The charge that central banks are out of monetary ammunition is wrong, but the widespread absence of global price pressures demands that our firepower be well aimed. Indices of policy uncertainty are about 1¼ times their pre-crisis averages in the US and Japan, and as high as three times in China. In the UK, progress since the financial crisis has been more than totally unwound this year with the measure having risen to five times its precrisis average by the start of the official referendum campaign (Chart 3). 5  A closely watched measure of economic uncertainty – the VIX – spiked when the global financial crisis hit. Measures that combine this with other sources of economic uncertainty, such as dispersion among forecasters’ growth projections, households’ unemployment expectations, and currency volatility, show clear variation over time, and rise at times of economic stress. See Haddow, A, Hare, C, Hooley, J and Shakir, T (2013) “Macroeconomic uncertainty: what is it, how can we measure it and why does it matter?”, Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Q2. 6  One way some of this has been measured is again to count occurrences in media articles of references to economics, uncertainty, and policy terms like “deficit”, “regulation” or terms relating to monetary policy. See: Baker, S, Bloom, N and Davis, S (2015), “Measuring economic policy uncertainty”, NBER Working Paper No. 21633, October. BIS central bankers’ speeches  3  While clearly these three uncertainty measures are related, distinct movements are visible.
However, the fallout from the crisis has brought to the fore the need to further enhance the regulatory framework by adopting and fortifying supervisory and regulatory practices which ensure prompt and effective policy responses to developments in the financial system. Ladies and Gentlemen, the introduction of credit reference services in Zambia was necessitated by the poor credit culture, which was identified as one of the weaknesses in the financial sector, under the FSDP. Bank of Zambia licensed the first ever credit reference bureau, in 2006, following the introduction of the Credit Reference Services (Licensing) Guidelines and Credit Data (Privacy Code) 2006. The substantive operations of the CRB commenced in the fourth quarter of 2008 after a Directive was issued by the Bank of Zambia on 10 December 2008 mandating all credit providers to use the services of a credit reference agency before issuing any loan and to provide credit data to a credit reference agency. However in spite of these efforts, the credit reference system still faces problems, largely relating to the coverage of sectors, as the current legislation is limited to the financial sector. In view of this, the Bank of Zambia is currently developing a comprehensive credit reference law that, amongst other things, will have jurisdiction over all credit providers and data sources and will provide for the treatment of credit data.