Utilizing Multiple Inputs Autoregressive Models for Bearing Remaining
  Useful Life Prediction
Junliang Wang Qinghua Zhang Guanhua Zhu Guoxi Sun
Accurate prediction of the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of rolling bearings is
crucial in industrial production, yet existing models often struggle with
limited generalization capabilities due to their inability to fully process all
vibration signal patterns. We introduce a novel multi-input autoregressive
model to address this challenge in RUL prediction for bearings. Our approach
uniquely integrates vibration signals with previously predicted Health
Indicator (HI) values, employing feature fusion to output current window HI
values. Through autoregressive iterations, the model attains a global receptive
field, effectively overcoming the limitations in generalization. Furthermore,
we innovatively incorporate a segmentation method and multiple training
iterations to mitigate error accumulation in autoregressive models. Empirical
evaluation on the PMH2012 dataset demonstrates that our model, compared to
other backbone networks using similar autoregressive approaches, achieves
significantly lower Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Score. Notably, it
outperforms traditional autoregressive models that use label values as inputs
and non-autoregressive networks, showing superior generalization abilities with
a marked lead in RMSE and Score metrics.