While the jury is still out on whether the Chinese economy has passed this point, the working-age population will start to decrease around 2015 and the aging of the population will proceed at a rapid pace.
We can see that in the forecasts and estimates regarding global trade and GDP, there are also regular updates, some of which are of considerable size. Therefore, the forecast is updated on the basis of updated National Accounts data and other recent data, and on the basis of the updated global picture.