Pharmaceutical companies and merchanting For some time now, the Swiss current account surplus has primarily been driven by two industries: pharmaceuticals and merchanting. 8 It is notable that net exports for these two industries have increased strongly over the last ten years despite the appreciation of the Swiss franc. This stands in contrast to many industries (e.g. machinery and tourism), which are exchange rate-sensitive and have suffered noticeably as a result of the strong franc. The decline in net exports for these industries has been largely offset by the positive developments in pharmaceuticals and merchanting. Chart 7 presents the nominal change in net exports in selected manufacturing and services industries as well as merchanting from 2007 to 2016. The net exports of goods and of services are represented by the red bars at the bottom of the chart. Net exports of goods went up by CHF 23 billion from 2007 to 2016. As already stated, this increase can mainly be attributed to pharmaceuticals and merchanting. Despite the strong appreciation of the Swiss franc, net exports in both of these industries rose sharply during this period. Why is this? In recent years, the pharmaceutical industry has profited from a growing demand for healthcare products from all over the world. The demand for these products is only slightly impacted by the price and/or exchange rate. At the same time, Switzerland has developed into a leading hub in the global commodities trade. Merchanting is also much more dependent on global economic trends than on the exchange rate.
As a result of all of these factors, the current account reported for Switzerland is not a good measure for assessing trade flows and changes in the international investment position or a suitable metric on which to base monetary policy. The Swiss current account cannot be used either to assess the fair external value of the Swiss franc or to adequately reflect the risks in relation to price stability and economic development. Therefore, the SNB does not base its monetary policy on the current account. Page 13/13  High Swiss current account surplus: consequences for SNB monetary policy?