. But by the pancyclic septuagint, wasn't it on your business? It's too bad you were forestalled. Forestalled? Do you mean you'd take the word of a seventeen-cent hyper-corosive blastoderm like that braumpropionic reporter rather than mine? Miss Charmian burst out laughing. You're a day late, Doctor, but I'm very busy at present, and I'll have to say good morning. Well, by Zarathustra, you'll have to give me that super hyphenated locket, or pay for it, then. I think I shall have no trouble improving that it is my property, or that of Mr. Fenton, said Miss Charmian calmly, and so unless you wish me to call him, or his friend, I really think you'd not better stay. Fenton appeared in the hall at the same moment. Your hop-bottom took one look at him, and put on his hat. Then he opened the front door, and shook his bony finger at his former ward. You'll come to a health-saform end, sir, he declaimed. You see if you don't. I knew you were nothing but a semi-colonial, anthropoid, anacoluthon when I first saw you. Good day, Miss Charmian! Good day! The next time I spend my time looking up a post-impressionistic, Pliocene friend of yours, I'll gym-prickulately well know it, and he stalked out of the door and slammed it. At that moment Richmond touched Fenton on the shoulder. Great, he whispered, just as I thought. The door of the safe was shut, but not locked. The jewels are safe. At last, Fenton replied, I only hope I'll never have to see them again. They moved back from the doorway just as Miss Charmian returned. Well it seems that wasn't your locket after all, she cried smiling. Look at this, and she held out one exactly similar. Where in the world did that extraordinary old doctor get it? Do you suppose? I see, said Fenton. He must have got it somehow, from O'Shea. But how in the world should he look it up? Oh, that simple, Miss Charmian volunteered. Don't you know that for a year I have offered a thousand dollars reward for you? He blushed prettily and gave him her hand. Richmond groaned whimsically. I wish I'd known that, he said. Miss Charmian turned to him. Oh, it doesn't matter. You are the one who brought him, and the money is yours.  Isn't it strange that when I first saw Mr. Fenton, or, of course, I must say Mr. Courtney now, I had an intuition that he was the man I wanted to find. And when I saw the locket and heard what you told me of it, Mr. Richmond, I was sure. But interrupted Fenton. Would you mind telling me why you were so anxious to find me? I'm dazed. I know very well why I wanted to find you. But do sit down and I'll begin at the beginning, said Miss Charmian. I don't mind Mr. Richmond's hearing it, for there's no reason why this shouldn't be known. They took chairs near her, and she began. My mother, then, Mrs. Charmian, and yours, Mrs. Courtney, were great friends. Well, you and I were born on the same day, twins, so to speak. We were brought up together as near neighbors and friends, that is, till we were four years old. That scene you have described on the ferryboat I recall perfectly. You see, we each had a locket like these. And it was mine you snatched away from me. Did you had it when you were kidnapped, the same day? And that is the one Dr. Hop Bottom has so miraculous that restored just now. You see, there seems to have been some queer fate all through it. We couldn't be separated in spite of everything. Well, your disappearance was a terrible thing. Your mother became ill, and she really died as a consequence of the shock and the horror of it. Your father spent almost every cent he had in trying to find you. And from the day you were lost nothing was ever heard by which anyone could trace you.  Your father died a few years afterward, a broken down old man, entrusting the search to my father and mother. Until my own father died the search was never abandoned. Then my mother married Mr. Brewster, and the thing was given up as an insoluble mystery. But a year ago I determined to try again, and I offered the reward in hopes that, by this time, someone might be willing to give information. But Miss Charmian, Fenton interrupted. It was fine of you to do that, but what really did it matter, whether I was found or not, at this late day? I don't quite see. Ah! she said, smiling. I haven't told you the main point. Will you come into the dining-room for a moment? She rose and led the way. Fenton and Richmond exchanged a glance of surprise and followed her, wondering what was to come next. Miss Charmian went to the safe and began to turn the combination. In a moment she threw open the door and looked in. Why, how funny, she exclaimed, as she drew out the leather bag. Oh, I suppose Gordon was intending to take it to the safe deposit vaults. He probably wanted to economize room here. But how extraordinarily careless! She rose and handed the bag of jewels to Fenton. For the fourth time within twelve hours, then, he received this astonishing collection of precious stones. Each time had been sensational. Each time had been unlooked for. Each time had been more dramatic than the last. This time capped the climax. Amazed and dazed, he found no words to express his wonder. He stood holding the bag, looking at Miss Charmian stupidly. They are yours, said Bel Charmian. He could only repeat, Mine? Yes, she replied.  But these jewels were your mother's, and she wished them kept in case you should be found. But despairing of that, she directed in her will that if you should not be found by the time I, and of course you, was twenty-one years old, that they should become mine. Well, I am twenty-one today, and so are you. It is our birthday.  But do you mean to say, Fenton cried, that you offered a thousand dollars reward for me, so that you might not come into possession of these jewels? She nodded gravely. Why not? It was all he could do to prevent himself rushing to her and taking her in his arms. He knew now, though he had always felt intuitively what sort of woman she was, how fine and how loyal, to discover also what old bond connected them. Thrilled him. It gave him a claim on her affection, a right to her. It explained and justified the romantic attraction she had had for him. It made reasonable and sound what might otherwise be distrusted as a two-picturesque love at her sight. Did she feel that also? He must find out. Richmond's presence embarrassed him. He gave the reporter an appealing glance.  He arose immediately.  I don't mind, she replied. Then, if you'll excuse me, I'll go into your library and begin it. I can get any details I want later, and with a wink to Fenton he left the room. Fenton could not realize that the wealth represented by the jewels was now his. He dared not estimate their value. He only knew that he was now rich, that his future was assured. Even this, however, did not excite him. There was something far more important, far more precious, far more romantic agitating him.  She seemed melting, as if she herself could no longer resist the power, which had for so long been drawing them together. He glanced at her, and she answered without a word. It made him tremble, but he dared not quite believe. It seemed audacious to risk his happiness upon so subtle a sign. Yet in his heart he knew, as well as if she had spoken aloud, that she was his, that it would be grotesquely impossible for her to be any others. So, trepid, nervous, his courage growing momentarily, he watched her beautiful expressive face, saw it soften as she looked at him. It was Bel Charmian who first broke the silence. I haven't told you of one strange thing, she said softly, as if afraid to speak aloud. Last night I felt queery. I had a sort of intuition that something was about to happen. It was the eve of my birthday, and I knew that tomorrow, if you were not found, the jewels would be mine. I didn't want them. It was hateful to me to take them. Well, I went. I wonder if you can understand just why. To a fortune teller. She told me some strange things about myself, and about you. She paused and blushed. Was it Madame Oswald? Leapton asked impetuously. Miss Charmian nodded, astonished that he should know. The fortune teller's prediction leaped in Defenton's mind. He was, she had said, to marry a girl with the initials, B.C., and marry with money. And now, did she know your name, he asked suddenly. She looked up, a little pale with emotion. No, but I remembered afterwards that I had a shopping bag with my monogram on it. Perhaps that's how she got my initials so mysteriously. Fenton smiled, reached over, and now boldly took her hand. I think I know what she said of me, he said. She said it to me, too. And I hope it will come true. So now that I have found the answer to the question that has been in my mind so persistently for twelve hours. What question, she asked wonderingly, she did not withdraw her hand. The question, who is Bel Charmian? She drew away her hand and jumped to her feet. Oh, she cried. I haven't told you the strangest part of it all yet. I didn't want to speak of it before your friend Mr. Richmond. But you could never answer that question, till I have told you. What? he exclaimed. Surely you are Bel Charmian, aren't you? He looked at her in amazement. Sit down, she answered. I want to tell you a story. A story that you ought to know. And reseeding herself, she began the tale. Reason versus instinct. I don't know exactly how it happened. The mix-up of two babies that led to the queerest year two mothers ever had. Your mother and mine. I know only that they were at the same hospital, and that we were born at the same time, almost the same minute, and that the place caught fire before we were well into the world. The patients were bundled out in blankets, and there was a tremendous excitement everywhere. When the two babies were brought out to the two mothers, lying in cots on the lawn that May night, it occurred for the first time to the nurse who brought them that she had no idea which child belonged to which. You can't imagine anything funnier or anything at the same time more tragic as well. One baby was a boy and one a girl. But which was Mrs. Courtney's child, and which was Mrs. Charmian's? Nobody there could tell. If that nurse had realized the importance of the situation, or had thought of it a moment sooner, she would undoubtedly have decided the question for herself, taken the babies and delivered them as chance would have it, and no one would ever have known. But she hesitated just a moment too long. Both the women were nearly distracted and waiting in nervous suspense to know whether or not their children had been saved. Ill as they were, nothing could satisfy them, till they had seen their own children safe. So waiting there in the midst of all that horror, they were quite able to notice the nurse's perplexity. There was nothing for the nurse to do therefore but to acknowledge her dilemma. The infants were safe. That was all she could say. It was enough at least to reassure both mothers' minds, for the time being, and both of them collapsed, and were taken away to the nearest house, after being assured that the problem would be settled satisfactorily as soon as those who knew the facts could be questioned. The next day, however, it was found that the only ones who knew the answer to the riddle, one of the house physicians and two nurses who had stayed in the burning building, caring for the patients, had been burned to death, or had died from the effects of their injuries. There was therefore absolutely no knowing how to assign the children. It was a question for the mothers to decide between themselves. That's how the trouble began, and it wasn't soon over. In the first place the boy-baby had red hair, not much but enough to serve as possible hereditary evidence. Now Mrs. Courtney had aw-burned hair, but on the other hand, so did Mr. Charmian. Mrs. Courtney argued that a child usually resembles, physically, its parent of the opposite sex, that is, a boy resembles his mother and a girl her father. But Mrs. Charmian found plenty of evidence to disprove that theory. Mr. Charmian's father, for instance, had had red hair, as well as Mr. Charmian himself. This discussion was kept up for a week, while the two women stayed at the house that had been rented as a temporary hospital ward. Mrs. Courtney and Mrs. Charmian had beds in the same room, and the children were cared for in want adjoining. Night and day the argument was kept up, sometimes excitedly as the two women grew nervous from their suspense, and sometimes amicably weeping with laughter at the comedy of the situation. Mothers were college women and could discuss the subject scientifically. Of course that was in 1890, before Mendel's law had been rediscovered, or else I suppose there would have been a great deal of evidence, as to whether red hair was a dominant or a recessive factor. As it was they quoted Darwin, Lamarck, and Weisman on heredity and mutation, and they must have got a good deal over their heads. Mrs. Courtney would exploit a theory over one baby, and then exclaim, Now let me see the other one. Mrs. Charmian would send for books and encyclopedias, and then cry, Give me that child quick, and so it went. Meanwhile the two fathers were fighting it out together in the same way. Mr. Courtney would talk it over with his wife. He would talk it over with Mr. Charmian. He would talk it over with Mrs. Charmian. You'll easily see that there were six combinations of pairs possible, and each pair had it out. Well both the mothers and the babies throve, despite the uncertainty of parentage. The parents declared an armed truce on the red hair question, and turned from specific to general traits. Which set of parents did each child most resemble? That was the question. You can foresee the difficulties of identification. The boy had Mr. Courtney's eyes and Mrs. Charmian's nose. He was sure to have Mrs. Courtney's hands and Mr. Charmian's ears, and so on. Neither of the children's resemblance to either of the parents was pronounced enough to determine the question for the four adults involved. Family pictures were produced, old photographs, daguerreotypes, oil portraits, even tin types. Some seemed to show a marked resemblance in a possible ancestor, but as soon as one child appeared to be proved to descendant. The other one evidenced proof of acclaim to the same line. The two babies had to all intents and purposes during the first fortnight. Four parents apiece. Mrs. Courtney, as she convalesced, studied the boy for hours, while Mrs. Charmian inspected the girl. And the two women would compare notes, exchange babies, and the trouble would begin all over again. Of course there was no envy. It was not a question of each woman wanting the best, or handsomest, or healthiest, or brightest child. Each woman wanted her own, that was all. But that was enough to keep each mother uncertain. This of course couldn't go on forever. The women wanted to go to their homes, and each wanted to take a baby. But naturally it was necessary to decide which child each should take. The fathers grew impatient, and jacosly proposed that they should draw lots for the babies. The mothers couldn't see the joke, and wept when it was suggested. It was a serious matter. The fathers next offered to move into a double house, and wait for time to decide the question by developing the children's characteristic differences. The mothers wouldn't agree to that, either. And so for a few days the matter was at a deadlock, with the women in tears and the men surly. But by this time the mothers had come to an agreement upon one important question. They decided that whatever were their last names, the boy should be called Bruce and the girl Belle. No girl ever yet liked her given name, and I don't like mine. But Belle Courtney, or Belle Charmian, one or the other, I had to be. Well this sort of thing finally became intolerable, and the two women grew desperate. It was working on their nerves so badly that the question had to be decided some way. Now Mrs. Courtney had wanted a son tremendously. Her husband had also, although a father's influence isn't supposed to mean much. On the other hand, Mrs. Charmian and Mr. Charmian had both hoped for a little daughter. So on the basis of these two strong desires, and their prenatal influence, the matter was settled. The courtes took Bruce home to East Orange, and the Charmians took Belle to their house in Orange Centre. This was when the children were three weeks old. Neither of the women was really satisfied. There was a horrible doubt in each mother's mind, that perhaps she was nursing some other woman's baby, and this kept both of them so worried that neither recovered rapidly. It occurred first to Mrs. Charmian to watch for peculiar inherited traits, and see if the ancestry couldn't be traced along that line. A baby of three weeks old, however, is little more than a breathing automaton. While its acts are instinctive, or mere physiological reflexes, it is rehearsing in its development the history of the race. Babies are really more like apes than human beings. At the same time, family traits are deeply seated, and will come out. This was Mrs. Charmian's view. About two days after the families had separated, the Courtney house Belle was rung loud and long at about three o'clock in the morning. Mr. Courtney got up, threw on his bathrobe, and came down to the front door to find Mr. Charmian shivering on the stoop. Say, do you like to have the soles of your feet tickled? Was the first thing Mr. Charmian said. Do you mean to say you've got me up in the middle of the night to ask that, Mr. Courtney exclaimed? Good heavens, no! I can't bear it! Mr. Charmian persisted. Does your wife like it? She demanded? I don't know that it's any of your business, Mr. Courtney replied. It seems to me to be a rather personal question.  Thank God, Mr. Charmian answered, and started off, when Mr. Courtney called him back. Say, for heaven's sake, Charmian, what in thunder does all this mean, he asked? Why, said Mr. Charmian, I enjoy having the soles of my feet tickled, and so does Mrs. Charmian. She adores it. It's fine. Confounded, it's restful. It eases the nerves, you know. It makes you relax. Well, Mr. Courtney just stood there and stared at Mr. Charmian, too angry for words. Well, he said at last, sarcastically. Now this important question is settled. I suppose I may go to bed? Wait a minute till I get Belle. Then you can wake up Bruce and tickle his feet, and we'll know. What in the devil do you mean?  Then Mr. Charmian explained. Mrs. Charmian, it seemed, had awakened in the middle of the night, thinking of the fact that she liked to have the soles of her feet tickled, and so did her husband. It was a rare trait. Most people can't bear it. Perhaps it would do for a test.  She coughed, sneezed, cried, and, more important than all that, she contracted the muscles of her toes and curled them up like little fists. This is no child of mine, Mrs. Charmian announced to her husband, nor of yours either. Take her over to the Courtney's immediately, and try Bruce. Mr. Charmian obeyed. Well, Mrs. Courtney got up and put on a wrapper. The nurse was awakened, and little Bruce was brought in and tickled in state. He smiled, relaxed his toes, and opened them as wide apart as possible. Could anything be more convincing? The babies were swapped. And Mr. Charmian drove home with Bruce, so Belle Charmian became Belle Courtney. Mrs. Courtney couldn't deny the force of this test. Yet she was so worried about it that she nearly made herself ill, thinking over it. The result was that one afternoon she took Belle and drove over to the Charmians in great excitement. Mrs. Charmian began to tremble at sight of her. Mercy, Mrs. Courtney, what is it, she asked? Have you discovered anything? We've got to get both children asleep immediately, said Mrs. Courtney. Belle simply won't sleep on her back. And the Courtney's as a family are noted for that. My husband always sleeps on his back. So did his father and grandfather. I don't, but my father and all my brothers do. Do you, Mrs. Charmian? She asked anxiously. No, indeed, said Mrs. Charmian. It makes one snore. Oh, that's nothing. The Courtney's, without exception, all snore, said Mrs. Courtney. My husband is simply dreadful. I always have to sleep two rooms away. Of course, Belle is too little to snore. But she won't sleep unless I lay her on her side. That is funny, said Mrs. Charmian. I've had lots of trouble getting Bruce to sleep. I never tried to put him on his back. Some doctors do say it's more helpful, though, that way. We'll try it immediately. The two children were rocked and cuddled and sung to, and finally deposited on a double bed, both on their sides. Belle went to sleep instantly. Bruce would not close his eyes. Both babies were then laid upon their backs. Bruce went instantly to sleep. Belle wailed. Bruce was then made comfortable. And when both children were in dreamland, the two mothers cried it out together. Isn't it awful to have to decide such an important question on such a little thing as that, said Mrs. Courtney, gazing at the babes? Look at Belle's hand, cried Mrs. Charmian suddenly. Now that settles it. I'm positive you're right. See she holds the thumb inside her fist. Just like all the Charmians. Bruce keeps his thumb outside. Don't the Courtney's endure people clench the thumb outside their fists? Of course they do, said Mrs. Courtney. It's a sign of a weak will to keep the thumb inside. Shaw! No one ever accused a Charmian of having a weak will. And I'm sure that thumb doesn't mean anything of the kind. But at any rate it proves pretty conclusively that your inference was right from her sleeping posture. When they get old enough to roll over of themselves, there'll be no possible doubt of it. You'd better take Bruce right back with you, Mrs. Courtney. And I'll take my girl. So Bruce Charmian became a Courtney again. Well I can't begin to tell you all the curious ins and outs of that ridiculous case. Bruce was taken back from the Courtney's. Early one morning he was seen to wiggle his ears. An immemorial Charmian characteristic. And Bell was proved to be a true Charmian after that, upsetting all previous evidences on account of her fear of cats, a trait for which the family had always been noted. Of course if the ladies had not been well educated enough to know that the doctrine of transmission of acquired characteristics had been exploded, there would have been many more complications. As for instance, in Bell's delight when the piano was played, and Bruce's aversion to blue, these things, of course, came later when the babies had begun to manifest intellectual powers. But there was quite enough else to keep the two families busy. The two children had scarcely time to get used to their mothers before they were whisked back. Soon every aunt and uncle, not to speak of the grandparents of the two babies, were brought into the controversy. Family councils were held and both babies were hurriedly sent for, inspected, analyzed, and judgment passed. Maiden aunts and interested cousins would insist that resemblances were unmistakable on one side, and immediately sisters-in-law and step-children on the other side would veto the verdict. The two families naturally got pretty well acquainted. In spite of the occasional quarrels and jealousies, the two sets of fathers and mothers became great friends. Mrs. Courtney and Mrs. Charmian met often to sew on the baby's layouts, for since it was never certain who was to do the dressing of either the boy or the girl, it was advisable that both mothers' tastes should be consulted, so they embroidered and stitched and folded and tucked as they talked the matter over. The fathers discussed the same subject from a different point of view, on board the train every morning on the way to their business in New York. So finally it was decided, half in jest and half in earnest, that the boy and girl should be formally engaged to each other. In the ancient royal style two similar gold lockets were bought, each with a diamond star on the front, and each child received one as a troth-plite token. If the two children should marry as planned, when they reached the age of twenty-one, it would settle all property rights at least, although whether the two contracting parties themselves would ever consent to this arrangement was, of course, another matter. This was the way matters stood when the two children were thirteen months old. The Courtney's and the Charmians had gone away to the main coast for their summer vacation, taking one large cottage for the two families. The children slept upstairs in a large nursery, one night as the two women were sitting sewing, discussing the inevitable topic. Mrs. Courtney smelled smoke. She spoke of it to Mrs. Charmian, who confirmed her suspicion, and the two went out into the hall together to investigate. An overturned lamp lay on the floor under the stairs. The oil had spread over the carpet and was burning fiercely. The inside of the closet under the stairs was all a fire. With simultaneous screams the two women started running upstairs for the children. They were almost out of their heads with terror, and they fought their way, crowding one another like maniacs up to the top, equally anxious to rescue the children.  By the time they reached the door of the nursery, the smoke filled the hall, and the women were frantic. They were beyond reason. They acted automatically. They burst through the door together. The children's cots stood side by side, and the way was clear to both. The mothers knew perfectly well which baby was in each cot. There was not a word spoken after they entered the room. But as if by a prearranged plan, the mothers each took a different cot, ran and grabbed the child it contained, then rushed downstairs through the smoke and flames till they were safe upon the lawn. Then they turned and looked at each other in wonder. At this time Bell had been with the Courtney's for some months, and Bruce with the Charmians. The affair had been virtually decided forever. But when the two women came to their senses they found that, without reason or will, without conscious intent that they could remember, acting merely upon blind impulse, Mrs. Courtney had saved Bruce, and Mrs. Charmian had rescued Bell, and without even discussing it, understanding each other and themselves without words, each mother knew that she had acted upon instinct and that her instinct had been true. The fathers were never so sure. But from that day neither Mrs. Courtney nor Mrs. Charmian doubted that she had her own child. And so, Miss Charmian concluded, there will never be an answer to your question. Who is Bell Charmian? For no one will ever know. Charmian arose and put his arm about her, with a little shiver of delicious excitement.  It doesn't matter anyway, my dear, said he, smiling down at her, because her name is going to be Bell Courtney again as soon as I can get a marriage license. Haven't we been engaged for twenty years? Her reply was smothered in his kiss. But whatever she said, it is safe to believe that it was not no.


Hey everybody, I'm Lance Coyke. Today we're going to discuss rep ranges for cardiovascular endurance. So we've already talked about rep ranges for strength. We said about one to six reps of really intense effort. We've talked about rep ranges for hypertrophy, about six to 12 reps of really intense effort. We've talked about rep ranges for muscular endurance, that burn sensation, being able to fight that off, being able to continuously contract your muscles. And we said that was, you know, at least 10 reps, but more than that, you know, more than 12 kind of stuff. Now, what is the difference? This is kind of a nuance question. This is an interesting comparison, I think. What is the difference between muscular endurance and cardiovascular endurance? So muscular endurance has to do with the local tissue, the local muscle. There's not a whole lot of systemic stuff going on, because what I'm doing here is I'm stressing this muscle. I'm probably using the glycolytic energy system, and my fatigue is building up. I'm eventually not going to be able to continue on, right? I am above my anaerobic threshold, and I'm just trying to continuously contract my muscle. In that case, the thing that will keep my muscular endurance improving, that will keep me active, is I need to clear out those byproducts, or I need to not make them in the first place. So if I'm clearing stuff out, I need capitalization of the muscle. I need blood supply directly around the muscle so that whenever these byproducts build up all throughout the muscle, they easily find ways. They have a lot of surface area interfacing with the blood supply. They have a lot of surface area with which they can use as an exit route, okay? Hopefully that makes sense. Now with cardiovascular endurance, we're talking about the cardiovascular system. We're not talking about the muscular system. And so this becomes more global, less local, right? If local is the muscle, this time global is the entire cardiovascular system. And so we have to look at the heart. We have to look at how efficient the heart is beating. And we have to look at general capitalization throughout the entire body. So if I'm looking for cardiovascular endurance, the duration of my exercise has to be much longer than my muscular endurance challenges, right? Plus, it's got to use a bunch of different muscles because if I'm going to maximally stress my gas exchange, breathing in, breathing out, getting oxygen one into the bloodstream, and then two into the muscles, and then three taking the carbon dioxide out, and then four exhaling it. All of those steps require that I challenge them, right? You remember our principle of overload and of specificity here. So with cardiovascular endurance, I'm trying to challenge the cardiovascular system. So specificity demands that I challenge the cardiovascular system. Overload demands that I have to, you know, breathe hard and my heart rate has to increase, right? It has to be a little bit harder than I'm used to. Yes. So principles, muscular endurance is let's clear stuff out of the muscle. Capitalization helps with that. And it also helps with cardiovascular endurance. But cardiovascular endurance has a lot to do with how efficient my heart is beating, right? Will it stretch enough to take in enough blood before it contracts and tries to pump that blood everywhere throughout your body? If it just like keeps doing this kind of thing and it doesn't really fill with that much blood, then it can't pump that much blood. Remember, we talked about stroke volume and we talked about cardiac output in a previous video, two previous videos. With that, if I'm going to stress global cardiovascular system, I need to build up that cardiac output. So part of that is just your heart rate response, right? And we've talked about that previously. And then part of that is your stroke volume. So I need to make sure that my heart isn't too contractile for its given exercise intensity or whatever. It doesn't need to beat super, super fast if I'm just walking uphill. Now it needs to beat a little bit harder and maybe a little bit faster. But it doesn't need to, you know, you don't want a heart rate that's above 150 or so. Okay. So those are kind of our rules. Now again, biggest differences between muscular endurance and cardiovascular endurance is that muscular endurance is local, cardiovascular endurance is global. And it takes into account the entire cardiovascular system. So we need to look at the heart. And then we need to look at the blood vessel, capitalization stuff that happens throughout the entire body. And if we're going to challenge those things, we probably need a very widespread or very systemic type of exercise. And that could be running, that could be biking, because I'm using a bunch of different stuff. It's probably not just sitting there and doing squats, because we talked about in our muscular endurance thing, even if I rest at the top, like that sets only going to be two or three minutes, if I'm really masochistic. And that's not enough time to really get adaptations out of the heart. We need to be going for a lot longer than that. And so I guess the, the hard and fast rule of rep ranges for cardiovascular endurance kind of demands that I increase my exercise duration to at least two or three minutes.


What does it mean to plead the blood and is it biblical? Coming from a Pentecostal and Charismatic background, I would often hear, I plead the blood. And you would hear it oftentimes when certain situations arise or when someone wants something, they would make a statement such as, I plead the blood. Sometimes in dire situations, something is happening and you want God to deliver you or a certain person from that, I plead the blood over that. Or when someone wants something, I plead the blood over my finance. I plead the blood over my health. I plead the blood over my marriage. Things that might be genuinely appropriate to pray for, we add this term, I plead the blood. As though it is something important to make sure that this prayer, this request gets done. But is that biblical? Well, let's just start off by saying this. No, it's not. The term, the phrase or anyone else in the Bible doing so, that's not found anywhere in scripture. So here's what we're gonna do today. We're gonna plead the blood of Jesus today over a lot of things. We'll get something I don't wanna quit, plead the blood of Jesus. I think today needs to be a day where we all join together and releasing the power of God, just like I just released the blessings of God of your life, that we're gonna do a lot of confessing today and just assist you in releasing the power and the anointing of God over situations in your life. So you hear a lot of people who are of the word of faith who will say that I plead the blood as though it is adding power to what it is that you want. Well, the Bible tells us this. And you all recall in Matthew 6, he says that one, don't worry about anything, but what he leads to verse 33 says, but seek first the kingdom of God and all his righteousness and then these things shall be added. Now does that mean that we're gonna get everything that we want? Well, we know better than that. As a matter of fact, we see in the Bible where there were great men of God, such as Paul, who needed something, recall, he had this issue of thorn in his flesh and the Bible declares that he did not get it removed. As a matter of fact, the Bible says, or Paul tells us that it was given to him to humble him. And so just because you plead the blood or just because you pray, even if it is a righteous and a well-deserving prayer, if there's nothing sinful or diabolical or even selfish about the prayer, that doesn't necessarily mean that it will come to pass. I thank you for the blood of Jesus being applied to the doorpost of my life. I declare that no evil will come near my dwelling place, nor will any plague come near my tent, my house. Nothing shall by any means harm me, hurt me or injure me. I plead the blood of Jesus. Decreating and declaring is not up to us. And then even if you do so and try to apply to something that is, again, well-meaning, you want to be in good health and you want protection, that still isn't necessarily biblical. Notice how he says he wants to apply the blood to his doorpost again. When we look at the blood, and we need to keep in mind what the blood is for, he is obviously, he's applying it incorrectly and he's applying it for gain. Let's look and see what the word of the Lord says. As a matter of fact, one passage comes up often is in Revelation, speaking about the blood and our testimony. Starting in verse 10, in the middle of verse 10 of chapter 12, he says, "'Now the salvation and the power and the kingdom of God and the authority of his Christ have come. For the accuser of our brethren has been thrown down. He who accuses them before our God day and night and they overcame him because of the blood of the Lamb and because of the word of their testimony and they did not love their light even when faced with death.'" It's important to keep in mind what's being spoken about here. This is not about getting anything, such as a car, a house, finances, health, wealth, none of those things. None of these things have to do with worldly prosperity, but notice the key word that's used in the middle of verse 10 is salvation. What is the point of the blood? Well, the blood is clearly given as a payment for our debt that's owed to God. As a matter of fact, Paul says, for all have sin and fall short of the glory of God and are justified by his grace as a gift through the redemption. That's his payment. This word here, apollotrosis, the redemption that is in Christ Jesus, whom God put forward as a propitiation by his blood. The word propitiation is a payment for sin and the payment of the sin was his blood to receive faith. This was to show God's righteousness because of his divine forbearance. He has passed over former sins. And so even when Creflo Dowler talks about putting the blood on the doorpost, harkening back to the Exodus, this is again him passing over sins. And so the blood is a payment for a sin debt. And so when we plead the blood, the point and purpose of the blood is to pay for us. Yes, we're washed by it, but it's not a set of magical words to give us what we want. It's not hocus pocus or open sesame. These are words that people would try to use to almost guarantee or almost even to kind of twist God's arm into giving them what they want. That's not the point and purpose of the blood. Oh, by the way, if you are in need of something, the Bible tells us a couple of things. One, get close to him. Draw close to him, let him take care of the things that we need and get rid of the things that we don't need. Let him grow and develop us. We're also told that we are going to suffer persecution if we are in crisis. So we're not gonna have the easiest of life because we are Christians, at least not here. We will, we get to our final destination, which is not of this world. And so just be, just be careful guys. Now, am I saying that the person who pleads the blood that they are in gross sin? No, but I do want you to not be ignorant or to succumb to some things that may have been taught that just weren't necessarily biblically founded. We don't need to make up something or to misunderstand something to get God's blessing. Whatever God is gonna give us, as long as we're faithful, as long as we're in him, which I pray that you are, I pray that you place your faith in him and that you're walking in him. If that's the case, keep doing what you're doing, grow closer to him. Don't desire the things of the world. He already knows what you have need of before you even ask. And so rather than you pleading the blood over your situation, just know that the blood has already been put over you for your salvation and let God do the rest.  Amen.


Welcome to a new week of the rundown. On this episode, President Trump signs the 2018 Defense Authorization Act, tips for being safe and sober this holiday season, and stress production techniques for high stress operations. Military personnel will soon see a 2.4% pay raise due to the fiscal year 2018 Defense Authorization Act signed by President Trump into law last week. The app calls for $626 billion for the department's base budget and another $66 billion for operations. Check out the story on Navy.mil for more information on the Defense Authorization Act. It's important to remember to practice safety throughout the holiday season and into the new year. This includes being mindful of risks associated with drinking and driving, texting while driving, sexual assault, and mishaps. The Naval Safety Center released their fall and winter safety brief addressing these issues and how you can stay safe this winter. The brief covers fighting fatigue when on the road, alcohol awareness, seasonal depression, methods for preventing sexual assault, and more. You can view and download the brief on the Naval Safety Center homepage, find it by clicking fall winter safety presentation under updates and new items. Many service members work long hours in tough conditions which can be stressful. These stressful conditions can cause mental and physical strain that can lead to health concerns if not resolved over time. A blog on NAF stress addresses these issues and provides stress reduction techniques for those in high stress operations. The blog looks at the effect of stress on sailors and how stress inoculation training can help you stay focused and effective during critical times. Stress reduction techniques include exercising regularly, eating healthy, getting good sleep, and staying connected with family and friends. You can read more tips by checking out the story on the NAF Stress homepage. Visit navstress.wordpress.com. That's all for this week. For any questions, send us a message at usnpeople.fct and navy.mil. For the Chief Naval Personnel, I'm MC2 L.J. Burleson. Thanks for watching.


So, Wikimedian, so we will have a short Q&A, so we have our three speakers here, so who would like to raise a question regarding preservation of manuscripts, Bali, and then the wiki bosses, anyone? The floor is yours. Okay, so probably I'll ask a question. Chitra, just want to ask, have you been working? There are cases that you have been collaboratively working, or are you doing it separately? Actually, this is a separate project, but in the future, I hope we can make a collaboration with Wikilotar and Wikitirta together. So, yeah, this is a secret, maybe we can make one project together, how I can find in wiki source or longtar about Tirta or Malukat, how to Malukat or everything in longtar. So, that's why, yeah, maybe in the future we can make one collaboration together. Okay. Yeah, Anthony, just want to ask, have you been exploring other languages aside from Bicol on your Voices project? Yeah, we have tried contacting several writers because aside from being a Wikimedian, I am also a writer in the Philippines. And from the upper regions in the Philippines, we have contacted several writer organizations. It's just that it's too hard for them to freely give their literary pieces with us because of some political issues between writer groups in the Philippines. So, I am somewhat shifting my strategy to recording the literary pieces to recording just the prayers and the sacred texts. So, if somewhat the conflict comes down, then I'll be back with the writers. Okay, thank you. Angga, just want to ask how many longtar, how is the progress of your longtar now? Is it in near completion, it's still struggling? Yeah, you can translate for him if you wish. For longtar, this is the progress of Wiki Longtar and Wiki Lobs Manuscript. I think now it's still in the digitalization phase and later we will do a meeting for the remaining longtar. And the end of this meeting will be uploaded to the media, wiki-pedia, wiki-source, and wiki-data. Later, we will work together with friends in the community and also friends from outside the community to discuss it together. Okay, Angga said after we digitizing, after we have longtar on wiki-source, so the next progress from wiki longtar itself is about how to make a definition or information more further in wiki-pedia. So, that's why they will collaboration with another young generation in Bali. Include with maybe from young generation and then students or something like that. And in wiki longtar project, actually that is not complete yet. We still struggling to convince the owner and then they give them, educated them to open their collection, something like that. Okay, so thank you for our three speakers there. I apologize for Jasrini. She's not here. Again, we feature all the best of the ECAP on this conference. Hopefully we will be able to see you in the next conferences. If you have the progress of your projects and for everyone, have some juice meal, the dinners over there, and then there's also in the concourse area, but I will tell you it's better to have it here. Lunchtime, sorry. Have a nice day and we'll get back in 90 minutes for the next session here in Plenary. Bu-bye.