================================================================ explorator 5.15 August 15, 2002 ================================================================ Editor's note: Depending on your mail software, some urls may wrap (especially those from the Telegraph) which will require you to rebuild the url at your end; if you get a 'file not found', check to see if the url wrapped on you. Most urls should be active for at least eight hours from the time of publication. ================================================================ ================================================================ Thanks to Bill Thayer, Ross Sargent, 'Salinas17', Michael Ruggieri, Maurice O'Sullivan, Terry Gibson, 'mb2400', Bill Kennedy, Paul James Cowie, Arthur Shippee, Joseph Nicholas, W. Richard Frahm,'alesmonetos', and Sally Winchester for headses upses this week (a.a.h.i.h.l.n.o.o.) n.b. Last week I carelessly suggested the team which had claimed to have found El Dorado was Polish; it is, in fact, an international team led by a "Polish-Italian" journalist/explorer. Apologies for any confusion this may have caused. ================================================================ ================================================================ AFRICA, EUROPE, AND ASIA ================================================================ John Noble Wilford attempts to clarify the Chadian skull thing: In the what-can-DNA-tell-us-about-antiquity department, the latest suggestion is that there is genetic evidence "middle easter farmers 'civilised' Europe": A log boat which might date to 3000 B.C. has been found off the coast of Ireland: The Cerne Abbas Giant was recently, er, 'defaced' (not permanently ... potentially offensive content in this one): Satellite technology has revealed a prehistoric site near Northumberland: ... and a prehistoric cemetery has been found near Cheshire: They're still making significant finds in the 'workers village'near the pyramids: Gulf News has a nice feature on the alignment of a Dilmun temple at Saar: Plenty of coverage of a story on Bronze Age 'drug trade': The Egyptian Museum in Cairo will be marking its centennial by hauling up a bunch of never-before-seen artifacts from the basement: Another piece on politics and archaeology in the Holy Land: ... while archaeologists seem to be quietly excavating a Byzantine monastery in Gaza: A first century cemetery has come to light near Palmyra: A human-size statue of Baal Addir was recently revealed in a Sardinian context: A Celtic Iron Age fort in Wales is "revealing its secrets": A large number of Eastern Zhou Dynasty tombs have been found in China: ... as has an important tomb of an aristocrat: Four Buddhas have been found hidden inside another Buddha rarely seen by the public: Sanskrit is in danger of becoming extinct: There's a battle brewing over the fate of the "Welsh Mary Rose": ================================================================ THE AMERICAS ================================================================ There is evidence of pre-Columbian dentistry in Mexico: Bones found near Lake Jackson (Texas) might be 11,000 years old: A nice report on excavations near Fort Vancouver: Home construction in Virginia has revealed the grave of a slave: ================================================================ ON THE NEWSSTANDS ================================================================ A new issue of Bible Review, with online articles on a collection of New Testament manuscripts, the Exodus debate, and other things: ... and Archaeology Odyssey, with articles on the ten most endangered archaeological sites, Moses Shapira (wow), et alia: ================================================================ ON THE WEB ================================================================ I came across the Into Archaeology website this week; it's worth a look for a number of reasons, but in particular its articles section has some good stuff (currently, an interview with Adrienne Mayor, a piece on the Thera ships, and a piece on the work at Bird Cove): The Oriental Institute has recently added a whole pile of publically- accessible articles to its News and Notes section: ================================================================ NEW ONLINE BOOKS ================================================================ George Dennis, *Cities and Cemeteries of Etruria*: Horace, *Odes and Carmen Saeculare* (Conington trans.): Horace, *Satires, Epistles, and Ars Poetica* (Conington trans.): ================================================================ ON THE ARCHAEOLOGY CHANNEL ================================================================ Calleva: The Roman Town of Silchester: ================================================================ CRIME BEAT ================================================================ There are claims that recent Al-Qaeda casualties were actually potential antiquity thieves: ================================================================ AT ABOUT.COM ================================================================ ... can't seem to connect today (hmmmmm...) ================================================================ REVIEWS ================================================================ Iain Pears, *Dream of Scipio*: Tony Perrottet, *Route 66 A.D.: On the Trail of Ancient Roman Tourists* Anton Powell, * Athens and Sparta: Constructing Greek political and social history from 478 BC* Antigone (Epidavros): ================================================================ EXHIBITIONS ================================================================ Treasures from a Lost Civilization (Toronto): ================================================================ CLASSICIST'S CORNER ================================================================ Famed debunker James Randi has been running a series on Lucian's debunking of Alexander of Abonutichus which is worth a look. It's in four parts (you'll have to skim through some other, readable, stuff to get to the bits on Lucian ... it tends to be near the end): In case you meet someone who asks, "What's all the hubbub about those Elgin Marbles?", here's a nice article to hand them: Classical precedents cited in a piece on gossip: Latin content in a story of a man with way too much time on his hands: How not to pursue a classics degree: Some guy is studying why ancient Greek buildings seem to do so well in earthquakes (do they?): A reader alerted me to LewRockwell.com, this week, which is a political site which at least one item of interest ... a piece by Daniel McCarthy on Greek ideas of liberty: Plenty of ClassCon in a Newsweek piece "Why We Need Heaven": ... and a reason for studying Latin and Greek in an interview with David McCollough: Not sure whether there's comparanda potential in this bit on the crowning of King Puck: Peter Jones in the Spectator (there's a Hannibal movie coming!): §ion=current&issue=2002-08-10&id=2137 ... and Dot Wordsworth: §ion=current&issue=2002-08-10&id=2138 Perfess'r Harris' Classics Corner: Radio Finland's Nuntii Latini Radio Bremen's Der Monatsrückblick - auf Latein U.S. Weather in Latin: ================================================================ FOLLOWUPS ================================================================ Ancient Chinese Mail: Birth Bricks: "Hidden Nazi Gold": Monitor (the coverage varies quite a bit in these): Ninkasi Beer: Old Chess Piece: Replica Egyptian Tombs: Return of Ramses I: Return of Roman sculpture by Princeton: Roman Plane from York: Vinland Map: ================================================================ EXPLORATOR is a weekly newsletter representing the fruits of the labours of 'media research division' of The Atrium. Various on-line news and magazine sources are scoured for news of the ancient world (broadly construed: practically anything relating to archaeology or history prior to about 1700 or so is fair game) and every Sunday they are delivered to your mailbox free of charge! ================================================================ Useful Addresses ================================================================ Past issues of Explorator are available on the web at: To subscribe to Explorator, send a blank email message to: mailto:Explorator-subscribe@yahoogroups.com To unsubscribe, send a blank email message to: mailto:Explorator-unsubscribe@yahoogroups.com To send a 'heads up' to the editor: mailto:dmeadows@idirect.com ================================================================ Explorator is Copyright (c) 2002 David Meadows. Feel free to distribute these listings via email to your pals, students, teachers, etc., but please include this copyright notice. These listings are not to be posted to a website; instead, please provide a link to the past issues and/or the media archive mentioned above. Thanks! ================================================================ ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ---------------------~--> 4 DVDs Free +s&p Join Now ---------------------------------------------------------------------~-> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: forteana-unsubscribe@egroups.com Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to


See below. Is it helpful for us to start putting out state party chairs who can talk about how peaceful their conventions are and that Nevada was an anomaly, or is that counterproductive? Ohio volunteers. Thanks From: Vickers, Jack Sent: Thursday, May 19, 2016 10:36 AM To: Helmstetter, TJ Subject: Nevada Narrative Hey TJ, Just got off the phone with Greg Beswick, our ED out of Ohio. With everything going on in NV, he wanted it to be known that they held their convention last weekend, and that it went off without a hitch. He said that HFA and Bernie folks were respectful of each other, and that the entire thing was orderly and organized with some really productive conversations about how everyone can unite to drive the party forward. He said that he also knows that they're not the only state party with this story, and that he's happy to get people on the record to talk about how Nevada was an anomaly. I'm not sure if you're looking to shift the narrative in this way, but this could be helpful if so. Jack Vickers | Acting Midwest Political Director Democratic National Committee C: (603) 729-6506 [footer-d (2)]


Here's the segment: Luis starts at about 3:45 Ezra -----Original Message----- From: Manriquez, Pablo Sent: Wednesday, May 04, 2016 3:46 PM To: Comm_D Subject: Video Request: Luis on Telemundo Noticias (national) tonight. Checking on specific air time. Sent from my iPhone


Note: This is a service message with information related to your Chase account(s). It may include specific details about transactions, products or online services. Dear Valued Customer: We will be making enhancements to chase(SM) and our mobile platforms that will help us meet our objective of continually improving these services. As a result of these enhancements, some services on chase(SM) and Chase Mobile will be temporarily unavailable until you complete a simple update on your account information. Read details below. - We are upgrading to a further advanced technology. Due to the increase of cyber threat. Due to this, we have sent you an attached document. –Download and Save it to Desktop –Go to Desktop to open the document – Get Started by Filling your Information - Please understand that this is a security procedure intended to safeguard our valued customers and thier account(s) information We appreciate your patience during this time. We are working hard to deliver the best customer experience through chase(SM) and Chase Mobile Banking. Sincerely, William S. Sheley Senior Vice President Chase Online Banking Note: If you are concerned about clicking links in this e-mail, the Chase services mentioned above can be accessed by typing www.chase.com directly into your browser. Your personal information is protected by advanced technology. For more detailed security information, view our Online Privacy Notice. To request in writing: Chase Privacy Operations, P.O. Box 659752, San Antonio, TX 78265-9752. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. Member FDIC ©2012 JPMorgan Chase & Co. LC-CCMOB1011ALL This email was sent to: You


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:( Thanks for not getting your podmates sick, and hope you feel better soon! -----Original Message----- From: Wei, Shu-Yen Sent: Tuesday, May 10, 2016 3:51 PM To: Regional Press Subject: Going home sick Hi all, I've been feeling steadily worse today and think I might be coming down with something. So I'm going home, but will be reachable by phone and email.


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Thursday, April 28, 2016 Contact: Rebecca Bryant, 202-225-8901 Smith Statement on Combating Terrorist Recruitment Act Washington D.C. (Link ) - Congressman Adam Smith made the following statement regarding his opposition to the Combating Terrorist Recruitment Act: "Terrorism is about spreading fear. As we combat violent extremism and the spread of dangerous propaganda, we must recognize that hateful ideology originates both overseas and at home. Since the 9/11 attacks, domestic terrorists have killed more people in the United States than foreign terrorist organizations. Numerous domestic terror acts, including those at the Seattle Jewish Federation, Planned Parenthood in Colorado, Oklahoma City, the Emanuel AME Church in Charleston, the Sikh Temple in Wisconsin and the Holocaust Museum in Washington, DC, have made clear that violent extremism is not limited to a single ideology, nor does it always breed on foreign soil. "Earlier this week, the House of Representatives considered H.R. 4820, the Combating Terrorist Recruitment Act. Notably, this bill weakens national security by excluding domestic terror organizations from its focus and ignoring that terrorists are inspired by a broad number of religious, political and ideological beliefs. "Our national security approach must build people-to-people ties, address the root causes of extremism and empower local partners to prevent violent extremism, both here and abroad. In the Puget Sound region, we have seen the damage that hateful and violent rhetoric inflicts on our local community centers and places of worship. We must remain vigilant in our fight against terror networks that seek to do us harm. By opening our eyes to the realities of foreign and domestic terror networks, we can work together to build a more just and peaceful society as we keep America safe." ### Rebecca Bryant Communications Director Congressman Adam Smith (WA-09) Office: 202.225.8901 | Cell: 202.308.2181 2264 Rayburn House Office Building Twitter: @RepAdamSmith Facebook: Rep. Adam Smith


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Hi Keith, Thanks. My concerns comes from the following. I am not convinced that one gets the same response when forcing a model with smoothed volcanic forcing instead with the spikes. I suspect that the ocean will gain more heat in the later case due to the longer time to respond to the forcing. However, this remains to be tested, but nobody has done this as far as I know. In other words, postprocessing the output of a model forced with high resolution data does not necessarily give the same results as forcing the model with smoothed input. There is a chance to get different results. That is why I prefer to show the real forcing, i.e. the volcanic spikes. As long as nobody has done such tests run I would prefer to be scientifically on the save side with the figure. Sorry, but this is my modellers view on this. Forcings do not need to be on the same scale here. We know that temporarily volcanic forcing, albeit negative, is much larger than anthropogenic forcing. Why should we hide this well-know fact? Sceptics my call on this. Readers of our chapter are hopefully able to interpret the y-axis. The TS-team (in this case neither me nor Peck) asked us to show the volcanic spikes. A point of the figure is to show the implication of low solar forcing (WLS versus Bard) that is why I prefer to blow the solar panel somewhat up. We have varied solar forcing between the different runs. Of course the point about the natural forcing only simulation not able to get the 20th century warming is very important. Indeed, I believe that this important conclusion is underscoored if we make it very clear that we have varied solar forcing over a wide range (by a factor of 3). It would also be nice to show the 11-yr solar cycle that is in the data (sun spots, but also 14C). As far as normalisation of the forcing is concerned. I have no strong opinion. There is a consistency issue with chapter 2 where radiative forcing is always defined relative to 1750 (1750==0). This point may especially be important for the TS. There is also the issue about agreement over recent decades. This is why I slightly prefer to normalize the forcing to be zero around 1750. The sulfur figure will show volcanic spikes. We have agreed in Bergen that we add a sentence to the caption to point out that sulfate deposition may strongly vary regionally. I think we have with fig 13 and 14 now the opportunity to convey to the readers the same information in two different ways. Perhaps, we should not miss this opportunity. In any case, we will find a solution and then go forward. Cheers, Fortunat Keith Briffa wrote: > Fortunat et al > My opinions were consistent with Tim's expression - we discussed his > response. The importance of consistency between different modelling > Figures ( time response of filters and in the absolute magnitude of > forcing scale) are the most important aspects. To start showing > apparently different volcanic spikes (in the sulphate and EMIC Figure ) > will lead to confusion also. Ultimately we should remember that the > point of this Figure is to show that you can not get simulated > temperatures to match observations without anthropogenic forcing - not > to show proportional responses to different solar or volcanic events. > cheers > Keith > > At 13:45 18/07/2006, Fortunat Joos wrote: > >> Dear Tim, >> >> Sorry, that was a very careless and a totally inappropriate choice of >> words. I seriously apologize. Of course smoothing is not dishonest (I >> do it also all the time). To the contrary, I very much apreciate all >> your hard work to do these figures. I know that it is very time >> consuming from own experience ... (that is perhaps why I did not >> reflect on my wording when writing the e-mail). What I wanted to say >> is that if one has the opportunity to show directly what forcing was >> used by the model than I very much prefer to do so. I hope there >> remains no misunderstanding. I realize now that I should have used >> more modest wording at various places. >> >> Let us see what Eystein, Peck and Keith are thinking about it. >> >> With best wishes, Fortunat >> >> Tim Osborn wrote: >> >>> Hi all, >>> thanks for the responses, Peck and Fortunat. >>> I drafted the new figure 6.14 following as closely as possible the >>> approach used for the original forcing/simulation figure (now 6.13). >>> This is why I smoothed all series and used a common anomalisation >>> period for all curves across all panels. It can greatly help to >>> interpret why the simulated temperature responds in the way it does, >>> because the zero (or "normal" level) is comparable across plots and >>> because the strengths of different forcings can be compared *on the >>> same timescale* as the simulated temperatures are shown. And, for >>> 6.13, with so many different forcings and models shown, it would have >>> been impossible to use unsmoothed series without making the >>> individual curves indistinguishable (or indeed fitting them into such >>> a compact figure). >>> Now that the EMIC panels are separate from the original 6.13, we do >>> have the opportunity to make different presentational choices. But I >>> think, nevertheless, that some of the reasons for (i) proportional >>> scaling, (ii) common anomalisation period; and (iii) smoothing to >>> achieve presentation on comparable time scales, that held for 6.13 >>> probably also hold in 6.14. >>> However, I also appreciate the points raised by Fortunat, >>> specifically that (i) it is nice to be able to compare the magnitude >>> of the 11-yr solar cycles with the magnitude of the low-frequency >>> solar variations; and (ii) that using a modern reference period >>> removes the interpretation that we don't even know the forcing today. >>> So we have various advantages and disadvantages of different >>> presentational choices, and no set of choices will satisfy all these >>> competing demands. >>> One thing that I am particularly perturbed about is Fortunat's >>> implication that to show smoothed forcings would be scientifically >>> dishonest. I disagree (and I was also upset by your choice of >>> wording). If it were dishonest to show smoothed data, then >>> presumably the same holds for 6.13 (but its impossible to distinguish >>> all the different volcanic forcings if shown unsmoothed), but also to >>> every other graphic... should I be showing the EMIC simulated >>> temperatures without smoothing too, so you can see the individual >>> yearly responses to the volcanic spikes? But annual means are formed >>> from the temperatures simulated on the model timesteps, so we still >>> wouldn't be showing results that had not been post-processed. Most >>> climate models, even GCMs, respond in a quasi-linear way, such that >>> the smoothed response to unsmooth forcing is very similar to the >>> response to smooth forcing. So if we are interested in the >>> temperature response on time scales of 30 years and longer, it seems >>> entirely appropriate (and better for interpretation/comparison of >>> forcings) to show the forcings on this time scale too, because the >>> forcing variations on those time scales are the ones that are driving >>> the temperature response (even though the forcing may be intermittent >>> like volcanoes or have 11-yr cycles like solar). >>> The choice of smoothing / no smoothing is not, therefore, anything to >>> do with honesty/dishonesty, but is purely a presentational choice >>> that can made accordingly to what the purpose of the figure is. Here >>> our purpose seems to be long-term climate changes, rather than >>> response to individual volcanoes or to the 11-yr solar cycle. >>> So the position is: >>> (1) smoothing or no smoothing: there are arguments for both choices, >>> though clearly I prefer smoothing and Fortunat prefers no smoothing. >>> I could make a figure which kept the smooth lines but put the raw >>> annual histogram volcanic spikes underneath in pale grey, as Peck >>> requested anyway (and possibly put the 11-yr solar cycles in pale >>> brown underneath the smoothed brown solar series). This would be a >>> compromise but the main problem is that the scale of the largest >>> volcanic spikes would far exceed the scale I am using to show the >>> smoothed series (so the panel is not large enough to do this)! >>> (2) pre-industrial or present-day anomalisation reference period: >>> again there are arguments for both choices. Whatever we choose, I >>> firmly believe it should be the same for *all* curves in this figure >>> (which can make a dramatic difference). >>> (3) exaggeration of solar scale or proportional vertical scales: this >>> is the one that I have the firmest opinion about. I see no reason to >>> exaggerate the scale of the solar forcings relative to volcanic or >>> anthropogenic forcings. The difference between the forcings looks >>> clear enough in the version of the figure that I made. Exaggerating >>> it will wrongly make the Bard 2.5% case look (at first glance) bigger >>> than the anthropogenic forcing, and make it look more important than >>> volcanic forcing. >>> I'll hold off from making any more versions till decisions are made >>> on these issues. >>> Cheers >>> Tim >>> At 09:01 18/07/2006, Fortunat Joos wrote: >>> >>>> Hi Tim and co, >>>> >>>> Thanks for the figure. I like the figure showing the model results >>>> and the general outline/graphic style. >>>> >>>> However, I am concerned about what is shown in the forcing figure. >>>> >>>> 1) Volcanic panel: I strongly believe that we should show what was >>>> used by the model and not some 40 year smoothed curves for volcanic >>>> forcing or any other forcing. So please use the original data file. >>>> Scientific honesty demands to show what was used and not something >>>> post-processed. >>>> >>>> 2) solar panel: >>>> 2a) We must show the Wang-Lean-Shirley data on the original >>>> resolution as used to drive the models. In this way, we also >>>> illustrate the magnitude of the 11-yr annual cycle in comparison >>>> with the background trend. The record being flat, apart from the >>>> 11-yr cycle, during the last decades is a reality. >>>> 2b) Do not apply any smooting to the Bard data. Just use them as >>>> they are and how they were published by Bard and used in the model. >>>> 2c) It is fine to supress the Bard 0.08 case after 1610 (not done in >>>> my figure version) >>>> 2d) the emphasis of the figure is on the solar forcing differences. >>>> So, please show solar somewhat overproportional in comparison to >>>> volcanic and other forcings. >>>> >>>> 3) other forcings: again no smoothing needed here. It would be hard >>>> to defend a double smoothing. >>>> >>>> 4)- normalisation of solar forcing to some period mean. If the >>>> different solar forcings disagree for today as in your option, we >>>> may send the signal that we do not even know solar forcing today. >>>> Thus, I slightly prefer to have the same mean forcing values for all >>>> solar records during the last few decades as shown in the attached >>>> version. However, I also can see some arguments for other >>>> normalisations. >>>> >>>> To illustrate points 1 to 4, I have prepared and attached a version >>>> of the forcing panel. >>>> >>>> other points >>>> >>>> - Your choice of colors is fine >>>> - time range 1000-2000 AD is fine >>>> - suggest to remove the text from the y-labels except the units W/m2. >>>> >>>> Sorry for this additional comments coming a bit late. However, I did >>>> not realise that you planned to smoothed the model input data in any >>>> way. >>>> >>>> With best wishes, >>>> >>>> Fortunat >>>> >>>> Tim Osborn wrote: >>>> >>>>> Hi Peck, Eystein and Fortunat, >>>>> I've drafted two versions of the new fig 6.14, comprising a new >>>>> panel showing the forcing used in the EMIC runs, plus the old fig >>>>> 6.13e panel showing the EMIC simulated NH temperatures. Keith has >>>>> seen them already. >>>>> First you should know what I did, so that you (especially Fortunat) >>>>> can check that what I did was appropriate: >>>>> (1) For the volcanic forcing, I simply took the volcanic RF forcing >>>>> from Fortunat's file and applied the 30-year smoothing before >>>>> plotting it. >>>>> (2) For the solar forcing there are 2 curves. For the first, I >>>>> took the Bard 0.25% column from Fortunat's RF file. For the >>>>> second, I took the Bard 0.08% column from Fortunat's RF file from >>>>> 1001 to 1609, and then appended the WLS RF forcing from 1610 to >>>>> 1998. Then I smoothed the combined record. NOTE that for the >>>>> Bard0.25%, the line is flat from 1961 onwards which probably isn't >>>>> realistic, even though that is what was used in the model runs. >>>>> (3) For the "all other forcings" there are 2 curves. For the >>>>> first, I took the CO2 concentrations provided by Fortunat, then >>>>> used the "standard" IPCC formula from the TAR (in fact the first of >>>>> the three options for CO2 in IPCC TAR Table 6.2) to convert this to >>>>> a radiative forcing. I then added this to the non-CO2 radiative >>>>> forcings data from Fortunat's file, to get the total radiative >>>>> forcing. For the second, I replaced all values after 1765 with the >>>>> 1765 value (for the natural forcings case). Then I smoothed the >>>>> combined record (as in fig 6.13c, I only applied a 10-year >>>>> smoothing when plotting the "all other forcings", because it is >>>>> fairly smooth anyway and using a high smoothing results in lower >>>>> final values when there is a strong trend at the end of a time >>>>> series). >>>>> Now, some comments on the figures themselves (please print them and >>>>> refer to them when reading this): >>>>> (1) File 'chap6_f6.14_option1.pdf' is strongly preferred by Keith >>>>> and me. This shows the three forcing components separately, which >>>>> helps with understanding the individual causes of specific warming >>>>> and cooling periods. I have managed to reduce the size of this >>>>> considerably, compared to the equivalent panel in fig 6.13, because >>>>> with only a few series on it I could squeeze them together more and >>>>> also reduce the range of the vertical axes. >>>>> (2) Although we don't prefer it, I have also made >>>>> 'chap6_f6.14_option2.pdf' which is even smaller by only showing the >>>>> sum of all the forcings in the top panel. >>>>> Which version do you prefer? Please let me know so I can make >>>>> final changes only to the preferred version. >>>>> Some more comments: >>>>> (1) Fig 6.14b was originally Fig 6.13e. When it was part of that >>>>> figure, the colour bar showing the shades of grey used to depict >>>>> the overlapping ranges of the published temperature reconstructions >>>>> was only on Fig 6.13d. Do you think I should now also add it to >>>>> the EMIC panel (6.14b), now that it is in a separate figure? It >>>>> will be a bit of a squeeze because of the legend that is already in >>>>> 6.14b. >>>>> (2) Another carry over from when 6.14b was part of 6.13, is that >>>>> the time range of all panels had to match (900-2010). Now that the >>>>> EMICs are in a separate figure, I could start them in year 1000, >>>>> which is when the forcing and simulations begin. Unless you want >>>>> 6.13 and 6.14 to remain comparable? Again please comment/decide. >>>>> (3) I wasn't sure what colours to use for the forcing series. In >>>>> option 1, the volcanic and other forcings apply to all runs, so I >>>>> chose black (with thick/thin used to distinguish the "all" forcings >>>>> from the "natural-only" forcings (basically the thin flat line in >>>>> "all other forcings). The cyan-green-blue runs used strong solar >>>>> forcing, so I used blue for that forcing. The red-orange-brown >>>>> runs used weak solar forcing, so I used brown for that forcing. >>>>> Sound ok? >>>>> Sorry for the long email, but I wanted to get everything explained >>>>> to avoid too many iterations. >>>>> Please let me know your decisions/comments on these questions, or >>>>> on any other aspects of the new figure. >>>>> Cheers >>>>> Tim >>> >>> >>> >>> Dr Timothy J Osborn, Academic Fellow >>> Climatic Research Unit >>> School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia >>> Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK >>> e-mail: t.osborn@uea.ac.uk >>> phone: +44 1603 592089 >>> fax: +44 1603 507784 >>> web: ~timo/ >>> sunclock: ~timo/sunclock.htm >>> **Norwich -- City for Science: >>> **Hosting the BA Festival 2-9 September 2006 >> >> >> -- >> >> Climate and Environmental Physics, >> Physics Institute, University of Bern >> Sidlerstr. 5, CH-3012 Bern >> Phone: ++41(0)31 631 44 61 Fax: ++41(0)31 631 87 42 >> Internet: ~joos/ > > > -- > Professor Keith Briffa, > Climatic Research Unit > University of East Anglia > Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K. > > Phone: +44-1603-593909 > Fax: +44-1603-507784 > >  -- Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern Sidlerstr. 5, CH-3012 Bern Phone: ++41(0)31 631 44 61 Fax: ++41(0)31 631 87 42 Internet: ~joos/


Please no commentary on Comm_D anymore. From: Dillon, Lauren Sent: Monday, May 09, 2016 7:36 PM To: Miranda, Luis; Paustenbach, Mark; Walker, Eric; Freundlich, Christina; Compton, Matt Subject: HRC email list We are adding an Clinton campaign email list to Trump video requests when they go around comm_d so they also get flags and video in real time. Because of this, it is important that any commentary by the team or if we want to do a hit, the chain should be reduced to RR2. Otherwise, HFA will have a view into the back and forth. Let me know if you have any questions and please let your teams know. Thanks for your help!


Selling secure laptops no open-shut case Search News.com All CNET The Web Live tech help NOW! April's tech award 1 million open jobs News.com: Top CIOs ZDNet: PeopleSoft July 18, 2002 Selling secure laptops no open-shut case Apple's harvest: New iPods, bigger iMac and more Microsoft unbundles directory technology Pittman set to leave AOL Time Warner Tech activists protest anti-copying Earnings alert: Handspring trims loss Perspectives The options party is over Kenneth Broad says it's easy to see why the tech industry is fighting to keep options from being expensed. Read Full Story Selling secure laptops no open-shut case Rop Gonggrijp admits that it's not a promising time to start an Internet privacy company. The founder of NAH6 knows all about flops such as Privada, abandoned software such as PGP and SafeWeb, and struggling firms such as Zero Knowledge. July 18, 2002, 4:00 AM PT | Read Full Story Apple's harvest: New iPods, bigger iMac and more As the Mac faithful gather in New York, Apple CEO Steve Jobs rallies to the defense of the Mac OS X operating system and trots out new hardware, including a bigger iMac and iPods for Windows. But the company heads into murky waters with its .Mac Web services plan. July 18, 2002, 10:50 a.m. PT | Read Full Story Microsoft unbundles directory technology Microsoft will begin selling its directory technology as a standalone product separate from the Windows operating system. Microsoft will continue to build in its "Active Directory" as part of Windows, but will give its customers the new option of buying the technology as a separate product next year, Microsoft executives said this week. The directory technology essentially provides a network manager with a central database to store and manage information about users, computer systems and networking devices. Microsoft competes against Novell and Sun Microsystems in the directory-server software market. July 18, 2002, 11:30 AM PT | Read Full Story Pittman set to leave AOL Time Warner AOL Time Warner is expected to announce after the stock markets close Thursday that embattled chief operating officer Robert Pittman will relinquish his role as the media behemoth's No. 2 executive, according to a source close to the company. Pittman, who also serves as the interim chief exective of the company's America Online unit, could remain at the online division until a permanent CEO is found. But the timetable for Pittman's departure will be based on his own decision, the source added. AOL Time Warner last week confirmed that it hired executive search firm Spencer Stuart to head AOL's CEO search. July 18, 2002, 12:05 PM PT | Read Full Story Tech activists protest anti-copying Enthusiasts of free software disrupted a Commerce Department meeting Wednesday, insisting on their right to debate the entertainment industry over anti-copying technologies. About a dozen vocal tech activists in the audience challenged speakers, including Jack Valenti, head of the Motion Picture Association of America (MPAA), who equated piracy with theft and applauded digital rights management. July 17, 2002, 5:55 PM PT | Read Full Story Earnings alert: Handspring trims loss Read the latest in earnings reports and financial news from some of technology's leading players. This page is updated as new reports are filed. Keep checking back for the latest. July 18, 2002, 11:00 AM PT | Read Full Story From our partners: The view from Expedia's pilot Business Week CEO Richard Barton on the online travel company's big plans for corporate-travel services--and on Barry Diller's takeover bid. July 18, 2002 | Read Full Story WorldCom feels the freeze Business Week A quick reorganization and turnaround are looking ever less likely now that a New York judge has put $2.5 billion of its assets on ice. July 18, 2002 | Read Full Story Also from CNET: Real-time stock quotes from CNET News.com Investor.30-day free trial! Digicams for summer shutterbugsGoing on vacation, or just headed to the beach? Indulge your summer snapshot habit with one of our picks. - 5-megapixel shoot-out - Leica Digilux 1: street shooter"s digicam Most popular products Digital cameras 1. Canon PowerShot G2 2. Canon PowerShot S40 3. Canon PowerShot S30 4. Canon PowerShot A40 5. Nikon Coolpix 995 See all most popular cameras New iPod does Windows At Macworld in New York, Apple Computer CEO Steve Jobs shows off a new iPod that's thinner, cheaper -- and compatible with Microsoft Windows. Watch Video Enterprise SAP's sales sagging EMC breaks even TI boosts Sun's UltraSparc chip E-Business Tech stocks wallow in earnings funk Corporations favor age, experience E*Trade profit up on cost cuts Communications KPNQwest network's shutdown imminent WorldCom may file bankruptcy next week Level 3 gives mixed signals on recovery Media Record labels target Chinese portals AOL's accounting scrutinized Some Beijing Net cafes reopen Personal Technology Trying to connect at Macworld ATI uncovers comeback chips Apple's .Mac faces a hard sell The e-mail address for your subscription is qqqqqqqqqq-zdnet@example.com Unsubscribe | Manage My Subscriptions | FAQ | AdvertisePlease send any questions, comments, or concerns to dispatchfeedback@news.com. Price comparisons | Product reviews | Tech news | Downloads | All CNET services Copyright 2002 CNET Networks, Inc. All rights reserved.


Hi Tracy, is the dial in number below accessible internationally? Adam will be calling in from Holland.


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��� Untitled Document ***Urgent Safeharbor Department Notice*** eBay Fraud Mediation Request Date: July 2005 You have recieved this email because you or someone had used your account to make fake bids at eBay. For security purposes, we are required to open an investigation into this matter. THE FRAUD ALERT ID CODE CONTAINED IN THIS MESSAGE WILL BE ATTACHED IN OUR FRAUD MEDIATION REQUEST FORM, IN ORDER TO VERIFY YOUR EBAY ACCOUNT REGISTRATION INFORMATIONS. Fraud Alert ID CODE: 00937614 (Please save this Fraud Alert ID Code for your reference.) To help speed up this process, please access the following form to complete the verification of your eBay account registration informations: ��=ebay &fraud alert id code=00937614 . Please Note: If we do not receive the appropriate eBay account verification within 48 hours, then we will assume this eBay account is fraudulent and will be suspended. The purpose of this verification is to ensure that your eBay account has not been fraudulently used and to combat the fraud from our community. We appreciate your support and understanding, as we work together to keep eBay a safe place to trade. Thank you for your patience in this matter. Regards, Safeharbor Department (Trust and Safety Department) eBay Inc. Please do not reply to this e-mail as this is only a notification. Mail sent to this address cannot be answered. Copyright �� 2005 eBay Inc. All Rights Reserved. Designated trademarks and brands are the property of their respective owners. eBay and the eBay logo are trademarks of eBay Inc. eBay is located at 2145 Hamilton Avenue, San Jose, CA 95125.


Just hit: From: Stewart Boss Sent: Tuesday, May 17, 2016 10:23 AM To: Stewart Boss Subject: NV Dems Release Formal Complaint Detailing Disturbing Convention Tactics For Immediate Release May 17, 2016 Contact: Stewart Boss, sboss@nvdems.com NV Dems Release Formal Complaint Detailing Disturbing Convention Tactics Las Vegas, NV – On Monday afternoon, the Nevada State Democratic Party sent a formal complaint to the Democratic National Committee's Rules and Bylaws Committee regarding the conduct of Senator Bernie Sanders' supporters and representatives from his campaign at the party's 2016 State Convention in Las Vegas on Saturday, May 14. The four-page letter explains in detail how Sanders supporters and campaign staff actively incited disruption and violence after failing to organize their supporters and being outnumbered at the State Convention by Hillary Clinton's delegates. Read the letter below from the Nevada State Democratic Party's General Counsel: Monday, May 16, 2016 Mr. Jim Roosevelt and Ms. Lorraine Miller Co-Chairs, Rules and Bylaws Committee Democratic National Committee 430 South Capitol Street Southeast Washington, DC 20003 To the Co-Chairs and Members of the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee: By this letter, the Nevada State Democratic Party ("NSDP") hereby lodges a formal complaint regarding the conduct of supporters of Senator Bernie Sanders at the recent State Convention held in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, May 14, 2016, as well as the conduct of representatives of Senator Sanders' presidential campaign (the "Sanders Campaign"). We believe, unfortunately, that the tactics and behavior on display here in Nevada are harbingers of things to come as Democrats gather in Philadelphia in July for our National Convention. We write to alert you to what we perceive as the Sanders Campaign's penchant for extra-parliamentary behavior—indeed, actual violence—in place of democratic conduct in a convention setting, and furthermore what we can only describe as their encouragement of, and complicity in, a very dangerous atmosphere that ended in chaos and physical threats to fellow Democrats. Indeed, the threats to the Chair of the Nevada State Democratic Party are ongoing at time of this writing, as Sanders activists have posted her cell phone and home address online, and have bombarded her with threats to her life and the safety of her family. We have attached some examples of this conduct, which is not merely offensive but obviously criminal in nature. We can provide audio of threatening phone calls made directly to the Chair, which now number in the hundreds. The explosive situation arose in large part because a portion of the community of Sanders delegates arrived at the Nevada Democratic State Convention believing itself to be a vanguard intent upon sparking a street-fight rather than attending an orderly political party process. Surprised and outraged at the idea of being out-organized and thus outnumbered in the convention hall by Clinton delegates, a portion of the Sanders delegation rushed the dais immediately upon the opening of the convention and halted the progress of any convention business for much of the day. Indeed, every point during which Sanders delegates did not agree with any aspect of the proceedings saw them press up against the dais and scream obscenities and threats at the Chair, First Vice Chair, and any other speaker. In fact, event security provided by the Paris Las Vegas Hotel & Casino took it upon themselves to increase the security perimeter around the dais so the convention could simply move forward with its routine business in relative safety. In other words, the hour-to-hour business of Nevada Democrats was necessarily conducted in an atmosphere of impending eruption of physical threats and intimidation for more than 12 hours. Scuffles, screams from bullhorns, and profane insults marked nearly the entirety of the event. Numerous medical emergencies among delegates pressed up against the dais had to be attended to throughout the day. To the great embarrassment and revulsion of the vast majority of attendees, Sanders delegates crowded the dais and shouted down universally-respected U.S. Senator Barbara Boxer of California, who had arrived as a guest of the party to deliver a keynote address in support of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. The Sanders Campaign spent its time either ignoring or profiting from the chaos it did much to create and nothing to diminish or mitigate. It was clear to the NSDP that part of the approach by the Sanders Campaign was to employ these easily-incensed delegates as shock troops to sway the convention proceedings. At the very least, these delegates became a way for the Sanders Campaign to seek the advantage of disruption at any particular moment while trying to disavow any responsibility for their actions even as it was ongoing. At no time did any Sanders representative make anything more than token gestures towards peace in the hall, and at the times of most intense crisis offered little more than shrugs and smirks. The most egregious instance of the Sanders Campaign inciting disruption—and yes, violence—came as the State Convention's Credentials Committee completed its work. Adam Gillette, part of National Delegate Operations Team for the official Sanders Campaign, drafted and arranged for a member of that committee to attempt to deliver an incendiary, inaccurate, and wholly unauthorized "minority report" charging that the Credentials Committee had fraudulently denied 64 Sanders delegates their eligibility. The final delegate count had provided the Clinton Campaign with a 33 delegate advantage in the hall; one can imagine the rage occasioned by this inflammatory charge, tossed into the tinderbox of a tense convention hall. Not only did this discredit the work of the Credentials Committee—which featured five Sanders delegates and five Clinton delegates and a Sanders co-chair, and who worked all day under extremely trying conditions to be fair and diligent in their duties—it called into question the entirety of the proceedings because it indicated to an irrational minority that the proceedings had been rigged against them. Forcing their way onto the dais to deliver this paranoid fantasy of fraud and delegate theft was clearly intended to throw the proceedings into disarray. It succeeded. From that moment on, there was little hope for any peace or mutual understanding and respect between Sanders delegates and the NSDP; the mantra became simply that the convention had been stolen from the Sanders Campaign. Never mind that six of the 64 potential Sanders delegates referenced had been seated after investigation, or that most of the remaining 58 potential delegates had been disqualified—appropriately, and by a panel evenly split between the campaigns—for not being registered Democratic voters in Nevada. Never mind that the same Credentials Committee had disqualified Clinton delegates for various reasons as well. Never mind, further, that just eight of those 64 potential Sanders delegates even attempted to register for the State Convention. All that mattered was the creation of a narrative of fraud and dispossession, which the Sanders Campaign fomented intentionally for its own political gain. This was an unconscionable act by an official Sanders Campaign representative, with full knowledge of its likely impact on the convention. Alerted by event security at approximately 10 p.m. that the situation had reached a point where public safety could no longer be assured and that the proceedings had to be concluded in very short order, the NSDP worked diligently to conclude the business of the day and adjourn the State Convention as quickly as possible. On Sunday, May 15, 2016, a group of Sanders activists attended "protests" at the NSDP's headquarters office in Las Vegas to criminally deface the building with graffiti. Las Vegas police were notified and called to the scene. The people who fostered, encouraged, and gained from the unsettling scenes at the Nevada State Democratic Convention bring dishonor and discredit to our state and national parties. Having seen up close the lack of conscience or concern for the ramifications of their actions—indeed, the glee with which they engaged in such destructive behavior—we expect similar tactics at the National Convention in July. We therefore formally complain to the DNC regarding these unfortunate events, and warn the body that the goal of many of these individuals, sanctioned or encouraged by the Sanders Campaign, is not party-building but something more sinister and unproductive. Their tactics speak for themselves, and have no place in our political process as Democrats. Thank you very much for your attention to this matter. Yours sincerely, /s/ Bradley S. Schrager Bradley S. Schrager, Esq. General Counsel Nevada State Democratic Party ###


---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: MMesserJR@webtv.net Date: Jul 7, 2008 9:25 AM Subject: Rallies? To: commander@newsaxon.org I joined NSM about five months ago and would like to attend some rallies but they are all so far away. I live in Greenville SC and was wondering if there are any planned future rallies near me, SC, NC, GA or anywhere else. I have been emailing a few guys and Ray Ellison in AL and they have none planned and stated I should email you. So I thought I would. Thanks for any info, Michael Messer 88 -- Commander Jeff Schoep "If you are not part of the solution, you are part of the problem." National Socialist Movement www.nsm88.org The information in this email is confidential and may be legally privileged. Furthermore, the NSM is not responsible for the content of this e-mail, and anything written in this e-mail does not necessarily reflect the NSM's views or opinions. Access to this email by anyone other than the intended addressee is unauthorized. If you are not the intended recipient of this message, any review, disclosure, copying, distribution, retention, or any action taken or omitted to be taken in reliance on it is prohibited and may be unlawful. If you have received this mail in error, please destroy the copy in your possession and notify: commander@newsaxon.org


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CHAPPIE/PIXELS/HOTEL T 2 (Japan) Dear Stephen, Hope you are well. We had a meeting with SMT to talk about a release date of CHAPPIE / PIXELS/ HOTEL T 2. Re:CHAPPIE Case 1 We would like to release it from May 16th ,2015. However ,WB has already offered FOCUS at the same period. We asked SMT to persuade WB into changing the release date of FOCUS and we are just waiting for their reply now. The reason why we want to release it from May 16th is because we should not go with Avengers 2 or Fast & Furious 7. Please see the competitors release date as follows; The Man From U.N.C.L.E. April 18 Avengers 2 April 25 Secret Service May 22 Fast & Furious 7 June 6 or 13 We don't have much information about domestic movies at the present. Case 2 From June 27th Tomorrow Land July 4 Terminator 5 July 10 TOHO animation July18 Inside Out July18 Mad Max July 24 Minions July 31 As you know it is very competitive during a summer vacation period of 2015 so we should release it before the season not to face them. Re:PIXELS We have reached an agreement on our release date with SMT. From September 19(Sat) There are five consecutive holidays. 2015 Calendar Sep 19 (Sat) Sep 20 (Sun) Sep 21 (National holiday) Sep 22 (National holiday) Sep 23 (National holiday) San Andreas Sep 11 Ant-Man Sep 19 Silence Sep 19 Passengers Sep 19 Many distributors aim at the same date , however, PIXELS is our tent-pole movie so we want to release it from that day. We have been informed that the release date in US is May 15 or mid July. That is good for us because we will have enough time to promote it and we can attach its trailer on summer big movies. Re : HOTEL T 2 We were planning to release it from Sep 19. But due to PIXELS releasing, our tentative release date is Oct.10. It is not the holiday season and there are only 2 national holidays in four weeks. The final box office of the previous one was 138 M JPY so we should be careful spending money on HOTEL T 2. Just between us, due to the result of the previous one, exhibitors' expectations of HOTEL T 2 are not high at the moment. We would like to discuss with you sometime next week. Sincerely , Kazushi Attachments: Major circuits release schedule(Japan)January 30th 2014.xlsx (105916 Bytes)


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Great, this is half of what I'd need to become Spider Man! Now all I need to figure out is how to do that spider web shooting thing. - Jim > -----Original Message----- > From: fork-admin@xent.com On Behalf Of > Eirikur Hallgrimsson > Sent: Monday, August 26, 2002 10:24 PM > To: FoRK > Subject: Gecko adhesion finally sussed. > > > (Via Robot Wisdom) Maybe you UC folk know these people? > >  > > Working at Lewis & Clark College, the University of California at > Berkeley, > the University of California at Santa Barbara, and Stanford University, > the interdisciplinary team: > > * confirmed speculation that the gecko's amazing climbing ability > depends on weak molecular attractive forces called van der Waals forces, > > * rejected a competing model based on the adhesion chemistry of water > molecules, and > > * discovered that the gecko's adhesive depends on geometry, not surface > chemistry. In other words, the size and shape of the tips of gecko foot > hairs--not what they are made of--determine the gecko's stickiness. > > To verify its experimental and theoretical results, the gecko group then > used its new data to fabricate prototype synthetic foot-hair tips > from two > different materials. > > "Both artificial setal tips stuck as predicted," notes Autumn, assistant > professor of biology at Lewis & Clark College in Portland, Ore. "Our > initial prototypes open the door to manufacturing the first biologically > inspired dry, adhesive microstructures, which can have widespread > applications."


Mosko's Calls a/o 10:10 Wed 6/25 OUT CALLS, 06/24/14 11:32 AM, David Smith, (Business) (410) 568-1506, OUT CALLS, 06/24/14 11:32 AM, Richard Lovett, (Business) (424) 288-2000, IN CALLS, 06/25/14 10:07 AM, Marianne, (Business) (310) 283-0995, pls call IN CALLS, 06/25/14 09:41 AM, Harry Friedman, (Mobile) (310) 600-3317, Pls call IN CALLS, 06/25/14 09:41 AM, Lynton, (Business) (310) 244-9100, Pls call IN CALLS, 06/24/14 11:11 AM, Charlie Mechem, (Mobile) (513) 608-0902, knee operation: His wife had hers done down in the desert.. Dick Ferris (his friend/big exec) had his knee done 10 years ago in


By Dan Diamond | 04/28/2016 10:10 AM EDT Andy Slavitt sits down for an exclusive interview with PULSE's new podcast, and Tom Coburn thinks the FDA has grown so unnecessarily strict, it wouldn't even approve aspirin today. But first: What's in CMS's monumental physician payment rule. WHAT'S IN MACRA - CMS on Wednesday proposed its highly anticipated changes to Medicare physician payment, the biggest reforms to doctor reimbursement in years. The agency's focus? Introducing more flexibility for physicians, who say they're over-regulated and over-measured, while further nudging them towards models designed to reimburse them for high-value care. PULSE pulled out five major takeaways from the 962-page announcement. 1) ACOs in "Track 1" of the Medicare Shared Savings Program won't qualify as an Advanced Alternative Payment Model. More for Pros. 2) CMS outlined three standards that will be used to determine whether providers are assuming more than "nominal" financial risk, a crucial metric for determining eligibility as an Advanced Alternative Payment Model. More for Pros. 3) To qualify as an Advanced Alternative Payment Model, clinicians will have to comply with a number of health IT requirements: 50 percent of clinicians must used certified EHRs by 2017, and 75 percent by 2018. 4) Meanwhile, CMS will sunset its meaningful use program - as expected - and replace it with the new Advancing Care Information program, which is intended to offer more flexibility. For instance, the ACI program would not require all-or-nothing electronic health record measurement. 5) MIPS-eligible clinicians will still be on aggressive upgrade timelines for their health IT. By 2018, clinicians will have to use 2015-edition certified products only, and will have to perform requirements which "correlate" with meaningful use stage 3. See the rule:  See the release:  Watch HHS's new explainer video on payment reform:  What they're saying - Bullish: The American Medical Association. "Our initial review suggests that CMS has been listening to physicians' concerns," said AMA president Steven Stack. "In particular, it appears that CMS has made significant improvements by recasting the EHR Meaningful Use program and by reducing quality reporting burdens." - Bearish: The American Hospital Association. "We are deeply disappointed by CMS's narrow definition of alternative payment models, which could have a chilling effect on providers' ability to experiment with new patient-centered, value-driven payment models," said AHA's Tom Nickels. "Today's rule fails to recognize the significant resources and risk assumed by the highly motivated, early adopters of alternative payment models." EXCLUSIVE: ANDY SLAVITT ON MACRA AND MORE - The CMS acting administrator sat down with PULSE for the debut of our brand-new podcast, "Pulse Check." Slavitt shared thoughts on the new physician payment rule, the future of Obamacare pilots, why drug prices could be the top priority for his successor and much more. Read the story:  Listen to the podcast:  Subcribe on iTunes:  Three fun Slavitt tidbits we learned from the podcast . He estimates he gets 27 comment letters per week - from Capitol Hill alone . He thinks "health care" is two words, not one . His willingness to be direct and honest on Twitter freaks out his colleagues THIS IS THURSDAY PULSE - Where we're bidding good morning to a certain CMS administrator, who confessed he uses PULSE to determine whether it's a good day to get out of bed. (We'd propose he rise and shine, and if that turns out to be a punitive recommendation, he can always let us know in the comment period.) Tips to ddiamond@politico.com or @ddiamond on Twitter. With help from Sarah Karlin-Smith (@SarahKarlin) THE BIPARTISAN PUSH TO KILL THE PART B DEMO - Republican lawmakers are planning to ask HHS as soon as this week to kill a Medicare demonstration project, which would reduce reimbursements for high-cost drugs given in doctors' offices and hospital outpatient centers in some parts of the country - and Democrats are joining them now too. The demonstration project is "awful," Sen. Richard Burr told Pro's Jennifer Haberkorn and Sarah Karlin-Smith. "We've spent a decade driving things out of the hospital and now all of a sudden, they're reverting back to putting it all back into the hospital," he said, citing doctors' concerns they will be driven out of business. The story for Pros:  - Why Democrats want significant changes. All 12 Democrats on the Senate Finance Committee signed on to a letter expressing their concerns with the program, including how it will interact with other payment reform efforts and Medicare demonstration projects. "We have heard numerous concerns from patients, providers and other stakeholders about the model's potential to have unintended consequences on Medicare beneficiaries' access to care and physician-administered drugs," the Democrats warn. They also caution that while CMMI "should initially implement focused demonstrations," the Part B demonstration proposes "significant and complex" changes that could affect up to 75 percent of providers. MEET HILLARY CLINTON'S TOP THREE HEALTH CARE ADVISORS - The trio of Chris Jennings, Neera Tanden and Ann O'Leary are the inner circle hoping to shape the policies guiding the Democratic front-runner into the White House, Pro's Nancy Cook reports. Clinton's known for cultivating small, loyal circles of advisers, and her top health care experts fit the bill; Jennings has guided Clinton since her 1990s health reform effort, and Clinton's relationships with Tanden and O'Leary also date back to her husband's administration. Collectively, their strategy centers on stressing Clinton's "bold and practical" stance on health care - the only politician left in the race who's vowed to preserve the Affordable Care Act and improve upon it rather than start anew. More for Pros:  PAUL RYAN WANTS TO END OBAMACARE'S PROTECTION FOR PRE-EXISTING CONDITIONS - The House speaker on Wednesday called for an end to the Affordable Care Act's ban on underwriting for pre-existing conditions, arguing that there's a less expensive alternative to cover America's sickest patients. "Let's fund risk pools at the state level to subsidize their coverage, so that they can get affordable coverage," Ryan said in a speech to students at Georgetown University. "You dramatically lower the price for everybody else. You make health insurance so much more affordable, so much more competitive and open up competition." More from Reuters:  49 percent. That's the percentage of Americans who say they or a family member have a pre-existing medical condition like cancer, diabetes or heart disease, Kaiser Family Foundation CEO Drew Altman points out. SENATE TO VALEANT: APOLOGY NOT ACCEPTED - Valeant's executive suite on Wednesday came prepared to publicly apologize for their price-hiking tactics at the Senate Aging Committee's drug price hearing. But committee leadership was on the attack before the company's executives could even testify, Pro's Sarah Karlin-Smith reports. "As for turning over a new leaf, I remain skeptical," said ranking member Claire McCaskill. Valeant hiked the price of sixteen of its drugs the last six months, McCaskill added later in the hearing. "How can you sit here and say you are sorry?" - Why the Senate was so unhappy. Lawmakers also didn't accept Valeant's claims that its pricing tactics were just a small part of the company's business plan or that it had made efforts to provide patients and hospitals with discounts on its drugs. "We have yet to find any hospitals that have received those discounts," chairwoman Susan Collins said. "Your patient assistance program does not have a good track record and has been very difficult to navigate," she added. - What's next for Valeant: A major shake-up. The company's planning to drop five long-standing board members and add four new ones in an effort to change its ways, the Wall Street Journal reports. The new board members are drawn from the pharma industry - an unusual move for Valeant, given that it publicly derided pharma firms while trying to position itself as an upstart. ** A message from PhRMA: Biopharmaceutical intellectual property (IP) protections, such as patents, provide the incentives that spur research and development and lead to lifesaving treatments and cures. Learn more here about the outcome of strong IP policies. ** THE SELLING OF OBAMA - AND OBAMACARE. Writing in POLITICO Magazine, Mike Grunwald details the "never-ending internal battle over the Obamacare message" that plagued White House media strategy in the early days of the administration. And because top officials never settled on a single message, the media strategy on the Affordable Care Act constantly fluctuated as a result. "One month we'd emphasize coverage, the next month cost, the next month taking on the insurers," former spokesman Reid Cherlin said. "The more polling you do and the more of a beating you take, the more you try different things. And you lose the narrative." Read the story:  - Media struggles extended beyond 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. On Twitter, Grunwald adds that HHS was "furious" at the White House and wanted a major advertising push to defend reform. But White House aides "didn't trust HHS [and] thought the less said the better politically." GROWING NUMBER OF DEM VOTERS WANT CONGRESS TO BUILD ON ACA - That's according to this morning's Kaiser Family Foundation tracking poll, which found that 51 percent of Democratic voters now want Congress to expand the law's scope rather than just leave it as is. That's the highest level of support for ACA expansion in at least a year and a significant increase from 36 percent of respondents in December 2015. Why the surge? The foundation's analysts muse that the rhetoric around universal coverage in the Democratic presidential campaign may be the chief culprit. See the poll:  U.S. MILITARY WILL FINALLY EXPLAIN WHY IT BOMBED A DOCTORS WITHOUT BORDERS HOSPITAL - That's according to NBC News, which reportsthat the military on Friday will release its investigation into the October bombing of a Doctors Without Borders trauma center in Afghanistan that killed at least 42 people. According to NBC's report: . The military will offer a detailed timeline and release a heavily redacted version of the investigation . Several service members faced administrative punishment, but not criminal charges SOME STATES PAY MORE THAN DOUBLE WHAT OTHERS DO FOR HEALTH CARE - That's according to a new analysis from the Health Care Cost Institute, the latest report to quantify the massive cost variation in the U.S. health care system. The authors acknowledge that the existence of regional cost variation is widely known, but say they're still puzzled by the forces behind them. And they call on regulators and researchers to keep exploring a key question: "Why do prices for the same service differ markedly across distances of only a few miles, and what amount of that difference is justifiable?" See the report:  States with the highest health care prices, relatively . Alaska (164 percent higher than the national average) . Wisconsin (91 percent higher) . North Dakota (68 percent higher) States with the lowest health care prices, relatively . Florida (21 percent lower) . Arizona (18 percent) . Maryland (12 percent) MANHATTAN INSTITUTE OFFERS PRESCRIPTION ON CANCER DRUG REFORMS - The free-market think tank is out with a new report on using precision medicine to improve outcomes and value, ahead of its 10 a.m. briefing on Capitol Hill today. The report's chief argument: That a series of regulatory reforms and emerging technologies would allow FDA to more quickly bring drugs to market, better reward innovative drug makers and lower costs for patients and providers. For instance, the institute concludes that the growing focus on cancer genomics won't only lead to new breakthroughs in targeted medicine, but improve oncology pricing too. "The rise of precision-medicine databases and analytical tools that can tell doctors and patients how best to match a specific drug with a specific patient's disease may well help solve the problem of drug-price sticker shock," the report reads. See the report:  - Coburn no fan of FDA. At a small dinner on Wednesday, retired Sen. Tom Coburn - a Manhattan Institute adviser - said that the agency is missing opportunities to approve innovative drugs because it's grown too focused on relatively inconsequential risks. "Aspirin would not be approved today by the FDA," Coburn said. CANCER RESEARCH FIRM CEO'S SALARY: $329.7 MILLION - Patrick Soon-Shiong was the highest-paid U.S. executive of 2015, according to the Bloomberg Pay Index this morning. The CEO of NantKwest made most of his money from stock options granted before the company's initial public offering. NEW YORK CHANGES TUNE ON HEP C DRUGS FOR MEDICAID PATIENTS - The state is backing off guidelines that deny Medicaid patients access to Sovaldi and Harvoni until they became very ill, POLITICO's Dan Goldberg and Kassie Parisi report.  HAPPY (BELATED) BIRTHDAY ... to Aubree Eliza Weaver, the terrific POLITICO Web producer who'll be the first person to see this, given how early she gets up to help get PULSE out the door. WHAT WE'RE READING by Paul Demko Addiction treatment centers are plagued by staffing shortages, a problem being exacerbated by the opioid crisis, reports the Wall Street Journal.  Tennessee Gov. Bill Haslam signed legislation allowing mental health counselors to refuse treatment to a patient based on the therapist's personal beliefs. The American Counseling Association calls it a "hate bill," the Tennessean points out.  A comprehensive opioid treatment model developed in Maryland is spreading to other states, reports Stateline.  Mounting evidence suggests outcomes from telemedicine appointments are at least as good as results from in-person doctor visits, explains Austin Frakt at Academy Health.  A trio of prominent health systems are trying to reduce the number of complex surgical procedures performed by inexperienced doctors, Kaiser Health News reports.  ** A message from PhRMA: Take a moment to consider the impact that strong and robust IP policies have on our daily lives and on the country. 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Dear Participants, Please find attached the Minutes of the SRES Meeting in Laxenburg, June 14-16. 1997. Please note that the list of participants will be sent additionally Monday, 4th of August. Best regards, Arnulf Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\finalmin.doc" Dr. Arnulf Gruebler Environmentally Compatible Energy Strategies International Institute for | Email: gruebler@iiasa.ac.at Applied Systems Analysis | Phone: +43 2236 807 470 A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria | Fax: +43 2236 71313


Doug, Maybe Steve sent you the two emails I've resent. Ignore my ramblings at the end of one, but I was getting a little fed up. The Legates email is at the end, in case you're interested. The pdf is worth a read. Odd that he writes a press release, then starts working on a paper. We've very occasionally written a press release, but only after the paper has come out. I tried to explain the 'missing' rings. They aren't missing, but due to the samples not being right for density measurements. All Schweingruber's chronologies are constructed this way - traditional ring width measurements aren't made. Some of the Russian groups he's worked with have added extra ring width cores and sometime get longer series, but all the data Keith and I work with is from Fritz, so if density is missing, then RW is also. Fritz did almost all the coring - 99% of the sites. We only help coring on a couple of occasions. This comes from alignment tracking as you say, but Fritz also says it is partly due to the need to extract the lignin and to avoid resin. When we cored together, he was always saying we weren't doing it properly getting twisted cores. I'm not a proper dendro person, as I only got into this because of Keith - it may not be lignin, but something has to be extracted with solvents. The Polar Urals site was collected by Fritz and Stepan Shiyatov. There are living trees back to the 1500s and then stumps at a slightly higher elevation. Stepan has been back more recently and regeneration is occurring at higher levels, but it is taking time. Tree lines take a while to respond to the recent warmth in some regions. Once the trees are established and not killed by frosts/snow in winter they survive even if it gets cooler. I discussed this in a review paper in RoG attached. The section on the issue is brief. All the cores were collected over a couple of days. Fritz made a mistake with the labelling for one core and that explains the 400 years of missing values. Someone at WDCP must have combined the cores with the same ids. Dendro people are always looking for the oldest trees and we kept the earliest series in. Steve seems to have a thing about these and the 10th and 11th centuries, but they are correctly dated. Fritz uses loads of plots and pointer years and doesn't make mistakes normally. There is a very distinct year at AD 1032. Fritz is also cross dating with LWW and EWW and other features and not just on RW. I say not just, he normally does with density. At the coring stage Fritz had no idea of the ages of the stumps (well just the number of years). There may have been samples off the front that couldn't be dated at all, for all I know. I suspect though they are roughly the same calendar age, as the site has distinct dates for the start of trees, which represent regeneration periods. Maybe you can try and explain the tree-line argument to Steve. When he had to omit parts of cores, he was always able to know where the two parts sat in the sequence. We need to keep them together to do things like RCS. Anyway, I have to go home - it's been very wet lately and the grass has grown. The lawn must be mowed when the sun shines. Keep pushing that he should write up what he does (and Ross) in proper journals. E&E and Climate Research are not read by many now. I only look at them when I get alerted and I remain exasperated. Cheers Phil Legates email Phil Jones has made a valid point in that some of the articles cited in my critique do not 'directly' address problems with Mann and Jones (MJ) but rather, address problems with earlier works by Mann, Bradley, and Hughes (MBH) and other colleagues. Fair enough - I have changed the critique to reflect that fact. The revised version has been posted since July 19 at: [1] However, I still contend that most of my original arguments - namely, the problems with the shaft, blade, and sheath - apply equally to Mann and Jones as well as the other Mann et al. manifestations of the 'hockey stick'. MJ incorporate data from a number of the same sources as those used by MBH; for example, Mann's unpublished PC1 from the western North American tree-ring data, Cook's Tasmanian tree rings, Thompson's Quelccaya and Dunde ice core oxygen isotope records (the latter embedded in Yang's Chinese composite), and Fisher's stacked Greenland ice core oxygen isotope record. Calibration and verification of MJ includes the flawed MBH curve. Thus, any errors in MBH effectively undermine the calibration-verification results of MJ, leaving this study unsupported and any problems with the underlying common proxies identified in critiques of MBH will also result in identical problems in MJ. My criticism regarding the blade is that 0.6 deg C warming for the last century is noted by the IPCC whereas MJ (and other M et al representations) have up to 0.95 deg C warming in their observed record. See MJ's figure 2 where for the global and NH reconstruction, their estimates for 2000 exceed +0.4 and +0.5 (nearly +0.6), respectively. MJ's NH curve is included in the attached graph. Thus, I stand by my criticism of MJ on this point, which is more egregious in MJ than other M et al representations. >From Jones: "The trend over the 20th century in the Figure and in the instrumental data. IPCC quotes 0.6 deg C over the 1901-2000 period. Fact - but Legates is eyeballing the curve to get 0.95 deg C. A figure isn't given in Mann and Jones (2003). Take it from me the trend is about the same as the instrumental record." Funny, but there IS a figure in MJ - see their Figure 2. As for me 'eyeballing' an apparently non-existent curve, I attach a figure from Soon et al. (2004) that contains a portion of MJ's Figure 2 to allow others to decide for themselves whether MJ suggest a twentieth century warming of 0.6 deg C or 0.95 deg C. Moreover, maybe someone can explain why every time Mann and his colleagues draft another curve, the temperature in 2000 gets warmer and warmer after the fact... My criticisms regarding the sheath (largely from a paper on which I am working) stem from the characterization of the uncertainty by MJ that arises solely from the 'fit' statistics to the 1600-1855 period using cross-validation with, not observations, but composites of three previously compiled reconstructions, including that developed by MBH - the focus of known flaws and errors in the shaft. Note that some of the same data are used in both MBH and MJ, which doesn't allow for a truly independent cross-validation. My rather obvious point was not that fit statistics should not be included (as Jones asserts) but that MJ included no errors in either input realization (observations or proxy data) or other obvious sources of error. The claim by MBH and MJ is that only the model lack-of-fit contributes to uncertainty is inherently flawed. Considerable errors exist in the representation of both fields - annual temperatures from both observations and proxy records - and must be incorporated. Clearly, there is a spatial bias associated with observations that are biased away from the oceans, high latitudes, and high altitudes. The spatial problem is far more pronounced when only a handful of proxies are used to represent the global temperatures at earlier time periods. Both MBH and MJ are equally guilty in this regard. David R. Legates Several people have asked me for the full references to the works I have cited. They are: Chapman, D.S., M.G. Bartlett, and R.N. Harris (2004): Comment on 'Ground vs. surface air temperature trends: Implications for borehole surface temperature reconstructions' by M.E. Mann and G. Schmidt. Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L07205, doi:10.1029/2003GL019054. Esper, J, E.R. Cook, and F.H. Schweingruber (2002): Low-frequency signals in long tree-ring chronologies for reconstructing past temperature variability, Science, 295, 2250-2253. Esper, J, D.C. Frank, and R.J.S. Wilson (2004): Climate reconstructions: Low-frequency ambition and high-frequency ratification. EOS, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union, Vol. 85 (12):113,120. IPCC TAR (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Third Assessment Report) (2001): Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Houghton, J.T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D.J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., Dai, X., Maskell, K., Johnson, C.A. (Eds.), Cambridge University Press. Mann, M.E., R.S. Bradley, and M.K. Hughes (1998): Global-Scale Temperature Patterns and Climate Forcing Over the Past Six Centuries, Nature, 392, 779-787. [see also the correction in Nature - Mann, Bradley, and Hughes, 2004] Mann, M.E., R.S. Bradley, and M.K. Hughes (1999): Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and Limitations. Geophysical Research Letters, 26, 759-762. Mann, M.E., and P.D. Jones (2003): Global surface temperature over the past two millennia, Geophysical Research Letters, 30(15), 1820, doi: 10.1029/2003GL017814. Mann, M.E., and G. Schmidt (2003): Ground vs. surface air temperature trends: Implications for borehole surface temperature reconstructions. Geophysical Research Letters, 30(12), 1607, doi:10.1029/2003GL017170. McIntyre, S., and R. McKitrick (2003): Corrections to the Mann et al (1998) Proxy Data Based and Northern Hemispheric Average Temperature Series. Energy and Environment, 14, 751-771. Pollack, H.N., and J.E. Smerdon (2004): Borehole climate reconstructions: Spatial structure and hemispheric averages. Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, D11106, doi:10.1029/2003JD004163. Rutherford, S., and M.E. Mann (2004): Correction to 'Optimal surface temperature reconstructions using terrestrial borehole data'. Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, D11107, doi:10.1029/2003JD004290. Soon, W.-H., S.L. Baliunas, C. Idso, S. Idso, and D.R. Legates (2003): Reconstructing Climatic and Environmental Changes of the Past 1000 Years: A Reappraisal. Energy and Environment, 14:233-296. Soon, W.-H., D.R. Legates, and S.L. Baliunas (2004): Estimation and Representation of Long-Term (>40 year) trends of Northern-Hemisphere-gridded Surface Temperature: A Note of Caution. Geophysical Research Letters, 31(3). Prof. Phil Jones Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090 School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784 University of East Anglia Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk NR4 7TJ UK ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- References 1.


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I don't think we should go there. Any PC analysis on proxy data will be picked apart by the skeptics, even if it yields some useful insight, and I don't recall there being anything too exciting in the pattern given the limited amount of data. Dave On Wed, Jun 3, 2009 at 5:42 PM, Darrell Kaufman wrote: Dave and Nick: I've been thinking about the remaining holes in the manuscript. Spatial patterns are important. At one point we explored the spatial pattern of the PC scores. I think it would be good to bring this up in the SOM. I could make a dot map showing the site locations and their correlations with PC1. The upshot would be that the proxy types are not uniformly distributed, and there are too few records to discern any spatial patterns from any geographical or proxy-type bias (e.g., high-elevation ice cores). Thoughts? Darrell References 1. mailto:Darrell.Kaufman@nau.edu


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