The Riksbank’s picture of what this could mean for inflation is partly based on empirical studies that have been presented in earlier Inflation Reports. These results likewise suggest that the economy is somewhat less inflation prone, though the picture should not be over-interpreted. In a world with low and stable inflation, it is conceivable that wage demands may be formulated differently. A given level of real wages can be attained with considerably smaller nominal wage increases and perhaps with greater precision. Another factor that is often mentioned in the discussion is the concept of a new economy, that is to say, how the trade-off between growth and inflation may have been modified by increased global competition and information technology. This theme has been stimulated not least by the example of the United States, where high growth has been achieved year after year without boosting inflation; but that is a topic for a separate address. Today I shall simply make two points. One is that effects of this type can enable the economy to cope with higher resource utilisation without an acceleration of inflation, that they can raise potential growth or they can lower the inflation propensity. Thus, the so-called new economy can conceivably affect the inflation assessment in the ways I discussed earlier. The other point is that demonstrating effects of this type on inflation empirically is presumably even more difficult in Sweden than it is in the United States.
2) In recent months, as a prior step to the SSM taking over supervisory competences, an assessment has been made of significant institutions, the aim of which is to enhance transparency in respect of their position and to reinforce their solvency. The outcome of this exercise will help the SSM to assume its functions with accurate knowledge of the actual situation of the banks it will directly supervise. The exercise is now close to completion and its results will be made known before the end of this month. It comprises two phases: an asset quality review and a stress test, on which the Banco de España has been working intensely for several months in cooperation with the ECB. The first phase, namely the assessment of the quality of the assets associated with credit and market risk, consisted of verifying the accuracy of the figures and of reviewing asset and collateral values, along with the related provisions (with the collaboration of audit firms). On the basis of the results obtained, exposures have been classified as standard or nonperforming, based on the level of risk, with the ECB imposing painstaking quality control of the results of the review. A stress test is an analysis of credit institutions‘ capacity to absorb losses, evaluating their resilience in different scenarios. The exercise indicates how much capital might be needed were risks to materialise, and it helps highlight areas where supervisory action might be necessary.