HurriCast: An Automatic Framework Using Machine Learning and Statistical
  Modeling for Hurricane Forecasting
Shouwei Gao Meiyan Gao Yuepeng Li Wenqian Dong
Hurricanes present major challenges in the U.S. due to their devastating
impacts. Mitigating these risks is important, and the insurance industry is
central in this effort, using intricate statistical models for risk assessment.
However, these models often neglect key temporal and spatial hurricane patterns
and are limited by data scarcity. This study introduces a refined approach
combining the ARIMA model and K-MEANS to better capture hurricane trends, and
an Autoencoder for enhanced hurricane simulations. Our experiments show that
this hybrid methodology effectively simulate historical hurricane behaviors
while providing detailed projections of potential future trajectories and
intensities. Moreover, by leveraging a comprehensive yet selective dataset, our
simulations enrich the current understanding of hurricane patterns and offer
actionable insights for risk management strategies.