Since the mid-1990s, a main purpose of the economic policy framework has been to shelter the economy from fluctuations in oil prices. The set-up of the Government Pension Fund Global and the fiscal rule for petroleum revenue spending is one important defence mechanism in this context. The government’s net cash flow from the petroleum industry is transferred in its entirety to the Government Pension Fund Global. A transfer from the Fund to cover a non-oil budget deficit requires a decision by the Norwegian parliament. In addition to preserving the real value of the Fund for the benefit of future generations, this set-up insulates the budget from short-term fluctuations in petroleum revenues. It also leaves space for fiscal policy to counteract economic downturns. In effect, since 2013, the increase in oil revenue spending has roughly matched the fall in oil investment. Monetary policy has also played a role. Our monetary policy is oriented towards low and stable inflation. The operational target of monetary policy is annual consumer price inflation of close to 2.5% over time. Norges Bank operates a flexible inflation targeting regime, so that weight is given to both variability in inflation and variability in output and employment. With confidence in the inflation target among economic agents, monetary policy in Norway has been able to contribute to stabilising the business cycle. Lower income from oil exports following the fall in the oil price meant cost-competitiveness needed to improve. A floating exchange rate greatly facilitated this process.
Mr. Erçel discusses financial risk and its management Address by the Governor of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, Mr. Gazi Erçel, at the Sixth Annual Global Finance Conference, Bilgi University, Istanbul, on 8 April, 1999 _________________________________________________________________________ $ University. Today I like to discuss financial risk and its management which are one of the hot topics in the international financial circles. The 1980s and 1990s witnessed a major transformation in the international financial markets. The advent of more complex and dynamic transactions have substantially increased uncertainties in the marketplace, and, in today’s environment, dominated by a dynamic, aggressive financial service industry, market participants are exposed to greater financial risks than before. Of course, there are several reasons for these changes. The first reason is the globalization of the international markets. Markets all over the world are becoming consolidated into a vast world market as obstacles to the free movement of capital are gradually being removed. This can be seen in the present global crisis, which arose because problems occurring in one region of the world promptly made themselves felt by markets and investors in other regions. Another reason is that the international markets have become much more volatile. Volatility, which means the fluctuation of market prices and ratios, is one of the principal sources of financial risk. When market volatility increases, market participants are exposed to greater uncertainty--and greater risk. Still another change of conditions in the international markets is the appearance of new forms of investment with very complex structures.