The Kaiser forced war on Europe, Germany had laid plans based on conditions which, as Germany understood them, made anything but speedy victory impossible. And one by one, those plans have gone agalost because Germany's understanding of conditions was mistaken. Germany believed Belgium would offer no resistance; that France had decadent and could not fight; that Great Britain would hold aloof, and that Russia was so gran-ridden and incompetent that Germany's eastward progress would be uninterrupted. And Germany believed that if Turkey enlisted with the Superman, the influence of the Sultan, the Call of Islam, would be sufficient to cause the proclamation of a holy war, in which all Mohammedans would unite on the side of Kultur.

In every one of these forecasts, German thought and statecraft were at fault. Heroic little Belgium held back the helmets long enough for France to arm; France became again the nation of the Franks; Great Britain slipped the leash of her warships, and the Kaiser's fleet became impotent, and Russia, first conquering and then defeated, now looms again, a vast and threatening shadow.

And the holy was has vanished as a dream. Turkey lights with Germany; but Central Asia has not risen against Russia; Moslem India and Egypt have not revolted against Great Britain; Morocco, Algeria, and Tunis remain loyal to France; Afghanistan has not descended on India. And the Sudan.  and the Sahara have not set armed hordes against Northern Africa. The Caliph's call to the faithful is upon deaf ears. 