The forward guidance provided by the Committee in August can be seen as a response to these challenges. To retain the clarity and credibility of the inflation target but to augment the framework so that monetary policy is better equipped to address the exceptional challenges currently faced by the UK economy. In this talk, I will provide a post-crisis report card for the UK’s inflation targeting regime and explain how the MPC’s forward guidance responds to some of the areas exposed as having ‘room for improvement’. I will also show how a threshold for monetary policy defined in terms of the unemployment rate is particularly helpful in addressing two other challenges currently facing the MPC: the uncertainty surrounding the future path of productivity; and the need to provide greater clarity concerning the setting of monetary policy as the economy recovers. A bit of background Before doing so, it is worth highlighting three features of the UK’s economic performance over the past five years which should be borne in mind when evaluating the performance of the UK’s inflation targeting framework and understanding the Committee’s decision to provide forward rate guidance. First, CPI inflation has been above target for almost this entire period (Chart 1). Fifty four months out of the past sixty to be precise. Over this period, CPI inflation has averaged 3%. And, on the basis of the MPC’s central projection in the August Inflation Report, it is expected to remain above target until the second-half of 2015.
Heng Swee Keat: Monetary Authority of Singapore’s initiative to develop Singapore dollar sovereign-rated sukuks Speech by Mr Heng Swee Keat, Managing Director of the Monetary Authority of Singapore, at the 5th Annual Islamic Financial Services Board Summit, Amman, Jordan, 13 May 2008. *  *  *  Introduction It is my honour this afternoon to join my IFSB colleagues in discussion of this very current topic. I am very glad that we are addressing this issue of regional integration of Islamic Financial Services at this point. This is very timely and relevant to both the soundness and vibrancy of Islamic Finance. Let me explain. The global Islamic finance industry has grown rapidly – it is estimated that total assets are now over $ billion. This is impressive. Still, this is a small proportion of conventional finance. The potential for growth is hence very large. While each country is taking measures to promote Islamic Finance, we can grow much faster as well as increase the scope and depth of the industry if we work towards integration at an early stage. Integration increases market size, efficiency and liquidity. This in turn provides for more competitive cost of capital, spurring further growth. Second, having service providers from different regions allow risks to be distributed across a wider group of players, and can improve the overall stability of the financial system. Regional integration between Middle East and Asia, which may have different business cycles, provides a cushion for financial institutions and investors from country specific shocks.