Ardian Fullani: Recent economic and monetary developments in Albania Speech by Mr Ardian Fullani, Governor of the Bank of Albania, at the press conference on the Monetary Policy Decision of the Bank of Albania Supervisory Council, Tirana, 25 January 2012. *  *  *  Today, on 25 January 2012, the Supervisory Council of the Bank of Albania reviewed and approved the quarterly Monetary Policy Report. Based on the analysis of Albania’s latest economic and monetary developments and following discussions on their performance outlook, the Supervisory Council of the Bank of Albania decided to cut the key interest rate by 0.25 percentage points. Following this decision, the rate for One Week Repurchase Agreement fell to 4.50%. The key rate is reduced under the conditions of contained inflationary pressures over the monetary policy horizon as well as expectations for a more prudent fiscal policy in the period ahead. The Supervisory Council deemed that this decision provides the appropriate monetary conditions to meet the inflation target over the medium run. Moreover, this movement increases the monetary stimulus and encourages the economic activity in Albania. (Let me now proceed with an overview of economic developments and main issues discussed at today’s meeting.) *** The Albanian economy faced challenges in 2011 as regards economic growth and maintaining of macroeconomic balances. Additional attention to public finance stability in euro-area countries is reflected in added risk premiums in international financial markets and reduced willingness to invest in emerging economies.
On the downside, the speed of the recovery in the world economy may be held back by a number of factors, including the large outstanding debt position of corporate and household sectors; investment in the UK might remain subdued; or the weakness in pricing pressures we have seen over the past year or so may persist. But on the upside, the US might bounce back more rapidly than anticipated; consumption growth might remain robust; or the sterling exchange rate might begin to adjust downwards. Against this background of risks, it is quite possible we may see rates at current levels for some time until the way ahead is clearer. But, as you know, economic events have a habit of developing quite rapidly, so even short term predictions are never easy. For our part, we will continue to assess the case for interest rate changes on a month-by-month basis. In carrying out our task, the MPC relies heavily on having the very best information at our disposal, and in that we are enormously assisted by our network of regional Agencies. Each month, our Agents drive thousands of miles, eat hundreds of rushed sandwich lunches and, on occasion, no doubt push your goodwill to the limit as they seek out the latest news on developments in your businesses. Nigel Falls, our local Agent, is here with me tonight, and for those of you who have not already met him I really do encourage you to do so after the dinner.