The third type of criticism is that monetary policy has recently been unclear and difficult to understand. Inflation targeting’s most important contribution But before I move on to the different types of criticism, I would like to dwell a little longer on the situation twenty years ago. When analysing the inflation-targeting regime, I believe that it is important to remind oneself of the situation when it was introduced. Why was there such strong support for defending the krona, even though it meant high interest rates in the middle of a recession? What were the problems policymakers were so anxious to resolve? As I have already mentioned, the recession in the early 1990s can be regarded as a setback following an excessive credit expansion, similar to the situation in many European countries today. The regulation of the Swedish credit market was phased out in the mid-1980s. Combined with a tax system that encouraged borrowing and an overly expansionary stabilisation policy, this contributed to creating a property market bubble. When the bubble burst in the early 1990s, it led to a banking crisis. As this coincided with an international economic downswing, the recession in Sweden was particularly severe. But there was also a deeper and more fundamental problem in the Swedish economy at that time. Sweden had been caught up in what might be termed a devaluation cycle since the early 1970s. Fixing the exchange rate is equal, at least in theory, to setting a target for domestic inflation.
If problems arise in parts of the financial system, operators can find alternative sources of credit. A larger bond market would enhance financial stability. This is also the case in Norway. New investment and risk management instruments Structural changes and strong growth over the past decades have led to more perfect financial markets. This has made the markets more efficient and improved the distribution of resources and risk between operators, sectors and regions, and over time. There is rapid growth in product development in financial markets, and trading in instruments for the transfer of credit risk is rising. Greater focus on risk management by banks and other operators generates demand for these products. The emergence of new instruments is being driven forward by intensified competition, technological developments and new, more risk-based capital adequacy requirements. In many countries, there has been a tendency towards separating those who provide loans and who assess and price the risk, from those who take over the loans and bear the risk. Through securitisation, banks can sell entire loan portfolios to special purpose vehicles that issue bonds that are collateralised by these loans. It is the buyers of these bonds that bear the risk. Such special purpose vehicles are not subject to capital adequacy requirements or supervision. Asset-backed bonds are a similar instrument where bond holders have collateral in loans that banks have transferred to a mortgage company. Mortgage companies are subject to supervision and capital adequacy requirements. Efforts are being made to allow these instruments in Norway.