1 Manksi C (2018), ‘The Lure of Incredible Certitude’, available at <www.nber.org/papers/w24905>, NBER  Working Paper No 24905; Nate Silver (2012), The Signal and the Noise, Penguin; Tetlock P and D Gardner (2015), Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, Crown Publishing, New York. 2 Tetlock p 57. 2/2  BIS central bankers' speeches
Wage moderation must be maintained, thereby permitting a reduction in unit labour costs; the albeit limited pressure on prices -- particularly producer prices -- must not be allowed to increase. Last year saw substantial progress towards the consolidation of the public finances. On the basis of the latest data, general government net borrowing should be less than 3 per cent of GDP.