This is closely related to “certainty equivalence” in the monetary policy literature, which is akin to aiming for the bull’s eye, even though you know there are winds that may move your arrow in some unknown direction.4 While this is a useful starting point, it is insufficient.
19 Ball L, N Gregory Mankiw and R Ricardo (2005), ‘Monetary Policy for Inattentive Economies’, Journal of Monetary  Economics, Elsevier, 52(4), pp 703–725, May. 14 / 14  BIS central bankers' speeches