There are three key elements:  1/ A European regulation of stablecoins, as drafted by the European Commission. This socalled “MiCa” has two strengths: its rightly speaks of “Crypto-assets”, and not “Cryptocurrencies” which is a misleading expression. And on substance, the draft requires a strict and dual supervision – by national authorities and EBA – to ensure consumer protection and financial stability in a fair and consistent way within the European single market. 2/ A European acceleration on CBDC, which is not yet a decision, as published by the ECB last Friday. As a principle, central banks need to have an in-depth understanding of innovation and shouldn’t be afraid to “learn by doing”. The Banque de France is now engaging with the innovators from the private sector to conduct a program of 8 experiments on wholesale CBDC. We, the ECB and the Eurosystem, need to be ready to issue a money in digital form in case of need. Let me be clear: we cannot allow ourselves to lag behind on CBDC. That may mean that we create if necessary a retail CBDC, in order to ensure the accessibility of central bank money for the general public, in particular in countries where the use of cash in payments is declining. And it may mean also that we decide to issue a wholesale CBDC, with the aim of improving the functioning of financial markets and institutions. Within the Eurosystem, the ECB has established a high-level task force (HLTF) therefore, and just published its report.
The latest released January economic figures point to more strength in the fourth quarter of 2001 than we had anticipated, given the event on September 11. And, with the current more supportive fiscal and monetary policy stance as well as the expectation of a rebound in the US, the overall environment this year is more conducive to growth than last year. From this vantage point, we are of the view that the economy could grow by 2-3 per cent this year while inflationary pressure would be virtually absent. A continuing expansion in domestic demand and a rebound in exports in the latter half of the year would be the key drivers of this year’s growth. The outlook for inflation remains tame, with core inflation expected to hover around 1-1.5 per cent, well within the target corridor of 0-3.5 per cent. Last year, notwithstanding the slowdown in the global markets, the Thai economy exhibited a noted degree of resiliency. While the world economy was in a slump, Thailand’s exports did not fall to the extent observed in many countries in the region. And, even as export fell by about 7 per cent, output growth remained positive in every quarter. In terms of macroeconomic stability, we saw an improvement both on the domestic and external fronts. In fact, Thailand external position strengthened significantly over 2001. The current account registered a large surplus and external debt continued to fall sharply in 2001. Our reserve position remains strong.