In the course of the very powerful upturn in the American economy, significant imbalances have built up at the same time. Among other things, the deficit in the current account has never been as great as it is now, and recently consumption has been increasing more rapidly than household incomes, which means that the savings ratio has been at a record low. Sooner or later these imbalances will need to be corrected. However, a discussion of how this might come about lies beyond the bounds of what I intended to talk about this evening. Are there traces of a “new economy” in Sweden? –  Since Sweden switched from a fixed exchange rate to an inflation target, monetary policy has been designed so as to reach this target and thereby create credibility. Monetary policy has succeeded in stabilising prices and at the present time long-term inflation expectations approach the Riksbank’s target of 2%. The changes in fiscal policy, which have entailed among other things a reform of budgetary procedures and the imposition of a ceiling on public expenditure, have had positive effects. This is manifested, for example, in the budget surpluses now being produced. Overall, we have made good progress towards achieving macroeconomic stability and therefore appear to fulfil the requirements for “good economic policy”, even if we have fulfilled these for a considerably shorter time than the USA. –  If, on the other hand, we look at structural factors, our problems were perhaps also worse from the start.
This serves the interests of governments and taxpayers; but it is also in the fundamental interests of the financial system itself, since it is not impossible that a future crisis could outstrip the resources of monetary and fiscal policy, thus rendering it impossible to rescue systemically important banks. 2.  International approach  Consequently, there is broad international consensus between the relevant authorities on what the objectives of future regulatory measures should be. The Financial Stability Board (FSB), in which Switzerland is an active participant, has clearly formulated these objectives. The financial system must be brought to the point where it contributes to sustained economic growth. Never again must it be allowed to combine such high risks with such minimal safety buffers. Moreover, steps must be taken to avoid profits being privatised while losses are borne by the public at large. In essence, there are two ways of achieving this goal. The first approach is to adopt preventative measures aimed at reducing the probability of a bank collapse or a systemic crisis. This can be done by increasing safety buffers – for example, by imposing higher capital and liquidity requirements. The second approach is to take steps designed to reduce the costs of a crisis once it has already occurred.