The lingering economic uncertainty and the burgeoning fiscal deficit drove the US dollar weaker across all currencies. Therefore, benefitting from the broad based dollar weakness and relatively high levels of US dollar liquidity in the market, the Kwacha posted a 5.0% gain against the American currency. A sustained rise in the copper prices at the London Metal Exchange to an average of $ per tonne in the third quarter from $ tonne gave further support to the domestic currency, with the interbank rate ending the period at an average of K4,869.21 per US dollar. Balance of payments Preliminary data show that Zambia’s overall balance of payments (BoP) recorded a surplus of US $ million during the third quarter of 2010 compared to a deficit of US $ million in the previous quarter. This was driven by the improvement in the performance of both the current account and the capital and financial account balances. The current account surplus increased to US $ million from a surplus of US $ million recorded the previous quarter, reflecting an increase in the merchandise trade surplus coupled with the narrowing of the services and income accounts deficits. Supporting the current account was the merchandise trade surplus which rose by 74.8% to US $ million in the quarter under review following an increase in exports as well as a decline in imports. Merchandise export earnings edged upward by 18.7% to US $ million, on account of increases in both metal and non-traditional export earnings.
During the quarter ending September 2010, developments in commercial banks’ nominal interest rates were mixed. The weighted average lending base rate (WALBR) continued its downward trend, falling to 19.8% from 20.9% in June 2010. Similarly, the average lending rate (ALR) fell marginally to 26.8% in September 2010 from 27.9% in June 2010. However, the 30-day deposit rate for amounts exceeding K20 million and the average savings rate (ASR) for amounts above K100,000 remained unchanged at 5.6% and 4.7%, respectively. Real sector developments Developments were favourable in the real sector during the reviewed quarter. This was reflected in increased output of metals (copper & cobalt), beer, soft drinks and cement. Further, international arrivals also increased during the period under review. Agriculture The stock of maize grain held by major millers in the country rose by 124.6% to 101,807.0 mt as at 29th September 2010 from 45,336.7 mt as at 30th June 2010. In terms of holdings by province, Lusaka contributed 51,117.1 mt (50.2%), Copperbelt 26,644.0 mt (26.2%), Southern 19861.0 mt (19.5%), Western 4,050.0 mt (4.0%), and Northern 35.0 mt (0.03%) respectively, while Eastern province accounted for 100.0 mt (0.1%). Data on maize stocks from Central province was not available at the reporting date. Mining During the reviewed quarter, copper output increased by 16.4% to 232,554.87 mt. This output was also 30.5% higher than the 178,140.1 mt of copper produced in the third quarter of 2009.