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stringdate 2007-01-01 04:30:00+0330
2025-04-07 21:30:00+0330
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2007-01-18T13:30:00+03:30 | CHF | Medium Impact Expected | UBS Economic Expectations | -10.8 | null | -23.7 | Source: UBS AG (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed institutional investors and analysts; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 15, 2007 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 30 institutional investors and analysts which asks respondents to rate the relative 6-month economic outlook for Switzerland; | Also Called: CFA/UBS Economic Expectations; | Acro Expand: Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS), Chartered Financial Analysts (CFA); |
2007-01-18T14:30:00+03:30 | GBP | Medium Impact Expected | MPC Member Besley Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to deliver a speech titled "Inflation and the Service Sector" at the Cardiff Breakfast Club, in Cardiff; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: External BOE MPC Member Timothy Besley; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Jul 19, 2007 | FF Notes: MPC voting member Sep 2006 - Aug 2009; | Why Traders Care: BOE MPC members vote on where to set the nation's key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; |
2007-01-18T17:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Medium Impact Expected | Foreign Securities Purchases | 11.00B | -2.48B | -4.18B | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Total value of domestic stocks, bonds, and money-market assets purchased by foreigners during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 19, 2007 | Why Traders Care: Demand for domestic securities and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to purchase the nation's securities; | Also Called: International Transactions in Securities; |
2007-01-18T18:30:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies | null | null | null | Description: Due to testify on the Long-term fiscal challenges facing the US before the Senate Budget Committee, in Washington DC; | Source: Federal Reserve (latest release) | Speaker: Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 14, 2007 | FF Notes: The testimony usually comes in 2 parts: first he reads a prepared statement (a text version is made available on the Fed's website at the start), then the committee will hold a question and answer session. Since the questions are not known beforehand they can make for some unscripted moments that lead to heavy market volatility; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Federal Reserve (Fed); |
2007-01-18T19:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | BOC Monetary Policy Report | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly; | Next Release: Apr 26, 2007 | FF Notes: The BOC Governor usually holds a press conference to discuss the contents of this report about 75 minutes after release; | Why Traders Care: It provides valuable insight into the bank's view of economic conditions and inflation - the key factors that will shape the future of monetary policy and influence their interest rate decisions; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2007-01-18T19:45:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | BOC Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Canada (latest release) | Speaker: BOC Governor and Senior Deputy Governor; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year; | Next Release: Apr 26, 2007 | FF Notes: The press conference has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The questions often lead to unscripted answers that create heavy market volatility. The press conference is webcasted on the BOC website; | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary method the BOC uses to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy. It covers in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate decision, such as the overall economic outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of Canada (BOC); |
2007-01-18T20:30:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Philly Fed Manufacturing Index | 8.3 | 3.0 | -4.3 | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers in Philadelphia; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the third Thursday of the current month; | Next Release: Feb 15, 2007 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 250 manufacturers in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions; | Also Called: Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey; |
2007-01-19T00:00:00+03:30 | NZD | High Impact Expected | Retail Sales m/m | -0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 15, 2007 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Feb 2011; |
2007-01-19T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | 3.0% | null | 2.9% | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Feb 16, 2007 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise; | Derived Via: Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents where they expect prices to be 12 months in the future; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2007-01-19T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | M4 Money Supply m/m | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2007 | FF Notes: Source changed series from preliminary/final format to a single release, as of Nov 2010; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation; |
2007-01-19T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Public Sector Net Borrowing | 7.2B | 7.4B | 11.2B | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between spending and income for public corporations, the central government, and local governments during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 23 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2007 | FF Notes: A positive number indicates a budget deficit, a negative number indicates a surplus. This figure includes "financial interventions" - there is also a figure released at the same time which excludes them; |
2007-01-19T01:15:00+03:30 | NZD | High Impact Expected | Core Retail Sales m/m | -0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles and gas stations; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 15, 2007 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Feb 2011; | Also Called: Retail Sales Ex Autos; |
2007-01-19T04:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | Import Prices q/q | -3.2% | -1.5% | -0.3% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods purchased by importers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Apr 20, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It contributes to inflation for businesses and consumers, especially those who rely heavily on imported goods; | Also Called: Import Price Index; |
2007-01-19T13:00:00+03:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | Retail Sales m/m | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 15, 2007 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of Feb 2010; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Sales Volume, All Retailers sales; |
2007-01-19T17:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Medium Impact Expected | Wholesale Sales m/m | 0.1% | 0.5% | -0.4% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the wholesale level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 45 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 19, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer spending - retailers generally order more goods from wholesalers when they expect consumer sales to increase; | Also Called: Wholesale Trade; |
2007-01-19T18:30:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | 98.0 | 92.5 | 91.7 | Source: University of Michigan (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the middle of the current month; | Next Release: Feb 16, 2007 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 420 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions; | Acro Expand: University of Michigan (UoM); |
2007-01-22T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | New Motor Vehicle Sales m/m | 0.8% | null | -0.7% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of new cars and trucks sold domestically; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 21, 2007 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Jan 2018; | Why Traders Care: It's a sign of consumer confidence - rising demand for expensive durable goods shows that consumers are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money; |
2007-01-22T03:31:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Rightmove HPI m/m | 0.5% | null | -0.3% | Source: Rightmove (latest release) | Measures: Change in the asking price of homes for sale; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Feb 19, 2007 | FF Notes: This is the UK's earliest report on housing inflation, but tends to produce a relatively mild impact because asking prices and selling prices are not always correlated; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI); |
2007-01-22T04:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | PPI q/q | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, on the fourth Friday after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Apr 23, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2007-01-22T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German PPI m/m | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers charge more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2007-01-22T11:45:00+03:30 | CHF | Medium Impact Expected | PPI m/m | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | Source: Federal Statistical Office (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and raw materials purchased by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 14 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: Producer and Import Prices, Producer Input Prices; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2007-01-22T14:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | German Buba Monthly Report | null | null | null | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly; | Next Release: Feb 19, 2007 | FF Notes: Market impact tends to be greater when the report reveals a viewpoint that clashes with the ECB's stance; | Why Traders Care: It contains relevant articles, speeches, statistical tables, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint; | Acro Expand: Deutsche Bundesbank (Buba); |
2007-01-23T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Richmond Manufacturing Index | -11 | -8 | -6 | Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers in Richmond; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the fourth Tuesday of the current month; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. Tends to have a muted impact because there are earlier regional indicators related to manufacturing conditions; | Derived Via: Survey of about 75 manufacturers in the Richmond area which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including shipments, new orders, and employment; | Also Called: Richmond Fed Index, Manufacturing Activity Index, Composite Manufacturing Index; |
2007-01-23T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Medium Impact Expected | CPI m/m | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2007 | FF Notes: This is the most important inflation-related release due to its earliness and broad scope. This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the calculation most commonly reported; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Also Called: All Items CPI; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2007-01-23T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Medium Impact Expected | Retail Sales m/m | 0.2% | 0.9% | -0.8% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 21, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2007-01-23T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | Leading Index m/m | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 10 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 19 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2007 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in May 2012; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 10 economic indicators related to employment, production, new orders, consumer confidence, housing, stock market prices, money supply, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; |
2007-01-23T10:15:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | French Consumer Spending m/m | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | Source: INSEE (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods expenditures by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 27 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 23, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2007-01-23T13:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | Industrial New Orders m/m | 1.4% | 1.0% | -0.5% | Source: Eurostat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 55 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 22, 2007 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in May 2012; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; |
2007-01-23T14:30:00+03:30 | GBP | Medium Impact Expected | CBI Industrial Order Expectations | -9 | -5 | -5 | Source: Confederation of British Industry (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Feb 21, 2007 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates increasing order volume is expected, below indicates expectations are for lower volume; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their expectations can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 250 manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of order volume expected during the next 3 months; | Also Called: Industrial Trends Survey; | Acro Expand: Confederation of British Industry (CBI); |
2007-01-23T15:30:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Core CPI m/m | -0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the 8 most volatile items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Tuesday after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 20, 2007 | FF Notes: Volatile items account for about a quarter of CPI but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the calculation most commonly reported; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Also Called: CPI Ex Volatile Items; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2007-01-23T17:00:00+03:30 | CAD | High Impact Expected | Core Retail Sales m/m | 0.1% | 0.5% | -0.8% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 21, 2007 | FF Notes: Automobile sales account for about 20% of Retail Sales, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of spending trends; | Also Called: Retail Sales Ex Autos; |
2007-01-23T18:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | CB Leading Index m/m | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 10 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 21, 2007 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously. Source changed series calculation formula as of Jan 2012; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 10 economic indicators related to employment, new orders, consumer confidence, housing, stock market prices, credit trends, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2007-01-23T22:30:00+03:30 | GBP | Medium Impact Expected | BOE Gov King Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the Chamber of Commerce Annual Banquet, in Birmingham; | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Speaker: BOE Governor Mervyn King; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Feb 14, 2007 | FF Notes: BOE Governor Jul 2003 - Jun 2013. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE); |
2007-01-24T00:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Medium Impact Expected | Trimmed Mean CPI q/q | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the most volatile 30% of items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 25 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Apr 24, 2007 | FF Notes: Data represents the underlying inflation trend through component weighting and anomaly exclusion; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2007-01-24T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | Prelim GDP q/q | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 40 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Apr 25, 2007 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of quarterly GDP released about 45 days apart – Preliminary and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Also Called: GDP First Estimate; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2007-01-24T00:00:00+03:30 | NZD | High Impact Expected | RBNZ Rate Statement | null | null | null | Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 7 times per year; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's among the primary tools the RBNZ uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future decisions; | Also Called: Policy Assessment, Interest Rate Statement; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ); |
2007-01-24T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Index of Services 3m/3m | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | Source: Office for National Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total GVA of the private and government services sectors; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 40 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 23, 2007 | FF Notes: GVA is the difference between the value of a service provided and the value of the goods and services used to provide the service; | Acro Expand: Gross Value Added (GVA); |
2007-01-24T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | All Industries Activity m/m | -0.2% | 0.0% | 1.7% | Source: METI (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of goods and services purchased by businesses; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 23, 2007 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Sep 2020; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their spending can be an early signal of future economic activity such as hiring, earnings, and investment; |
2007-01-24T02:30:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | CB Leading Index m/m | 0.2% | null | 0.3% | Source: The Conference Board Inc. (latest release) | Measures: Change in the level of a composite index based on 7 economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 23, 2007 | FF Notes: This index is designed to predict the direction of the economy, but it tends to have a muted impact because most of the indicators used in the calculation are released previously; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 7 economic indicators related to money supply, building approvals, profits, exports, inventories, and interest rate spreads; | Also Called: Leading Indicators; | Acro Expand: The Conference Board (CB); |
2007-01-24T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Medium Impact Expected | Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes | null | null | null | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 8 times per year, around 45 days after the Monetary Policy Statement is released; | Next Release: Feb 26, 2007 | FF Notes: Source changed release frequency from about 14 times per year to eight times per year as of Jan 2016; | Why Traders Care: It's a detailed record of the BOJ Policy Board's meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates; | Acro Expand: Bank of Japan (BOJ); |
2007-01-24T04:00:00+03:30 | AUD | High Impact Expected | CPI q/q | -0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 25 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Apr 24, 2007 | FF Notes: Although this data is extremely late relative to inflation data from other countries, it's the primary gauge of consumer prices and tends to create hefty market impacts; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the previous sampling; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2007-01-24T04:30:00+03:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | Credit Card Spending y/y | 10.1% | null | 7.8% | Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in total spending facilitated with a credit card; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 21 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 22, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's correlated with consumer spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money; |
2007-01-24T13:00:00+03:30 | GBP | High Impact Expected | MPC Official Bank Rate Votes | 5-0-4 | 8-0-1 | 0-0-9 | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly; | Next Release: Feb 21, 2007 | FF Notes: The vote is reported in an 'X-X-X' format - the first number is how many MPC members voted to increase interest rates, the second number is how many voted to decrease rates, and the third is how many voted to hold rates; | Why Traders Care: The BOE's MPC meeting minutes contain the interest rate vote for each MPC member during the most recent meeting. The breakdown of votes provides insight into which members are changing their stance on interest rates and how close the committee is to enacting a rate change in the future; | Acro Expand: Monetary Policy Committee (MPC); |
2007-01-24T13:42:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German 30-y Bond Auction | 4.11|1.2 | null | 4.23|1.5 | Source: Bundesbank (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable, about 11 times per year; | Next Release: Jul 25, 2007 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: Bund Auction; |
2007-01-24T17:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | Belgian NBB Business Climate | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.5 | Source: National Bank of Belgium (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, services, and trade-related firms; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Feb 22, 2007 | FF Notes: Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. This survey is highly respected due to its source and large sample size. Source changed series calculation formula as of April 2009; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 3,000 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions and expectations for the next 3 months; | Also Called: Business Confidence Gross Synthetic Curve; | Acro Expand: National Bank of Belgium (NBB); |
2007-01-24T19:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Crude Oil Inventories | 0.7M | 1.3M | 6.8M | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Jan 31, 2007 | FF Notes: While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's sizable energy sector; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility; | Also Called: Crude Stocks, Crude Levels; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2007-01-24T23:30:00+03:30 | NZD | High Impact Expected | Official Cash Rate | 7.25% | 7.25% | 7.25% | Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Interest rate at which banks lend balances held at the RBNZ to other banks overnight; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Scheduled 7 times per year; | Next Release: Mar 7, 2007 | FF Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the RBNZ Rate Statement, which is focused on the future; | Why Traders Care: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; | Derived Via: The RBNZ Governor decides where to set the rate after consulting senior bank staff and external advisers; | Also Called: Interest Rates, OCR; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), Official Cash Rate (OCR); |
2007-01-24T23:59:59+03:30 | All | Medium Impact Expected | WEF Annual Meetings | null | null | null | Source: World Economic Forum (latest release) | Frequency: Annually; | Next Release: Jan 25, 2007 | FF Notes: WEF annual meetings are held in Davos and attended by central bankers, prime ministers, finance ministers, trade ministers, and business leaders from over 90 countries. Most meetings are open to the press and officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day. Comments from central bankers and other influential officials can create significant market volatility; | Acro Expand: World Economic Forum (WEF); |
2007-01-25T00:00:00+03:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | NBS Press Conference | null | null | null | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China | Speaker: NBS Spokesperson; | Frequency: Scheduled monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Apr 19, 2007 | FF Notes: The press conference has 2 parts - first a prepared statement is read which announces the key economic numbers, then the conference is briefly open to press questions. The questions sometimes lead to unscripted answers that can have a significant market impact. Source changed frequency from quarterly to monthly as of Aug 2009 and then reverted from monthly to quarterly as of Jul 2011 and then back from quarterly to monthly as of Mar 2022; | Acro Expand: National Bureau of Statistics (NBS); |
2007-01-25T00:00:00+03:30 | CNY | Low Impact Expected | Retail Sales y/y | 14.6% | 14.3% | 14.1% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2007 | FF Notes: This is the earliest look at vital consumer spending data. There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart - Prelim and Final. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2007-01-25T00:00:00+03:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | CPI y/y | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 14, 2007 | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to respond by raising interest rates; | Derived Via: The average price of various goods and services are sampled and then compared to the sampling done a year earlier; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2007-01-25T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Current Account | -2.0B | 0.7B | 1.8B | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 50 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 21, 2007 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. The goods portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the Trade Balance data released about a week earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the region; |
2007-01-25T00:00:00+03:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | PPI y/y | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods purchased and sold by producers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually about 10 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 13, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers pay and charge more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Producer Price Index (PPI); |
2007-01-25T00:00:00+03:30 | CNY | High Impact Expected | Industrial Production y/y | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.9% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 26, 2007 | FF Notes: Chinese data can have a broad impact on the currency markets due to China's influence on the global economy and investor sentiment; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production is the dominant driver of the economy and reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle; | Also Called: Industrial Output; |
2007-01-25T00:00:00+03:30 | CNY | Medium Impact Expected | Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y | 24.5% | 26.3% | 26.6% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total spending on non-rural capital investments such as factories, roads, power grids, and property; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, excluding Feb, about 15 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 16, 2007 | FF Notes: Data represents the year-to-date investment compared to the same period a year earlier; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - changes in private and public investment levels can be an early signal of future economic activity such as hiring, spending, and earnings; |
2007-01-25T02:30:00+03:30 | NZD | Low Impact Expected | BusinessNZ Manufacturing Index | 54.2 | null | 55.1 | Source: BusinessNZ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 13 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 15, 2007 | FF Notes: Above 50.0 indicates expansion, below indicates contraction; | Derived Via: Survey of manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; | Also Called: Performance of Manufacturing Index; |
2007-01-25T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Trade Balance | 0.66T | 0.87T | 0.98T | Source: Ministry of Finance (latest release) | Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 22, 2007 | FF Notes: This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported; | Why Traders Care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers; | Also Called: Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance; |
2007-01-25T05:30:00+03:30 | CNY | High Impact Expected | GDP q/y | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 18 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Apr 19, 2007 | FF Notes: Data represents the quarterly value compared to the same quarter a year earlier. Chinese data can have a broad impact on the currency markets due to China's influence on the global economy and investor sentiment; | Why Traders Care: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health; | Also Called: Real GDP; | Acro Expand: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); |
2007-01-25T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German GfK Consumer Climate | 4.8 | 8.6 | 8.5 | Source: NIQ (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Feb 26, 2007 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; | Why Traders Care: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; | Derived Via: Survey of about 2,000 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, including personal financial situation, climate for major purchases, and overall economic situation; | Also Called: Consumer Sentiment; |
2007-01-25T12:30:00+03:30 | EUR | High Impact Expected | German ifo Business Climate | 107.9 | 108.9 | 108.7 | Source: ifo Institute (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, wholesalers, services, and retailers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around 3 weeks into the current month; | Next Release: Feb 23, 2007 | FF Notes: This survey is highly respected due to its large sample size and historic correlation with German and wider Eurozone economic conditions. It tends to create a hefty market impact upon release. Source changed series from a base year of 2000 to a base year of 2005, as of May 2011, and changed series to include services, as of Apr 2018; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 9,000 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions and expectations for the next 6 months; | Acro Expand: Information and Forschung (ifo); |
2007-01-25T13:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian Retail Sales m/m | 0.3% | 0.1% | -0.1% | Source: Istat (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 22, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; |
2007-01-25T17:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Unemployment Claims | 325K | 310K | 289K | Source: Department of Labor (latest release) | Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends; | Next Release: Feb 1, 2007 | FF Notes: This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week - there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes; | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy; | Also Called: Jobless Claims, Initial Claims; |
2007-01-25T18:30:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Existing Home Sales | 6.22M | 6.25M | 6.27M | Source: National Association of Realtors (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of residential buildings that were sold during the previous month, excluding new construction; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12); | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction; | Also Called: Home Resales; |
2007-01-25T19:00:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | Natural Gas Storage | -179B | -174B | -89B | Source: Energy Information Administration (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends; | Next Release: Feb 1, 2007 | FF Notes: Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand; | Also Called: Nat Gas Stocks, Nat Gas Inventories, Working Gas; | Acro Expand: Energy Information Administration (EIA); |
2007-01-25T23:59:59+03:30 | All | Medium Impact Expected | WEF Annual Meetings | null | null | null | Source: World Economic Forum (latest release) | Frequency: Annually; | Next Release: Jan 26, 2007 | FF Notes: WEF annual meetings are held in Davos and attended by central bankers, prime ministers, finance ministers, trade ministers, and business leaders from over 90 countries. Most meetings are open to the press and officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day. Comments from central bankers and other influential officials can create significant market volatility; | Acro Expand: World Economic Forum (WEF); |
2007-01-26T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | National Core CPI y/y | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Source: Statistics Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding fresh food; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the third Friday of the following month; | Next Release: Mar 2, 2007 | Also Called: Core CPI, National CPI Ex Fresh Food; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2007-01-26T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Private Loans y/y | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new loans issued to consumers and businesses in the private sector; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | Why Traders Care: Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money; |
2007-01-26T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | M3 Money Supply y/y | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | FF Notes: Source changed series calculation formula as of May 2001; | Why Traders Care: It's positively correlated with interest rates - early in the economic cycle an increasing supply of money leads to additional spending and investment, and later in the cycle expanding money supply leads to inflation; |
2007-01-26T00:00:00+03:30 | USD | Medium Impact Expected | Durable Goods Orders m/m | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | FF Notes: This data is usually revised via the Factory Orders report released about a week later. Durable goods are defined as hard products having a life expectancy of more than 3 years, such as automobiles, computers, appliances, and airplanes; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; |
2007-01-26T00:00:00+03:30 | EUR | Medium Impact Expected | ECB President Trichet Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak at the World Economic Forum 2007, in Davos; | Source: European Central Bank (latest release) | Speaker: ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet; | Next Release: Feb 1, 2007 | FF Notes: ECB President Nov 2003 - Oct 2011. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the ECB, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the euro's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: European Central Bank (ECB); |
2007-01-26T02:30:00+03:30 | NZD | Medium Impact Expected | RBNZ Gov Bollard Speaks | null | null | null | Description: Due to speak about innovative financial services for New Zealand at the Canterbury Employers’ Chamber of Commerce, in Cristchurch; | Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (latest release) | Speaker: RBNZ Governor Alan Bollard; | Usual Effect: More hawkish than expected is good for currency; | Next Release: Mar 14, 2007 | FF Notes: RBNZ Governor Sep 2002 - Sep 2012. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues; | Why Traders Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy; | Acro Expand: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ); |
2007-01-26T03:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Medium Impact Expected | Tokyo Core CPI y/y | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Source: Statistics Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers in Tokyo, excluding fresh food; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, usually on the last Friday of the current month; | Next Release: Mar 2, 2007 | FF Notes: Tokyo is Japan's most populated city and releases CPI data a month ahead of National CPI. This early data is thought to be the most important consumer inflation release. The impact tends to be mild but varies from month to month; | Why Traders Care: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to tighten monetary policy out of respect for their inflation containment mandate; | Also Called: Tokyo CPI Ex Fresh Food; | Acro Expand: Consumer Price Index (CPI); |
2007-01-26T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | SPPI y/y | 0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | Source: Bank of Japan (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of services purchased by corporations; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 25 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 23, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when corporations pay more for services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Also Called: CSPI; | Acro Expand: Services Producer Price Index (SPPI), Corporate Services Price Index (CSPI); |
2007-01-26T10:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | German Import Prices m/m | -0.3% | 0.1% | -0.4% | Source: Destatis (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of imported goods purchased domestically; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It contributes to inflation for businesses and consumers, especially those who rely heavily on imported goods; | Also Called: Import Price Index; |
2007-01-26T11:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Spanish Unemployment Rate | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | Source: National Statistics Institute (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous quarter; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Apr 27, 2007 | Why Traders Care: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2007-01-26T12:30:00+03:30 | CHF | Medium Impact Expected | UBS Consumption Indicator | 1.90 | null | 1.89 | Source: UBS AG (latest release) | Measures: Level of a composite index based on 5 consumer-based economic indicators; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 27 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Jan 2018; | Derived Via: Combined reading of 5 economic indicators including consumer confidence, consumer spending, tourism, new car sales, and retail activity; |
2007-01-26T13:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Medium Impact Expected | High Street Lending | 45.5K | null | 78.7K | Source: UK Finance (latest release) | Measures: Number of new mortgages approved for home purchase by High Street banks during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 24 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Jan 2020; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of housing market demand – most home purchases are financed with a mortgage, so it provides an excellent gauge of how many qualified buyers are entering the market; | Also Called: Gross Mortgage Approvals; |
2007-01-26T17:00:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | Core Durable Goods Orders m/m | 2.3% | 0.5% | -1.0% | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, excluding transportation items; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 26 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | FF Notes: This data is usually revised via the Factory Orders report released about a week later. Orders for aircraft are volatile and can severely distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of purchase order trends; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of production - rising purchase orders signal that manufacturers will increase activity as they work to fill the orders; | Also Called: Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation; |
2007-01-26T18:30:00+03:30 | USD | High Impact Expected | New Home Sales | 1120K | 1050K | 1069K | Source: Census Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Annualized number of new single-family homes that were sold during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, on the 17th business day after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 28, 2007 | FF Notes: While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format (monthly figure x12); | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a new home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, furniture and appliances are purchased for the home, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction; | Also Called: New Residential Sales; |
2007-01-26T23:59:59+03:30 | All | Medium Impact Expected | WEF Annual Meetings | null | null | null | Source: World Economic Forum (latest release) | Frequency: Annually; | Next Release: Jan 27, 2007 | FF Notes: WEF annual meetings are held in Davos and attended by central bankers, prime ministers, finance ministers, trade ministers, and business leaders from over 90 countries. Most meetings are open to the press and officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day. Comments from central bankers and other influential officials can create significant market volatility; | Acro Expand: World Economic Forum (WEF); |
2007-01-26T23:59:59+03:30 | AUD | Non-Economic | Bank Holiday | null | null | null | Description: Australian banks will be closed in observance of Australia Day; | Usual Effect: Low liquidity and irregular volatility; | Next Release: Apr 6, 2007 | FF Notes: Most Forex brokers remain open for every holiday except Christmas and New Year's Day. Stock markets and banks have slightly different holiday schedules; | Why Traders Care: Banks facilitate the majority of foreign exchange volume. When they are closed the market is less liquid and speculators become a more dominant market influence. This can lead to both abnormally low and abnormally high volatility; |
2007-01-27T23:59:59+03:30 | All | Medium Impact Expected | WEF Annual Meetings | null | null | null | Source: World Economic Forum (latest release) | Frequency: Annually; | Next Release: Jan 28, 2007 | FF Notes: WEF annual meetings are held in Davos and attended by central bankers, prime ministers, finance ministers, trade ministers, and business leaders from over 90 countries. Most meetings are open to the press and officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day. Comments from central bankers and other influential officials can create significant market volatility; | Acro Expand: World Economic Forum (WEF); |
2007-01-28T23:59:59+03:30 | All | Medium Impact Expected | WEF Annual Meetings | null | null | null | Source: World Economic Forum (latest release) | Frequency: Annually; | Next Release: Jan 23, 2008 | FF Notes: WEF annual meetings are held in Davos and attended by central bankers, prime ministers, finance ministers, trade ministers, and business leaders from over 90 countries. Most meetings are open to the press and officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day. Comments from central bankers and other influential officials can create significant market volatility; | Acro Expand: World Economic Forum (WEF); |
2007-01-29T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Medium Impact Expected | Retail Sales y/y | -0.3% | -0.6% | -0.2% | Source: METI (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 27 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 28, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity; | Also Called: Retail Trade; |
2007-01-29T04:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Medium Impact Expected | NAB Quarterly Business Confidence | 4 | null | 2 | Source: National Australia Bank Limited (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed businesses, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released quarterly, about 20 days after the quarter ends; | Next Release: Apr 17, 2007 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. There's a quarterly and monthly version of this survey - although the monthly survey is more timely and tends to have greater impact, the quarterly version has a larger sample size and additional questions regarding expectations; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 1,000 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions and expectations for the near and medium-term future; | Acro Expand: National Australia Bank (NAB); |
2007-01-29T14:30:00+03:30 | GBP | Medium Impact Expected | CBI Realized Sales | 30 | 18 | 25 | Source: Confederation of British Industry (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed retailers and wholesalers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Mar 1, 2007 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates higher sales volume, below indicates lower. Source changed series calculation formula as of July 2009; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer spending because retailer and wholesaler sales are directly influenced by consumer buying levels; | Derived Via: Survey of about 125 retail and wholesale companies which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current sales volume; | Also Called: Distributive Trades Survey; | Acro Expand: Confederation of British Industry (CBI); |
2007-01-29T23:59:59+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Eurogroup Meetings | null | null | null | Source: Eurogroup (latest release) | Next Release: Feb 26, 2007 | FF Notes: Eurogroup meetings are usually held in Brussels and attended by the Eurogroup President, Finance Ministers from euro area member states, the Commissioner for economic and monetary affairs, and the President of the European Central Bank. They discuss a range of financial issues, such as euro support mechanisms and government finances. The meetings are closed to the press but officials usually talk with reporters throughout the day, and a formal statement covering meeting objectives may be released after the meetings have concluded; | Why Traders Care: The Eurogroup coordinates economic policies of the 19 euro area member states, and their initiatives and decisions can have a widespread effect on the Eurozone's economic health; |
2007-01-30T00:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | RMPI m/m | 5.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of raw materials purchased by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 19 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 1, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; | Acro Expand: Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI); |
2007-01-30T00:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | Source: Statistics Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' less than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 2, 2007 | FF Notes: Tends to have a muted impact relative to employment data from other countries because the Japanese economy is more reliant on the industrial sector than personal spending; | Also Called: Jobless Rate; |
2007-01-30T00:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Net Lending to Individuals m/m | 11.6B | 10.6B | 11.2B | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total value of new credit issued to consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 1, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's correlated with consumer spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money; |
2007-01-30T01:15:00+03:30 | NZD | Medium Impact Expected | Building Consents m/m | -4.9% | null | -11.6% | Source: Statistics New Zealand (latest release) | Measures: Change in the number of new building approvals issued; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 28, 2007 | Why Traders Care: It's a leading gauge of future construction activity because obtaining government approval is among the first steps in constructing a new building. Construction is important because it produces a wide-reaching ripple effect - for example, jobs are created for the construction workers, subcontractors and inspectors are hired, and various construction services are purchased by the builder; | Also Called: Building Permits; |
2007-01-30T03:00:00+03:30 | JPY | Low Impact Expected | Household Spending y/y | -1.9% | -1.2% | -0.7% | Source: Statistics Bureau (latest release) | Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all expenditures by consumers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 35 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 2, 2007 | Why Traders Care: Consumer spending accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. It's one of the most important gauges of economic health due to the vast ripple effect consumer buying creates in the economy; |
2007-01-30T03:20:00+03:30 | JPY | Medium Impact Expected | Prelim Industrial Production m/m | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | Source: METI (latest release) | Measures: Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 28, 2007 | FF Notes: There are 2 versions of this indicator released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings; |
2007-01-30T04:00:00+03:30 | AUD | Low Impact Expected | NAB Business Confidence | 4 | null | 6 | Source: National Australia Bank Limited (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed businesses, excluding the farming industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 11 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 13, 2007 | FF Notes: Above 0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. There's a quarterly and monthly version of this survey - although the monthly survey is more timely and tends to have greater impact, the quarterly version has a larger sample size and additional questions regarding expectations; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of about 350 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current business conditions; | Acro Expand: National Australia Bank (NAB); |
2007-01-30T10:30:00+03:30 | GBP | Medium Impact Expected | Nationwide HPI m/m | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | Source: Nationwide Building Society (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of homes with mortgages backed by Nationwide; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, around the end of the current month; | Next Release: Feb 28, 2007 | FF Notes: This is the UK's second earliest report on housing inflation; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Also Called: Nationwide House Prices; | Acro Expand: House Price Index (HPI); |
2007-01-30T12:30:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Retail PMI | 47.9 | null | 52.1 | Source: S&P Global (latest release) | Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the retail industry; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 5 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | FF Notes: Source discontinued this data in Jul 2018; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment; | Derived Via: Survey of around 1,000 purchasing managers in Germany, France, and Italy, which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including sales, revenue, employment, prices, and inventories; | Acro Expand: Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI); |
2007-01-30T13:00:00+03:30 | GBP | Low Impact Expected | Mortgage Approvals | 113K | 122K | 129K | Source: Bank of England (latest release) | Measures: Number of new mortgages approved for home purchases during the previous month; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 30 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 1, 2007 | FF Notes: Tends to have a muted impact because about 60% of all mortgages are covered by the BBA Mortgage Approvals data released a few days earlier; | Also Called: Approvals Secured on Dwellings; | Acro Expand: Bank of England (BOE); |
2007-01-30T13:48:00+03:30 | EUR | Low Impact Expected | Italian 10-y Bond Auction | 4.29|1.3 | null | 4.17|1.5 | Source: Department of Treasury (latest release) | Measures: Average yield on 10-year bonds the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction; | Usual Effect: No consistent effect - there are both risk and growth implications; | Frequency: Variable, about 14 times per year; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | FF Notes: Auction results are reported in an 'X.XX|X.X' format - the first number is the average interest rate of the bonds sold, and the second number is the bid-to-cover ratio (number of bids made per bid accepted). Source does not give an exact release time - this event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the data is released; | Why Traders Care: Yields are set by bond market investors, and therefore they can be used to decipher investors' outlook on future interest rates. The bid-to-cover ratio represents bond market liquidity and demand, which can be used to gauge investor confidence; | Also Called: BTP Auction; | Acro Expand: Buoni del Tesoro Poliennali (BTP); |
2007-01-30T17:00:00+03:30 | CAD | Low Impact Expected | IPPI m/m | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | Source: Statistics Canada (latest release) | Measures: Change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 19 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Mar 1, 2007 | FF Notes: Only includes goods produced domestically; | Also Called: Factory Gate Prices, Producer Prices; | Acro Expand: Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI); |
2007-01-30T17:30:00+03:30 | USD | Low Impact Expected | S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | Source: Standard & Poor's (latest release) | Measures: Change in the selling price of single-family homes in 20 metropolitan areas; | Usual Effect: 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast' is good for currency; | Frequency: Released monthly, about 60 days after the month ends; | Next Release: Feb 27, 2007 | FF Notes: This is one of the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the primary calculation for this indicator; | Why Traders Care: It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; | Also Called: S&P Corelogic CS Indices; | Acro Expand: Standard & Poor's (S&P), Case-Shiller (CS), House Price Index (HPI); |
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