I attribute much of the forecasting success of myself and my partners at LHM&A to the way in which we allowed our model to discipline our judgment in making the forecast. A model also helps to defend and communicate the forecast, by providing a coherent story that ties together the details of the forecast.
The third relates to the feedback we have received from the public during the Bank of Uganda Golden Jubilee commemoration activities that involved townhall meetings, radio talk-shows and public exhibitions in Mbale, Gulu, Arua and Mbarara.