Andrew, it has been an absolute pleasure to serve as one of your guerrillas, and I very much look forward to working hand in glove with you in our new roles. For the 1,580 banks, building societies, credit unions, insurers and major investment firms we supervise, 1  there is a simple message about my approach to the role of running the PRA . That approach is: more of the same. That means supervision which is firm but fair, using all of the latest analytical tools and techniques, together with a healthy dose of common sense. My job is to serve the public interest by focusing on the objectives given to us by Parliament: promote safety and soundness, protect insurance policyholders, and – secondary to both – facilitate effective competition. These three objectives form a complete and coherent whole and I am absolutely committed to them. But they are easier said than delivered. So I am very proud of the effort my 1,325 colleagues at the PRA put in 2  every day in pursuit of them, steadily implementing the post-crisis reforms . But as I shall explain: the end of one chapter is the start of another. Firms need to renew their business models for the new world. A mixed economy  I think that the approach we have adopted for the PRA is the right one, but I am not starry-eyed about the system we are operating. 1 2  Firm total correct as at 19 October 2016.
7 Dovern, J. and G. Kenny (2017), “The long-term distribution of expected inflation in the euro area: what has  changed since the great recession?”, ECB Working Paper No. 1999. 8 See Kozlowski, J., L. Veldkamp and V. Venkateswaran (2015), “The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and  Persistent Stagnation”, NBER Working Paper No. 21719. The authors argue that if people base their beliefs on past realisations, then extreme, albeit transitory, events can generate persistent changes in our cognitive framework. 9 See e.g. Gerba, E. and D. Żochowski (2017), “Knightian uncertainty and credit cycles”, ECB Working Paper No  2068. 10 See e.g. Benigno, G. and L. Fornaro (2017), “Stagnation traps”, ECB Working Paper No 2038. 11 See Rossi, B., T. Sekhposyany and M. Souprez (2017), “Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic  6/7  BIS central bankers' speeches  Uncertainty”, Barcelona GSE Working Paper No 920. 12 See e.g. ECB (2017), Financial Stability Review, May and November. 13 See e.g. Draghi, M. (2017), “Accompanying the economic recovery”, speech at the ECB Forum on Central  Banking, Sintra, 27 June. 7/7  BIS central bankers' speeches