Már Guðmundsson: Fault lines in cross-border banking Speech by Mr Már Guðmundsson, Governor of the Central Bank of Iceland, delivered at Les Encontres Économiques, Aix-en-Provence, 9 July 2011. *  *  *  My comments relate to cross-border banking and are motivated and informed, on the one hand, by the rise and fall of the Icelandic banks, and on the other hand, by research and policy work that took place at the BIS, during and after my tenure there. The financial crisis revealed major fault lines in cross-border banking. Some emerged at the global level, some at the EU/EEA level, and some at the national level. I would like to use my 10 minutes to take these in turn. The main fault line revealed at the global level is the operation of cross-border banks with large foreign currency balance sheets featuring significant maturity mismatches, but with limited lender of last resort facilities in terms of foreign currency. The nature and magnitude of this phenomenon were not well understood before the crisis. In this connection, let me stress that I am referring to maturity mismatches in terms of foreign currency and not currency mismatches, which was much better understood and somewhat better regulated, due to the experience gained during several past emerging market crises. Some studies still confuse these two phenomena, however, when analysing this latest international financial crisis. Maturity mismatches are, of course, the bread and butter of modern banking, although they make banks vulnerable to refinancing risk and runs.
In a context of persistent recession, this strategy would have important benefits, in the form of an increase in the economy’s potential growth, generated by the reforms, and an improvement in the credibility of the sustainability of public finances in the medium term, which would in turn expand the fiscal headroom available and boost the expansionary effects of the current fiscal actions. In short, to have the fiscal space necessary to be able to expand the support measures for the economy should the course of the pandemic make this necessary, the reform agenda needs to be implemented decisively, fiscal consolidation  5  See R. Blanco, S. Mayordomo, A. Menéndez and M. Mulino (2020), Spanish non-financial corporations liquidity needs and solvency after the COVID-19 shock, Occasional Paper No 2020, Banco de España. 17  needs to be planned and support instruments need to be reformed to make them more flexible and focused. In the case of structural reforms, the Annual Report, which I am presenting to you today is a veritable catalogue of the main challenges that, in the opinion of the Banco de España, the Spanish economy faces in order to raise aggregate well-being. These challenges are wide-ranging in type and require the following issues to be addressed: low productivity growth, labour market duality, high unemployment, population ageing, inequality, climate change action, changes in the globalisation model and the speed of digitalisation of the economy.