In this situation, as the fiscal drag will gradually fade, the pace of recovery is expected to gradually accelerate. The greatest uncertainty for the U.S. economy is the consequence of fiscal consultation, an issue on which the Democrats and the Republicans continue to oppose each other sharply.
As a preliminary budget has not been agreed on, some government institutions have already been forced to close. The debt ceiling will be reached in the middle of this month, and the redemption and interest payment of government securities will be stopped if it is not raised.