In its last meeting in June, the ESRB underlined the threat to financial stability stemming from the interplay between the vulnerabilities of public finances in certain EU Member States and the banking system, with potential contagion effects across the Union and beyond. To ensure the resilience of the EU financial system and limit the potential for adverse spillovers,  BIS central bankers’ speeches  1  the ESRB at the time also stated that backstop plans should exist, starting with resources from private markets and, if necessary, with public funds. As we also said at the time, we are furthermore working on specific issues such as FX lending, complex financial products and mismatches in the funding structure between various currencies. Let me mention that we have our next ESRB General Board meeting next Wednesday. Basel III implementation As regards Basel III, compared with Basel II, the new framework envisages higher minimum capital requirements, better risk capture, stricter definition of eligible capital elements and more transparency. These elements should substantially improve banks’ capital position and loss absorbing capacity, thus enhancing the resilience of the financial sector. The new Basel framework also introduces entirely new concepts, such as a non-risk-based leverage ratio and mandatory liquidity requirements. It has been agreed that these measures will be introduced gradually during a transition period. It is essential that prior to their introduction the potential impacts of these new elements on financial markets are carefully assessed to ensure that these measures do not hinder banks providing funding to the real economy.
Although substantial progress has been made, many households still need to rebuild their net worth following the housing bust. More than 20 percent of homeowners with a mortgage are “underwater” – meaning they owe more on their home than it can be sold for. •  Fiscal drag. State and local governments have been cutting spending for over two and half years and federal government spending is also contracting. While fiscal consolidation is essential over the medium to long term, spending cuts reduce demand and are a drag on near-term growth. •  Risks relating to Europe. The crisis in the euro area has reduced the demand for U.S. exports and weighed on financial markets. •  Fiscal uncertainty at home. Families and firms face elevated uncertainty relating to future taxes and government spending, in particular from the so-called “fiscal cliff” –  4  BIS central bankers’ speeches  the prospect of sharp increases in taxes and cuts in spending at the start of 2013 if Congress and the White House cannot agree on an alternative fiscal plan. Given the signs of improvement in some of these areas, including the slow but steady progress in healing balance sheets and restoring the supply of credit, I anticipate that the pace of economic growth will gradually pick up, supported by very low interest rates. But heading into the FOMC meeting last week, I judged that, if we did not ease monetary policy further, the pace of improvement would be unacceptably slow.