28 March 2019  Speech Már Guðmundsson, Governor of the Central Bank delivered at the 58th Annual Meeting of the Central Bank of Iceland, 28 March 2019  Prime Minister, other ministers, Chairman of the Economic Affairs and Trade Committee and other members of Parliament, bank directors, foreign ambassadors, other honoured guests! This is the last speech I will give at the Annual Meeting of the Central Bank of Iceland, as I will step down as Governor this August, as is provided for by law, after ten years in the position. I would therefore like to focus on matters other than current tasks relating to monetary policy, financial stability, and other Central Bank functions, but it is unavoidable to make an assessment of the most recent events. I will focus on two main areas. First of all, I would like to take a backward glance at developments in the Icelandic economy and financial system over the past ten years. In this context, I will give my assessment of how successfully the Central Bank has achieved its objectives. The published and printed versions of this speech will include selected charts that illustrate economic developments over the period. Second, I will take a look at the future and discuss several challenges in connection with the Central Bank’s tasks and objectives. Let us now cast our minds back to mid-2009. At that time, Iceland was in the midst of its severest economic contraction since World War I, a century ago.
As national financial sectors become increasingly integrated and interdependent, another top priority for us must be to strengthen our understanding of the factors that drive global capital asset allocation, and the reasons for capital flows across sectors and national borders. Early identification and assessment of capital flows will help us evaluate vulnerabilities in a timely manner, as well as enhance  BIS Review 43/2005  3  countries’ ability to address them. The effectiveness of our bilateral and multilateral surveillance activities will also be strengthened as a result. For members who wish to access international capital markets and integrate their economies more fully into the global financial system, we can provide advice on the appropriate sequencing of measures, such as how to strengthen their financial sectors and reduce their vulnerability to shocks as preparatory steps. Third, IMF financing and lending. The Fund’s traditional role of providing financing to help smooth the adjustment of temporary current-account imbalances remains vital for many countries. For others, our main task is to help prevent, or mitigate, capital account crises and their cross-border contagion effects. To succeed in these roles, the IMF must be able to exercise selectivity in supporting only those adjustment programs that will put the relevant members firmly on the path to external viability. The existence of robust domestic institutional frameworks, and strong national ownership of programs, would be key.