We have drawn our plans and the work has been going on for some time. In some cases we can take advantage of our still-remembered experience of the 1992 monetary reform. In other cases, like some settlement-systems-related issues, we must wait for European institutions to make up their minds about the details. There is no doubt, however that technical preparation would not slow us down. IV. In conclusion  Speaking about future developments in Estonia in the light of the challenges shortly discussed above, it is good to bear in mind that policy efforts are necessary also after becoming part of the EU and the EMU. Fulfilling the Maastricht criteria and being 'admitted to the club' cannot be seen as 'the ultimate achievement'. For instance, the recent achievements of the economies of our Nordic neighbours compared to the developments in a wider Europe should make us very aware that there are real advantages in fulfilling the Stability and Growth Pact. I am convinced that EU membership will be beneficial to Estonia. But I am also very sure that Estonia has something to offer to the EU in its turn - some experience on handling issues pertaining to the  BIS Review 42/2003  3  flexibility and mobility of production factors, for example. It is important that Estonia, like every other future EU member state, offer its contribution towards the common goal. 4  BIS Review 42/2003
One fundamental factor is that households endeavour to make realistic calculations of how much interest expenditure and amortisation they can manage in the long run, not only when interest rates are as low as they are now. Something that can be said to be the flip side of the same coin is that the banks make responsible credit assessments when lending money. If these two basic components are in place, there is a good chance of avoiding an out-ofcontrol situation further ahead, although as I said before there are many other factors that may be important. Finansinspektionen (the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority) carries  4  BIS Review 138/2009  out very important work here in that they monitor developments in the banks and credit institutions and are prepared to take action if they consider it necessary. Underlying inflation stable around target of 2 per cent The impact of monetary policy on households’ living costs is something that creates large fluctuations in CPI inflation during the forecast period (Figure 5). The fact that the repo rate has been cut heavily over the past year has contributed to a rapid fall in CPI inflation, as changes in households’ mortgage expenditure are included in this index. With effect from autumn 2010, however, the repo rate is expected to rise relatively quickly, which will correspondingly mean that CPI inflation will be close to 4 per cent at the beginning of 2012.