It is still very much unclear how our economies will be affected over the longer term by the virus. We do not even know whether this will mainly turn out to be a demand or a supply shock, let alone that we can say something about the size of these shocks. We are still far from the recovery phase.
We just entered the phase in which many economies are slowly restarting. This exit will not be easy. It will be gradual, and might very well be of a two steps forward, one step back nature.