" >> >To: Fortunat Joos >> >Subject: Re: [Wg1-ar4-ch06] Follow-up from Christchurch >> >References: >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> >In-Reply-To: >> >X-Scanned-By: MIMEDefang 2.52 >> >X-Virus-checked: by University of Berne >> > >> >Dear Fortunat, >> > >> >Attached is a file of the new lower estimates of >> >annual TSI since 1610, as well as references >> >that describe how the irradiance was >> >reconstructed. For comparison, I've also >> >attached the earlier (GRL, 2000) reconstruction >> >which has larger long-term variability. >> > >> >I can also send you monthly mean values since >> >1880 if you would prefer those. As well, instead >> >of the total irradiance, I can send you files of >> >actual spectra - depending on what you want to >> >use as input to your model I can make the >> >spectra on a specified wavelength grid, if this >> >would help. >> > >> >Let me know if you need more than just the >> >annual TSI. As well, I'd be interested to hear >> >about your results! (which I guess I'll be able >> >to read in IPCC). >> > >> >Best wishes, >> >Judith >> >. >> >Fortunat Joos wrote: >> > >> >>Dear Judith, >> >> >> >>Please allow me to contact you with regard to >> >>your solar forcing reconstructions. >> >> >> >>IPCC WGI chapter 6 is planning to run a couple >> >>of intermediate complexity models (Climber and >> >>BernCC) with your new low solar forcing records >> >>for comparing the impact of low and high solar >> >>on NH temperature. Would you mind to provide us >> >>with your most recent, published forcing >> >>estimates as shown in chapter 2. An ascii (or >> >>excel table) would be fine. Could you provide a >> >>central value as well as uncertainty estimates. >> >>The material should be fully consistent with >> >>chapter 2 for cross-reference. >> >> >> >>Thank you for all your help, >> >> >> >>Fortunat Joos >> >> >> >>Stefan Rahmstorf wrote: >> >> >> >>>Hi Peck, >> >>> >> >>>Eva is ready to start CLIMBER-2 with the same >> >>>forcings as in her paper, except for swapping >> >>>the solar series (she has used different solar >> >>>series in her paper anyway). That would show >> >>>the impact of just swapping to a new solar >> >>>reconstruction. But she can easily run with a >> >>>full identical set of forcings as Fortunat - >> >>>the bottom line is, whatever forcing you >> >>>supply we can run, as long as it is given in >> >>>some radiative forcing units (we do not have a >> >>>model that could compute radiative forcing > > >>>from aerosol concentrations). >> >>> >> >>>Cheers, Stefan >> >>> >> >>>Jonathan Overpeck wrote: >> >>> >> >>>>Hi Stefan - thanks. I'm not sure if we can >> >>>>more that fast, but if David can get the new >> >>>>solar forcing, then perhaps you could then >> >>>>run w/ the other forcings the same as the >> >>>>Bauer runs? I'll cc to Fortunat too, since he >> >>>>has offered to carry out the same runs w/ the >> >>>>Bern model - he might have the new/latest >> >>>>Lean solar series too (I think back to 1600 >> >>>>only). It would be good to have both CLIMBER >> >>>>(two versions) and BernCC runs with the same >> >>>>(or very similar) forcing, so perhaps you two > > >>>>can coordinate in European time. Keep Eystein >> >>>>and me posted - David too, in case Fortunat >> >>>>already has the new solar series. Thanks, Peck >> >>>> >> >>>>>Hi Jonathan, I got a positive response for >> >>>>>doing those runs with both models - but it >> >>>>>would be good to get the forcing time series >> >>>>>we should use within a day, to start at >> >>>>>least the slow model before the christmas >> >>>>>holidays. >> >>>>> >> >>>>>Stefan >> >>>> >> >>>> >> >>>> >> >>>> >> >>>> >> >>> >> >>> >> >>> >> >> >> > >> > >> >Fri Jul 29 17:56:43 2005 >> >Total Solar Irradiance consistent with Wang et al (ApJ, 2005) >> >Background component used in Lean (GRL, 2000) is reduced by 0.27 >> > Year 11yr Cycle 11yr+background >> > 1610.5 1365.8477 1365.5469 >> > 1611.5 1365.8342 1365.5300 >> > 1612.5 1366.2461 1365.9279 >> > 1613.5 1366.3650 1366.0399 >> > 1614.5 1366.4451 1366.1143 >> > 1615.5 1366.1591 1365.8314 >> > 1616.5 1365.7358 1365.4148 >> > 1617.5 1365.6107 1365.2889 >> > 1618.5 1365.6038 1365.2783 >> > 1619.5 1365.7001 1365.3684 >> > 1620.5 1365.7001 1365.3645 >> > 1621.5 1365.7001 1365.3607 >> > 1622.5 1365.7001 1365.3568 >> > 1623.5 1365.7001 1365.3530 >> > 1624.5 1365.6621 1365.3121 >> > 1625.5 1365.8926 1365.5303 >> > 1626.5 1365.7816 1365.4191 >> > 1627.5 1365.7106 1365.3418 >> > 1628.5 1365.7577 1365.3518 >> > 1629.5 1365.7261 1365.2922 >> > 1630.5 1365.5946 1365.1428 >> > 1631.5 1365.6255 1365.1515 >> > 1632.5 1365.5946 1365.1183 >> > 1633.5 1365.6951 1365.2158 >> > 1634.5 1365.6157 1365.1362 >> > 1635.5 1365.6249 1365.1411 >> > 1636.5 1365.5946 1365.1080 >> > 1637.5 1365.5946 1365.1046 >> > 1638.5 1366.0768 1365.5710 >> > 1639.5 1366.1344 1365.6241 >> > 1640.5 1365.7001 1365.1936 >> > 1641.5 1365.5946 1365.0815 >> > 1642.5 1365.9277 1365.4006 >> > 1643.5 1365.7183 1365.1824 >> > 1644.5 1365.6761 1365.1272 >> > 1645.5 1365.5946 1365.0454 >> > 1646.5 1365.5946 1365.0449 >> > 1647.5 1365.5946 1365.0443 >> > 1648.5 1365.5946 1365.0424 >> > 1649.5 1365.5946 1365.0399 >> > 1650.5 1365.5946 1365.0389 >> > 1651.5 1365.5946 1365.0383 >> > 1652.5 1365.6227 1365.0657 >> > 1653.5 1365.6010 1365.0439 >> > 1654.5 1365.5995 1365.0358 >> > 1655.5 1365.5981 1365.0260 >> > 1656.5 1365.5989 1365.0249 >> > 1657.5 1365.5961 1365.0199 >> > 1658.5 1365.5946 1365.0145 >> > 1659.5 1365.5946 1365.0125 >> > 1660.5 1365.6086 1365.0259 >> > 1661.5 1365.6002 1365.0178 >> > 1662.5 1365.5946 1365.0125 >> > 1663.5 1365.5946 1365.0125 >> > 1664.5 1365.5946 1365.0126 >> > 1665.5 1365.5946 1365.0127 >> > 1666.5 1365.5946 1365.0127 >> > 1667.5 1365.5946 1365.0125 >> > 1668.5 1365.5946 1365.0122 >> > 1669.5 1365.5946 1365.0122 >> > 1670.5 1365.5946 1365.0122 >> > 1671.5 1365.6010 1365.0183 >> > 1672.5 1365.5974 1365.0148 >> > 1673.5 1365.5946 1365.0122 >> > 1674.5 1365.5961 1365.0135 >> > 1675.5 1365.5946 1365.0120 >> > 1676.5 1365.6073 1365.0239 >> > 1677.5 1365.5967 1365.0134 > > > 1678.5 1365.5961 1365.0128 >> > 1679.5 1365.5946 1365.0115 >> > 1680.5 1365.6002 1365.0170 >> > 1681.5 1365.5946 1365.0115 >> > 1682.5 1365.5946 1365.0115 >> > 1683.5 1365.5946 1365.0115 >> > 1684.5 1365.6045 1365.0211 >> > 1685.5 1365.5946 1365.0117 >> > 1686.5 1365.5989 1365.0159 >> > 1687.5 1365.5953 1365.0126 >> > 1688.5 1365.5981 1365.0159 >> > 1689.5 1365.5961 1365.0146 >> > 1690.5 1365.5946 1365.0143 >> > 1691.5 1365.5946 1365.0157 >> > 1692.5 1365.5946 1365.0172 >> > 1693.5 1365.5946 1365.0177 >> > 1694.5 1365.5946 1365.0179 > > > 1695.5 1365.5953 1365.0186 >> > 1696.5 1365.5946 1365.0178 >> > 1697.5 1365.5946 1365.0178 >> > 1698.5 1365.5946 1365.0179 >> > 1699.5 1365.5946 1365.0184 >> > 1700.5 1365.5974 1365.0216 >> > 1701.5 1365.5981 1365.0236 >> > 1702.5 1365.5989 1365.0266 >> > 1703.5 1365.6135 1365.0444 >> > 1704.5 1365.6234 1365.0594 >> > 1705.5 1365.6333 1365.0752 >> > 1706.5 1365.6171 1365.0637 >> > 1707.5 1365.6318 1365.0802 >> > 1708.5 1365.6143 1365.0658 >> > 1709.5 1365.6058 1365.0614 >> > 1710.5 1365.5974 1365.0634 >> > 1711.5 1365.5946 1365.0739 >> > 1712.5 1365.5946 1365.0798 >> > 1713.5 1365.5967 1365.0863 >> > 1714.5 1365.6010 1365.1023 >> > 1715.5 1365.6199 1365.1294 >> > 1716.5 1365.6586 1365.1694 >> > 1717.5 1365.7177 1365.2294 >> > 1718.5 1365.6578 1365.1707 >> > 1719.5 1365.8329 1365.3429 >> > 1720.5 1365.7590 1365.2859 >> > 1721.5 1365.7450 1365.2880 >> > 1722.5 1365.6719 1365.2209 >> > 1723.5 1365.6255 1365.1837 >> > 1724.5 1365.7042 1365.2681 >> > 1725.5 1365.6846 1365.2574 >> > 1726.5 1365.8490 1365.4274 >> > 1727.5 1365.8512 1365.4327 >> > 1728.5 1366.0459 1365.6237 >> > 1729.5 1365.7633 1365.3479 >> > 1730.5 1366.0845 1365.6605 >> > 1731.5 1365.5946 1365.1812 >> > 1732.5 1365.7211 1365.3090 >> > 1733.5 1365.5946 1365.1984 >> > 1734.5 1365.5946 1365.2086 >> > 1735.5 1365.7233 1365.3386 >> > 1736.5 1365.9362 1365.5486 >> > 1737.5 1365.7633 1365.3827 >> > 1738.5 1365.7141 1365.3370 >> > 1739.5 1365.9636 1365.5795 >> > 1740.5 1365.6599 1365.2811 >> > 1741.5 1366.0001 1365.6107 >> > 1742.5 1365.7078 1365.3247 >> > 1743.5 1365.6530 1365.2698 >> > 1744.5 1365.5946 1365.2137 >> > 1745.5 1365.5946 1365.2164 >> > 1746.5 1365.5946 1365.2223 >> > 1747.5 1365.5946 1365.2305 >> > 1748.5 1366.0233 1365.6548 >> > 1749.5 1366.0388 1365.6749 >> > 1750.5 1366.0023 1365.6385 >> > 1751.5 1365.8314 1365.4680 >> > 1752.5 1365.7985 1365.4402 >> > 1753.5 1365.7626 1365.4220 >> > 1754.5 1365.6565 1365.3351 >> > 1755.5 1365.6277 1365.3220 >> > 1756.5 1365.6459 1365.3501 >> > 1757.5 1365.7689 1365.4734 >> > 1758.5 1365.8806 1365.5867 >> > 1759.5 1365.9425 1365.6501 >> > 1760.5 1365.9144 1365.6254 >> > 1761.5 1366.0760 1365.7898 >> > 1762.5 1365.9193 1365.6514 >> > 1763.5 1365.8350 1365.5811 >> > 1764.5 1365.8090 1365.5573 >> > 1765.5 1365.6537 1365.4065 >> > 1766.5 1365.6206 1365.3759 >> > 1767.5 1365.8329 1365.5817 >> > 1768.5 1366.0957 1365.8346 >> > 1769.5 1366.2869 1366.0194 >> > 1770.5 1366.2806 1366.0220 >> > 1771.5 1366.1527 1365.9155 >> > 1772.5 1366.0599 1365.8433 >> > 1773.5 1365.8224 1365.6243 >> > 1774.5 1365.7760 1365.5862 >> > 1775.5 1365.6339 1365.4493 >> > 1776.5 1365.6937 1365.5039 >> > 1777.5 1365.8638 1365.6656 >> > 1778.5 1366.1007 1365.8955 >> > 1779.5 1366.1625 1365.9534 >> > 1780.5 1365.9812 1365.7753 > > > 1781.5 1366.0944 1365.8868 >> > 1782.5 1365.8258 1365.6217 >> > 1783.5 1365.7429 1365.5284 >> > 1784.5 1365.6283 1365.3966 >> > 1785.5 1365.7070 1365.4558 >> > 1786.5 1366.0396 1365.7682 >> > 1787.5 1366.2216 1365.9337 >> > 1788.5 1366.1744 1365.8801 >> > 1789.5 1366.1548 1365.8595 >> > 1790.5 1366.0521 1365.7604 >> > 1791.5 1365.8982 1365.6101 >> > 1792.5 1365.8898 1365.5961 >> > 1793.5 1365.8828 1365.5756 >> > 1794.5 1365.8069 1365.4816 >> > 1795.5 1365.7050 1365.3645 >> > 1796.5 1365.6909 1365.3348 >> > 1797.5 1365.6487 1365.2817 > > > 1798.5 1365.6277 1365.2567 >> > 1799.5 1365.6339 1365.2629 >> > 1800.5 1365.6719 1365.3035 >> > 1801.5 1365.9537 1365.5757 >> > 1802.5 1365.8428 1365.4541 >> > 1803.5 1365.7246 1365.3218 >> > 1804.5 1365.7465 1365.3257 >> > 1805.5 1365.7745 1365.3361 >> > 1806.5 1365.6881 1365.2385 >> > 1807.5 1365.6298 1365.1710 >> > 1808.5 1365.6193 1365.1458 >> > 1809.5 1365.6030 1365.1180 >> > 1810.5 1365.5946 1365.1094 >> > 1811.5 1365.5967 1365.1222 >> > 1812.5 1365.6227 1365.1631 >> > 1813.5 1365.6586 1365.2117 >> > 1814.5 1365.6677 1365.2355 >> > 1815.5 1365.7126 1365.2906 >> > 1816.5 1365.8110 1365.3866 >> > 1817.5 1365.7914 1365.3600 >> > 1818.5 1365.7471 1365.3119 >> > 1819.5 1365.7295 1365.2968 >> > 1820.5 1365.6698 1365.2410 >> > 1821.5 1365.6249 1365.2194 >> > 1822.5 1365.6157 1365.2432 >> > 1823.5 1365.6030 1365.2483 >> > 1824.5 1365.6305 1365.2893 >> > 1825.5 1365.6958 1365.3627 >> > 1826.5 1365.7957 1365.4659 >> > 1827.5 1365.9066 1365.5771 >> > 1828.5 1365.9952 1365.6646 >> > 1829.5 1366.0107 1365.6825 >> > 1830.5 1366.0465 1365.7235 >> > 1831.5 1365.8701 1365.5585 >> > 1832.5 1365.7542 1365.4565 >> > 1833.5 1365.6403 1365.3612 >> > 1834.5 1365.6635 1365.3966 >> > 1835.5 1365.9200 1365.6577 >> > 1836.5 1366.2988 1366.0393 >> > 1837.5 1366.3635 1366.1127 >> > 1838.5 1366.1387 1365.8997 >> > 1839.5 1366.0521 1365.8174 >> > 1840.5 1365.9341 1365.7007 >> > 1841.5 1365.7816 1365.5490 >> > 1842.5 1365.7267 1365.4940 >> > 1843.5 1365.6522 1365.4237 >> > 1844.5 1365.6775 1365.4543 >> > 1845.5 1365.8041 1365.5820 >> > 1846.5 1365.9025 1365.6803 >> > 1847.5 1366.0023 1365.7816 >> > 1848.5 1366.1976 1365.9781 >> > 1849.5 1366.1829 1365.9691 >> > 1850.5 1365.9812 1365.7698 >> > 1851.5 1366.0029 1365.7744 >> > 1852.5 1365.9446 1365.6947 >> > 1853.5 1365.8448 1365.5848 >> > 1854.5 1365.7162 1365.4614 >> > 1855.5 1365.6262 1365.3828 >> > 1856.5 1365.6163 1365.3853 >> > 1857.5 1365.7169 1365.4946 >> > 1858.5 1365.9066 1365.6875 >> > 1859.5 1366.1260 1365.9054 >> > 1860.5 1366.1963 1365.9718 >> > 1861.5 1366.0916 1365.8623 >> > 1862.5 1365.9496 1365.7120 >> > 1863.5 1365.8821 1365.6283 >> > 1864.5 1365.8370 1365.5660 >> > 1865.5 1365.7534 1365.4755 >> > 1866.5 1365.6909 1365.4119 >> > 1867.5 1365.6382 1365.3597 >> > 1868.5 1365.7977 1365.5194 >> > 1869.5 1366.0325 1365.7557 >> > 1870.5 1366.2708 1365.9944 >> > 1871.5 1366.2054 1365.9343 >> > 1872.5 1366.1576 1365.8876 >> > 1873.5 1365.9580 1365.6866 >> > 1874.5 1365.8406 1365.5582 >> > 1875.5 1365.7035 1365.4095 >> > 1876.5 1365.6586 1365.3593 >> > 1877.5 1365.6543 1365.3596 >> > 1878.5 1365.6135 1365.3309 >> > 1879.5 1365.6255 1365.3533 >> > 1880.5 1365.7689 1365.5000 >> > 1881.5 1365.9124 1365.6443 >> > 1882.5 1365.9313 1365.6676 >> > 1883.5 1365.9791 1365.7147 > > > 1884.5 1365.8812 1365.6166 >> > 1885.5 1365.7909 1365.5070 >> > 1886.5 1365.6487 1365.3417 >> > 1887.5 1365.6234 1365.2982 >> > 1888.5 1365.5962 1365.2628 >> > 1889.5 1365.5652 1365.2344 >> > 1890.5 1365.5912 1365.2690 >> > 1891.5 1365.8303 1365.5204 >> > 1892.5 1365.9163 1365.6190 >> > 1893.5 1366.0458 1365.7600 >> > 1894.5 1366.1332 1365.8553 >> > 1895.5 1366.0166 1365.7390 >> > 1896.5 1365.8434 1365.5581 >> > 1897.5 1365.7094 1365.4126 >> > 1898.5 1365.6982 1365.3899 >> > 1899.5 1365.6534 1365.3381 >> > 1900.5 1365.6216 1365.3074 > > > 1901.5 1365.5294 1365.2292 >> > 1902.5 1365.5165 1365.2378 >> > 1903.5 1365.7083 1365.4479 >> > 1904.5 1365.9651 1365.7180 >> > 1905.5 1365.7684 1365.5291 >> > 1906.5 1365.9651 1365.7255 >> > 1907.5 1365.8604 1365.6097 >> > 1908.5 1365.9426 1365.6748 >> > 1909.5 1365.8459 1365.5642 >> > 1910.5 1365.7173 1365.4309 >> > 1911.5 1365.6285 1365.3473 >> > 1912.5 1365.5706 1365.3010 >> > 1913.5 1365.5739 1365.3175 >> > 1914.5 1365.6302 1365.3844 >> > 1915.5 1365.9285 1365.6890 >> > 1916.5 1366.1349 1365.8990 >> > 1917.5 1366.2821 1366.0480 >> > 1918.5 1366.2454 1366.0096 >> > 1919.5 1366.0179 1365.7802 >> > 1920.5 1365.8523 1365.6178 >> > 1921.5 1365.7351 1365.5127 >> > 1922.5 1365.6019 1365.3948 >> > 1923.5 1365.6211 1365.4265 >> > 1924.5 1365.6436 1365.4581 >> > 1925.5 1365.8406 1365.6622 >> > 1926.5 1365.9348 1365.7633 >> > 1927.5 1366.1135 1365.9468 >> > 1928.5 1365.9885 1365.8245 >> > 1929.5 1365.9429 1365.7833 >> > 1930.5 1365.9159 1365.7655 >> > 1931.5 1365.7780 1365.6436 >> > 1932.5 1365.6583 1365.5364 >> > 1933.5 1365.5300 1365.4156 >> > 1934.5 1365.6361 1365.5275 >> > 1935.5 1365.8500 1365.7439 >> > 1936.5 1366.2373 1366.1333 >> > 1937.5 1366.1718 1366.0676 >> > 1938.5 1366.1079 1366.0031 >> > 1939.5 1366.0894 1365.9868 >> > 1940.5 1366.0143 1365.9242 >> > 1941.5 1365.9130 1365.8451 >> > 1942.5 1365.7847 1365.7419 >> > 1943.5 1365.6052 1365.5841 >> > 1944.5 1365.6224 1365.6140 >> > 1945.5 1365.8850 1365.8810 >> > 1946.5 1365.9818 1365.9791 >> > 1947.5 1366.2190 1366.2185 >> > 1948.5 1366.3475 1366.3490 >> > 1949.5 1366.2528 1366.2555 >> > 1950.5 1366.0098 1366.0131 >> > 1951.5 1365.7721 1365.7765 >> > 1952.5 1365.7653 1365.7676 >> > 1953.5 1365.6313 1365.6284 >> > 1954.5 1365.6599 1365.6564 >> > 1955.5 1365.7793 1365.7773 >> > 1956.5 1366.3097 1366.3109 >> > 1957.5 1366.6632 1366.6681 >> > 1958.5 1366.6246 1366.6328 >> > 1959.5 1366.3717 1366.3828 >> > 1960.5 1366.2682 1366.2767 >> > 1961.5 1365.9230 1365.9199 >> > 1962.5 1365.7656 1365.7484 >> > 1963.5 1365.7152 1365.6963 >> > 1964.5 1365.7114 1365.6976 >> > 1965.5 1365.7378 1365.7341 >> > 1966.5 1365.9058 1365.9178 >> > 1967.5 1366.0889 1366.1143 >> > 1968.5 1366.1295 1366.1644 >> > 1969.5 1366.2069 1366.2476 >> > 1970.5 1366.2036 1366.2426 >> > 1971.5 1365.9354 1365.9580 >> > 1972.5 1366.0519 1366.0525 >> > 1973.5 1365.8131 1365.7991 >> > 1974.5 1365.7448 1365.7271 >> > 1975.5 1365.5466 1365.5345 >> > 1976.5 1365.6458 1365.6453 >> > 1977.5 1365.8248 1365.8331 >> > 1978.5 1366.2616 1366.2747 >> > 1979.5 1366.6193 1366.6348 >> > 1980.5 1366.6323 1366.6482 >> > 1981.5 1366.6829 1366.6951 >> > 1982.5 1366.2808 1366.2859 >> > 1983.5 1366.1989 1366.1992 >> > 1984.5 1365.8088 1365.8103 >> > 1985.5 1365.6382 1365.6416 >> > 1986.5 1365.6345 1365.6379 > > > 1987.5 1365.7865 1365.7899 >> > 1988.5 1366.0792 1366.0826 >> > 1989.5 1366.6445 1366.6479 >> > 1990.5 1366.5499 1366.5533 >> > 1991.5 1366.4423 1366.4457 >> > 1992.5 1366.2987 1366.3021 >> > 1993.5 1366.0251 1366.0286 >> > 1994.5 1365.7937 1365.7971 >> > 1995.5 1365.6962 1365.6996 >> > 1996.5 1365.6086 1365.6121 >> > 1997.5 1365.7365 1365.7399 >> > 1998.5 1366.0986 1366.1021 >> > 1999.5 1366.3817 1366.3851 >> > 2000.5 1366.6620 1366.6654 >> > 2001.5 1366.6022 1366.6022 >> > 2002.5 1366.6807 1366.6807 >> > 2003.5 1366.2461 1366.2461 > > > 2004.5 1366.0668 1366.0668 >> > >> >Attachment converted: Macintosh HD:Wang_etal_2005 3.pdf (PDF /«IC») >> (00101463) >> >Attachment converted: Macintosh >> >HD:Lean_etal_SolPhys_2005 2.pdf (PDF /«IC») >> >(00101467) >> >Calculation of TSI from calc_tsi_ann.pro >> >Mon Apr 2 15:18:18 2001 >> >ref: Evolutiom of the Sun's spectral irradiance since the Maunder Minimum, >> >Judith Lean, GRL, 27, 2425-2428, 2000 >> > YEAR 11yrCYCLE 11yrCYCLE+BKGRND >> > 1610.5 1365.8477 1364.7338 >> > 1611.5 1365.8342 1364.7075 >> > 1612.5 1366.2461 1365.0675 >> > 1613.5 1366.3650 1365.1611 >> > 1614.5 1366.4451 1365.2197 >> > 1615.5 1366.1591 1364.9456 >> > 1616.5 1365.7358 1364.5469 >> > 1617.5 1365.6107 1364.4189 >> > 1618.5 1365.6038 1364.3983 >> > 1619.5 1365.7001 1364.4717 >> > 1620.5 1365.7001 1364.4574 >> > 1621.5 1365.7001 1364.4431 >> > 1622.5 1365.7001 1364.4290 >> > 1623.5 1365.7001 1364.4147 >> > 1624.5 1365.6621 1364.3660 >> > 1625.5 1365.8926 1364.5509 >> > 1626.5 1365.7816 1364.4390 >> > 1627.5 1365.7106 1364.3447 >> > 1628.5 1365.7577 1364.2544 >> > 1629.5 1365.7261 1364.1193 >> > 1630.5 1365.5946 1363.9214 >> > 1631.5 1365.6255 1363.8699 >> > 1632.5 1365.5946 1363.8304 >> > 1633.5 1365.6951 1363.9200 >> > 1634.5 1365.6157 1363.8397 >> > 1635.5 1365.6249 1363.8330 >> > 1636.5 1365.5946 1363.7925 >> > 1637.5 1365.5946 1363.7799 >> > 1638.5 1366.0768 1364.2039 >> > 1639.5 1366.1344 1364.2444 >> > 1640.5 1365.7001 1363.8243 >> > 1641.5 1365.5946 1363.6943 >> > 1642.5 1365.9277 1363.9756 >> > 1643.5 1365.7183 1363.7336 >> > 1644.5 1365.6761 1363.6429 >> > 1645.5 1365.5946 1363.5607 >> > 1646.5 1365.5946 1363.5587 >> > 1647.5 1365.5946 1363.5565 >> > 1648.5 1365.5946 1363.5491 >> > 1649.5 1365.5946 1363.5402 >> > 1650.5 1365.5946 1363.5364 >> > 1651.5 1365.5946 1363.5342 >> > 1652.5 1365.6227 1363.5597 >> > 1653.5 1365.6010 1363.5381 >> > 1654.5 1365.5995 1363.5115 >> > 1655.5 1365.5981 1363.4792 >> > 1656.5 1365.5989 1363.4730 >> > 1657.5 1365.5961 1363.4619 >> > 1658.5 1365.5946 1363.4460 >> > 1659.5 1365.5946 1363.4384 >> > 1660.5 1365.6086 1363.4501 >> > 1661.5 1365.6002 1363.4434 >> > 1662.5 1365.5946 1363.4386 >> > 1663.5 1365.5946 1363.4386 >> > 1664.5 1365.5946 1363.4391 >> > 1665.5 1365.5946 1363.4395 >> > 1666.5 1365.5946 1363.4395 >> > 1667.5 1365.5946 1363.4385 >> > 1668.5 1365.5946 1363.4377 >> > 1669.5 1365.5946 1363.4376 >> > 1670.5 1365.5946 1363.4374 >> > 1671.5 1365.6010 1363.4429 >> > 1672.5 1365.5974 1363.4396 > > > 1673.5 1365.5946 1363.4374 >> > 1674.5 1365.5961 1363.4387 >> > 1675.5 1365.5946 1363.4365 >> > 1676.5 1365.6073 1363.4467 >> > 1677.5 1365.5967 1363.4366 >> > 1678.5 1365.5961 1363.4360 >> > 1679.5 1365.5946 1363.4348 >> > 1680.5 1365.6002 1363.4401 >> > 1681.5 1365.5946 1363.4349 >> > 1682.5 1365.5946 1363.4349 >> > 1683.5 1365.5946 1363.4349 >> > 1684.5 1365.6045 1363.4440 >> > 1685.5 1365.5946 1363.4355 >> > 1686.5 1365.5989 1363.4395 >> > 1687.5 1365.5953 1363.4368 > > > 1688.5 1365.5981 1363.4414 >> > 1689.5 1365.5961 1363.4427 >> > 1690.5 1365.5946 1363.4451 >> > 1691.5 1365.5946 1363.4508 >> > 1692.5 1365.5946 1363.4561 >> > 1693.5 1365.5946 1363.4580 >> > 1694.5 1365.5946 1363.4589 >> > 1695.5 1365.5953 1363.4592 >> > 1696.5 1365.5946 1363.4583 >> > 1697.5 1365.5946 1363.4584 >> > 1698.5 1365.5946 1363.4590 >> > 1699.5 1365.5946 1363.4604 >> > 1700.5 1365.5974 1363.4646 >> > 1701.5 1365.5981 1363.4701 >> > 1702.5 1365.5989 1363.4794 >> > 1703.5 1365.6135 1363.5057 >> > 1704.5 1365.6234 1363.5348 >> > 1705.5 1365.6333 1363.5662 >> > 1706.5 1365.6171 1363.5676 >> > 1707.5 1365.6318 1363.5887 >> > 1708.5 1365.6143 1363.5829 >> > 1709.5 1365.6058 1363.5895 >> > 1710.5 1365.5974 1363.6195 >> > 1711.5 1365.5946 1363.6660 >> > 1712.5 1365.5946 1363.6880 >> > 1713.5 1365.5967 1363.7062 >> > 1714.5 1365.6010 1363.7542 >> > 1715.5 1365.6199 1363.8035 >> > 1716.5 1365.6586 1363.8470 >> > 1717.5 1365.7177 1363.9092 >> > 1718.5 1365.6578 1363.8533 >> > 1719.5 1365.8329 1364.0181 >> > 1720.5 1365.7590 1364.0065 >> > 1721.5 1365.7450 1364.0525 >> > 1722.5 1365.6719 1364.0018 >> > 1723.5 1365.6255 1363.9894 >> > 1724.5 1365.7042 1364.0889 >> > 1725.5 1365.6846 1364.1024 >> > 1726.5 1365.8490 1364.2875 >> > 1727.5 1365.8512 1364.3013 >> > 1728.5 1366.0459 1364.4821 >> > 1729.5 1365.7633 1364.2246 >> > 1730.5 1366.0845 1364.5144 >> > 1731.5 1365.5946 1364.0631 >> > 1732.5 1365.7211 1364.1947 >> > 1733.5 1365.5946 1364.1271 >> > 1734.5 1365.5946 1364.1650 >> > 1735.5 1365.7233 1364.2986 >> > 1736.5 1365.9362 1364.5007 >> > 1737.5 1365.7633 1364.3536 >> > 1738.5 1365.7141 1364.3174 >> > 1739.5 1365.9636 1364.5409 >> > 1740.5 1365.6599 1364.2571 >> > 1741.5 1366.0001 1364.5580 >> > 1742.5 1365.7078 1364.2888 >> > 1743.5 1365.6530 1364.2339 >> > 1744.5 1365.5946 1364.1841 >> > 1745.5 1365.5946 1364.1941 >> > 1746.5 1365.5946 1364.2157 >> > 1747.5 1365.5946 1364.2460 >> > 1748.5 1366.0233 1364.6582 >> > 1749.5 1366.0388 1364.6912 >> > 1750.5 1366.0023 1364.6550 >> > 1751.5 1365.8314 1364.4856 >> > 1752.5 1365.7985 1364.4713 >> > 1753.5 1365.7626 1364.5011 >> > 1754.5 1365.6565 1364.4661 >> > 1755.5 1365.6277 1364.4956 >> > 1756.5 1365.6459 1364.5505 >> > 1757.5 1365.7689 1364.6743 >> > 1758.5 1365.8806 1364.7921 >> > 1759.5 1365.9425 1364.8596 >> > 1760.5 1365.9144 1364.8436 > > > 1761.5 1366.0760 1365.0159 >> > 1762.5 1365.9193 1364.9268 >> > 1763.5 1365.8350 1364.8948 >> > 1764.5 1365.8090 1364.8768 >> > 1765.5 1365.6537 1364.7380 >> > 1766.5 1365.6206 1364.7140 >> > 1767.5 1365.8329 1364.9026 >> > 1768.5 1366.0957 1365.1284 >> > 1769.5 1366.2869 1365.2963 >> > 1770.5 1366.2806 1365.3224 >> > 1771.5 1366.1527 1365.2742 >> > 1772.5 1366.0599 1365.2576 >> > 1773.5 1365.8224 1365.0886 >> > 1774.5 1365.7760 1365.0730 >> > 1775.5 1365.6339 1364.9504 > > > 1776.5 1365.6937 1364.9908 >> > 1777.5 1365.8638 1365.1300 >> > 1778.5 1366.1007 1365.3407 >> > 1779.5 1366.1625 1365.3878 >> > 1780.5 1365.9812 1365.2184 >> > 1781.5 1366.0944 1365.3258 >> > 1782.5 1365.8258 1365.0697 >> > 1783.5 1365.7429 1364.9484 >> > 1784.5 1365.6283 1364.7700 >> > 1785.5 1365.7070 1364.7765 >> > 1786.5 1366.0396 1365.0347 >> > 1787.5 1366.2216 1365.1556 >> > 1788.5 1366.1744 1365.0844 >> > 1789.5 1366.1548 1365.0612 >> > 1790.5 1366.0521 1364.9716 >> > 1791.5 1365.8982 1364.8311 >> > 1792.5 1365.8898 1364.8021 >> > 1793.5 1365.8828 1364.7446 >> > 1794.5 1365.8069 1364.6022 >> > 1795.5 1365.7050 1364.4440 >> > 1796.5 1365.6909 1364.3721 >> > 1797.5 1365.6487 1364.2897 >> > 1798.5 1365.6277 1364.2538 >> > 1799.5 1365.6339 1364.2601 >> > 1800.5 1365.6719 1364.3076 >> > 1801.5 1365.9537 1364.5537 >> > 1802.5 1365.8428 1364.4031 >> > 1803.5 1365.7246 1364.2324 >> > 1804.5 1365.7465 1364.1881 >> > 1805.5 1365.7745 1364.1506 >> > 1806.5 1365.6881 1364.0232 >> > 1807.5 1365.6298 1363.9309 >> > 1808.5 1365.6193 1363.8656 >> > 1809.5 1365.6030 1363.8068 >> > 1810.5 1365.5946 1363.7976 >> > 1811.5 1365.5967 1363.8395 >> > 1812.5 1365.6227 1363.9207 >> > 1813.5 1365.6586 1364.0035 >> > 1814.5 1365.6677 1364.0667 >> > 1815.5 1365.7126 1364.1497 >> > 1816.5 1365.8110 1364.2391 >> > 1817.5 1365.7914 1364.1935 >> > 1818.5 1365.7471 1364.1351 >> > 1819.5 1365.7295 1364.1268 >> > 1820.5 1365.6698 1364.0815 >> > 1821.5 1365.6249 1364.1232 >> > 1822.5 1365.6157 1364.2358 >> > 1823.5 1365.6030 1364.2893 >> > 1824.5 1365.6305 1364.3669 >> > 1825.5 1365.6958 1364.4620 >> > 1826.5 1365.7957 1364.5746 >> > 1827.5 1365.9066 1364.6865 >> > 1828.5 1365.9952 1364.7704 >> > 1829.5 1366.0107 1364.7952 >> > 1830.5 1366.0465 1364.8501 >> > 1831.5 1365.8701 1364.7161 >> > 1832.5 1365.7542 1364.6519 >> > 1833.5 1365.6403 1364.6066 >> > 1834.5 1365.6635 1364.6750 >> > 1835.5 1365.9200 1364.9484 >> > 1836.5 1366.2988 1365.3376 >> > 1837.5 1366.3635 1365.4343 >> > 1838.5 1366.1387 1365.2535 >> > 1839.5 1366.0521 1365.1826 >> > 1840.5 1365.9341 1365.0696 >> > 1841.5 1365.7816 1364.9200 >> > 1842.5 1365.7267 1364.8647 >> > 1843.5 1365.6522 1364.8060 >> > 1844.5 1365.6775 1364.8508 >> > 1845.5 1365.8041 1364.9818 >> > 1846.5 1365.9025 1365.0797 >> > 1847.5 1366.0023 1365.1847 >> > 1848.5 1366.1976 1365.3846 > > > 1849.5 1366.1829 1365.3910 >> > 1850.5 1365.9812 1365.1982 >> > 1851.5 1366.0029 1365.1567 >> > 1852.5 1365.9446 1365.0192 >> > 1853.5 1365.8448 1364.8820 >> > 1854.5 1365.7162 1364.7728 >> > 1855.5 1365.6262 1364.7249 >> > 1856.5 1365.6163 1364.7605 >> > 1857.5 1365.7169 1364.8938 >> > 1858.5 1365.9066 1365.0951 >> > 1859.5 1366.1260 1365.3092 >> > 1860.5 1366.1963 1365.3649 >> > 1861.5 1366.0916 1365.2426 >> > 1862.5 1365.9496 1365.0697 >> > 1863.5 1365.8821 1364.9423 > > > 1864.5 1365.8370 1364.8333 >> > 1865.5 1365.7534 1364.7239 >> > 1866.5 1365.6909 1364.6573 >> > 1867.5 1365.6382 1364.6069 >> > 1868.5 1365.7977 1364.7668 >> > 1869.5 1366.0325 1365.0073 >> > 1870.5 1366.2708 1365.2471 >> > 1871.5 1366.2054 1365.2012 >> > 1872.5 1366.1576 1365.1577 >> > 1873.5 1365.9580 1364.9529 >> > 1874.5 1365.8406 1364.7947 >> > 1875.5 1365.7035 1364.6147 >> > 1876.5 1365.6586 1364.5499 >> > 1877.5 1365.6543 1364.5630 >> > 1878.5 1365.6135 1364.5669 >> > 1879.5 1365.6255 1364.6174 >> > 1880.5 1365.7689 1364.7728 >> > 1881.5 1365.9124 1364.9196 >> > 1882.5 1365.9313 1364.9546 >> > 1883.5 1365.9791 1364.9996 >> > 1884.5 1365.8812 1364.9010 >> > 1885.5 1365.7909 1364.7394 >> > 1886.5 1365.6487 1364.5116 >> > 1887.5 1365.6234 1364.4189 >> > 1888.5 1365.5962 1364.3615 >> > 1889.5 1365.5652 1364.3398 >> > 1890.5 1365.5912 1364.3982 >> > 1891.5 1365.8303 1364.6823 >> > 1892.5 1365.9163 1364.8152 >> > 1893.5 1366.0458 1364.9875 >> > 1894.5 1366.1332 1365.1044 >> > 1895.5 1366.0166 1364.9883 >> > 1896.5 1365.8434 1364.7870 >> > 1897.5 1365.7094 1364.6105 >> > 1898.5 1365.6982 1364.5564 >> > 1899.5 1365.6534 1364.4856 >> > 1900.5 1365.6216 1364.4579 >> > 1901.5 1365.5294 1364.4176 >> > 1902.5 1365.5165 1364.4843 >> > 1903.5 1365.7083 1364.7440 >> > 1904.5 1365.9651 1365.0502 >> > 1905.5 1365.7684 1364.8820 >> > 1906.5 1365.9651 1365.0778 >> > 1907.5 1365.8604 1364.9320 >> > 1908.5 1365.9426 1364.9508 >> > 1909.5 1365.8459 1364.8024 >> > 1910.5 1365.7173 1364.6566 >> > 1911.5 1365.6285 1364.5870 >> > 1912.5 1365.5706 1364.5724 >> > 1913.5 1365.5739 1364.6243 >> > 1914.5 1365.6302 1364.7195 >> > 1915.5 1365.9285 1365.0414 >> > 1916.5 1366.1349 1365.2614 >> > 1917.5 1366.2821 1365.4149 >> > 1918.5 1366.2454 1365.3726 >> > 1919.5 1366.0179 1365.1373 >> > 1920.5 1365.8523 1364.9840 >> > 1921.5 1365.7351 1364.9114 >> > 1922.5 1365.6019 1364.8347 >> > 1923.5 1365.6211 1364.9006 >> > 1924.5 1365.6436 1364.9569 >> > 1925.5 1365.8406 1365.1799 >> > 1926.5 1365.9348 1365.2997 >> > 1927.5 1366.1135 1365.4958 >> > 1928.5 1365.9885 1365.3811 >> > 1929.5 1365.9429 1365.3519 >> > 1930.5 1365.9159 1365.3588 >> > 1931.5 1365.7780 1365.2800 >> > 1932.5 1365.6583 1365.2067 >> > 1933.5 1365.5300 1365.1062 >> > 1934.5 1365.6361 1365.2339 >> > 1935.5 1365.8500 1365.4572 >> > 1936.5 1366.2373 1365.8521 > > > 1937.5 1366.1718 1365.7859 >> > 1938.5 1366.1079 1365.7197 >> > 1939.5 1366.0894 1365.7096 >> > 1940.5 1366.0143 1365.6804 >> > 1941.5 1365.9130 1365.6616 >> > 1942.5 1365.7847 1365.6266 >> > 1943.5 1365.6052 1365.5270 >> > 1944.5 1365.6224 1365.5911 >> > 1945.5 1365.8850 1365.8702 >> > 1946.5 1365.9818 1365.9720 >> > 1947.5 1366.2190 1366.2172 >> > 1948.5 1366.3475 1366.3531 >> > 1949.5 1366.2528 1366.2626 >> > 1950.5 1366.0098 1366.0220 >> > 1951.5 1365.7721 1365.7882 > > > 1952.5 1365.7653 1365.7739 >> > 1953.5 1365.6313 1365.6204 >> > 1954.5 1365.6599 1365.6467 >> > 1955.5 1365.7793 1365.7719 >> > 1956.5 1366.3097 1366.3141 >> > 1957.5 1366.6632 1366.6812 >> > 1958.5 1366.6246 1366.6552 >> > 1959.5 1366.3717 1366.4130 >> > 1960.5 1366.2682 1366.2997 >> > 1961.5 1365.9230 1365.9115 >> > 1962.5 1365.7656 1365.7020 >> > 1963.5 1365.7152 1365.6451 >> > 1964.5 1365.7114 1365.6605 >> > 1965.5 1365.7378 1365.7242 >> > 1966.5 1365.9058 1365.9506 >> > 1967.5 1366.0889 1366.1831 >> > 1968.5 1366.1295 1366.2590 >> > 1969.5 1366.2069 1366.3573 >> > 1970.5 1366.2036 1366.3480 >> > 1971.5 1365.9354 1366.0192 >> > 1972.5 1366.0519 1366.0541 >> > 1973.5 1365.8131 1365.7612 >> > 1974.5 1365.7448 1365.6792 >> > 1975.5 1365.5466 1365.5020 >> > 1976.5 1365.6458 1365.6442 >> > 1977.5 1365.8248 1365.8557 >> > 1978.5 1366.2616 1366.3101 >> > 1979.5 1366.6193 1366.6769 >> > 1980.5 1366.6323 1366.6913 >> > 1981.5 1366.6829 1366.7280 >> > 1982.5 1366.2808 1366.2999 >> > 1983.5 1366.1989 1366.2001 >> > 1984.5 1365.8088 1365.8145 >> > 1985.5 1365.6382 1365.6506 >> > 1986.5 1365.6345 1365.6470 >> > 1987.5 1365.7865 1365.7990 >> > 1988.5 1366.0792 1366.0918 >> > 1989.5 1366.6445 1366.6570 >> > 1990.5 1366.5499 1366.5624 >> > 1991.5 1366.4423 1366.4547 >> > 1992.5 1366.2987 1366.3112 >> > 1993.5 1366.0251 1366.0377 >> > 1994.5 1365.7937 1365.8063 >> > 1995.5 1365.6962 1365.7087 >> > 1996.5 1365.6086 1365.6211 >> > 1997.5 1365.7365 1365.7489 >> > 1998.5 1366.0986 1366.1111 >> > 1999.5 1366.3817 1366.3942 >> > 2000.5 1366.6620 1366.6744 >> >> >> -- >> Jonathan T. Overpeck >> Director, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth >> Professor, Department of Geosciences >> Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences >> >> Mail and Fedex Address: >> >> Institute for the Study of Planet Earth >> 715 N. Park Ave. 2nd Floor >> University of Arizona >> Tucson, AZ 85721 >> direct tel: +1 520 622-9065 >> fax: +1 520 792-8795 >>  >>  >> > > >-- >e-mail: joos@climate.unibe.ch; > >Until November 23 > National Centre for Atmospheric Research, Terrestrial Sciences, CGD > 1850 Table Mesa Drive, Boulder, CO, 80305 > ++1-303 497 13 44 (office) > > home address: > 3655 Emerson Avenue, Boulder, CO, 80305 > ++1-303 494 69 52 (home) > >After November 24 > Climate and Environmental Physics > Sidlerstr. 5, CH-3012 Bern > Phone: ++41(0)31 631 44 61 Fax: ++41(0)31 631 87 42 > Internet: ~joos/ -- Jonathan T. Overpeck Director, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth Professor, Department of Geosciences Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences Mail and Fedex Address: Institute for the Study of Planet Earth 715 N. Park Ave. 2nd Floor University of Arizona Tucson, AZ 85721 direct tel: +1 520 622-9065 fax: +1 520 792-8795


Once upon a time, Brian wrote : > OK, it's now time to work out the PGP securing of apt repository > traffic. I've never gotten anything but "sitename.whatever will not > be authenticated" until running Redhat 8.0 when I get something > about having "No Key" for various files. I don't think gpg signing my repositories will help anything, as it will just ensure that my passphrase was typed to confirm the md5 signatures of all pgklists and srclists. Basically, you'll then just be sure that it's me who generated the files, and this will of course prevent automating the process of updating the apt repository when Red Hat updates show up. In Red Hat Linux 8.0 though, the warnings about "No Key" appear until you import the right gpg public keys directly with rpm, for example : rpm --import /usr/share/doc/apt-0.5.4cnc7/RPM-GPG-KEY (this will import my key, which is used to sign all freshrpms.net packages) Hopefully it is possible to the tell rpm to install *only* packages who verify against an imported gpg key? This for me would be the optimal way to ensure integrity with the way things curently work. Matthias -- Clean custom Red Hat Linux rpm packages :  Red Hat Linux release 7.3 (Valhalla) running Linux kernel 2.4.18-10acpi Load : 0.14 0.18 0.17 _______________________________________________ RPM-List mailing list


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At 16:06 30/09/2009, Michael Mann wrote: And Osborn and Briffa '06 is also immune to this issue, as it eliminated any combination of up to 3 of the proxies and showed the result was essentially the same (fair to say this Tim?). Mike, yes, you're right: figs S4-S6 in our supplementary information do indeed show results leaving out individual, groups of two, and groups of three proxies, respectively. It's attached. I wouldn't say we were immune to the issue -- results are similar for these leave 1, 2 or 3 out cases, but they certainly are not as strong as the case with all 14 proxies. Certainly in figure S6, there are some cases with 3 omitted (i.e. some sets of 11) where modern results are comparable with intermittent periods between 800 and 1100. Plus there is the additional uncertainty, discussed on the final page of the supplementary information, associated with linking the proxy records to real temperatures (remember we have no formal calibration, we're just counting proxies -- I'm still amazed that Science agreed to publish something where the main analysis only involves counting from 1 to 14! :-)). But this is fine, since the IPCC AR4 and other assessments are not saying the evidence is 100% conclusive (or even 90% conclusive) but just "likely" that modern is warmer than MWP. So, yes, it should be possible to find some subsets of data where MWP and Modern are comparable and similarly for some seasons and regions. And as you've pointed out before, if any season/region is comparable (or even has MWP>Modern) then it will probably be the northern high latitudes in summer time (I think you published on this, suggesting that combination of orbital forcing, land-use change and sulphate aerosols could cause this for that season/region, is that right?). So, this Yamal thing doesn't damage Osborn & Briffa (2006), but important to note that O&B (2006) and others support the "likely" statement rather than being conclusive. Cheers Tim


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Once you have the language dropped in the release template please send to me – So I can send to senior staff as soon as it is public. Thanks. Lindsey Reynolds | Chief Operating Officer Democratic National Committee direct: 202.863.7166| cell: 202.215.9864


Dear Mike, I was on travel and hence the delay in responding to your email. TERI will be interested in being one of the International Supporting Institutes for the Centre. I will fax a letter to you tomorrow and send the original by post. I have not heard on the DETR proposal as yet. Best wishes Sujata Sujata Gupta, Ph.D. Fellow and Dean Policy Analysis Division TERI >>> Mike Hulme 09/28/99 02:34AM >>> Dear Sujata, This may well not be news to you, but the UK government has recently requested bids from UK universities to house a new 'National Climate Change Centre'. The Centre would receive funds of 2 million pounds sterling per year for (at least initially) five years. The role of the Centre would be to compliment existing work on climate modelling and data analysis (IPCC WGI areas) by focussing on 'solutions' (mitigation and adaptation options and their implementation), specifically for the UK government and business community, but within a global context. The emphasis appears to be on IPCC WG3 area with a strong commitment to integrated research, but with some overlap with WG2. The Centre would carry out independent research, but would also be expected to make use of, and to integrate, exisiting UK research and expertise. It would be expected to contribute to and to foster interdisciplinary research that underpins sustainable solutions to the climate change problem. UEA is making a bid for this Centre. Applications are due by mid-October. UEA is well-known for CRU, but it also has strengths in data distribution to the climate impacts community, in impacts research, and in environmental economics (CSERGE). While these areas are fundamental foundation stones for the science that the Centre is expected to develop, the Centre would need to expand significantly beyond these areas. We have a Consortium in place as follows - 6-7 Senior Partners - (UEA, UMIST, U.Southamton, Dept. Economics at U.Cambridge, Cranfield, Leeds Institute of Transport Studies, IH and ITE) - Affiliated UK Organisations - (we have 6-8 of these) - Supporting Business Links - Supporting International Organisations If UEA were to succeed in its bid for the Centre, then it would seek to develop strong links with other institutions abroad in order to strengthen its own intellectual base and, through such links, to contribute to the development and implementation of the science. We would see TERI as one of these Supporting International Organisations. To this end, we would like a short letter of support from yourself - on behalf of the Policy Analysis Division, or a wider TERI grouping if you feel able to represent them - indicating that you fully support the UEA bid and would exclusively lend your backing to this Consortium and be keen to interact closely with us at a research level were the Centre to come to UEA. This interaction may take the form of exchanging scientists, testing out new methodologies, developing/advising on workshops, providing entry-points into international policy initiatives, etc., etc. Nothing too formal or lengthy at this stage, but we would like to provide the Council's with a flavour of the breadth of our existing and future colloboration in the field and our ability to mobilise support in our favour. Many thanks. Please send to Prof. Trevor Davies, Dean, Environmental Sciences, UEA, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, before the 12th October. Feel free to ask me for more details, etc. Our written text is beginning to take shape and we will circulate a draft of this to you before the bid goes in. Regards, Mike p.s. I have not yet heard anything about the DETR India Programme. Have you? ***************************************************************************** Dr Mike Hulme Reader in Climatology tel: +44 1603 593162 Climatic Research Unit fax: +44 1603 507784 School of Environmental Science email: m.hulme@uea.ac.uk University of East Anglia web site: ~mikeh/ Norwich NR4 7TJ ***************************************************************************** Annual mean temperature in Central England for 1999 is currently about +1.4 deg C above the 1961-90 average *************************************************** The global-mean surface air temperature anomaly for 1998 was +0.57 deg C above the 1961-90 average, the warmest year yet recorded *****************************************************************************


PayPal June 2006 PayPal Security Measures. It's easy to track your expenses and stay organized when you use PayPal. All your incoming and outgoing payments are tracked on your Account History page. See sample. Your account has been flagged! PayPal Security Measures. Dear PayPal Member, Your account has been randomly flagged in our system as a part of our routine security measures. This is a must to ensure that only you have access and use of your Paypal account and to ensure a safe PayPal experience. We require all flagged accounts to verify their information on file with us. To verify your information at this time, please visit our secure server webform by clicking the hyperlink below: Click here to verify your Information If you choose to ignore our request, you leave us no choice but to temporarily suspend your account. Thank you for your patience as we work together to protect your account. Your PayPal Account in Action Use PayPal to purchase with cash. When you link your bank account to your PayPal account, you can fund your purchases with the money from your bank account. So get Verified—it's just like spending cash. Learn more. Make FREE calls around the world. Reduce your phone bills—with Skype software you can talk to other Skype users all over the world for free. Or make low-cost calls to any landline or cell phone with SkypeOutTM services you purchase with PayPal. Learn more. Pay or get paid back with PayPal. Start off the year with a clean slate. Easily pay your family and friends what you owe them, or request money that they owe you. See how easy it is to send or request money with PayPal. Special Offers for PayPal Customers Save 20% on Dell Inspiron Notebooks when you use PayPal. Enter code at checkout: SFW86WKM?16WSL Special Offer—Use PayPal and get free Super Saver Shipping on ship-ments of $49 or more. Save 10% on over 300,000 products. Enter promo code: paysave. Plus Free Shipping, Free Returns, and No Sales Tax. Helpful Links: ID Theft Resources | Help Center | PayPal Shops | Password Help Please do not replay to this e-mail. To modify your notification preferences, log in to your PayPal account, click the Profile sub-tab, then click the Notifications link under Account Information. Changes may take up to 10 days to be reflected in our mailings. PayPal will not sell or rent any of your personally identifiable information to third parties. For more information about the security of your information, read our Privacy Policy at  Copyright © 2006 PayPal Inc. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks and brands are the property of their respective owners. PayPal is located at 2211 N. First St., San Jose, CA 95131.


>peter fwded: >>Finally, Constable Evans hurled a thong at the animal, hitting it on the >>head. > >I know this isn't *quite* as funny to Australians as it is to >everyone else. Honestly. > >Rachel >not that walloping it with a flip-flop isn't hilarious too... >-- well unless you used the thong like a sling shot..... -- Fel Weird Page: ~felinda/WeirdPage.html [Non-text portions of this message have been removed] ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ---------------------~--> 4 DVDs Free +s&p Join Now ---------------------------------------------------------------------~-> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: forteana-unsubscribe@egroups.com Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to


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The North American Communication Papers - Executive report for September 2001 is now available on Economics Online. www.pppc.org/econ/.Monthly in section Monthly Executive Reports (PDF format) - Communication Papers. Should you have any questions concerning the content of this report, please do not hesitate to contact Martine Hamel, Director Market Research at (514) 861-8850 or by e-mail at mhamel@pppc.org. For questions or comments concerning Economics Online, please contact: Doreen Olkowicz Manager, Statistics and Online Services T (514) 861-8851 F (514) 866-4863 E-mail dolkowicz@pppc.org


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Dear Phil, Sorry about the delay in replying to your email - I've been out of my office for a few days. This is really nasty stuff, and I'm sorry that it's happened to you. The irony in this is that you are one of the most careful and thorough scientists I know. Keenan's allegations of research misconduct, although malicious and completely unfounded, clearly require some response. The bottom line is that there are uncertainties inherent in measuring ANY properties of the real-world climate system. You've probably delved deeper than anyone else on the planet into uncertainties in observed surface temperature records. This would be well worth pointing out to Mr. Keenan. The whole tenor of the web-site stuff and Keenan's garbage is that these folks are scrupulously careful data analysts, and you are not. They conveniently ignore all the pioneering work that you've done on identification of inhomogeneities in surface temperature records. The response should mention that you've spent much of your scientific career trying to quantify the effects of such inhomogeneities, changing spatial coverage, etc. on observed estimates of global-scale surface temperature change. The bottom line here is that observational data are frequently "messy". They are not the neat, tidy beasts Mr. Keenan would like them to be. This holds not only for surface temperature measurements. It also holds - in spades - for measurements of tropospheric temperature from MSU and radiosondes, and for measurements of ocean temperatures from XBTs, profiling floats, etc. We would like observing systems to be more accurate, more stable, and better-suited for monitoring decadal-scale changes in climate. You and Kevin and many other are actively working towards that goal. The key message here is that, despite uncertainties in the surface temperature record - uncertainties which you and others in the field are well aware of, and have worked hard to quantify - it is now unequivocal that surface temperatures have warmed markedly over the past 100 years. Uncertainties in the station histories do not negate this basic message. Hope some of these random musings might be useful, Phil. Let me know if there's anything else I can do to help. Will you be at the Hadley Centre Science Review Group meeting in May? With best regards, Ben P.Jones@uea.ac.uk wrote: > All, > Thanks for the thoughts. I'll muse on them whilst > away. I've decided to ignore the blogs, but will wait > till I hear from Wei-Chyung when he's back. There is > no point yet in my responding to Keenan till Wei-Chyung > hears. > I'm away much of the next 3 weeks, so I won't be > responding quickly. I'll be noting down some points > for a possible response, so anything I'll do will > be considered rather than my usual quick responses. > The unequivocal statement in the SPM will be clear > in any response. > The whole tone of their argument smacks of a last > resort challenge. 2007 continues warm for the first > 3 months. > > Cheers > Phil > >> I agree on the blogs: I have refrained from any responses to the attacks >> on me wrt hurricanes etc. >> K >> >> >>> I don't disagree w/ Kevin's points here, but I do think it is >>> dangerous to respond to an accusation made on a blog (a dubious >>> one at that). It sets a bad precedent. On the other hand, since >>> the letter to Wang was copied to you, I guess it is legitimate for >>> you to respond to that. but very carefully as Kevin points out, >>> >>> mike >>> >>> Kevin Trenberth wrote: Hi Phil I am sure you know that this is not >>> about the science. It is an attack to undermine the science in some >>> way. >>> In that regard I don't think you can ignore it all, as Mike suggests as >>> one option, but the response should try to somehow label these guys and >>> lazy and incompetent and unable to do the huge amount of work it takes >>> to >>> construct such a database. Indeed technology and data handling >>> capabilities have evolved and not everything was saved. So my feeble >>> suggestion is to indeed cast aspersions on their motives and throw in >>> some counter rhetoric. Labeling them as lazy with nothng better to do >>> seems like a good thing to do. How about "I tried to get some data from >>> McIntyre from his 1990 paper, but I was unable because he doesn't have >>> such a paper because he has not done any constructive work!" There is >>> no >>> basis for retracting a paper given in Keenan's message. One may have to >>> offer a correction that a particular sentence was not correct if it >>> claimed something that indeed was not so. But some old instrumental data >>> are like paleo data, and can only be used with caution as the metadata >>> do >>> not exist. It doesn't mean they are worthless and can not be used. >>> Offering to make a correction to a few words in a paper in a trivial >>> manner will undermine his case. Kevin Hi Phil, This is all >>> too predictable. This crowd of charlatans is always looking for one >>> thing >>> they can harp on, where people w/ little knowledge of the facts might be >>> able to be convinced that there is a controversy. They can't take on >>> the >>> whole of the science, so they look for one little thing they can say is >>> wrong, and thus generalize that the science is entirely compromised. Of >>> course, as nicely shown in the SPM, every landmass is independently >>> warming, and much as the models predict. So they can harp all they want >>> on one Chinese data set, it couldn't possibly change the big picture >>> (let >>> alone even the trends for China). The So they are simply hoping to blow >>> this up to something that looks like a legitimate controversy. The last >>> thing you want to do is help them by feeding the fire. Best thing is to >>> ignore them completely. They no longer have their friends in power here >>> in the U.S., and the media has become entirely unsympathetic to the >>> rants >>> of the contrarians at least in the U.S.--the Wall Street Journal >>> editorial page are about the only place they can broadcast their >>> disinformation. So in other words, for contrarians the environment >>> appears to have become very unfavorable for development. I would advise >>> Wang the same way. Keenan may or may not be bluffing, but if he tries >>> this I believe that British law would make it easy for Wang to win a >>> defamation suit against him (the burden is much tougher in the states), >>> mike Phil Jones wrote: Kevin, Have a look at this >>> web site. I see you're away. The websites can wait, but scroll down to >>> the letter below from Keenan - the last sentence. >>> #comments and >>> #more-1479 One is about data from a >>> paper 17 years ago (Jones et al. 1990) Also there is this email >>> (below) >>> sent to Wei-Chyung Wang, who was one of the co-authors on the 1990 >>> paper. Wei-Chyung is in China, and may not yet have seen this. When >>> he's >>> back in Albany, I've suggested he talks to someone there. It is all >>> malicious. I've cc'd this to Ben and Mike as well, to get any thoughts >>> from their experiences. If it gets worse I will bring Susan in as >>> well, >>> but I'm talking to some people at UEA first. Susan has enough to do >>> with getting the AR4 WG1 volume out. On the 1990 paper, I have put the >>> locations and the data for the rural stations used in the paper on the >>> CRU website. All the language is about me not being able to send them >>> the station data used for the grids (as used in 1990!). I don't have >>> this information, as we have much more data now (much more in Australia >>> and China than then) and probably more stations in western USSR are as >>> well. As for the other request, I don't have the information on the >>> sources of all the sites used in the CRUTEM3 database. We are adding in >>> new datasets regularly (all of NZ from Jim Renwick recently) , but we >>> don't keep a source code for each station. Almost all sites have >>> multiple sources and only a few sites have single sources. I know >>> things >>> roughly by country and could reconstruct it, but it would take a while. >>> GHCN and NCAR don't have source codes either. It does all come from >>> the >>> NMSs - well mostly, but some from scientists. A lot of the issues >>> are >>> in various papers, but they never read these. Also certainly no use >>> talking to them. In Geneva all week. David Parker and Tom Peterson >>> will be there. I can live with the web site abuse, but the Keenan >>> letter knocked me back a bit. I seem to be the marked man now ! >>> Cheers Phil From: "D.J. Keenan" To: "Wei-Chyung Wang" Cc: "Phil >>> Jones" Subject: retraction request Date: Fri, 20 Apr 2007 13:31:15 >>> +0100 >>> X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2900.3028 X-UEA-Spam-Score: 0.0 >>> X-UEA-Spam-Level: / X-UEA-Spam-Flag: NO Dear Dr. Wang, Regarding the >>> Chinese meteorological data analyzed by Wang et al. [GRL, 1990] and >>> Jones >>> et al. [Nature, 1990], it now seems clear that there are severe >>> problems. >>> In particular, the data was obtained from 84 meteorological stations >>> that can be classified as follows. 49 have no histories 08 have >>> inconsistent histories 18 have substantial relocations 02 have >>> single-year relocations 07 have no relocations Furthermore, some of >>> the relocations are very distant--over 20 km. Others are to greatly >>> different environments, as illustrated here: >>> #comment-102970 The above >>> contradicts >>> the published claim to have considered the histories of the stations, >>> especially for the 49 stations that have no histories. Yet the claim is >>> crucial for the research conclusions. I e-mailed you about this on >>> April >>> 11th. I also phoned you on April 13th: you said that you were in a >>> meeting and would get back to me. I have received no response. I ask >>> you to retract your GRL paper, in full, and to retract the claims made >>> in >>> Nature about the Chinese data. If you do not do so, I intend to >>> publicly >>> submit an allegation of research misconduct to your university at >>> Albany. >>> Douglas J. Keenan phone + 44 20 7537 4122 The >>> Limehouse Cut, London E14 6N, UK Prof. Phil Jones Climatic Research >>> Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090 School of Environmental >>> Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784 University of East Anglia Norwich >>> Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk NR4 7TJ UK >>> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- >>> -- Michael E. Mann Associate Professor Director, Earth >>> System Science Center (ESSC) Department of Meteorology >>> Phone: (814) 863-4075 503 Walker Building FAX: >>> (814) >>> 865-3663 The Pennsylvania State University email: mann@psu.edu >>> University Park, PA 16802-5013 >>>  >>> ___________________ Kevin Trenberth Climate Analysis Section, NCAR PO >>> Box >>> 3000 Boulder CO 80307 ph 303 497 1318 >>>  >>> >>> -- Michael E. Mann Associate Professor Director, Earth System Science >>> Center (ESSC) Department of Meteorology Phone: (814) >>> 863-4075 503 Walker Building FAX: (814) 865-3663 >>> The >>> Pennsylvania State University email: mann@psu.edu University Park, >>> PA 16802-5013  >> >> ___________________ >> Kevin Trenberth >> Climate Analysis Section, NCAR >> PO Box 3000 >> Boulder CO 80307 >> ph 303 497 1318 >>  >> > -- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Benjamin D. Santer Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory P.O. Box 808, Mail Stop L-103 Livermore, CA 94550, U.S.A. Tel: (925) 422-2486 FAX: (925) 422-7675 email: santer1@llnl.gov ----------------------------------------------------------------------------


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Could we clip this highlighted section from the SFRC hearing earlier today? Thanks! Trump Foreign Policy Spurned by Veteran Republican Baker Bloomberg - Bill Faries While Donald Trump met with Republican lawmakers on Capitol Hill Thursday, a Senate hearing provided a forum for critics in his party to take aim at his foreign policy proposals. At the prompting of Republican Senator Marco Rubio, who dropped out of the presidential race in March, former Secretary of State James Baker said that the world "would be far less stable" if the U.S. left the North Atlantic Treaty Organization or let South Korea and Japan obtain nuclear weapons, proposals floated by Trump during the campaign that made him the presumptive Republican presidential nominee. "We've got a lot of problems today, but you'd have a hell of a lot more if that were the case," Baker, who was secretary of state in President George H.W. Bush's administration, said without mentioning Trump by name. "NATO has been the foundation of peace and stability in Europe. The more countries that obtain nuclear weapons the more instability there will be in the world." Baker, 86, is a quintessential representative of the traditional foreign policy and political establishment for which Trump has shown little regard. Before serving as secretary of state and chief of staff under the first President Bush, he had been chief of staff and Treasury secretary under President Ronald Reagan. Trump and Baker ended up meeting at a law firm later in the day, NBC reported, without giving details. Adding a twist to Thursday's proceedings: The chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that hosted the hearing, Republican Bob Corker of Tennessee, has praised Trump for "challenging the foreign policy establishment" in a policy speech the billionaire businessman gave last month. Corker, who has said he'd be willing to help Trump craft his foreign policy agenda, didn't weigh in on the NATO or South Korea proposals in his opening remarks or initial questioning. Baker was joined in the discussion by former National Security Adviser Tom Donilon, who served under President Barack Obama from 2010 to 2013. Donilon said he agreed with Baker's comments on NATO and South Korea and thanked Rubio for offering the "thought experiment." "It's not just a thought experiment," Rubio of Florida responded. "It's actually been proposed." Before it's here, it's on


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PULP, WRITING & PRINTING PAPER 11/06/2001 PULP, WRITING & PRINTING PAPER 11/06/2001 Welcome to Enron's Pulp, Writing & Printing Paper News Service. This daily mailing brings the most recent news headlines right to your inbox. You may also receive this daily service specific to the following areas: 1) Recovered, Container & Packaging; 2) Newsprint; 3) Lumber. To join any of these lists, CLICK HERE . If you have any comments or feedback, simply reply to this email. If you would like to unsubscribe to the Pulp, Writing & Printing Paper News service, please scroll to the bottom of this email for instruction. Thanks and enjoy. Contents Dominion Bond: G-P should be able to internally fund capex and dividends ( More ...) Dominion Bond: Slocan facing financial challenges but is conserving cash ( More ...) International Paper to sponsor society's new classroom magazine ( More ...) FOEX NBSK price up by nearly a dollar; U.S. newsprint takes a dive ( More ...) Dominion Bond: Mead/Westvaco will have weak credit statistics that should improve ( More ...) Mail-Well begins production of 'safety oriented' envelopes ( More ...) Dominion Bond: G-P should be able to internally fund capex and dividends 11/05/2001 12:40:42, Press Release Dominion Bond Rating Service: benchmark report TORONTO, Nov. 5, 2001 (press release) -- Georgia-Pacific Corporation ("GP" or "the Corporation") became the world's largest producer and mark... ( Story... )   Dominion Bond: Slocan facing financial challenges but is conserving cash 11/05/2001 12:48:30, Press Release Dominion Bond Rating Service: Updated Benchmark Report TORONTO, Nov. 5, 2001 (press release) -- While the earnings of Slocan Forest Products Ltd. ("Slocan" or "the Company") during t... ( Story... )   International Paper to sponsor society's new classroom magazine 11/05/2001 15:22:32, PRNewswire WASHINGTON, Nov. 5, 2001 (press release) -- International Paper Company Foundation has made a substantial gift to underwrite distribution costs over three years for "National Geographic for Kids," the newest member of the Society's magazine family.... ( Story... )   FOEX NBSK price up by nearly a dollar; U.S. newsprint takes a dive 11/06/2001 08:25:21, Forestweb SAN FRANCISCO, Nov. 6, 2001 (Forestweb) ?-- Showing the effects of price-stepping in the fourth quarter, the PIX price of northern bleached softwood kraft (NBSK) in Europe has bounced back into positive territory with an increase of $0.95/tonne, to $465.43. ... ( Story... )   Dominion Bond: Mead/Westvaco will have weak credit statistics that should improve 11/05/2001 12:06:13, Press Release Dominion Bond Rating Service benchmark report: TORONTO, Nov. 5, 2001 (press release) -- The merger of The Mead Corporation and Westvaco Corporation through a share exchange will form the sec... ( Story... )   Mail-Well begins production of 'safety oriented' envelopes 11/06/2001 05:29:17, PRNewswire ENGLEWOOD, Colo., Nov. 6, 2001 (press release) -- In a bold and innovative move, the world's largest envelope manufacturer, Mail-Well, Inc., announced it will begin immediate production of safety-oriented envelopes for its customers in response to recent events affecting the U.S. postal system. These envelopes include the following products:... ( Story... )   To unsubscribe from the Pulp, Writing & Printing Paper News, click on UNSUBSCRIBE and simply send the corresponding email. All news reports are copyrighted by the respective authors. powered by Forestweb


RE: FW: E-Ticket Confirmation-NFITFO 18AUG Just told her. She was amused Â From: Fred Schulcz Sent: Thursday, July 24, 2014 4:22 PM To: Weil, Leah Subject: Re: FW: E-Ticket Confirmation-NFITFO 18AUG Â That figures. LOL! Â On Thu, Jul 24, 2014 at 4:12 PM, Weil, Leah wrote: Here is ours. Will send you elizabeth's. LOL – she has been upgraded but we haven't yet. Â From: American Airlines@aa.com Sent: Thursday, July 24, 2014 3:26 PM To: Weil, Leah Subject: E-Ticket Confirmation-NFITFO 18AUG Â Â Ticket Issued: Jul 24, 2014 Leah E Weil, Thank you for choosing American Airlines / American Eagle, a member of the oneworld® Alliance. Below are your itinerary and receipt for the ticket(s) purchased. Please print and retain this document for use throughout your trip. You may check in and obtain your boarding pass for U.S. domestic electronic tickets within 24 hours of your flight time online at AA.com by using www.aa.com/checkin or at a Self-Service Check-In machine at the airport. 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Â Record Locator NFITFO Carrier Flight # Departing Arriving Fare Code American 4 LOS ANGELES MON 18AUG 12:10 PM NEW YORK JFK 9:05 PM G Leah Weil Seat 16C Economy FF#: 656L4N2 EXP Food-bev/Pur Fred Schulcz Seat 16B Economy Â Food-bev/Pur American 3 NEW YORK JFK MON 25AUG 12:30 PM LOS ANGELES 3:30 PM Q Leah Weil Seat 13C Economy FF#: 656L4N2 EXP Food-bev/Pur Fred Schulcz Seat 13B Economy Â Food-bev/Pur Â Â Â Passenger Ticket # Fare-USD Taxes and Carrier- Imposed Fees Ticket Total  Leah Weil 0012339954045 547.91 69.29 617.20  Fred Schulcz 0012339954046 547.91 69.29 617.20 Â  Master Card XXXXXXXXXXXX7079 $ 1234.40 Â Baggage Information Baggage charges for your itinerary will be governed by American Airlines BAG ALLOWANCE -LAXJFK-No free checked bags/ American Airlines 1STCHECKED BAG FEE-LAXJFK-USD25.00/ American Airlines /UP TO 50 POUNDS/23 KILOGRAMS AND UP TO 62 LINEAR INCHES/158 LINEAR CENTIMETERS 2NDCHECKED BAG FEE-LAXJFK-USD35.00/ American Airlines /UP TO 50 POUNDS/23 KILOGRAMS AND UP TO 62 LINEAR INCHES/158 LINEAR CENTIMETERS BAG ALLOWANCE -JFKLAX-No free checked bags/ American Airlines 1STCHECKED BAG FEE-JFKLAX-USD25.00/ American Airlines /UP TO 50 POUNDS/23 KILOGRAMS AND UP TO 62 LINEAR INCHES/158 LINEAR CENTIMETERS 2NDCHECKED BAG FEE-JFKLAX-USD35.00/ American Airlines /UP TO 50 POUNDS/23 KILOGRAMS AND UP TO 62 LINEAR INCHES/158 LINEAR CENTIMETERS CARRY ON ALLOWANCE LAXJFK JFKLAX-02 Pieces/ American Airlines 01/SMALL PERSONAL ITEM 01/UP TO 45 LINEAR INCHES/115 LINEAR CENTIMETERS ADDITIONAL ALLOWANCES AND/OR DISCOUNTS MAY APPLY EMBARGOES-APPLY TO EACH PASSENGER LAXJFK JFKLAX-AA OVER 100 POUNDS/45 KILOGRAMS NOT PERMITTED You have purchased a NON-REFUNDABLE fare. 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From: Spencer Bowers Sent: Wednesday, May 04, 2016 2:46 PM Subject: FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Tennessee Democratic Party Chair: "Trump Most Dangerous Nominee in History" FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: Spencer Bowers TNDP Communications Director (C) 731.441.8267 spencer@tndp.org Tennessee Democratic Party Chair: "Trump Most Dangerous Nominee in History" Nashville, TN (May 4, 2016) -- Tennessee Democratic Party Chair Mary Mancini released the following statement regarding the 'Real' Donald Trump and his connection to Tennessee Republicans: "Donald Trump has built his campaign on fear, stoking the embers of racism, sexism, and xenophobia that still remain in this country, but that hasn't stopped the Tennessee Republicans from endorsing and actively campaigning for him. Their support for Trump reveals their true priorities, which have nothing to do with solving problems or governing Tennessee effectively and everything to do with the politics of pleasing the extremists in their own Party. It is beyond sad that our state's Republicans are standing behind someone who continues to do so much harm to our country." ### -- Spencer Bowers Communications Director [ Tennessee Democratic Party 1900 Church St, Ste 203 Nashville, TN 37203 Office 615-327-9779 Cell/Text 731-441-8267 Fax 615-891-7453 Paid for by the Tennessee Democratic Party Chair Mary Mancini 1900 Church Street Suite 203 Nashville, TN 37203 and not authorized by any candidate or candidate committee.


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full headers on this one. sorry about that. ----- Forwarded message from "aw-confirm@ebay.com" ----- Return-Path: html@mail.2candesign.com Received: from www.2candesign.com ([64.106.143.69]) by angelar.com (8.13.1/8.13.1) with SMTP id j6QFVn2d007500 for ; Tue, 26 Jul 2005 10:31:53 -0500 Received: (qmail 28007 invoked by uid 548); 26 Jul 2005 10:57:57 -0000 Date: 26 Jul 2005 10:57:57 -0000 Message-ID: To: jeremy@angelar.com Subject: Open now and verify your email at eBay From: "aw-confirm@ebay.com" Content-Type: text/html X-Spam-Status: No, score=1.8 required=4.1 tests=HTML_50_60,HTML_MESSAGE, IP_LINK_PLUS,MIME_HEADER_CTYPE_ONLY,MIME_HTML_ONLY,NORMAL_HTTP_TO_IP autolearn=no version=3.0.4 X-Spam-Level: * X-Spam-Checker-Version: SpamAssassin 3.0.4 (2005-06-05) on mail.angelar.com Status: RO X-Status: X-Keywords: X-UID: 2512 Dear eBay User,   Due to recent activity, including possible unauthorized listings, we have temporarily suspended activity on your account in order to allow us to investigate this matter further. If you believe that this action may have been taken in error, or, if you feel that your account may have been tampered with, please contact our Live Help team so that we can provide additional information and work with you to resolve this issue.     To protect your account please click here:   http;//cgi.ebay.com/saw-cgi/eBayISAPI.dll?RegisterEnterInfo&siteid=1&amp ;     You can reach the Account Theft Live Help team by clicking the " Security Center " link located near the bottom of the eBay.com home page. After clicking "Security Center" link:   1. Click the " Protecting Your eBay Account " link located under the "General Marketplace Safety" heading. 2. When the "Securing Your Account and Reporting Account Theft" window appears, scroll to the middle of the page and click on the button labeled "Live Help."   Once you have clicked on the "Live Help" link, you will be prompted to enter a chat name or email address along with a topic related to your reason for contacting eBay. After you have entered this information, the next available representative will assist you.   In the event that you are unable to contact eBay through Live Help after taking these steps, respond directly to this message to request assistance. We will contact you by email after we have received your response.   Please allow at least 72 hours for an email reply. Emailing us prior to receiving our reply will result in an additional delay. In order to handle your concern as quickly and efficiently as possible, we encourage you to contact us through Live Help if you are able to do so.   If you received this notice and you are not the authorized account holder, please be aware that it is in violation of eBay policy to represent oneself as another eBay user. Such action may also be in violation of local, national, and/or international law. eBay is committed to assist law enforcement with any inquiries related to attempts to misappropriate personal information with the intent to commit fraud or theft. Information will be provided at the request of law enforcement agencies to ensure that perpetrators are prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law.             Do not respond to this email, as your reply will not be received. If you would like additional information related to this notice, please refer to the eBay Contact Customer Support page at the address provided below and contact us with your concern:   Thank you for your patience in this matter.   Regards, Customer Support (Trust and Safety Department) ebay International AG ----- End forwarded message ----- -- Jeremy Anderson jeremy (at) angelar.com ~jeremy What a sad world it is where money is spent on weapons instead of books, on war instead of health, corporations instead of human beings.


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Forwarded to Kroll Garret Bonosky Deputy Director Office of the Chair Democratic National Committee On May 2, 2016, at 9:15 PM, Miranda, Luis > wrote: I sent in Phil Griffin about an hour ago. Will re forward to you Sent via the Samsung GALAXY S®4, an AT&T 4G LTE smartphone -------- Original message -------- From: "Kroll, Amy" > Date: 05/02/2016 9:08 PM (GMT-05:00) To: "Miranda, Luis" >, "Banfill, Ryan" >, "Paustenbach, Mark" > Cc: Kate Houghton >, "Bonosky, Garret" >, "Guerra, Liana" > Subject: Outstanding briefs for tomorrow Good evening communications team, The following briefs for DWS are outstanding for tomorrow: DNC COMMS CNN New Day DNC COMMS meeting with Phil Griffin


I agree with Tom: I sent you (without copying others) a whole host of material.. Kevin tom crowley wrote: > For goodness sakes, I don't know where to start - let me just make one > point with respect to solar - solar projects onto the GHG signal in > the 20th c. so solar cannot be distinguished during that time. if one > were to independently correlate solar and GHG with temp. since 1750, > solar would "explain" about 75% of the variance, GHG about 70% - a > spectacular 140% of the variance explained! > > the only way to evaluate solar is to look at intervals when GHG was > not changing and solar was - the preanthropogenic interval - perhaps > the most comprehensive evaluation of the solar effect is in the > attached paper, where it is quite clear that solar effect is either > negligible or just barely significant, ie., 5-10% of the decadally > scaled variance. > > with respect to the MWP all you have to do is plot the data up and > compile them - the numbers don't work out as being warmer than the > present - at best approaching or slightly exceeding mid-20th c. the > reason is that is was warm at different times. Soon and Baliunas of > course never showed this - but if you actually look at the damn data > and plot up, the same answer as I stated above keeps showing up, over > and over. > > with respect to UAH, there are now two other reconstructions that show > otherwise. > > enough, this is like trying to convert someone with one religion to > another. > > tom > > Chick Keller wrote: > >> Richard and Friends, >> >> thanks for the point of view. I'll put some of this into my >> presentation. >> >> However, it won't wash when facing critics head-on. >> >> Their latest arguments are more subtle. Their main point is that >> their counter information hangs together into a logically coherent >> picture. >> >> Models: no real finger print that distinguishes AGHG forcings from >> others! Models using AGHG forcings predict warming is function of >> latitude yet the Arctic is hardly warming (north of ~^65°N), and high >> latitude Antarctic (excepting for the peninsula) is actually cooling >> slightly. >> >> Models: As you say need AGHG forcings to simulate last 30 years of >> observed warming. But, they counter, UAH satellite reductions show >> no such warming so don't need AGHG forcing (or at least don't need >> effects of positive feedbacks and just increases in AGHGs don't cause >> so much warming). >> >> Solar forcing--not able to generate last 30 years of observed >> warming. Same counter as last one--"See, they say, no increased >> solar in last 25 years is consistent with no warming!! >> >> Also, since no warming since 1945, MWP most likely to have been as >> warm as now and thus sun can indeed explain (with proper lags) >> observed warming thus far. >> >> Their model--climate varies depending on solar activity. all >> observations are consistent with this. >> >> Models predict that any surface warming will be seen in the >> troposphere. Since UAH satellite reduction shows no such warming--1. >> models are wrong and/or no warming at surface just lousy observations. >> 2. If no warming at surface in last 30 years AGHG forcing predictions >> by models is incorrect probably due to poor cloud/water vapor >> modeling--no positive feedbacks to speak of. >> >> Sooooo, you can say all you want that all the prestigious societies >> and folks say it's AGHGs, but they've been bamboozled by a few of >> elitist scientists. As long as satellites show no recent warming, >> the entire AGHG hypothesis collapses, not because multi-atomic >> molecules don't cause the atmosphere to be more opaque, but because >> there are no positive feedbacks which the models need to get the >> "right" answer. >> >> So, what I need is strong evidence that the surface record is indeed >> correct (UHI effect is small, and marine boundary layer approximation >> is correct). >> >> Now, Richard, toss in large effects of land use changes and of black >> soot forcing changing earth's albedo, and you now have additional >> forcings which may be causing warming but can't be countered by >> reducing AGHGs. >> >> Soooo, it still ain't all that easy to convince an audience that the >> Singer's of this world aren't on to at least part of the problem. >> >> AND keep in mind that increased CO2 is good for us--more agriculture, >> etc. >> >> Nope it just ain't that easy. So any information--graphics, etc on >> these issues will be greatly appreciated. >> >> Regards to all, >> chick >> >> >> Hi Chick and friends, >> >> Good to hear from you, Chick. I'm busy, like all of us, and >> responding to Singer is not my cup of tea, so I'm glad you and others >> are willing. I hate to be in the same room with him, frankly. He's >> a third-rate scientist and is ethically challenged, to say the least. >> >> From others on your email list, I am sure you will receive tons of >> useful information. However, I think your entire basic strategy for >> confronting Singer might not be optimal. Sometimes the most pressing >> issues in the research community, or the most interesting questions >> scientifically, are not necessarily the best ways to carry on the >> public conversation. I am thinking in particular of your statement: >> >> "Perhaps the most important is that satellites don't show much >> warming since 1979 and disagree substantially with the surface >> record, which must then be incorrect. Were we able to resolve this >> conundrum, I think most of the other objections to human generated >> climate change would lose their credibility." >> >> For what it's worth, here's my take on your approach. I >> respectfully disagree with you that hammering away on reconciling the >> MSU data with radiosonde and surface data is the right way to go in >> dealing with the Fred Singers of the world. Even though much of the >> differences may now be apparently explained, it's still a terribly >> messy job. The satellite system wasn't designed to measure >> tropospheric temperatures, the calibration and orbital decay and >> retrieval algorithm and all the other technical issues are ugly, and >> nobody knows how much the lower stratospheric cooling ought to have >> infected the upper troposphere, among other points one might make. >> >> No matter what one does on trying to make the MSU data tell us a >> clean story, there are remaining serious uncertainties. That's >> basically what the NAS/NRC study chaired by Mike Wallace concluded, >> and it's still true, in my view. Plus the data record is so short. >> In addition, as you say, you are retired, and research on these >> things is not what you have first-person experience with, so when you >> try to study up on the latest published results, you're at a >> disadvantage compared with the Singers of the world, whose full-time >> job is to cherry-pick the literature for evidence to support their >> preconceived positions. >> >> One of the tactics of the skeptics is to create the impression among >> nonscientists, especially journalists, that the entire science of >> climate change rests on the flimsy foundation of one or two lines of >> evidence, so that casting doubt on that foundation ought to bring >> down the entire structure. For temperature, that approach is clearly >> behind the attacks on the "hockey stick" curve over the last 1,000 >> years or the satellite vs. in situ differences over the last 25 >> years. Refuting the errors of the papers by Soon and Baliunas or by >> McIntyre and Mckitrick doesn't faze these people. They just shift >> their ground and produce another erroneous attack. Their goal is not >> to advance the science, but to perpetuate the appearance of >> controversy and doubt. >> >> I don't think the skeptics should be allowed to choose the >> battlefield, and I certainly don't think the issue of whether >> anthropogenic influences are a serious concern should be settled by >> looking at any single data set. I do think the IPCC TAR was right to >> stress that you simply can't plausibly make GCMs replicate the >> instrumental record without including GHGs (and aerosols). I also >> think the recent AGU and AMS public statements, which you will >> doubtless find on their web sites, are right on target. Many of us >> were pleasantly surprised that our leading scientific societies have >> recently adopted such strong statements as to the reality and >> seriousness of anthropogenic climate change. There really is a >> scientific consensus, and it cannot be refuted or disproved by >> attacking any single data set. >> >> I also think people need to come to understand that the scientific >> uncertainties work both ways. We don't understand cloud feedbacks. >> We don't understand air-sea interactions. We don't understand >> aerosol indirect effects. The list is long. Singer will say that >> uncertainties like these mean models lack veracity and can safely be >> ignored. What seems highly unlikely to me is that each of these >> uncertainties is going to make the climate system more robust against >> change. It is just as likely a priori that a poorly understood bit >> of physics might be a positive as a negative feedback. Meanwhile, >> the climate system overall is in fact behaving in a manner consistent >> with the GCM predictions. I have often wondered how our medical >> colleagues manage to escape the trap of having their entire science >> dismissed because there are uncured diseases and other remaining >> uncertainties. Maybe we can learn from the physicians. >> >> People on airplanes, when they find out what I do for a living, >> usually ask me if I "believe in" global warming. It's not religion, >> of course. What I actually tend to believe in, if they really wanted >> to try to understand, is quantum mechanics. CO2 and CH4 and all >> those other interesting trace gases have more than two atoms, and >> that fact simply has inescapable consequences. You just can't keep >> adding those GHG molecules indefinitely without making the atmosphere >> significantly more opaque in the IR. The "debates" in the reputable >> research community are all quantitative. If skeptics don't worry >> about doubling, they ought to be pressed to tell us why they are >> unconcerned about tripling or quadrupling or worse. That's where the >> planet is headed. The fact that remote sensing and model building >> are hard work, and that much remains to be done, shouldn't be allowed >> to obscure the basic obvious facts. >> >> Bonne chance et bon courage, >> >> Richard > > -- **************** Kevin E. Trenberth e-mail: trenbert@ucar.edu Climate Analysis Section, NCAR www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/ P. O. Box 3000, (303) 497 1318 Boulder, CO 80307 (303) 497 1333 (fax) Street address: 1850 Table Mesa Drive, Boulder, CO 80303


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