This is covering the spread here are your hosts Jim Saunas and Dr. Ed Fang What is going on everybody? Welcome on into covering the spread That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire.com or today We are previewing week 14 in the NFL and a couple of big matchups in the AFC by talking to Olivia Moody of the Book it app getting your thoughts on this week's game in a couple of NFC futures. My name is Jim Saunas I am a senior writer and analyst for a number fire.com joined here as always by Dr. Ed Fang You can find his work over at the power rank calm Ed Unlike Greg Williams, you are still here and looking to talk about week 14. How you doing today? I'm doing pretty good I'm glad Adam Kaplan did not fire me over this this past week But you know the jets had it they had they had that game won multiple times I feel like you know when they stopped the Raiders like it was like alright. This is done and I'm not in the situation where I watch full games anymore. Just because You know it just just caught it on red zone and then all of a sudden you flip back for red zone It's like oh, this is a game and then then we saw what everyone saw You know, I personally like the idea of getting a little pressure on the quarterback on that play Maybe not cover zero, but I like I like mixing it up a little bit You know, maybe have one deep safety rush for maybe even five or something like that. Sure didn't work out like rushing three Probably not the way to go because then you can like you can look But that's what about the the quarterback wind up and stuff like that and they did get pressure on Derek R You know to their credit, but when it's I think that it's a different situation when it's Henry rugs because like You know, he can burn people like he doesn't get you know, the target shows never have any rugs But like if he's got a burner dude one-on-one with no over-the-top help he can do it So like it was interesting I think that it was fun to hear people like with the conspiracy theories about the Jets throwing the game like That's that's a fun theory and all until you realize it's Greg Williams because Greg Williams is like the craziest Mf or on the planet and like if anyone is actually gonna do this and I don't say that in a complimentary fashion by the way Like it's it's not meant to be a compliment Like if anyone's gonna do that in in a serious sense and not in a sense of taking for Trevor Lawrence it's him and That's why that's where the conspiracy theory stopped for me is oh, it was Greg Williams. I feel like the argument stops right Is he gonna get another job as a DC? He's probably got 17 offers already if you listen to him that he had that press conference I think it was when he took the Jets job He's like I had seven head coaching offers don't even have to interview just sign They had they were waiting to sign me, but I wanted to come here and So obviously Ed he's had 17 offers already. Just hasn't found the right one yet. So right because there's obviously Because there's 17 openings.  You drop everything you got to get Greg Williams on your team That's just how things work at this is the NFL Get learned as they would say we're gonna talk to Olivia moody here in just a bit to preview week 14 on the NFL You can find on find her on Twitter at live moods LIV M. Oh DS you can find her on the book it app We're gonna talk to her about what book it is and get her thoughts on week 14 if you're looking for some college football thoughts We had Edward Igor I saw yesterday to talk college football week 15 got his thoughts on some big pack 12 games To find that episode with Edward just go to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast We are an app podcast Spotify stitcher the Google Play Store. I hear radio radio calm Etc. Etc. You can find us there and if you like what you hear from Edward Olivia or either of us Make sure you leave a rating interview as well now and you mentioned that you didn't get fired this past week I probably should have based on one of the bets I recommended for week 13 before we get to Olivia We got to talk about that and recap what went down last week Covering the past So last week here on covering the spread we had Fabian summer on to preview week 13 You can follow or find Fabian on Twitter at s u u ma a 10 Fabian one of the over Browns Titans at 53 and a half it did close at 54 and they actually went over that total pretty early in the third quarter I finished at 76 total points. So an easy win there for Fabian and I had a lot of DFS teams around that that game It did not save me. I still had a terrible week, but it was nice in that perspective Yeah, I mean, you know, everyone thought they'd have 30 Cleveland would have 38 points at half, right? Yeah, obviously Donovan people's Jones contributing to the the over there. Yeah, exactly. He was wide open on that one Oh, yeah, he burned them and Broken plays aren't sustainable. That's why you look at stuff like success rate That is more predictable and stuff like that But watching Donovan people's Jones straight down the sideline is still fun regardless Even if it's not sustainable or predictive Fabian was leaning Buffalo minus three against the 49ers That line moved a lot before kickoff He was all over the place it settled that San Francisco minus one and a half But Fabian was right regardless because the bills won that game by 10 points to get him the cover there both Fabian I Had action on the Rams Cardinals game. This one was not my bad bed of the week I he wanted the Cardinals plus three I had the over at 48 and a half and it closed at Rams minus two and a half at the total at 49 One play here helped me and hurt Fabian a lot That was actually a pick six by Kyler Murray pick six is awesome for totals Not so awesome for covers. So the over did hit here and finished at 66 points, but the Rams went by 10 So still a two and one week for Fabian there and I needed that over because my other game was pretty bad I wanted the over on the Chargers team total at 24 points. My rationale was I Don't want to touch the money line. I don't want to touch the spread because I don't trust the charges coaching staff Probably should have listened to that line of analysis as opposed to the analysis about the Chargers offense being good and the the Patriots defense being bad Because the Chargers got shut out There was line movement towards the Chargers late in the week, but I at least got in before that happened still absolutely brutal Ed and I don't think there's anything redeeming about this one honestly Well, I mean the Chargers had 258 yards. I mean it's kind of hard to score zero points when they had 258 yards Like is there an expected point total that you get out of 258 yards? So I'm guessing it's not even close to 24 like we're talking like 17 ish probably expected point 13 13 when I look at I got a little model with yards for past attempts in total yards. So 13 More than halfway there. Yeah more than halfway there So I can take like 50% of an expected point, you know, sure, but let's go with that. You know, why not 53 expected wins. There you go.  So that's on me kudos to you. You're right. I'm wrong I can't I can't clap back at it So feel free to roast me at your earliest convenience yours was much better Because you were looking for the best line you could get on the Washington against Pittsburgh game and the under on that game It actually closed at Pittsburgh mine is six. I think it was eight and a half when we talked the total was 44 points at close. I think the lowest it got was probably around 43 or so. I think you said you got a 43 and a half. Yeah, I ended up getting it at 43 and a half So I think I did that Friday morning. The end will had it at 40 It was 42 and a half action. We talked I forgot. Yeah, we talked. I thought you said you you were like John Sheeran You snake like Person John Sheeran off-air, of course, but yeah, well, whatever. Hey the man's doing his job It's really I know he's doing his job too. Well, that's the issue, right? Well, whatever I went I went elsewhere. I got under 43 and a half But it didn't matter because you won either way because even if you bet that game at close You still would have gotten the win here because Washington rallied late to get the win outright The game finished with just 40 points So being low on Pittsburgh was beneficial for you here in case people didn't see it whether it be on covering the spread Last week or on your Twitter video that you had, you know, outlining this What was your rationale for being low on Pittsburgh going into that game? Yeah, I mean just the offense, right? I mean they they look good in terms of points scored per game, but there's three defensive scores in there There's a lot of takeaways that have probably resulted in some pretty good field position But 20 second in terms of my adjusted success rate. That's what I know is going to be Important going forward, you know, you could definitely see Pittsburgh winning that game with a with a critical turnover Or maybe even a pick six or fumble recovery for a touchdown. They didn't end up getting that against Washington and you know, I mean, I didn't expect them to lose but but it's Yeah, I mean, you know, they weren't gonna live up to an 11-0 record Right and I think that if we can bet against records at certain points This time of the year people records are more well known and stuff like that Yeah, it makes a lot of sense that was beneficial there as we discussed yesterday I think that there is actually a by-low spot on the the Steelers now based on the way the markets that swung against them We'll talk more about that with Olivia in just one second But first every football fan dreams of meeting the greatest NFL players of all time and starting this week Fanduil and goat fuel have teamed up to make dreams a reality and Fanduil's goat gauntlet series powered by goat fuel Fount fans will put their fantasy knowledge to the test by competing for a chance to take on the NFL's greatest of all time Here's how it works over the course of the next three weeks There will be three qualifier contests highlighting a specific position wide receiver running back or quarterback and an NFL goat Those who win the qualifier contest or roster the highest scoring player for that week's highlighted position Will be automatically entered into the finals where they'll have a chance to play Against three NFL goats Jerry Rice and the Smith and Warren Moon and compete for their share of $10,000 in cash prizes goat fuel products and an exclusive virtual meet-and-greet with the NFL Hall of Famers for more details as a Fanduil comm slash goat fuel Goat fuel or download the Fanduil app today eligibility restrictions apply Let's get set for week 14 now with Olivia moody You can find her on Twitter at live moods and check her out on the book it app She is the director of media for book it and an in-app host for them as well We're gonna break down week 14 and get her thoughts on a couple of NFC futures as well Covering the present Let's bring Olivia moody into covering the spread to preview week 14 in the NFL Olivia. Welcome to covering the spread How you doing today? I'm doing great. I'm excited to talk with you and thanks so much for having me Absolutely, it's a pleasure to have you on here and talk some NFL before we do that You are with a new app called book it and I I've read a little bit about it But I don't know a whole lot about the concept. So what exactly is book it? And what are you doing over there on your end? Yeah, so on book it right now It's pretty much just a social media platform for betting The idea came to the my CEO because he's like, you know what everyone follows a million different betting accounts on their Twitter And on their Instagram, but it kind of gets lost in the other posts from their friends and their family And this is an app where it's just sports betting And so you can there's a there's a news feed that you can kind of tweet essentially not really tweet but post your picks you can post the lines you can You know post your track your bets So you can't actually place a bet on our app Which is why I typically head over to Fando to place all my bets Yeah, you can track all of your bets though, which I have learned Since I just got into this a little bit ago that like tracking your bets is huge and that's kind of how you figure out what works for you And what doesn't so it's a great way to track your action as well as interact with other sports betters At some point. Hopefully very soon. We will have Cappers on there that have picks for people and just advice in general because I think in the sports betting industry I mean can be a little intimidating and a lot of people don't realize how much fun it is because they're too caught up in the Plus minus money line all these things that just intimidate them But really sports betting is for everyone and and everyone loses so that shouldn't scare you away from it Even the best cappers in the world no matter what the Instagram bio says they lose So yeah, it's just a place to kind of interact with other betters, which is super fun Excellent, how did you how did you end up getting involved with bogey? So Trent and I both went to TCU. I graduated from TCU this past May I wouldn't really call it graduating because right and I ruined everything, but I Yeah, right I went there and I was a journalism major But I got into I was asked to be the sports host my senior year and Trent was a sports broadcasting major So he saw all my things He actually wanted the job that I got oops, but at least the opportunity to be seen by him and I graduated during a pandemic when sports weren't existing He brought this idea to me and I was like I think this is what I'm supposed to do right now This is great and it's entered me into this Community of people that is just awesome. I really didn't understand the magnitude of sports betting and how Popular and how, you know, it's it's rising. It's an industry that's just getting started, which is super exciting So I didn't realize how much fun I would have with it and I I love it Well, it's tough to learn so much on the fly So what have you been doing to try to like acclimate yourself to the world of sports betting? You know what have you been studying in order to get yourself conscious speed on all this? Yeah, um, I Think first thing that's the most important is set aside your ego and learn from other people And that's what I did I latched on to people like Ariel Epstein and Megan and I watched their things and I realized okay here are two women That know a lot about this like I can do it too and all sometimes that's all you need is just to see that somebody else Like you was doing it and then you're like, okay, I've got this. I think learning And again from Luke from learning, uh, I don't learn unless I lose.  So I can't afford to be losing a lot So I bet really small amounts, but losing is where I learned the most I figure out what works and what doesn't I'm slowly finally starting to figure out What works the best for me? Some people shop the line some people like look at stats for the teams And I'm figuring out my mojo my betting mojo. So I'm finally getting on the right track, but it really just took Asking questions feeling a little bit dumb sometimes and just let your guard down and say hey I don't know what this means. Please explain it. So Yeah, we've learned plenty from Megan over the past the past year or so too So we can definitely relate to that as well now you do other sports in addition to NFL as well, correct? Yeah, yeah, so I just I mean my job is a little bit weird right now because I do Sports betting with bucket and I also just talk sports in general. That's what I did my senior year as a host I would do sports reports every single week So I find myself like going in that direction and I'm like whoa I'm in bedding like sometimes people don't care about those those pieces of information So I really talk all sports primarily. I love basketball. I always have I always will Love basketball. Believe it or not. I just started liking MLB this year I hated baseball before But I was pretty good at betting it and maybe it's because I didn't use my heart at all because I didn't enjoy the sport So I was just looking at the numbers. I was just looking at the facts I didn't have a relationship with any of the teams or the players and I was pretty successful in MLB So I grew to love that next on my list is hockey I need to get a little bit of hockey in my system, but other than that. I like pretty much all sports at this point Excellent, so let's talk some NFL Playups are getting here pretty quick and let's stick to the the worst division in football to NFC East So it looks like Washington and New York Giants are kind of getting near the top But it's kind of all over the place Giants look like the favorite at minus 145 Washington's at plus 160 Do you like anything in this futures market? I Do I like Washington plus 160 to be completely honest with you. I really like that Both Washington and the Giants have two games over the Eagles and the Cowboys. I have given up on the Cowboys. I'm done. Goodbye I can't deal with them anymore. I every time I bet on them. They let me down. I'm done with them So are you a Cowboys fan? It's you at TCU. So are you a Cowboys fan then or no? Let's just put it this way Cowboy fans ruined it for me But the chirping the noise the over the top it just turned me away. So no, I am not Okay, so bullet dodge there. So we're all good. Yes Yes, so based on the strength of the remaining schedule. I really like Washington plus 160 We basically need the Giants to lose And the Washington to win more than you know, they lose at this point. So After watching the Browns Dominate the Titans. I think the Browns should win against the Giants. So I don't think the Giants will win that game I don't see the the Giants beating Ravens defense either with Lamar Jackson being back I just don't see it and I do think the Cowboys game is a little bit of a toss up But I think the Giants will either go one in three or oh and four and I think Washington will do pretty well I actually like Washington this weekend, but we'll get back to that in a second So yeah, I think Washington plus 160 is great because I don't see the Giants winning very many of their remaining games I say they go one one and three or oh and four is my guess So we'll see. Washington's playing good football and that defense is solid too Well, and the markets seem to be agreeing with you as well because we saw that line Pittsburgh even favored by nine get all the way down to six So that's strong evidence and in support of that as well Let's talk here about the NSC championship odds because those are pretty wide open to there doesn't seem to be a real Standout team right now. Nobody's shorter than the Saints at plus 220 But then there are five teams at plus 650 or shorter There's a lot up in the air for the NSC championship odds Olivia anything you like here from an NSC championship perspective Or is it a market you're staying away from? You know what? I am staying away from it I think every team at this point has shown weaknesses In some way shape or form. So I think I need to see the remainder of this schedule See the rest of these these games play out before I make any decisions because every team Has shown weakness at this point and I just don't know where I would go. So it's better for me to just sit out Yeah, absolutely Let's talk about some games. So Minnesota go Minnesota goes to Tampa Bay Two teams that have I think been kind of up and down all year Bucks are six and a half point favorite with the total of 51 and a half Tom Brady and his boys are coming off a buy here You know, Minnesota is kind of still on the hunt. What are you seeing in this game? I? Like the Bucks to get back on track for this game. I like the Bucks I'm not sure I'm confident enough to take the spread on this one But I do like Bucks money line at the end of the day. Yes, the Bucks haven't been super consistent But Tom Brady is still Tom Brady and so I do like them to get on track after the buy week So I think I'm gonna take the money line for this one and the under I like under 51 and a half for this game, which I don't know why I'm even doing that because every time I bet over under it just does not go how I so you would think at this point I would give up on it But I just keep trucking along hoping for a better outcome So I like the under here and I also like Bucks money line But I don't I don't feel confident enough to take the spread on this one Yeah, we've been talking a lot about totals for the season because like the the numbers have been pretty outrageous They've been coming down a bit recently But I guess my general philosophy is that I value my like heart health and therefore like refuse to bet unders Because it makes me so tense and I just like like they could be the best value on the board But like I don't think my heart can take it at a certain point and like I think that that's that's maybe that's oh Maybe that's bad betting, but I just like from a mental health perspective. I can't do it anymore Well, it's very true because when you bet the over you you kind of still tell yourself There's still time right time like second half. Oh, we've got it But when it's when you're betting the under and like the first quarter you've already it's just like Oh my gosh. Yeah, so I I don't know why I'm betting the spread. I'm taking the risk hoping that things go a little bit better I bet the oh, I bet the under in the Browns Titans game, which if you watch do you understand? That was probably the worst bet I've ever made But I just can't I really can't trust the Browns sometimes so I thought it would be a low-scoring game I honestly thought that was a lock. I even tweeted about it This is my lock of the week and of course it just did not go it was to run heavy teams I think the thought process makes sense there and I bet the chargers over 24 points in the team total last week So we don't need to talk about bad bets. You're off the hook here. I've got you covered for bad bets So you're totally fine there. Let's talk about Sunday They football the Steelers at the bills the bills two and a half point favorites here the total is now up to 48 points It's gone up point a half here in the past hour or so and the Steelers looked pretty bad Monday against Washington And finally took their first loss that's helped swing the spread here three and a half points from what it was on the lookahead line So do you think that creates like a by-law spot here for the Steelers or is that pessimism now warranted in this game? so one thing that I have learned that kind of works for me is Grabbing value when you can because the line does move and that's something when you're new to betting You don't really you see a number and you go with it But it does move quite a bit and I do see the public betting very heavily on the bills in this matchup So I'm kind of leaning towards fading the public and going with the Steelers because I feel like the line will start moving in Their favor as we get closer to Sunday I could be totally wrong But I do see that the public the public is gonna bet heavy on the bills based on the Steelers performance on Monday So I could see the line moving to favor the Steelers So I kind of like fading the public on this one and taking the Steelers to cover That's that's my gut right now. I'm not sure if it's a good one, but that's how I'm feeling about it Yeah, I do feel like that's the way the market is gonna go I'm not just because my my numbers have these at a push, but I do feel like it's gonna come back a little bit of excitement about the bills But I mean Josh Allen's been great this year, so I think there is reason For the other side as well All right, so last game. Let's go to Monday night. We got Baltimore at Cleveland Ravens are looks like now one and a half point favorite for the total of 46 and a half Baltimore destroyed Cleveland in the first game of the season, but Baltimore's had their issues since then They do look they do look like they're getting healthy Mark Andrews the tight end and Clays Campbell Defensive linemen are off the the injured list. So any thoughts on this game? Yeah, I like Ravens minus one and a half. I will give credit where it's due Cleveland Brown Cleveland Browns their offense has made significant improvements. I will give credit there They have looked a lot better than they did especially since the first time they played the Ravens. However, I think up against Ravens defense That offense is gonna get shut down Ravens secondary shut them down once and they'll do it again in my opinion I think minus one and a half is a little bit low So I I was expecting the spread to be way different So I like minus one and a half here again credit where it's due the Browns have looked awesome in comparison to how they started their season But I think up against Ravens defense They're not gonna stand a chance in my opinion Yeah, I mean I'm a big Baker may feel believer in general, but like even with that perspective in mind It's really hard to get to one and a half here given that defense like Ed said getting healthier Clays Campbell being back Lamar Jackson finally looking, you know a little bit like his old self on Tuesday It's weird to say Tuesday But against the Cowboys like it does seem like they've turned a corner and think to remember about the Ravens that they had a pretty Brutal stretch of schedule earlier this year and then they had the COVID hit so like I think it makes sense now If you're going to if you believe in this Ravens offense, which I mean like they've got the reigning MVP So I wouldn't you I think if you are a believer in the Ravens now is the time to buy a low Is that part of your thought process trying to get in on them after the schedule really just kind of worked against them for a bit? Yes, for sure. And like I said, I this could be a game where we see the spread move a little bit We it could it could move a little bit before the game happens. That's why I'm thinking minus one and a half That's that's a spread that I like so I'm gonna grab it while I can Yeah, I really like it. I I agree. I think that's sorry to play things for that pretty fun AFC North game any other game standing out to you from a value perspective for week 14 Olivia based on the odds over at Yeah, I really like Washington right now. I like them to cover Here's the deal. They're looking for a playoff spot They are coming off of a huge win against the Steelers a little bit more little bit of momentum there And the 49ers are also playing on a shorter week having played on Monday night Yeah, I like Washington defense. I really do. I just they've been looking so great and I love betting I don't like betting against them. I like betting on them And I in my personal opinion, I think Chase Young shuts down Nick Mullins. That's my prediction And I like Washington to cover for this one. Yeah, Washington three and a half They're the spread over at Fandals sportsbook minus 118 on that one And I think it makes sense if you like Washington to win this game makes sense to go into that NFC East market Bet them a plus 160 so hopefully a good couple of values there for the Washington football team in Maron Rivera for this week That is Olivia moody make sure you follow her on Twitter at live moods and check out all of her stuff over on book at Olivia We really appreciate the time. Good luck to you in week 14 and hopefully we'll talk to you again here soon. Thank you Covering the future One final big thank you to Olivia moody for swinging by and breaking down week number 14 again Follow her on Twitter at live moods and check her out on the book it up where she is the director of media and an in-app Post for them as well and Ed one thing you want to note here was on that 49ers in Washington game under pretty unique circumstances here Oh, yeah, I mean, they're playing in Arizona again, right? So You know that docked San Francisco a little bit only a point this year because that's what I'm using his home field But I consider a neutral site Maybe less so this week just cuz San Francisco's probably stayed in Glendale. Yeah, they did yeah over the course of the week So maybe not as much this week, but I still have a mark as a neutral site when I do my predictions and Yeah, just something to consider. I mean just a little bit more of an edge for for Washington could have been consideration last week in that Bill's game we saw the bills play really well there Maybe we see a similar thing this week with Washington's a lot of Washington football team love here in week 14 Gotta love that. Let's move now into covering the future for week number 14 Ed You want to talk about one of those big divisional games one that Olivia liked was the Baltimore side It sounds like you were on the same thing here for your cover in the future Yeah, absolutely. I definitely I definitely like the Baltimore side in this You know Baltimore is not really the same team. They were last year the offense I mean just just really isn't the same either running or throwing the ball. Let's just focus on the throwing You know last year they were seventh when you look at my adjusted success rate on pass plays 29th this season and So they really struggled there But it's still like I'm still pretty powerful running attack And including the Baltimore and the defense is pretty good for Baltimore. So that's the unit that ranks 11th when I look at my adjusted success rate They're gonna get clay as Campbell back on the defensive line. It looks like March Andrews is gonna be back for the offense Big time target for Lamar Jackson. So, you know, Baltimore is looking Pretty healthy given their COVID concerns from from just I guess two weeks ago Was when it really bit them. Now, let's talk about Cleveland I just think this is a team that's really not in the same class as Baltimore So you look at their record and they're nine and three and just like I think Pittsburgh was the most overrated 11 and 0 team Last week, I think Cleveland is the most overrated nine and three team You can look at their record in one score games. They're six and oh So that's an unsustainable win rate in those games and that's gonna regress to to 500 And then let's look at the underlying metrics as well, you know The Browns are only 19th when you look at my adjusted success right here offense Not not what you would really think of in terms of what they Did last week against Tennessee? And the defense is actually last when we look at adjusted success rate so that's actually worse than the awful Tennessee defense that Cleveland beat up on last week and Denzel Ward their cornerback one of the best players one of their best two players on that side He's been out the last two games is also questionable. So, you know, you know in thinking about this game like My model makes Baltimore almost a five-point favorite. So so why is this? You know, why is this spread so low? You know, you kind of think about Cleveland and just you know being up 38 to 7 and half against Tennessee Is that playing in people's minds? I don't really understand it You know, I got this a Baltimore minus one so one and a half I don't think it'll get to three, but I wouldn't I wouldn't be surprised if it moved a little bit more Yeah, it's it's a two and a half some places now, too So I think that it probably will move for sure and like looking at Cleveland schedule Tennessee the offense to good like he said the defense that was hideous before that they faced the Jaguars Two-point win there five point win against the Eagles who has since been since bench their quarterback Three point went over the Texans that game was a bit more impressive because it was in pretty bad weather and Nick Shubb had that long run we're not a bounce That was a more impressive score. Yeah, the Raiders game. They lost by 10 bad weather there as well They beat the Bengals by three when Joe Burrow was healthy It's not you know, not terrible But that's those are the games they played since they lost 38 to 7 to Pittsburgh We know that Pittsburgh obviously is not like the best team and I think that the situation where The offense gets out of sync is when they're facing defense that can put them off schedule because this offense revolts So heavily around play-action putting Baker may feel in good situations It's harder to do that when you have Clays Campbell and you know Yannick and Gokway was not there when they in these teams first played back in week number one It's a tough situation. I still respect this Baltimore defense a lot I respect the Baltimore offense enough where I think that if you're gonna go with this game Even at two and a half. I think that's still enough value to go with Baltimore. Like if you have two and a half right now I think that's fine as well. I think that It's a good time like we said at Olivia to get in on this Baltimore offense Given the circumstances they face but also conversely the circumstances Cleveland is faced to yeah for sure All right So my cover in the future for this week is a scary one because we're riding Kirk Cousins Against a good pass rush, but I'm gonna do exactly that here I want the Vikings plus six and a half against Tampa Bay and this is not an anti Tampa Bay thing I know that's kind of in vogue given. They've had these weird blips It's more about actually believing in the Vikings which potentially makes it scarier But specifically the defense has gotten a lot better recently with some recent gains They're actually up to 15th in schedule adjusted past defense based on number fires metrics They played some backup quarterbacks recently, which will influence things there But when they face legit quarterbacks even things have been less embarrassing there of late So I think the defense getting better. So not good. It's not a good defense by any means But it's not as terrible as it was to open the year I also think this offense is a bit underrated. They are up to eighth and schedule adjusted passing offense That's actually one spot ahead of Tampa Bay in this exact same game So the defense is playing better the offense should be able to move the ball through the air even against a tough opponent That's a good formula to at least get a cover here The narrative around Kirk Cousins is that he collapses under pressure and that could be the case But he's actually played well this year while trying to make up ground He's at 0.57 passing that expected points per drop back while trailing by a touchdown or more in the second half So even if they do fall behind a backdoor cover is not out of consideration here not out of the discussion So if you don't want to deal with the volatility of the Vikings, which I understand when betting a spread Maybe you want to exploit that volatility. You can bet the Vikings money line at plus to 245 I think that's in play as well, but I'd rather take the points here. It's not about fading Tampa Bay It's about buying into what I think is an improved Vikings team that's throwing the ball pretty well right now So I want to buy the Vikings here plus six and a half Against Tampa Bay now add that's based on what number fires numbers say what do your numbers say about the Vikings But also about this game more broadly Yeah, I mean my numbers like Tampa Bay about four four and a half so they would definitely agree with with your side and Yeah, I mean, Minnesota's had you know, I mean, I think they had a lot They they had a young secondary but then some injuries as well Yeah, so the fact that they're you know even getting the NFL average is probably a good sign for that team Yeah, and I think it's worthwhile to trust Mike Zimmer. I know that we can poke and prod him for his insistence upon running the football like it's justifiable to you know make fun of him for that But the defensive side, he's still a smart coach knows how to coach things up there The pass rush is really bad So I think that that's why it's hard for me to bet the money line here But I think that the spread does make sense and having trust in the Vikings at least keeping this game close So give me a plus six and a half on Minnesota that is all the time that we have for today here on covering the spread big Thank you to our guests for this week Edward e-gross on the college side and Olivia moody on the NFL side follow Edward e-gross at Ed with sports check out his podcast as well on the fan dual podcast network Odds and Ed's and also check out Olivia on the book it app And where she is the director of media and on Twitter at live moods and what is going on for you this week over at the powering? Yeah, so please if you want to get some more of my predictions and analysis sign up for my free email newsletter You can get that at the powering calm and then members of my site get all my analysis Earlier in the week when I do it all the things I talk about on covering the spread and covering the future So if you're interested in that including and obviously you mean you get all my all my best predictions For college football NFL and college basketball as well You can check out the powering net that'll take you to a place on my site where you can learn more about becoming a Member all right the powering net to find that out. Don't forget the YouTube page the powering dot US as well They get some Drew Martin videos, which can always make us a little bit smarter as well I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J I M S A N and ES You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast our DFS podcast week 14 went up earlier today with Myself and Brandon Gadoula Breaking down the week 14 and main slate and talking through all the fun games that are there from a DFS perspective as well Big thank you to Calvin Theobald our video producer for running the video side of things here today Thank you Cal as always and thank you to everyone for tuning in good luck with your bets in week 14 We'll talk to you once again next week for some college football Championship week that should be a whole lot of fun. We'll talk to you then this has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network


So beginning in John chapter 5 verse 1 and reading to verse 4 John writes after this there was a feast of the Jews and Jesus went up to Jerusalem Now there is in Jerusalem by the sheep gate a pool Which is called in Hebrew Bethesda having five porches In these lay a great multitude of sick people blind lame paralyzed Waiting for the moving of the water For an angel went down at a certain time into the pool and stirred up the water Then whoever stepped in first After the stirring of the water was made well of whatever disease he had now. We'll start there as we begin this in verse 1 it simply says notice there was a feast of the Jews and Jesus went up to Jerusalem So this is one of those feasts that is unnamed We know that Jesus is what is referred to as an observant Jew So Jesus would observe the different festivals and feasts of Israel and so as an observant Jew Jesus determined to go and he went alone Now under the mosaic covenant Jewish males were required to attend mandatory feasts According to Deuteronomy chapter 16 verse 16 three times a year all your males shall appear before the Lord your God in the place Which he chooses at the Feast of Unleavened Bread at the Feast of Weeks and at the Feast of Tabernacles And they shall not appear before the Lord empty-handed and so observant Jews males were Commanded to appear to observe that particular feast this one is not named It simply says there was a feast of the Jews and Jesus as an observant Jew Notice went up to Jerusalem. He'll never read it the scripture say went down to Jerusalem It's always ascending and so he went up to Jerusalem And he goes on in verse 2 to say there is in Jerusalem by the Sheepgate so he gives to us location of a pool Which is called in Hebrew Bethesda having five porches and so What we have here is a chapter that is recording Jesus's healing of a crippled man and the location is the city of Jerusalem This healing that we're about to look at is the third miracle recorded in the gospel of John John has already recorded that he had made water into wine and recently had he had healed a nobleman's son now In the gospel of John there are seven miracles recorded He didn't record every single miracle of Christ, but he chose to record seven of them with particular reasons Later he would write that There are also many other things that Jesus did which if they were written one by one I suppose that even the world itself could not contain the books that would be written He said that in John 21 25 So he didn't record all the miracles, but this particular miracle is included in those selected for the gospel And so I'll begin by asking the question Why? Why would this miracle be included in those selected for the gospel of John seeing that he only record seven and Seeing that he closes his book by saying there are many others that could have been written and recorded Why did he record this one here? Well, the answer seems to be that the healing of the crippled man is Associated with the work of Messiah the healing of the lame or the crippled is Associated with works Messiah would perform You see in the Old Testament book of Isaiah chapter 35 verses 5 and 6 It says the eyes of the blind shall be opened The ears of the deaf shall be unstopped Then shall the lame man leap as a deer and the tongue of the mute sing For in the wilderness shall waters break out and streams in the desert And so the Jews knew that that particular verse those verses in Isaiah were speaking of the day of Messiah And so it would seem that John recorded this particular Miracle the healing of a crippled man because that would give credentials to Jesus so you'd see he is Messiah And so the location again verse 2 is it says in Jerusalem by the sheep gate. There's a pool now this is the gate that sheep were brought in to be offered in sacrifice in the temple which obviously is why it was referred as the sheep gate and This is in a place notice it says in Jerusalem by the sheep gate. There's a pool which is called in Hebrew Bethesda the word Bethesda means house of mercy and It actually is called Bethesda because of the work that Jesus performed there we go to this location every time we go to Israel and It's their initiative Jerusalem. It's a little bit. It's a little to the west of the Temple Mount and We go there every time we've been there numerous times and and we'll have a Bible study there because the ruins are still are still there and In the same location is a place called St. Anne's Church and at St. Anne's we'll go in and It's a beautiful church that is Just it was made in such way That when you sing You actually sound like you can it's just amazing and so we'll go in there and we'll we'll worship and You'll be in there sometimes in a group from a different land will come Perhaps Germans will come in or French will come in Italians will come in and and they'll sing worship songs to Jesus in their language And so you'll be in there and you'll be listening and sometimes you may Recognize the song they're singing so you may sing along with them and just worship in this place And so this location is is very well known. We go there every time we go to Israel It's a beautiful place and we always share from this passage here. So he says in verse 3 in these lay a great multitude of sick people blind lame paralyzed Waiting for the moving of the water For an angel went down at a certain time into the pool and stirred up the water Then whoever stepped in first after the stirring of the water was made well of whatever disease he had Now some commentators as he's speaking about this as they're speaking about this see their physical condition as a picture of Their actual spiritual condition.  Let me show you something The commentators will see that This is a picture of their spiritual condition.  It also means to be weak or without strength And so when it says that they're sick, of course, there's a physical illness But it also could represent the fact that they are weak being weakened by sin and in need of the Lord Jesus Christ Romans 5-6 says when we were yet without strength and do time Christ died for the ungodly And so when you see this that he's sick. They're sick. Yes, there are physically ill people But in a spiritual sense though, there are those commentators are saying you've got to see this as deeper than simply reporting that There are ill people there There were people who were showing up there who are representative of man without Christ Man without God and so they're sick. They're weak. They're unable to save themselves and then he speaks and says they're blind Well, those who are blind are incapable of discerning truth from error It could be spiritually blind not simply physically blind and again That's the condition of all humanity Because those who don't have the Lord and haven't been enlightened by the Holy Spirit are Spiritually blind in 2nd Corinthians chapter 4 verses 3 and 4 Paul said even if our gospel is veiled it's veiled to those who are perishing The God of this age is blinded the minds of unbelievers So that they cannot see the light of the gospel of the glory of Christ who's the image of God Without the Holy Spirit's illumination People are going to remain blind That helps me. I hope it helps you too, especially if you share your faith with people There there were times in my early walk with the Lord when I felt if I simply willed the spirit the sword of the spirit properly That I can help people to see Well, the fact is those who are spiritually blind resist the things of the spirit of God It isn't your argument that is going to bring someone into the kingdom of God It's not your logic. It's not your capacity to put things together in a fashion that makes sense Because I've had those conversations where I've known beyond a shadow of a doubt that this makes sense and they ought to see this But they end up not listening and not seeing it at all And that's when I finally came to realize the scripture and what he's saying. He says no their minds are blind It takes the power and conviction of the Holy Spirit working in accordance with God's word To cause people to see that they are blind They have to you know, there is not so blind as the one who will not see and so when you share and And all that's why I've learned that it's my my my ministry to present truth But it's God's work to convict sinners And when his word is presented and we have prayed and we leave it in the hands of the Lord Well, one man may so and and another man may water but God gives the increase It's the work of the Holy Spirit and so on. These are people who are sick These are people who are blind and then these are people who are lame now We used to say that of our friends, man, you're lame the word lame Simply means that he's unable to go where he would like to go The word can be used of a person who is hesitant to move or Unable to walk by themselves Well in Ephesians 4 17 Paul said This I say therefore in testifying the Lord that you should no longer walk as the rest of the Gentiles walk in The futility of their mind So this is a person who was unable to walk by themselves a person who is hesitant to move a person Who can't go in the right direction? So without Jesus they'll never be able to walk they'll never be able to live in a way that he's pleased with as We've been going through Colossians in chapter 1 verse 10. Remember how Paul said that you may walk Worthy of the Lord fully pleasing him being fruitful in every good work and increasing in the knowledge of God he speaks of him them being paralyzed and They would say the commentators would say that's a picture of someone without faith without hope without love Without the fear of God they're lifeless and they're hopeless. They're paralyzed But God will give them an ability to have life when they turn to him and their sins are forgiven like the one who is at the gate called beautiful and and Peter and John were about to walk in and As they were about to walk into this particular gate there in Jerusalem there was a man who was laying there who'd been in firm from for many many years and and as Peter and John were about to walk past them the man looked up Because Peter said to the man look upon us and the man looks up expected to receive something Because he was there in a strategic location at this particular gate Because that would be a place where the pilgrims would enter in the people would enter in and It was a good place simply to beg to ask for things for alms And so he was expecting to receive something and the scripture is so beautiful when it says that Peter said look upon us and the Man looked up expecting to receive something and Peter said silver and gold have I none But such as I have give I thee in the name of Jesus Christ of Nazareth I say unto you rise to your feet and walk you see you cannot rise to your feet and walk Without Jesus You know and even in you are quote-unquote walking you're always walking in the wrong direction You're actually in reality spiritually paralyzed you may think that you're pursuing God But in fact you're actually drawing further and further away from him as he's pursuing you And so we have people here in verse 3 described as being sick blind lame and paralyzed And that is an actual literal condition. They are sick. They are blind. They are lame. They are paralyzed But it also could be a picture of their spiritual condition and their need of the Lord They're waiting according to verse 3 for the moving of the water and then verse 4 is what is called an explanatory note For an angel went down at a certain time into the into the pool and stirred up the water Whoever stepped in first after the stirring of the water was made well of whatever disease He had So John isn't authorizing by the way the stirring of the water by an angel is genuine What this is is an explanation. He's explaining what drew these people to be there by that water He's explaining what they believed and He is also saying this is what they did in response to their belief and It seems that the people thought that the one moving fastest would be the one who receives the healing Now think about that for a moment because even today people believe a variety of things will result in their being healed Some believe that if they drink or bathe in water from certain locations like lords They'll be healed Somewhere scapulars Some send money to radio or television evangelists for prayer cloths When you go to Israel's there are there are people that will buy olive oil or water And it will take it home believing that that it has healing power. I'll never forget my wife Marie and I were by the Jordan and we're standing there many years ago now and These Italians were there Right next to us and they were real excited in everything and they they were drinking beer by the Jordan I'll never forget this. They were drinking their beer They poured it out Then they filled it up with the water to take home because they considered it holy and I thought how interesting That really is you know down your beer quickly so you can get some holy water to take home It never made sense to me. It still doesn't even telling you that but that's what they did But what we have here is an insight into how the Lord works in spite of our misunderstanding him This shows us how God's mercy is manifested. It reveals to us something of what God is like The Psalmist in Psalm 6 verse 2 said it well. He said have mercy on me. Oh Lord for I am weak. Oh Lord heal me for my bones are troubled and So these people would be laying in that condition hoping the water would stir There are those who say commentators who say that the water stirring was not an angel It was it was a naturally fed spring On occasion the water would be stirred up by water coming in an artesian spring And it would begin to move and they had superstitiously begun to say that that is an angel stirring it And it stirred the faith in people to say well Then I ought to get in because the rumor went out that if you got in first you would be healed now To develop something for you here I'll go a little bit further We need to remember that throughout the Bible. God does perform healings and they occur in a variety of ways And I believe that that the reason that when you read your Bible and you see in the New Testament especially When you see God performing a healing through Jesus They occur in different ways for a reason That's so you don't put God in a box by developing methods of receiving healing Because you may pray for somebody will say and they get well And you just you'll blow your mind like God did something. I'm amazed Wow And that's what it's supposed to do by the way it's supposed to make you go well That's what miracles do they amaze you because something happened, but You can fall into the trap of saying Well the next time somebody comes and says Will you pray for me? Then you say no sure of course now.  I had my left foot in front I had my right foot back I lifted my left hand, but I touched him and you can actually do this you really can You can start thinking what were the words I spoke Did I furrow my eyebrows because I was so intense you can really do that that that sounds silly, but it's true You can actually think there must be some technique of some sort Something I did and so in scripture you discover that the Lord does miracles simply because he does miracles It hasn't anything to do with us and you'll see that in Jesus's ministry When you looked in your bible sometimes This miracle healing will occur in response to someone's personal faith in Jesus Remember in in the gospel of matthew for example chapter 9 verses 20 through 22 Those verses speak of a woman who had an issue of blood and she had this issue of blood for 12 years And so she said within herself If I but touch his garment I will be healed So there was a personal sense in her that if I but reached to him And that's a personal faith and as a result Jesus actually commended her faith But then again sometimes these healings when you go through your scriptures Well, they occur in response to somebody else's faith We just saw in the case of the nobleman's son that the nobleman came on behalf Of his son So the son Was not the one who was requesting to be touched by the Lord. It was somebody else And there's times when you may be saying god on behalf of my wife my sister my brother my mom my dad My aunt my grandmother my friend You're interceding And there are times that the lord will hear your prayer and these people aren't asking it of their own selves You're interceding and god does this work and you see that And sometimes no expression of faith is evident at all Remember in mark chapter 2 remember that man who was brought by his four friends And was brought before the lord and his friends exhibited faith But that man didn't what could he do he couldn't fight them He was paralyzed.  Well The sick man answered him Sir, I have no man to put me in the pool when the water is stirred up But while i'm coming another steps down before me Huh Notice verse five this man had an infirmity 38 years Now why the number 38? Why did he have to mention to us that he had had an infirmity 38 years? Well one of the commentators that I use said it may be that That they wanted us to remember israel's wandering in the wilderness In the book of deuteronomy chapter 2 verse 14 it reads The time we took to come from kadesh barnea until we crossed over the valley of zared was 38 years So his paralysis could symbolize israel's paralysis Because israel is spiritually paralyzed without jesus But he's been in that condition as it says in verse Verse 5 38 years verse 6 says jesus saw him lying there and knew They had already been in that condition For a long time and that's the second thing we can see i want you to notice this jesus saw And jesus knew In spite of the multitude And this is an important point in spite of the multitude His eyes were on one person And and again by way of application Sometimes you may feel that you're just one person in a crowd And there's so many around you that have needs And sometimes perhaps even greater needs than you have And you may think that you are simply one of many And i just love i you'll see you'll see i'll repeat this over and over as we go through john's gospel you see this often And you're going to see that jesus not only sees multitudes, but he also sees individuals That is such an important thing to remember always He ministers to multitudes But he also ministers to you He wants to reach everybody But he also wants to touch you And there were a lot of people this this isn't the only person who's there by the pool There are others And jesus knows though in verse six again. He says he sees him lying there And he knew that he had already been in that condition A long time Jesus knew in spite of the multitude his eyes were on that one man and i say as 65 24 It reads it shall come to pass that before they call I will answer and while they are still speaking I will hear So even in a noisy crowd John makes it clear that jesus is aware of you I was at a pastors conference back in 1982 and I remember there were That's when there were a lot fewer calvary chapel ministries There may have been a couple of hundred people in the room at that time And I remember as I was seated there I can even remember where I was seated in proximity to the to the pulpit in the and the platform I remember very well as I was there amongst all these pastors and leaders I remember and that was just a young man. I was 31 32 at the time I remember as we were having a time of waiting on the lord in an afterglow I remember saying to the lord I want to get out of here I want to leave Jesus, I just want to go I just want I just remember I was so discouraged. I just remember that so well Jesus, I just I just want to go I shouldn't even be here I want to go And I was just I had my head down and I was just talking to the lord One of the brothers had a word that he spoke And he said this he said There's someone here right now Who is saying to the lord? I don't want to be here I just want to go And he says and the lord is saying to you You need to be here because he wants to minister to you And that's when I began to actually though I knew it in my head I began to understand it in my life That there may be a lot of people around me at any given time But that doesn't mean that Jesus doesn't know I'm there That doesn't mean that he's not aware of my cry You know, it's kind of like any parent can say this It's kind of like you have a nursery nursery filled with 20 or 30 babies But every parent can recognize the sound of their own You hear it sometimes you cringe because you know it's yours But it's true because a mama A dad knows the sound of the cry of their baby They know it and our ears are attuned to their cry for a variety of reasons But we listen and we'll hear I remember I was teaching a bible study an evening study We used to have the uh the nursery on the right next to us So you could hear the babies and we only had three And I can still remember uh sunday night I was teaching And then I started I heard I heard a baby crying And there's a small group of people 80 people or so And I started looking through the through the church And I saw mamas You can see if their eyes the eyebrows go up, you know their eyes get and they get kind of stiff And I saw they were right in front of me all three moms And then one by one and it all goes it happens quickly First one mama's shoulders stopped shrugging Then this other mama's shoulders stopped shrugging The other one's shoulders stayed up and I said that's the mother That's the mother and it was She recognized the sound of her own baby The other two mamas knew it wasn't theirs.  Nobody cares if I'm here. Nobody's aware if I'm here.  Keep that in mind His ear is open and to Your cry He hears you and he loves you and even though there were so many crowded There around this pool Jesus approaches that man He knew he'd been that way for a long time and he sought him out He saw him and he approaches him again verse 6 and he said to him Now this is an amazingly important question. Do you want to be made well? Questions have a way of revealing our hearts Jesus provokes him to ask himself Whether he really wants to be healed Now he had a kind of faith to be healed according to the superstition of his day But Jesus wants him to direct his faith To the one who can heal him If within us there is an inclination to remain as we are Often no changes will be made You want to mark that down because some people Myself included in the past and I probably still do it Can make excuses For remaining where you are Even while saying but I'm trying so hard This guy is trying hard. He's there. He's paralyzed. He wants to be He's got all of those verbal cues going but Jesus this is This is so important Jesus asks him a question. Do you want to be made well? There are um, okay, let's see how I can put this without it sounding harsh I can't so I'll just say it this way I try to be careful how I say things because I realize that Sometimes the way you say something isn't how you mean it and I try to be careful like that I think that there are many churches in the united states that are filled with people who think they're christians because they're doing the superstitious thing They go to church Maybe they give sometimes they serve I believe that what has happened in the last generation of our church history since the jesus movement to now Has been that quite a number of people consider themselves to be believers because They go to church they may pick up the bible once in a while They do religious things But so many times when an invitation is given People come forward To be saved Who have been in the church for a long time because you can do The religious thing but never really Never really want to be changed Never really wanting a new life Never really wanting to walk As a matter of fact When someone speaks to you and says to you You you you've been a christian for a while.  Don't judge me, bro Now wait a minute. I'm not I'm asking you Do you really want to be made well? When I was a brand new christian i'm talking within a month of my salvation. I was reading a booklet I began reading booklets on the christian life And this fella said in order to be saved you have to have the same desire to be saved As if you were in a house that was burning And You wanted to get out of that house before it burned up And I remember saying I don't think that's true That sounds kind of legalistic to me That doesn't make sense to me But guess what I now understand what he was trying to say Lot is told to get out God is going to destroy Sodom, Gomorrah and these surrounding cities to better get out And don't look back. You just keep going forward He takes two daughters and he takes his wife And off they go because his other ones wouldn't leave Off he goes and we all know the story Jesus all he had to do is say remember lot's wife because The scripture says she stopped and she looked back And when you read that it just you look back what's the no the The intent of that is She looked back with longing because her body May have left Sodom But her heart remained behind It's not difficult for a person to walk up an aisle When their heart is still in the seat When they haven't really gotten up and moved And then later on they say and I tried God and it doesn't work No He didn't you didn't have the desire To get out of that burning house And now you're blaming God for the burns that you've suffered I think the question is an important one Do you want to be made? Well Have you gotten in other words for us in practical terms?     I am just I I Can't do this anymore That's Jesus asking do you want to be made? Well And it's interesting Because notice verse seven the sick man answered sir. I have no man to put me into the pool when the water stirred stirred up but while I'm coming another steps down before me I can't help myself and I have no friends who will help me And so when he says that this puts him in the place where the Lord can reveal himself to this man And Jesus says in verse eight rise Take up your bed walk I don't know if you've noticed but I can't I'm paralyzed I've been in this condition 38 years And you're telling me to rise and not only to rise but to pick up my bed the thing that has been carrying me I'm supposed to carry that Rise Jesus gives impossible commands as a matter of fact when you read your bible He does this more than once There was a man with a crippled hand in the synagogue and and and Jesus spoke to him in front of the scribes and Pharisees Luke tells us in chapter six verse 10 That jesus looked around at them all and then he said to the man stretch out your hand He can't his hand is crippled How am I going to do that and yet jesus said stretch out your hand and he did so and his hand was restored as whole as the other When the apostle peter was walking on water Well, Matthew tells us that jesus said to him Come to me peter was in the boat jesus was walking on water and jesus says to him Come on to me and peter answered him and said lord if it's you command me to come out Come to you on the water and he said come and when peter had come down out of the boat He walked on the water. That's impossible Every time we're in in israel. We're on the sea of Galilee And almost almost every time our our guide or someone will say anybody want to take a walk Because it's impossible. We all know that and yet jesus made the sea as hard as concrete But it's an impossible command stretch out your hand. My hand is withered I can't walk on water It's impossible to walk on water So with god all things are possible With god he takes the cripple The one with no power And he gets him the ability to stretch out his hand to the one who cannot walk Jesus says pick up your mat and take a walk To the one who could never do the impossible of walking on water jesus says come He said the lord does that and so as he says that rise take up your bed and walk notice verse 9 immediately the man was made well He took up his bed walked And that day was the Sabbath and so jesus commands the man to do something that was Breaking the law of the Sabbath at least the way that was understood The law prohibited all work And especially the carrying of burdens But jesus tells him To take up his bed. Why would he do something like that? Well one of the simple Answers to that is that he was a poor man And if he had left his bed he might have lost it So it's a way of him just saying carry that with you. So it's not lost amongst all these people and what's about to take place So as he tells him to do that verse again verse 9 again notice that day was the Sabbath Now this work Provokes the first signs of hostility towards jesus because verse 10 the jews therefore said to him who was cured It's a Sabbath. It's not lawful for you to carry your bed And he answered them you who made me well said to me take up your bed and walk and they asked him Who's the man who said to you take up your bed and walk? But the one who was healed did not know who it was for jesus had withdrawn a multitude being in that place But afterward jesus found him in the temple and said to him see you've been made well Sin no more less the worst thing come upon you And the man departed and told the jews that it was jesus who had made him well So immediately notice in verse 10 now they said It's not lawful for you to be doing that you see in israel the Sabbath begins at dusk on friday it ends at dusk on saturday And and the Sabbath is intended for the jewish people to rest and to worship god Christians have have kept the first day of the week because that's the day jesus was resurrected So worshiping on sunday Is not something that is a hard fast rule, but it has been what the church has done from the beginning Now because this healing occurred on the Sabbath the religious authorities are in our up in arms Because they believe that both jesus and this man violated the law Now they said jesus violated the Sabbath Because they believe that healing Was actually work in that interesting But they believe that the one performing a healing was actually working on shabbat When you when you read luke chapter 13, there's a story of jesus healing a crippled woman And when he did so he's rebuked for doing so according to luke 1314 The ruler of the synagogue said there's six days on which men ought to work Therefore come and be healed on them and not on the Sabbath day So they believe that a work like jesus performed was actually Violating the Sabbath, but they also believed the man violated the Sabbath because he carried his mat Now the Sabbath is a day dedicated to god It's not to be filled with pursuing the things of the world and therefore they get upset over that and also they say in verse 10 It's the Sabbath. It's not lawful for you to carry your bed So they were conforming to the letter of the law, but not its spirit because he should have they should have been rejoicing that god had Done a work for this man, but instead they're judging him Well in verse 11 the man Says well the he answered them and he said he who made me well said take up your bed and walk So it seems like he's blaming The one who made me well is the one you should be speaking to At this point, there's not really a lot of observable gratitude It may be almost that he's distance distancing himself from the lord I'm not sure about that, but it can appear that way So they asked him in verse 12. Who is this one? Who's the man now when they asked him who is the man who is the man is intended to contrast Jesus a man With god's law which is divine Well, he didn't know his name He couldn't see jesus anywhere in the crowd because according to verse 13 jesus had left And the crowd in the area was getting agitated. They'd be reacting to the miracle So he withdrew himself He hadn't finished his work He wouldn't expose himself to the envy and malice of the jewish rulers But verse 14 afterward jesus found him in the temple and said to him See you've been made well sin no more Less a worse thing come upon you a worse thing Let's look at that for just a moment You've been made well sin no more less a worse thing come upon you Let me say something that uh, it would just take a moment to say early in my ministerial life I remember somebody writing a column a column in a magazine stating that jesus never Never referred to people as sinners And I thought that was interesting And I was really new in ministry and I thought hmm Jesus never referred to people as sinners. They never called someone Or made reference to their sin and this person was very well known and I thought how interesting And So I began to look into that. Is that true? Is that true? And I'm doing that on purpose.  And jesus speaks to the woman and says I don't condemn you And then he goes on to say to her go and sin no more and here he's saying the same kind of thing to this man Um Some commentators say that the sins of his youth may have resulted in his paralysis The same kind of thing might be said of the man on the mat in mark chapter 2 So jesus would know what caused his infirmity and he would be warning him not to repeat it So one jesus will say go and sin no more because sin very often Has resulted in something in our life That we end up reaping consequences for And yeah, jesus does say not to sin Because he came to save the world And he came to lay his life down to cleanse us from our sin But at the same time what we see is a warning in the midst of his mercy And when he says You've been made well sin no more or less the worst thing come upon you When you've been cleansed by the lord it is best not to return to the old life Oh gosh, I don't want Some things I want to share with you would take longer than I can and I'm going to conclude in a moment, but Just keep this in mind. I'll put it like this Never take the grace of god Because a lot of people like to talk about how gracious god is and he is And we're saved by grace and we're gifted by grace and we walk in grace. It's all grace But never take it for granted Because some people stretch grace to cover over the sin they want to continue to practice And then they get upset at the person who says but The lord says we're to be free of those things That a person who is Who's in sin is in bondage to it and didn't jesus set us free and And didn't he give us the power of the holy spirit to live for christ And and and weren't you crucified in christ?  And if that's the case, how can you make an excuse to remain in sin? So go in sin no more. It's real simple And yet there are arguments going on right now in the minds of christians Maybe even in this room right now that sounds like legalism. No, that's called the gospel We've been set free from sin Not to remain in it or return to it.  It's because the inclinations of your flesh Is a desire to wander back to what you were washed from And jesus said go and sin no more Move forward don't move back Lest a worse thing come up a worse thing than laying on a mat A worse thing than being paralyzed for 38 years. There's something worse than that. Yes judgment 38 years is a long time eternity We can't even figure out how long that is I tried to figure it out once I can't It would be like It'd be like you or me counting every single grain of sand on every beach and desert in the world One by one And once you get to the last one You start again Can you fathom that I can't it is time without end Never ending what is worse than 38 years eternity without god That's worse it never ends It never ends. There's no getting up up that mat and walking It's just Your life forever And so that's a stern warning Matthew 20 not 10 28 i'll close with this do not fear those who kill the body but cannot kill the soul Rather fear him who was able to destroy both in soul and body both soul and body in hell So the mandi parts according to verse 15 tells the jews that it was jesus who made him well Now what maybe that he did this to secure himself from the the charge of Sabbath breaking Or it may be that he saw this miracle as validating christ as the one who was sent from god Somebody said it is probable that he went in the simplicity of his heart Desirous both to publish what christ had done to his honor And also to do good to others who might also stand in need of his help Whatever the case may be He departed and he told jesus Jesus sought him out the first time and healed him. He sought him out a second time and warned him So may god speak to us because not only has he healed us, but he also warns us


Hello, I'm Julie King and I'm part of the Akara team working on reviewing the Australian Curriculum for Technologies. The overall aim of the review is to improve the Australian Curriculum from Foundation to Year 10 by refining, re-aligning and decluttering the content of the curriculum. In particular, we're working to refine and reduce the amount of content where we can and improve the quality of the content descriptions and achievement standards. We want an Australian Curriculum Technologies that identifies what is most important for students to learn and makes it very clear for teachers what they have to teach. In reviewing the technologies curriculum, we looked at the latest research and international curriculum developments and talked to key academics in our professional associations. In particular, we reviewed the approaches to technologies in other countries and systems, engaged in the OECD's 2030 Future of Education and Skills project and considered the work of the DQ Institute and the E-Safety Commissioner. We looked at various key reports and research initiatives and considered national plans and projects such as the Women in STEM Decadal Plan and Akara's own Digital Technologies in Focus project. We also heard from teachers who shared their experiences about implementing the Australian Curriculum. We established two new technologies reference groups, one made up of teachers and the other of curriculum officers from across Australia. We also had separate reference groups with primary school expertise. The technologies curriculum was new to many teachers and has generally been well received, so the extent of change is relatively small. However, from the research, teacher feedback and our work with the reference groups, we identified some key areas where the technologies curriculum could be improved, amplifying the technologies core concepts in the structure of the strands, reviewing the place of data and reduced duplication in mathematics and digital technologies, updating content descriptions and elaborations to provide opportunities to include current and emerging technologies, removing ambiguity, duplication and clarity of language and cognitive demand, improving the alignment of the content descriptions and the achievement standards, aligning digital technologies with revised ICT capability now known as digital literacy, in particular online safety, privacy and security. As a result, we've proposed the following revisions to the technologies curriculum. Replace key ideas with core concepts that strongly underpin each subject. Develop foundation year content for both subjects to better support learning in the early years. Reduce the number of technologies contexts in F2-4 design and technologies to improve manageability of content in the primary years. Use content in F2-6 digital technologies by removing duplication of data with mathematics. Align the digital technologies curriculum to the revised ICT capability now known as digital literacy. This included developing a new substrand call considering privacy and security to provide an explicit place in the curriculum for students to develop these important skills. Unpack digital technologies content descriptions to provide greater clarity to teachers about what to teach. Align the achievement standards to highlight the relationship between the knowledge and understanding strand and the processes and production skills strand. Strengthen cognitive alignment between content descriptions and achievement standards. Improve content elaborations to show suggestions for authentic, meaningful alignment to general capabilities and cross-curriculum priorities. You can find more detail on the proposed revisions on the Australian Curriculum Review Consultation website. So now we're looking to hear from you. You've opened the consultation and have created a survey where you can give input. It's really important we hear your views. We want to hear all your feedback, positive and negative, as it is those responses that will help shape the Australian curriculum for the next generation of children. To give your feedback, simply complete the survey. Thank you.


A very good side and good footballing team, play very quick players, quick ball movement, things that we aspire to do. That's how we want to play our game. And in the A league we've shown we want to be a quick passing, quick moving team. So we look forward to the test. It will be one, but we believe it will be a test for them as well. We want to win the match. There'll be no talk of not trying to win the game or that we can't win the game. Certainly not. We're at home and they've travelled here and we're both on three points and we should go into the game with confidence. I've seen all their general games and obviously they're two ACL games and they're a good, very good footballing team. Their three Brazilians are very good. We know what we're up against and that's why you're in this competition to play the best. You know, we want to showcase ourselves as well. We feel that we've done that in the two games, that we've shown that we can compete. Of course we need to get better, but if we can keep improving as we have from the first game to the second, if we can improve again, we feel we can show a good performance tomorrow and that will give us even a better chance of getting a result. I've seen them away from home sit in their own half, frontal. But still you talk about them being a fantastic footballing team. It just depends how the match goes. We're comfortable pressing, we're a team that likes to press but we're also comfortable having a good defensive structure and we'll assess the game as it goes. But we certainly want to take our opportunities and we play forward. We want to control the game as best we can. But it's hard to predict how the match will go because both teams are three points, they're away from home so we expect a more cautious approach from them. They're very quick on the counter so they're a team that doesn't just control the tempo. So it'll be an interesting battle. There's a team put out tomorrow that we believe can win the game. We didn't go to China to lose by three or four goals. We went to China to try and get a result, try and win the game and the players did that and we'll do the same tomorrow. We have five games in 15 days and out of those 23 we have to make sure that we have players that are fit and available, which is always a challenge and we believe in every single player. We've said that I've maintained that all year. I believe in all the players in this squad. I certainly didn't go to China thinking we'll lose the game and I know no other players did. So that'll be the same tomorrow. So I don't really like this weaker team that you keep saying. I don't like that at all. And then we have a small squad, yes, but we have a squad that have shown throughout the year that they can compete with anyone. And that was against all sun. They competed against the Chinese team and I'm confident we'll compete very well again tomorrow.