Reliable Probabilistic Classification with Neural Networks
Harris Papadopoulos
Venn Prediction (VP) is a new machine learning framework for producing
well-calibrated probabilistic predictions. In particular it provides
well-calibrated lower and upper bounds for the conditional probability of an
example belonging to each possible class of the problem at hand. This paper
proposes five VP methods based on Neural Networks (NNs), which is one of the
most widely used machine learning techniques. The proposed methods are
evaluated experimentally on four benchmark datasets and the obtained results
demonstrate the empirical well-calibratedness of their outputs and their
superiority over the outputs of the traditional NN classifier.