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To Place an order . . . PLEASE CALL 973-376-0005 ask for Order Dept.www.winelibrary.com or e-mail us at swl@winelibrary.com 3 BIG announcements!!! 1. Gary Vaynerchuk of the Wine Library has signed on to host a wine tasting dinner at Cafe Brand of Jersey City this Wednesday October 24 at 6:30PM. The $70 entry fee includes tax, gratuity and an elegant "World Bistro" style 7-course meal prepared by Executive Chef Seth Coburn. The menu will feature Seared Nori Tuna, Crusted Salmon Filet, & Grilled Fillet Mignon. Fedway Associates is providing the matching Californian & French wines, including the 1999 Stonegate Napa Merlot and the 1997 Rene Renou Bonnezeaux Trie de Vendanges. Call 201-459-9947 for reservations & directions. Event: 7 Course Wine Tasting Dinner Date: Wednesday, October 24, 2001 Time: 6:30 PM Reception Start Price: $70 (includes tax & gratuity) Place: Cafe Brand 611 Jersey Ave., Jersey City NJ 07302 Located in Downtown Jersey City at the Corner of 5th and Jersey Ave. Phone: 201-459-9947 2. If you didn't receive last years Wine Library Catalog and would like to this year, please e-mail (by replying to this e-mail) us your name and address 3. This Friday, live on our website, we will unveil our 2001 Customer Appreciation Sale on www.winelibrary.com , the sale will start on Friday and run through the month of November. There will be a large selection of wines discounted 30-50 % and this is a real bargain hunters paradise! We want to run these sales for 2 reasons. 1, to thank all of you for shopping Wine Library and 2, To reduce our inventory on random bottles going into the holidays. There will be small quantities on most wines, so please act very quickly if you have interest. If you stop by the store these wines will be marked with special sale tags (starting Saturday)...Happy Hunting and make sure you stop by or log on to www.winelibrary.com on Friday @ 11 am!


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Phil, David, as David says I'll be away in Oklahoma first week in March. Antarctic data first piqued my interest with the Science paper on raobs trends which was clearly non-physical but hard to nail down how wrong it was. I did some minor digging into READER and found that in the UA domain it was qc'ed but not homogenised. I've made a rather rash assumption that this would also be the case for the surface data but am happy to be corrected. Its clear to me that Antarctica is a uniquely difficult environment to collect long-term homogeneous data in. So I have substantial doubts that all the manned station pegs in Steig et al. are adequate. Does this really matter? I'm not sure. What Steig et al., satellites, and potentially reanalyses does do is allow us, in principle, at least to get around the no-neighbours issue in assessing homogeneity away from the peninsula. For example we could use a bootstrapping of the Steig et al approach by creating say 50 realisations of each station series using randomly seeded combinations of manned station pegs as the S et al. RegEM constraint (excluding the candidate station) to make a neighbour composite ensemble. We could then add in the available reanalysis field estimates and satellite estimates and make a reasonable punt about the existence and magnitude of any breaks based upon multiple lines of evidence (of course, we lose some of these before 1979 ...). We could use this information to assess in a more rigorous way than has been done to date the homogeneity of these sparse stations. Then cleaned up data could be fed back through Steig et al. afterwards to see how it impacts that analysis making for a nice clean self-contained study. My understanding from the blog discussion of Steig et al. is that the analysis step is fairly trivial so such an ensemble realisation approach should be plausible with a humble PC so long as it has the coding platform available. Of course, this doesn't resolve any fundamental methodological concerns about the S et al. approach that may exist but it does give us a reasonable chance of creating a much more homogeneous READER manned station dataset for next IPCC AR and our future products. My suspicion is that actually changing the manned station data in this way may make S et al. more different to the straight average of the READER data as used (effectively) in AR5 and point to the importance of the long-term homogeneity of the data pegs in RegEM ... this may, of course, be felt to be a can of worms too far ... Peter On Mon, 2009-02-09 at 16:53 +0000, Phil Jones wrote: > David, > I think I misinterpreted your email when in Switzerland. I think I thought > you wanted a talk and a possible project. Now I read it and it is just a > possible project. > I've done a lot with the Antarctic temperature data - I also have an > archive of MSLP data for most sites (for some it is station level pressure). > With regards homogeneity it is difficult to do much beyond the Peninsula > (and be confident about anything) as the stations are too far apart. There is > an issue I could ask Adrian - whether ERA-INTERIM is good enough since > 1988? This could also assess the AVHRR, but this may be circular. > I've read Steig et al now, and I can see all the comments on the CA and > RC sites about some of the data. It seems that BAS have made some mistakes > with some of the AWS sites. The only AWS site used in CRUTEM3 is the one > at Byrd, as this is at one of the manned sites. The issue with the AWS's is > getting reasonable data in real time. Whilst I was away the checked monthly > data arrived for 2002! I will add Byrd's data in. The problem is > that some sites > get buried, but still seem to transmit. > What Steig et al have done is a paleo-type reconstruction of the > full field > from the AVHRR for a recent period and extended it back to 1957. If the > data are OK, all you're assuming is that covariance structure > remains the same. > > I did this paper (attached) ages ago, but it doesn't seem all > that relevant. > > Anyway - I do need to come down to see Ian. Possibilities would be coming > mid week, say Feb 25/26 or March 4/5. How do these dates suit? I'd need to > spend the night - maybe that Travel-lodge near you, it is only one night! > > Cheers > Phil > > > At 16:04 30/01/2009, David Parker wrote: > >Phil > > > >Thanks. I hope the GCOS meeting goes well: Roger Saunders will be there. > >We look forward to your thoughts on the Antarctic data, and to your > >visit whenever that may be convenient for you, > > > >David > > > > > >On Fri, 2009-01-30 at 15:56 +0000, P.Jones@uea.ac.uk wrote: > > > David, > > > The Swiss extremes workshop has afternoons off for skiing. > > > As I don't, I've been on 60 or 90 mins walks along snow covered > > > trails. Snow is 1m deep off the trails. > > > Anyway back now. So looking at emails. As the sun drops, > > > the temperature plummets. I'm at the GCOS Imp Plan meeting > > > next week in Geneva. Back in CRU on Feb 6. > > > I've been reading the Steig et al paper. I've looked > > > at homogeneity issues with the Antarctic data in the past. > > > Difficult to do much except in the Peninsula. Anyway, > > > I'll give your proposal some thought. Will talk to others > > > like Kevin T next week as well about the paper. > > > Glad to hear Ian is settling. It would be a good idea > > > to do two things on the visit. I'm sure we can think of more! > > > Glad also you're helping out Brian. I just couldn't > > > rearrange my UEA teaching again - already done this so I can > > > be here now and Geneva next week. > > > > > > Have a good weekend - if a little cold! > > > > > > Cheers > > > Phil > > > > > > > Phil > > > > > > > > Peter Thorne and others have suggested that you visit us in the near > > > > future to set up a project in which CRU would homogenise the "Reader" > > > > surface temperature data for Antarctica. This subject arose in > > > > connection with Steig et al.'s paper on Antarctic temperatures in last > > > > week's NATURE, and is also relevant to the possibility that we may > > > > include interpolations over the Arctic Ocean and Antarctica in our > > > > analyses for IPCC AR5. Peter challenges the results of Steig et al. on > > > > the grounds that the in situ surface temperatures may not be > > > > homogeneous. Maybe you could even give a seminar on e.g. Antarctic > > > > observations. > > > > > > > > Please let me know when a visit would be convenient for you. You could, > > > > of course, combine it with a review of Ian's progress. Ian is now well- > > > > settled into using our computing systems, and has started to calculate > > > > r-bar from the daily precipitation fields for the UK regions, with a > > > > view to estimating uncertainties in the regionally-averaged daily > > > > values. As a cross-check, and to gain a deeper appreciation of this > > > > myself, I have independently written some software to calculate r-bar. > > > > This is leading to some ideas which I will send to you when I have had > > > > more time to think them through. > > > > > > > > I understand you're busy as I am expecting to attend the Malaria meeting > > > > at Imperial on 12-13 Feb when you aren't available. > > > > > > > > Hope you've had good meetings in Geneva > > > > > > > > David > > > > > > > > -- > > > > David Parker Met Office Hadley Centre FitzRoy Road EXETER EX1 3PB UK > > > > E-mail: david.parker@metoffice.gov.uk > > > > Tel: +44-1392-886649 Fax: +44-1392-885681 http:www.metoffice.gov.uk > > > > > > > > > > > >-- > >David Parker Met Office Hadley Centre FitzRoy Road EXETER EX1 3PB UK > >E-mail: david.parker@metoffice.gov.uk > >Tel: +44-1392-886649 Fax: +44-1392-885681 http:www.metoffice.gov.uk > > Prof. Phil Jones > Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090 > School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784 > University of East Anglia > Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk > NR4 7TJ > UK > ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- -- Peter Thorne Climate Research Scientist Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB tel. +44 1392 886552 fax +44 1392 885681 www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs


Tim - thanks for the update. Just think of the beer at the end of the tunnel. This week's deadline is a TSU deadline for figs being considered for the Tech Summary. You're looking good to get some of your figs/science in the TS, and this means big impact. Hopefully, provides the extra juice to find the extra time needed to get them done. thx, peck >update: > >reconstructions + observations: you've seen the multiple shading >extra panel already, but I've made a few more tweaks to this and >added oerlemans (global, but looks similar to his NH regions, by >eye) reconstruction. > >forcings + model NH temps: waiting for Stendel data, added new >ECHO-G run without drift problem, tried replacing reconstruction >"envelope" with the multiple shading approach used in the extra >panel of the first figure. Not sure how clear it is - obviously >adding shades of grey behind coloured lines can make it a little >harder to distinguish them. > >extra runs from EMICS: draft plot of NH temps made, got to put the >reconstruction shading under that too, not yet done and the whole >thing needs some tidying up so that it can be an extra panel of the >previous figure. > >extra panel showing a volcanic forcing time series unsmoothed (i.e., >with spikes): draft done but again needs tidying so it can be an >extra panel of the forcings/models figure. > >maps of proxy locations - still lots of work to be done. > >Cheers > >Tim > > > >At 03:01 08/02/2006, you wrote: >>Hi Tim - I did, thanks. And this is where the "hybid" MWP box idea >>came from. Speaking of which, how are all your figs going? We >>really need those being considered for the Tech Summary asap >>(deadline is this week). Please update at least. Thanks, Peck >> >>>Hi Peck - sorry, forgot to reply to this. Yes, please do share it >>>with them, if you haven't already. - Tim >>> >>>At 05:38 01/02/2006, Jonathan Overpeck wrote: >>>>Hi Tim and Keith - I assume I can share your pre-pub Science pdf >>>>with Susan and Martin? Of course, I'll point out the need for >>>>confidentiality, but I'm sure they know the deal and can be >>>>trusted. Just wanted to make sure this is ok w/ you, so that we >>>>can get their opinions on what's best for the MWP box. >>>> >>>>thanks, Peck >>>>-- >>>>Jonathan T. Overpeck >>>>Director, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth >>>>Professor, Department of Geosciences >>>>Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences >>>> >>>>Mail and Fedex Address: >>>> >>>>Institute for the Study of Planet Earth >>>>715 N. Park Ave. 2nd Floor >>>>University of Arizona >>>>Tucson, AZ 85721 >>>>direct tel: +1 520 622-9065 >>>>fax: +1 520 792-8795 >>>> >>>> >>> >>>Dr Timothy J Osborn >>>Climatic Research Unit >>>School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia >>>Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK >>> >>>e-mail: t.osborn@uea.ac.uk >>>phone: +44 1603 592089 >>>fax: +44 1603 507784 >>>web: ~timo/ >>>sunclock: ~timo/sunclock.htm >> >> >>-- >>Jonathan T. Overpeck >>Director, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth >>Professor, Department of Geosciences >>Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences >> >>Mail and Fedex Address: >> >>Institute for the Study of Planet Earth >>715 N. Park Ave. 2nd Floor >>University of Arizona >>Tucson, AZ 85721 >>direct tel: +1 520 622-9065 >>fax: +1 520 792-8795 >> >> > >Dr Timothy J Osborn >Climatic Research Unit >School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia >Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK > >e-mail: t.osborn@uea.ac.uk >phone: +44 1603 592089 >fax: +44 1603 507784 >web: ~timo/ >sunclock: ~timo/sunclock.htm -- Jonathan T. Overpeck Director, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth Professor, Department of Geosciences Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences Mail and Fedex Address: Institute for the Study of Planet Earth 715 N. Park Ave. 2nd Floor University of Arizona Tucson, AZ 85721 direct tel: +1 520 622-9065 fax: +1 520 792-8795


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Bumping for approval On May 9, 2016, at 8:41 PM, Walker, Eric > wrote: Minor eds. Plus mark and Luis for signoff On May 9, 2016, at 8:23 PM, Helmstetter, TJ > wrote: Happystate Democrats Slam Trump-Ryan Tax Plan During Event Held Earlier Today Earlier today, Happystate Democratic Chairman Ronald McDonald, joined by state Senator Grimace and others, held a press conference to discuss the negative effects that the Trump-Ryan tax plan would have on our state's economy and how it would harm ordinary Happystate residents. Donald Trump has exposed himself as reckless and dangerous on the American economy. His comments over the last few days promise to undermine the role of the United States as a major economic power and potentially threaten the global financial system. But Trump's dangerous ideas are just an extension of the misguided stances of Paul Ryan and the Republicans in Congress, who have pushed tax cuts for the rich, cuts for the middle class, and repeatedly threatened the full faith and credit of the United States. "Donald Trump's reckless tax policies and his suggestion that we should play chicken with the country's finances are lifted directly from the same old failed Republican playbook.," said Ronald McDonald, chairman of the Happystate Democratic Party. "Trump can ignore reality and crown himself the king of debt, but it's clear that his economic ideas, and those of his fellow Republicans are simply bankrupt. The American people and our economy can't afford a disastrous Trump presidency," said state Senator Grimace. "Donald Trump's plan to give our hard-earned tax money away to the rich means there's less money to spend on things we care about like quality schools and safe facilities for our kids," said Birdie, whose elementary school children would be harmed by the type of policies the Trump-Ryan plan advocates. Over 50 anti-Trump demonstrators held signs at the press conference that said "Reject the Trump-Ryan Agrnda." Photos are available here: www.LINK.url The message of the press conference was clear: Donald Trump can't hide from the GOP's obsession with trickle-down economics. Yesterday, Trump tried to dismiss concerns about his reckless tax plan, which would reward those at the top by slashing the top income tax rate to 25 percent from 39.6 percent, claiming that "the rich" are "probably going to end up paying more." In reality, such a move would give the "top 0.1% of income earners like himself an average tax cut of more than $1.3 million (versus $2,700 for those in the middle class)." And just this morning, Trump once again confirmed that he would, in fact, lower taxes on the wealthiest of Americans. Trump also plans to substantially reduce the corporate tax rate to 15 percent, even beyond the reckless plan put forth by Republican Speaker Paul Ryan. That's not all Trump has in common with Ryan. Paul Ryan also said that Planned Parenthood shouldn't get a "red cent " in funding. Trump, of course, supported shutting down the government to defund Planned Parenthood. When it comes to immigration, we all know that Trump would build a wall on the Mexican border; Paul Ryan has said that he supports such a wall and has voted for building one "repeatedly ." ### TJ Helmstetter Deputy Director of Regional and Specialty Media Democratic National Committee 202.863.8022 – desk 973.464.9224 – cell HelmstetterT@DNC.org


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For Planning Purposes April 2 7 , 2016 Contact: DNC Press – 202-863-8148 *MEDIA ADVISORY* TOMORROW , April 27 th at 9:00 AM ET : Democrats Host Media Call To Discuss The Status of Voting Rights in North Carolina On Tuesday, voting rights activists filed an appeal of a U.S. District Court's decision to uphold North Carolina's overly burdensome election law, H.B. 589. The law imposed a number of new restrictions including eliminating same-day registration, reducing the early voting period and imposing strict new photo ID requirements that have made it harder for millions of North Carolinians to vote. Make no mistake, these are efforts by Republicans to intentionally silence the very groups that disagree with their extreme policies. While Republicans continue to defend laws to limitvoter turnout, Democrats have gone to court in Arizona and beyond to reverse the culture of voter discrimination. This was echoed in North Carolina today, as voting rights activists filed an appeal of the onerous H.B. 589 decision. Democrats across the country will continue to defend the right to vote -- the most fundamental of our rights. Tomorrow , CBC Chairman Representative G.K. Butterfield, Representative Alma Adams and DNC's National Director of Voter Expansion Pratt Wiley will discuss the restrictions of North Carolina's H.B. 589 and how Democrats are working to expand access to the ballot box leading into the general election. WHO: CBC Chairman Representative G.K. Butterfield, Representative Alma Adams and theDNC's National Director of Voter Expansion Pratt Wiley WHAT: Media Call WHEN: TOMORROW , April 27 th at 9:00 AM ET RSVP: Please email Rachel Palermo, PalermoR@dnc.org for dial-in information ### Sent from my iPhone


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Webinar: Implementing an E-Discovery Reuse Strategy Jump into Case Strategy Sooner - Register Now ÂÂ Webinar: Implementing an E-Discovery Reuse Strategy ÂÂ Wednesday, October 1, 2014 11am PT / 2pm ET ÂÂ Find out how an e-discovery work product reuse strategy can save time and money on collections and let you cut to the chase with early case assessment (ECA) right out of the gate upon notice of impending litigation. In our webinar "Implementing an E-Discovery Reuse Strategy,� you'll learn: How to save significantly on outside counsel costs How to minimize risk of inadvertent release of confidentiality and privilege documents How to expedite ECA and case-strategy formulation Which types of litigation are best suited to data and work-product reuse How reuse impacts your implementation of the Electronic Discovery Reference Model (EDRM) process Key considerations when choosing e-discovery software Presenters: Gina Trimarco, Senior Attorney, DLA Piper Global Ian Ezra, Senior Product Manager, Guidance Software Register for Webinar > © 2014 Guidance Software, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 1055 E. Colorado Blvd., Pasadena, CA 91106-2375 Privacy Policy | Contact Us ÂÂ You are receiving this email because of your standing in the business and legal communities. Click Here if you wish to unsubscribe from Today's General Counsel's future promotional emails.


Donald Trump proved today that a teleprompter can't help him sound reasonable or knowledgeable when it comes to foreign policy. He continues to lack the judgment, experience, and temperament to be our next commander-in-chief. The "new" Donald Trump is the same Donald Trump we have seen on the campaign trail over the past year - a candidate that lacks details, alarms foreign leaders, and has no place in the White House. Just look at what some had to say about Trump's incoherent foreign policy remarks: @LindseyGrahamSC: Not sure who is advising Trump on foreign policy but I can understand why he's not revealing their names. @LindseyGrahamSC: Question #1 for Trump: Are we sure the guy running the teleprompter has the pages in the right order? #notmakinganysense @LindseyGrahamSC: Question #2 -- Did teleprompter guy actually write the speech? #notmakinganysense @LindseyGrahamSC: Trump speech is pathetic in terms of understanding the role America plays in the world, how to win War on Terror, and threats we face. @timkmak : How can such a prewritten, rehearsed speech be filled with so many errors and internal contradictions @timkmak: Trump's contradiction: --Allies must pay for their own defense --We must stick by our agreement with allies (just not security assurances) @fmkaplan: Even by Trump standards, this is thumpingly incoherent and ignorant. @JakeSherman: Donald Trump just called Tanzania "Tanzaynia" @joshgreenman: 1. Start trade war with China 2. Seek common ground based on shared interests with China @ThePlumLineGS: After saying we need to be more "unpredictable," Trump says the secret to successful foreign policy is consistency. @BenjySarlin: After literally threatening to end alliances over a funding dispute, Trump pivots to saying our allies no longer think they can depend on us @ZekeJMiller: The big question hanging over pretty much every line of this Trump speech: How? @thefix: To say this Trump foreign policy speech is light on specifics is an insult to specifics. @WayneSlater: Trump reading his foreign policy address off the Teleprompter looks like a 10-year-old trying to speak in a second language. @BenjySarlin: Trump just seems to staple GOP talking points about foreign policy onto his own foreign policy, which is totally incompatible with them View this post on our Factivists site here . To be automatically unsubscribed from this list, please email: dncrrmain-unsubscribe@dnc.org


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[Deadline.com] RATINGS RAT RACE: 'S.H.I.E.L.D.' Ends Fall Run On Low, 'Victoria's Secret' & CBS Win Night, 'American Country Awards' Steady Nellie Andreeva's TV Ratings Alert: RATINGS RAT RACE: 'S.H.I.E.L.D.' Ends Fall Run On Low, 'Victoria's Secret' & CBS Win Night, 'American Country Awards' Steady One thing about last night's primetime – it was full of Taylor Swift. The music superstar was Fox's American Country Awards (1.4/4) with a taped speech from Australia, where she is on tour. Swift was also on CBS' The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show (3.4/10), the headline performing amidst the winged lingerie models. While the top rated show of the night, the 10PM latter show, which actually took pl Read more...


Please don't share this with Hunter as Mary has not finalized the numbers. ---------------------- Forwarded by Mark L Schrab/HOU/ECT on 05/11/2001 02:39 PM --------------------------- Mary Ellenberger@ENRON 05/11/2001 02:34 PM To: Mark L Schrab/HOU/ECT@ECT cc: Subject: ANR / HIOS penalty calculation for 2000 THESE ARE PRELIMINARY CALCULATIONS FOR 2000 ONLY. DO TO BE DISTRIBUTED AS FINAL PRODUCT.


not good..... -----Original Message----- From: Arnold, John Sent: Thu 10/25/2001 5:42 PM To: Fraser, Jennifer Cc: Subject: RE: what are u up to later? I''ll be drinking either at front porch or little woodrows -----Original Message----- From: Fraser, Jennifer Sent: Thursday, October 25, 2001 3:34 PM To: Arnold, John Subject: what are u up to later?


eBay Daily Status: Dec-19-04 06:21:56 PDT Your credit/debit card information must be updated Dear eBay Member, We recently noticed one or more attempts to log in to your eBay account from a foreign IP address and we have reasons to believe that your account was used by a third party without your authorization. If you recently accessed your account while traveling, the unusual login attempts may have been initiated by you. The login attempt was made from: IP address: 172.25.210.66 ISP Host: cache-66.proxy.aol.com By now, we used many techniques to verify the accuracy of the information our users provide us when they register on the Site. However, because user verification on the Internet is difficult, eBay cannot and does not confirm each user's purported identity. Thus, we have established an offline verification system to help you evaluate with whom you are dealing with. click on the link below, fill the form and then submit as we will verify Please save the above link for your reference Please Note: - If you choose to ignore our request, you leave us no choice but to temporally suspend your account. * Please do not respond to this e-mail as your reply will not be received. Respectfully, Trust and Safety Department eBay Inc. Helpful links Search eBay - Find other items of interest My eBay - Track your buying and selling activity Discussion boards - Get help from other eBay members eBay Help - Find answers to your questions Learn More: Get notifications right on your desktop before an auction ends with the eBay Toolbar ! Trading guidelines eBay will not request personal data (password, credit card/bank numbers, and so on) in an email. Learn how to protect your account. Thank you for using eBay!  As outlined in our User Agreement, eBay will periodically send you information about site changes and enhancements. Visit our Privacy Policy and User Agreement if you have any questions. Copyright © 2004 eBay Inc. All Rights Reserved.Designated trademarks and brands are the property of their respective owners.eBay and the eBay logo are trademarks of eBay Inc.


Hi all, Below is our draft of this week's update. Please let us know your feedback. Thanks, Olivia -- Dear DNC Member, Republicans had another rough week with Ted Cruz and John Kasich's anti-Trump agreement falling apart within 24 hours , and Ted Cruz announcing that his running mate will be Carly Fiorina, who is best known for almost shutting down a great U.S. company, Hewlett-Packard. While the Republican Party continues to be divided, Democratic voters are energized. Exit polls continue to show that Democrats are proud of their candidates. In a statement on Tuesday night's primary results, DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz in a statement said, "It's no surprise that at exit polls in contest after contest, more and more Democratic voters are reporting that our primary process has energized our party, while more and more Republicans report deep, dispiriting divisions in theirs." Donald Trump continues to prove that on foreign policy, he lacks the judgement, experience, and temperament to be our next commander-in-chief. On Wednesday, Donald Trump's foreign policy speech failed to impress foreign policy experts and US Military Leaders are "terrified" at the idea of Trump as President. His uninformed and inflammatory remarks throughout the course of his campaign for the Republican presidential nomination have caused condemnation and worldwide alarm among foreign leaders and policy experts. Ahead of this weekend's White House Correspondents' Dinner, our Factivists released a video reliving be sure to relive the moment at the Correspondent's Dinner five years ago, where the President exposed Donald Trump as a fraud. "Five years ago, President Obama exposed Donald Trump as a fraud," said DNC Press Secretary Mark Paustenbach, "Trump's foreign policy address yesterday was further evidence the GOP frontrunner is no more qualified for the presidency today than when he was negotiating disputes between Lil' John, Meatloaf, and Gary Busey on Celebrity Apprentice." Also this week, the continual assault on LGBT Americans by Republican legislators and governors through Right to Discriminate laws have stoked fear and prejudice. This has started to alienate even prominent Conservatives. Take a look at what what they and others, including DNC National Press Secretary Mark Paustenbach, have to say on this important issue here . Finally, Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe passed an executive action this week restoring the voting rights of former convicted felons who have paid their dues to society. This was applauded by DNC Vice Chair Donna Brazile, who said, "Democrats across the nation believe the right to vote is our most fundamental right - it is the right that protects and preserves all of our other rights and freedoms. Democrats also know that we solve our nation's problems with more democracy, not less." Governor McAuliffe's action reaffirms the commitment of the Democratic Party to actively fight to expand voter access across the country. Have a safe and happy weekend. Best, Stephanie ---------------------------- Mayor Stephanie Rawlings-Blake Secretary Democratic National Committee


Crew, I don't usually forward these things. But since I haven't given any LEAF assignments in the last few days I thought some of you might be antsy to get in some production. If you have the time and fit the qualifications, help out. If not, no sweat, I'll get out a real LEAF assignment in a day or two. Best, Doyle ----------------------------- From: Tulia Connan Sent: Wednesday, December 27, 2006 12:57 AM To: Undisclosed-Recipient:; Subject: VOLUNTEERS NEEDED FOR HTML Importance: High Dear All, We are launching the biggest mass mailing campaign and a major part of it will occurr at our website. We have a big project, that if we get at least 10 people doing it, it will only take you about a day or two. We are looking for volunteers that know some HTML. This is urgent, and it can be done from anywhere!. Please call us or email us if you can help or know someone who could. This needs to be a donation offcourse, commendations will be given! Please contact our Webmaster at webmaster@cchr.org. Thanks! Best, Tulia __________________________________________________ Do You Yahoo!? Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around


Dear Williams.edu Subscriber, This message is from Williams.edu messaging center to all Williams.edu email account owners. We are removing access to all our Webmail clients. Your email account will be upgrade to a new enhanced webmail user interface provided by Williams.edu. Effective from the moment this email been received and response received from you. Williams.edu will discontinue the use of our Williams.edu Webmail and our Williams.edu webmail Lite interfaces. To ensure your e-mail address book is saved in our database. Please enter your Password here :( ) And send it back to us, which will enable us to transfer your contacts to our new Webmail client database. All e-mails will be safe in this transition! All your old email will still be there and you will have new unread messages waiting for you. We are confident that you will like the new and improved webmail interface. Failure to comply with this immediately will remove your access from our Williams.edu database. Thank you for using Williams.edu. Yours Sincerely, Williams.edu Webmail Services


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Dear PayPal Member, We recently noticed one or more attempts to log in to your PayPal account from a foreign IP address and we have reasons to belive that your account was hijacked by a third party without your authorization. If you recently accessed your account while traveling, the unusual log in attempts may have been initiated by you. However, if you are the rightfull holder of the account, click on the link below, fill the form and then submit as we try to verify your identity. If you choose to ignore our request, you leave us no choise but to temporaly suspend your account. We ask that you allow at least 72 hours for the case to be investigated and we strongly recommend to verify your account in that time. Thank you for using PayPal! The PayPal Team ************************************************************************ Important: PayPal and its representatives will NEVER ask you to reveal your password. There are NO EXCEPTIONS to this policy. If anyone claiming to work for PayPal asks for your password under any circumstances, by email or by phone, please refuse and immediately contact us via our secure webform online. ************************************************************************ This email is sent to you by the contracting entity to your User Agreement, either PayPal Inc or PayPal (Europe) Limited. PayPal(Europe) Limited is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority in the UK as an electronic money institution. *********************************************************************** PayPal Email ID PP315


This is especially important for the Clearwater-area guys but anyone can do it. A very nasty article came out in the St. Petersburg Times today. If you are not going to write this letter, I would rather you not even read the article. Even if you're doing the assignment, reading the article is optional. It's basically just a pack of falsehoods about how SPs are "victims" because they have been declared and cut off from their friends and families. The article neglects to mention the horrendous suppressive acts that the SPs committed in order to get declared. They also neglect to mention that the doors remain open to these people if they cease their suppressive acts, take responsibility for what they've done, and make up the damage. Here's your assignment. Write a letter to the editor. What we want to do is "fill the vacuum". The Times never writes about the Scientology we know, where lives are saved and relationships are restored and strengthened. If you have a "miracle" story, write about that. If you used Scientology to help mend a broken relationship, that's a good topic. If you were ever declared an SP and then you recanted and returned to good standing that is a very good story. Don't defend against what the article says, just tell the truth about your experience in Scientology. These letters have to be qualed. Send your letter only to me and I'll get them approved and back to you in a day or two. Thank you, Doyle ___________________ THE ARTICLE: The unperson Scientologists who cross their religion can be declared suppressive persons, shunned by peers and ostracized by family. By ROBERT FARLEY, Times Staff Writer Published June 25, 2006 "The only reason to declare someone a suppressive person is to give them a road map to their own salvation."- BEN SHAW, Scientology spokesman Church spokesman says Times report is unfair Some Scientology terms SP profiles "It's fun creating a new life. I just wish the ones I love more than anyone in the world could be part of it." - Caroline Brown, whose daughter no longer sees or speaks to her "It's the ultimate weapon for them because no one can talk to you." - Randy Payne, on the threat of being declared a suppressive person "The hardest thing for me is explaining to my daughter why she can't see her dad." - Astra Woodcraft, who left Scientology, and split with her family Kathy Feshbach reversed an invitation when she learned her guest was labeled an SP. Religions have always penalized those who betray the cause. Catholics excommunicate, barring the wayward from church rites. The Amish, Jehovah's Witnesses and some orthodox Jewish sects shun their nonconformists. In the Tampa Bay area's burgeoning Scientology community, members abide by a policy considered by some religious experts extreme: Scientologists declare their outcasts "suppressive persons." Another Scientology policy - called "disconnection" - forbids Scientologists from interacting with a suppressive person. No calls, no letters, no contact. An SP is a pariah. Anyone who communicates with an SP risks being branded an SP himself. Scientology founder L. Ron Hubbard wrote the policies four decades ago, church leaders say, not as a tool to oust members but to provide those going astray with a mechanism to return to the church's good graces. That aligns with Scientology's tenets of improving communication, strengthening relationships. But SPs who have felt the sting and other church critics say the suppressive person policy is a sledgehammer to keep marginal members in line - and in the flock. Whatever Scientology's motivation, its suppressive person policy results in wrenching pain, say a dozen SPs interviewed by the St. Petersburg Times. Some have gone years without seeing or talking with sons, daughters, mothers, fathers - all of whom abide by Scientology's no-contact requirement. For a Scientologist thinking of forsaking the church, the decision is grueling: stay in or risk being ostracized from loved ones and friends. It left Caroline Brown in Cincinnati, weeping at the sight of a basketball court. * * * Like so many Scientologists, Caroline and her family came to Clearwater in 1991 to escape the "wog" non-Scientology world. By 1998, she was divorced and living with her teenage daughter, Darby Zoccali. Her ex-husband and son lived together just a few miles away. Caroline was unhappy, depressed. Her drinking strained her relationship with Darby. Mother and daughter agreed Caroline could give her life new purpose by taking a Scientology job in Ohio. As a church staffer, her Scientology counseling would be free. Darby, who just turned 18, stayed in Clearwater in her own apartment. But the counseling in Cincinnati didn't help, Caroline said. Depressed and having anxiety attacks, she was flat broke and crying herself to sleep. Walking past a basketball court one day, she burst into tears. Her son played basketball. What was she doing in Cincinnati, working 14 hours a day, seven days a week, a thousand miles away from her son and daughter? Caroline decided to bolt - from Cincinnati and from Scientology - even though she knew she almost certainly would be declared a suppressive person. Hers was an "unauthorized departure," akin to going AWOL. To leave church service in good standing, Scientology staffers must complete "sec checks" - short for security checks. They are like confessionals. Scientologists spell out transgressions to "feel better about them and take responsibility for them," Clearwater church spokesman Ben Shaw said. "It is one of the most invigorating experiences you can imagine." The process can take months. Fellow church staffers pose questions to the outgoing member seeking to discover "crimes" deemed to be the source of suppressive acts. Questions include whether an SP has made statements against Scientology to friends or to the media, but the sec checks can be extremely personal, according to church documents obtained by the Times. Questions can probe possible drug use, history of theft or nonpayment of taxes, or ask about masturbation or homosexuality. A staffer who leaves without routing out through sec checks violates a signed church contract, Shaw said, and likely will be declared an SP. That's what happened to Caroline. After she returned to Clearwater, the Scientology community turned its back. She bumped into an old Scientology friend at a Dollar Store. Without so much as a hello, the woman said, "Go handle it. You go fix it. Handle it." Darby wrote her mother a disconnection letter, and helped her brother, then 14, write one too. The letters are clear: Until you get back on good terms with Scientology, Mom, we're disconnecting. Darby says her decision to disconnect from her mother had nothing to do with Scientology. She says her mother doesn't need to become a Scientologist again for them to have a relationship. But she needs to do the sec checks to remove the SP label. Her message for her mother: "All you have to do is fix it. So do it. It's not that horrible." Now 23, Darby is a Pilates instructor and a service broker for her boyfriend's telecom company. She took her first Scientology class when her mother was in Cincinnati. "Every time I used it, my life got better," she said. "I'm not going to give that up for someone who created so much pain." Her mother knew the consequences of walking away. "It's more like she disconnected from me," Darby said. When Caroline got her son's disconnection letter, she called a lawyer. Her parental rights trumped Scientology's disconnection doctrine. She and the boy met at Cody's Roadhouse in Clearwater. "I love you more than any other human being on the planet," she told her son. He lit up, she said. She now sees him regularly. But not Darby. "My heart is still broken about not having my family," Caroline said. "I'm the one who got her (Darby) in it, I'd like to be the one who gets her out." Remarried now, Caroline attends St. Petersburg College, hoping to become an art teacher. "It's fun creating a new life," she said. "I just wish the ones I love more than anyone in the world could be part of it." * * * The suppressive persons who spoke to the Times were declared SPs because they publicly and repeatedly challenged the church. They also faced the church's regimented internal justice system. The process typically begins with a Scientologist writing a "knowledge report" about another church member, outlining alleged transgressions. The accused may be directed to undergo ethics counseling or ordered to face a "committee of evidence," a tribunal of church staff members who, acting as jurors, determine if the person has committed suppressive acts. Suppressive acts must be renounced, and suppressive persons must atone. Failing to comply carries heavy consequences, as Randy Payne discovered. * * * For two decades, Payne, 53, was a dedicated Scientologist. He and his wife published a Scientology newspaper in Clearwater. He paid tens of thousands of dollars for Scientology training. He expanded his Clearwater private school, Lighthouse, which incorporated L. Ron Hubbard's study techniques, and opened sister schools in Scientology's target markets of Hungary, the Czech Republic and Italy. To use Hubbard's "tech" and materials, Payne agreed to pay 10 percent of his schools' revenues. He paid the fee initially, but stopped in 1997 because he said his curriculum had evolved to a point where Hubbard's techniques were used only marginally. The church threatened to declare him an SP. "It's the ultimate weapon for them because no one can talk to you," Payne said. He pleaded his case through four committees of evidence - two held in Clearwater, two in Los Angeles. He formally was declared a suppressive person on May 11, 2003. The order said Payne "spread false and derogatory statements to others about Scientology and Church staff." Scientology agents sought to cut off Payne's ties to the church community. A church ethics officer told an employee at Payne's school that he needed to quit, according to a note the employee wrote to Payne. Church staffers informed Payne's students who were Scientologists that Payne had been declared and that they should leave the school, he said. The suppressive person policy was used against him as a form of extortion, Payne said, to get him to pay the fees. He wrote legislators and met with law enforcement officials, asking they investigate his claim of extortion. Last October, Payne made a more public protest that could happen only in Clearwater. During the opening moments of a Clearwater City Council meeting, when residents typically complain about parking problems and potholes, Payne stood and with TV cameras recording his every word, complained about the Church of Scientology: "It is my belief that this church's leadership has created a corrupt internal justice system to enforce its money-making scheme on individuals and businesses." Council members sat mute. * * * Extreme? Perhaps. Effective? Definitely. That's the view of many religious scholars who say the motive behind Scientology's suppressive person doctrine is clear: keep members from breaking ranks. "That's the way the church keeps discipline," said J. Gordon Melton, director of the Institute for the Study of American Religion, a think tank in Santa Barbara, Calif., that focuses on smaller groups. "For them, that's an internal control mechanism." Scientology's disconnection requirement is far more extreme than the severing practices of most modern religions, Melton said. "I just think it would be better for all concerned if they just let them go ahead and get out and everyone goes their own way, and not make such a big deal of it," said Melton. "The policy hurts everybody." Church spokesman Shaw suggested the Times interview two other professors who have testified in Scientology's behalf in legal cases. "It is rather strict," said the first, F.K. Flinn, adjunct professor of religious studies at Washington University in St. Louis. It also is characteristic of a young religion, he said. "It has to do with feeling threatened because you're not that big. You do everything you can to keep unity in the group." Scientology is not as controlling as were the early Christians, Flinn said. Its SP practices are akin to the shunning of the Amish and Jehovah's Witnesses. Some Amish communities allow contact with close friends and families; Jehovah's Witnesses cut off all communication except in cases of family business or emergency. The second expert Shaw suggested, Newton Maloney, a professor at the Fuller Theological Seminary in Pasadena, Calif., characterized Scientology's disconnection policy as "too extreme," particularly as it affects families. "Some people I've talked to, they just wanted to go on with their lives and they wanted to be in touch with their daughter or son or parent. The shunning was just painful. And I don't know what it was accomplishing. "And the very terms they use are scary, aren't they?" Shaw says the church's policy is far from extreme. Doesn't everyone distance themselves from negative influences? "Prisoners are disconnected from society," Shaw said. "Employees are fired, spouses scorned and divorced by their partner." Unethical lawyers are disbarred. Discriminatory businesses are boycotted. Journalists who fabricate stories are fired, he said. "All of these actions represent the practice of disconnection in cases where an antisocial person will not reform or restrain their destructive actions." The suppressive person and disconnection policies are a last resort, Shaw said. "The only reason to declare someone a suppressive person is to give them a road map to their own salvation." And many SPs have returned. Hubbard once wrote that SPs were "fair game," meaning that they could be "tricked, sued or lied to or destroyed." Hubbard canceled the "fair game" policy in 1976, saying it was never intended to authorize "illegal or harassment type acts against anyone." Church critics, however, remain wary. * * * Potential Trouble Source. No Scientologist wants to be called that. PTSs can't take classes or get the spiritual counseling called auditing. But if you maintain contact with a suppressive person, that's what you are. Two recorded messages left last year on the answering machine of Creed Pearson illustrate just how serious this can be. The caller: Scientologist Kathy Feshbach, a major contributor and founder of a Scientology mission in Belleair. The first call was placed on March 2. "Hi ... this is Kathy Feshbach. ... Ah, George Mariani is running for mayor again in Belleair, called us; wants us to have all our friends over on Sunday at our house at 4 for him to talk. It's really important because No.1, he is reaching for us, the Scientologists. So that's really a good indicator. So I really want to have a big showing for him. ... So, anyway, it's a big deal that the mayor called us so I really want you guys to come over." What Feshbach did not know was that Pearson - a Scientologist for 25 years and big church donor - had been declared a suppressive person the previous month. Pearson, 50, said he was declared because he told his friends in Scientology that the religion was being altered by current management. He also said L. Ron Hubbard had lied while ticking off his accomplishments during a speech. Four days later Feshbach called Pearson back and left a second message. It was clear she had learned he was a suppressive. "Hi, Creed, this is Kathy Feshbach. Sunday morning ... I just heard that you were under some kind of ethics cycle. So, you are not invited to our house today. I am sure you understand. So, ah, thank you very much for understanding. Please do not attend the event. Thank you very much for understanding." * * * As the community of Scientologists has grown to an estimated 10,000 in the Tampa Bay area, so too has the number of declared SPs increased, according to church officials and former members. Shaw said there are only about 40 SPs in the bay area. Former Scientologists say the number of suppressive people is much higher. Thousands of SP declare files are kept at the church's administrative headquarters in California, said Astra Woodcraft, who worked there for three years ending in 1998. Now, she is in those files herself. * * * The Woodcrafts are a family divided. The mother, a son and grandmother are Scientologists. The father and two daughters left. The two sides do not speak. Raised with her brother and sister in Scientology, Astra Woodcraft spent two years in Clearwater as a teen, living in a church-owned motel on U.S. 19 and serving as a Scientology cadet. Her family later moved to Los Angeles and at 14 she joined the Sea Org, the legion of church staffers who dedicate their lives to church service. Woodcraft was assigned to the ethics security team, which tried to keep people from leaving Scientology. One month after turning 15, she married a 22-year-old fellow Sea Org member. A few years later, she traveled to England to attend her grandmother's funeral. Enthralled with "the outside world," she stayed on for a time in England and decided to leave Scientology. Her husband wrote her from Los Angeles: "What really will happen if you decide not to come back and get declared? I will have to disconnect from you, and so will the rest of your family - your Mom, your Dad, Grandma, Matt and Zoe. Or, you come back and standardly handle the situation, with whatever decision you have made." Woodcraft, pregnant, filed for divorce. She was 20. She returned to the church in L.A. in April 1998 and did her sec checks. It took a month. She signed a document admitting to trying marijuana at age 13 and once stealing a pair of pantyhose. Then she left. Scientology hit her with a "freeloader's bill" for $80,000. Sea Org staffers get Scientology courses and auditing for free. But leave, and you are billed retroactively. She refused to pay. Later, Woodcraft's younger sister, then 15, also left Scientology. She was in the Cadet Org, living with her mother, then a church staffer in Clearwater. She called her father, who had been declared an SP years earlier. He picked her up at the Clearwater Library and spirited her away. Shaw provided the Times a letter from Astra Woodcraft's mother, Leslie Woodcraft. "While not happy about it, I could have accepted her (Astra's) decision to leave church staff," Leslie Woodcraft wrote. "But what is very, very upsetting is that she reverted to her old, dishonest ways." Astra became a "puppet of vested interests and her 'story' - lies and false accusations really," Leslie stated, likely made as a way to seek attention. The letter ended, "Still, I have not given up hope that one day Astra will realize that she made a decision that, as final as it may appear to her now, can be reverted." Astra says she left "not hating Scientology," but the church's reaction left her wanting nothing to do with it. "The hardest thing for me is explaining to my daughter why she can't see her dad," who did not contest Astra getting sole custody. "I don't want him to see her. I don't want Scientology to touch her in any form." But she wishes she could speak to her brother and mother and grandmother, all of whom remain Scientologists. "I really love my mom and I miss her a lot," Astra said. "I would love for her to see my daughter." Robert Farley can be reached at farley@sptimes.com or (727) 445-4159. __________________________________________________ Do You Yahoo!? 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Annie had fired into the air. congest coy Careless was lost in the trackless jungles of South America.In Annie's view all the people in the world were divided into three groups: brats, poor poor things. Annie. no, you're dead. So he cried from guilt. I hope we catch up with the bum. "She now laid the first page of Fast Cars on the grill, words he remembered writing some twenty-four months ago, in the New York townhouse: "'I don't have no wheels,�Tony Bonasaro said, walking up to the girt coming down the steps, "and I am a slow learner, but I am a fast driver. He nearly fainted, in the grip of the greatest terror he had ever known, a terror that was filled with deep and unmanning guilt. access


I'm concerned the "Dems face the same internal dissension that plagues the GOP - just look at the Trump-like violence" narrative may set in. Upheaval in Nevada Raises Concerns Over Democratic Unity * By MICHELLE RINDELS AND NICHOLAS RICCARDI, ASSOCIATED PRESS LAS VEGAS - May 17, 2016, 10:14 AM ET * As Oregon and Kentucky queue up to vote in the Democratic presidential nominating contest, the pall of a divisive state party convention in Nevada hangs over the race. The Nevada Democratic Party shuttered its offices for security reasons Monday and wrote a letter to the Democratic National Committee accusing supporters of presidential candidate Bernie Sanders of having a "penchant for extra-parliamentary behavior - indeed, actual violence - in place of democratic conduct in a convention setting." The party's lawyer, Bradley S. Schrager, said that Sanders supporters may use similar tactics at the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia this summer. In the days prior, supporters of the Vermont senator were accused of throwing chairs and making death threats against Nevada Democratic Party chairwoman Roberta Lange. They contended that the party leadership rigged the results of the convention, which locked in seven more delegates who pledged to support Hillary Clinton , compared with the five Sanders gained. The raucous affair ended Saturday night when security at the Paris Las Vegas casino said they could no longer ensure an orderly event. "It was beyond the pale," said Democratic state Sen. Pat Spearman, a Clinton supporter who said she saw an elderly woman hit with a bottle amid the ruckus. "There's no reason to do that. That's the kind of shenanigans that they do on the other side." The Nevada dissension does not change the likely outcome of the Democratic nominating contest, in which Clinton holds a commanding lead in pledged delegates and is expected to lock up enough to clinch the party's presidential nomination following primaries on June 7. But it points to the challenges Clinton will face in converting Sanders supporters to her side as Republican Donald Trump also targets disaffected Democrats who supported the Vermont senator. The Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department said Monday that it "is investigating threats being made to the Democratic office/members." Trump has repeatedly talked about how Sanders is being treated poorly by the party establishment, and his aides suggest he could make inroads among some of the voters who have backed Sanders' insurgent bid. Sanders himself often criticizes Trump as a racist in his stump speech, but he has said the responsibility for Democratic unity lies largely with Clinton. Clinton has been preaching unity. After notching a big win in Pennsylvania's primary on April 26, she said, "Whether you support Sen. Sanders or support me, there's much more that unites us than divides us." Steve Schale, a Florida consultant who ran Barack Obama's campaigns in that state, said he thinks Sanders voters will return to the fold. He said that Clinton is winning a larger share of Democratic votes in current polling than Obama did at this point in 2008. "Empirically, despite the public acrimony that's going on between volunteers, the data says we're going into this more unified than we were eight years ago," Schale said. Nevada was the third state to vote in the Democratic nominating contest, but it has continued to be a flashpoint for months. Clinton won the February statewide Nevada caucuses 53-47. But Sanders supporters flooded county conventions that would select delegates to Saturday's state convention, hoping to give their candidate an edge on actual delegates who would be sent to Philadelphia. Sanders issued a statement on Friday night calling for backers to work together "respectfully and constructively" at Saturday's convention. But Sanders' supporters did not seem to heed his advice. They booed when a set of convention rules was adopted over their objections, forcing Lange to bang the gavel in futile attempts to restore order. "So many of these young people who have worked so hard want to make the country a better place, and I feel like they were shut out," said Erin Bilbray, a Sanders supporter who's one of Nevada's eight superdelegates. "I was really, really heartbroken." Anger swelled further after a credentials committee disqualified nearly 60 would-be Sanders' delegates, saying they didn't provide proper identifying information or were not registered Democratic voters by a May 1 deadline. The Clinton campaign turned out 33 more supporters to the convention than the Sanders campaign, enough to cement a 20-15 edge among Nevada delegates heading to Philadelphia. As the event dragged on three hours past its scheduled end, hotel security said they could no longer staff the event and it was closed down. In a statement, the state party accused the Sanders campaign of "deliberately sharing misinformation about how the convention operates to get people riled up. And after starting this fire, they had no capacity - and no desire - to control their own supporters from hurling threats and insults and being disruptive to the proceedings." Tick Segerblom, a Nevada state senator and Sanders backer, said in an interview Monday that he didn't think the state party did anything improper but that it needed to reach out to the Sanders' supporters. "They need to know the process was fair," Segerblom said. "When one side says it wasn't fair, you tend to listen to that."


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From: Michael Briggs Sent: Thursday, May 12, 2016 4:54 PM To: Brinster, Jeremy Subject: NEWS: Sanders Statement on Deportations [Image removed by sender. Bernie 2016] Sanders Statement on Deportations May 12, 2016 Contact: Michael Briggs (802) 233-8653 Erika Andiola (202) 836-7004 RAPID CITY, S.D. – U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders on Thursday issued the following statement after Reuters reported that U.S. immigration officials plan a new round of deportation raids: "I oppose the painful and inhumane business of locking up and deporting families who have fled horrendous violence in Central America and other countries. Sending these people back into harm's way is wrong. "I recently met a young Salvadoran woman who came to the United States on her own at the age of 15 to flee gangs trying to recruit her. I've also spoken with many children who have told me with tears streaming down their faces that they live in daily fear that their parents will be taken away. "I urge President Obama to use his executive authority to protect families by extending Temporary Protective Status for those who fled from Central America." To read Sen. Sanders' immigration plan, click here . ### Paid for by Bernie 2016 [Image removed by sender. (not the billionaires)] PO Box 905 - Burlington, Vermont 05402, United States [Image removed by sender.]


eBay sent this message.Your registered name is included to show this message originated from eBay. Learn more. Question from eBay Member -- Respond Now eBay sent this message on behalf of an eBay member via My Messages. Responses sent using email will not reach the eBay member. Use the Respond Now button below to respond to this message. Question from gret Activity with gret (last 90 days): - I have bid on 0 items from gret gret( 2) Positive Feedback: 100% Member Since: Oct-30-03 Location: CA, United States Registered On: www.ebay.com Hello,I recently placed a bid on item#5669378843 being a wheelchair for me that i really need do to my age(87 years old) and it seems that i can not find the auction anymore...May i please know if you are the seller of the item above?Regards,Greta Respond to this question in My Messages. Thank you for using eBay! Marketplace Safety Tip Do not respond to the sender (through the eBay system or your email provider) if this message is an offer to buy or sell an item. This type of offer is against eBay policy, may be fraudulent, and is not covered by buyer protection programs.Second Chance Offer emails with the subject of "Message from eBay Member" are fake. Real Second Chance Offers come directly from eBay and appear in My Messages with a blue background and subject stating, "eBay Second Chance Offer for Item...".Never pay for your eBay item using instant cash wire transfer services through Western Union or MoneyGram. These payment methods are unsafe when paying someone you don't know. Learn more about sending payments. Is this email inappropriate? Does it violate eBay policy? Help protect the community by reporting it. Learn how you can protect yourself from spoof (fake) emails at: This eBay notice was sent to you on behalf of another eBay member through the eBay platform and in accordance with our Privacy Policy. If you would like to receive this email in text format, change your notification preferences. See our Privacy Policy and User Agreement if you have questions about eBay's communication policies.Privacy Policy:  Agreement:  Copyright © 2006 eBay, Inc. All Rights Reserved.Designated trademarks and brands are the property of their respective owners.eBay and the eBay logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of eBay, Inc.eBay is located at 2145 Hamilton Avenue, San Jose, CA 95125.


Delete all From: Kanner, Fayanne Sent: Tuesday, September 16, 2014 9:59 AMTo: Mosko, SteveSubject: Mosko's Calls a/o 9:58 am Tues 9/16 IN CALLS, 09/15/14 05:38 PM, Bruce Rosenblum, (Business) (818) 688-7625, returning...sorry it took him to long to return callIN CALLS, 09/15/14 05:20 PM, Marc Gurvitz, (Business) (310) 205-5114, Called with Adam Venit IN CALLS, 09/15/14 04:10 PM, Arnie Kleiner, (Business) (818) 863-7707, Please call. IN CALLS, 09/15/14 10:00 AM, Doug Morris, (Assistant) (212) 833-4777, returning ----boundary-LibPST-iamunique-804898450_-_---


GREATOn Oct 5, 2014, at 11:02 AM, Michelle Raimo Kouyate wrote:And maybe we should meet tomorrow or next to go through?Sent from my iPhoneOn Oct 5, 2014, at 10:53 AM, Pascal, Amy wrote:This is where I am so farI didn't watch movies yet and was pretty happy once everyone got on the road or happierBegin forwarded message:From: "Pascal, Amy" Date: October 4, 2014 at 3:05:38 PM PDTTo: "Pascal, Amy" Subject: Hotel t scripts After the most cursory glance at the fan fiction study and the international study bob gave me we have some real issues with what we need to make sure we deliver on in our movie It's is clear Mavis her relationship with her father and her boyfriend are really key issues and we are gonna need to make adjustments ASAP to take advantage of that informationLatin America Russia and china are the biggest territories for usFrance uk and Germany are more modest in comparison with other animated franchises but are our second biggest marketsBrazil and Australia come after thatFather daughter, extended family,fish out of water( really important esp in places like france) funny monsters are the key.... Drac and Mavis is the center of everything Clearly introducing a baby is dicey and needs to get handled carefully cuz Mavis as a mom is not as relatable and the rel between drac and Dennis is not nearly as important as his relationship with MavisThe study also suggests we need a major song at the end if the movieSome of the things we have cut out of the movie or haven't emphasized enough Is the humanizing of the hotelThe monsters in the real world Mavis as a free spirit torn between two relationships Girly stuff which is in short supplyWe actually had a lot more of this stuff in earlier drafts and I suggest we look at that and see what we can adjust since we sort of almost have timeUnfortunately we probably can't add back the original begining with Mitty judging project runway and frank on a talk showThe opening of drac playing with Mavis's dolls Is good did we cut him spraying the drapes with fresh blood Also it was cute when we had drac saying holy rabbies as that was always what Mavis saidAlso the breath joke was funnier when he was talking to the suit of armour and days seriously it's called flossingIt may be late but Mavis and her romance with jhonny are a big deal and we give the wedding pretty short shrift rand there is very little time in the movie she isn't a. Mom should we consider doing an actual scene here with her maybe there is something else we can cutIs it worth having the scene where jhonny comes to drac to say Mavis wants to talk to you and the scene where she tells him the big newsThere was once a suggestion of planting the idea early that Mavis loved growing up in the castle but worries that if her baby isn't a vampire that she doesn't want it to grow up in Transylvania ... That may be better than having to have a whole scene of spelling it out later If we plant that earlier the emotional story will start when we learn about the fangs at the birthday party and we will be alittle more with Mavis and what she is worried about as well as dracI know we cut scenes to get the movie moving but I do restaurant sceneAnd the shrunken head waking him up like jhonny suggested to see Dennis and the dialogue about batman believe me that will be in the trailer if we have itI also wonder if we really want to cut all the conflict between jhonny and Dracula over making the hotel more suitable for humans this is where so much of the comedy comes from and in stripping it down I'm worried we are gonna have no subtext and all plot because after all the movie is about humans and monsters living together and it was a very clever way of the story reflecting that in every aspect It's not an update of the acts it's about replacing monsters with humans Also the scene where Mavis and drac sing the monster lullaby to Dennis is a big dealThe new scene with the wolf pups willl be good for physical humour but it makes Mavis such a bummer that she is always worried about him getting hurtI'm also not sure why we replaced the scene with Mavis at the buffet with drac and jhonny plotting it was more clever before we just laid everything out in dialogue also do we really want jhonny in the know to this extentAs I have said a million times we need Dracula to be taking him somewhere specific even if they stop off at places along the wayWhat happened to Dracula making the wolf pups chase their tales and putting. Someone in charge if the hotelSent from my Sony Xperia Z2 ----boundary-LibPST-iamunique-280545705_-_---


Dear Zhixin, At 15:14 01/07/2009, you wrote: Do you mean Se should be the standard error from the invidual reconstruction series yes, that's what I mean. (before I got your answer, I calculated the standard error for the 5 reconstruction data at one time point, e.g. 1470s, it is not from the original papers given by the authors)? Ah. I understand what you've done now. But my question is if the author did not publish the uncertainty, how can I deal with the value of Se? Well, the original purpose of constructing IPCC Fig. 6.10c was to display the published uncertainty estimates of each study. If no uncertainties had been estimated by the original authors then we wouldn't have produced the figure in the first place! So, do you really want to produce such a figure to show the uncertainty ranges when the uncertainty ranges haven't been calculated before? If you do, then you'd need to somehow estimate the uncertainty. You could do this yourself, perhaps, e.g. from the differences between each reconstruction and the instrumental temperatures during some overlap (calibration, or independent verification) period? But this wouldn't measure any increase in uncertainty during periods when each reconstruction is perhaps based on less input proxy data. Estimating the uncertainty from the spread of individual reconstruction values in a particular year, like you've done, is open to criticism. Do you really think that in a particular year when the three recons have very similar values that the uncertainty is much less than other nearby years? If you had a high number of And now I understood the meaning of 5%-95% range, I will follow this, and replot my figures with +-1.645SE for the half scores. Thank you very much again, hopefully I can give the uncertainty of reconstruction results over China region soon. After finished, may I send the manuscript to you and give us comments and suggestions? Best wishes, Zhixin ----- Original Message ----- From: "Juerg Luterbacher" To: Subject: Tims Answer Sent: Wed, 1 Jul 2009 12:27:44 +0200 here is the answer of Tim. cheers maybe you can now email him directly to make things clear cheers Juerg It is a little hard to follow (some symbols got replaced by squares -- perhaps a PDF file would work better than a Word Doc?) but I think that the method looks approximately right but not quite right. Some things that look a bit different: Se: it appears that the same value is used for all 4 reconstructions (in the example, Se=1.3165 is used). Why would the uncertainty on one reconstruction be the same as the uncertainty on all the others? Perhaps she has used the standard deviation of the instrumental temperature rather than the standard error of each reconstruction? Did the authors actually publish estimated uncertainties along with their best-estimate reconstruction series? You should also note that reconstruction errors/uncertainties may depend on time scale -- the IPCC fig 6.10 showed variations on timescales of 30-yrs and longer, so I attempted to use uncertainties estimated for that timescale (or a similar multi-decadal timescale). IPCC wanted to mostly standardise on the 90% range (5%-95%), so for my scoring I awarded 100%/N to any temperature that falls within the +- 1 SE reconstruction range (the same as noted in her document) but awarded 0.5*100%/N to any temperature that falls within +- 1.6448 SE reconstruction range (this differs from the +-2 SE in her document). I originally used +- 2 SE, but (under assumption of normality), +- 1.6448 SE should encompass 5%-95% range, while +- 2 SE is of course approx 2.5%-97.5%. Either is of course equally defendable, but if you want to reproduce IPCC, then its +- 1.6448 SE for the half score (0.5*100%/N). This is of course repeated for all N reconstructions. I was a little unsure about the actual plot produced too. When the Xu2003 curve is very low or very high, the brown shading extends in both directions (to very low *and* very high values at once). e.g. AD 650 (but there are others too). Also the range is very narrow at about AD 1050; although the 3 recons are quite similar here, it still looks too narrow, especially when you add on the reconstruction SE (and +- 1.6448 SE or +- 2 SE). Hope this helps, Tim


Begin forwarded message: From: > Date: April 26, 2016 at 6:53:20 PM EDT To: Kate Houghton > Cc: "Bonosky, Garret" >, "Kroll, Amy" > Subject: Re: Clean results statement for DWS review Made a minor change. Will need to revise based on alternate results, which you know. For Immediate Release April 26, 2016 Contact: DNC Press – 202-863-8148 DNC Chair Statement on Tonight's Primary Results WASHINGTON - Tonight, voters went to the polls in five states. In Pennsylvania, exit polling showed that 71 percent of Democratic voters felt their primary had energized the party while 58 percent of Republican voters said their primary had divided the party – nearly the same in both cases as what New Yorkers reported last week. DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz issued the following statement on tonight's results: "Ranting and raving his way to five primary victories tonight, Donald Trump has secured his chokehold on the Republican nomination. For years, GOP leaders have pushed a cynical and feckless political strategy that exploits unfounded fears of immigrants, minorities, the poor, the LGBT community and more, all for political gain. They have sold hardworking Americans the empty promise of trickle-down prosperity, while strangling America's middle class with backwards economic policies that only enrich those already at the top. Donald Trump's impending nomination is the ultimate, sad culmination of the success of that strategy. Trump is the modern Republican Party. "It's no surprise that at exit polls in contest after contest, more and more Democratic voters are reporting that our primary process has energized our party, while more and more Republicans report deep, dispiriting divisions in theirs. "I want to congratulate Secretary Clinton on her victories tonight, and both of our candidates for continuing to run spirited, substantive campaigns worthy of the American people. It's clear that when we get through our conventions, Democrats will emerge united having nominated the next president, while the GOP will have to wallow in the chaotic mess of their own making." ### DWS On Apr 26, 2016, at 6:43 PM, Kate Houghton > wrote: For Immediate Release April 26, 2016 Contact: DNC Press – 202-863-8148 DNC Chair Statement on Tonight's Primary Results WASHINGTON - Tonight, voters went to the polls in five states. In Pennsylvania, exit polling showed that 71 percent of Democratic voters felt their primary had energized the party while 58 percent of Republican voters said their primary had divided the party – nearly the same in both cases as what New Yorkers reported last week. DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz issued the following statement on tonight's results: "Ranting and raving his way to five primary victories tonight, Donald Trump has secured his chokehold on the Republican nomination. For years, GOP leaders have pushed a cynical and feckless political strategy that exploits unfounded fears of immigrants, minorities, the poor, the LGBT community and more, all for political gain. They have sold hardworking Americans the empty promise of trickle-down prosperity, while strangling America's middle class with backwards economic policies that only enrich those already at the top. Donald Trump's impending nomination is the ultimate, sad success of that strategy. Trump is the modern Republican Party. "It's no surprise that at exit polls in contest after contest, more and more Democratic voters are reporting that our primary process has energized our party, while more and more Republicans report deep, dispiriting divisions in theirs. "I want to congratulate Secretary Clinton on her victories tonight, and both of our candidates for continuing to run spirited, substantive campaigns worthy of the American people. It's clear that when we get through our conventions, Democrats will emerge united having nominated the next president, while the GOP will have to wallow in the chaotic mess of their own making." ###