thank you for being loyal subscribers and viewers of my videos and a special thanks to those of you who always comment and like my videos as well. All right guys, let's continue. As I was saying at the beginning of this video, this could be one of my most important videos that I'm making this year because there's a question many of you asked me and it's a question you probably wondered yourself, you know, with so many different opinions about Bitcoin right now, especially after the recent crash we've had, you know, there's so many different viewpoints, videos, articles, there's probably hundreds of thousands of YouTubers right now making videos about what's going to happen potentially next with Bitcoin. The same thing is true with other markets too, like stock markets and gold. And the question you're probably wondering is, well, how do you decide which interpretation, which analysis is correct and which one is wrong? How do you decide when you got conflicting views? You know, for example, there are videos being made right now, there are analysts who are saying, well, we're potentially in a bear market and we could see a lot lower prices on Bitcoin in the next few weeks and months. But of course, you have other chart analysts who are saying the exact opposite. Some are saying, no, this is just a correction in Bitcoin, it's not a bear market and we could see higher prices very soon. And of course, you have other analysts who are saying, well, you're going to see probably prices going sideways on Bitcoin for a while, and then a big move. For example, a big move to the downside or a big move to the upside. So the question is, with all these different viewpoints and opinions about Bitcoin and about other markets, how do you decide which one is right? Which one is wrong? Is there an objective way to actually look at this? And how can we avoid making mistakes? So I'm going to really focus on that in this video. And one thing I don't want this video to be is for me to tell you, well, my opinion is right. Everybody else is wrong. End of story. Goodbye, everyone. End of video. That doesn't make any sense. And also that would not really help you at all. It would actually make things perhaps more confusing. So guys, really in this video, I want to try and help you to be able to make decisions better when it comes to viewing different analyses, especially now when there's so much confusion about Bitcoin, you know, with the recent crash, and everybody is saying all kinds of different things. Again, you can listen to one analyst right now, and they're saying we're probably in a bad market. We could see even lower prices very soon. And there's some other analysts who are saying the exact opposite, saying, no, Bitcoin is probably going to go higher very soon. So again, when you have these conflicting views, how can you make the right decision? So let's begin with my first point, which I think is the easy one, which is that it's possible you might think that if an analyst has been correct many times in the past, that therefore he might be right the next time. So for example, you might be listening to your favorite chart analyst, and he or she might have been right about Bitcoin in the past. And you might assume that their analysis on Bitcoin right now is probably the right one because they've been right so many times in the past. Now look, listen, guys, I know you're intelligent and sophisticated people. I'm sure you realize that that is a logical fallacy. Okay, that is illogical thinking. Because as I'm sure you know, just because someone has been right in the past in their analysis, it does not necessarily follow they'll be right on their analysis the next time round. Okay, because the conclusion does not follow from the premises. It's as simple as that. So it's perfectly possible for an analyst to have been right many times in the past, but the next time they might be wrong about Bitcoin or the stock market. It's as simple as that. I'll give you an example. I remember in 2007, there was one analyst who correctly predicted the 2007-2008 market crash. And he was absolutely on the money. He nailed that prediction. The markets were going to crash very soon. He was absolutely right. The fact is, though, that analyst has been wrong ever since. So that's what I'm saying, guys, it's perfectly possible for someone, again, to be absolutely intelligent and smart and he or she might mean well. But the fact is it doesn't follow that just because they've been right in the past that necessarily they'll be right the next time round. Let's go to my second point now. My second point is about a deadly mistake which we all make because we're human. And it's a mistake I've made in the past and I'm hoping I won't make in the future. But I'm sure we've all done this, which is this. The biggest mistake that you might make is that you might choose either consciously or unconsciously someone's analysis because it fits your own perspective because maybe their analysis makes you feel good or maybe you might reject someone's opinion because it makes you feel uncomfortable. Psychologists call this confirmation bias and confirmation bias is one of the most deadly and irrational biases that we have as human beings. And as I'm sure you know, confirmation bias is the human tendency to believe something because we want to believe it. So it's the human tendency to reject some opinion or some information simply because it causes us to become uncomfortable because the information causes us pain and it's not something we like to hear. And by the way, guys, confirmation bias is not your fault. It's because our brains are programmed to think this way. In fact, it's a survival instinct. According to neuroscience, our brains are programmed to avoid pain. In fact, our brains will do anything to reject and avoid pain. Again, it's a survival mechanism. Unfortunately, it doesn't serve us well when it comes to analysis of the markets and the charts. Because again, what happens is when an analyst gives you some information, which makes you feel uncomfortable, what may happen is you might reject that analysis because it doesn't make you feel good. It makes you feel uncomfortable and you might actually feel some pain. For example, let's imagine that you bought Bitcoin at the worst possible time right before the reversal and right before the crash. If an analyst then says to you, well, I think we're in a bad market and we could see much lower prices on Bitcoin. What may happen is you may consciously or unconsciously reject that opinion simply because it causes you to feel pain because imagining that that analysis could be true and we could see lower prices simply causes us to feel pain. And therefore it might make us reject that opinion even if the opinion could be true. The exact opposite may be true as well. Maybe you missed the opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a lower price. Maybe you want the price to go lower. Maybe you're bearish on Bitcoin because you want to see lower prices and buy Bitcoin cheaper. What might happen is that you might reject someone's opinion simply because they're bullish on Bitcoin. So in other words, anyone who gives you some information that says the price could go higher, what may happen is you might reject and eliminate that opinion from your mind simply because it causes you to feel pain. It makes you feel uncomfortable. So guys, really my point in this section is when you're listening to someone's analysis and when you feel yourself feeling uncomfortable and feeling some degree of pain, ask yourself, why is that? Is it because I don't want to believe that's true? Because that person's analysis could be correct. He or she may be wrong. But again, it's worth considering it just in case it might be true because as I'm sure you realize guys, anything can happen. And that means there's always a risk we could be wrong. And that's why it's important that we listen to all kinds of information, even information that may cause us to feel uncomfortable and causes us to feel pain. That brings me to my third point, which is again, realizing that anything can happen. In fact, as Mark Douglas says in his famous book, Trading in the Zone, he says in one chapter, one of the most fundamental truths of the markets is this, anything can happen, which means what? Which means you must be flexible on your expectations. So never allow yourself to get into this rigid mindset that only one possibility is true. Again, we have to constantly remind ourselves that anything can happen. And that means there is a significant risk that our original analysis, that our original interpretation of the chart may be wrong. That brings me to my fourth point, which I think is one of the most important points I want to mention in this video. Look, everyone has an opinion on Bitcoin. Everyone has an opinion on gold and the stock markets. But there's only one opinion that counts, right? That opinion is the price itself. So right now, there are hundreds of YouTubers, analysts, again, article writers on Bitcoin, okay? Hundreds of videos being made right now on Bitcoin with all kinds of different opinions about what Bitcoin may do or may not do next. But guys, aren't we forgetting something? There is actually one opinion that really matters, and that's the price's opinion, the opinion of Bitcoin. Doesn't Bitcoin's opinion matter? I think it matters a lot, right? So that means we need to focus on what the chart is telling us. And that means the way we can become more objective is, yes, look, everyone has an opinion on what Bitcoin may or may not do next. But again, what we have to do is look at the chart, look at the price action, and remember these three words, price Uber Alice, price over everything, as the Germans would say. So I've mentioned this before. It means simply that, look, you go on a chart and you ask yourself, what is the chart saying to me? And here's what I would do. I would draw on the chart my key levels. So to become more objective, draw on the chart your key levels. For example, where's your support? Where's your resistance? These would be like your key levels. If you use moving averages, that would also be a very important level. And here's an important question you need to ask yourself. So for example, let's say you've listened to someone's analysis, and that person is very bearish on Bitcoin. Maybe that person is expecting much lower prices. So here's what you do.  But what would the chart have to do? What would the price have to do to show that that analysis is wrong? What level would the price of Bitcoin have to break to show that that analysis has been falsified or reduced in probability? And by the way, the reverse could be true as well. If someone's analysis is very bullish on Bitcoin, okay, you need to ask yourself what key level on the chart would Bitcoin have to break to show that that analysis is wrong or reduced in probability. Notice we're not asking what needs to happen to support our view to confirm our view because that's confirmation bias. What we're asking is the exact opposite. We're asking what needs to happen on the chart to falsify and indeed reduce the probability of our own analysis. I like this approach because it's more scientific. In fact, it's in accordance with the views of Karl Popper, who coined something called falsificationism. And essentially it's the scientific method because what we're asking is what needs to happen to disprove our analysis as opposed to confirming our analysis. I hope that makes sense. So pay attention to your key levels on the charts. And guys, the final point I want to say in this video is this. Do your best to get rid of this mentality of wanting certainty because that's impossible. You can never achieve certainty when it comes to chart analysis, as I'm sure you know already. And the reason is because the markets are uncertain and probabilistic. In fact, the next time you feel the temptation to want certainty, just remind yourself of what Richard Feynman, the famous physicist said about uncertainty. I can live with doubt and uncertainty and not knowing. I think it's much more interesting to live not knowing than to have answers which might be wrong. But I don't have to know an answer. I don't feel frightened by not knowing things. All right, guys. I hope this video helps. And guys, listen, the next time you find yourself being confused with lots of different conflicting viewpoints and opinions, just come back and watch this video. Cheers, guys. Bye now.


So we have more news today. Cedar Fair is just popping off today with the stockholders call. Thank you so much for watching the Cedar Fair stockholders call video that I released. It seems to be really popular. And that's super awesome. So thanks so much. That's definitely my area of expertise in the enthusiast community. I love business and anything business discussion, whatever. I love it and I study it. And yeah, but nonetheless, Michigan's Adventure has announced that the Bebop Boulevard Cruisers will have its last day of operation on August 11th. So Sunday, August 11th. And usually when Cedar Fair removes something, it is to make way for something, even if it is for reasons of maintenance and cost. There's something that's going to come replace it. And this is one of those parks that I can guarantee you something is coming to replace this attraction. My good friend inside Great Adventure, as usual, he's really good at fitting current coasters or coasters that are already on Google Maps into areas. And it looks like this area could fit a Raptor coaster really well. I'm not saying that's what's going to happen. Put down the tee. But yes, I definitely think something's coming. Now, when I looked into the park's lineup, they are definitely a very small park with very little attractions. And this is where it gets very difficult. Yes, so a Raptor can fit in this plot of land, but so could a spinning pendulum ride or any other flat ride or a used attraction currently at a Cedar Fair park. I'm looking at you, Canada's Wonderland and Time Warp at Canada's Wonderland. I'm looking at you. But yes, nonetheless, it could be a multitude of things and it's going to be next to impossible for me to sit here and convince you of one attraction that would fit this plot of land really nicely. So I'm going to go over three options that I think would work really well at Michigan's Adventure. The first one would be a Raptor. So let's say Cedar Fair fixed all the kinks with the Raptor model at California's Great America. I don't know why the name of the coaster slipped my mind while recording this video. And this is the problem with me not being scripted. Railblazer. So let's say they worked at all the kinks and Cedar Fair is now ready to invest in another one. This would be a great park for them because from what I understand, they're only four million USD. And now we know that we have 140 million. Let's bring it down to 110, 100 million left for investment because King's Island is going to take about 30 to 40 million dollars of that if they're going down the route of Carolin's and Canada's Wonderland with a brand new massive area. So four million dollars USD is not a lot to spend on a park that has not had investments. So that could work really well. Or a spinning pendulum or flat ride could work really well. Or again, a relocated attraction from Canada's Wonderland. From what I'm hearing Canada's Wonderland is getting ready to make an announcement. We don't know what that announcement is. It's not going to be a coaster. So it could be the removal of an attraction. Time work doesn't work well at Canada's Wonderland. And this is an attraction that I could see work really well at a park like Michigan's Adventure. So that is the least likely though. I know I just did present it. I do not think that we're going to see a relocated ride from Canada's Wonderland going to Michigan's Adventure. I think they're going to see a flat ride as the most likely option. I think a spinning pendulum ride would work really well at a park like this. Or the Raptor model. It could be other things as well.  But I think that it's going to be something smaller like a flat ride or Raptor model just because those don't take too long to build. And from what I understand there are no signs of construction or markers at Michigan's Adventure yet. But nonetheless, I do want to hear from you guys down below in the comments section as usual. Comment down below what you think could be coming to Michigan's Adventure and if you think this is a sign of a coaster or a flat ride. Don't forget to hit that like button, subscribe if you haven't and share this video for others to enjoy. Thanks so much for watching guys. Have a great one. Bye.


Russia may strike civilian ships from occupied Crimea. Russia may resort to provocations and strike civilian ships from occupied Crimea and then blame Ukraine for this. Natalia, who many a head of the Joint Press Centre of the Operational Command, South said this. According to her, there are currently quite many civilian vessels in the Black Sea along the coast of the temporarily occupied Crimea. Many foreign ships fly there. This is precisely where Russia may resort to provocation under the guise of imitating a drone or even missile attack. Russia may provoke an unusual situation with an attack on a foreign vessel and blame Ukraine for this, she said. At the same time, Humaniuk noted that apart from the occupied coast of Crimea there was currently no other navigation in the Black Sea. Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the Russians have declared the northwestern part of the Black Sea from Snake Island to Cape Tarkankut closed to navigation. And then all the ships that were there were forcibly driven into the ports and remained blocked there. After that, navigation was exclusively related to the Grain Initiative only by ships agreed by the Istanbul Coordination Centre, which were loaded with grain and could sail there to and from. There is no other navigation now, she noted. As reported on July 17, Russia announced its withdrawal from the Black Sea grain deal signed in Istanbul last July. After that, the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation announced that it would consider ships going to Ukrainian ports as military targets.


Hi everyone, Joe for jaspyscasebreaks.com. Happy Sunday coming at you with some gold and silver packs It's the VIP national exclusive a lot of great stuff in here 21 spots sold And then we multiply that by four there's 84 teams on this list including a NASCAR spot and a Catchall all other spot, which is usually international soccer players like Lionel Messi is in his Argentina gear Big thanks to this group for getting in on it It's quadruple you up two three and four and there's all the teams right here. Let's roll it and randomize it four to six ten times for names and teams one two three four five six seven eight nine and 10th and final time Got Brittany on the pole position Chasing the 84 spot There's everybody right there four and a six ten times for the teams one two three four five six seven eight nine and 10th and final time After ten we got the thunder Down to the Ravens All right, so I'm not gonna read off all these names I'm just gonna show you the list as is and then I will show you The list alphabetized by your first name so all your teams will be grouped together And we'll pause the video and then give you a little bit of a trade window While I go run and grab packs. All right now. Let's alphabetize by your first names So Bradley, there's your big group of teams right here Brittany Chase Dennis Greg Jared Jason Jeremy Jimmy Jose Lawrence Nico Richard Robert and Last but not least Steve Steve L All right, there you go. I'm gonna pause the video And when we come back, we'll see if there was a trade last time So maybe there'll be one this time. We'll see you in a little bit. We'll see you on the other side Welcome back everybody. No trades done here on a Sunday. So I'm re-alphabetized all the Realphabetize everything by team Not by your first name again. So help me kind of identify who gets what in this break So it remains the same That right over there. All right, we'll do the silver packs first So let's do a quick count one two three four five six seven eight nine ten One two three four five six seven eight nine and ten five ten fifteen and Twenty open all these up and then we'll start working our way through it like I mentioned last time The first card are usually not numbered unless they are a rookie like that Jameson Williams Usually the 499 and the second card will be a numbered card And with any luck, we'll find some train whistle cards out of five and under We'll notice quickly that the silver packs have that paper stock and when we do those gold packs You know if they'll be in that prism stock and these are all if you look on I'll show you the backs of the cards, too They're all They're all VIP packs from the national Peninia VIP packs from the national so they are exclusive to this particular Release although that one says 2021 but it was released this year and some of these cards especially the lower number one can go for a lot of a lot of money if You're into that sort of thing on the secondary market Because they're pretty exclusive very very very limited. All right Riley Green Matt Corral to 199 for the Panthers someone said that he looked okay in the preseason that'll be for That'll be for the Panthers Carolina Panthers chase with the Carolina Panthers CJ Stroud to 25 Devon Booker to 199 CD lamb AI to 199 Derek Henry to 99 see you shoot again and Haley Deegan to 99. That's for the NASCAR spot Jason 17 out of 25 Don't know where CJ our shipping team will know where to put that don't get it all to the right place, but he is a a No, he's currently a quarterback for Ohio State, so that's going to go to the all-others spots and go to Greg Maybe future NFLer Luca Donchich to 199 Wander Franco rookie Steph Curry to 25 Spencer Torples into 99 can you pick it? Luca Donchich Trey young to 199 Mookie Betts to the 199 Can he pick it? Will he make some noises here for the Steelers? This is going to go to Nico Nico Martin and the Steelers To 11 out of 499 Steph Curry warriors to 25. That's going to go to Jared and the war Jared and the Warriors nice low number there and of course Chase with the rays gets the wander Franco Rising star in the league to 499 Giannis Freddie Freeman blue blue parallel to 50. This is Dodgers edition. I think one of the first Cards issued in his Dodgers gear that'll be for Brittany Dodgers nice, Kate Cunningham orange rookie card For the pistons that's going to go to That'll be for Steve Locke on the pistons. There you go Steve 188 at a 1 at 99 Another future star in the making for the association. There's a I to 99 John Maran Jason Tatum to 99 David Beckham shaved head David Beckham Lamar Jackson to 199 Mack Jones Jonathan Taylor to 50 Jalen Green rookie to 199 for the Rockets a wander Franco red for Chase and the rays That's nine out of 99 Nice Haley D and another Cade Cunningham for Steve Locke this time a little red parallel a little color match It is team uniform looks pretty sharp 55 out of 99 Mike Tower saying CJ should usually number one or two in 2023 NFL mock draft, whatever that's worth. It's one to hold on to for sure to 199 Jalen Green Rockets another rising star for Rockets five. Oh, yeah Bradley Brad with that one. All right gold packs 25 gold packs one two three four five Six seven eight nine ten one two three four five six seven eight Ten on two three four five five ten fifteen twenty and 25 There's a thick pack on the bottom. I want to save that towards the end. Alright, so you can see already another two cards per pack The gold packs will have the We'll have that prism card stock Bigger hit potential here as well as you've noticed autographs are few and far between in these golden silver packs. It's mostly Parallel hunting Logan. What's going on? Logan aren't you in the middle of a little vacay right now? How's that? How's that going? Oh, there's that thick card right there I'm gonna set that right back there potential to be a You let you will Logan is on vacation been really relaxing good excellent That's what I like to hear We'll do that thick card at the end It's possible. It could be a monster there All right, and all these numbered cards obviously are Sorting and shipping team will We'll sleeve and top load those before they go out Here's Zion to 25 Whoo, and a gold vinyl come in. Let's take care of that Zion really quick. Pelicans. That's for Brittany Hopefully he bounces back has a big ear barbecues and fish. I love love it It's great Logan Kyrie to 50 And it's a wander Franco One of one for the rays That's chase with the rays now This does not have the rookie card distinction on it because I think this so this might be the year before Yeah, it says 2021 but still a wander Franco one of one.  These are pretty nice chase your first big hit express That's a good one too for your first These peacock pair not numbered, but they are pretty short printed if you watch all of our previous Breaks of this. I don't know. Maybe we will find a peacock one every other break or something like that Or we're not one every other few breaks This is for the NASCAR spot that goes to Jason There's Ion again hyper parallel not numbered Spencer Torkelson five out of five Tigers this is going to be for For Jeremy port another train whistle a little bit of a rough season for him rough day mlb rookie year But maybe that means no sophomore slump, right? That means he has an awesome year neck He can still finish the season really strong Number one former number on overall pick. We've got to give him a longer leash Jeremy All aboard the big hit express This is Kalanek Randy Moss to 99 There's Spencer Torkelson again another one for Jeremy to 99 Christian Pulisic Team USA John Moran Anthony Edwards rookie car. Oh and another Dale junior another junior short print Teen wolves Jeremy port with the timber wolves And we got Dale Earnhardt junior junior For Jason and the NASCAR spot um He's got a pretty I don't listen to it frequently, but Every once in a while. I I I do take a listen to the Dale Earnhardt junior podcast Just quite quite fun. There's Christiana Ronaldo for Uventus UV addition James Wiseman rookie card Jared with the Warriors Who retired to are you saying junior retired to early? I think when you know, you know, right? Trey young to 50 And a nice hyper parallel lamello ball Bradley and the Hornets rookie lamello That kade cunningham will still go to the pistons. That's just college edition of kade cunningham Nice lamello rookie card It was david beckham for the all other spots in 99 Got rogers erin rogers to 50 Justin fields rookie card and an alec bone rookie card. That's a that's a low number two one out of 15 for the Phillies That'll be for richard s And the justin fields goes to the bears. That'll be for jason b All right, let's see what that thick heart is going to be. You're welcome rick. There's the erin rogers It is a julio rogeri guys That's a good-looking patch right there 15 out of 25 low number mariners This should be your al rookie of the year. Jose with the m's That's a great patch That little window And there you go gang another gold silver pack break in the books. We got another one in the store So check it out jaspys case breaks.com. I'm joe. I'll see you next time for the next one. Bye.