While striving for economic growth, we must not forget that inclusive growth is a prerequisite for sustainable development. I could not agree more with the United Nations’ 2030 agenda for sustainable development that “no one should be left behind”6. Thus, various measures to promote financial inclusion have been implemented and many more are in the pipeline, to ensure that everyone has access to financial services at fair prices. More importantly, empowering people with financial literacy and financial planning capability is an important element of inclusive growth. Ladies and gentlemen, Sustainable economic growth requires concerted effort from all parties involved. Initiatives from the banking sector alone will not be sufficient. The capital market and exchange can and should play an important role. I am very pleased to see that the agenda of this year’s WFE conference is well in line with the aforementioned three imperatives. It is encouraging that the exchange industry is working together to find meaningful ways to boost productivity through fostering growth and embracing new technology; build immunity from mitigating emerging risks and building resilience; and promote inclusivity via increasing retail investor participation. WFE has shown, once again, its commitment to support the development of fair and efficient markets, embracing the role of exchanges to facilitate the efficient allocation of resources and thus promote the real economy and the well-being of the people at large. Ladies and Gentlemen, Our world is rapidly changing.
While the adjustments in housing market are also ongoing in Europe, and some European Banks have reported losses in CDOs, the impact on economic activities is expected to be more limited. For example, Consensus Forecasts in February, revised downward the Euro Zone’s GDP growth for 2008 by only 0.3 percentage points from December compared with a 0.5 percentage point downward revision for the US. For Southeast Asia, the impact is also forecasted to be limited. Latest consensus forecasts for Southeast Asia’s GDP growth is 5.7 percent for 2008, declining slightly from the forecast of 5.9 percent in December last year. These forecasts, together with the latest data, suggest that, in the short-term, things will likely get worse before they get better, and the slowing of growth in the US will impact growth globally. The key question, at this time, is how deep can things get before we see a turnaround. This is definitely an important, but a difficult question to answer. Market  BIS Review 29/2008  1  participants as usual will have a range of views, and I personally do not intend to offer another prediction. Instead, I want to share with you my thoughts on the current developments and on what this will mean for Thailand. To begin, one context that I think is useful in understanding the current turmoil is the unwinding of the global imbalance, triggered by corrections in the US housing market that began in 2006, and is now ongoing.