So I have a question directed to Florence and Baptiste. So what's really crucial in the matching estimator that you implement for the causal inference that you want to draw is to be sure that you include the parameters that potentially unobserve parameters that would guide on the one hand the propensity to save, on the other hand the propensity to remit, potentially also. So you don't have a lot of observable variables to control for, but I was wondering to which extent you could include observable for migratory status. I could not really understand how, well, to which extent the sample that you have is a selected sample already that would make that, even the people that would take outside of the orange users are already a bit comparable in terms of migration or not, but I guess that the position, whether they are migrants or not would strongly influence the propensity to remit. Family structure, if you think of the contribution of Marie, probably the family structure and the extent, and the magnitude of the shape could also be a variable that would be interesting to control for. And I could not, well, what's striking in your propensity to score estimation is that it seems that the orange users are poorer than the rest of your sample. So it's a bit disturbing. So is it the case that orange are specifically focused on the poorest populations? Or else is it the case that you are here capturing the fact that you have people who are migrants who have individualised earnings and when you have... So perhaps also the extent to which earnings are individualised or not could influence the propensity to use them and then to transfer to others. So I think there are many, many other variables you could think of, but I think that those ones could be... Serena? So I have a question for Florence and one for Marie. So for Florence, I wasn't entirely sure because I think from the presentation it came out that there was nothing on deposits. So the rate of deposits is an increase, but then in the end you discuss that this may be related to precautionary savings in some way. So I was just wondering if you could kind of go deep... because I'm working on something similar. So if you could go deeper into the precautionary savings motive just because it wasn't clear. And then under the remittances, you said that you haven't found anything on the sum transferred but just on the frequency, correct? So have you tried perhaps and divide the sample in terms of the... well, the tersiles or whatever of the income distribution to see if it's the poorer they receive more frequently because there may be an issue of them having an urgency to get... because if it's not the sum but just the frequency then that may be something. So for Marie, it was just something on the endogeneity. You know, the number of siblings is fine, I can understand it. But the social mobility measure, I was wondering on what grounds do you think that that's not endogenous to the amount of savings? Yes, Han. And then Mikhail. Just a quick... Han from UNewider. I just wanted to add on to that point about the nature of the remittances in terms of who the... the treatment group is if you just anecdotally, if you look at who's remitting money, it's the foreign workers standing outside a remittance company on their payday. And I believe you have that in your data, whether or not the respondent is a native of the city that I think could be a proxy for whether or not it's a migrant or a native. So I thought that was what I was thinking about as you were presenting as well. The nature of the remittances it's almost as important as the sum that's remitted and the frequency. Thanks. Mikhail. That's on the paper by Florence. One of the selection effects are potentially so strong here because even how you construct your comparison that you say, okay, we compare those who have recently made use of it to those who have not made use of it. So, well, of course it's not at all surprising to see that they use it more frequently and that they may even save a bit more. So that's really what you find. But, I mean, what can we really draw from this and say, can you say a bit more, maybe how others are saving? So if you say this seems to be cheaper lower transaction costs so they can also use it more frequently.  But, you know, given that you have this exogenous distribution then there's really the question is there an uptake? But here this question of uptake isn't really there because it's so actively they decided to use it so I wonder a bit how far you can push the conclusion. Thank you. Thank you for all these questions. I'm going to try to answer you with my poor English. I'm very sorry. About Denis's question. You're right. We made a choice. We know that to match people we can choose to take into account observable characteristics or unobservable using after instrumental variables methodology. Well, we thought that between our two groups of populations there are enough differences, observable differences to implement the matching methodology. We implement and via the paper Wilcoxon ranking test which confirmed that about the number of remittances sent and received our estimation were robust. So we agree that with the fact that it's possible that our two sub-population presents differences in terms of unobservable characteristics but to our knowledge it isn't possible to correct at the same time both differences. So we made this choice with its limits. You're right too. We have a few vectors of significant variables in our probit estimation. But we think it's sufficient because when we implement balancing tests and over-test about quality of our matching process the results are quite good. So we think that these variables are enough. About migration, I haven't with me the questioner but unfortunately I think that we haven't any question. We know where people are born in Thananarive or outside but we don't know if it's in foreign country or in Madagascar. So we can't control by the migrations. It's true that things will be different if we have many migrants in our populations and in our orange money users. But remember that when we implement our survey orange money did not permit to make international remittances. So if we have migrants they can't use these mobile banking services to... Ah, yes. But we control by the place of birth which is a significant variable in the estimation to be an orange money user. OK? No, but we don't know. We don't know. Yes, we don't know why he is coming in Thananarive. Why orange money users are poorer than non-users? We agree it's a result a bit strange but we explain it by the fact that we have a population composed of only orange customers and in Thananarive orange customers are more educated and richer than the rest of the population. So we think that the richest of our orange customers have yet access to multiple sort of banks or financial services but the poorest of the orange customers don't have this access so choose to subscribe to these services. About precautionary savings. I don't remember who asked me this question. It's a great idea to divide the distribution to see if it's just the poorer we receive remittances but we have a short sample so I don't know if statistically it will be possible. We can try to make this division. I'm not sure to have to take the good notes. Ah, yes, I had a question about why I say that orange money users make more precautionary savings because we have a question in our survey which is which service you use the most and this service is the deposit service. People make deposits on their orange money account. So we can think that this service is without interest. It isn't saving with interest but it's a kind of precautionary savings. We can think that people put money in their orange money account to keep it in case of shocks. No, we assume. Sorry, sorry. I think it was Michelle. About the nature of remittances, you asked me something. Who is the treatment group? It isn't a question. I'm a little bit stressed. Then you can. Continue a bit on this. Is it really possible to do that? Baptiste, if you want to complete, you want to complete? No, it's okay. That's it, no? I remember. Thank you. Sorry. Thank you, Serena, for your question. So I agree that... I'm not saying any causal impact here. That's what I said at the end. So through the number of savings, there's no decision to save and transfer. For social mobility, I would argue that since I compare former workers with fathers that were farmers or non-farmers, I'm looking at the different co-efficient between one with both former workers and one as a father with a farmer. I'm not saying that the co-efficient should really be taken as granted, but still we still find that switching signs. So for one it's really negative and for the other it's really positive. And if social mobility should bias the estimate, I would say that people who experience social mobility should be even more safe because they have less inheritance than others and which so they should be even more saving while we find negative effects. I don't know if you can answer your question. I would like to continue with this, to make more clear. Given that you look at these immediate outcomes like making use of it, saving more, making more transfers, it is in fact very close to the process of this taker, which is emotions. So maybe to make it a bit more interesting we should go a bit further. To look at other outcomes, that's maybe less obvious that we may see a difference. So what do you mean by that? What do you mean? Because they save more often do they have higher investment or are they spending more on education or are they going a bit further because of change. If you stop there, you make it more something because you want to transfer, and I think this is actually kind of being even more, it's very much, I think in a bit more ways it's hard to sell it and the more it's okay, what does it mean to tell you? Go a bit further and show some of these other impacts and this becomes ultimately less a problem maybe. Yes, yes, yes. First of all, we must actually make another one with the same population and remember how to do this. Arrange my sentences in the book in September and September 10 and we made the survey only for two days after that. So in our mind we try to just focus on financial and in our mind we think that it's quite simple to use the transfer sense because it is cheaper because it's safer and without the pros and cons it's anonymous. Okay? So you guys sell your hands but we think that to change deeply your financial if you focus on sales if you focus on some of the things that need to be done first more quickly, I think this is something that absolutely has to be learned by the new process. This is why we call this paper learning to work if you want to work you need to you need to be able to trust more confidence in this that you like. The role of that you need to have another knowledge to have perhaps more variables and so on. We have many, many testers and we made lots of your estimations with very different variables cross-vibes and so on and this is the best estimations Thank you, Baptiste. We can continue the conversation after and we have the final panel in 10 minutes so we invite you to attend and thank you very much for the presenters and for you to come to the session. Thanks.


It's DK and guess what? I'm back with another video. Make sure you smash the subscribe button also give me a thumbs up This is a question that needs to be answered in this long Overdue Should you or should you not rent a cargo van to do gig work as well as use a carrier company? Today you're gonna find out I want to give you guys all of the information that you need to know to make that decision and I'm not gonna make it for you So make sure you stay tuned through the full video and put me in a big screen video Let's go ahead and get down to business. So guess what? This is just very special day You no longer have to do any research and find out if you should use a rental van because I did we did all of it for you You don't have to do anything But watch this full video and give me a like button smash the subscribe button if you're not subscribed now We have five different Cargo van choices that you can choose from and we're gonna start off with this number one the number one company is Penske now with the penske truck you are gonna pay $29.99 per day and just before we get into that None of this is including taxes because it varies per state. So I couldn't put the taxes in there So again with the penske truck, you're gonna pay $29.99 per day to rent out the penske van. You are also going to pay 79 cent per mile So you got a thing about that too and then they also have insurance that you must have You have to have this insurance in order to rent the van the insurance is $50 a day and then they also have some other little fees is gonna add up to $7.50 so all together for a penske truck you are gonna pay $87.49 a day not including tax Miles or gas because you must pay for gas to if you don't know now you know and then we have Option number two option number two is you haul of course Everybody you love you hard.  This insurance is $53 and 98 cent a day and they also have a $4 and 50 cent add-on for some fees. So for a budget cargo then you are going to pay $78 and 47 cents then number four I know you want to go out there and score this is money, but we never ignore then number four We found it on two road and it is actually a ram pro master and For this ram pro master, you are going to pay a hundred and twenty five dollars a day I know I know I know it sounds like it's very steep like why would I pay 125 when I got paid 1995 for you hall.   It's automatically included Anything additional after the 200 miles you are going to pay 63 cent per mile You also must have an insurance the insurance is going to cost you $31 and 25 cents a day and then they also have some additional fees, which these are kind of steep to me $45 and 82 cent for the additional fees. I don't know what that covers But this is the additional fees and again none of this is including tax or it depends again in various per state so for a ram pro master on to a row in my area, you are going to spend $202 and seven cents a day and last but not least Option number five. We also found option number five on tour as well You may not want a ram pro master.  We do have Examples of added miles. So y'all about to go out put that right there Y'all see the chart the chart is right on the screen So the best bang for your buck as you can see in the second column It says per day with fees I would say well from the numbers It says that you haul is your best option at 31 dollars and 95 cent with the fees And your worst option will be the two roll pro master at 200 two dollars and seven cents per day Now as of right now, I'm sticking with the u-haul if I'm using I'm sticking with the u-haul But it's going to change when you start adding on the miles And don't think you're going to drive five seven miles You're not you're going to be driving a hundred miles like probably like a hundred miles a day 60 miles a day a hundred miles a day. So we have the graph to a hundred miles a day now With the u-haul Once you add on a hundred miles you are going to pay A hundred dollars and 49 cents a day For a u-haul with the insurance and you can draw for a hundred miles Do not forget that you must my friend drive back to wherever you picked up the u-haul So you got to include that too You got to include from going to your house doing whatever you're doing going back to your office You have to include all that stuff and don't forget you also must pay for gas So Again, that's the best option when it comes to the vans Your i would go with u-haul at a hundred dollars and 49 cents the worst option Would still be the ram pro master from toro coming in at two hundred two dollars and seven cents a day after everything Well, that's not including gas again or taxes. So now that we're done with a 100 mile column We're going to just jump right over. We're going to skip 200 We're going to go right to 300 miles because you're trying to get as much money as you can So you can pay for this rental. So I got you right now We're going to jump over to 300 miles now with the 300 miles I would say the best option from the numbers Is going to be the trend the forward transit from toro coming in at a hundred eighty eight dollars and 76 Cent for 300 miles. That's not bad. I don't think and a worst one would be budget budget No, i'm wrong. The worst one would be penski. They're trying to get them beings g penski Is going to charge you three hundred twenty four dollars and 19 Cent for 300 miles. Look, it's up to you to decide whether this is worth it to you or not Not only did we give you all the numbers We also have some examples of some things that we actually did this last week that we just uh went out So we have one that is going to be a load and two roti orders It's a shorter a shorter run and two roti orders And then we have another one that's what is a longer drive And we're going to give you the best option the best bang for your buck the best option for what we are doing at that time So We got chart number two What to do if you hate to get your your crew on chart number two. We got the breakdown We have example one on example one We did the one low and two roti orders and all together We drove a hundred and one miles the best option for this would be you all So you get a u-haul fair you can drive a hundred and one miles You're going to get the best bang for your buck at u-haul our payout How much did we make because we still got to make money in order to pay the render off that day We made a hundred ninety two dollars and ninety five cents and the rental expense Would be a hundred and one dollar and eighteen cents Also, you have to pay for gas the gas is going to the gas costs us Twenty one dollars and eighty eight cents. So you will profit. This will be you'll be in the green Sixty nine dollars and eighty a cent. I need you to comment below and let me know Is that worth it for you or not? There's something you gotta think about. I'm not making a decision for y'all I'm just giving you guys the information and you make the decision And if even if you in the conversation ask me what so what would you so what you think I'm not telling you because that means you ain't watched the video You have to be able to go out here and make your own decisions example number two We had one low. Why did she only have one low? We don't have one low because it was kind of a far drive So this one low was 247 miles All together all together we drove 247 miles That's from miles to the pickup to the drop off back to my house 247 miles The best option would be the forward transit from toro That would be the best option because don't forget you get that free 200 miles You get the free 200 miles is included the payout was $240 so we made $240 on that low and then the rental expenses is a $4.91 and then we had to pay fill up the tank again $53 and 52 cent which we were left with profit of $21 and 57 cents That's what we left after after everything and that's the best option for going that many miles So as you guys saw a Looks are deceiving sometimes you see them cargo vans and u-haul vans It's a 1999 on you think i'm go. I'm only gonna pay 20 dollars.  I'm gonna get busy I'm gonna put 20 dollars in gas is gonna be 40 dollars I'm gonna go do this And then you find out the action when you're out there in the field for real And you really driving these miles that we found out that u-haul is not always the best bang for your buck Especially if you're driving in further miles So if you're driving further miles, we found out that the toro transit the transit uh from toro was better for us But is it all worth it for you? I gave you the information. Is it really worth it for you to profit? 21 dollars is some change for doing all that drive you drove. I drove 247 miles altogether Is it really worth it?   I can't tell you what you should or shouldn't do I'm just here to provide you guys with the information so you can make the best decision You see fit and go out there and get a grip. But all in all, I hope you guys enjoyed this video Do not forget to smash the like button. This is the best thing on youtube Ain't nobody ever did this whole rental breakdown like this. I ain't never seen it if I'm lying. I'm flying But come up and up. Maybe you have seen let me know if you've seen it But not but I hope you guys enjoyed this video Make sure you lock in on our next one because you're going back down because we ain't playing around because all 2024 are we doing a pull up to uh Let's go get it popular like quisco. I'll see you guys on next be going be going be fooling you already know this ddk and I'm on my way


Patience, consumers, communities, and other stakeholders should be included in decision-making processes related to healthcare delivery, research, and policymaking. However, this inclusion must not be limited to tokenism, it must also involve active representation of the interests of the people being represented. This requires that representatives stay connected to the real-world concerns of their constituents, as well as having the backing of many voices. This article was authored by Matthew DeKamp, Sarah E. Brewer, and Vadim Dukinen.


Everybody forced here upping 2023 elite football hobby 12 box case number two random divisions You can find the results on your screen anytime at late in sports cards calm Let's go ahead and get started Kyle is Clemson still losing. All right, we're gonna get through a lot of this vet base pretty quick here guys 2174 minutes left. I add comes in stinks lot 2 to 999 rookie for the Niners NFC West Jersey NFC north Justin feels at 375 God Jameer Gibbs It's a 99 Kirk Cousins NFC north Herbert Fred Warner to 149 for the NFC West Bryce young rookie elitist NFC south Spellbound to 349 is to a tongue by Lola for the AFC East I'll show again. The Kirk has a tough bottom left corner that foil peel We'll send a box now for the NFC north 399 is fields for the NFC north as well Mousie Smith rookie the 999 NFC East a Lance Briggs auto NFC north the 149 We go NFC north Quentin Johnston elitist for the AFC West Jameer Gibbs rookie read to 149 NFC north as well 75 is Jamar chase spell bounce NFC north Derek Carr throwback Kishan butane a 99 AFC East rookie die cut Jackson Smith and jig butter 399 rookie NFC West Revis and it's on Harrison a 999 rookie for the AFC South rookie auto Sean Clifford NFC north Pen pals Bejaun Robinson elitist the NFC south and they could use some less packs on these honestly Bejaun rookie to 399 for the NFC south nice bejaun the Hyatt elitist Got Jack Campbell the 999 rookie NFC north an auto for the AFC north is a Siaki Eka to 4 to 49 Hended hooker doing flooring feel out of shape Yeah, ain't no way I can do that DTR to 99 for the AFC north is TJ. What? Fields to 49 for the NFC north Vonte Smith Sillman to 999 rookie AFC north Jersey card AFC south Trevor Lawrence to 375 Tyjay Spears the 999 rookie AFC south a pen pals Jordan Addison rookie auto NFC north and it's north doing really well here Nice Addison row elitist AFC west and 99 is Crosby got Michael mayor. Just go with concrete floor so much easier Got a hurts to 349 spellbound NFC East Kyle you weren't here earlier when I was talking about how about the Bucks are gonna be this year He knows Yeah, I'm sure he does Full throttle to 75 reyger for the NFC north Jalen reyger here. We'll sit on the throwback Terry kill it's not 399 is mclauren for the NFC East It's Kyle's trashes this week Top 100 Deontay banks and 999 rookie for the NFC East Jersey card Aaron Rogers to 375 the AFC East Also Kyle who does Bournemouth have this weekend needed needed dub No more draws no more L's only dubs Trying to go to Champions League kiddle Got kiddle out of 399 NFC West Hurts to 349 for the NFC East. Yeah, Sean's getting bored playing against the others These the games rigging it against you over shown rookie to 49 for the NFC East Byron young rookie to 999 for the NFC West Pen pals Jameer Gibbs rookie auto NFC north All right NFC north is really doing well now Chelsea this weekend. Well, that's an easy win. Chelsea stinks Zay flowers Whatever now not not recently debo to 399 for the NFC West a lot of expectations, but the next weekend Is there an international break or something? What am I gonna do Saturday morning if there's no freaking Premier League right of finding a college football game to watch Got star status Lawrence for the Jags number 299 Mac Jones NFC say quantum 99 Brian branch to 32 rookie for the NFC north qualifiers was a euro qualifiers and stuff like that Bosa doing that 349 is a field vision of Alan nice one AFC East They're going down this year. Well, I mean I guess whoever wins is gonna be Up for attention, but the bills are going down to 99 is Garoppolo AFC West Tucker Kraft rookie to 399 NFC north Maybe I can watch them Euro qualifiers in the pub We want to wake up Saturday and just go right to the club. So it's all I want to do Shawn didn't sleep till two I'd take him. Yeah God Dan Henley with 999 rookie AFC West a Dalton decayed pen pals rookie auto for the AFC East What's Davis Mills field vision, it's kind of insane, right? That's medicine nowadays the 999 Sharpen a rookie for the NFC West Perti Jersey to 375 for the NFC West Got to 86 Godwin NFC south.  I'll be at Disney during our fantasy draft We'll levis Have Donnie do it 399 Tucker Kraft for the NFC north I don't know I don't know who's in this league. I know Lane Isn't it? I know you and I are in it. I honestly would have tried to get out of it They actually asked me. I think they just were like, oh, yeah, he's doing it J here brown and 999 rookie for the NFC West God an auto is 80 parry to 49 for the NFC south there will be weeks where I forget to change my lineup. I Will leave an injured player and there will be weeks that that happens So wake up Sunday all I'm gonna think about is breaks and stuff Richardson Herbert to 149 AFC West Wake up to turn 44th. All you think about is the other football. I'm like, yeah, I don't care. I don't care. I don't care Who cares about the Patriots? Ball about Orlando City in the enter Miami. It's 149 Sean Clifford NFC north rookie United in our league. Oh That works out. Well, then dude trade placement then you do you take my spot I'll just not do it. It's a 99 a spellbound Justin Jefferson NFC north Smith and Jigba elitist We're not on the box five Duke wins boom Why would it say on the bleacher report it says first top 10 team goes down as a blue Devils defense forces three Turnovers be out of yada yada. Did Florida State not just beat LSU last night that not happen Come on, please report tighten up clowns To what number to 10 for the AFC East 210 spellbound Actually, I'll just I'll do the league. There's gonna be some sweet prize. I bet Got Gino to 99 for the NFC West on the off chance. I do win 399 Devontae Smith NFC East everything's got to be locked in Thursday. Well, now there's a game time So 999 is Fihoco junior NFC East pen pals that shabbanae rookie on card auto for the NFC West. Oh, yeah You never do that unless it's like.  You're like, oh geez I'm up to 999 for the AFC East craftsman Jersey to 375 pickings for the AFC North and Addison Riki to 1 to 49 NFC North Kausa show you show you pics Bryce young on the elitist DJ more to 399 NFC North It's gonna copy you. I think you should do a fortnight draft Luke Musgrave Riki to 399 for the NFC North We draft like it like we're drafting teams of the Backyard baseball or something and have draft players of the at the shop here. It's Dylan number one Stroud actually Jade might be number one if we allow non-console it's Jaden Got Henley to 999 Got etched in time to 49 Kishan Johnson auto NFC south. It's not a bad idea Kyle Do your pick something that's live? You'll probably have to you probably have to fill breaks anyway, right to 240 90 Higgins AFC North What are your breaks looking like tomorrow? I listed four. I'm gonna probably less a couple more before you start Or at least before I leave the house tomorrow Massey Smith Riki to 42 NFC East Quentin Johnston title waves is Mahomes. This is number two three forty nine AFC West Drafting at Disney. We'll see how that goes Another to a spellbound attend for the AFC East and you have seven and eight of ten But different different letters I believe nice to a Dude, you gotta do tag of I loa with the damn spellbound. I'd be dead. He's really tough to put together Nice Jackson Smith a Jeep, but a 99 NFC West Kyle what you need to do before you go live though is make sure you print the teams on like an excel sheet the Combos for Merlin so you can show people what they are because it doesn't show up on there Until you start in randomized the 99 is AJ Brown for the NFC East Make sure you do that or mind you in the morning. I almost forgot the other day Will Anderson to 999 AFC South rookie pen pals purple Taijay Spears AFC South There we go Purple we have to make everybody eat a bagel every time they come in now to get to go through them all It's a 999 DJ Turner AFC North Jersey card Throwback threads the 375 ladanian Tomlinson AFC West and rookie orange Dorian Williams the 399 AFC East Orange rookie to 399 ventrell Miller for the AFC South God CJ Stroud. I could just save the paper I printed last time. It's the exact same combos But whoops the 399 DJ more NFC more calf free Yeah, you bagel you fruit Potatoes get So It's an I mean some of those in a minute tonight 99 is Nolan Smith rookie NFC East Scoot and mock your rookie auto for the NFC East pentals Will Leviss elitist for the AFC South Yeah, they got that decent whips shmere like a whipped cream cheese For two days pretty solid Tavius Robinson and 99 rookie for the AFC North I missed the taco truck. I guess. Oh, well, I got time to come in Got it. I got a day off to have or hat like semi of a day off kind of Marvin is the 83 take a pound. Oh, yeah, I would take a pound home and then just dump it out Two out of 349 AFCs Like Probably feel okay for like an hour High life to 25 is Alan Robinson a FC or sorry NFC West Hey, let's keep it going need some big cards here Spellbound or not spell both field vision of 349 is Alan AFC East Get your spots for tomorrow guys Kyle's Ivan fanatics at 11 10 box Tuesday starts at 5 to 99 is Justin Fields for the NFC North 2 399 is D hop for the NFC West Those eggs have that texture is my question They cook them like a Got a moody to 999 rookie for the NFC West Pen pal Stetson Bennett NFC West nice hit on the auto D hop to 399 for the NFC West Jalen Hyatt rookie elitist Mapu to 999 rookie for the AFC East got a turn of the century auto is going to be a Rakeem Jarrett rookie to 25 for the NFC South Pendant hooker So I'm wondering like they're cooked differently will levice to 49 nice one there AFC South levice to 49 Talk about right there 25 Jamal Williams for the NFC South Yeah, when you put something like that and you put it and cover it all that steam just gets trapped So if you don't vent something like that Yeah That would happen with a like a barbecue catering you'd have to you'd have to vent any sort of bread you made It's been by the time you serve it two hours later. It's just like Full throttle to 99 Jalen Rager NFC North Runny sake one Got the hooker the 999 NFC East rookie patch card CD lamb NFC East to 49 kill Anton Harrison rookie to 399 AFC South All right, we're getting there Justin Jefferson spellbound the 99 for the NFC North elite deck Allen Baker to 399 for the NFC South. That's a Kyle's MVP pick right there. I want to see Kyle's wager I want to see the ticket from the bet that he made For a Baker MVP He should Make a long shot bet Kyle bet like bet like 25 bucks if he wins you're gonna be 25k on it 25k dude, you'd probably make you probably you're a man dude He'd probably get like half a male if you bet 25 Kelly Ringo to 999 be one Aiden O'Connell rookie auto pen pals for the AFC West Herbert to 399 for the AFC West Kyle, how does Jake feel about the Buccaneers this season big speed of 999 rookie AFC South Chris Godwin auto NFC South to 49 back to the future Which Johnny has never seen What are the what are the MVP odds CJ Stroud rookie elitist for the AFC South what are the MVP odds or Baker Mayfield Kyle does even have odds Lot two to 399 rookie for the NFC West. They just didn't even put them on there Think Jake feels nauseous about the other bucks Josh Downs rookie to 49 AFC South We're sure could have seen Jake play real golf with you guys that one time Kettle to 349 spellbound NFC West That's kind of that's kind of crazy freezer Jalen Hyatt plus Just give the knock at Caleb Williams. Yeah, that's the biggest fear right there is your bad, but you're not like You're not like top two or three pick bad Jalen Carter to 999 rookie for the NFC East patch card to 99 is pickings for the AFC North Yeah, I think I think you got to make that bet Jay Ward to 99 rookie for the NFC North. Yeah, sorry about the glare on some of these cards guys Kind of doesn't matter which way you hold it's going to catch some sort of light with the design They are the foil they use Bryce young But that is all that base. I'm gonna try to get through that part. Just get to the next one Jefferson star status for the NFC North Out of 349 Duke fans storm the field dude act like you've been there. Come on spellbound to 99 is AFC East to a They really haven't Clayton to and rookie razzle dazzle NFC West When's the last time Duke beat a top 10 in college football program? I'm sure someone watched the game and they said it to 99 Jalen Carter for the NFC East It was either Clemson or for to say it had to have been maybe like Virginia Tech or something Olava 8 to 88 for the NFC South He likes maybe with Daniel Jones quarterback or something like that Byron young rookie to 399 for the NFC West Sydney Brown rookie to 999 NFC East Jersey card AFC East is Josh Allen to 375 and Sydney Brown again to 399 NFC East Stroud Elite deck your rookie on deck telly Ringo to 399 rookie NFC East Drew Sanders rickety 99 for the AFC West Will Leviss rookie elitist AFC South Rishi rice in 999 a AFC West a Derek Hall rookie out of 299 for the NFC West So who's gonna be in the running for Caleb Williams? It's gonna be It's gonna be what probably the Cardinals I know the Texans and Colts be bad, but Already got QB's to 999 Tavius Robinson AFC North Anthony Richardson pen pals rookie auto black Congrats AFC South he is Get that in a mag 399 Kyler NFC West then I think the Chiefs are gonna have to tank this year They're not looking so good. They could probably come in third place the AFC West if they really tried They probably need a new quarterback and a head coach honestly there Spellbound a 349 AFC East Want to be Tom Brady a quarterback Matthew Stafford 99 for the NFC West Yeah, definitely a top 32 fan base though. They got that going for him 399 DJ more NFC North Chiefs tanking and there's either speechless right now or he's typing a really long response Got Tucker crafted 999 rookie for the NFC North Yeah, Rishi rice rookie auto for the AFC Western just had to turn it off. It's Click get that out of here Rishi rice AFC West pen pals Jefferson elite deck 2 999 is Julius Brents for the AFC South Jersey card to 375 sake 1 NFC East and Chris Jones the 399 AFC West Yeah, hold it. How old is Andy Reed? Stroud Yeah, my home is just washed probably trade into the past is probably the best move Probably trade him there Got Jacobs to 149 for the hip see west problem. Yeah, you'll get Pat Pat's give you Mac Jones and I don't know what else you want Yeah, I'll give you a Some subway gift cards Cameron lot 2 to 149 rookie NFC West He said Andy reads 43 Kyle's out. You're saying I just this is one of our breakers Does Rich know that Kyle and Sam open cards for him To follow where there's been the 999 rookie NFC West Pen pals Kendra Miller NFC South Yeah, my homies and Tyree could probably play decently together at least Got a That is a dent Colisea can't seat to 399 for the NFC South. We'll send a box and wrap it There's like a dent in the top of that. Yeah, Josh Allen Stingly to 99 for the AFC South say flowers Star status TJ Watts AFC North to 99 Looking for that case hit insert last couple So J rod is a freaking beast Look at that first player in MLB history with 25 or more homers and 25 or more stolen bases in his first two seasons of his career As far as like five tool guys goes Like he's up there. It's like he's like already on like a CUNY level. I mean a CUNY came in a league like that too But he's like a CUNY Could be better might have more power, but I don't know CUNY has bombs, too 2349 is fields NFC North full throttle spider-man water bottle Got Cooper cup to 99 for the NFC West series 399 Gara Wilson AFC East Kyle who should I take first round tomorrow as a pen of the pick I Jartavia smart in a 999 Ricky for the NFC East Roshan Johnson NFC North pen pals Ricky Otto I Don't like one because in a snake you have to turn around his way too far I don't like picking so I don't like one or like 12 like I Think like three four five something like that would be awesome Get like a chaser a cup or something or you know a really good running back still you find like a sake one in there Dory and Williams to 999 for the AFC East Jersey card Cooper cup 375 NFC West and a per to 399 NFC West Travis Kelsey first round. I don't know about that. I don't think I can do that Ideally I pick like third and couple of bozos that pick first and second let Justin Jefferson fall to me So 99 is a Tyler Lacey rookie for the AFC South God be Jean rookie for the NFC South Let's see Travis Kelsey like late first early second got got the 399 NFC North Wouldn't be a bad move because he's still get a decent quick turn around to grab a receiver or running back or something like that Just double dip get my homes in Kelsey right away. Let's get that stack And they go ham Scoon mecker to 999 Ricky for the NFC East pen pals Jake Hainer NFC South rookie Otto Geez sky eight receivers to running backs. Good Lord JSN denied the 399 for the NFC West I'm gonna have to tune in here now. I might I probably won't make every pick, but I'm definitely gonna have to tune in here and there I'm not the old Disney world Got AJ Brown to 149 NFC East Star status my homes for the AFC West to 999 or to 99 rather to 99 Yes, and I know the sign in for a for restream chat That's funny should probably just write it down to leave it over here that and that and some other sign ins To 99 spellbound NFC Yeah, some of them like non super important stuff. I think the restream and I think random is the same one Taylor to 99 for the AFC South. I honestly can't remember Kirk Cousins NFC North to 149 Hey, why are you here? We should run back. Yeah, I know we have to pay attention for at least most of it Better go by fast Nobody better be taken full two minutes every single time Roshan Johnson rookie NFC North to 999 and Palace Tyler Scott NFC North rookie on card auto Jamir Gibbs to 999 rookie for the NFC North CD Lam to 375 Jersey NFC East and NFC West rookie Paris Johnson Jr. Number 270. Keep in mind y'all personals have been full since we went live today Whatever I don't get to tonight should go tomorrow night with Sam after group breaks got venture Miller rookie to 399 AFC South I'm out of people Everybody's already on five shifts It's a lot of times you could break in 399 Jordan Love for the NFC North got Bryce young rookie elitist for the NFC South We could be running four streams on Sundays to DJ Johnson ricketts 999 for the NFC South There's a Michael Wilson ricky auto to 99 for the NFC West. I 100% agree Anthony I'm gonna have how we go through and make a compilation of all the same schticks And we can use it as a torture method You can sell it to the CIA it'll work Ricky Broderick Jones the 49 for the AFC North. It's so bad You get how much we money we could sell that to the CIA for How much how much money the military spends oh, dude We could all retire got to 99 fields for the NFC North Then the volume Yeah, you got to get the right sequence though you start off kind of like easy Like like do like an old snap and then you ramp it up. Oh, I know It's 349 to a spellbound AFC East Sam does talk like that though like he's at the shop and he is that loud Like his voice his voice levels like mine right now. That's like where it's that's where it like begins It like starts right here. So he's yelling you can only go up Dude the Bravo six going dark thing is actually outrageous I can't believe that one that one's horrendous that and All systems go To him and Anthony probably be on the they probably talk on the phone if like five hours a week coming up with new ones Going down checklists Anthony you would probably enjoy that Hearing plus all for an hour straight. Oh how much do you say it this guy? You deserve to hear it for an hour straight Relics of CD lamb Cooper cup sake one Barclay Josh Allen at George Pickens CD lamb Lydani and Tomlinson George Pickens Brock Purdy Aaron Rogers Trevor Lawrence Justin Fields. There's a Levist of 49 probably the nicer parallel that we had a few other numbered ones But you Berkey QB right there is good Autos of Michael Wilson Tyler Scott Jake Hainer Roshan Johnson Kendra Miller Rashi Rice a Derek Hall Chris Godwin Aden O'Connell Rakeem Jarrett Stetson Bennett Luke Schoonmaker purple Taijai Spears on the pen pals key Sean Johnson Zach Charbonnet and AT Perry Dalton Kincaid Jamiro Gibbs Jordan Addison Siaki Akai or Ika Sean Clifford and Lance Briggs. We also had a pen pals base rookie auto Anthony Richardson Now do it. Thanks again everybody moving on to some more football


When we were asked to come into the hospital, I was scared. I almost felt as if these were going to be my last days.


Hello and welcome to People's Dispatch, special coverage of the Indian elections. The elections, which began on April 11th, will last till May 19th and have been termed one of the most important in independent India's history. Across the country, popular movements have joined forces to ensure that the far-right Narendra Modi government does not come back to power. To know more about this resistance, we have with us today, Kavita Krishnan. For it be remembered, of the Communist Party of India, Marxist-Leninist Liberation. Thank you, Kavita for joining us. Could you first talk about a bit of the resistance that you encountered on the ground? You have been campaigning across the country. So what is the sense you got of the resistance against the Modi government? I think the resistance is at many levels and it has expressed itself not only in the elections but in movements before that. And one of the key issues is unemployment because thanks to the Modi government's policies, you have unemployment at a 45-year high in India. And so that is a really big issue which is especially for young people, for the younger demographic. It's a very big question. The other very big question, especially because India has such large parts which are rural India, they're the issues of farmers who have been suffering, who have been suicidal because of the agrarian crisis in India. That is also a very big issue because they had certain very simple demands from the government which they felt that the government could have implemented very easily in order to protect them from at least a part of the crisis. And even that was not done and this government instead fired on farmers and killed protesting farmers and so on. So these are early big issues. Apart from that also even prices are a big issue, a lot of bread and butter issues of this kind are. And I would say that in addition to all of that, the issue of justice, the sense that this is a government which is playing with hateful sentiments, which is causing, which is patronizing lynch mobs which are attacking Muslim minorities, which are attacking Dalits, which are attacking the indigenous Adivasi tribal populations. Many, many such incidents are happening even during the elections. And so I think that these are also a concern for people because the sense that this is not something which used to happen like this in India on this scale and that you did not have governments which were patronizing and protecting such violence. This is something which is being felt very much by people. And this election has also seen an unprecedented amount of left solidarity and the combination of leftist parties against the Modi government. So could you talk about what critical component does the left bring to the opposition's campaign right now? I think that on the whole the left parties have tried to even strike a coordination with other non-left opposition parties as well in order to maximize the impact of opposition unity to make sure that the Modi government and the far-right BJP are not re-elected in this election. I think what the left brings to the table is basically a very, very hands-on movemental role. For instance, the role in the farmers' movements. The red flags visibility in the farmers' movements and the role of many left parties in these movements was enormous. And so you have farmers' movement leaders contesting elections from the left and they do so then with a lot of credibility. I think the other thing that the left brings to the table in, for instance, a place like Bihar where I've been campaigning is its history, for instance, of fighting for democracy. So in some of the seats which my party is contesting, these are places where although the oppressed castes had a right to cast a vote, they were killed for doing so. And so our party has the history of actually organizing people to assert that right to vote and actually avail of it and elect people on the left. And also to resist communal anti-Muslim violence, to resist anti-Dalit violence. All these are things which the left has done with a far greater credibility and consistency than many other parties. And this is something which is recognized. So in places where the left is contesting very strongly, the places where I've been campaigning, for instance, in Bihar, four seats in Bihar and two in Jharkhand, and those are my party. And there are also two other seats in Bihar where the left is contesting as well. And on those seats, this is what is making the left candidates a very attractive option for people because they feel that while they would like to vote to defeat the BJP, they are happier to be able to vote for a left candidate who would defeat the BJP because then they know that that is a candidate who is actually going to voice the concerns of the street and the concerns of the people in parliament as well. And you mentioned the anti-caste struggle. So could you also talk a bit about the trajectory of the anti-caste struggles over the past five years since the Modi government came to power in the current situation? I think some of the most remarkable movements of the anti-caste movements have been seen in the past five years. And so while the Modi regime has been responsible for unleashing some of the most terrible violence on the oppressed castes and exploitation of the oppressed castes, doing away with trying to erode caste-based reservations in jobs and education and so on. In spite of that, the movements have been very remarkable. So just to quickly name three or four really key movements, one was of course the movement after the suicide of a Dalit university student who had been targeted for his political activism by central government ministers, Modi's ministers. So this was Rohit Vemula. And so the movement which followed his death was something which was a national phenomenon and very important. After that there was an incident where one of these lynch mobs which claimed to be protectors of cows, they targeted Dalit young men in Gujarat and stripped and paraded them and beat them up and videotaped the whole atrocity and circulated the videos. This led to a very remarkable protest which combined cultural as well as material questions by saying that Dalits traditionally are supposed to be the ones who dispose of the carcasses of dead animals. And they said that if you're saying that you protect the cow and the cow is your mother, then you dispose of the cow's carcasses. We won't do it anymore. So this was a refusal to do demeaning labour and also then it turned into a demand for land and a demand for remunerative employment and all of that. And so leaders of that movement, one of the leaders of that movement, Jignesh Mewani, is one of the leading voices who is seen as a voice in the Dalit movement who is also sympathetic to and espouses the causes of the left as well. So I think that's another very remarkable. Then there's this very remarkable young activist called Chandrasekhar Ravan and his organization, the Bhima Army in UP. Their movements also have been against the BJP. Their leader Chandrasekhar has been targeted, arrested under a very draconian law, jailed for a very long time and all of that. So that is also an emerging interesting movement in leadership. And last but not least, I would say the Bhima Koregaon incident and the second April last year. Those two incidents, let me quickly recap what those were. The Bhima Koregaon event is an event which commemorates the victory of a Dalit army, a Dalit contingent, which was then fighting of course with the colonial British army but which defeated a Brahmin feudal leadership at that time, the Peshwa leadership. And so the Dalits have been commemorating it every year at that place, Bhima Koregaon, the Bhima Koregaon victory as being an assertion of their own history. And two years back when this happened, then there was a tremendous crackdown on this movement. And people were, the Dalits were attacked and all of that. And the attackers were not jailed. Instead, those who organized that particular event have been picked up and put in jail on all kinds of trumped up charges. And that includes a lot of Dalit activists as well, as well as trade union activists and left activists as well. And so that is also something that's very much felt. And finally of course the, when there was an attempt to, via a Supreme Court order to erode the prevention of atrocities against Dalits, you know, that law, at that time there was a huge movement. And many, there were mass arrests of people who participated in that movement. And no arrests of people who unleashed violence on the participants in that movement. So all these are really, and these are very much resonant in this election as well. And Narendra Modi is also, he's right now still in campaign mode, of course. And this campaign has again been unprecedented because there's been a massive attempt at polarizing, maybe unlike any other election in the past. So could you talk about some of the, some of the methods of his campaign and how they're having an impact on the ground? Yeah, I'd like to, you know, summarize some of the key things which the BJP leadership is doing in order to polarize the elections. Of course you have everyday statements by BJP leaders which say if Muslims don't vote for us, then we will not get, we will ensure that they don't get jobs, we will ensure that they are punished and so on and so forth. So these threats are of course happening all the time. But there's also a much more dangerous thing which the BJP is very key leadership including the Prime Minister Narendra Modi, as well as his key left-ment to the BJP President Amit Shah, who's also a candidate in the election, are doing. So what Amit Shah has said, for instance, is that the BJP, if it gets another term in power, will bring into place something called a national register of citizens. And he's also made it very clear that he will also enact a Citizenship Amendment Bill, which means that basically the combination of the two will mean that those Hindus or non-Muslims who are refugees, you know, who are immigrants, who are immigrants and maybe illegal immigrants, will be given citizenship and they will be offered citizenship of Indian citizenship, whereas Muslims, all Muslims, you know, will be branded as potential illegal immigrants and be forced to prove their citizenship.  Now there's a similar thing which is going on in Assam of course, but at least the NRC in Assam does not say that it is only targeting Muslims. It says that it is there to identify illegal immigrants. There are many problems with that process, but there's something significantly different about what Amit Shah is promising for the whole country as well. Now the other thing that Narendra Modi is doing is to build on the acquittal of certain far-right Hindu supremacist terror-accused persons in a recent court judgment. So he is building on that. Of course, the acquittal happened, the judge himself said that the acquittal has happened because the prosecution deliberately weakened the case. A special public prosecutor who was prosecuting the case in the past, she came on record to say that she had been pressurized to go soft and that evidence had been destroyed, very strong evidence against the accused had been destroyed. Now building on this acquittal, Narendra Modi has of course endorsed the candidature of one such accused person who is not yet acquitted.  She is a candidate from a very important urban seat in Madhya Pradesh called Bhopal and Narendra Modi has endorsed her candidature. So in an election speech in Vardha as well as in an interview to a television channel where he defended Pragya Thakur's candidature, Narendra Modi said something very significant.  Now what is the implication here? The implication is that there have been many cases in which Muslims have been acquitted in terror cases and courts have even said that the police should be punished for having framed Muslims. So he is not referencing those cases. And the other thing is that this is a Prime Minister who was silent on the Christ Church attack because the victims of terror there were Muslims. And in contrast to what the New Zealand Prime Minister said after the Christ Church attack, she said, she told Muslims, you are us. And she said the terrorist is not us. What Narendra Modi is doing is the exact opposite. He is saying that if you are a Hindu who has been charged with terrorism against Muslims, you are us.  We won't even, we will not allow it. And the police that charges you with these crimes will be abused and will be accused of being anti-Hindu.  He is telling Muslims, you are not us. You are put always potentially alien and you will be continuously asked to prove your citizenship by singing certain songs which the Hindu groups associate with nationalism. So there are many instances where Muslims have been picked up and forced to sing those songs, which they are reluctant to because these are songs basically in praise of a Hindu goddess, not in praise of India as such. And so Narendra Modi is using this in the election, this kind of polarization tactic to take attention away also from all the other issues on which he has no answers, right? On jobs, on unemployment, on the farm crisis, on corruption, where there are many very severe corruption charges, even on the issues of terrorism or the attacks like the one that happened in Pulwama in Kashmir recently. The government itself is, you know, its Kashmir policy is an obvious failure. And there are many, many questions about the government's own complicity in allowing or failure in allowing such attacks to happen. But he wants to evade all those questions and turn an election which should be a BJP versus opposition election into a Hindu versus Muslim election. Thank you. That's all we have time for today. Keep watching People's Dispatch.


Welcome back, it is Friday and that means FNA Friday and we are on part 6 of blocking out your animation and today I'm going to take a look at acting out your animation. Alright, so we have concluded the prep part. We talked about planning your animation, testing your rig and creating a post library just in case you don't have any tools or scripts. And today we're getting into the quick check part of the series and it is about acting out your animation and the next week is about making sounds to check your timing to criminally underrated methods of checking your timing for your blocking. Today, hopefully I can explain to you the benefits of it and then you can adopt that workflow. And it is acting out your animation and it is not acting out in terms of shooting reference. It is basically if you use Maya and you animate and you make a movie, it's a play blast so it's act out your play blast. If you have a different software and that tool is called something else, then it's act out XYZ or whatever you have.  That is the crucial component because you might be acting out something where you have a head turn and you do, you might do that. You have a little bit of anticipation on the arc, maybe an overshoot and a little bit of a settle with a nice arc in there. All fantastic, right? And then you do the play blast and then you look at it and the animation looks like this. Even timing, no arc, it's very robotic, very terminator-like.  So then I take a look at it with fresh eyes and it's easy for me to complain and give you critiques, but I'm not animating it. And all I see is that very robotic move. So then I politely ask the students who will act out what you just did. And then usually the response is that they act out what they wanted it to be, but it's not what they actually animated.  And then they slowly moved in and realized, that feels weird, that is very forced. The timing is really slow. That's not really what I wanted to do. Now this gets really important once you get into body mechanics. So let's pretend that your character is lifting a leg. So let me push that chair out of the way. The mic is here, so hopefully you can still hear me. So you have your character and if I just lift my leg, I'm gonna fall over because if I lift my leg, I got to move my root over here, then I can lift it. And then the hips go up because all the weight is on this leg. And if I just lift the leg like this, it might look okay in animation, but technically if you do this, you're off balance and you're gonna fall down. So again, you might have acted this out. You might have shot reference and once you get into the animation, you go like, well, I'm just gonna lift my leg in and that's it. And you kind of forget what makes it correct.  The timing is very slow. But wait a minute, I can't actually do this. I'm gonna fall over. Why is that? Oh wait, I need to shift my weight over. Oh, now I get it.  But most of the time is when I have shots from students that they act out or I act out, which is probably more comfortable. I don't wanna force my students to do anything that's uncomfortable. Anything that, you know, embarrass them from the class. I'm not that, I mean, sometimes, but you know. So I prefer to act it out for them just to make a point. So hopefully when you do act it out or you see someone doing it and kind of pointing it out in the obvious way, there is a bigger connection of, oh yeah, this is wrong because of this. And you now need to fix this. And one of the very common thing is when a character takes a step back or has kind of a weight shift or a direction change and that's a very common mistake in student work. So let's show you. So imagine your character stands and takes a step back and usually it's this and then magically, I can't even do it, the leg goes forward first and then the root moves. But that doesn't work. So I usually have to act it out where someone has to hold me. When you move back, the only way to move forward unless someone pulls you that this leg has to stay here, point it this way so you can push yourself forward. You can't be off balance like this and then move forward. I mean, you would have massive amount of muscles. I don't know, this just doesn't work. So much work sold. So when you do have that where the leg goes first, right? Leaning back and then the back leg goes up and then the root moves forward. That's kind of a magical way of moving your root forward. The balance is not right. The mechanics are not right. The weight just doesn't work. You're off balance. You're gonna fall down. What I see, especially that part of our mechanics animated that way so often is to work and then when you act it out or you suggest that they should act it out, they definitely make that connection because they would fall on the floor and then it's just very obvious that when you're leaning back like this and you move your leg, this is not gonna work.  You're exactly replicating what you animated. So you might need someone to look at you and your animation to say, no, no, no, no, that's not what you animated. Move like this. So it doesn't mean that you're gonna get it right every time. It's as with everything, you have to practice. But it is for sure a way to quickly identify timings off. Something feels very wrong. If you have like a gesture and then your arm animation is this because you have no arcs in it and the timing is even. You feel this. Like you might see this and go, this kind of looks right. But the moment you do this, you realize, oh wait, this is kind of like a robot arm. Okay, I get it. This is kind of wrong.  Again, don't act out in terms of reference. You wanna do this and replicate that. No, no, no, no, you just animated this and now you're gonna act out what you just animated. Now, of course, if you got creatures and there's all kinds of animation and you can't act out jumping around, I know that this is not applicable to everything. But for other shots and other mechanics, there are other ways of checking it. This is just one way of a quick check for moments that you can act out quickly. This is all about improving your workflow, getting faster at this. So if you need to check something out for a creature or flying around, obviously there are other things you need to do to check that and it can be more complicated and can be more time consuming. Again, I'm just talking basic body mechanics that a human does that you can replicate as you acted it out already. And it's just a fast way to check. Does this feel right? Does this look right? No, and because you're doing it yourself and because you are replicating what you just animated, you will feel that it's off. The balance is off. You will fall on the ground. You realize, oh wait, I can't actually do this. So that one, act out your play blast and making sounds which is next week. Those are two really, really fast ways to check your timing. Not enough people do that. I don't know why. So try it out. Let me know what you think. Maybe you already have or maybe try it out this weekend and then leave me a comment. Let me know. Hey, this kind of worked out. This didn't work out, but I added this to it. I twisted around your workflow and now if I do this on top of what you just said, now it works and now I understand. So whatever your method is, whatever you learn from this or whatever is not clear, let me know in the comments. And if this was helpful, as always, as I say, you can like this and you can subscribe to see all my uploads. Hit that bell button to get all notifications because I upload pretty much daily to the weekends. And that's it. That concludes it. And if you watched this whole thing till the very end, as always, I appreciate it that you take your valuable minutes to watch this and I hope I will see you next week.