Financial inclusion facilitates productive financing and investments which generates income for the underserved, improves equality and contributes to sustainable growth. Having an inclusive financial system is also important to ensure economic and social progress on the development agenda is achieved. Therefore, CGC’s goal of ensuring access to financial services for SMEs via a fair and transparent marketplace for financial products and services, including extending credit that provides a pathway towards balanced economic growth and prosperity for all Malaysians should be lauded. Based on the Economic Census 2016: Profile of Small and Medium Enterprises by the Department of Statistics, Malaysia (DOSM), SMEs in Malaysia constituted 98.5% of the total business establishments. Majority of the businesses were in services sector, mainly in wholesale & retail trade, followed by manufacturing, construction, agriculture and mining & quarrying. Financial institutions are the major source of financing for SMEs. As at end-2017, growth in financing to SMEs continues to be sustained above 5%, outstripping financing growth to households and large corporates. The approval rate for financing applications by SMEs of 75%, has also been consistently higher than that for all customers. The share of SME financing over total business financing has steadily trended upwards to more than 50% from 38% in 2010. This reflects an increased focus on SMEs as a strategic growth driver for financial institutions. According to the latest bi-annual survey by SME Corporation Malaysia (SME Corp), 97% of SMEs which applied for financing from FIs affirmed that they were able to obtain financing.
I have, however, for the reasons I mentioned earlier in my speech, been somewhat more pessimistic than the majority of the Executive Board as regards inflation assessments at the forecast horizon. Fluctuations of consumer prices a few tenths of a percent up and down around the target in an economy with a strongly accepted price stability regime are per se less important than the mode of functioning of the economy. I am more concerned about what can happen with inflation and growth after the forecast period if demand increases at the rate we have anticipated. The simple rule that says that monetary policy shall only react if the target for inflation is not met during the forecast period is a good help when conducting monetary policy. However, it is not reasonable to mechanically apply this rule in every situation. The consequences that the economic development can have for macroeconomic stability and inflation beyond the forecast horizon must also be weighed in. The risk for financial imbalances now being built up when indebtedness is increasing and of inflationary pressure accumulating at the same time must in my view therefore be taken into account in the monetary policy decisions. A development that I described earlier can be the consequence if the expansion of demand and credit continue to increase at a high rate. The quantity of money and lending, especially to households, are for instance increasing at present at a rate which is probably not sustainable in the long term.