This advises studying the possibility, depending on how economic activity evolves, of extending the public guarantee mechanisms. In re-designing the latter, priority of access to such resources should be for firms with sound viability prospects. The crisis will significantly impact banks’ credit portfolios. The declines in GDP projected for 2020 under the scenarios previously outlined exceed those of any stress test in the past; yet it is true that, if the rebound in activity forecast for 2021 and 2022 were to materialise, this severity would be significantly mitigated. Moreover, the crisis will affect banks differently in terms of their business model and of the distribution of their exposures to the sectors and regions most affected by the pandemic. Overall, then, we must remain vigilant to stave off the risks to financial stability derived from this crisis, and be ready to respond forcefully at the European level if these risks materialise. Second, in the domestic arena, some of the measures already applied should be temporarily extended and recalibrated. It seems right to retain some of the income support instruments for the most vulnerable households, though it is essential they remain focused and designed so as not to distort, for example, labour market participation decisions. It would also be wise to extend furlough-like schemes in certain sectors and firms that will continue to be very affected by social distancing measures.
23.06.2020  The main post-pandemic challenges for the Spanish economy Appearance before the Parliamentary Committee for the Economic and Social Reconstruction of Spain after COVID-19 – Congress of Deputies Pablo Hernández de Cos Governor  1. Introduction Ladies and gentlemen, I appear before this Committee to set out what should be the guiding principles, in the opinion of the Banco de España, of Spain’s economic policy strategic priorities at present. Before elaborating on these priorities, allow me to convey my praise and gratitude to Spanish citizens for their exemplary behaviour in the especially difficult circumstances we have faced in recent months. Naturally, my support also goes out to all those who have lost loved ones as a result of the pandemic. The crisis has disrupted economic activity on a massive scale. To such an extent that, on all available forecasts, this year will see the biggest declines in GDP recorded in peacetime. As I argued in my appearance last May before the Parliamentary Economic Committee, the severity, temporariness and global nature of this shock initially warrants forceful economic policy measures that are time-limited and internationally coordinated. The goals of this shock therapy should be to lessen the effects of the pandemic in the short term and provide for an exit from the lockdown of the past few months with the least economic harm possible. Broadly, the response of the authorities - with measures I described and assessed in the aforementioned appearance - has been significant.