The ECB is no fortune teller or oracle, but no doubt you already know what 2017 will look like? As we see it, 2017 will be a year when activity accelerates. We are very confident about the recovery in Europe. But aren’t there risks? There are political risks just about everywhere, both within the euro area and outside it. But it isn’t the ECB’s task to manage political risks. That’s for politicians to deal with. It’s up to us to draw the economic conclusions. The euro area will still require some sort of financial protection to navigate what will be a risk-filled 2017. But when you talk about political risks, that means you see people going to the polls in the Netherlands, France, Germany and, probably, Italy, as a risk. That’s not a risk, that’s democracy. So more precisely, what would you describe as a risk? For us, the risk is that Europe comes under increasing strain and pressure from nationalists, protectionists and sovereignists, who... So you are worried about the rise of extremism and nationalism in Europe, and in all countries, maybe even including France. It’s a concern for us in all countries, because it reduces our ability act jointly. Europe is strong when its countries can act jointly.
1/4  BIS central bankers' speeches  More will be done if necessary, of course, but the diagnosis that was reached yesterday by the Governing Council is that a little less is necessary today because growth is stronger and Europe is doing better. And to make this quite clear, how much will the ECB disburse in, say, 2017? The decision that was taken yesterday is to extend our asset purchases for a further nine months by buying € billion per month of various financial instruments, which makes an additional € billion euro. That’s the decision: we will add € billion to the € billion per month planned for the first three months of 2017, making € billion, so for the whole of 2017 that comes to slightly less than € billion extra compared with what we are doing already. And since March 2015? Asset purchases today come to around € trillion in total, so if we add 1,500 and 800 it means that, at the end of next year, we’ll be at just over € trillion. Yes, and you realise that with this € trillion growth is good, average, but it’s not stronger. What would happen without this € trillion? Well, without it, if the ECB wasn’t doing what it’s doing, growth would be between 0% and 1%, inflation would be close to zero and unemployment wouldn’t be falling in the euro area. But as you know, unemployment is now falling fairly quickly in the euro area.