At least in the Brazilian case, there is very little empirical evidence of that. Under managed exchange rates Brazil suffered recurrent balance of payments difficulties in the 1950s and 1960s, the 1980s debt crisis, which contributed to a dramatic deterioration in macroeconomic performance in the following years, and the slowdown and crisis of the 1990s, before its final collapse in January 1999. Letting the market set the exchange rate does not mean remaining inactive when markets become dysfunctional. Thus, the Central Bank has used its reserves, during the current period of global financial turmoil, to ensure that Brazilian exporters and importers retain access to trade finance, to help Brazilian corporates rollover their debts and to provide liquidity to the spot market. Throughout this difficult period our focus has been on contributing to improve the way markets function, not to replace them. This approach is, and will remain, the cornerstone of our action in the foreign exchange market. There is no doubt that the world is currently experiencing an extremely difficult time. But it is also true that Brazil is among the countries that are better prepared to cope with the effects of the global financial crisis – a fact pointed out by several organizations in many occasions, such as the last issue of the OECD composite leading indicators, a survey encompassing 35 countries. 1 Brazilian fundamentals not only enable us to face the current environment in better conditions than most countries, but also in a much better shape than in the past.
One of the distinguishing features of the Brazilian economy is its prudential regulatory framework. The vigilant stance of the Central Bank prevented the development of  1  2  See http://www.oecd.org/document/59/0,3343,en_2649_34349_41966331_1_1_1_1,00.html, 2009. January  12,  BIS Review 8/2009  disequilibria and excesses that emerged in several other economies. We did not let the markets adopt risk taking attitudes that led to the losses and problems that many countries are facing today. In fact, the Brazilian framework is considered a model for prudential regulation and regarded as an example to be followed by other regulatory authorities. That does not mean that Brazil is not being hit or suffering the impacts of the financial turmoil. But the Brazilian government is prepared to react and take all the necessary measures to tackle the crisis. In conclusion, a floating exchange rate is no cure-all remedy for all economic ills. But it is certainly the best regime for a large, relatively closed, economy like ours. If Brazil had not floated the BRL in 1999, it would surely have done so since then, and possibly in more adverse conditions. For all the above, this 10th anniversary is worth celebrating. Thank you very much. BIS Review 8/2009  3