I won't repeat those arguments here; if you are interested in the details of our recommendations for the IMF, I'd invite you to read the lecture I gave one year ago at Princeton University.
At the same time, there is high uncertainty as to whether the growth trend will be maintained through the second half of the projection period given that the rate of increase had been slowing since around the middle of 2018, before the outbreak of COVID-19, mainly affected by the U.S.-China trade friction.