Cool. Bob is out of town this week but I think we have to just get to it bc of time. He'll be ok with that. I will set us up. Sent from my iPhoneOn Oct 5, 2014, at 12:59 PM, Pascal, Amy wrote:GREATOn Oct 5, 2014, at 11:02 AM, Michelle Raimo Kouyate wrote:And maybe we should meet tomorrow or next to go through?Sent from my iPhoneOn Oct 5, 2014, at 10:53 AM, Pascal, Amy wrote:This is where I am so farI didn't watch movies yet and was pretty happy once everyone got on the road or happierBegin forwarded message:From: "Pascal, Amy" Date: October 4, 2014 at 3:05:38 PM PDTTo: "Pascal, Amy" Subject: Hotel t scripts After the most cursory glance at the fan fiction study and the international study bob gave me we have some real issues with what we need to make sure we deliver on in our movie It's is clear Mavis her relationship with her father and her boyfriend are really key issues and we are gonna need to make adjustments ASAP to take advantage of that informationLatin America Russia and china are the biggest territories for usFrance uk and Germany are more modest in comparison with other animated franchises but are our second biggest marketsBrazil and Australia come after thatFather daughter, extended family,fish out of water( really important esp in places like france) funny monsters are the key.... Drac and Mavis is the center of everything Clearly introducing a baby is dicey and needs to get handled carefully cuz Mavis as a mom is not as relatable and the rel between drac and Dennis is not nearly as important as his relationship with MavisThe study also suggests we need a major song at the end if the movieSome of the things we have cut out of the movie or haven't emphasized enough Is the humanizing of the hotelThe monsters in the real world Mavis as a free spirit torn between two relationships Girly stuff which is in short supplyWe actually had a lot more of this stuff in earlier drafts and I suggest we look at that and see what we can adjust since we sort of almost have timeUnfortunately we probably can't add back the original begining with Mitty judging project runway and frank on a talk showThe opening of drac playing with Mavis's dolls Is good did we cut him spraying the drapes with fresh blood Also it was cute when we had drac saying holy rabbies as that was always what Mavis saidAlso the breath joke was funnier when he was talking to the suit of armour and days seriously it's called flossingIt may be late but Mavis and her romance with jhonny are a big deal and we give the wedding pretty short shrift rand there is very little time in the movie she isn't a. Mom should we consider doing an actual scene here with her maybe there is something else we can cutIs it worth having the scene where jhonny comes to drac to say Mavis wants to talk to you and the scene where she tells him the big newsThere was once a suggestion of planting the idea early that Mavis loved growing up in the castle but worries that if her baby isn't a vampire that she doesn't want it to grow up in Transylvania ... That may be better than having to have a whole scene of spelling it out later If we plant that earlier the emotional story will start when we learn about the fangs at the birthday party and we will be alittle more with Mavis and what she is worried about as well as dracI know we cut scenes to get the movie moving but I do restaurant sceneAnd the shrunken head waking him up like jhonny suggested to see Dennis and the dialogue about batman believe me that will be in the trailer if we have itI also wonder if we really want to cut all the conflict between jhonny and Dracula over making the hotel more suitable for humans this is where so much of the comedy comes from and in stripping it down I'm worried we are gonna have no subtext and all plot because after all the movie is about humans and monsters living together and it was a very clever way of the story reflecting that in every aspect It's not an update of the acts it's about replacing monsters with humans Also the scene where Mavis and drac sing the monster lullaby to Dennis is a big dealThe new scene with the wolf pups willl be good for physical humour but it makes Mavis such a bummer that she is always worried about him getting hurtI'm also not sure why we replaced the scene with Mavis at the buffet with drac and jhonny plotting it was more clever before we just laid everything out in dialogue also do we really want jhonny in the know to this extentAs I have said a million times we need Dracula to be taking him somewhere specific even if they stop off at places along the wayWhat happened to Dracula making the wolf pups chase their tales and putting. Someone in charge if the hotelSent from my Sony Xperia Z2 ----boundary-LibPST-iamunique-1369549809_-_---


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Hi all, I assume this is general interest, not IDAG meeting - I think the meeting would be a bit too big and complicated if we would try to resolve IPCC type issues - on the other hand, involving Chris Field and maybe Tom Stocker may be an interesting way to vent the scientific issues in a relaxed setting. But I would suggest to avoid agency type things - can be convinced otherwise if you feel strongly. we do have a limited budget, too! Gabi Quoting "Bamzai, Anjuli" : > Myles, > > The Dept of State is the U.S. lead on IPCC, Conference of Party > discussions, etc. USAID does the bulk of adaptation assistance at the > international level. At the national level, there are various CCSP > agencies, e.g. Dept of Agriculture, Dept of Interior, EPA, who are more > on the 'application' side of the CCSP. > > I'd need to ask someone in those agencies on how they are approaching > the issues you raise. Perhaps Chris Miller knows someone there...? > > Programs such as NOAA Climate Change Data Detection (CCDD), and DOE > Climate Change Prediction Program(CCPP) focus almost exclusively on > IPCC WG I type of questions. > > Anjuli > > > -----Original Message----- > From: Myles Allen > Sent: Tuesday, October 14, 2008 5:00 AM > To: claudia tebaldi; Gabi Hegerl > Cc: Knutti Reto; Stott, Peter; Zwiers,Francis [Ontario]; Tim Barnett; > Hans von Storch; Claudia Tebaldi; Phil Jones; David Karoly; Toru Nozawa; > Ben Santer; Daithi Stone; Richard Smith; Nathan Gillett; Michael Wehner; > Doug Nychka; Xuebin Zhang; Bamzai, Anjuli; Chris Miller; Tom Knutson; > Tim Delsole; Susan Solomon; Jones, Gareth S; Tara Torres > Subject: RE: Meeting Jan 21-23 > > Hi All, > > That is a very good idea indeed. I was talking to Tom Stocker last week, > arguing that resolving the differences in the definition of attribution > between WG1 and WG2 was going to be one of the key challenges for AR5, > particularly as attribution of impacts becomes a live topic as countries > start to make the case for adaptation assistance. How about we invite > the co-Chair of WG1 along as well? > > If we are going to invite Chris Field, we should definitely also invite > someone from the "double attribution" community, or it will seem a bit > like WG1 lecturing to the co-Chair of WG2. Any suggestions, David? > > Anjuli, has anyone in the US State Department (or whichever department > will handle this) started addressing the question of how the US > government will distinguish "impacts of climate change" from > "vulnerability to natural climate variability" in allocating resources > for adaptation assistance? If anyone has even started thinking about > this problem, it would be very interesting to hear from them to know > what questions they are likely to need answering. We could also try and > find out if anyone in the European Commission is worrying about this. > > Regards, > > Myles > > -----Original Message----- > From: claudia tebaldi > Sent: 13 October 2008 20:46 > To: Gabi Hegerl > Cc: Myles Allen; Knutti Reto; Stott, Peter; Zwiers,Francis [Ontario]; > Tim Barnett; Hans von Storch; Claudia Tebaldi; Phil Jones; David Karoly; > Toru Nozawa; Ben Santer; stoned@csag.uct.ac.za; Richard Smith; Nathan > Gillett; Michael Wehner; Doug Nychka; Xuebin Zhang; Bamzai, Anjuli; > Chris Miller; Tom Knutson; Tim Delsole; Susan Solomon; Jones, Gareth S; > Tara Torres > Subject: Re: Meeting Jan 21-23 > > Hi Gabi et al. > > I wonder if we could try to get Chris Field, who is going to be the > chair of working group 2 for AR5...I don't know how likely it is to get > him but it may be interesting to get his perspective on what was done in > AR4 WG2 and what he would like to see in AR5 WG2. > > c > > On Mon, Oct 13, 2008 at 10:51 AM, Gabi Hegerl > wrote: >> Hi IDAG people, >> >> Its time to start planning our next IDAG meeting in detail. A > provisional >> coarse agenda is attached. Please feel free to email me suggestions >> to improve/update this, and if there is a topic you would > love >> to see covered but that isn;t please get in touch as well. >> Also, we should have one topic related to the impacts review paper > that is >> to be written in year 2 of the grant. Therefore, if you have a >> suggestion of a guest that would help us elucidate the > challenges in >> impact attribution but also to move forward on this, please let me >> know! >> Tara Torres from UCAR (tara@ucar.edu) will help us to plan the > meeting. >> Also, I hope to hire a student helper at Duke to get our meeting > webpage >> going, keep track of agenda items etc, but please bear with me and >> tolerate a bit of chaos before we have succeeded with this! >> >> What I need from you is to please >> - let me know if you can make it, and what you would vaguely like to > speak >> about (you can do the first now and postpone the second) >> - get in touch with Tara to book your travel - ideally, towards the > end of >> October / or in early November (she is a bit buried right now) >> - get in touch with me when you have suggestions, or want to bring > somebody >> >> Gabi >> >> -- >> Dr Gabriele Hegerl School of GeoSciences The University of Edinburgh >> Grant Institute, The King's Buildings West Mains Road EDINBURGH EH9 >> 3JW Phone: +44 (0) 131 6519092, FAX: +44 (0) 131 668 > 3184 >> Email: Gabi.Hegerl@ed.ac.uk >> >> The University of Edinburgh is a charitable body, registered in >> Scotland, with registration number SC005336. >> >> > > > > -- > Claudia Tebaldi > Research Scientist, Climate Central >  > currently visiting IMAGe/NCAR > PO Box 3000 > Boulder, CO 80305 > tel. 303.497.2487 > > > > -- Gabriele Hegerl School of GeoSciences University of Edinburgh -- The University of Edinburgh is a charitable body, registered in Scotland, with registration number SC005336.


Watch From: "Sarge, Matthew" > Date: Wednesday, May 11, 2016 at 7:56 PM To: Comm_D > Subject: Video Request: Carson on Greta Just finished No flags Talking about call with Paul Ryan and Trump VP vetting


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Ok Marco   Da: Marco Bettini Inviato: venerdì 23 maggio 2014 10:46 A: Antonella Capaldo Cc: Marco Bettini; Daniel Maglietta; amministrazione Oggetto: Re: Hotel NH Milano Touring - Hotel 4 stelle a Milano | NH Hoteles   Antonella,   potresti cortesemente fare una prenotazione alberghiera presso il Carlyle per: Mr. Hoan Phi dal 14 al 19 Giugno Pagamento da parte di Hoan al suo arrivo Cancellazione senza penali entro 72 ore dall'arrivo   Da non dire all'albergo che la prenotazione ci serve per richiesta emissione visto presso l'ambasciata italiana di Hanoi (verrá confermata in seguito). Avvisami non appena ci viene mandata la prenotazione in modo da inviare tutti i doc a Daniel.   Grazie Marco     Il giorno 23/mag/2014, alle ore 06:19, Hoan Phi (Mr.) < hoanpv@dhag.com.vn > ha scritto: Hi Daniel,   No problem, just book for me the   Carlyle hotel firstly, we will book two other room for the customer later.   Option 1: The customer are going to stay in Milan in 16 and 17 night of June and may leave on 18th afternoon.   Option 2: The customer are going to stay in Milan in 17 and 18 night of June and may leave on 19th afternoon.   I am going to arrive in Milan on 14th June and may leave on 18/19th as well.   Please help to complete the invitation letter asap since we need the hard copy and the ambassy need two weeks to proceed the visa.   Regards, Hoan   From: Daniel Maglietta < d.maglietta@hackingteam.it > Date: 15:17 Thứ năm, ngày 22 tháng năm năm 2014 To: MAC-H < hoanpv@dhag.com.vn >, " 'd.maglietta@hackingteam.it '" < d.maglietta@hackingteam.it > Cc: rsales < rsales@hackingteam.com >, " 'linhpn@dhag.com.vn '" < linhpn@dhag.com.vn > Subject: Re: Hotel NH Milano Touring - Hotel 4 stelle a Milano | NH Hoteles   Hi Hoan, If you chose the Carlyle hotel you can cancel the reservations up to 72 hours prior to arrival, I will ask our HQ to organize it on your behalf. What dates shall I reserve? Shall I just book a room for you? Thanks, Daniel   From : Hoan Phi (Mr.) [ mailto:hoanpv@dhag.com.vn ] Sent : Thursday, May 22, 2014 03:50 PM To : d.maglietta@hackingteam.it < d.maglietta@hackingteam.it > Cc : rsales; linhpn@dhag.com.vn < linhpn@dhag.com.vn > Subject : Re: Hotel NH Milano Touring - Hotel 4 stelle a Milano | NH Hoteles   Hi Daniel,   What happen if I book the hotel but I can not get the Visa to Italia? When I book the hotel, I have to pay first then I get the confirmation from the hotel.   What exactly do you need? You need the email confirmation or anything from the hotel? Or just declare the hotel address?   Regards, Hoan   From: Daniel Maglietta < d.maglietta@hackingteam.it > Organization: HT SRL Reply-To: < d.maglietta@hackingteam.it > Date: 14:55 Thứ tư, ngày 21 tháng năm năm 2014 To: MAC-H < hoanpv@dhag.com.vn >, < linhpn@dhag.com.vn > Cc: < rsales@hackingteam.com > Subject: FW: Hotel NH Milano Touring - Hotel 4 stelle a Milano | NH Hoteles   Hi Hoan,   Below the two suggestions close to our office and in a very elegant area of Milan:       As you will need to provide to the Italian embassy the reservation details, I suggest you go ahead and complete the reservation yourself so you have all the documents in order to be presented. Once you have completed the reservations please let me know so I can include the dates in the invitation letter. Kindly note that until you do not complete the reservation I am unable to give you the invitation letter.   Thanks,   Daniel     Daniel Maglietta Chief of HT Singapore Representative Office   d.maglietta@hackingteam.com mobile: +6591273560 www.hackingteam.com   HT Srl UOB Plaza 1 80 Raffles Place Level 35-25 Singapore 048624           --


Dear Glenn, I thought you might be interested in this email exchange with Francis Zwiers. It's directly relevant to the third criticism raised by Reviewer 2. With best regards, Ben ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Benjamin D. Santer Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory P.O. Box 808, Mail Stop L-103 Livermore, CA 94550, U.S.A. Tel: (925) 422-3840 FAX: (925) 422-7675 email: santer1@llnl.gov ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- X-Account-Key: account1 Return-Path: Received: from mail-1.llnl.gov ([unix socket]) by mail-1.llnl.gov (Cyrus v2.2.12) with LMTPA; Thu, 10 Jul 2008 13:08:08 -0700 Received: from nspiron-2.llnl.gov (nspiron-2.llnl.gov [128.115.41.82]) by mail-1.llnl.gov (8.13.1/8.12.3/LLNL evision: 1.7 $) with ESMTP id m6AK864P023034 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2008 13:08:07 -0700 X-Attachments: None X-IronPort-AV: E=McAfee;i="5200,2160,5336"; a="21284881" X-IronPort-AV: E=Sophos;i="4.30,340,1212390000"; d="scan'208";a="21284881" Received: from nsziron-2.llnl.gov ([128.115.249.82]) by nspiron-2.llnl.gov with ESMTP; 10 Jul 2008 13:08:06 -0700 X-Attachments: None X-IronPort-Anti-Spam-Filtered: true X-IronPort-Anti-Spam-Result: Ao4AAHkJdkjH1BOCmmdsb2JhbACSJgEBAQEBCAUIBxGfMgE X-IronPort-AV: E=McAfee;i="5200,2160,5336"; a="42743336" X-IronPort-AV: E=Sophos;i="4.30,340,1212390000"; d="scan'208";a="42743336" Received: from ecdow130.tor.ec.gc.ca (HELO OntExch1.ontario.int.ec.gc.ca) ([199.212.19.130]) by nsziron-2.llnl.gov with ESMTP; 10 Jul 2008 13:07:46 -0700 Received: from OntExch3.ontario.int.ec.gc.ca ([142.97.202.217]) by OntExch1.ontario.int.ec.gc.ca with Microsoft SMTPSVC(6.0.3790.3959); Thu, 10 Jul 2008 16:07:45 -0400 Content-class: urn:content-classes:message MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft Exchange V6.5 Subject: RE: [Fwd: JOC-08-0098.R1 - Decision on Manuscript] Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2008 16:07:45 -0400 Message-ID: In-Reply-To: X-MS-Has-Attach: X-MS-TNEF-Correlator: Thread-Topic: [Fwd: JOC-08-0098.R1 - Decision on Manuscript] Thread-Index: Acjiw9lJw91pKfupQQOFEbAg5s2/SgAAHtnA References: From: "Zwiers,Francis [Ontario]" To: X-OriginalArrivalTime: 10 Jul 2008 20:07:45.0611 (UTC) FILETIME=[9E3BB9B0:01C8E2C8] Hi Ben, sure, that would be fine. Cheers, Francis Francis Zwiers Director, Climate Research Division, Environment Canada 4905 Dufferin St., Toronto, Ont. M3H 5T4 Phone: 416 739 4767, Fax 416 739 5700 -----Original Message----- From: Ben Santer Sent: July 10, 2008 3:33 PM To: Zwiers,Francis [Ontario] Subject: Re: [Fwd: JOC-08-0098.R1 - Decision on Manuscript] Dear Francis, Thanks - this information will be extremely helpful in responding to Reviewer 2. I really do feel that the Reviewer is getting overly exercised about a relatively minor technical point. As you note, the key issue is that, in terms of the statistical significance testing, we are making it easier to get a "Douglass-like" result by using an AR-1 model for calculating the adjusted standard errors. I'm concerned that going down the road proposed by Reviewer 2 could leave us open to unjustified criticism. It would be a shame if Douglass et al. argued (erroneously) that our failure to find significant differences between modelled and observed trends was spurious, and arose primarily from use of higher-order autoregressive models for calculating the adjusted standard errors. Would it be o.k. to share your email with Glenn McGregor and with my other coauthors on the paper? Since you've looked at these issues in detail in your previous papers with Thiebaux and with Hans, your comments would be very useful background information for Glenn. With best regards, Ben Zwiers,Francis [Ontario] wrote: > Hi Ben, > > Sorry the 2nd reviewer is being a pain. As you say, there is already > quite a bit of literature on dealing with dependence in tests of the > mean (and this referree would have been critical if this paper had > gone over that ground again :)). > > Regardless, you might be interested in the attached papers. Both > contain relevant information and might help to formulate a response to > the editor. > > Thiebaux and Zwiers show that the equivalent sample size is hard to > estimate well, particularly from small samples. The approach proposed > by the reviewer is what we termed the "ARMA" method, and it produces > equivalent sample size estimates that have unacceptably large RMSE's > when the sample is small, even when the time series in question is not > very persistent (see Table 6). > > Zwiers and von Storch show the performance of an estimator of > equivalent sample size using the approach you use (i.e., assume the > data are AR(1)). They show that the equivalent sample size tends to be > over-estimated (Table 1) particularly when samples are small, and that > the corresponding t-test tends to operate at significance levels above > the nominal level (i.e., rejects too frequently - Table 2). So using > such a test in effect gives those who would like to reject the null > hypothesis a small leg up. > > Directly comparable results are not shown in the two papers, but you > can infer, from the comparison between equivalent sample size results > (Table > 6 in TZ, Table 2 in ZvS) that the "ARMA" approach for estimating > equivalent sample size would be much less reliable than the approach > that you are using (and thus, the sampled series would have to be very > far from being AR(1) for the ARMA approach to be beneficial). The > absolute key is to keep things as parsimonius as possible - there is > simply not enough data to entertain complex models of the > auto-covariance structure. > > Cheers, Francis > > > Francis Zwiers > Director, Climate Research Division, Environment Canada > 4905 Dufferin St., Toronto, Ont. M3H 5T4 > Phone: 416 739 4767, Fax 416 739 5700 > > -----Original Message----- > From: Ben Santer > Sent: July 10, 2008 1:47 PM > To: Thorne, Peter; Leopold Haimberger; Karl Taylor; Tom Wigley; John > Lanzante; ssolomon@frii.com; Melissa Free; peter gleckler; 'Philip D. > Jones'; Thomas R Karl; Steve Klein; carl mears; Doug Nychka; Gavin > Schmidt; Steven Sherwood; Frank Wentz > Subject: [Fwd: JOC-08-0098.R1 - Decision on Manuscript] > > Dear folks, > > I just returned from my trip to Australia - I had a great time there. > Now (sadly) it's back to the reality of Douglass et al. I'm forwarding > the second set of comments from the two Reviewers. As you'll see, > Reviewer 1 was very happy with the revisions we've made to the paper. > Reviewer 2 was somewhat crankier. The good news is that the editor > (Glenn McGregor) will not send the paper back to Reviewer 2, and is > requesting only minor changes in response to the Reviewer's comments. > > Once again, Reviewer 2 gets hung up on the issue of fitting > higher-order autoregressive models to the temperature time series used in our paper. > As noted in our response to the Reviewer, this is a relatively minor > technical point. The main point is that we include an estimate of the > standard error of the observed trend. DCPS07 do not, which is the main > error in their analysis. > > In calculating modeled and observed standard errors, we assume an AR-1 > model of the regression residuals. This assumption is not unreasonable > for many meteorological time series. We and others have made it in a > number of previous studies. > > Reviewer 2 would have liked us to fit higher-order autoregressive > models to the T2, T2LT, and TS-T2LT time series. This is a difficult > business, particularly given the relatively short length of the time > series available here. There is no easy way to reliably estimate the > parameters of higher-order AR models from 20 to 30 years of data. The > same applies to reliable estimation of the spectral density at > frequency zero (since we have only 2-3 independent samples for > estimating the spectral density at frequency zero). Reviewer 2's > comments are not particularly relevant to the specific problem we are dealing with here. > > It's also worth mentioning that use of higher-order AR models for > estimating trend standard errors would likely lead to SMALLER > effective sample sizes and LARGER standard errors, thus making it even > more difficult to find significant differences between modelled and > observed trends! Our use of an AR-1 model makes it easier for us to > obtain "DCPS07-like" results, and to find significant differences > between modelled and observed trends. DCPS cannot claim, therefore, > that our test somehow stacks the deck in favor of obtaining a > non-significance trend difference - which they might claim if we used > a > (poorly-constrained) higher-order AR model for estimating standard > errors. > > The Reviewer does not want to "see the method proposed in this paper > become established as the default method of estimating standard errors > in climatological time series". We do not claim universal > applicability of our approach. There may well be circumstances in > which it is more appropriate to use higher-order AR models in estimating standard errors. > > I'd be happy to make a statement to this effect in the revised paper. > > I have to confess that I was a little ticked off by Reviewer 2's > comments. The bit about "wilfully ignoring" time series literature was > uncalled for. Together with my former MPI colleague Wolfgang > Brueggemann, I've fooled around with a lot of different methods of > estimating standard errors, in both the time domain and frequency > domain. One could write a whole paper on this subject alone. Such a > paper would not help us to expose the statistical deficiencies in > DCPS07. Nor would in-depth exploration of this issue lead to the > shorter paper requested by the Reviewer. > > It should take me a few days to revise the paper and draft a response > to Reviewer 2's comments. I'll send you the revised paper and draft > response early next week. Slowly but surely, we are getting there! > > With best regards, > > Ben > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > -- > ---- > Benjamin D. Santer > Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison Lawrence > Livermore National Laboratory P.O. Box 808, Mail Stop L-103 Livermore, > CA 94550, U.S.A. > Tel: (925) 422-3840 > FAX: (925) 422-7675 > email: santer1@llnl.gov > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > -- > ---- > -- ------------------------------------------------------------------------ ---- Benjamin D. Santer Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory P.O. Box 808, Mail Stop L-103 Livermore, CA 94550, U.S.A. Tel: (925) 422-3840 FAX: (925) 422-7675 email: santer1@llnl.gov ------------------------------------------------------------------------ ----


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Good' [SigDems] Luis Miranda, Communications Director Democratic National Committee 202-863-8148 – MirandaL@dnc.org - @MiraLuisDC From: Walsh, Tom Sent: Wednesday, May 11, 2016 10:04 AM To: Paustenbach, Mark; Miranda, Luis; Walker, Eric Subject: RE: COMMS Review: Trump's Tax Plan Remains Reckless and Dangerous Some edits From: Paustenbach, Mark Sent: Wednesday, May 11, 2016 9:51 AM To: Miranda, Luis; Walker, Eric; Walsh, Tom Subject: COMMS Review: Trump's Tax Plan Remains Reckless and Dangerous Importance: High SL: Trump's Tax Plan Remains Reckless and Dangerous Today it was reported that Donald Trump was taking suggestions from right-wing conservative commentators on how to alter his tax plan. DNC National Press Secretary Mark Paustenbach issued the following statement: "Look past the spin and political double-speak and it's easy to see that Donald Trump's tax plan remains the is the same failed idea peddled by and even more reckless than what was proposed Paul Ryan and Republicans in Congress – just more reckless. Trump's tax plan is built on the same failed foundation of rewards those at the top by slashing the top income tax rate, which that would give the top 0.1% of income earners like himself an average tax cut of more than $1 million. It's clear that when Trump wins, hard-working families inevitably lose."


Anybody know about a deposit into the Jedi 1 bank account (#3750469150) in the amount of 3,250.00 yesterday -- 5/8/01? Thanks, Susan Rance Enron North America susan.rance@enron.com (713)345-3774


On Thu, 4 Jan 2007, Caspar Ammann wrote: > check figure A9, there the 17th century is cold, and this is probably > the curve that was used. In that case, then its Central England from Lamb. Ah, you mean A9(d) (I thought you meant A9(a) for a bit). Yes, that looks pretty similar to IPCC 1990. Though not identical - the scaling is different, but the timing is similar. -W. > Caspar > > > William M Connolley wrote: > > On Thu, 4 Jan 2007, Phil Jones wrote: > > > >> The net is closing... > >> > >> National Research Council, US Committee for the Global Atmospheric > >> Research Program, Understanding Climatic Change: A Program for Action, > >> National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC, (1975), appendix A. > >> > >> This book (Fig A2b) has the same figure as Imbrie/Imbrie. It is rotated. > >> It also has the same concept of the IPCC 1990 Figure, changes on > >> various timescales - all rotated. Loads of Lamb diagrams I have > >> seen countless times before. > >> > > > > ? The source for IPCC can't be the 1975 NAS report. That fig is relatively warm > > about 1600; the IPCC '90 figure is cold then. And as noted the "MWP" is colder > > than 1950. But NAS 75 is the same as I+I, true (they both source to Lamb 69). > > > > Incidentally my I+I says copyright 1979, seventh printing 1998. > > > > -W. > > > > William M Connolley | wmc@bas.ac.uk |  > > Climate Modeller, British Antarctic Survey | (01223) 221479 > > > > -- > > This message (and any attachments) is for the recipient only. NERC is subject > > to the Freedom of Information Act 2000 and the contents of this email and any > > reply you make may be disclosed by NERC unless it is exempt from release under > > the Act. Any material supplied to NERC may be stored in an electronic > > records management system. > > > > > > > > -- > Caspar M. Ammann > National Center for Atmospheric Research > Climate and Global Dynamics Division - Paleoclimatology > 1850 Table Mesa Drive > Boulder, CO 80307-3000 > email: ammann@ucar.edu tel: 303-497-1705 fax: 303-497-1348 > William M Connolley | wmc@bas.ac.uk |  Climate Modeller, British Antarctic Survey | (01223) 221479 -- This message (and any attachments) is for the recipient only. NERC is subject to the Freedom of Information Act 2000 and the contents of this email and any reply you make may be disclosed by NERC unless it is exempt from release under the Act. Any material supplied to NERC may be stored in an electronic records management system.


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2016 CashFlow Report Month-to-date (FEC Report) Day Convention Digital Direct Marketing Finance State Party Store Total Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised 1 1 $600 1,096 $25,448 144 $23,113 11 $2,339,800 19 $1,030 3 $100 1,274 $2,390,092 2 520 $12,202 30 $1,305 1 $100 18 $2,715 9 $313 578 $16,634 3 470 $10,601 28 $3,857 10 $1,230 2 $35 510 $15,723 4 450 $10,294 1,727 $103,212 7 $15,850 163 $9,645 2,347 $139,000 5 426 $9,236 5,083 $201,412 9 $3,450 159 $10,836 3 $40 5,680 $224,975 6 1,030 $25,395 2,646 $106,639 16 $89,200 493 $25,340 7 $120 4,192 $246,693 7 2 $6,600 671 $14,036 2,378 $126,094 8 $93,450 465 $24,304 4 $220 3,528 $264,704 8 1 $16,600 767 $18,264 1,174 $56,549 23 $89,260 491 $34,065 3 $99 2,459 $214,836 9 610 $13,135 33 $1,740 1 $150 5 $450 4 $110 653 $15,585 10 777 $21,180 23 $1,750 3 $2,950 7 $640 6 $130 816 $26,650 11 1 $33,400 1,018 $24,904 1,836 $109,393 16 $390,950 556 $27,131 8 $275 3,435 $586,053 12 1 $20 960 $24,428 5,100 $255,230 12 $12,660 513 $28,616 3 $45 6,589 $320,998 13 884 $19,342 5,517 $281,906 7 $6,460 363 $19,372 4 $117 6,775 $327,196 14 844 $17,988 2,467 $113,902 4 $44,000 220 $15,105 4 $120 3,539 $191,114 15 993 $22,346 1,325 $70,978 5 $17,950 1,249 $58,689 3 $122 3,575 $170,085 16 670 $14,326 33 $1,558 11 $2,083 3 $85 717 $18,052 17 974 $23,028 26 $1,345 6 $2,150 9 $1,045 5 $150 1,020 $27,718 18 791 $16,107 2,288 $138,648 11 $14,630 862 $42,350 5 $185 3,957 $211,920 19 629 $14,834 5,044 $294,654 5 $10,000 560 $28,941 7 $155 6,245 $348,584 20 1 $66,800 516 $11,670 15,596 $337,421 9 $79,450 765 $38,482 3 $72 16,890 $533,895 21 577 $12,709 1,037 $52,044 9 $78,450 241 $12,723 3 $75 1,867 $156,000 22 507 $10,831 1,619 $88,550 16 $4,660 289 $14,455 3 $156 2,434 $118,652 23 791 $18,224 115 $5,762 3 $675 5 $225 6 $225 920 $25,111 24 549 $9,847 50 $1,861 6 $2,400 2 $75 1 $15 608 $14,197 25 566 $12,599 1,712 $80,663 16 $6,020 910 $46,487 3 $95 3,207 $145,864 26 4,260 $196,501 351 $18,552 4,611 $215,053 27 1 $1,000 1 $1,000 Total 7 $124,020 18,086 $412,972 61,291 $2,656,086 216 $3,307,748 8,728 $462,588 99 $2,971 88,427 $6,966,385 Year-to-Date Month Convention Digital Direct Marketing Finance Other Recount State Party Store Total Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised Contributions Raised 1 4 $206,800 40,080 $1,010,943 47,343 $2,473,907 116 $2,158,627 2 $44,208 750 $48,554 276 $10,185 88,571 $5,953,223 2 11 $395,239 45,072 $1,028,923 74,388 $3,137,659 147 $3,382,504 2 $200,400 1,659 $82,197 194 $6,094 121,473 $8,233,016 3 10 $287,763 41,676 $995,043 71,481 $3,096,652 203 $3,626,030 2 $66,529 1 $45,000 18,434 $948,278 237 $5,368 132,044 $9,070,663 4 7 $124,020 18,086 $412,972 61,291 $2,656,086 216 $3,307,748 8,728 $462,588 99 $2,971 88,427 $6,966,385 Total 32 $1,013,823 144,914 $3,447,881 254,503 $11,364,304 682 $12,474,909 4 $110,737 3 $245,400 29,571 $1,541,618 806 $24,617 430,515 $30,223,287 _____ Please note that this report is for internal use only. Please DO NOT distribute. *The dates in this report reflect when the contributions were reported in NGP. The numbers may fluctuate based on whether a transaction settles. This report excludes contributions marked as refunded contributions, chargebacks and in-kind contributions. If you have any questions, please contact Matt Johnson at JohnsonM@dnc.org _____ The report is accessible at the following address: rLanguage=en-US


You are not helping!!! - TP


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thanks Phil, yeah, I figured we mights as well wait until all contributions have been received before going over the full text and making necessary revisions... off to Oregon now. talk to you later, mike Phil Jones wrote: Mike, Thanks for the paper. Gene wrote that bit. I'll flag it for modifying at my next draft - when I get a chance to add the refs in. Likely the weekend. May have got some other responses by then. Cheers Phil At 15:49 30/05/2007, you wrote: Hi Phil, Off travelling again, will check in when I return next week on status of Perugia (arggh!). Papers is looking good. I've attached draft of Mann et al (2007) which should have the references you're looking for. Please don't distribute, we'd like to wait until galleys are available to begin distributing the paper. One small thing, this statement at end of 1st paragraph on page 18 in the draft didn't seem appropriate: The question of whether the proxies used by MBH98 were themselves subject to amplitude limitations is not the focus of this section, and is examined in Section 2 above. These issues are implicit in section 2, but have nothing to do w/ MBH98 specificially. As written this is misleading/confusing, and I don't think it adds anything. Phil Jones wrote: Dear All, There has been some progress. I have contributions from Gene and Gavin. Keith (2.3) and Tim (3) here in CRU tell me they are working on their parts. Francis (5) also tells me he has also started. Tas told me about 6 weeks ago he would finish the ice core part (section 2.3) shortly. So we are getting there. I still need input from Caspar (section 4), Nick (section 2.6), Peck (section 2.5). I have added in the section names of the missing sections to help you all along. Also need people to begin reading through the whole paper, but this is premature yet. I saw Thorsten at the EGU and he emailed recently saying that Larry (EPRI) is keen to see this submitted soon. Remember it was through PAGES and EPRI support that we had such a great few days in Wengen almost a year ago! If we all put some effort in over June we could be there. Can Gene and Gavin send me their references when they have a few minutes. I suspect most will be in Mann et al. (2007), so if I can get that I can add them in. I won't pass this on to any others. Cheers Phil Prof. Phil Jones Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090 School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784 University of East Anglia Norwich Email [1]p.jones@uea.ac.uk NR4 7TJ UK ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -- Michael E. Mann Associate Professor Director, Earth System Science Center (ESSC) Department of Meteorology Phone: (814) 863-4075 503 Walker Building FAX: (814) 865-3663 The Pennsylvania State University email: [2]mann@psu.edu University Park, PA 16802-5013 [3] Prof. Phil Jones Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090 School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784 University of East Anglia Norwich Email [4]p.jones@uea.ac.uk NR4 7TJ UK ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -- Michael E. Mann Associate Professor Director, Earth System Science Center (ESSC) Department of Meteorology Phone: (814) 863-4075 503 Walker Building FAX: (814) 865-3663 The Pennsylvania State University email: [5]mann@psu.edu University Park, PA 16802-5013 [6] References 1. mailto:p.jones@uea.ac.uk 2. mailto:mann@psu.edu 3.  4. mailto:p.jones@uea.ac.uk 5. mailto:mann@psu.edu 6.


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after the break Sent from my iPhone


Mike your words are a real boost to me at the moment. I found myself questioning the whole process and being often frustrated at the formulaic way things had to be done - often wasting time and going down dead ends. I really thank you for taking the time to say these kind words . I tried hard to balance the needs of the science and the IPCC , which were not always the same. I worried that you might think I gave the impression of not supporting you well enough while trying to report on the issues and uncertainties . Much had to be removed and I was particularly unhappy that I could not get the statement into the SPM regarding the AR4 reinforcement of the results and conclusions of the TAR. I tried my best but we were basically railroaded by Susan. I am happy to pass the mantle on to someone else next time. I feel I have basically produced nothing original or substantive of my own since this whole process started. I am at this moment , having to work on the ENV submission to the forthcoming UK Research Assessment exercise , again instead of actually doing some useful research ! Anyway thanks again Mike.... really appreciated when it comes from you very best wishes Keith Keith At 18:14 29/04/2007, you wrote: Keith, just a quick note to let you know I've had a chance to read over the key bits on last millennium in the final version of the chapter, and I think you did a great job. obviously, this was one of the most (if not the most) contentious areas in the entire report, and you found a way to (in my view) convey the the science accurately, but in a way that I believe will be immune to criticisms of bias or neglect--you dealt w/ all of the controversies, but in a very even-handed and fair way. bravo! I hope you have an opportunity to relax a bit now. looking forward to buying you a beer next time we have an opportunity :) mike -- Michael E. Mann Associate Professor Director, Earth System Science Center (ESSC) Department of Meteorology Phone: (814) 863-4075 503 Walker Building FAX: (814) 865-3663 The Pennsylvania State University email: mann@psu.edu University Park, PA 16802-5013 [1] -- Professor Keith Briffa, Climatic Research Unit University of East Anglia Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K. Phone: +44-1603-593909 Fax: +44-1603-507784 [2] References 1.  2.


Yes, I will be calling Martin and Kevin today. I think it's best to keep it as close to the vest as possible. I don't want to upset anyone and certainly all are being considered. The next time anyone asks anything, please feel free to suggest to them that they call me directly. Thanks a lot. Audrey Cullen Davis FIRST CALL ASSOCIATES, INC. (860) 693-4122 (New telephone number) (860) 693-4118 Fax (860) 670-1387 Cell ACullen@FirstCallAssociates.com -----Original Message----- From: Donohoe, Tom Sent: Tuesday, November 27, 2001 11:28 AM To: Audrey Cullen Davis Subject: Audrey, Martin, Jason, and Kevin were asking the status on the Sempra deal. Are you going to call them and discuss what is going on? I am not sure what to say. Tom Donohoe ********************************************************************** This e-mail is the property of Enron Corp. and/or its relevant affiliate and may contain confidential and privileged material for the sole use of the intended recipient (s). Any review, use, distribution or disclosure by others is strictly prohibited. If you are not the intended recipient (or authorized to receive for the recipient), please contact the sender or reply to Enron Corp. at enron.messaging.administration@enron.com and delete all copies of the message. This e-mail (and any attachments hereto) are not intended to be an offer (or an acceptance) and do not create or evidence a binding and enforceable contract between Enron Corp. (or any of its affiliates) and the intended recipient or any other party, and may not be relied on by anyone as the basis of a contract by estoppel or otherwise. Thank you. **********************************************************************


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NSM Regional Leader Dan Hill along with troops from NSM MI. and NSM OH. show up in Kalamazoo apart from the main Rally to directly face communists, anarchists, homosexuals, and other filth. Action report from the frontlines coming soon! Pictures below, note all the NSM and Nukeisrael shirts, this was a non-uniformed event. NSM MI. also sponsored their annual Summer BBQ after the rally. Gear up now for Omaha, Sept. 1st, it will be a big one! Below news story from:  WZZM13 ONLINE - ABC TELEVISON for ALL OF WEST MICHIGAN Kalamazoo Rally Ends Peacefully E-Photo by Mike Powers E-Photo by Mike Powers E-Photo by Mike Powers Increase Type Size Decrease Type Size Sarah Sell Created: 8/4/2007 4:13:46 PM Updated: 8/4/2007 6:41:56 PM Protestors clashed with White Supremists at a rally held in Kalamazoo. But, thanks to a heavy police presence, it ended peacefully.The Kalamazoo Public Safety Department says it learned from other cities like Toledo, Ohio, where riots broke out in 2005. That when a Neo-Nazi group clashed with neighbors in a predominately black neighborhood. Kalamazoo Public Safety Department Captain Joseph Taylor says, "We've learned, as did Toledo from their experience. Lansing had a similar police presence."In Kalamazoo, the rally was held in the parking lot of the Public Safety Department. The White Supremist group was led by talk show host Hal Turner. The group says the demonstration is in response to recent assaults in the city. The group called them hate crimes. "Several of them were Minorities assaulting Caucasians, it was a mix. They've taken that and blown it into being a racist, ethnic intimidation case, which we have no evidence of", says Capt. Taylor.Dan Hill, a White Supremist who was not part of the group holding the event says, "We're just here to support the message that Kalamazoo, the city, and police force have to put a stop to these hate crimes."One of the protestors, Walter Jones says, "I went to Vietnam. I got shot three times. Then I'm going to let these guys come into town. Nah, it's not right."The White Supremist group finished their rally and left the city without any major problems.The City of Kalamazoo says it does not support the message the group was trying to send, but they did have to issue the group a permit based on the First Amendment. The Right to Assemble and The Freedom of Speech. Puzzles, trivia teasers, word scrambles and more. Play for your chance to win!


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Your New Daily Edition If you are unable to see the message below, click here to view it in a browser.         CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S EDITION Catching Fire, Frozen to Continue Battle Atop B.O. New gritty thriller Out of the Furnace no match for Hunger Games sequel, animated pic X-Men: Apocalypse Gets May 27, 2016 Release Date Singer, Kinberg, Shuler Donner expected to return to produce next franchise installment Sundance Film Festival Unveils 2014 Sidebar Lineups Pics from Ayoade, Jarmusch, Knight, others to be featured at 30th annual Park City event Writers Guild Awards: Breaking Bad Tops TV Noms Orange, House of Cards, Ray Donovan, Americans among new series to score mentions Human Rights Leader Nelson Mandela Di


Also, I saw Eric Bennett sent around an article that basically said that Cruz was also changing his positions depending on calculations on what plays, nat. Security, tax code etc. On Apr 24, 2016, at 12:23 PM, Miranda, Luis > wrote: Hi Shu-Yen, I didn't see anything worth highlighting or hitting, did you? Mark, I am not sure there was any good clean hit from this morning with DWS. Anything you would cut out and highlight? Sent via the Samsung GALAXY S®4, an AT&T 4G LTE smartphone


Re: Mosko's Calls a/o end of day Mon 4/21 Update Sent on the runÂ On Apr 21, 2014, at 6:59 PM, "Kanner, Fayanne" wrote: OUT CALLS, 04/17/14 06:50 PM, Craig Hunegs/WB, (Mobile) (310) 849-3349, CALL at 12:30pm Friday 4/18 IN CALLS, 04/21/14 06:28 PM, Amy Pascal, (Business) (310) 244-6300, pls call IN CALLS, 04/21/14 04:55 PM, Weiser, (Mobile) (310) 344-4446, pls call IN CALLS, 04/21/14 12:05 PM, Keith LeGoy, (Mobile


Spoke with Kate and Max about this. Can I send to research so that we can blast to our list as well? From: Florida Democratic Party Sent: Friday, April 29, 2016 3:27 PM To: Florida Democratic Party Subject: FDP Statement On Bob Sutton's Refusal to Resign FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 29, 2016 CONTACT: Max Steele (850) 222-3411 press@fladems.com FDP Statement On Bob Sutton's Refusal to Resign Tallahassee, FL - Today, Florida Democratic Party Executive Director Scott Arceneaux released the following statement regarding Broward GOP Chairman Bob Sutton's feeble apology for making vile, sexist comments and his refusal to do the right thing and resign immediately: "Bob Sutton's half-hearted apology does not absolve him of taking full responsibility for his actions. Sadly, his comments were only the latest in a series of misogynistic, degrading remarks that he's made about women. Surely everyone can agree that this is not the type of example a public school teacher should be setting. "At this point an apology won't cut it. It's time for Sutton to resign. The Republican Party of Florida and the Republican National Committee share in the blame for tolerating this type of embarrassing behavior. Sutton can't help himself and the Party of Trump is willing to enable him. This just shows that the Republican Party remains all talk and no action when it comes to reaching out to women and minorities." ###


WiseGuide Newsletter | Stephen S. Wise Temple Click here to view the web version. UPCOMING EVENTS Shanah Tovah U'Metukah – Wishing You a Sweet New Year! We are so grateful to all of our wonderful members who have committed to joining us for the New Year 5775. We are excited about the year ahead, made all the more joyful by your presence and connection to Wise. On behalf of our Clergy, School Administrators, and Temple Administration, may the year ahead be filled with an abundance of blessings – for you and those you love, for Israel and the Jewish people, for Stephen Wise Temple, for the world that is so in need of blessings – health, happiness, challenges worthy of our gifts and abilities, fulfillment, and peace! Contact Streaming High Holy Days Services Online While we hope that every member of our congregation is able to join us in person for our High Holy Days services, we also know this is not the reality – whether due to illness or other unforeseen circumstances. If you are unable to be here, we want to offer you an opportunity to still participate in our High Holy Days services streamed on the Internet for your convenience. Visit WiseLA.org/live to view our services streamed live, beginning at our Erev Rosh Hashanah Services and on Rosh Hashanah Day or click on the Info button below at the start of the desired service. Click here to view the service times for the Sanctuary at Stephen Wise Temple. Info | Contact E-Tickets for Yom Kippur Coming Soon! If you have completed your High Holy Days ticket request via our Wise Connect online system, you will receive your Yom Kippur tickets by e-mail this Monday, September 29. If you did not use Wise Connect to order your tickets, they were sent to you in the mail last week. If, for some reason, you do not receive your e-tickets, please check your spam filter, and if you still did not receive an e-mail from Membership@WiseLA.org, please contact us. There is still time to request your tickets if you haven't already. Please log in to Wise Connect with the username and password we provided you or call 310.889.2394 and we can help you over the phone. We look forward to seeing you at the High Holy Days! Info | Contact Tashlich at the Beach Sunday, September 28 | 3 p.m. Santa Monica Beach, Parking Lot 5, Lifeguard Station 26 2600 Barnard Way, Santa Monica Join together with our Wise community, Clergy, and administrators for the beautiful Jewish ritual of Tashlich, an uplifting gathering of song and inspiration by the seashore. Feel free to bring family and friends. Contact In The News Rabbi Eli Herscher is featured in a very timely article on Forward.com. Read what he has to say about the Do's and Don'ts of Going to Synagogue Only on High Holidays. Click on the link below. Info | Contact The Center for Jewish Life of Stephen Wise Temple is pleased to partner with the Shalom Hartman Institute of North America for the Westside Collaborative Lecture Series. We have arranged for members of our congregation to register for this series at no cost. The series is called: Inside, Outside, In Between: Jewish Peoplehood Today. Rabbi Dr. Donniel Hartman Sunday, November 2, 2014 At Sinai Temple Dr. Yehuda Kurtzer Sunday, December 14, 2014 At Temple Emanuel of Beverly Hills Dr. Elana Stein Hain Sunday, January 11, 2015 At Temple Isaiah Dr. Micah Goodman Sunday, February 8, 2015 At Stephen Wise Temple Yossi Klein Halevi Sunday, March 8, 2015 At B'nai David-Judea Rabbi Lauren Berkun Sunday, April 19, 2015 At Beth Am Register | Contact Watch Rabbi Herscher's Elul Shabbat Sermon Online If you missed Rabbi Eli Herscher's Elul Shabbat sermon last Friday night on "Repentance: Do We Demand Too Little of Ourselves - or Too Much?", or if you want to watch it again, click the "Info" button below. Info | Contact MAZAL TOVS To our B'nai Mitzvah: Wishing you a future filled with joy and blessings. May the Torah guide and inspire you every day of your adult life. Mazal tov to: Azadeh and Shahab Binafard and family on the Bar Mitzvah of their son, Tyler Rachel Kaganoff Stern and Eric Stern and family on the Bar Mitzvah of their son, Jonah Ken Gross and Sharon Rowe and family on the marriage of their daughter, Peggy and Barney Gross on the marriage of their granddaughter, Rachel Gross and Ben Gross on the marriage of their sister, and to Rebecca Gross and Oren Friedman on their marriage Gerald Otelsberg and family on the marriage of his daughter, Bea Fisher on the marriage of her granddaughter, and to Michelle Otelsberg and Eric Massi on their marriage Marla and Arash Raminfar and family on the birth of their son, and to Addison on the birth of her brother, Benjamin Ryan Shayda Naeim and Alex Morazadeh and families on their marriage We would like to hear about the simchas in your life. If you or someone you know has recently had a baby, wedding, engagement, or any other simcha, our Clergy and community would like to share in it with you. Click here to inform us or email Clergy@WiseLA.org. TRIBUTES We honor people through charitable giving. RABBIS' DISCRETIONARY FUND IN HONOR OF: the marriage of their daughter Rebecca Gross to Oren Friedman, by Sharon Rowe and Ken Gross the bar mitzvah of their grandson Gabriel, by Lynn and Bruce Kaufman the marriage of their son Steven Gurvitz to Sasha Campbell, by Gloria and Ron Gurvitz IN MEMORY OF: Stuart Marylander, by Judith Marylander Maxine Goodman Levin and Freda Cohen Farber, by Ruth and Marvin Kalin Esther Segal, by Linda and Richard Adler Herschel Davis, by Ruth Davis and family Ira Harris, by Joyce and Paul Krasnow Family CANTOR'S DISCRETIONARY FUND IN HONOR OF: the bar mitzvah of their grandson Gabriel, by Lynn and Bruce Kaufman METUKA BENJAMIN SCHOLARSHIP FUND IN MEMORY OF: Allan Freeman, by Heidi and Albert Praw SOCIAL JUSTICE FUND IN MEMORY OF: Ruth Nudelman, by Nancy Norris SAM DUBMAN SOVA FUND IN HONOR OF: Bea Dubman on her 95th birthday, by Ruth and Arnold Colman, Nancy Colman, Wendy, Barry, Brandon and Brooke Levin IN MEMORY OF: Sam Dubman, by Bea Dubman SOL AND ESTHER SMITH LIBRARY FUND IN MEMORY OF: Sol Smith, by Marcia, Mark J., Alex, and Amanda Smith SUMMER CAMP SCHOLARSHIP FUND IN MEMORY OF: Mollie Berman and Harry Berman, by Linda and Jeff Linden Irving Kaplan, the Kaplan Girls LESLIE SHELDON ZOLA SCIENCE SCHOLARHSIP FUND IN MEMORY OF: Betty Eichelbaum, by Shelia Burman and Dick Laurence David Siegal, by Shelia Burman and Dick Laurence YAHRZEIT FUND IN MEMORY OF: Florence Donner, by Michael Donner Sol Smith, by Carolynne and Ze'ev Drori Herschel Davis, by Carol and Howard Rosen Herbert Pearlson, by Nina Leung and Bryan Leung Arnold Bierman, by the Gad Family Robert Resnick, by Carol Sookman Anna Williams, by Sunny Caine THANK YOU We appreciate our wonderful Nosh Volunteers and Greeters. Thank you for making Shabbat a welcoming experience for all! Norma Cooper Susan Firestone Peggy Wehrle New Member Basket Volunteers: Joyce Anderson Marita Anderson Holly Binafard Claudia Brown Susan Firestone Julie Hartstein Corie Koss Alison Kronenberg AnnDee Levy Orly Raz Genene Turndorf Annual Campaign Volunteers: Ronni Epstein Susan Firestone Carol Gray Ginny Kahn Shelly Levy Marilyn Schwadron Phil Sniderman Peggy Wehrle This Week's Torah Portion Ha'azinu Shabbat Services for Friday, September 26 - Saturday, September 27 Friday, September 26: 6:15 p.m. | Shabbat Service | Rabbi Ron Stern and Cantorial Intern, Sarah Zerbib-Berda | Rabbi Stern's sermon topic is entitled: "Shabbat Shuva--Returning to the Self that We Can Be" | Plotkin Chapel Saturday, September 27: 10 a.m. | Shabbat Morning Minyan | Dennis Prager and Cantorial Intern, Sarah Zerbib-Berda | Hershenson Hall Contact Clergy Yom Kippur Services for Friday, October 3 - Friday, October 4 Friday, October 3: Various times | Erev Yom Kippur Services | Multiple Venues | Click here for service schedule. Saturday, October 4: Various times | Yom Kippur Day Services | Multiple Venues | Click here for service schedule. Contact Clergy Live Streaming for our Shabbat Service on the Web If you or someone you know is home-bound, unable to travel to our campus, or if you are unable to attend services, visit WiseLA.org/Live to watch our Friday evening Shabbat Services. Streaming is available on all computers, as well as supported mobile devices, including iPhones and iPads. We look forward to sharing Shabbat with you – both in person and over the web! SCHOOL CALENDARS Early Childhood Calendar | Contact K-6 Calendar | Contact Wise Parent Association Calendar | Contact CONNECT Phone: 310.476.8561 Web: WiseLA.org Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Send us an Email If your spouse or partner (or someone else you know) would like to be added to the WiseGuide weekly email list, or if you wish to inform us about a lifecycle event, email WiseGuide@WiseLA.org. L'Shanah Tovah U'Metukah - Have a Happy and Sweet New Year! This message was sent to leah_weil@spe.sony.com from: WiseGuide | WiseGuide@wisela.org | Stephen S. Wise Temple | 15500 Stephen S. Wise Drive | Los Angeles, CA 90077 Email Marketing by Manage Your Subscription ----boundary-LibPST-iamunique-1224682741_-_---


May 6, 2016 Contact: Drew Hammill/Evangeline George 202-226-7616 Pelosi Statement on Conclusion of Bipartisan Congressional Delegation Visit to Chile Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi and Members of the Congressional delegation meet with the President of Chile Michelle Bachelet. Santiago, Chile – Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi today released the following statement after the bipartisan Congressional delegation concluded final meetings in Santiago with President of Chile Michelle Bachelet; Minister of Energy Máximo Pacheco; Deputy Foreign Minister Edgardo Riveros; Senate President Ricardo Lagos Weber; Chamber of Deputies President Osvaldo Andrade; and members of civil society. "Our visit to Chile was distinguished by an emphasis on human rights and climate change in addition to security and trade. "Upon arrival, we traveled to El Paraiso for a joint meeting with the President of the Senate, Ricardo Lagos and President of the Chamber of Deputies, Osvaldo Andrade, which focused on Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), reducing income inequality, and advancing human rights. Both presidents made the point that domestic decisions related to the workforce were critical to raising income, not just advancing trade agreements. Our inter-parliamentary dialogue continued over a dinner hosted by President Andrade with Members of the Chamber of Deputies. "On Thursday, following our country team briefing, we met with members of civil society, including labor, trade, environmental, LGBT and women's rights leaders who shared their views regarding Chile's efforts to tackle inequality and discrimination. These leaders also shared their views on the possible impact of the TPP on workers, the environment, and the indigenous communities in Chile. We then proceeded to a meeting with American Chamber of Commerce representatives to continue discussing the TPP's impact and the business climate in Chile. "We then engaged in a security and TPP-focused discussion with Members of President Bachelet's government, including Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs Edgardo Riveros and his colleagues. Later in the afternoon, we had a particularly enlightening meeting with the Minister of Energy Máximo Pacheco, who provided an impressive description of the work Chile is doing to confront the threatening issue of climate change, to reduce dependence on carbon and fossil fuels, and to implement its COP-21 commitment. "It was an honor for our bipartisan delegation to be hosted at La Moneda by President of Chile, Michelle Bachelet. We discussed bilateral and multilateral efforts to strengthen global security, civility and economic growth, and raise labor and environmental standards in the context of the TPP. The delegation thanks President Bachelet for Chile's cooperation, friendship, and commitment to advancing our shared values. We also appreciated hearing her thoughts on how Chile has moved from the suffering of the past to the prospects of the future. "Before meeting with President Bachelet, the delegation visited El Museo de la Memoria y los Derechos Humanos which served as an inspiration and a reminder that Chile has overcome the atrocities of the Pinochet era. The visit has underscored the importance of opposing human rights violations wherever they occur in the world. "We are grateful to Ambassador Michael A. Hammer and the U.S. Embassy Santiago team for their leadership and the work they do to uphold the United States' values in Chile. "We traveled to Latin America on a fact-finding mission. I want to commend Richard Hanna (R-NY), Chair of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus Linda Sánchez (D-CA) and the entire delegation for their leadership and informed participation. Our delegation engaged in an intense set of meetings that resulted in a better understanding of how to further advance relations with Mexico, Peru and Chile." # # # ________________________________ Press Release Link: DemocraticLeader.gov – Twitter – YouTube – Flickr – Facebook – The Gavel


David asked: > My wife noticed something odd. The nearly-full moon was about 30 > degrees above the horizon. There was a notable glow on the horizon, > except under the moon. The moon seemed to be in a column of darkness > that was about three times the apparent width of the moon. We could see > the column over its entire length as a strip of sky darker than the sky > around it. > > Any of you ever see this? Do you have any idea what could have caused > it? I suspect it's due to some pecularity of the visual system, but > have no clear idea. I'm surprised to not find this phenomenon in Corlis. I could have sworn I saw it there. He does have the somewhat similar dark sky between a rainbow and a secondary bow. I personally have seen a rainbow enclosing a semi-circle of darker sky. I know I've read about pillars under the Sun and Moon elsewhere, but I can't recall if they were reportedly dark or bright. I do know these sorts of things are supposed to be quirks of optics not of the visual system. I'm sorry I haven't got any answers, but a search through some books on atmospheric optics ought to turn a few hints up. Bill William Jacobs Freelance Unemployed Person ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ---------------------~--> 4 DVDs Free +s&p Join Now ---------------------------------------------------------------------~-> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: forteana-unsubscribe@egroups.com Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to


Your registered name is included to show this message originated from eBay. Learn more. Question about Item -- Respond Now eBay sent this message on behalf of an eBay member via My Messages. Responses sent using email will go to the eBay member directly and will include your email address. Click the Respond Now button below to send your response via My Messages (your email address will not be included). Question from seller Item: (6436472319) This message was sent while the listing was active. barnsley1105 is a potential buyer. Hello , I want to bid on your item. please tell me where the item will be shipped from and tell me if you accept paypal thank you and hope to hear from you soon Respond to this question in My Messages. Item Details Item number: 6436472319 End date: 13-Jan-05 12:14:12 BST View item description: htps://cgi.ebay.co.uk/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=6436472319&sspagename=ADME:B:AAQ:UK:1 Thank you for using eBay Marketplace Safety Tip Always remember to complete your transactions on eBay - it's the safer way to trade.Is this message an offer to buy your item directly through email without winning the item on eBay? If so, please help make the eBay marketplace safer by reporting it to us. These external transactions may be unsafe and are against eBay policy. Learn more about trading safely. Is this email inappropriate? Does it breach eBay policy? Help protect the community by reporting it. Learn how you can protect yourself from spoof (fake) emails at: This eBay notice was sent to canguru_usere200@yahoo.com on behalf of another eBay member through the eBay platform and in accordance with our Privacy Policy. If you would like to receive this email in text format, change your notification preferences. See our Privacy Policy and User Agreement if you have questions about eBay's communication policies.Privacy Policy: Agreement:  Copyright © 2005 eBay, Inc. All Rights Reserved.Designated trademarks and brands are the property of their respective owners.eBay and the eBay logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of eBay, Inc.


---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: NSM Network Operations Date: Mar 26, 2008 1:56 AM Subject: Good news - two new members .. help with questions needed To: Jeff Schoep Could you help answer this fellows question. I have already helped answer the basics for him ... though I think the below would be best answered by you as I honestly do not know the answers to some of the questions. He is a very polite person, intelligent ... has good values and so forth. He is a member of the NSM forum as user "MikeandSadie" ... here is the message he sent.... see highlighted text .... ---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: NSM : Official Party Forum Date: Mar 26, 2008 1:29 AM Subject: New Private Message at NSM : Official Party Forum To: operations@newsaxon.org DO NOT REPLY TO THIS EMAIL! *************************** Dear Reichsmarschall, You have received a new private message at NSM : Official Party Forum from mikeandsaddie88, entitled "Question". To read the original version, respond to, or delete this message, you must log in here: This is the message that was sent: *************** I believe that the time has come for me and my wife to join the organization...I, WE, are firm beleivers in what the party stands for..and i would like to become more involved...the question I have for you is that membership requires 2 passport photos, what size are these photos, and next do you a have a husband/wife membership, or must if be individual ? I beleive the time has come to join forces with a strong group after being lone wolfs for a very long time.....please let me know asap.. Mike *************** Again, please do not reply to this email. You must go to the following page to reply to this private message: All the best, NSM : Official Party Forum -- John NSM Director of Information Technology & Network Security The information in this email is confidential and may be legally privileged. Furthermore, the NSM is not responsible for the content of this e-mail, and anything written in this e-mail does not necessarily reflect the NSM's views or opinions. Access to this email by anyone other than the intended addressee is unauthorized. If you are not the intended recipient of this message, any review, disclosure, copying, distribution, retention, or any action taken or omitted to be taken in reliance on it is prohibited and may be unlawful. If you have received this mail in error, please destroy the copy in your possession and notify: merlin (at) newsaxon.org -- Commander Jeff Schoep "If you are not part of the solution, you are part of the problem." National Socialist Movement www.nsm88.org The information in this email is confidential and may be legally privileged. Furthermore, the NSM is not responsible for the content of this e-mail, and anything written in this e-mail does not necessarily reflect the NSM's views or opinions. Access to this email by anyone other than the intended addressee is unauthorized. If you are not the intended recipient of this message, any review, disclosure, copying, distribution, retention, or any action taken or omitted to be taken in reliance on it is prohibited and may be unlawful. If you have received this mail in error, please destroy the copy in your possession and notify: commander@newsaxon.org


FYI -----Original Message----- From: Tran, Agatha Sent: Monday, September 10, 2001 11:49 AM To: Hayslett, Rod; Sommers, Jeffrey E. Subject: RE: 2002 plan - meeting with Jim Hughes this is the latest. -----Original Message----- From: Hayslett, Rod Sent: Monday, September 10, 2001 11:13 AM To: Tran, Agatha; Sommers, Jeffrey E. Subject: RE: 2002 plan - meeting with Jim Hughes Please let me know if there are any changes. Jeff: Do you think Jim would mind if I sat in on some of these? -----Original Message----- From: Tran, Agatha Sent: Friday, September 07, 2001 10:36 AM To: Lundstrom, Bruce; Norris, Michael; Sommers, Jeffrey E.; Mahan, Mariella; Gilchrist, Scott; Callahan, Timothy; Fischer, Luitgard; Weidler, Peter E; Gonzalez, Orlando; Soares, Britaldo; Hunt, Christopher B.; Cline, Wade Cc: Berger, Peter; Boe, Larry A. (Lawrence); McCann, Steven K.; Rangel, Rafael; Yao, Anne S.; Howes, Carol; Brelsford, Loretta; Hayslett, Rod Subject: 2002 plan - meeting with Jim Hughes Just a reminder. Here is the final calendar ( as of today, of course) >


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------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ W E E K E N D S Y S T E M S A V A I L A B I L I T Y F O R September 7, 2001 5:00pm through September 10, 2001 12:00am ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ NOTICE: Long Distance Conversion to MCI for EB PBX Time: Fri 9/7/2001 at 5:30:00 PM CT thru Fri 9/7/2001 at 6:00:00 PM CT Fri 9/7/2001 at 3:30:00 PM PT thru Fri 9/7/2001 at 4:00:00 PM PT Fri 9/7/2001 at 11:30:00 PM London thru Sat 9/8/2001 at 12:00:00 AM London Environments Impacted: All ECN Outbound Long Distance--- NO DISRUPTION OF SERVICE ANTICIPATED This change affects Enron Building outbound long distance only. 3AC change will be completed next week. No service disruption is anticipated. This only affects outbound long distance from the Enron Building. Tie line services remain unchanged. Dialing patterns remain the same: 9+1+A/C+7-digit number for domestic calls or 9+011+10-digit number for international calls. Purpose: MCI is replacing AT&T as Enron's primary long distance carrier. Backout: Divert back to AT&T route pattern as first choice. Contact(s): Cynthia Siniard 713-853-0558 NOTICE: Voice Mail 30 Day Retention Change EFFECTIVE: Monday 9-10-01 at 6:00pm Technical Description Change Basic Class of Restriction for all Audixes to reflect new voice mail message retention time of 30 days. Environments Impacted Employees who currently have messages older than 30 days in their mailbox will lose those messages once this change has been implemented. If those messages or future messages must be saved, they will need to transcribe them or record them to a handheld recording device. Once these messages and future messages have been deleted, they will not be retrievable. Contact(s): Kathy Bigelow 713-345-57242 SCHEDULED SYSTEM OUTAGES: NA ARDMORE DATA CENTER - FACILITY OPERATIONS: No Scheduled Outages. AZURIX: No Scheduled Outages. EB34 DATA CENTER - FACILITY OPERATIONS: No Scheduled Outages. EDI SERVER: No Scheduled Outages. EES: SEE ORIGINAL REPORT ENRON CENTER SOUTH DATA CENTER - FACILITY OPERATIONS: No Scheduled Outages ENRON NORTH AMERICAN LANS: ALSO SEE ORIGINAL REPORT Impact: Traders POSTPONED Time: Sat 9/8/2001 at 12:00:00 AM CT thru Sat 9/8/2001 a 12:30:00 AM CT Fri 9/7/2001 at 10:00:00 PM PT thru Fri 9/7/2001 at 10:30:00 AM PT Sat 9/8/2001 at 6:00:00 AM London thru Sat 9/8/2001 at 6:30:00 AM London Outage: Upgrade TRD-CX11 & TRD-CX12 Environments Impacted: Traders Purpose: We need to add additional gig ports to support a new traders cluster, we have to upgrade the code on the switches to support the new gig blade Backout: Load the old version of code, reboot Contact(s): Vincent Fox 713-853-5337 Christopher M Ducker 713-345-8241 Impact: Traders POSTPONED Time: Sat 9/8/2001 at 12:30:00 AM CT thru Sat 9/8/2001 at 1:00:00 AM CT Fri 9/7/2001 at 10:30:00 PM PT thru Fri 9/7/2001 at 11:00:00 PM PT Sat 9/8/2001 at 6:30:00 AM London thru Sat 9/8/2001 at 7:00:00 AM London Outage: Upgrade Trader 1 and 2 switch and router code Environments Impacted: Traders Purpose: Bug in code is filling up logs Backout: Replace new cards with old cards, reboot boxes. Contact(s): Christopher M Ducker 713-345-8241 Vincent Fox 713-853-5337 Impact: CORP Time: Fri 9/7/2001 at 4:45:00 PM CT thru Fri 9/7/2001 at 5:15:00 PM CT Fri 9/7/2001 at 2:45:00 PM PT thru Fri 9/7/2001 at 3:15:00 PM PT Fri 9/7/2001 at 10:45:00 PM London thru Fri 9/7/2001 at 11:15:00 PM London Outage: Upgrading IOS on WAN Trader Router CR2 Environments Impacted: Corp Purpose: To utilize the NBAR feature to aid in "Code Red" traffic identification and mitigation. Backout: Contact(s): Tomas Mendez 713-345-3250 Impact: CORP Time: Sun 9/9/2001 at 10:00:00 AM CT thru Sun 9/9/2001 at 10:30:00 AM CT Sun 9/9/2001 at 8:00:00 AM PT thru Sun 9/9/2001 at 8:30:00 AM PT Sun 9/9/2001 at 4:00:00 PM London thru Sun 9/9/2001 at 4:30:00 PM London Outage: Upgrading IOS on WAN Trader Router CR1 Environments Impacted: Corp Purpose: To utilize the NBAR feature to aid in "Code Red" traffic identification and mitigation. Backout: Contact(s): Tomas Mendez 713-345-3250 FIELD SERVICES: No Scheduled Outages. INTERNET: No Scheduled Outages. MESSAGING: ALSO SEE ORIGINAL REPORT Impact: All mailbox servers(list in description) Time: Sat 9/8/2001 at 11:30:00 PM CT thru Sun 9/9/2001 at 1:30:00 AM CT Sat 9/8/2001 at 9:30:00 PM PT thru Sat 9/8/2001 at 11:30:00 PM PT Sun 9/9/2001 at 5:30:00 AM London thru Sun 9/9/2001 at 7:30:00 AM London Outage: All NA Exchange mailbox servers Environments Impacted: All NA Exchange mailbox users. Purpose: To enable Outlook Access via Econnect VPN. Backout: remove registry changes Contact(s): David Lin 713-345-1619 Impact: Nahou-mspfs01p 02p and 03p Time: Sat 9/8/2001 at 11:00:00 PM CT thru Sat 9/8/2001 at 11:30:00 PM CT Sat 9/8/2001 at 9:00:00 PM PT thru Sat 9/8/2001 at 9:30:00 PM PT Sun 9/9/2001 at 5:00:00 AM London thru Sun 9/9/2001 at 5:30:00 AM London Outage: Public Folder Servers Environments Impacted: All Exchange server users Purpose: To enable Outlook Access via Econnect VPN. Backout: remove Registry changes. Contact(s): David Lin 713-345-1619 MARKET DATA: No Scheduled Outages. NT: No Scheduled Outages. OS/2: No Scheduled Outages. OTHER SYSTEMS: ALSO SEE ORIGINAL REPORT Impact: CORP Time: Fri 9/7/2001 at 9:00:00 PM CT thru Fri 9/7/2001 at 11:00:00 PM CT Fri 9/7/2001 at 7:00:00 PM PT thru Fri 9/7/2001 at 9:00:00 PM PT Sat 9/8/2001 at 3:00:00 AM London thru Sat 9/8/2001 at 5:00:00 AM London Outage: Cluster6 Expansion Environments Impacted: Corp, User H: drives on Nahou-UV12, Nahou-UV13, Nahou-UV14, Nahou-UV15, and several of the folders on the O: drive. Purpose: We must expand the disk space on Cluster6 in order to migrate the new users from EBS and EES to Corp, and also for our ever expanding Corp environment. Backout: Contact(s): Frank Coles (713)406-0470 SITARA: No Scheduled Outages. SUN/OSS SYSTEM: No Scheduled Outages. TELEPHONY: No Scheduled Outages TERMINAL SERVER: No Scheduled Outages. UNIFY: No Scheduled Outages. SCHEDULED SYSTEM OUTAGES: LONDON Impact: CORP Time: Fri 9/7/2001 at 6:00:00 PM CT thru Sat 9/8/2001 at 9:00:00 PM CT Fri 9/7/2001 at 4:00:00 PM PT thru Sat 9/8/2001 at 7:00:00 PM PT Sat 9/8/2001 at 12:00:00 AM London thru Sun 9/9/2001 at 3:00:00 AM London Outage: Complete Powerdown of the London office Environments Impacted: All Purpose: Installation of a third generator at Enron House Backout: Switch all equipment back on. Contact(s): Tracy Pearson 830-34238 London Tie Line ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FOR ASSISTANCE (713) 853-1411 Enron Resolution Center Specific Help: Information Risk Management (713) 853-5536 SAP/ISC (713) 345-4727 Unify On-Call (713) 284-3757 [Pager] Sitara On-Call (713) 288-0101 [Pager] RUS/GOPS/GeoTools/APRS (713) 639-9726 [Pager] OSS/UA4/TARP (713) 285-3165 [Pager] CPR (713) 284-4175 [Pager] EDI Support (713) 327-3893 [Pager] EES Help Desk (713)853-9797 OR (888)853-9797 TDS -Trader Decision Support On-Call (713) 327-6032 [Pager]


Attention: There've been an automatic security update on your email address.CLICK HERE to complete update Please note that you have within 24 hours to complete this update. because you might lose acess to your Email Box.Help Desk ********************This e-mail contains information intended for the addressee only.It may be confidential and may be the subject of legal and/or professional privilege. If you are not the addressee you are not authorised to disseminate, distribute, copy or use this e-mail or any attachment to itThe content may be personal or contain personal opinions and unless specifically stated or followed up in writing, the content cannot be taken to form a contract or to be an expression of the County Council's position.Lancashire County Council reserves the right to monitor all incoming and outgoing emailLancashire County Council has taken reasonable steps to ensure that outgoing communications do not contain malicious software and it is your responsibility to carry out any checks on this email before accepting the email and opening attachments.


I'm ok at that level. Tracie any objections? From: Claire Olszewski Sent: Friday, May 06, 2016 10:14 AM To: Alan Reed; Kevin Snowden; Brad Marshall; Lindsey Reynolds; Dacey, Amy; Tracie Pough Cc: Kaplan, Jordan Subject: RE: DE008 She gave $50 to the event From: Alan Reed Sent: Friday, May 06, 2016 10:14 AM To: Kevin Snowden; Brad Marshall; Lindsey Reynolds; Dacey, Amy; Tracie Pough Cc: Claire Olszewski; Kaplan, Jordan Subject: RE: DE008 Claire, is this person planning to donate? From: Kevin Snowden Sent: Friday, May 06, 2016 10:13 AM To: Alan Reed; Brad Marshall; Lindsey Reynolds; Dacey, Amy; Tracie Pough Cc: Claire Olszewski; Kaplan, Jordan Subject: DE008 Hello everyone, Here is an issue for today's DWS Wilmington Reception. Thanks Kevin Brooke Edwards-open bankruptcy; two judgements from banks; works for a bank 32 Victoria Blvd Newark, DE 19702 DOB: 3/1978 Employer/Occupation: AML Financial Crimes Compliance HSBC/Manager NGP Notes: None NGP Vet History: None CONTRIBUTIONS: None EVENTS: None LOBBYIST/DOJ FARA: No EARMARKS/TARP/ARRA: None LIENS: No JUDGMENTS: Yes * 8/24/2010; CitiFinancial; $11,589; no results listed * 1/11/2010; CitiFinancial; $12,457; no results listed BANKRUPTCIES: Yes * 10/19/2012; Open Chapter 13; No result listed CRIMINAL RECORDS: None LEXIS-NEXIS NEWS SEARCH: None INTERNET: None


Dear Phil, The wedding was really very moving and beautiful. I had a great time. I'm sending along a picture of Tom and Helen which was taken at Granite Island (near Victor Harbor). I don't know whether I've ever seen Tom as happy as he is now... Myles (if it is Myles) was a bit pedantic in his second review. Karl (who is a very-mild-mannered guy) described the tone of the review as "whining". It seems like the Reviewer was saying, "I'm a lot smarter than you, and I could do all of this stuff much better than you've done". I was very unhappy about the "wilfully ignoring" bit. That was completely uncalled for. Have a great time at Lake Constance, Phil. It's a beautiful part of the world. Best regards, and best wishes to Ruth, Ben P.Jones@uea.ac.uk wrote: > Ben, > Will read the comments in detail tomorrow, when at CRU. > I presume the wedding went well and a good time was had > by all. > > I'm in CRU tomorrow, but away next week. I'm off to one > your old hunting grounds - Friedrichshafen. I am going to > a summer school on the other side of the Lake near Konstanz. > Can't recall the village name - somthing like Treffpunkt. > > Only gone a week, back Friday week. > > From a quick scan below Myles does seem to be a pain! > As we both know he can be. > > Cheers > Phil > > >> Dear folks, >> >> I just returned from my trip to Australia - I had a great time there. >> Now (sadly) it's back to the reality of Douglass et al. I'm forwarding >> the second set of comments from the two Reviewers. As you'll see, >> Reviewer 1 was very happy with the revisions we've made to the paper. >> Reviewer 2 was somewhat crankier. The good news is that the editor >> (Glenn McGregor) will not send the paper back to Reviewer 2, and is >> requesting only minor changes in response to the Reviewer's comments. >> >> Once again, Reviewer 2 gets hung up on the issue of fitting higher-order >> autoregressive models to the temperature time series used in our paper. >> As noted in our response to the Reviewer, this is a relatively minor >> technical point. The main point is that we include an estimate of the >> standard error of the observed trend. DCPS07 do not, which is the main >> error in their analysis. >> >> In calculating modeled and observed standard errors, we assume an AR-1 >> model of the regression residuals. This assumption is not unreasonable >> for many meteorological time series. We and others have made it in a >> number of previous studies. >> >> Reviewer 2 would have liked us to fit higher-order autoregressive models >> to the T2, T2LT, and TS-T2LT time series. This is a difficult business, >> particularly given the relatively short length of the time series >> available here. There is no easy way to reliably estimate the parameters >> of higher-order AR models from 20 to 30 years of data. The same applies >> to reliable estimation of the spectral density at frequency zero (since >> we have only 2-3 independent samples for estimating the spectral density >> at frequency zero). Reviewer 2's comments are not particularly relevant >> to the specific problem we are dealing with here. >> >> It's also worth mentioning that use of higher-order AR models for >> estimating trend standard errors would likely lead to SMALLER effective >> sample sizes and LARGER standard errors, thus making it even more >> difficult to find significant differences between modelled and observed >> trends! Our use of an AR-1 model makes it easier for us to obtain >> "DCPS07-like" results, and to find significant differences between >> modelled and observed trends. DCPS cannot claim, therefore, that our >> test somehow stacks the deck in favor of obtaining a non-significance >> trend difference - which they might claim if we used a >> (poorly-constrained) higher-order AR model for estimating standard >> errors. >> >> The Reviewer does not want to "see the method proposed in this paper >> become established as the default method of estimating standard errors >> in climatological time series". We do not claim universal applicability >> of our approach. There may well be circumstances in which it is more >> appropriate to use higher-order AR models in estimating standard errors. >> I'd be happy to make a statement to this effect in the revised paper. >> >> I have to confess that I was a little ticked off by Reviewer 2's >> comments. The bit about "wilfully ignoring" time series literature was >> uncalled for. Together with my former MPI colleague Wolfgang >> Brueggemann, I've fooled around with a lot of different methods of >> estimating standard errors, in both the time domain and frequency >> domain. One could write a whole paper on this subject alone. Such a >> paper would not help us to expose the statistical deficiencies in >> DCPS07. Nor would in-depth exploration of this issue lead to the shorter >> paper requested by the Reviewer. >> >> It should take me a few days to revise the paper and draft a response to >> Reviewer 2's comments. I'll send you the revised paper and draft >> response early next week. Slowly but surely, we are getting there! >> >> With best regards, >> >> Ben >> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- >> Benjamin D. Santer >> Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison >> Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory >> P.O. Box 808, Mail Stop L-103 >> Livermore, CA 94550, U.S.A. >> Tel: (925) 422-3840 >> FAX: (925) 422-7675 >> email: santer1@llnl.gov >> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- >> >> > > > -- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Benjamin D. Santer Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory P.O. Box 808, Mail Stop L-103 Livermore, CA 94550, U.S.A. Tel: (925) 422-3840 FAX: (925) 422-7675 email: santer1@llnl.gov ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\DSCN2786.JPG"